South Africa 58 2 088 Other 2 525 2 910 - Agro-alimentarias · 2017-08-01 · r - 1.3% + 2.1%...
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DG AGRI DASHBOARD : POULTRY MEAT 28.07.2017 Sources : European Commission (DG ESTAT, DG AGRI), MSs notifications (Regulation (EC) 2017/1185 and Regulation (EC) 617/2008), GTA. Last update: Period: 2016 2017 % Chg EU-28 644 538 625 798 - 2.9 % Hong Kong 50 605 64 048 + 26.6 % Ukraine 38 017 54 540 + 43.5 % Benin 59 611 47 911 - 19.6 % Saudi Arabia 50 506 45 085 - 10.7 % Ghana 28 912 42 883 + 48.3 % South Africa 109 864 42 388 - 61.4 % Philippines 54 211 34 296 - 36.7 % Other 252 812 294 647 + 16.5 % POULTRY MEAT (Tonnes carcase weight) Jan-May Prices World Quotations Production Trade EU-28 EXPORTS ( Top Destinations in 2015 / 16 ) World Trade - 0.1% Overall Poultry Meat Placings Broiler - 1.3% + 2.1% Period: 2016 2017 % Chg EU-28 383 361 352 692 - 8.0% Brazil 217 634 190 998 - 12.2 % Thailand 124 710 109 057 - 12.6 % Ukraine 15 413 26 310 + 70.7 % Chile 13 539 10 549 - 22.1 % China 7 051 7 906 + 12.1 % Argentina 2 431 2 875 + 18.3 % South Africa 58 2 088 +++ Other 2 525 2 910 + 15.2 % POULTRY Meat (Tonnes carcase weight) Jan-May EU-28 IMPORTS ( Main Partners in 2015 / 16 ) 11 354 11 656 12 121 12 360 12 694 12 783 13 261 13 775 14 384 14 482 14 596 11 330 11 588 11 767 11 901 12 229 12 282 12 751 13 284 13 792 13 893 13 989 100% 101% 103% 104% 104% 104% 104% 104% 104% 104% 104% 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 125% 0 4 000 8 000 12 000 16 000 20 000 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017f 2018f 1000 Tonnes EU Poultry meat production ( Forecasts 2017 and 2018 based on estimations ) EU Production EU Consumption Self-sufficiency (in %) EU W E E K P R I C E S 29 last WEEK last MONTH last YEAR BROILER €/100 kg carcase weight Broiler 81% Turkey 14% Duck 3% Forecast and Production of poultry meat 2017 - Consumption per capita in retail => 23.81 (kg) 183.89 170 175 180 185 190 195 € / 100 kg BROILER EU WEEKLY AVERAGE PRICE EVOLUTION Avg. 2012-16 2016 2017 183.89 75 100 125 150 175 200 225 | 15 | 16 | 17 | € / 100 kg E U, U S A & B R A Z I L B R O I L E R P R I C E S EU US BR 202.61 87.85 183.89 E V O L U T I O N S I N C E PL 2 268 22% UK 1 791 18% FR 1 669 16% DE 1 525 15% ES 1 524 15% IT 1 366 14% EU Main Producers ( 1000 Tonnes product weight) Year 2016 Total = 14 400 (+5% over 2015) 7 MSs = 78% of total production 0 100000 200000 300000 400000 500000 600000 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Placings of broiler chicks ( 1 000 pieces ) 2015 2016 2017 0 100000 200000 300000 400000 500000 600000 700000 800000 900000 1000000 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Forecast and Production of broiler ( Tonnes ) 2015 2016 2017 887 821 855 807 846 875 900 383 353 0 200 400 600 800 1000 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Jan-May 16 Jan-May 17 EU Imports evolution ( 1000 Tonnes carcase weight) Source: Eurostat 1 016 1 265 1 431 1 428 1 504 1 489 1 616 645 626 0 250 500 750 1 000 1 250 1 500 1 750 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Jan-May 16 Jan-May 17 EU Exports evolution ( 1000 Tonnes carcase weight) Source: Eurostat 1.00 1.10 1.20 1.30 1.40 Jul Oct Jan Apr Jul Oct Jan Apr Jul Oct 2016 2017 2.50 3.00 3.50 4.00 4.50 Jul Oct Jan Apr Jul Oct Jan Apr Jul Oct 2016 2017 EUR / USD EUR / BRL Brazil Brazil United States United States EU EU China + H. Kong China + H. Kong Thailand Thailand Turkey Turkey Ukraine (up to Apr) Ukraine (up to Apr) 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 1800 2000 2016 (up to May) 2017 (up to May) Qty in 1000 Tonnes Main Exporters of POULTRY Products (up to May) Source : GTA Excl. Live animals China + H. Kong China + H. Kong Japan Japan EU EU Mexico (up to Apr) Mexico (up to Apr) South Africa South Africa Canada Canada Russia (up to Apr) Russia (up to Apr) 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 2016 (up to May) 2017 (up to May) Qty in 1000 Tonnes Main Importers of POULTRY Products (up to May) Source : GTA Excl. Live animals
Transcript of South Africa 58 2 088 Other 2 525 2 910 - Agro-alimentarias · 2017-08-01 · r - 1.3% + 2.1%...
