Second Quarter 2004 - SAS – Welcome to SAS … in May 2004 –Boeing 737 fleet only lounge access...
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Transcript of Second Quarter 2004 - SAS – Welcome to SAS … in May 2004 –Boeing 737 fleet only lounge access...
Second Quarter 2004
Group | Scandinavian Airlines Operations| Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support Business | Airline Related Business |Hotels
Analyst meetingStockholm, August 11, 2004
2
MSEK, April-June 2004 2003 Change
� Revenues 15 143 15 300 -157� EBITDAR 1 493 1 608 -115
� Lease, depreciation & financial net -1 589 -1 692 -103
� EBT bef. cap gains *) 9 -13 +22
� *) Ex restructuring costs of MSEK 75 (44)
Second quarter marginally positive despite strong yield pressure and record high jet fuel prices
Group | Scandinavian Airlines Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support | Airline Related Business |Hotels
3
Unprecedented yield fall and record high jet fuel prices offset by significant cost reductions1st Half 2004� Traffic revenues down MSEK 1 900 due to yield pressure� Currency and volume adjusted fuel costs up approx 500 MSEK � Exceptionally strong pressure on yields but volumes up
� Yields down (currency adjusted) 16% – Scandinavian Airlines� Group traffic up 11%
� Negative impact offset by large unit cost reduction� Turnaround 2005 ahead of plan� Unit cost (currency adjusted) for SK down 14% first half 23% accumulated vs
2002. Large reduction in European perspective.
First half earnings before taxes and exceptionalsimproved with MSEK 300 vs. last year
Group | Scandinavian Airlines Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support | Airline Related Business |Hotels
4
Other important events 2nd Quarter and summer period
� SAS Braathens successfully launched on the Norwegian market
� Scandinavian Airlines transported a record number of intercontinental passengers
� Process to incorporate Business units initiated –� Implemented Oct 1 2004
� Scandinavian Airlines has signed more than 300 new corporate agreements with small and medium size companies
� Blue 1 introduces Finnish domestic routes
� The Norwegian Competition Authority examines price structures on the Norwegian market
Group | Scandinavian Airlines Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support | Airline Related Business |Hotels
5
Why our statement that a positive result is difficult to achieve in 2004?
� The year started with weak demand� Significant increased capacity in Scandinavia from a number of new start up airlines
� New players
=> overcapacity and low cabin factors => very low average prices
� Record high oil prices
� As from June price increases to offset Jet Fuel as well as improved yield management initiated by the largest operator: SAS Group
� Yield development improved in June – uncertainties due to overcapacity situation
Strong 2nd Quarter result not achievable
a non sustainable situation
Group | Scandinavian Airlines Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support | Airline Related Business |Hotels
6
Prices in Scandinavia now among the lowest in Europe…
�Table based on CRS bookings only
�“Sweden has the lowest leisure fares” (Source: Swedish Aviation Authority –Flygets utveckling 2003)
American Express (European Corporate Travel Index). Report Q1, 2004
Group | Scandinavian Airlines Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support | Airline Related Business |Hotels
7
SAS Group market position stable
Market shares� Continued tough market conditions,
but improving volumes and macro outlook
� Norway domestic – market share stable around 85%
� Sweden domestic – market share around 60%
� Within Scandinavia – market share 60-90%
� To/from Europe – between 35-50%
� Intercontinental – market share 25-30%
Group | Scandinavian Airlines Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support | Airline Related Business |Hotels
The SAS Group position as the 4th largest airline group in Europe retained
SAS Group number 12 world wide9
Revenues 2 446 -12,5% 3 066 9,7% 1 401 -4,5%
EBITDA 246 48% 92 n.m 34 -21%
EBT 69 n.m 29 n.m 1 n.m
Jan-Jun in MSEK
Strong performance fromAirline Support Businesses in Q2
Group | Scandinavian Airlines Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support | Airline Related Business |Hotels
10
Revenues 800 6,4% 276 3,8% 230 1,8%
EBITDA -12 n.m 78 26% 20 33%
EBT -24 n.m 31 181% 9 -18%
Jan-Jun in MSEK
Flight Academy and Jetpak on trackWeak result from SAS Trading
SAS Trading
Group | Scandinavian Airlines Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support | Airline Related Business |Hotels
11
Group | Scandinavian Airlines Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support | Airline Related Business |Hotels
Very promising start for SAS Braathens in Norway – to continue to build onBraathens strong profitability
� Operative in May 2004 –Boeing 737 fleet only� New web site – 2nd most popular in Norway� New price concepts – one way pricing� Appr. 50 aircraft and 35 destinations - 440 daily departures� Stable market share domestic appr. 85%� Braathens today one of few European Airlines delivering shareholder
returns
Braathens April-June 2004 2003Total revenues 1 685 1 736EBITDAR 389 274EBIT 204 83EBT 200 73
12
Updated market segmentation and analysis of customer priorities
� Business- and Economy Class are 25 year old concepts in the airline industry
� Current concepts does not fully match the rational needs and emotional preferences of customers
� The competitive environment and products have changed in the European airline industry
� Three segments have been identified for the new commercial strategies
Price
Productivity
Comfort
Customers looking for air transportation at low prices
Customers who value hassle-free traveling and time-saving features
Customers who also value additional comfort such as lounge access and better inflight service
40-45% 30-40% 20-30%Estimated share of passengers
Group | Scandinavian Airlines Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support | Airline Related Business |Hotels
13
After successfully reducing costs SAS committed to vitalize approach to the market
� Next step: Vitalized offer from Scandinavian Airlines Denmark, Sweden and from SAS Braathens to be introduced during fall 2004
� The approach is based on market segmentation study of customer priorities� Platform: Network carrier at low cost� Today’s travelers want freedom of choice: flexible and cheap travel
– Focus on Business travelers as well as leisure travelers– Improved service for Business travelers demanding extra comfort
� Low fare offer expanded through the introduction of Snowflake throughout most of SAS network1)
– Scandinavia’s largest low fare provider� Details to be presented by the Danish, Swedish and Norwegian CEO’s on
August 23
1) SASBraathens established as low fare concept in Norwegian market
Group | Scandinavian Airlines Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support | Airline Related Business |Hotels
14
Snowflake and SAS Braathens symbols for lowest available fares
Group | Scandinavian Airlines Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support | Airline Related Business |Hotels
March 2003� Branded flights only
� Branded flights and seats on selected Scandinavian Airlines destinations
� SAS Braathens to/from Norway
� Branded flights� Symbol for the lowest available
fares on most Scandinavian Airlines routes
� SAS Braathens to/from Norway
Summer 2004
New
Gunilla BergCFO
16
January – June ChangeMSEK 2004 vs. 2003
Cost savings more than offset yield decline and increased jet fuel costs
Group | Scandinavian Airlines Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support | Airline Related Business |Hotels
-3,2
2,7
-0,5
1,3
0,3
-4,0
-3,0
-2,0
-1,0
0,0
1,0
2,0
3,0
Yield Turnaround 2005 Fuel Other includingvolume
EBT beforeexceptionals
17
Q2 April-June April-Jun Q2 January-JuneBusiness area 2004 Change 2004Scandinavian Airlines -223 -68 -1 331Subsidiary & Aff. Airlines 239 19 -48Airline Support Businesses 130 137 138Airline Related Businesses 10 -30 22Hotels 7 48 -93Group eliminations, other -154 -84 -310
EBT, before gains & exceptionals 9 22 -1 622
EBT before gains and exceptionals -Business area
Group | Scandinavian Airlines Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support | Airline Related Business |Hotels
18
SAS Group’s strong liquid position and significant committed facilities
MSEKLiquid Funds June 30 - 2004 8 829
Available Credit Facilites:Revolving Credit Facility (MEUR 400) 900Aircraft Finance Lease Facility 1 800Bi-lateral Facilities 1 600Others 250Total Available Facilities 4 550
Total Available Funds 13 379
Group | Scandinavian Airlines Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support | Airline Related Business |Hotels
19
Yield and traffic development
Yield, April-June RPK, April-June
-16,3% 12,5%
-12,5% 19,9%
-9,4% 9,3%
-13,0% 14,3%
-27,4% 84,9%
Group | Scandinavian Airlines Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support | Airline Related Business |Hotels
20
Reduced yield pressure for June and indications for July positive
Total yield change vs last year
-25%
-20%
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
Jan Mar May jul Sep Nov Jan Mar May
Group | Scandinavian Airlines Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support | Airline Related Business |Hotels
2003 2004
21
Yield enhancements under implementation…
� Commercial Strategies– Focus on added value for the customer– More info August 23
� Price adjustments in Sweden and Denmark– In Denmark fare adjusted with DKK 50-200/leg– In Norway fare adjusted with NOK 40-90 as from August 17th
– In Swedish fare adjusted with SEK 50-75/leg� Active yield management
– Reduced number of low fare tickets during peaks� System improvements� Jet fuel surcharge – will be neutralized by higher fuel costs� SAS Corporate agreements focus on small and medium sized customers.
