Saxby - 1862 - Foretelling Weather Being A Description (1).pdf
Transcript of Saxby - 1862 - Foretelling Weather Being A Description (1).pdf
8/20/2019 Saxby - 1862 - Foretelling Weather Being A Description (1).pdf
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/saxby-1862-foretelling-weather-being-a-description-1pdf 1/79
This is a digital copy of a book that was preserved for generations on library shelves before it was carefully scanned by Google as part of a project
to make the world’s books discoverable online.It has survived long enough for the copyright to expire and the book to enter the public domain. A public domain book is one that was never subject
to copyright or whose legal copyright term has expired. Whether a book is in the public domain may vary country to country. Public domain books
are our gateways to the past, representing a wealth of history, culture and knowledge that’s often difficult to discover.
Marks, notations and other marginalia present in the original volume will appear in this file - a reminder of this book’s long journey from the
publisher to a library and finally to you.
Usage guidelines
Google is proud to partner with libraries to digitize public domain materials and make them widely accessible. Public domain books belong to the
public and we are merely their custodians. Nevertheless, this work is expensive, so in order to keep providing this resource, we have taken steps to
prevent abuse by commercial parties, including placing technical restrictions on automated querying.
We also ask that you:
+ Make non-commercial use of the files We designed Google Book Search for use by individuals, and we request that you use these files for
personal, non-commercial purposes.
+ Refrain from automated querying Do not send automated queries of any sort to Google’s system: If you are conducting research on machine
translation, optical character recognition or other areas where access to a large amount of text is helpful, please contact us. We encourage the
use of public domain materials for these purposes and may be able to help.
+ Maintain attribution The Google “watermark” you see on each file is essential for informing people about this project and helping them find
additional materials through Google Book Search. Please do not remove it.
+ Keep it legal Whatever your use, remember that you are responsible for ensuring that what you are doing is legal. Do not assume that just
because we believe a book is in the public domain for users in the United States, that the work is also in the public domain for users in other
countries. Whether a book is still in copyright varies from country to country, and we can’t offer guidance on whether any specific use of any specific book is allowed. Please do not assume that a book’s appearance in Google Book Search means it can be used in any manner
anywhere in the world. Copyright infringement liability can be quite severe.
About Google Book Search
Google’s mission is to organize the world’s information and to make it universally accessible and useful. Google Book Search helps readers
discover the world’s books while helping authors and publishers reach new audiences. You can search through the full text of this book on the web
at http://books.google.com/
8/20/2019 Saxby - 1862 - Foretelling Weather Being A Description (1).pdf
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/saxby-1862-foretelling-weather-being-a-description-1pdf 2/79
8/20/2019 Saxby - 1862 - Foretelling Weather Being A Description (1).pdf
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/saxby-1862-foretelling-weather-being-a-description-1pdf 3/79
8/20/2019 Saxby - 1862 - Foretelling Weather Being A Description (1).pdf
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/saxby-1862-foretelling-weather-being-a-description-1pdf 4/79
8/20/2019 Saxby - 1862 - Foretelling Weather Being A Description (1).pdf
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/saxby-1862-foretelling-weather-being-a-description-1pdf 5/79
8/20/2019 Saxby - 1862 - Foretelling Weather Being A Description (1).pdf
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/saxby-1862-foretelling-weather-being-a-description-1pdf 6/79
F O R E T E L L I N G W E A T H E R
n n
B E I N G
A
D E S C R I P T I O N O F A
N E W L Y - D I S C O V E R E D
L U N A R W E A T H E R - S Y S T E M
S
M . S A X B Y , E . N .
P B I N C I P A L I N S T B U C T O B O P N A V A L E N G I N E E R S
H . M .
S T B A M B E S E B V E
L A T E
O P G O N V I L L B
A N D
C A I U S
C O L L E G E
C A M B R I D G E
A U T H O B O P C A L C U L A T I O N A N D P R O J E C T I O N O P T H E S P H E K E
T H E S T U D Y O P
S T B
I X
A N D T H E
M A R I N E
E N G I N E
E T C . E T C .
