Share's Fair Value: US$ 2 - Kallpa SAB · include a mall, a corporate center, a logistic center and...
Transcript of Share's Fair Value: US$ 2 - Kallpa SAB · include a mall, a corporate center, a logistic center and...
AIH's General Information
In order to value AIH, we separated the company in 3 groups:
Companies
Cosmos
Neptunia
Triton and other companies
Terrano
Oporsa
Term. Port. Euroandinos (TPE)
Aerop. And. del Perú (AAP)
Penta Tanks
Total
1. Ongoing Companies
EQUITY RESEARCH DIVISION
Alberto Arispe Ricardo Carrión
[email protected] [email protected]
Phone: 511 627-5225 Phone: 511 627-5226
Source: KALLPA SAB
Kallpa Securities Sociedad Agente de Bolsa (KALLPA SAB) has estimated AIH’s fair value in S/. 607
million, equivalent to US$ 225 million or US$ 2.26 per share. To obtain AIH’s fair value, we valued
the sum of parts of each single business unit separately.
100.0%
B. Neptunia
Port Logistic Operator – Market Share: 20%
100% owned by AIH
Neptunia’s main port services are import / export services and container depot, which indicates that
its business is directly related to international trade. The higher the Peruvian GDP growth, higher
imports. In addition, the higher the global economy growth, higher exports which influence the
growth of these companies.
AIH's Valuation - Sum of Parts
Contribution to FV
100%
100%
100%
75%
100%
50%
50%
1. Ongoing Companies
2. Land
3. Infrastructure Projects
8.4%
36.4%
8.5%
11.1%
28.0%
1.4%
3.6%
2.6%
A. Cosmos
100% owned by AIH
Maritime Agency Services – Market share: 18%
AIH Business Units' Evolution
Triton Transports provides inland freight services. Triton provides inland freight services to and from
the port of Callao, inland freight services to and from Neptunia’s Terminals, as well as inland freight
services for mining, construction and other industries. It should be noted that Triton has a fleet of 93
trucks.
Business Unit
100%
Share's Fair Value: US$ 2.26
Cosmos was founded in 1972. 70% of its business is originated by maritime agency services where
the company leads the industry with a market share of 18%. In the shipping industry, the company
attends container vessels (FCL and LCL), break-bulk carrier vessels, passenger vessels and
refrigerated cargo.
Cosmos also provides stowage and stevedoring services that represent 18% of its income, and
launches and boats services that represent 7% of its income. In 2010 and 2011 the income from
stowage and stevedoring services decreased significantly since new private operators were
responsible of these services. It should be noted that Cosmos has one of the largest fleet of
launches and boats of the country.
Neptunia was founded in 1980 and it is the leader port logistic operator with a market share of
20%. Neptunia operates in the ports of Callao, Matarani, Chiclayo and Paita. Neptunia’s main branch
is located 2 kilometers from the port of Callao. 82% of Neptunia’s income relies in port services, 14%
in logistic services and the remaining 4% in other services.
The Board is composed by eight directors, six executives that represent AIH’s shareholder families
and two independent directors with extensive experience in the Peruvian business industry. They
are Carlos del Solar Simpson, Hunt Oil Company of Peru’s former CEO; and Miguel Aramburu,
Hochschild Mining PLC’s former CEO. Its current CEO is Carlos Vargas Loret de Mola, who holds the
position since 2005, the year of AIH's foundation as a holding (some of the group’s companies have
more than 40 years of existence).
Most notable companies are Cosmos and Neptunia. We expect that these two companies represent
70% of 2011’s EBITDA generated by AIH. It should be noted that this ratio was 85% in 2009.
AIH’s shareholders are four families of investors that have worked together since the creation of
Cosmos, the group’s first company, in 1972. The holding maintains stakes in 17 companies and has
been growing steadily over the last 30 years.