More than 300 new contracts signed in 2004
Group | Mainline Airline Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support Business | Airline Related Business |Hotels
22
Unit cost continues to improve significantly - down 23% since 2002
� 9th Quarter in a row with improved unit cost
� Unit cost in Q2 down by 12%– Adjusted for jet fuel price
increases unit cost down by 15%
– Accumulated unit cost down 23% since 2Q 2002
� One of largest reductions among European Airlines
-25%
-20%
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
1st Q2003
2nd Q2003
3rd Q2003
4th Q2003
1st Q2004
2nd Q2004
Index last year, EBITDAR level(currency adjusted) Scandinavian Airlines
Group | Scandinavian Airlines Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support | Airline Related Business |Hotels
23
9200 9800
4800 4200
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
Plan Status Jun 2004
SAS Group –Turnaround 2005 ahead of plan
1400 1450
Reduction of personnelTotal financial effect of implemented activities compared to plan
MSEK
To be implemented Implemented
3600 3550
2400 2450
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
Plan Status Jun 2004
66% 70%60% 59%
14 000 14 000 6 000 6 000
Group | Scandinavian Airlines Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support | Airline Related Business |Hotels
24
Share of sales over Internet has increased steadily
02468
101214161820
Jan
Feb Mar AprMay Ju
n jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan
Feb Mar AprMay Ju
n
% Sold via Internet
� Approximately 18% of bookings on Scandinavian Airlines homepage in the first quarter 2004
Group | Mainline Airline Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support Business | Airline Related Business |Hotels
%
25
Estimated result effects SEK 14 billion from Turnaround 2005
3,6
6
3,8
0,6
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
2003 2004 2005 2006
2003200420052006
Group | Scandinavian Airlines Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support | Airline Related Business |Hotels
Jørgen LindegaardCEO
27
Spanair on track
Hit by 23% increased jet fuel costs in Q2 �Most punctual in Europe in February�One way prices on whole system�New Business Class setup well received�Traffic up 19,9% �Yields down 12% �Unit cost down 13% in 1st Half�Jet fuel costs up MSEK 107 in Q2�Positive expectations for 2004
Group | Scandinavian Airlines Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support | Airline Related Business |Hotels
April-June 2004 2003Total revenues 2 057 1 997EBITDAR 347 382EBIT 84 101EBT 71 86
28
Widerøe continued very strong, Blue1 break even
Widerøe very strong performance�Stronger revenues than expected�Improved efficiency as Turnaround 2005 take effect�Traffic up 14,6%�Decreasing yield compensated by improved efficiency
Successful launch of Finnish domestic operations�New Internet site�Blue1 traffic increased 84,9% as new routes were introduced.�Finnish domestic cabin factor over 60%�Unit cost down 21%, but result negatively affected by cost for new identity and phasing in of new aircraft
April-June 2004 2003Total revenues 642 647EBITDAR 101 112EBIT 77 58EBT 37 43
April-June 2004 2003Total revenues 345 262EBITDAR 42 55EBIT 3 19EBT 0 16
Group | Scandinavian Airlines Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support | Airline Related Business |Hotels
29
Group | Scandinavian Airlines Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support | Airline Related Business |Hotels
April-June January-June
MSEK 2004 2003 2004 2003� Revenues 1 121 903 2 039 1 745� Operating
expensives -1 084 -904 -2 059 -1 821� EBITDA 37 -1 -20 -76� Adjusted EBITDA 45 4 -5 -72� EBIT 6 -28 -82 -135
� EBT 7 -39 -93 -154
Recovery in the marketplace and effects from Turnaround 2005�Number of rooms sold increased
� Price pressure reduced� REVPAR increased 3%
�Revenues up 17% driven by new units�Unit cost sharp down
Hotels back in black numbers 2nd Quarter – mostly driven by the new hotel brands
�Market share position unchanged�Number of hotels in operation increased 11% (from 162 to 180)
�New hotels have significantly contributed to improved result
�7 new Radisson SAS hotels and 15 Park Inn, and 1 Regent hotels opened in the first half 2004
30
With full effect from Turnaround 2005, Scandinavian
Airlines will reach unit cost in the same level as Low Cost Carriers given
same stage length
Scandinavian Airlines to improve efficiency and reach close to level of LCC
Uni
t cos
t
SEK/
ASK Scandinavian Airlines in 2002/03
App. 1,40
App. 0,85App. 0,75-0,85
450 km Stage length
LCC
AEA
App. 1,25
Current position apr. 1,05 SEK/ASK
Group | Scandinavian Airlines Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support | Airline Related Business |Hotels
Scandinavian Airlines after full Turnaround 2005
31
�Very difficult trading conditions
– 1st Half –high fuel prices and yield pressure� Turnaround 2005 according to plan
– Unit cost reductions so far up to 23% for Scandinavian - large reduction in European perspective
�Yield improvements expected in second half– Still uncertainties due to overcapacity situation– Strong performance by several business units
� New Commercial strategies to repossess initiative– Snowflake expanded to most of network– To be presented in details August 23
Sum up 1st half 2004
Group | Scandinavian Airlines Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support | Airline Related Business |Hotels
33
Additional slides for further information
34
Unit cost
EBIT margin
CFROI
Competitive unit cost in each traffic flow at the same level as most competitive airline
Average CFROI of at least 20%.
