Slide Ch 7 Multinational Financial Management

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    Multinational Financial

    ManagementAlan Shapiro9thEdition

    J.Wiley & Sons

    Power Points by

    Joseph F. Greco, Ph.D.

    California State University, Fullerton

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    CHAPTER 7

    The Foreign ExchangeMarket

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    INTRODUCTION

    I. INTRODUCTION

    A. The Currency MarketDefinition: a place where money denominated inone currency is bought and sold with moneydenominated in another currency

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    INTRODUCTION

    B. International Trade and Capital

    Transactions:facilitated with the ability to transferpurchasing power between countries

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    INTRODUCTION

    C. Location

    1. OTC-type: no specific

    location2. Most trades by phone,

    telex, or SWIFT

    SWIFT: Society for Worldwide Interbank FinancialTelecommunications

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    ORGANIZATION OF THE FOREIGN

    EXCHANGE MARKET

    I. PARTICIPANTS IN THE FOREIGN EXCHANGEMARKET

    A. Participants at 2 Levels

    1. Wholesale Level (95%)

    - major banks

    2. Retail Level- business customers

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    ORGANIZATION OF THE FOREIGN

    EXCHANGE MARKET

    B. Two Types of Currency Markets

    1. Spot Market:

    - immediate transaction

    - recorded by 2nd business day

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    ORGANIZATION OF THE FOREIGN

    EXCHANGE MARKET

    2. Forward Market:

    - transactions take place at aspecified future date

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    ORGANIZATION OF THE FOREIGN

    EXCHANGE MARKET

    C. Participants by Market

    1. Spot Marketa. commercial banks

    b. brokers

    c. customers of commercial and central banks

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    ORGANIZATION OF THE FOREIGN

    EXCHANGE MARKET

    2. Forward Market

    a. arbitrageursb. traders

    c. hedgers

    d. speculators

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    ORGANIZATION OF THE FOREIGN

    EXCHANGE MARKET

    II. CLEARING SYSTEMS

    A. Clearing House Interbank Payments System(CHIPS)

    used in U.S. for electronic fund transfers.

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    ORGANIZATION OF THE FOREIGN

    EXCHANGE MARKET

    B. FedWire

    - operated by the Fed

    - used for domestic transfers

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    ORGANIZATION OF THE FOREIGN

    EXCHANGE MARKET

    III. ELECTRONIC TRADING

    A. Automated Trading- genuine screen-based market

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    ORGANIZATION OF THE FOREIGN

    EXCHANGE MARKET

    B. Results:

    1. Reduces cost of trading

    2. Threatens traders oligopoly of information

    3. Provides liquidity

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    ORGANIZATION OF THE FOREIGN

    EXCHANGE MARKET

    IV. SIZE OF THE MARKET

    A. Largest financial market in the world

    2007: US$3.2 trillion daily

    or

    US$800 trillion a year

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    ORGANIZATION OF THE FOREIGN

    EXCHANGE MARKET

    B. Market Centers by Size (2007):

    -daily turnover:#1: London = $1.359 trillion

    #2: New York= $664 billion

    #3: Zurich=$242 billion

    #4: Tokyo = $238billion

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    THE SPOT MARKET

    B. Method of Quotation

    1. For inter-bank dollar trades:a. American terms

    example: $1.21/

    b. European terms

    example: Peso1.713/$

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    THE SPOT MARKET

    2. For non-bank customers:

    Direct quote gives the home currency price(always in the numerator) of one unit of foreign

    currency.

    EXAMPLE: $1.81/Since this is a direct quote, we know that in

    the U.S., one pound transacted at $1.81

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    THE SPOT MARKET

    C. Transactions Costs

    1. Bid-Ask Spreadused to calculate the fee charged by the bank

    Bid = the price at which the bank is willing tobuy

    Ask = the price it will sell the currency

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    THE SPOT MARKET

    Percent Spread Formula (PS):

    100x

    Ask

    BidAskPS

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    THE SPOT MARKET

    D. Cross Rates

    1. The exchange rate between 2 non - US$

    currencies

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    THE SPOT MARKET

    D. Cross Rates (cont)

    2. Calculating Cross Rates (example)Suppose you want to calculate the /crossrate.

    You know .5556/US$ and.8334/US$then

    /= .5556/US$ .8334/US$

    = .6667/23

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    THE SPOT MARKET

    E. Currency Arbitrage1. If cross rates differ from one financial center to

    another, and profit opportunities exist.

    2. Buy cheap in one intl market,sell at a higherprice in another

    3. The Critical Role of Available Information

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    THE SPOT MARKET

    F. Settlement Date Value Date:

    1. Date monies are due

    2. 2nd Working day after date of originaltransaction.

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    THE SPOT MARKET

    G. Exchange Risk

    1. Bankers = middlemena. Incurring risk of adverse exchange rate moves.

    b. Increased uncertainty about future exchangerate requires

    1.) Demand for higher risk premium2.) Bankers widen bid-ask spread

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    MECHANICS OF SPOT

    TRANSACTIONS

    H. SPOT TRANSACTIONS: Example

    Step 1. Currency transaction:verbal agreement, U.S. importerspecifies:

    a. Account to debit (his acct)

    b. Account to credit (exporter)

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    MECHANICS OF SPOT

    TRANSACTIONS

    Step 2. Bank sends importer

    contract note including:- amount of foreign

    currency

    - agreed exchange rate

    - confirmation of Step 1.

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    MECHANICS OF SPOT

    TRANSACTIONS

    Step 3. Settlement

    Correspondent bank in Hong Kongtransfers HK$ from nostro account toexporters.

    Value Date.

    U.S. bank debits importers account.

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    THE FORWARD MARKET

    I. INTRODUCTION

    A. 3 Part Definition of a Forward Contract:

    an agreement between a bank and a customer todeliver a

    specified amount of currency againstanother currency

    at a specified future date and

    at a fixed exchange rate

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    THE FORWARD MARKET

    B. Purpose of a Forward:

    Hedgingthe act of reducing exchange

    rate risk.

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    THE FORWARD MARKET

    C. Forward Rate Quotations

    1. Two Methods:a. Outright Rate: quoted to commercial

    customers

    b. Swap Rate: quoted in the inter-bankmarket as a discount or premium

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    THE FORWARD MARKET

    CALCULATING THE FORWARD PREMIUMOR DISCOUNT

    = F-S x 12 x 100S n

    where F = the forward rate of exchangeS = the spot rate of exchange

    n = the number of months in the

    forward contract

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