C. Triton TransportsInland freight services and cargo
100% owned by AIH
Andino Investment Holding (AIH) is a group owner of companies that provides logistics and
maritime agency services, with large projects of infrastructure and an interesting portfolio of land
for development.
In 2010, AIH had income for S/. 434 million, a net profit of S/. 12.7 million, and assets for S/. 507
million. Its last year’s return on equity (ROE) was 2.5%. It should be noted that 100% of its income is
generated in Peru.
Stake
23%
23%
4%
50%
Jan C. Matthies Estenssoro
Wolf D. Kreft Berthold
Claus Krumdiek Majewski
Vargas Loret de Mola Family
Shareholders' structure
Source: AIH
(%) del valor total en mil lones US$
58% 17%
25%
2011
68%
29%
3% 2009
Logistics
Maritine services
Infrastructure
Source: AIH
Valuation (US$ million)
Equity's Fair Value (US$)
Shares Outstanding
Share's Fair Value (US$)
2011
225
99.665
2.26
Financial Indicators
Fair Value/EBITDA 8.89
Fair Value/Net Profit 26.13
Fair Value/Equity 2.07
ROE 4.13% 11.13%
2012e 2013e
6.93
8.16
1.63
2011e
9.01
146.6
2.04
0.70%
53%
39%
8%
AIH Valuation: US$ 225mn. - Sum of parts
Ongoing enterprises
Land
Infrastructure projects
Berth Length Depth
1A 200 m 10 m
1B 200 m 10 m
1C 165 m 7.6 m
1D 165 m 8.8 m
Boat Monitoring "Piquero"
Source: AIH
Land US$ million Contribution
Oporsa 62.96 71.6%
Terrano 25.02 28.4%
Total 87.98 100.0%
Ongoing Companies' Valuation: Cosmos, Neptunia and others
Fuente: Neptunia
2. Land
-
-
Commercial lands’ Valuation: Terrano & Oporsa
AIH Group's Structure
AIH's Direct Subsidiaries AIH's Indirect Subsidiaries
Andino Investment Holding (AIH)
Cosmos and Neptunia provide maritime and logistic services. In accordance to KALLPA SAB’s
estimations the correlation between the traffic of containers and the Peruvian GDP was located in
the range of 0.90x and 1.2x between 2005-2010. We estimate that the volume of these companies
will grow approximately 5% per year within the next 5 years and the prices of given services will
remain relatively constant. We assume economies of scale as income grows, therefore we expect
average operative margins of 10% for Neptunia and 9.5% for Cosmos between 2011 and 2016. In
addition, we estimate that EBITDA will have a CAGR of 12% between 2012– 2016 for both
companies. In the long term, we assume that the free cash flows of these companies will grow 5%
per year in a constant basis. The estimated annual CAPEX is US$ 2 million per company.
It should be noted that AIH has a debt of approximately US$ 100 million. Of this debt, 60% is
registered in Cosmos’ accounting books and the remaining 40% in those of Neptunia.
Thus, we estimate that Neptunia is worth US$ 81.7 million, Cosmos is worth US$ 18.8 million, Triton
is worth US$ 15 million and the other ongoing companies are worth US$ 4 million. The whole
ongoing companies are worth US$ 120 million which represents 53% of AIH’s fair value.
In Terrano (140,890 m2), E.g., AIH plans to implement a logistic development project that will
include a mall, a corporate center, a logistic center and a hotel. The land has 14 hectares
adjacent to Jorge Chavez airport.
Oporsa (678.681 m2) has as main asset land in the industrial zone of Ventanilla. AIH plans to
develop a private port specialized in storage and load/release services for break-bulk cargo of all
kinds.
Initial Coverage
We assume that Terrano and Oporsa’s commercial lands have a commercial value of US$ 88 million,
39% of AIH’s fair value. This value was obtained from real estate appraisals conducted by the
company, to which KALLPA SAB considers prudent the application of a 20% discount. The value of
the remaining land is not considered into the valuation since KALLPA SAB assumes that ongoing
companies use their lands to generate cash flows that are already estimated in this report.