Corresponds to approximately 10% EBIT-margin
Group | Scandinavian Airlines Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support | Airline Related Business |Hotels
Unit cost for SK Down 30-35% vs. 2002
SAS Group key objectives
35Group | Scandinavian Airlines Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support | Airline Related Business |Hotels
Unit cost for Scandinavian Airlines has gone down by 25% vs 2002
0,7
0,8
0,9
1
1,1
1,2
Jan
MarMay Ju
lSepNov Ja
n
MarMay Ju
lSepNov Ja
n
MarMay
SEK/RPK
Unit cost 25% lower than Q2
2002
36
Implementation of new hubs proceeding according to plan
Group | Scandinavian Airlines Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support Business | Airline Related Business |Hotels
Organization changes� Fleet allocation as from summer program 2003� Administration as from August 2003� Cabin crew in Q2 2004� Pilots in October/November 2004� Legal entities as from October 2004� Fully implemented in Q4 2004
Advantages with new national airlines� More efficient and flexible units
– To serve the home market better� Reduced complexity� Agreements on local market levels
– Closer to the customers
37
Scandinavian Airlines already able to compete successfully
� Unit cost 23% lower than 2002� Costs reduced by more than MSEK 1 500 in Q2 2004 vs Q2 2002� Unit cost will have improved 30-35% in 2005 compared with 2002
Group | Scandinavian Airlines Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support | Airline Related Business |Hotels
As a result�Scandinavian Airlines cost level already very competitive�Winning major charter contracts for 2005 as utilization improves and cost level is competitive
TransparencyAccountability
CompetitivenessIndependence
The SAS Group new structure as from October 2004
41
Legal structure to be implemented
Upstream guarantee to SAS Consortium
Downstream guarantee to SAS Consortium
Ticket revenue flows
The SAS Consortium will still be the main vehicle for assets, revenues and leasing
Business risks and operating costs in new subsidiary airlines
Group | Mainline Airline Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support Business | Airline Related Business |Hotels42
Strategies going forward
� Complete Turnaround 2005– Reduce Scandinavian Airlines unit cost by 30-35% vs 2002– Improve productivity significantly– Independent hubs in Copenhagen, Oslo and Stockholm– Complete final redundancies
� Implement positive yield measures– Yield management– Jet fuel surcharge– Fare adjustments
� Implementation of Commercial Turnaround– Expected to be launched in August/September
Group | Mainline Airline Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support Business | Airline Related Business |Hotels
43
SAS Group objectives in the coming five year period are:
– To achive an average CFROI of at least 20%– To increase the Group’s share of the Northern European
airline market
– For each unit to achieve its customer satisfaction, employee satisfaction and environmental impact objectives
– For airline operations to achieve their flight safety targets
– Consolidated balance sheet
Group | Mainline Airline Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support Business | Airline Related Business |Hotels
44
April-June January-JuneBusiness area vs. LY vs. LYScandinavian Airlines -7,9% -10,8%Subsidiary & Aff. Airlines 1,8% -0,3%Airline Support Businesses 1,7% -2,0%Airline Related Businesses* -36,8% -39,6%Hotels 24,1% 16,8%
SAS Group -1,0% -4,5%
Revenue development per business area
Group | Mainline Airline Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support Business | Airline Related Business |Hotels
* In December 2003 Scandinavian IT Group was sold
45
Income for Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines improved
Group | Mainline Airline Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support Business | Airline Related Business |Hotels
MSEK, April-June 2004 2003 Change
� Revenues 15 143 15 300 -1%� Operating expenses -13 650 -13 692 -0%� EBITDAR 1 493 1 608 -7%
� Lease -678 -719 -6%� EBITDA 815 889 -8%
� Depreciation -704 -780 -10%� Income from sales/affiliated 96 163 -41%� EBIT 207 272 -24%
� EBT bef. cap gains 9 -13 n.m.� EBT incl. gains 0 87 n.m.
46
200
230
260
290
320
350
380
30-ju
n-03
30-au
g-03
30-ok
t-03
30-d
ec-0
3
29-fe
b-04
30-ap
r-04
30-ju
n-04
USD
/ M
T
April-June affected negatively by MSEK 481 higher jet fuel costs
�Jet fuel prices have been 49% higher i 1H vs. Last year�SAS Group has 33% hedge in place for 4th Quarter
Group | Mainline Airline Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support Business | Airline Related Business |Hotels
Q2
47
…but yield level is not sustainable on many traffic flows for even most efficient carrier
Example on major flow in Scandinavia
80
90
100
110
120
130
140
150
160
170
jan-03 feb-03 mar-03apr-03 maj-03 jun-03 jul-03 aug-03 sep-03okt-03 nov-03dec-03 jan-04 feb-04 mar-04apr-04
Yield (12 m moving) EFCYield (month)
Group | Mainline Airline Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support Business | Airline Related Business |Hotels
48
SAS Group revenue development
-20-15-10
-505
101520253035
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2
Group | Mainline Airline Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support Business | Airline Related Business |Hotels
% vs. Last year
2002 vs 2001 2003 vs 2002 2004 vs 2003
49
� June revenue 2004 slightly exceeds previous year– higher volumes – Reduced yield decline
Revenue seasonality pattern
Group | Mainline Airline Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support Business | Airline Related Business |Hotels
jan feb mar apr maj jun jul aug sep okt nov dec
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
Gro
up R
even
ue
50
Quarterly results 2003-2004
EBT bef gains, restructuring and exceptionalsMSEK
-1909
116
-415
-1631
9-13
-2 500
-2 000
-1 500
-1 000
-500
0
500
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2
Group | Mainline Airline Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support Business | Airline Related Business |Hotels
51
-1 400
-1 200
-1 000
-800
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2
Group results have improved significantly since second quarter 2003
EBT change before gains and exceptionals vs. Last yearMSEK
Group | Mainline Airline Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support Business | Airline Related Business |Hotels
52
SAS Group EBITDAR and CFROI
MSEK, January-June 2004 2003
� Revenue 27 710 29 010 -4,5%
� EBITDAR 1 449 1 210 20%
� EBITDAR-margin 5,2% 4,2% +1,0 p.p.
� CFROI 8% 8% 0 p.p.
Group | Mainline Airline Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support Business | Airline Related Business |Hotels
53
SAS Group – Quarterly EBT
EBT bef gainsMSEK million
77 142
-591
-1613
-1313
1180
50
-809
-1909
-13116
-415
-1631
9
-2 500
-2 000
-1 500
-1 000
-500
0
500
1 000
1 500
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
2001 2002 2003 2004
Group | Scandinavian Airlines | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support Business | Airline Related Business |Hotels
54
EBITDAR development
EBITDAR MSEK
� EBITDAR in Q2 2004 was 1 493 (1 608) MSEK
EBITDAR – Scandin Airl. 497 MSEK– Braathens 390 MSEK– Spanair 346 MSEK– Widerøe 101 MSEK– Blue1 42 MSEK-1 000
-500
0
500
1 000
1 500
2 000
2 500
3 000
3 500
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
2001 2002 2003 2004
Group | Scandinavian Airlines Operations| Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support | Airline Related Business |Hotels
55
Brent Crude vs. Jet FuelJanuary 1998 to Date
