Transportation Scenario Planning

Rae KeaslerFederal Highway Administration

September 27, 2011

Today’sTopics

• Scenario Planning Definition and Applications• Scenario Planning’s Role with Sustainable

Communities• Differences between Scenario Planning and

Traditional Planning Process• Partnerships and Opportunities• Questions and Answers

Scenario Planning

New Guidebook:

• Provides a suggested six-phase framework for conducting scenario planning.

• Presents key steps, considerations, and examples to help lead agencies through a complete process.

• Available on the FHWA scenario planning website.

Examples of Scenario Planning Applications

•Pu

get S

ound

Reg

iona

l Cou

ncil

• Continue as planned • Focus growth in bigger cities

• Focus growth in smaller cities and towns

Burlington, VT Scenarios

North Central Florida Regional Planning

Council

NCFRPC Measures used to Evaluate Scenarios

• Vehicle miles of travel• Average trip length• Transit ridership• Amount of farmland converted• Air quality• Energy consumption

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Westward

Compact

Village

Radial

Percent

Percent Population Served by Transit

05

101520253035404550

Miles

Congested Lane Miles

0

5

10

15

20

25

Sq. Miles

Amount of New Land Consumed

Sustainable Communities Partnership

• Improve access to affordable housing, provide more transportation options and lower transportation costs while protecting the environment.

• Encourages livability principles to be incorporated into federal programs and funding.

• Achieve our economic, social, and environmental goals most effectively when we work on them together.

www.sustainablecommunities.gov

For Additional InformationFHWA Scenario Planning website:www.fhwa.dot.gov/Planning/scenplan/index.htm

Contacts:• FHWA Headquarters

– Ken Petty (202-366-6654 or Kenneth.Petty@dot.gov) – Fred Bowers (202-366-2374 or Frederick.Bowers@dot.gov)– Rae Keasler (202-366-0329 or Rae.Keasler@dot.gov)

• USDOT Volpe Center– Alisa Fine (617-494-2310 or Alisa.Fine@dot.gov)

• FHWA Resource Center– Brian Betlyon (410-962-0086 or Brian.Betlyon@dot.gov) – Jim Thorne (708-283-3538 or Jim.Thorne@dot.gov)