AIH is owner of 1,248,696 square meters (m2) in the provinces of Lima and Callao. The land where
ongoing companies operate, such as Cosmos, Neptunia, Almafin, Servicio de Archivos and Nautilius,
represent 43% of its total; while the remaining 57% belong to companies such as Terrano and
Oporsa, where long term projects will be carried out.
KALLPA SAB values AIH’s ongoing companies using the methodology of discounted cash flow to the
firm with a discount rate in the range of 11% - 12%, depending on each single business unit.
(%) del valor total en mil lones US$
68.3% 15.7%
12.6%
3.4%
Valuation - Ongoing Companies (%)
Neptunia
Cosmos
Triton
Other
Source: AIH
Source: AIH
Source: AIH
Source: AIH
Andino Investment Holding (AIH)
Nautilus S.A. Triton Maritime
Service S.A. Crecimiento
Inmobiliario S.A. Penta Tanks S.A.
Svitzer Andino S.A.C.
Neptunia S.A.
Cosmos Agencia Marítima S.A.C.
Aeropuertos Andinos del Perú S.A.
Terminales Portuarios Euro Andinos
AFARSAC
File Service S.A. Inmobiliaria Terrano S.A.
Operadora Portuaria S.A.
Almacenes Financieros S.A.
Triton Transports S.A.
Multitainer S.A. Inversiones
Portuarias S.A.
50% 100% 100% 50% 100% 50% 50%
50% 100% 100%
100% 100% 63% 100% 100% 100%
75%
Berth Length Depth
1A 200 m 10 m
1B 200 m 10 m
1C 165 m 7.6 m
1D 165 m 8.8 m
Boat Monitoring "Piquero"
Land US$ million Contribution
Oporsa 62.96 71.6%
Terrano 25.02 28.4%
Total 87.98 100.0%
www.kallpasab.com 2
Andino Investment Holding (AIH)Initial Coverage
(%) del valor total en mil lones US$
Berth Length Depth
1A 200 m 10 m
1B 200 m 10 m
1C 165 m 7.6 m
1D 165 m 8.8 m
Boat Monitoring "Piquero"
Land US$ million Contribution
Oporsa 62.96 71.6%
Terrano 25.02 28.4%
Total 87.98 100.0%
3. Infrastructure Projects
1.-
2.-
3.-
A. Terminales Portuarios Euroandinos (TPE)
Strategic Partnership – 50%/50% AIH with Grupo Mota – Engil
Background.-
Shipping Terminal
During this current year, TPE culminated an Environmental Impact Assessment. In 2011, KALLPA SAB
expects that the EBITDA of 50% of TPE represents 17% of AIH’s EBITDA.
The consortium composed by Tertir Terminals and Translei (both owned by Grupo Mota – Engil)
and Peruvian company Cosmos (AIH), were the only group that presented a technical and economic
final proposal in the bidding process. Tertir Terminals is Portugal’s greatest construction company
and it belongs to Grupo Mota – Engil. Mota – Engil, a Portuguese group with operations since 1946
and with presence in 19 countries, is an experienced port operator (through Tertir and other
subsidiaries) with annual sales over US$ 2 billion. Its shares are listed in Euronext – Lisbon and they
are part of the Index PSI-20.
In addition to the US$ 127 million stipulated in the bidding process’ rules, the consortium offered to
invest an additional US$ 101 million in the port, which totals an investment of US$ 228 million. This
investment would be executed during the years of the concession.
Valuation - Infrastructure Projects
Terminales Portuarios Euroandinos (TPE)
Investment.-
These 3 projects have been valued using the discounted cash flows to equity methodology using a
discount rate of 14%. Being still companies with a very short operations record, we have focused in
the net present value (NPV) concept. In the case of TPE and AAP, they are long term concessions (30
and 25 years, respectively) and the financing sources they will use are not yet defined.