Group | Scandinavian Airlines | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support Business | Airline Related Business |Hotels
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
1998
-01-02
1998
-03-30
1998
-06-26
1998
-09-21
1998
-12-16
1999
-03-16
1999
-06-15
1999
-09-08
1999
-12-01
2000
-02-29
2000
-05-26
2000
-08-21
2000
-11-14
2001
-02-12
2001
-05-10
2001
-08-03
2001
-10-30
2002
-01-25
2002
-04-24
2002
-07-23
2002
-10-15
2003
-01-10
2003
-04-04
2003
-07-02
2003
-09-26
2003
-12-19
2004
-03-17
2004
-06-16
US
Dol
lar p
er B
arre
l
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
US D
ollar per Metric Ton
Brent 1st Nearby Close
Jet CIF Cargoes NWE
56
Record high jet fuel prices-Average rate 49% higher in Q2 vs 2003
� Average market prices:� 2000 297 USD/MT� 2001 245 USD/MT� 2002 233 USD/MT� 2003 282 USD/MT� Q1 2003 323 USD/MT� Q2 2003 244 USD/MT� Q3 2003 264 USD/MT� Q4 2003 298 USD/MT� Q1 2004 322 USD/MT� Q2 2004 365 USD/MT
Group | Scandinavian Airlines Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support | Airline Related Business |Hotels
Jet fuel hedged 33% forQ4 2004
57Group | Scandinavian Airlines Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support | Airline Related Business |Hotels
58
Turnaround 2005 business follow up a complement to existing follow up systems
Steering of businesses and business units
Follow up activity
FTEFollow up KPI
Budget and Business Plans
• Steering of units on bottom line and include all effects of Turnaround 2005
• Follow up through normal reporting
– Follow up of existing KPIs
– KPIs on unit level task force and activity level
– Follow up status negotiations
– Follow up FTE reductions
– Follow up ofactivities vs plan
Group | Scandinavian Airlines Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support | Airline Related Business |Hotels59
Decided and under implementation in Turnaround 2005
2,1
2,8 0,71,5
1,01,6
2,81,5 14,0
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
OverheadfunctionsSK/group
wide
Productionconcept - SK
Inflight - SK Distribution &Sales - SK
SGS STS SubsidiaryAirlines &
Hotels
Newagreements
Total
Scandinavian Airlines 1,2- Pilots 0,7, Cabin 0,4, other 0,1Other 0,3
Group | Scandinavian Airlines Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support | Airline Related Business |Hotels
60
Distribution of cost reductions in Turnaround 2005 by cost category
49%
11%
11%
9%
6%5%
Personnel SalesGround Handling & Technical InflightAircraft lease ITOther
Group | Scandinavian Airlines Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support | Airline Related Business |Hotels
61
30 000
31 000
32 000
33 000
34 000
35 000
36 000
JAN
-02
MA
R
MA
J
JUL
SEP
NO
V
JAN
-03
MA
R
MA
J
JUL
SEP
NO
V
JAN
-04
MA
R
MA
J
JUL
SEP
NO
V
Actual Forecast
Number of personnel development for the SAS Group
Outcome: 33 462
Forecast: 33 072
Group | Scandinavian Airlines Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support | Airline Related Business |Hotels
62
Block hours for Group Airlines in 2004
Majority owned Airlines Jan- Jun 2004 Pilots/year
Scandinavian Airlines 562
Spanair
Braathens
Widerøe
Blue1
Air craft/day Cabin/year
8,3
7,9
8,0
6,7
8,1
537
655
552
540
712
882
540
496
773
Group | Scandinavian Airlines Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support | Airline Related Business |Hotels
63
11001000
300
150 150
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
Spanair Braathens Widerøe Blue1 Hotels
Turnaround 2005 amounting to MSEK 2 800 for Subsidiary Airlines and Hotels
MSEK
� Initiated in April 2003� Total measures of at
least MSEK 2 800� Most of measures will
give effect in 2004
Group | Scandinavian Airlines Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support | Airline Related Business |Hotels
64
Internet check in has doubled but from low levels
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
20021
120
0212
2003
0120
0302
2003
0320
0304
2003
0520
0306
2003
0720
0308
2003
0920
0310
2003
1120
0312
20040
120
0402
2004
0320
0404
2004
0520
0406
Automat Internet
Group | Scandinavian Airlines Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support | Airline Related Business |Hotels
� Target to increase Self Service check in to 60% in 2005� Internet check low, but has doubled in 2004
65
Cost distribution on a 400 km flightOslo-Stockholm
“The Efficient Airline”� Payroll expenses 10 000� Selling costs 2 500� Jet fuel 5 500� Government user fees 8 000� Catering costs 1 000� Ground handling 12 000� Technical maintenance 12 000� Aircraft depreciation 5 000� Overhead costs 6 000� Other 3 000� Total expenses (EBIT-level) 65 000
Group | Scandinavian Airlines Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support | Airline Related Business |Hotels
� Aircraft with capacity to take 150 pax� Cabin factor 70% = 105 passengers
� 65 000/105 passengers = 760
� SEK 620 per passenger to break even!!
� Reasonable profitability level 10%
� Average price = SEK 680
Business areas
Scandinavian Airlines68
Scandinavian AirlinesQuarterly EBITDAR development
EBITDAR, Scandinavian AirlinesMSEK
-500
0
500
1 000
1 500
2 000
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4*
2002 2003 2004
Group | Mainline Airline Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support Business | Airline Related Business |Hotels69
Severe Revenue Pressure partly offset by larger volumes
�Revenues 12 035 MSEK - 11,6%
• Volume +8,6% • Yields -16,0%• Currency -3,1%
January-June 2004
Group | Scandinavian Airlines Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support | Airline Related Business |Hotels
70
Scandinavian Airlines keyairline profitability drivers
2004 vs 2003
� Traffic (RPK) up 12,5%� Cabin Factor up 3,0 p.u.� Yields (currency adjusted) down 16,3%� Operational unit costs down 12,3%
Group | Scandinavian Airlines Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support | Airline Related Business |Hotels
April-June
71
Operating revenue 7 839 8 513 -7,9%Personnel expenses -1 787 -2 063 -13,4%Sales & distribution -196 -244 -19,7%Fuel -919 -715 28,5%Government user fees -863 -814 6,0%Catering -252 -308 -18,2%Handling costs -1 259 -1 190 5,8%Technical aircraft maintenance -1 007 -1 146 -12,1%Data & telecommunication costs -380 -486 -21,8%Other costs -679 -814 -16,6%Operating expenses -7 342 -7 780 -5,6%
EBITDAR 497 733
EBIT -78 158
EBT -238 -30
April – June 2004 2003
Operating expenses continue to decrease
Group | Mainline Airline Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support Business | Airline Related Business |Hotels
72
Yield pressure for June and outlook July significantly less
Total yield change vs last year
-25%
-20%
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
Jan Mar May jul Sep Nov Jan Mar May
Group | Scandinavian Airlines Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support | Airline Related Business |Hotels
2003 2004
73
Scandinavian Airlines aircraft utilization up 13,7% in 1st half
74
Productivity development
Aircraft utilization (12 month roling)
5
5,5
6
6,5
7
7,5
8
8,5
Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun
Cabin, pilot utilization (12 month roling)
420440460480500520
540560
Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun
Cabin crew Pilots
Group | Mainline Airline Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support Business | Airline Related Business |Hotels
75
Productivity targets, Scandinavian Airlines
1H 2004 Target
� Aircraft, block hours/day 8,3 9
� Pilots, block hours/year 540 700-750
� Cabin, block hours/year 560 700-750
� Aircraft’s turnaround 30 to 40
Group | Mainline Airline Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support Business | Airline Related Business |Hotels
Will contributesignificantly to
