Snap-on Pitch 10.26 9pm[1]
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Transcript of Snap-on Pitch 10.26 9pm[1]
SNAP-ON INC.
TICKER: SNASECTOR: INDUSTRIALSANALYSTS: JAY ROPER, COOPER STROUTRECOMMENDATION: HOLD
INVESTMENT THESIS
SNA is a potential buy High operating margins in all business segments Growth in higher margin products
Why a hold Q3 earnings increased the price 7% Low revenue growth of 3% in last 2 years Skeptical of company growth drivers
STOCK INFORMATION
Market Cap: $9.83 Billion Beta: 1.09 Dividend Yield: 1.54% Current Price: $154.92 52 Week High: $174.75 52 Week Low: $133.09
1-YEAR HISTORICAL STOCK PRICE
ABOUT SNAP-ON Established in 1920
Headquartered in Kenosha, Wisconsin
Developer and manufacturer of tool and equipment solutions for professional tool users
Serves primarily the auto repair industry - also marine, and aviation industries, vehicle manufacturers, utilities, and government and industrial organizations
MISSION
Go directly to the customer
Premium tools
A tool for all industries, all situations
One stop shop
CORPORATE LEADERSHIP
Nicholas Pinchuk
President & CEO since 2007
Experienced in operations, finance, engineering
PRODUCTS22,000 products
Over 2,000 registered patents
Tools, storage, computer software, car lifts, sensors
DISTRIBUTION CHANNELS:FRANCHISING
No brick and mortar stores
Franchising through rolling retail stores
Weekly visits to customers
Ranked 22nd in Entrepreneur's Franchise 500 List
Outside
Inside
DISTRIBUTION CHANNELS:COMPANY DIRECT SALES
Sales representatives sell directly to OEMs and auto repair businesses
Sales of more expensive Snap-on products
Industrial and governmental direct sales
DISTRIBUTION CHANNELS:E-COMMERCE
Reaches customers without a nearby franchise
“Not a significant source of revenue”
DISTRIBUTION CHANNELS:PARTNERS AND OTHER SELLERS
Home Depot, Sears, Costco Stock Car Racing - Team Penske Colleges - Snap-on Certification
Main source of revenue
What Snap-on is known for
This segment is linked to success of the mobile van franchises
Primarily sell to vehicle service and repair technicians
SEGMENTS: TOOLS GROUP
SEGMENTS:REPAIR SERVICES & INFORMATION GROUP
Business operations that serve professional vehicle repair customers worldwide, primarily owners and managers of independent repair shops and OEM dealerships
Variety of productivity and information products Diagnostic products – ex: New thermal imaging
tool Service and repair information products Business management systems and services
SEGMENTS: COMMERCIAL & INDUSTRIAL GROUP
Non auto repair sales
Industry specific tools and software
Serves a broad range of industrial and commercial customers
SEGMENTS: FINANCING
Profits off of lending money to companies with interest
Finance franchise start-ups Finance larger customer purchases
Expanding to become a key part of operations
GEOGRAPHICAL BREAKDOWN Revenue Breakdown
70% North America 18% Europe 7% Asia/Pacific 5% Rest of the World
Sells to 130 countries
600 franchises were added in last 10 years
COMPETITORSCompetes directly with Snap-on’s tools segment and has some overlap in other SNA segments
- 3.5 times the tool segment revenue of SNA- Security, Healthcare- Greater international presence
Competes directly with Snap-on’s tools segment and financing segment
Also distributes tools through rolling shops that visit customers directly
- Offers 13,000 products – vs. SNA’s 22,000 - 1,500 US Franchises – vs. SNA’s 3,345 - No international presence – vs. SNA’s 30% international presence
COMPETITOR COMPARISON
Market Cap: $18 Billion Profit Margin: 8.47% ROA: 5.90% P/E: 18.69 Price/Sales: 1.6 US Market Share of Power Tools:
37.9% $188 Million in Research &
Engineering
Market Cap: $9.2 billion Profit Margin: 14.51% ROA: 11.47% P/E: 17.70 Price/Sales: 2.5 US Market Share of Power Tools: 16.2% $50 Million in Research & Engineering
SNA VS. MACHINERY INDUSTRY
• Not a direct comparison
• Tools is a subgroup of the machinery industry
• SNA sells less sophisticated tools/machinery than a lot of the companies in this industry
GROWTH DRIVERS: INDUSTRY TRENDS
Aging vehicle ages are projected to increase maintenance demand
New vehicles are more complex and new cars will increase the need for diagnostics
GROWTH DRIVERS: STRATEGIES Acquisitions
10/17 - Collision repair, truck alignment company – $155 million Brake equipment company - $41 million
Build in emerging markets New products - ex. diagnostic thermal imager Asia Pacific – establish more of a physical presence
Releasing more products for specific industries 929 new aviation products last year
RISKS Low growth in last 2 years - especially international
“The cost and penalties for failure can be high” Number of franchises outside the U.S. have grown only half as fast as U.S.
franchises
Rising steel prices – require a raise in tool prices
Difficult macro environment for machinery growth in areas like oil and gas, military and the Middle East - lowers SNA’s Commercial & Industrials Group sales
FX risk – 10.2 million of unfavorable currency translation so far 2016 – mostly from Brexit
FINANCIALS:NINE MONTHS ENDED
Commercial & Industrial Tools Repair Systems & Information Financial Services
Revenue $645 million $1,216 million $680 million $270 million
Operating 14.4% 17.1% 25.0% 71.0% Earnings
Earnings -2.7% 12.8% 7.0% 17.5% Change from Q3 2015
FINANCIALS:REVENUE BY SEGMENT
FINANCIALS:EARNINGS STATEMENT
• 3% top line growth
• Increasing profit margins
• Strong increase in bottom line
FINANCIALS:BALANCE SHEET• Overall strong balance sheet
• A- debt rating allows for low cost of debt
FINANCIALS:CASH FLOWS
• Growing finance segment
DCF: ASSUMPTIONS
DCF: OUTPUT
Recommendation: HOLD
Thank you Questions?
Investment Thesis
Distribution Channels
Segments
Competitors
Geographical Breakdown
Growth Drivers
Risks
Financial Statements
DCF Assumptions
Extra:More Info on Franchises
Other Growth Drivers
Debt Payments
Q3 Earnings
MORE ABOUT FRANCHISING
Snap-on profits off of products and services sold, monthly fees, and its credit program
Q3 2016 EARNINGS
Bottom Line Beat EPS of $2.22/share vs. Expected $2.15/share
Top Line Miss Reported $834.1 million in Revenue vs. Expected $847.8
Result Stock rose 7%
OTHER GROWTH DRIVERS:
DEBT PAYMENTS Cost of debt estimated at 4.5% Strong A- credit rating No concern over future debt payments Recent acquisition of Car-O-Line will be purchased through cash and
commercial paper