Pier Division
Aeropuertos Andinos del Perú (AAP)
Penta Tanks
To KALLPA SAB, these projects represent the main upside source within the company’s value. It
should be noted that the valuation of these projects has been estimated taking very conservative
assumptions.
Valuation Methodology:
The valuation result under the VPN concept has been incorporated to the company’s total value.
Other consortiums pre-qualified in the bidding process were APM Terminals Paita, composed by
Dutch APM Terminals and Peruvian Uniport; and Zona Norte - Consorcio Portuario, composed by
Panamanian Manzanillo International Terminal, SSA Marine and Peruvian Inversiones Breca.
Within the activities regarding infrastructure projects, AIH is developing a diversity of projects, most
notable:
In April 2009, ProInversion granted Terminales Portuarios Euroandinos (TPE), composed by the
consortium AIH & Grupo Mota – Engil, a 30 years concession to extend and operate the port of
Paita. This is the second largest port of the country by container traffic after the port of Callao. TPE
assumed the control of the port in October 8th 2009 and has been operating the port ever since.
This investment will be executed for the improvement of current infrastructure and for the
acquisition of modern equipment that will position the Port of Paita as a terminal specialized in
containerized cargo handling.
Port of Paita’s concession contemplates the modernization of the terminal under the modality of
DBFOT contract, in which the concessionaire designs, builds, finances, operates and finally transfers
the concession, all of this during a 30 years period.
34.2%
47.0%
18.8%
Terminales Portuarios Euroandinos
Aeropuertos Andinos del Perú
Penta Tanks
(%) del valor total en mil lones US$
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
20
11
20
12
20
13
20
14
20
15
20
16
20
17
20
18
20
19
20
20
20
21
20
22
20
23
20
24
20
25
20
26
20
27
20
28
20
29
20
30
20
31
20
32
20
33
20
34
20
35
20
36
20
37
20
38
20
39
Cash Flow e - TPE (US$) Million
years
Final cash flow
US$ 17.3 MM
TPE
US$5.8MM
AAP
US$8.3MM
Penta Tanks
US$3.2MM
Total value in US$ million
Berth Length Depth
1A 200 m 10 m
1B 200 m 10 m
1C 165 m 7.6 m
1D 165 m 8.8 m
Boat Monitoring "Piquero"
Land US$ million Contribution
Oporsa 62.96 71.6%
Terrano 25.02 28.4%
Total 87.98 100.0%
Source: AIH
Source: Kallpa SAB
www.kallpasab.com 3
Andino Investment Holding (AIH)Initial Coverage
(%) del valor total en mil lones US$
Berth Length Depth
1A 200 m 10 m
1B 200 m 10 m
1C 165 m 7.6 m
1D 165 m 8.8 m
Boat Monitoring "Piquero"
Land US$ million Contribution
Oporsa 62.96 71.6%
Terrano 25.02 28.4%
Total 87.98 100.0%
TPE: Project's Development Stages
Stage 1
Stage 2
Stage 3
2.- Aeropuertos Andinos del Peru (AAP)
The estimated total investment for the redesign and extension of the port is US$ 228 million. Of this total, US$ 127 million must be executed obligatorily within the first four years
of the concession and the remaining amount during the course of the concession. In return, the Peruvian Government will grant an Ingreso Minimo Anual Garantizado – IMAG
(Annual Minimal Guaranteed Income – AMGI) that is equivalent to approximately US$ 22 million per year for the first 15 years from the start up of operations of the new
containers pier that belongs to the first stage. The AMGI extends in case that investments for stage 2 and stage 3 are carried out. The Peruvian State will pay the concessionaire the
necessary amount to reach the AMGI in case its income is lesser than the stipulated, amount that will be included in the Ley de Presupuesto General de la Republica del Peru
(General Budget Law of the Republic of Peru) for the following year’s budgeting. The disbursement will be carried out no longer than February 15th of the following year of
calculations.