Turnaround 2005
76
Personnel reductions in all employee groups
Administration Pilots Cabin crew
Full time equivalent
0
500
1 000
1 500
2 000
2 500
3 000
3 500
4 000
4 500
jan-0
2mar
-02
jun-0
2
sep-
02
dec-0
2mar
-03
jun-0
3
sep-
03
dec-0
3mar
-04
jun-0
4
1953 FTE
3545 FTE
3883 FTE
955 FTE
Status June 2004
Administration & Sales -23%
Cabin Crew* -15%
Pilots -26%
SAS Commuter -14%
* In addition 350 FTE have been layed off and will leave after the summer 2004
3 004 FTE
3 006 FTE
1 441 FTE
825 FTE
Group | Scandinavian Airlines Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support | Airline Related Business |Hotels77
� Focus on medium and small companies– To create a win win situation– Reducing costs for both parties
� More than 300 agreements signed so far� New charter agreements
– Agreement with Kuoni group, Star Tours� Project is ongoing throughout 2004
Many new corporate agreements signed in 1 Half
Group | Scandinavian Airlines Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support | Airline Related Business |Hotels
78
7 000
8 000
9 000
10 000
11 000
JAN
-02
MA
R
MA
J
JUL
SEP
NO
V
JAN
-03
MA
R
MA
J
JUL
SEP
NO
V
JAN
-04
MA
R
MA
J
Actual Forecast
Scandinavian AirlinesDevelopment of number of employees
Group | Scandinavian Airlines Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support | Airline Related Business |Hotels
79
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
80
1 7 13 19 25 31 37 43 49 3 9 15 21 27 33 39 45 2 8 14 20 26
� General improved load factors� Significantly higher load
factor than AEA
� Oslo-New York ceased in March 2003
� Traffic in Jan-Jun 2004:– European airlines (AEA)
traffic up 11,2%– SAS traffic up 9,9%
� General improved load factors� Significantly higher load
factor than AEA
� Oslo-New York ceased in March 2003
� Traffic in Jan-Jun 2004:– European airlines (AEA)
traffic up 11,2%– SAS traffic up 9,9%
65707580859095
Janu
aryMarc
hMay Ju
lySep
tembe
rNov
embe
rJa
nuary
March
May July
Septem
ber
Novem
ber
Janu
aryMarc
hMay
SAS AEA
Strong development on North Atlantic
%, RPK vs. Last year
%, Cabin factorWeek
Group | Scandinavian Airlines Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support | Airline Related Business |Hotels
80
-60-40-20
020406080
100120
1 8 15 22 29 36 43 50 5 12 19 26 33 40 47 5 12 19 26
� Positive mix but capacity to many of SAS destinations has increased more than the demand
� Reduced capacity on Bangkok/Singapore
� Shanghai 3/week as from March 28th – Operate 6/week as from
November� Traffic in Jan-Jun 2004:
– AEA traffic up 24,3%– SAS traffic down 16,5%
� Positive mix but capacity to many of SAS destinations has increased more than the demand
� Reduced capacity on Bangkok/Singapore
� Shanghai 3/week as from March 28th – Operate 6/week as from
November� Traffic in Jan-Jun 2004:
– AEA traffic up 24,3%– SAS traffic down 16,5%50
556065707580859095
Janu
aryMarc
hMay Ju
lySe
ptembe
rNov
embe
rJa
nuary
March
May July
Septe
mber
Novem
ber
Janu
aryMarc
hMay
SAS AEA
Asian traffic improved but capacity in the market has increased significantly
%, RPK vs. Last year
%, Cabin factorWeek
Group | Scandinavian Airlines Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support | Airline Related Business |Hotels
81
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
1 9 17 25 33 41 49 5 13 21 29 37 45 4 12 20
� Weak market� Cabin factor in line with AEA
� Traffic Jan-Jun 2004:– AEA traffic up 8,8%– SAS traffic up 7,6%
� Weak market� Cabin factor in line with AEA
� Traffic Jan-Jun 2004:– AEA traffic up 8,8%– SAS traffic up 7,6%
Increasing traffic on European routes
4550556065707580
Janu
aryMar
ch May July
Septem
ber
Novem
ber
Janu
aryMar
ch May July
Septem
ber
Novem
ber
Janu
aryMar
ch May
SAS AEA
%, RPK vs. Last year
%, Cabin factor
Group | Scandinavian Airlines Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support | Airline Related Business |Hotels
82
Market shares on Norway domestic routes
0%
5%10%
15%20%
25%
30%35%
40%45%
50%
Jul Aug Sep Okt Nov Des Jan Feb Mar Apr Mai Juni
Braathens Scandinavian Airlines
Widerøe Norwegian
Group | Scandinavian Airlines Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support | Airline Related Business |Hotels
83
ECA – European cooperation agreement positive for first time in Q2
� Tri-party Joint Venture agreement with BMI, Lufthansa and SAS signed November 9, 1999
� In effect from January 1, 2000� Main scope: To integrate the parties scheduled pass. transport to/
from London/ Manchester� Negative result effect 2002: MSEK 418 (335)� Negative result effect 2003: MSEK 244
� Negative result effect first quarter 2004: MSEK 71� Positive effect second quarter 2004: MSEK 45
Group | Scandinavian Airlines Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support | Airline Related Business |Hotels
Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines
85
Income for Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines improved
Group | Scandinavian Airlines Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support | Airline Related Business |Hotels
MSEK, January-June 2004 2003 Change
� Revenues 8 429 8 451 -0,3%� Operating expansives -7 327 -7 584 -3,4%� EBITDAR 1 102 867 +27,1%
� Lease -866 -886 -2,3%� EBITDA 236 -19 n.m.
� Depreciation -287 -275 4,4%� Income from sales/affiliated 112 64 75%� EBIT 61 -230 n.m.
� EBT bef. cap gains -48 -328 85%� EBT incl. gains 12 -350 n.m.
86
Revenues 3 462 2,7% 3 104 -5,5% 1 230 -4,5% 613 26%
EBITDAR 363 12% 614 63% 173 3% 14 -77%
EBT -221 22% 241 n.m 51 n.m -66 n.m
Jan-Jun in MSEK
Improved result in Subsidiary Airlines
Group | Scandinavian Airlines Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support | Airline Related Business |Hotels
87
Spanair hit by MSEK 114 higher jet fuel costs in 1st Half
April-June January-June
MSEK 2004 2003 2004 2003
� Revenues 2 057 1 997 3 462 3 372� Operating expenses -1 710 -1 615 -3 099 -3 048� EBITDAR 347 382 363 324
� EBITDA 60 90 -184 -238� EBIT 84 101 -187 -242
� EBT bef. cap gains 18 51 -274 -321� EBT incl. gains 71 86 -221 -283
Group | Scandinavian Airlines Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support | Airline Related Business |Hotels
88
Spanair value creation going forward
� Solid profitability and cash flow is viable as a concequence of excellent cost and efficincy and a business model providing sustainable growth
� Strong position in Madrid and Barcelona, two of Europe’s strongest markets
� The underdog position provides a long lasting growth perspectiv without getting close to dominant position
� The twin track strategy with full service and low cost model is essential in order to capitalize on Spanair’s position
Combining excellent cost and quality/service performance with aninnovative and agressiev commercial model, whould provide very good results and value for the SAS Group over the coming years
Group | Scandinavian Airlines Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support | Airline Related Business |Hotels
89
April-June January-June
MSEK 2004 2003 2004 2003
� Revenues 1 685 1 736 3 104 3 285� Operating expenses -1 296 -1 462 -2 490 -2 907� EBITDAR 389 274 614 378
� EBITDA 240 121 318 64� EBIT 204 83 246 -4
� EBT bef. cap gains 201 111 242 9 � EBT incl. gains 200 73 241 -19
Braathens has significantly improved its result
Group | Scandinavian Airlines Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support | Airline Related Business |Hotels
90
Braathens’ result is very impressive compared with European Airlines
� EBT improved MSEK 260 to MSEK 241 in first half
– Yield down 11,9% - partly explained by average longer routes
– Unit cost improved with 14,1%
� Cabin factor increased by 3,3 p.p.
