Southeast Alaska Resource Plan (SEIRP) Harper SE...Paul Berkshire, HDR Alaska, Inc. (907) 360‐1015...
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Southeast Alaska Integrated Resource Plan (SEIRP) ril 2011 Kevin Harper ‐ Black & Veatch Paul Berkshire ‐ HDR Alaska, Inc. 21 Ap
Transcript of Southeast Alaska Resource Plan (SEIRP) Harper SE...Paul Berkshire, HDR Alaska, Inc. (907) 360‐1015...
Southeast Alaska Integrated Resource Plan (SEIRP)
ril 2011
Kevin Harper ‐ Black & VeatchPaul Berkshire ‐ HDR Alaska, Inc.
21 Ap
Agenda
21 April 2011
Agenda
• Integrated Resource Planning
•Project Objectives and Scope
•Project Team Overview
•Project Approach and Schedulej pp
•Hydropower in SE Alaska
•Questions and Answersask
a IRP
Questions and Answers
uth
east
Ala
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IRP
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Integrated Resource Planning
21 April 2011
• Plan that economically schedules what, when, and where to build based on available energy supplies
Integrated Resource Planning
where to build, based on available energy supplies
• Long‐term time horizon
• Competes generation, transmission, fuel supply and p g , , pp yDSM/energy efficiency options
• Includes renewable energy projects (including Hydro)
i l b ild f i f f• Arrives at a plan to build future infrastructure for minimum long‐run cost to ratepayers
• Considers risksIRP
• Consideration of financing options
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Integrated Resource Planning
21 April 2011
Integrated Resource Planning
Objective Function:
2012 Cumulative Present Value Costs2012 Cumulative Present Value Costs
With consideration of:
IRP
With consideration of:
•Regional issues and differences
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•Energy security
•Risks
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•Risks
Integrated Resource Planning ‐ Limitations
21 April 2011
Integrated Resource Planning Limitations
•Does not set State energy policy
•Directional
• Identified/generic/actual projects
•Agnostic to owner/developer of projectsAgnostic to owner/developer of projects
IRP
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Integrated Resource Planning – Example Results
21 April 2011
Results
Energy By Resource Type 7,000
5,000
6,000Ocean TidalWindM i i l S lid W
3,000
4,000
ERG
Y(G
Wh) Municipal Solid Waste
GeothermalHydroPurchase Power
IRP
1 000
2,000
3,000
EN Fuel OilNuclearCoalNatural Gas
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0
1,000
011
014
017
020
023
026
029
032
035
038
041
044
047
050
053
056
059
Natural Gas
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20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20
Integrated Resource Planning – Example Results
21 April 2011
ResultsEnergy Requirements (MWh)
Without DSM/EE
6,000,000
7,000,000
8,000,000
(MW
h)
With DSM/EE
3 000 000
4,000,000
5,000,000
equi
rem
ents
(
IRP 1,000,000
2,000,000
3,000,000
Ene
rgy
Re
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2011
2014
2017
2020
2023
2026
2029
2032
2035
2038
2041
2044
2047
2050
2053
2056
2059
Year
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Integrated Resource Planning – Example
21 April 2011
Integrated Resource Planning Example Issues to be Addressed
•DSM/Energy Efficiency
• Potential resource ‐ need to gather gbaseline information
• Funding alternatives – State, system Funding alternatives State, systembenefit charge, participants, etc.
• Delivery mechanisms – AHFC, AEA,IRP
Delivery mechanisms AHFC, AEA, regional entity, individual utilities
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Integrated Resource Planning – Example Issues to be Addressed
21 April 2011
Comparison of Capital Rates for Base Case Scenario and Alternative* Scenario
IRP
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Integrated Resource Planning – Example
21 April 2011
Integrated Resource Planning Example Issues to be Addressed
• Strategies to Lower Capital Cost of SEIRP to Ratepayers
• Ratepayer benefits charge
• State financial assistanceState financial assistance
•Repayment flexibility
C di / i k i i i
IRP
•Credit support/risk mitigation
•Potential interest cost benefit
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IRP
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Project Objectives and Scope
21 April 2011
Project Objectives and ScopeSEIRP Study
• Plan that economically schedules what when
CurrentSituation
Li it d
schedules what, when, and where to build, based on available energy supplies
• 50-year time horizon
• Competes generation, transmission, fuel supply
PotentialSEIRP
ResultsPotential
Future Situation• Limited
interconnections and redundancy
• Limited economies of scale
• Dependence on fossil fuels
, pp yand DSM/energy efficiency options
• Includes future CO2 costs
• Includes renewable energy projects (including Hydro)
• Increased DSM/energy efficiency
• Increased renewables(including
• More robust transmission
• Diversified supplies
• Spread risks
• State financial assistance
• Regional planning
IRP
fossil fuels
• Rapid electric heating conversions
• Aging infrastructure
• Difficult financing
• Arrives at a plan to build future infrastructure for minimum long-run cost to ratepayers
• Proposed AK-BC transmission line will be
( ghydro)
• Increased transmission
• AK-BC transmission line
g p g
• Wise resource use
• Respond to electric heating conversions
• New technologies
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• Considers risks
• Consideration of financing options
Prioritized List of Capital Projects
Energy challenges are significant; SEIRP will provide information required to make regional decisions.