Term expected: 2012 - 2013
Strategic Partnership 50%/50% AIH with Corporacion America S.A. de Argentina (CASA)
The concessionaire obliges the company to execute investments for US$ 57 million during the first 3
years, and more than US$ 214 million during the remaining term of the concession. These
investments are related to the design, construction, financing, improvements, maintenance and
operation of these airports. These investments are considered public works and they must be
previously approved by the grantor in order to be subsequently reimbursed to AAP.
This stage contemplates the construction of the new containers terminal that consist in a new pier
of three hundred meters long and a new containers courtyard of 12.5 hectares.
This new terminal will be equipped with one dockside gantry crane and two RTG gantry courtyard
cranes. In addition, it will have a 13 meters draught.
The project for the modernization of the Port of Paita has been divided in 3 stages:
The current terminal consists in a breakwater pier of 365 meters long and 36 meters wide. In
addition, it has a port area adjacent to the ground for temporary cargo storage and other port
activities.
Having increased the containers demand to 180,000 Twenty-foot Equivalent Units (TEUS), the
containers terminal will be equipped with an additional dockside gantry crane and two additional
RTG gantry courtyard cranes. A TEU is the load capacity of one 20 feet standard container.
In September 2010, AAP adjudged the 25 years concession, granted by Ministerio de Transportes y
Comunicaciones – MTC (Peruvian Ministry of Transport and Communications), to operate and
redesign the airports of southern Peru (Arequipa, Ayacucho, Juliaca, Puerto Maldonado and Tacna).
AAP exceeded the economic offers presented by Consorcio de Aeropuertos del Sur, composed by
GBH Investment, Graña y Montero and Aeropuertos de Portugal; and by Consorcio Operador
Aeroportuario del Sur, composed by Obras de Ingenieria (Obrainsa), CAH Colombia and Transportes
Cruz del Sur.
When the container demand increases to 300,000 TEUS, the current breakwater pier will be
reinforced with two mobile cranes.
(%) del valor total en mil lones US$
Aeropuertos Andinos del Perú
Berth Length Depth
1A 200 m 10 m
1B 200 m 10 m
1C 165 m 7.6 m
1D 165 m 8.8 m
Boat Monitoring "Piquero"
Land US$ million Contribution
Oporsa 62.96 71.6%
Terrano 25.02 28.4%
Total 87.98 100.0%
Source: AIH
Source: AIH
www.kallpasab.com 4
Andino Investment Holding (AIH)Initial Coverage
(%) del valor total en mil lones US$
Berth Length Depth
1A 200 m 10 m
1B 200 m 10 m
1C 165 m 7.6 m
1D 165 m 8.8 m
Boat Monitoring "Piquero"
Land US$ million Contribution
Oporsa 62.96 71.6%
Terrano 25.02 28.4%
Total 87.98 100.0%
3.- Penta TanksLiquid Cargo Terminals Operator
100% owned by AIH
Source: Maple Energy - Ethanol Plant
Penta Tanks is a company that develops and operates liquid cargo terminals. Penta Tanks is
implementing its first terminal in Paita where it will offer services to Maple Etanol, a company that
produces ethanol. Penta Tanks signed a 20 years contract with Maple Etanol. The total investment is
US$ 11 million.
The concession does not include aeronautical navigation services. When regulated income is lesser
than Pago Anual por Operacion y Mantenimiento – PAMO (Annual Payment for Operation and
Maintenance - APOM), the Peruvian State covers the difference between this concept and APOM.
APOM is the minimal guaranteed income for regulated services and consists in a firm guarantee by
the Peruvian State.
ProInversion granted Consorcio de Aeropuertos Andinos del Peru, composed by Corporacion
America de Argentina and Andean Investment Holding, the concession of the Second Group of
Regional Airports that is composed of six air terminals in southern Peru. This second group is
composed by the airports of Andahuaylas (Apurimac), Ayacucho, Juliaca (Puno), Puerto Maldonado
(Madre de Dios), Arequipa and Tacna.
