Statistical Experiment A statistical experiment or observation is any process by which an...

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Statistical Experiment A statistical experiment or observation is any process by which an measurements are obtained

Transcript of Statistical Experiment A statistical experiment or observation is any process by which an...

Page 1: Statistical Experiment A statistical experiment or observation is any process by which an measurements are obtained.

Statistical Experiment

A statistical experiment or observation is any process by which an measurements are

obtained

Page 2: Statistical Experiment A statistical experiment or observation is any process by which an measurements are obtained.

Examples of Statistical Experiments

• Counting the number of books in the College Library

• Counting the number of mistakes on a page of text

• Measuring the amount of rainfall in your state during the month of June

Page 3: Statistical Experiment A statistical experiment or observation is any process by which an measurements are obtained.

Random Variable

a quantitative variable that assumes a value determined by

chance

Page 4: Statistical Experiment A statistical experiment or observation is any process by which an measurements are obtained.

Discrete Random Variable

A discrete random variable is a quantitative random variable that can take

on only a finite number of values or a countable number of values.

Example: the number of books in the College Library

Page 5: Statistical Experiment A statistical experiment or observation is any process by which an measurements are obtained.

Continuous Random Variable

A continuous random variable is a quantitative random variable that can take on any of the countless number of

values in a line interval.

Example: the amount of rainfall in your state during the month of June

Page 6: Statistical Experiment A statistical experiment or observation is any process by which an measurements are obtained.

Probability Distribution

an assignment of probabilities to the specific values of the random variable or to a range of values of

the random variable

Page 7: Statistical Experiment A statistical experiment or observation is any process by which an measurements are obtained.

Probability Distribution of a Discrete Random Variable

• A probability is assigned to each value of the random variable.

• The sum of these probabilities must be 1.

Page 8: Statistical Experiment A statistical experiment or observation is any process by which an measurements are obtained.

Probability distribution for the rolling of an ordinary die

x P(x)

1

2

3

4

5

6

6

1

6

1

6

1

6

1

6

1

6

1

Page 9: Statistical Experiment A statistical experiment or observation is any process by which an measurements are obtained.

Features of a Probability Distribution

Features of a Probability Distribution

x P(x)

1

2

3

4

5

6

6

1

6

1

6

1

6

1

6

1

6

1

Probabilities must be between zero and one (inclusive)

P(x) =116

6

Page 10: Statistical Experiment A statistical experiment or observation is any process by which an measurements are obtained.

Probability Histogram

P(x)

1 2 3 4 5 6

| | | | | | |6

1

Page 11: Statistical Experiment A statistical experiment or observation is any process by which an measurements are obtained.

Mean and standard deviation of a discrete probability

distribution

Mean = = expectation or expected value,

the long-run average

Formula: = x P(x)

Page 12: Statistical Experiment A statistical experiment or observation is any process by which an measurements are obtained.

Standard Deviation

)x(P)x( 2

Page 13: Statistical Experiment A statistical experiment or observation is any process by which an measurements are obtained.

Finding the mean:

x P(x) x P(x)

0 .3

1 .3

2 .2

3 .1

4 .1

0

.3

.4

.3

.4

1.4

= x P(x) = 1.4

Page 14: Statistical Experiment A statistical experiment or observation is any process by which an measurements are obtained.

Finding the standard deviationx P(x) x – ( x – ) 2 ( x – ) 2 P(x)

0 .3

1 .3

2 .2

3 .1

4 .1

– 1.4

– 0.4

.6

1.6

2.6

1.96

0.16

0.36

2.56

6.76

.588

.048

.072

.256

.676

1.64

Page 15: Statistical Experiment A statistical experiment or observation is any process by which an measurements are obtained.

Standard Deviation

1.28

64.1)x(P)x( 2

Page 16: Statistical Experiment A statistical experiment or observation is any process by which an measurements are obtained.

Linear Functions of a Random Variable

If a and b are any constants and x is a random variable, then the new random

variable

L = a + bx

is called a linear function of a random variable.

Page 17: Statistical Experiment A statistical experiment or observation is any process by which an measurements are obtained.

If x is a random variable with mean and standard deviation

, and L = a + bx then:

• Mean of L = L = a + b

• Variance of L = L 2 = b2 2

• Standard deviation of L = L= the square root of b2 2 = b

Page 18: Statistical Experiment A statistical experiment or observation is any process by which an measurements are obtained.

If x is a random variable with mean = 12 and standard

deviation = 3 and L = 2 + 5x• Find the mean of L.

• Find the variance of L.

• Find the standard deviation of L.

L = 2 + 5

• Variance of L = b2 2 =

25(9) = 225

• Standard deviation of L = square root of 225 =

Page 19: Statistical Experiment A statistical experiment or observation is any process by which an measurements are obtained.

Independent Random Variables

Two random variables x1 and x2

are independent if any event involving x1 by itself is

independent of any event involving x2 by itself.

Page 20: Statistical Experiment A statistical experiment or observation is any process by which an measurements are obtained.

If x1 and x2 are a random variables with means and and

variances and

If W = ax1 + bx2 then:

• Mean of W = W = a + b

• Variance of W = W 2 = a2 12 + b2 2

• Standard deviation of W = W= the square root of a2 1

2 + b2 2

Page 21: Statistical Experiment A statistical experiment or observation is any process by which an measurements are obtained.

Given x1, a random variable with 1 = 12 and 1 = 3 and x2 is a

random variable with 2 = 8 and 2

= 2 and W = 2x1 + 5x2. • Find the mean of W.

• Find the variance of W.

• Find the standard deviation of W.

• Mean of W =

2(12)+ 5(8) = 64• Variance of W =

4(9) + 25(4) = 136

• Standard deviation of W= square root of 136 11.66