Senior Seminar Paper Presentation
Transcript of Senior Seminar Paper Presentation
2008 US
RECESSION
#1 Economy. $14.7 trillion. #1 Manufacturer. #1 Trading Nation.
-
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
140,000
1%
3%
3%
4%
4%
5%
7%
15%
27%
31%
CrossSec
Oth.Manf.
Adv.Edu
Oth.Ret.
Transp.
Prof.Org.
Techn.
Trade
Social Service
Manufacturing
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%
31%
27%
15%
Manufacturing Social Service Trade Other Sectors
10,463,000
2%
2%
2%
3%
4%
6%
6%
20%
57%
-10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
Adv.Edu
Oth.Ret.
CrossSec
Oth.Manf.
Prof.Org.
Soc.Serv.
Techn.
Transp.
Trade
Manf.
-153.5
-153
-152.5
-152
-151.5
-151
1990 1995 2000 2005 2010
e2
132.4
132.6
132.8
133
133.2
133.4
133.6
133.8
134
134.2
134.4
1990 1995 2000 2005 2010
e3
128.2
128.4
128.6
128.8
129
129.2
129.4
129.6
129.8
130
1990 1995 2000 2005 2010
e8
-74.4
-74.3
-74.2
-74.1
-74
-73.9
-73.8
-73.7
-73.6
-73.5
-73.4
1990 1995 2000 2005 2010
e7
99.2
99.4
99.6
99.8
100
100.2
100.4
100.6
100.8
1990 1995 2000 2005 2010
e6
132.4
132.6
132.8
133
133.2
133.4
133.6
133.8
134
134.2
134.4
1990 1995 2000 2005 2010
e5
59.8
59.9
60
60.1
60.2
60.3
60.4
60.5
60.6
60.7
1990 1995 2000 2005 2010
e4
-196.5
-196
-195.5
-195
-194.5
-194
-193.5
1990 1995 2000 2005 2010
e1
Trans. -9.5975*Manf -18.68*Trade -10.72*Expenditure - .74526*Receipts + 37.498*H.Price + .24044*FEDFundRate -5.4982*E.Price = e1
99.2
99.4
99.6
99.8
100
100.2
100.4
100.6
100.8
1990 1995 2000 2005 2010
e6
Techn. + 5.8934*Manf + 7.3473*Trade + 5.6809*Expenditure -18.934*H.Price -0.27489*M2Stock -0.11858*FEDFundRate + 2.9075*E.Price = e6
59.8
59.9
60
60.1
60.2
60.3
60.4
60.5
60.6
60.7
1990 1995 2000 2005 2010
e4
Social Ser. + 3.5351*Manf + 4.3259*Trade + 3.1639*Expenditure + .26596*Receipts -12.431*H.Price - .070038*FEDFundRate + 1.7818*E.Price = e4
Manufacturing and Trade were
the culprits
Promote Manufacturing
Boost Consumer Confidence
Changes in Immigration Policy