The Ethanol will be transported in tanker trucks, from Maple’s production plant, located 33
kilometers from Sullana, to Penta Tanks’ facilities in Paita. The annual activity will be 130,000 m3 of
anhydrous ethanol. The vessels’ traffic will be 8 shipments per year in vessels with storage up to
20,000 DWT (deadweight tonnage).
While airports redesign and their operations are businesses with a modest profitability, the potential
additional businesses that can be developed in these airports are higher.
KALLPA SAB assumes that Maple Energy will start up ethanol production in 2012’s first quarter,
therefore we expect that Penta Tanks will start up operations in the same period.
Maple will transport its production in tanker trucks to Penta Tanks’ facilities, where it will be stored
in tanks for subsequent transportation, through pipelines, to the vessels at sea.
The project has a storage capacity of 45,000 cubic meters (m3) and includes maritime and ground
facilities. In the maritime zone, the company will install an underwater line and a multiple buoy
mooring. In the ground zone the company will install facilities for the reception, storage and
dispatch of anhydrous ethanol.
The economic offer presented by Consorcio Andino de Aeropuertos del Peru was US$ 76.3 million
as contributions that the Peruvian State will have to pay for concepts of APOM and Pago por Obras
Obligatorias – PPO (Payment for Obligatory Works – POW).
(%) del valor total en mil lones US$
-5,000
-4,000
-3,000
-2,000
-1,000
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
20
11
20
12
20
13
20
14
20
15
20
16
20
17
20
18
20
19
20
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20
22
20
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25
20
26
20
27
20
28
20
29
20
30
20
31
20
32
20
33
20
34
20
35
Cash Flowe - Aeropuertos Andinos
(US$) Thousand
years
Cash flow generated by airports' operations and services.
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
20
12
20
13
20
14
20
15
20
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27
20
28
20
29
20
30
20
31
Cash Flowe - Penta Tanks (US$) Thousand
years
Final cash flow
-2,000
-1,000
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
20
11
20
12
20
13
20
14
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15
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20
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20
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23
20
24
Cash Flowe - Aeropuertos Andinos (US$) Thousand
years
Cash flow generated by airports' construction and redisign
Berth Length Depth
1A 200 m 10 m
1B 200 m 10 m
1C 165 m 7.6 m
1D 165 m 8.8 m
Boat Monitoring "Piquero"
Land US$ million Contribution
Oporsa 62.96 71.6%
Terrano 25.02 28.4%
Total 87.98 100.0%
www.kallpasab.com 5
Andino Investment Holding (AIH)Initial Coverage
(%) del valor total en mil lones US$
Berth Length Depth
1A 200 m 10 m
1B 200 m 10 m
1C 165 m 7.6 m
1D 165 m 8.8 m
Boat Monitoring "Piquero"
Land US$ million Contribution
Oporsa 62.96 71.6%
Terrano 25.02 28.4%
Total 87.98 100.0%
AIH's Debt
AIH's Valuation
KALLPA SAB has valued AIH by the sum of its single parts:AIH's Valuation: Sum of Parts
As of 2011’s second semester, AIH had a long term debt of US$ 103 million. The most notable
liability is a US$ 85 million debt with Goldman Sachs obtained in early 2011.
Penta Tanks is one of the projects that soon will start up operations. It is linked directly to
Maple’s operations and for the valuation of its cash flow we used estimations of ethanol supply
from Maple’s plant. Its present value is one of the most stable (in comparison with the other 2
projects) along the validity of the contract with Maple (20 years). The present value of its cash
flow is US$ 3.2 million. It should be noted that Penta Tanks is 100% owned by AIH.
AIH' Strengths
AAP’s airport concessions generate incomes basically from two sources: (i) the terminals’ normal
operations, which include in addition of the regular services, other kind of income such as the
rent of commercial establishments and parking lots among others, and; (ii) the income from the
construction and extension of the airports themselves. The model contemplates a present value
for the first stage of approximately US$ 7.5 million and US$ 9.1 million regarding its
construction. Both concepts total US$ 16.6 million from which only 50% corresponds to AIH (the
other 50% belongs to Argentinean group CASA, which is AIH’s strategic partner in this operation).