DG AGRI DASHBOARD : POULTRY MEAT 28.07.2017
Sources : European Commission (DG ESTAT, DG AGRI), MSs notifications (Regulation (EC) 2017/1185 and Regulation (EC) 617/2008), GTA.
Last update:
Period:2016 2017 % Chg
EU-28 644 538 625 798 - 2.9 %Hong Kong 50 605 64 048 + 26.6 %
Ukraine 38 017 54 540 + 43.5 %
Benin 59 611 47 911 - 19.6 %
Saudi Arabia 50 506 45 085 - 10.7 %
Ghana 28 912 42 883 + 48.3 %
South Africa 109 864 42 388 - 61.4 %
Philippines 54 211 34 296 - 36.7 %
Other 252 812 294 647 + 16.5 %
POULTRY MEAT (Tonnes carcase weight)Jan-May
Pri
ces
Wo
rld
Qu
ota
tio
ns
Pro
du
ctio
nTr
ade
EU-28 EXPORTS( Top Destinations in 2015 / 16 )
Wo
rld
Tra
de
- 0.1%
Ove
rall
Po
ult
ry M
eat
Pla
cin
gs B
roile
r
- 1.3% + 2.1%
Period: 2016 2017 % Chg
EU-28 383 361 352 692 - 8.0%
Brazil 217 634 190 998 - 12.2 %
Thailand 124 710 109 057 - 12.6 %
Ukraine 15 413 26 310 + 70.7 %
Chile 13 539 10 549 - 22.1 %
China 7 051 7 906 + 12.1 %
Argentina 2 431 2 875 + 18.3 %
South Africa 58 2 088 +++
Other 2 525 2 910 + 15.2 %
POULTRY Meat (Tonnes carcase weight)Jan-May
EU-28 IMPORTS ( Main Partners in 2015 / 16 )
11
35
4
11
65
6
12
12
1
12
36
0
12
69
4
12
78
3
13
26
1
13
77
5
14
38
4
14
48
2
14
59
6
11
33
0
11
58
8
11
76
7
11
90
1
12
22
9
12
28
2
12
75
1
13
28
4
13
79
2
13
89
3
13
98
9
100% 101% 103% 104% 104% 104% 104% 104% 104% 104% 104%
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
125%
0
4 000
8 000
12 000
16 000
20 000
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017f 2018f
10
00
To
nn
es
EU Poultry meat production( Forecasts 2017 and 2018 based on estimations )
EU Production EU Consumption Self-sufficiency (in %)
EUW E E K P R I C E S 29
last WEEK last MONTH last YEAR
BROILER
€/100 kg carcase weight
Broiler81%
Turkey14%
Duck3%
Forecast and Production of poultry meat
2017 - Consumption per capita in retail => 23.81 (kg)
183.89
170
175
180
185
190
195
€/ 100 k
g
BROILER EU WEEKLY AVERAGE PRICE EVOLUTION
Avg. 2012-16 2016 2017
183.89
75
100
125
150
175
200
225
| 15 | 16 | 17 |
€/
10
0 k
g
E U, U S A & B R A Z I L B R O I L E R P R I C E S
EU
US
BR
202.61
87.85
183.89
E V O L U T I O N S I N C E
PL2 26822%
UK1 79118%
FR1 66916%
DE1 52515%
ES1 52415%
IT1 36614%
EU Main Producers( 1000 Tonnes product weight)
Year 2016Total = 14 400
(+5% over 2015)
7 MSs =
78% of total production
0
100000
200000
300000
400000
500000
600000
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Placings of broiler chicks( 1 000 pieces )
2015 2016 2017
0
100000
200000
300000
400000
500000
600000
700000
800000
900000
1000000
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Forecast and Production of broiler( Tonnes )
2015 2016 2017
88
7
82
1
85
5
80
7 84
6
87
5
90
0
38
3
35
3
0
200
400
600
800
1000
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Jan-May16
Jan-May17
EU Imports evolution( 1000 Tonnes carcase weight)
Source: Eurostat
1 0
16 1
26
5 1 4
31
1 4
28
1 5
04
1 4
89
1 6
16
64
5
62
6
0
250
500
750
1 000
1 250
1 500
1 750
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Jan-May16
Jan-May17