� Costs to be reduced by MSEK 1 000 with full effect in 2006
� To achieve a unit cost of 0,60 NOK (reduction by 20%)
� Strengthen competitiveness in relation to low-cost competitors
� Will enable Braathens to compete at same price levels but still offering network product advantages
� SAS Braathens launched in May
Group | Scandinavian Airlines Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support | Airline Related Business |Hotels
91
Continued positive development in Widerøe
April-June January-June
MSEK 2004 2003 2004 2003
� Revenues 642 647 1 230 1 288� Operating expenses -541 -535 -1 057 -1 120� EBITDAR 101 112 173 168
� EBITDA 77 92 127 115� EBIT 42 58 58 45
� EBT bef. cap gains 37 43 51 12 � EBT incl. gains 37 43 51 12
Group | Scandinavian Airlines Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support | Airline Related Business |Hotels
92
Weak yield offset by traffic growth and cost control
� Traffic increased 13,6%
� Yield down by over 10,8%
� Unit cost down 8,4% as Turnaround 2005 has been almost completed
� MSEK 300 in cost improvement measurements under implementation
� New non stop route to Manchester from Bergen as from December
Group | Scandinavian Airlines Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support | Airline Related Business |Hotels
93
Group | Scandinavian Airlines Operation | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support | Airline Related Business |Hotels
April-June January-June
MSEK 2004 2003 2004 2003
� Revenues 345 262 613 485� Operating expenses -303 -207 -599 -424� EBITDAR 42 55 14 61
� EBITDA 7 21 -55 -6� EBIT 3 19 -61 -11
� EBT bef. cap gains 0 16 -66 -13 � EBT incl. gains 0 16 -66 -13
Blue1 with break even result in second quarter
94
Blue1 traffic increased with 80% in first half 2004
Group | Scandinavian Airlines Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support | Airline Related Business |Hotels
� Successful introduction of new domestic routes in Finland
� Helsinki-Amsterdam over 60% cabin factor in first month of operation
� EBT in second quarter MSEK 0
� Yield down by 28,6%
� Unit cost down 21,2%
� MSEK 150 in cost improvement measurements under implementation
Airline Support Businesses96
MSEK, January-June 2004 2003 Change
�Revenues 6 840 6 980 -2%�Operating expenses -6 429 -6 825
�EBITDA 411 155 165%�EBIT 179 -70 n.m
�EBT 138 -133 n.m
Result for Airline Support Businesses improved
Group | Scandinavian Airlines Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support | Airline Related Business |Hotels
Airline Related Businesses98
MSEK, January-June 2004 2003 Change
�Revenues 1 439 2 383 -40%�Operating expenses -1 331 -2 253 -41%
�EBITDA 108 130 -17%
�EBIT 29 -1 n.m
�EBT 22 18 +22%
Statement of income Airline Related Businesses
Group | Scandinavian Airlines Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support | Airline Related Business |Hotels
� Scandinavian IT Group sold in December 2003 and included in the 2003 figures
99
Avinor has discontinued negotiations with SAS Trading tax free operations in Norway
Group | Scandinavian Airlines Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support | Airline Related Business |Hotels
� A definite agreement is expected in August 2004� SAS Trading’s current agreement will expire in December 2004
– New agreement valid for seven years starting in 2005– The agreement is expected to have a turnover of SEK 1 billion
� Current agreements stands for appr. 2/3 of SAS Trading’s total revenue
� SAS Trading has in total 38 duty free shops in Scandinavia, Poland and the Baltic states of which 6 in Norway
100 101
Group | Scandinavian Airlines Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support | Airline Related Business |Hotels
April-June January-June
MSEK 2004 2003 2004 2003
� Revenues 1 121 903 2 039 1 745� Operating expensives -1 084 -904 -2 059 -1 821� EBITDA 37 -1 -20 -76
� Adjusted EBITDA 45 4 -5 -72
� EBIT 6 -28 -82 -135
� EBT 7 -39 -93 -154
Hotels – second quarter result improved by MSEK 46
102
Occupancy factor, including managed hotels
Vs. Last year
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
Jan0
3
Feb
Mar Apr
MajJu
n Jul
Aug
Sep
OctNov Dec
Janu
ary 2
004 Feb
Mar Apr
May Jun
Improved occupancy factor
Group | Scandinavian Airlines Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support | Airline Related Business |Hotels
103
Unit cost continues to improve
Group | Scandinavian Airlines Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support | Airline Related Business |Hotels
65
70
75
80
85
90
jan-01
mar-01
maj-01
jul-01
sep-0
1no
v-01
jan-02
mar-02
maj-02
jul-02
sep-0
2no
v-02
jan-03
mar-03
maj-03
jul-03
sep-0
3no
v-03
jan-04
mar-04
maj-04
Unit cost - 12 month rolling
�Unit cost calculated as Costs/number of rooms
104
RevPAR has stabilized
45
50
55
60
65
70
75
80
jan-01
feb-01
mar-01
apr-0
1maj-
01jun
-01jul-01
aug-0
1se
p-01
okt-0
1no
v-01
dec-0
1jan
-02feb
-02mar-
02ap
r-02
maj-02
jun-02jul-02
aug-0
2se
p-02
okt-0
2no
v-02
dec-0
2jan
-03feb
-03mar-
03ap
r-03
maj-03
jun-03jul-03
aug-0
3se
p-03
okt-0
3no
v-03
dec-0
3jan
-04feb
-04mar-
04ap
r-04
maj-04
jun-04
Rev
PAR
RevPAR 12 month rolling
Group | Scandinavian Airlines Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support | Airline Related Business |Hotels
105
Financial update
Group | Mainline Airline Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support Business | Airline Related Business |Hotels
106
Balance Sheet
MSEK 30 JUN 04 31 MAR 04 31 DEC 03
Liquid funds 8 829 8 385 9 066Aircraft 22 572 24 582 25 561Other assets 29 103 29 450 26 648Total assets 60 504 62 417 61 275
Operating liabilities 17 231 16 933 15 890Interest-bearing liabilities 28 437 30 483 28 866Deferred tax 2 947 3 136 3 273Minority interests 22 16 112Equity 11 867 11 849 13 134Total liabilities and equity 60 504 62 417 61 275
Financial net debt 18 352 20 277 18 122
Group | Scandinavian Airlines Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support | Airline Related Business |Hotels
107
SAS Group’s limited aircraft Capex
Group | Scandinavian Airlines Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support | Airline Related Business |Hotels
Firm Aircraft Orders Total 2004 2005 2006 2007
Airbus A320/321 4 2 2Boeing 737 3 1 2
Number of aircraft 7 1 2 4
CAPEX (MUSD) 256 23 9 93 131
108
SAS Group’s Capex Holiday
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
F20
05F
2006
F20
07F
MS
EK
Group | Scandinavian Airlines Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support | Airline Related Business |Hotels
Jul-d
ec
109
Clear Targets to Reduce Indebtedness- Long-term targets to be realised
Key figures Jun04 Dec03 Target� Equity/assets ratio (solidity) 20% 22% >30%� Financial net debt/ equity 154% 137% <50%� Fin. net debt+7*Oplease/ equity 313% 292% <100%
� Targets will be reached by: – Turnaround measures– Capital Release:
• Aircraft – Surplus and phase-outs• Other Assets (Properties, non-core subsidiaries etc)
Group | Scandinavian Airlines Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support | Airline Related Business |Hotels
110
2 500 2 5002 800
6 600
9001 100 1 200
2 000
1 200
4 800
- 500
1 000 1 500 2 000 2 500 3 000 3 500 4 000 4 500 5 000 5 500 6 000 6 500 7 000
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 >2013
MSE
K
Amortization profile interest bearing liabilities
Group | Scandinavian Airlines Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support | Airline Related Business |Hotels
Jul-dec
111
Development of financial net debt 1993-2004
0
5 000
10 000
15 000
20 000
25 000
92-12 93-12 94-12 95-12 96-12 97-12 98-12 99-12 00-12 01-12 02-12 03-12
MSE
K
Average 93MSEK 15.900
Average 94 MSEK 9.700
Average 95MSEK 4.950
Average 96 MSEK 2.350
Average 97MSEK 2.150
Average 98 MSEK 2.900
Average 99MSEK 6.750
Average 00MSEK 5.450
Average 01MSEK 9.150
Average 02 MSEK 17.950
Average 03 MSEK 19.100
Average Q2 04MSEK 19.100
Group | Scandinavian Airlines Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support | Airline Related Business |Hotels
112
SAS Group - Development and Break Down of Financial Net Debt 2004
(MSEK) 040630 031231 Difference
Cash 8 829 9 066 -237
Other interest bearingassets 1 256 1 678 -422
Interest bearingliabilities -28 437 -28 866 +429
Financial Net debt -18 352 -18 122 -230
Group | Scandinavian Airlines Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support | Airline Related Business |Hotels
113
SAS Group - Development and Break Down of Financial Net Debt 2003-2004
(MSEK) 040630 030630 Difference
Cash 8 829 8 155 +674
Other interest bearingassets 1 256 1 954 -698
Interest bearingliabilities -28 437 -29 341 +904
Financial Net debt -18 352 -19 232 +880
Group | Scandinavian Airlines Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support | Airline Related Business |Hotels
114
Financial Net Debt / Equity Ratio 1992-2004
0,0
0,3
0,5
0,8
1,0
1,3
1,5
1,8
2,0
2,3
2,5
1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003
Group | Scandinavian Airlines Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support | Airline Related Business |Hotels
115
SAS Group Equity / Assets Ratio 1992-2004
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003
Group | Scandinavian Airlines Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support | Airline Related Business |Hotels
116
Adjusted Net Debt / Equity1992-2004
Net Debt+7*Op lease / Equity
0%
50%
100%
150%
200%
250%
300%
350%
400%
1992
1993
199419
9519
96199
7199
8199920
0020
01200
2Q1-2
003Q1-2004
Group | Scandinavian Airlines Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support | Airline Related Business |Hotels
117
SAS Group’s Balance Sheet largely Unencumbered
As per 30 June 04MSEK
SAS Group’s total Balance Sheet 60 504
Total aircraft and spares 22 572
Encumbered Assets:Aircraft (book values) 14 300Other 200
Total 14 500
Group | Scandinavian Airlines Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support | Airline Related Business |Hotels
63% of aircraft and spare parts encumbered
118
SAS GroupFinancial Net January – June 2004
(MSEK) 04-06-30 03-06-30 Difference
Interest net and others -461 -476 +15Exchange rate differences -29 +332 -361Financial net -490 -144 -346
Average financial net debt 19.100 19.600 +500
In % p.a. of average financial net debt:Interest net -4,8% -4,9% +0,1 p.u.Exchange rate differences -0,3% +3,4% -3,7 p.u.Financial net -5,1% -1,5% -3,6 p.u.
