State Technology and Science Index · 2014-08-20 · Source: U.S. Census Bureau. Demographic...
Transcript of State Technology and Science Index · 2014-08-20 · Source: U.S. Census Bureau. Demographic...
Source: Milken Institute.
State Technology and Science Index 2008
Top tenSecond tierThird tierBottom ten
Source: U.S. Census Bureau.
Demographic indicator 2000 2010 Percent change
Median age 33.3 34.9 1.6
Of males 32.2 33.7 1.5
Of females 34.4 36.2 1.8
Dependency ratio 69.0 65.5 -3.5
Youth 51.1 46.4 -4.6
Old age 17.9 19.1 1.2
State demographic indicators By age and sex
Source: U.S. Department of Finance.
California’s aging population 2020 projections
Whites Latinos Asians Blacks
Projected change in population 2.3 65.1 46.9 7.8
Projected 2020 share of total population 37.4 41.4 12.5 5.4
Projected 2020 age distribution
0-19 years 20.4 34.6 23.4 27.0
20-24 years 5.5 8.2 5.7 7.0
25-64 years 52.5 49.7 54.0 53.3
65 or older 21.6 7.5 16.9 13.0
Total 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
Percent
Source: U.S. Department of Finance.
California’s racial diversification 2006
Other
15.5%
Asian
3.2%
White
69.4%
Hispanic
11.9%
Other
9.2%
Asian
12.1%
White
42.8%
Hispanic
35.9%
California United States
Source: U.S. Department of Finance.
California’s racial diversification 2006-2020 projection
Other
9.2%
Asian
12.1%
White
42.8%
Hispanic
35.9%
Othe r
8 . 7%
As i a n
12 .5%
White
37 . 4%
H i span i c
41 . 4%
2006 2020
Source: U.S. Census Bureau.
California’s racial profile 2006 American Community Survey
California California National
Race (total) (percent) (percent)
One race 35,246,104 96.7 98
White 21,810,156 59.8 73.9
Black/African American 2,260,648 6.2 12.4
American Indian/Alaska Native 265,963 0.7 0.8
Asian 4,483,252 12.3 4.4
Native Hawaiian/Pacific Islander 129,483 0.4 0.1
Some other race 6,296,602 17.3 6.3
Two or more races 1,211,445 3.3 2
Hispanic or Latino 13,074,155 35.9 14.8
Sources: Pew Hispanic Center; U.S. Census Bureau, 2006 American Community Survey.
Characteristics of eligible voters in California By race and ethnicity
Description Hispanics White Black Asians
Population
Total population (thousands) 13,088 15,585 2,209 4,419
Eligible voters (thousands) 5,011 12,165 1,542 2,468
English-speaking ability (percent)
Does not speak English "very well" 23.1 2.4 0.8 36.0
Speaks only English or English "very well" 76.9 97.6 99.2 64.0
Non-Hispanic
Source: U.S. Department of Homeland Security.
Under age 18 45,995 256,769
18-24 33,218 167,878
25-44 113,119 555,877
45-64 53,659 220,571
65+ 18,674 65,119
Leading countries of birth:
Mexico 66,744 173,753
China 27,305 87,345
Philippines 26,982 74,607
India 14,110 61,369
Characteristics California total National total
Profile of legal permanent residents FY 2006
Sources: College Board; Trends in College Pricing 2006.
Academic yearCharges
(current US$)
Annual
change
(percent)
Charges
(current US$)
Annual
change
(percent)
1996-1997 12,994 na 2,975 na
1997-1998 13,785 6.1 3,111 4.6
1998-1999 14,709 6.7 3,247 4.4
1999-2000 15,518 5.5 3,362 3.5
2000-2001 16,072 3.6 3,508 4.3
2001-2002 17,377 8.1 3,766 7.4
2002-2003 18,060 3.9 4,098 8.8
2003-2004 18,950 4.9 4,645 13.3
2004-2005 20,045 5.8 5,126 10.4
2005-2006 20,980 4.7 5,492 7.1
2006-2007 22,218 5.9 5,836 6.3
Private four-year Public four-year*
Average published tuition and fee charges By institution type
Note: In-state enrollments only.