EU Exports evolution( 1000 Tonnes carcase weight)
Source: Eurostat
1.00
1.10
1.20
1.30
1.40
Jul
Oct
Jan
Ap
r
Jul
Oct
Jan
Ap
r
Jul
Oct
2016 2017
2.50
3.00
3.50
4.00
4.50
Jul
Oct
Jan
Ap
r
Jul
Oct
Jan
Ap
r
Jul
Oct
2016 2017
EUR / USD EUR / BRL
Bra
zil
Bra
zil
Un
ited
Sta
tes
Un
ited
Sta
tes
EU EU
Ch
ina
+ H
. K
on
g
Ch
ina
+ H
. K
on
g
Tha
ila
nd
Tha
ila
nd
Turk
ey
Turk
ey
Ukr
ain
e (u
p t
o A
pr)
Ukr
ain
e (u
p t
o A
pr)
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2016 (up to May) 2017 (up to May)
Qty
in
10
00
To
nn
es
Main Exporters of POULTRY Products (up to May)
Source : GTA Excl. Live animals
Ch
ina
+ H
. K
on
g
Ch
ina
+ H
. K
on
g
Jap
an
Jap
an
EU EU
Mex
ico
(u
p t
o A
pr)
Mex
ico
(u
p t
o A
pr)
Sou
th A
fric
a
Sou
th A
fric
a
Ca
na
da
Ca
na
da
Ru
ssia
(up
to A
pr)
Ru
ssia
(up
to A
pr)
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
2016 (up to May) 2017 (up to May)
Qty
in
10
00
To
nn
es
Main Importers of POULTRY Products (up to May)
Source : GTA Excl. Live animals
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Pri
ce
s
- 0.1% - 1.3% + 2.1%
EUW E E K P R I C E S 29
last WEEK last MONTH last YEAR
BROILER
€/100 kg carcase weight
183.89
€/ 100 k
g
E V O L U T I O N S I N C E
Source: MSs notifications (Regulation (EC) 1249/2008)
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Source: MSs notifications (Regulation (EC) 1249/2008)
170
175
180
185
190
195
€/ 100 k
gBROILER EU WEEKLY AVERAGE PRICE EVOLUTION
Avg. 2012-16 2016 2017
183.89
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Broiler81%
Turkey14%
Duck3%
Forecast and Production of poultry meat
2017 - Consumption per capita in retail => 23.81 (kg)
Source: MSs notifications – Expert group
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Sources : EU = weighted average of MS prices Broiler 65% US = weekly USDA prices Fresh chicken grade A ,Chicago BR = average of prices in main producing states (Aveworld.com.br)
75
100
125
150
175
200
225
| 15 | 16 | 17 |
€/
100
kg
E U, U S A & B R A Z I L B R O I L E R P R I C E S
EU
US
BR
202.61
87.85
183.89
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Source: ECB (European Central Bank)
EUR / USD EUR / BRL
1.00
1.10
1.20
1.30
1.40
Jul
Oct
Jan
Ap
r
Jul
Oct
Jan
Ap
r
Jul
Oct
2016 2017
2.50
3.00
3.50
4.00
4.50
Jul
Oct
Jan
Ap
r
Jul
Oct
Jan
Ap
r
Jul
Oct
2016 2017
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Source: Reg. (EC) 617/2008
0
100000
200000
300000
400000
500000
600000
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Placings of broiler chicks( 1 000 pieces )
2015 2016 2017
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Source: Reg. (EC) 617/2008
0
100000
200000
300000
400000
500000
600000
700000
800000
900000
1000000
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Forecast and Production of broiler( Tonnes )
2015 2016 2017
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Source: Eurostat
PL2 26822%
UK1 79118%
FR1 66916%
DE1 52515%
ES1 52415%
IT1 36614%
EU Main Producers( 1000 Tonnes product weight)