In the case of projects, we must highlight that TPE is currently generating cash flows. Since the
extensions accorded with the Peruvian State have not been carried out yet, current operations
have allowed TPE to generate an EBITDA of approximately US$ 8 million during 2011. TPE’s
valuation generates discounted free cash flows of approximately US$ 11.6 million, but we must
note that this concession is a 50%/50% partnership between Portuguese group Mota and AIH.
Therefore, TPE’s contribution to AIH’s value is US$ 5.8 million.
Oporsa and Terrano’s commercial lands have been valued per square meter using real estate
appraisals given by AIH, to which we considered relevant the application of a 20% discount due
to lack of liquidity and to a conservative position. The commercial value of these lands has been
included in the valuation because we have not valued the projects that AIH plans to develop on
these lands. These projects do not count with sufficient information and data in order to value
them using the discounted cash flow methodology.
Ongoing companies such as Cosmos, Neptunia, Triton, among others, related to logistic and
maritime services, have been valued using free cash flows to the firm. The commercial value of
these companies’ lands has not been added to the cash flows, since KALLPA SAB considers that
the usage of these lands is considered as an input to generate cash flows that are already taken
into account in this valuation.
In the short term, AIH plans to conduct a public offer of shares of approximately US$ 60 million.
50% of this placement, with a maximum of US$ 25 million, would be used to reduce its debt with
Goldman Sachs, 40% would be invested in TPE and the remaining 10% would be invested in other
companies. After the public offer of shares, AIH plans to restructure its existing debt with corporate
bonds.
(%) del valor total en mil lones US$
Experiencia
Posición estratégica
Potencial de
crecimiento
Plan estratégico financiero
Oportunidad de
diversificación
Sólido respaldo
Otros
50%
40%
10%
Public Offering - US$ 60 million
Goldman Sach's debt reduction TPE Investment
Investment in other firms
Source: AIH
Source: AIH
Source: AIH
Berth Length Depth
1A 200 m 10 m
1B 200 m 10 m
1C 165 m 7.6 m
1D 165 m 8.8 m
Boat Monitoring "Piquero"
Ongoing Enterprises
Land
Projects
Experience
Strategic Position
Potential Growth
Strategic Financial
Plan
Solid Support
Diversification Opportunities
Land US$ million Contribution
Oporsa 62.96 71.6%
Terrano 25.02 28.4%
Total 87.98 100.0%
www.kallpasab.com 6
Andino Investment Holding (AIH)Initial Coverage
(%) del valor total en mil lones US$
Berth Length Depth
1A 200 m 10 m
1B 200 m 10 m
1C 165 m 7.6 m
1D 165 m 8.8 m
Boat Monitoring "Piquero"
Land US$ million Contribution
Oporsa 62.96 71.6%
Terrano 25.02 28.4%
Total 87.98 100.0%
Conclusions
Ongoing CompaniesNeptuniaCosmosTritonOthersTotal
ProjectsTerminales Portuarios EuroandinosAeropuertos Andinos del PerúPenta TanksTotal
LandOporsaTerranoTotal 100%87.98
US$ million
US$ million
Contribution (%)
3.20 34.2%47.0%
119.70
53% of AIH’s fair value corresponds to ongoing companies, 39% corresponds to the commercial value of Oporsa and Terrano’s lands and 8% corresponds to projects such
as Penta Tanks, Aeropuertos Andinos del Peru (AAP) and Terminales Portuarios Euroandinos (TPE).
Andino Holging Investment’s (AIH) fair value, according to our estimations, is US$ 225 million.
12.6%3.4%
81.7518.8515.09
4.02
US$ million Contribution (%)
3).
1).
2).