06-0705-0604-0503-0402-0301-02
81
80
79
78
77
76
75
74
Thousands
Sources: Open Doors, Institute of International Education.
California’s foreign student population By academic school year
Country 2004 2005 2006
United States 572,509 590,167 584,814
United Kingdom 300,056 318,399 330,078
Australia 166,954 177,034 184,710
Canada 110,990 -- 75,546
Japan 107,030 114,865 119,120
New Zealand 41,422 40,774 36,900
Austria 26,928 27,001 30,366
Belgium 19,329 21,054 24,854
Sweden 17,253 18,855 21,315
Spain 15,051 17,675 18,206
U.S.’s non-resident students in higher education
Source: Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development.
Source: Experimental Program to Stimulate Competitive Research.
Math SAT scores 2007
Top tenSecond tierThird tierBottom ten
Sources: Pew Hispanic Center; U.S. Census Bureau, 2006 American Community Survey.
Characteristics of eligible voters in California Percent of voting population
Description Hispanics White Black Asians
Educational attainment
Did not complete high school 27.8 7.6 14.6 12.0
Completed high school 31.8 23.3 29.7 16.8
Some college 29.3 34.9 37.5 27.9
Bachelor's degree or more 11.2 34.1 18.1 43.3
Household income
Less than $30,000 19.6 16.3 28.5 14.3
$30,000-$49,999 2.2 15.0 19.2 12.6
$50,000-$74,999 22.1 18.1 19.4 17.2
$75,000-$99,999 15.9 14.7 13.6 15.2
$100,000 or more 22.2 35.9 19.4 40.7
Non-Hispanic
Sources: U.S. Census Bureau, Milken Institute.
Population age 25+ with bachelor’s degrees 2006
CA*VANHNYHIMNVTNJMDCTCOMA
42
40
38
36
34
32
30
28
Percent of population
* CA ranks 16th.* CA ranks 16th.
Top 10Second tier Third tier Bottom 10
Population age 25+ with bachelor’s degrees 2006
Sources: U.S. Census Bureau, Milken Institute.
Sources: U.S. Census Bureau, Milken Institute.
Population age 25+ with advanced degrees 2006
CA*NHRICONJVTVANYCTMAMD
16
14
12
10
8
6
4
2
0
Percent of population
* CA ranks 15th.* CA ranks 15th.
Sources: U.S. Census Bureau, Milken Institute.
Population age 25+ with advanced degrees 2006
Top 10Second tier Third tier Bottom 10
Sources: U.S. Census Bureau, Milken Institute.
Population age 25+ with Ph.D.s 2006
UTNYCONJCA*CTVAVTNMMAMD
2.4
2.2
2.0
1.8
1.6
1.4
1.2
Percent of population
* CA ranks 7th.* CA ranks 7th.
Sources: U.S. Census Bureau, Milken Institute.
Population age 25+ with Ph.D.s 2006
Top 10Second tier Third tier Bottom 10
Source: Experimental Program to Stimulate Competitive Research.
Graduate students in science and engineering 2005
CA*RICTNMDENYKSMNMDNDMA
3.5
3.0
2.5
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
Percent of 25-34 age cohort
* CA ranks 36th.* CA ranks 36th.
Source: Experimental Program to Stimulate Competitive Research.
Percentage of graduate studentsin science and engineering 2005
Top 10Second tier Third tier Bottom 10
Source: National Center for Education Statistics.
Bachelor’s degrees inscience and engineering 2003
CA*NJGAVTNDCOSDMDWYMT
25
24
23
22
21
20
19
18
Percent of total bachelor's degrees
* CA ranks 10th.* CA ranks 10th.
Source: National Science Foundation.
Recent bachelor’s degrees inscience and engineering 2005
CA*CONYPASDLANDMARIUTVT
6.5
6.0
5.5
5.0
4.5
4.0
3.5
3.0
Per 1,000 of civilian work force
* CA ranks 34th.* CA ranks 34th.