Year 2016Total = 14 400
(+5% over 2015)
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11 3
54
11 6
56
12 1
21
12 3
60
12 6
94
12 7
83
13 2
61
13 7
75
14 3
84
14 4
82
14 5
96
11 3
30
11 5
88
11 7
67
11 9
01
12 2
29
12 2
82
12 7
51
13 2
84
13 7
92
13 8
93
13 9
89
100% 101% 103% 104% 104% 104% 104% 104% 104% 104% 104%
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
125%
0
4 000
8 000
12 000
16 000
20 000
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017f 2018f
1000
Ton
nes
EU Poultry meat production( Forecasts 2017 and 2018 based on estimations )
EU Production EU Consumption Self-sufficiency (in %)Source: Eurostat
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Braz
il
Braz
il
Unite
d St
ates
Unite
d St
ates
EU EU
Chin
a +
H. K
ong
Chin
a +
H. K
ong
Thai
land
Thai
land
Turk
ey
Turk
ey
Ukra
ine (
up to
Apr
)
Ukra
ine (
up to
Apr
)
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2016 (up to May) 2017 (up to May)
Qty
in 1
000
Tonn
es
Main Exporters of POULTRY Products (up to May)
Source : GTA Excl. Live animals
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Chin
a +
H. K
ong
Chin
a +
H. K
ong
Japa
n
Japa
n
EU EU
Mex
ico
(up
to A
pr)
Mex
ico
(up
to A
pr)
Sout
h Af
rica
Sout
h Af
rica
Cana
da
Cana
da
Russ
ia (u
p to
Apr
)
Russ
ia (u
p to
Apr
)
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
2016 (up to May) 2017 (up to May)
Qty
in 1
000
Tonn
es
Main Importers of POULTRY Products (up to May)
Source : GTA Excl. Live animals
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1 0
16 1
26
5 1 4
31
1 4
28
1 5
04
1 48
9
1 6
16
64
5
62
6
0
250
500
750
1 000
1 250
1 500
1 750
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Jan-May16
Jan-May17
EU Exports evolution( 1000 Tonnes carcase weight)
Source: Eurostat
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Source: Eurostat
EU-28 EXPORTS ( Top Destinations in 2016 /17 )
Period:2016 2017 % Chg
EU-28 644 538 625 798 - 2.9 %Hong Kong 50 605 64 048 + 26.6 %
Ukraine 38 017 54 540 + 43.5 %
Benin 59 611 47 911 - 19.6 %
Saudi Arabia 50 506 45 085 - 10.7 %
Ghana 28 912 42 883 + 48.3 %
South Africa 109 864 42 388 - 61.4 %
Philippines 54 211 34 296 - 36.7 %
Other 252 812 294 647 + 16.5 %
EU-28 Exports (Top destinations in 2016/17)POULTRY MEAT (Tonnes carcase weight)
Jan-May
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887
821 85
5
807 84
6
875
900
383
353
0
200
400
600
800
1000
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Jan-May16
Jan-May17
EU Imports evolution( 1000 Tonnes carcase weight)
Source: Eurostat
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Source: Eurostat
EU-28 IMPORTS ( Main Partners in 2016 /17 )
Period: 2016 2017 % Chg
EU-28 383 361 352 692 - 8.0%
Brazil 217 634 190 998 - 12.2 %
Thailand 124 710 109 057 - 12.6 %
Ukraine 15 413 26 310 + 70.7 %
Chile 13 539 10 549 - 22.1 %
China 7 051 7 906 + 12.1 %
Argentina 2 431 2 875 + 18.3 %
South Africa 58 2 088 +++
Other 2 525 2 910 + 15.2 %
EU-28 Imports (Main partners in 2016/17)POULTRY Meat (Tonnes carcase weight)
Jan-May