Group | Scandinavian Airlines Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support | Airline Related Business |Hotels
119
Gearing ratios
Leverage Ratios
-10%
40%
90%
140%
190%
240%
290%
340%
dec-98 dec-99 dec-00 dec-01 Dec-02 mar-03 jun-03 sep-03 03-dec 04-mar 04-jun
Net Debt / Equity Fin Net Debt / Equity Fin. Net Debt + 7*Op lease / Equity
Group | Scandinavian Airlines Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support | Airline Related Business |Hotels
120
Improved cash flow as underlying result is improving
April – JuneMSEK, 2004 2003
Cash flow from operations 563 550Change in working capital -47 229Net financing from operations 516 779
Investments, advance payments -1 063 -1 260Acquisition/sale of subsidiaries (net) 0 0Sales of fixed assets, etc. 2 544 1 604Financing deficit/surplus 1 997 1 123
Changes in external financing, net -1 533 -1 502Changes in liquid assets acc. to balance sheet 444 -379
Group | Scandinavian Airlines Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support | Airline Related Business |Hotels
121
Improved cash flow but no change in liquid assets as surplus is amortized
January – JuneMSEK, 2004 2003
Cash flow from operations -332 -545Change in working capital -557 -359Net financing from operations -889 -904
Investments, advance payments -1 721 -2 224Acquisition/sale of subsidiaries (net) -614 -15Sales of fixed assets, etc. 3 910 1 906Financing deficit/surplus 686 -1 237
Changes in external financing, net -923 -1 329Changes in liquid assets acc. to balance sheet -237 -2 566
Group | Scandinavian Airlines Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support | Airline Related Business |Hotels
122
Sum Up – Credit Data
�Strong liquidity of MSEK 8 829
�Substantial Committed credit facilities of MSEK 4 550
�Limited CAPEX going forward
�Young aircraft fleet
�Additional sources of capital
�Turnaround 2005 program on track with union agreements secured
Group | Scandinavian Airlines Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support | Airline Related Business |Hotels
123
APPENDICES
Traffic DataYieldUnit costFleet Financial key figures
124
Increased traffic in the first Half
�Group passenger load factor up by 1,7 p.u.
�Group traffic up 11,1%
Passenger- Seat capacity Cabin-January-June traffic (RPK) (ASK) factorSAS Group Total 11,1% 8,1% 63,2%Intercontinental 12,8% 0,1%Europe 15,6% 17,5%Domestic and 1,4% 0,1%Intrascandinavian
Group | Scandinavian Airlines Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support | Airline Related Business |Hotels
125
�Scandinavian Airlines 5%�Spanair 10%�Braathens 4-5%�Widerøe 12-13%�Blue1 60%�Total SAS Group 7%
Capacity (ASK) outlook 2004 vs. 2003
Group | Scandinavian Airlines Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support | Airline Related Business |Hotels
126
Yield development 2004 vs 2003
Scandinavian AirlineTotal Scheduled
Apr-Jun 2004 2003 Change
Yield (öre/RPK) 103,1 125,2 -17,7%Currency adj. yield 103,1 123,2 -16,3%
Jan-Jun 2004 2003 Change
Yield (öre/RPK) 105,4 129,5 -18,6%Currency adj. yield 105,4 125,5 -16,0%
Group | Scandinavian Airlines Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support | Airline Related Business |Hotels
127
Yield development 2004 vs 2003
April-Jun January-June
-12,5% -11,0%
-9,4% -11,9%
-13,0% -10,8%
-27,4% -28,6%
Yield, local currency
Group | Scandinavian Airlines Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support | Airline Related Business |Hotels
128
Unit Cost January-June 2004 vs 2003
Volume = average increase in ASK: +4,9%
Share of Cost analysis 2003 2004 Var% total var %Personnel -4 318 -3 590 -16,9% -4,5%Fuel -1 418 -1 666 17,5% 1,5%Gov. Charges -1 638 -1 638 0,0% 0,0%Selling cost -494 -382 -22,6% -0,7%Ground Services -2 589 -2 477 -4,3% -0,7%Technical -2 263 -1 880 -16,9% -2,4%Other operating costs -2 326 -1 365 -41,3% -6,0%Total operating expenses -15 045 -12 998 -13,6% -12,7%Aircraft costs -1 043 -876 -16,0% -1,0%Adjusted EBIT -16 088 -13 874 -13,8% -13,8%
Group | Scandinavian Airlines Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support | Airline Related Business |Hotels
129
Unit Cost April-June 2004 vs 2003
Volume = average increase in ASK: +7,6%
Share of Cost analysis Q2 2003 Q2 2004 Var% total var %Personnel -2 186 -1 787 -18,3% -4,9%Fuel -728 -919 26,3% 2,4%Gov. Charges -861 -863 0,2% 0,0%Selling cost -262 -196 -25,1% -0,8%Ground Services -1 289 -1 259 -2,3% -0,4%Technical -1 132 -1 007 -11,1% -1,5%Other operating costs -1 134 -624 -45,0% -6,3%Total operating expenses -7 592 -6 655 -12,3% -11,5%Aircraft costs -534 -430 -19,5% -1,3%Adjusted EBIT -8 126 -7 085 -12,8% -12,8%
Group | Scandinavian Airlines Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support | Airline Related Business |Hotels
130
Sharp reduction in unit cost continued in Q2
� Unit cost down 11,8% in 2003
� Unit cost down 14,7% in Q1 2004
� Unit cost down 12,3% in Q2 2004
� Adjusted for fuel price unit cost down 14,7% in Q2 2004
-20%
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
1st Q2001
3rd Q2001
1st Q2002
3rd Q2002
1st Q2003
3rd Q2003
1st Q2004
Index last year, EBITDAR level(currency adjusted) Scandinavian Airlines
Group | Scandinavian Airlines Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support | Airline Related Business |Hotels
131
Yield Development
April-June (currency adjusted)
-20,0%
-18,0%
-16,0%
-14,0%
-12,0%
-10,0%
-8,0%
-6,0%
-4,0%
-2,0%
0,0%
2003 2004-20,0%-18,0%
-16,0%-14,0%
-12,0%-10,0%
-8,0%-6,0%
-4,0%-2,0%
0,0%
2003 2004
January-June (currency adjusted)
Group | Scandinavian Airlines Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support | Airline Related Business |Hotels
132
Yield development
-18
-16
-14
-12
-10
-8
-6
-4
-2
0
2
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2
2002 vs 2001 2003 vs 2002 2004 vs 2003
� Yields down 16,3% in 2nd Quarter 2004– Affected by:– Affected 5-6 pp by
higher proportion intercont. traffic
– Class mix negative– Price campaigns
%
Group | Scandinavian Airlines Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support | Airline Related Business |Hotels
133
Passenger Yield2nd Quarter 2004 vs 2003
Nominal Currency AdjustedRoute Sector yield effect yield
Scandinavian Airline 82 102 84
Intercontinental 96 103 99Europe 86 101 86Intrascandinavian 72 102 74Denmark 89 100 89Norway 78 105 82Sweden 81 100 81
Group | Scandinavian Airlines Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support | Airline Related Business |Hotels
134
Passenger YieldJanuary-June