Source: National Science Foundation.
Recent master’s degrees inscience and engineering 2005
CA*ALMOILCTVTLANENYMDMA
3.0
2.5
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
Per 1,000 of civilian work force
* CA ranks 21st.* CA ranks 21st.
Source: National Science Foundation.
Recent Ph.D.s inscience and engineering 2005
CA*RINYMOPAMDCODENENDMA
0.60
0.50
0.40
0.30
0.20
Per 1,000 of civilian work force
* CA ranks 16th.* CA ranks 16th.
Sources: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Milken Institute.
Intensity of computer and info. science experts 2006
Top 10Second tier Third tier Bottom 10
Sources: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Milken Institute.
Intensity of life and physical scientists 2006
Top 10Second tier
Bottom 10Third tier
No data
Sources: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Milken Institute.
Intensity of engineers 2006
Top 10Second tier Third tier Bottom 10
• Sustaining institutions: UC, CSU, CCC, Stanford, USC, Caltech
• Affiliate members: LBNL, LLNL, Sandia/CA, SLAC, NASA Ames,JPL
Over 160 CCST volunteers include:• 5 Nobel Laureates• 81 National Academies’ Members• 11 National Medals of Science and Technology Recipients• 12 Science and Math Teachers
CCST
Global Search for Talent
• Attracting and retaining top technical talent
• How to grow our own talent - given
demographic trends
• State Government’s role in influencing the
innovation system
Occupational
Shares of
Foreign orn
Talent
California and U.S.
2000 and 2006
Recruiting global talent
Foreign Students
• Foreign students nolonger growing portionof total S&E degreesconferred
• CA is not differentfrom the U.S. as awhole
Source: U.S. Census BureauAnalysis: Collaborative Economics
Skim best and brightest minds from
across the globe
• U.S. Nobel Prizes are ~ 40% foreign born; members of the National Academy of Sciencesare ~ 25% foreign born (total >2000)
• H-1B visa cap limiting, 65,000, > 150,000 applied in first day
• Bill Gates notes that an H-1B hire creates several additional hires, as tech teams expand
• India Shoots for the Moon: Last Wednesday India launched a space probe to the moon
• NAFTA plus: Canada and France free the labor market so that skilled workers can moveeasily back and forth across the Atlantic
Source: Department of Finance.
California’s racial diversification 2006-2020 projection
Other
9.2%
Asian
12.1%
White
42.8%
Hispanic
35.9%
Othe r
8 . 7%
As i a n
12 .5%
White
37 . 4%
H i span i c
41 . 4%
2006 2020
The Shrinking Pie
• Only 4% of 9th gradersgraduate in S&E
• Up to 60% lost in college
• 32% CCC transfers
How to grow our own talent
• Teaching science in elementary schools
• 54% of new science teacher hires do not hold a full orpreliminary credential
• Teacher professional development
• Cal TAC – most effective and important
• New Gates Systemic initiative
• CA STEM Innovation network – CSU and CCST– National Academies, major foundations, informal education,
technology
State Government’s role
• Strategic investments in R&D pay off, but tax credit
may not
CIRM ($3B over 10 years)
UC Discovery Grant $15M + $20M $35M
GGD Cal ISIs $100M + $800M $1.2B
PIER $62M/yr estimated payoff $1.3 - 3.4
Take advantage of economic crisis – strategic
investments
•
• 50 PhD fellows
•
•
Science and Technology Policy Fellows
Polling Question 1:
What is the best way to increase California's talentpool?
1. Attract from overseas (e.g., offer visas to high-
tech workers, offer citizenship)
2. Compete for talent from nearby states through
incentives (e.g., lower out-of-state tuition)
3. Develop talent from within the state (e.g., invest
heavily in grades K-12)
Polling Question 2:
Which issue will be the most pressing to California'seconomy in the next 15 years?
1. Low-skilled workers
2. Aging population
3. Lack of state funding
4. Lack of specialized high-tech workers
Polling Question 3:
California's largest untapped source for talent in thework force:
1. Women
2. Minorities
3. Semi-retired baby boomers