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Project Objectives and Scope
21 April 2011
Project Objectives and Scope
• 50‐year horizon
• Assessment of regional loads
• Projections of fuel and electricity generation costs• Projections of fuel and electricity generation costs
• Analysis of potential generation resources
• Diversify energy suppliesy gy pp
• Comprehensive list of current and future generation, transmission and electric power infrastructure projects
• Long term plan for capital project additions with emphasis onIRP
• Long‐term plan for capital project additions with emphasis on first three years
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IRP
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Project Team Overview
21 April 2011
Project Team Overview
• Alaska Energy Authority – Sponsoring Agency
• Black & Veatch – Primary Contractor
• HDR, Inc. – Subcontractor
• Southeast Conference
• Advisory Working Group
• Regional UtilitiesIRP
• Regional Communities
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Extensive public participation is key element of project.
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IRP
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Project Approach
21 April 2011
• Task 1 – Understand the SE Energy Model: Past,
Project Approach
Present and Future
• Task 2 – Assess Existing and Future Energy TechnologiesTechnologies
• Task 3 – Develop Energy Conservation Program
T k 4 Fi i th SE E F t• Task 4 – Financing the SE Energy Future
• Task 5 – Technical Conference and Preliminary Action PlanIR
P
Plan
• Task 6 – Develop Region‐wide Transmission Plan
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Project Approach (continued)
21 April 2011
• Task 7 – Develop Preferred Resource Lists for Existing I t t d El t i l G id E l di SEAPA
Project Approach (continued)
Interconnected Electrical Grids Excluding SEAPA
• Task 8 – Develop IRP for SEAPA
• Task 9 Planning for Insular Communities• Task 9 – Planning for Insular Communities
• Task 10 – Provide Preliminary Capital Budgets for Region‐wide IRPg
• Task 11 – Assemble Task Groups 1, 2, and 3 Components Into a Regional Plan
IRP
• Task 12 – Present the Plan
• Task 13 – Complete the Plan
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IRP
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Hydropower in SE Alaska
21 April 2011
•Existing Projects
Hydropower in SE Alaska
• 26 projects
• 13 run‐of‐river <= 5 MW•13 run of river, <= 5 MW
•13 storage, 1‐80 MW
211 MW i t ll d it• 211 MW installed capacity
• 950,000 MWh average annual generation
IRP
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Hydropower in SE Alaska
21 April 2011
•Proposed Projects
Hydropower in SE Alaska
p j
• 20 projects
5 f i 1 MW•5 run‐of‐river, <= 1 MW
•15 storage, 5‐80 MW
• 318 MW installed capacity
• 1,200,000 MWh average annual generationIRP 1,200,000 MWh average annual generation
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Hydropower in SE Alaska
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•Proposed Projects – General Characteristics
Hydropower in SE Alaska
• Most..
• in early stages of development
i i ifi i i li
Notable Exceptions:Blue Lake ExpansionLake WhitmanReynolds Creek• require significant transmission lines
• proposed as IPPs
• lack established market for energy
Reynolds CreekMahoney Lake
N t bl E ti• lack established market for energy
(existing diesel generation, export)
IRP
Notable Exceptions:Small run‐of‐river projects in Angoon, Hoonah, Tenakee Springs
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For more information:
Jim Strandberg, Alaska Energy Authority (907) 771‐3069 [email protected]
Kevin Harper, Black & Veatch (425) 427‐1652 [email protected]
Myron Rollins, Black & Veatch (913) 458‐7432 [email protected]
Paul Berkshire, HDR Alaska, Inc. (907) 360‐1015 [email protected]