Nominal Currency AdjustedRoute Sector yield effect yield
Scandinavian Airline 81 103 84
Intercontinental 95 105 99Europe 84 102 85Intrascandinavian 71 104 73Denmark 88 101 89Norway 78 110 85Sweden 83 100 83
Group | Scandinavian Airlines Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support | Airline Related Business |Hotels
135
Key airline profitability drivers2004 vs 2003
January-June� Traffic growth (RPK) up 8,6%� Cabin Factor up 2,2 p.u.� Yields down 16,0%� Unit costs incl A/C cost down 13,8%
April-June� Traffic growth (RPK) up 12,5%� Cabin Factor up 3,0 p.u.� Yields down 16,3%� Unit costs incl A/C cost down 12,8%
Group | Scandinavian Airlines Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support | Airline Related Business |Hotels
136
Severe Revenue Pressure partly offset by larger volumes
�Revenues 12 035 MSEK - 11,6%
• Volume +8,6% • Yields -16,0%• Currency -3,1%
January-June 2004
Group | Scandinavian Airlines Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support | Airline Related Business |Hotels
137
Revenue analysis second Quarter –Scandinavian Airlines
April-June 2004
� Revenues 6 513 MSEK - 7,4%
– Volume +12,5% – Yields -16,3%– Currency -1,6%
Group | Scandinavian Airlines Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support | Airline Related Business |Hotels
138
Passenger load factor 1995-2004Moving 12 months values
63%
64%
65%
66%
67%
68%
69%
DEC94 DEC95 DEC96 DEC97 DEC98 DEC99 DEC00 DEC01 DEC02 DEC03
Group | Scandinavian Airlines Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support | Airline Related Business |Hotels
139
Weaker USD offset by increased yield pressure
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
2003
2002
2001
2000
2004
Group | Scandinavian Airlines Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support | Airline Related Business |Hotels
� Positive effect on operation costs in January-June by xxx MSEK
� Weak USD => increased yield pressure
140
Currency Effects – SAS GroupJanuary-June 2004 vs 2003
MSEK Jan-JunTotal revenues -1 116Total costs +1 478Forward cover costs & working cap. -117Income before depr. +245
Financial items -361Income before tax -116
Group | Scandinavian Airlines Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support | Airline Related Business |Hotels
141
Currency Effects – SAS GroupApril-June 2004 vs 2003
MSEK Apr-JunTotal revenues -316Total costs +433Forward cover costs & working cap. -102Income before depr. +15
Financial items -21Income before tax -6
Group | Scandinavian Airlines Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support | Airline Related Business |Hotels
142
Currency Effects – SAS GroupJanuary-June 2004 vs 2003
Total revenues & costs:(Total +362 MSEK)Major approx. effects:USD +530DKK +6NOK -131EUR -1Asian curr. -35All others -7
Forward cover costs:(Total -140 MSEK)2003 +982004 -42
Working capital:(Total +23 MSEK)2003 -252004 -2
Financial items:(Total -361 MSEK)2003 +3322004 -29
Grand total -116 MSEK
Group | Scandinavian Airlines Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support | Airline Related Business |Hotels
143
Currency Effects – SAS GroupApril-June 2004 vs 2003
Total revenues & costs:(Total +117 MSEK)Major approx. effects:USD +165DKK +2NOK -55EUR -1Asian curr. -7All others +13
Forward cover costs:(Total -78 MSEK)2003 +552004 -23
Working capital:(Total -24 MSEK)2003 +192004 -5
Financial items:(Total -21 MSEK)2003 +292004 +8
Grand total -6 MSEK
Group | Scandinavian Airlines Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support | Airline Related Business |Hotels
144
Expenses
DKK15%
EUR15%
GBP2%
NOK25%
SEK17%
USD25%
Others1%
Revenues
DKK9%
EUR22%GBP
4%
NOK33%
SEK19%
USD8%
Others5%
Currency distribution in the SAS Group 2003
Group | Scandinavian Airlines Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support | Airline Related Business |Hotels
145
SAS Group fleet as of Jun 30, 2004
Company Owned Leased Total Leased On OrderIn Out
Scandinavian Airlines 88 88 176 13 7Spanair 54 54Braathens 4 23 27 1Wideroe 16 13 29Blue1 14 14
Total 108 192 300 14 7
Aircraft Type Owned Leased In TotalLeased
Out On OrderAirbus A330/340-300 7 4 11Airbus A320/A321-200 8 19 27 4Boeing 767 3 3 3Boeing 737 29 50 79 5 3Boeing 717 4 4Douglas MD-81/82/83/87 31 61 92 4Douglas MD-90 8 8Avro RJ-85/100 9 9Fokker F28 1 1Fokker F50 7 1 8 2deHavilland Q100-400 17 36 53SAAB 2000 5 5Total 108 192 300 14 7
Group | Scandinavian Airlines Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support | Airline Related Business |Hotels
146
SAS share
147
Development of Market capitalization
02 0004 0006 0008 000
10 00012 00014 00016 00018 00020 000
feb-99jun-99okt-99feb-00jun-00okt-00feb-01jun-01okt-01feb-02jun-02okt-02feb-03jun-03okt-03feb-04jun-04
Group | Scandinavian Airlines Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support | Airline Related Business |Hotels
148
* Peers: Alitalia, Air France, British Airways, Finnair, KLM, Lufthansa &Ryanair
SAS share price vs. Peers 2002-2003
72,6
84,9
4050
6070
8090
100110
120130
31
-dec
-01
31
-jan
-02
28
-feb
-02
31
-mar
-02
30
-apr
-02
31
-maj
-02
30
-ju
n-0
2
31
-ju
l-0
2
31
-au
g-0
2
30
-sep
-02
31
-okt
-02
30
-nov
-02
31
-dec
-02
31
-jan
-03
28
-feb
-03
31
-mar
-03
30
-apr
-03
31
-maj
-03
30
-ju
n-0
3
31
-ju
l-0
3
31
-au
g-0
3
30
-sep
-03
31
-okt
-03
30
-nov
-03
31
-dec
-03
31
-jan
-04
29
-feb
-04
31
-mar
-04
30
-apr
-04
31
-maj
-04
30
-ju
n-0
4
Index Peers Index SAS
SAS Market Capitalization vs. European Peers* measured in SEK(December 28, 2001 - June 30, 2004)
Group | Scandinavian Airlines Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support | Airline Related Business |Hotels
149
Number of shares traded in SAS per month
0
2 000 000
4 000 000
6 000 000
8 000 000
10 000 000
12 000 000
14 000 000
Janu
aryFe
brua
ryMarc
hAp
rilMayJu
ne
July
Augu
stSep
tembe
rOcto
ber
Novem
ber
Decem
ber
Janu
aryFe
brua
ryMarc
hApr
ilMayJu
ne
Increased trade in the share…
2004 vs 20032003 vs 2002
Group | Scandinavian Airlines Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support | Airline Related Business |Hotels
150
…and at Stockholm Stock Exchange
Average dai ly number of shares traded in Stockholm per month
0
50 000
100 000
150 000
200 000
250 000
300 000
Janu
aryFe
brua
ryMarc
hAp
rilMayJu
ne July
Augu
stSe
ptem
ber
Octobe
rNov
embe
rDec
embe
rJa
nuary
Febr
uary
March
April
MayJu
ne
2004 vs 20032003 vs 2002
Group | Scandinavian Airlines Operations | Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines | Airline Support | Airline Related Business |Hotels