17.02
62.96 71.6%25.02 28.4%
100%
100%
KALLPA SAB has been conservative in its estimations. We consider that there is an appraisal potential in the share’s fair value in three scenarios:
That projects to be carried out in Terrano and Oropesa’s lands generate discounted cash flows that are considerably higher than the commercial value of the lands
themselves nowadays, or that price per square meter in Lima/Callao grows significantly.
AIH's Valuation Summary
8.00
68.3%15.7%
That projects such as TPE and AAP are much more profitable than the conservative estimations assumed in this report. This will be determined in a few years.
That International trade and Peruvian GDP astonish us in an upward tendency and ongoing companies do not grow 5% per year, but 6% - 7% per year. In this case,
Neptunia, Cosmos and Triton’s fair values are up to 30% higher than those presented in this report.
Total AIH
Contribution (%)
US$ 224.70 million
5.82 18.8%
(%) del valor total en mil lones US$
Berth Length Depth
1A 200 m 10 m
1B 200 m 10 m
1C 165 m 7.6 m
1D 165 m 8.8 m
Boat Monitoring "Piquero"
Land US$ million Contribution
Oporsa 62.96 71.6%
Terrano 25.02 28.4%
Total 87.98 100.0%
www.kallpasab.com 7
Andino Investment Holding (AIH)Initial Coverage
(%) del valor total en mil lones US$
Berth Length Depth
1A 200 m 10 m
1B 200 m 10 m
1C 165 m 7.6 m
1D 165 m 8.8 m
Boat Monitoring "Piquero"
Land US$ million Contribution
Oporsa 62.96 71.6%
Terrano 25.02 28.4%
Total 87.98 100.0%
KALLPA SECURITIES SOCIEDAD AGENTE DE BOLSA
Management Position Phone Email
Alberto Arispe General Manager (511) 627 5225 [email protected]
Trading
Enrique Hernández Head Trader (511) 627 5221 [email protected]
Eduardo Fernandini Trader (511) 627 5223 [email protected]
Javier Frisancho Trader (511) 627 5222 [email protected]
Hernando Pastor Representative (511) 627 5224 [email protected]
Jose Antonio Avendaño Representative (511) 652 6452 [email protected]
Daniel Berger Representative (511) 652 6453 [email protected]
Corporate Finance
Ricardo Carrión Manager (511) 627 5226 [email protected]
Equity Research
María Belén Vega Senior Analyst (511) 627 5226 [email protected]
Dalmi Rivera Analyst (511) 627 5226 [email protected]
Ricardo Barrera Assistant (511) 627 5226 [email protected]
Operations
Elizabeth Cueva Manager (511) 627 5227 [email protected]
Alex Rodriguez Analyst - Securities (511) 627 5227 [email protected]
Alan Noa Analyst - Treasury (511) 627 5227 [email protected]
This document is for informative purposes only. Under no circumstances it should be used/be considered as an offering of sale or an application of purchase of shares or
other securities mentioned in this document. The information herein has been obtained from sources which are believed to be reliable, but KALLPA SAB does not
guarantee the trustfulness or accuracy of the content of this report, or the future market values of shares or other securities mentioned in this document. The views and
opinions expressed in this document constitute our opinion at the time of this report and are subject to change without notice. KALLPA SAB does not guarantee analysis
updates before any change in the circumstances of the market. This document accurately reflects the Investment Analyst’s points of view and no part of his/her salary
compensation was, is or will be related directly or indirectly to the recommendations and opinions expressed in this document. The products referred in this document
may not be available for purchase in some countries. KALLPA SAB may have positions and perform investment banking with securities mentioned in this document.
(%) del valor total en mil lones US$
Berth Length Depth
1A 200 m 10 m
1B 200 m 10 m
1C 165 m 7.6 m
1D 165 m 8.8 m
Boat Monitoring "Piquero"
Land US$ million Contribution
Oporsa 62.96 71.6%
Terrano 25.02 28.4%
Total 87.98 100.0%
www.kallpasab.com 8