L O N D O N
L O N G M A N ,
G R E E N ,
L O N G M A N ,
A N D
R O B E R T S
1 8 6 2
I n v
t
r I
8/20/2019 Saxby - 1862 - Foretelling Weather Being A Description (1).pdf
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/saxby-1862-foretelling-weather-being-a-description-1pdf 7/79
L O N D O N
P H I K T B D B Y
S P O T T 1 S W O O D E
A M D C O .
K E W - S T R E B T S Q U A R E
8/20/2019 Saxby - 1862 - Foretelling Weather Being A Description (1).pdf
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/saxby-1862-foretelling-weather-being-a-description-1pdf 8/79
S A X B Y ' S
W E A T H E R
S Y S T E M .
T h e u n t o w a r d s e a s o n s o f 1 8 5 9 a n d 1 8 6 0 o r i g i n a t e d s p e c u
l a t i o n s
o n
t h e w e a t h e r ,
w h i c h
r e c e i v e d
a d d i t i o n a l
a t t e n t i o n
f r o m t h e e n d e a v o u r s o f t h e B o a r d o f T r a d e t o t u r n
t h e m
t o p u b l i c b e n e f i t . T h e
t e m p e s t u o u s
p e r i o d r e f e r r e d
t o ,
r e s u l t i n g i n l o s s e s u p o n t h e c o a s t o f s o m a n y o f o u r s e a
m e n ,
a n d a l a r g e a m o u n t
o f p r o p e r t y ,
a f f e c t e d a l s o t h e
a g r i
c u l t u r a l i n t e r e s t s s o w i d e l y ( i n t h e d e s t r u c t i o n o f c r o p s a n d
t h e
h o p e s a n d
e x p e c t a t i o n s
o f
t h e f a r m e r ) ,
t h a t
w e a t h e r
h a s
b e c o m e
a n
i n e x h a i i s t i b l e t o p i c
w i t h
t h e
w h o l e c o m m u n i t y .
E v e n y e t a s w e d a s h b y
r a i l
t h r o u g h t h e f e s t i v e
v a l l e y s
o f
o u r
f r u i t f u l
i s l a n d ,
t h e w e a t h e r f o r m s t h e s t a p l e
b u r d e n
o f
r e
m a r k s , a n d c o n t i n u e d s p e c u l a t i o n s o n i t s p r o b a b l e c h a n g e s o r
c o n t i n u a n c e
h a v e
p r o v e r b i a l s w a y
o v e r t h e
m o v e m e n t s o f
t h e
m u l t i t u d e ; i n d e e d , t o c o n s u l t t h e m e t e o r o l o g i c a l r e p o r t s a n d
p r e d i c t i o n s o f
t h e T i m e s
n e w s p a p e r
h a s b e c o m e a
h a b i t
a s
p r e v a l e n t a s t h e p r y i n g i n t o t h e s t a t e o f t h e f u n d s w a s w i t h
o u r
f o r e f a t h e r s .
N o r
c a n
w e
t o u c h
u p o n
t h e
p o p u l a r s u b j e c t
o f t h e d a y , s u c h a s t h e s u c c e s s o f t h e W a r r i o r , t h e w e l f a r e
o f t h e
G r e a t
E a s t e r n , o r t h e b u i l d i n g o f t h e
P a l a c e
f o r t h e
c o m i n g G r e a t E x h i b i t i o n o f 1 8 6 2 , w i t h o u t d r i f t i n g q u i c k l y
i n t o a
c o m m e n t
u p o n
t h e s e a s o n
a n d i t s p r o b a b l e w e a t h e r , a n d
t h e r e l i a n c e t o b e p l a c e d o n t h i s o r t h a t p r o g n o s t i c a t o r .
T h u s
i n
o u r t r a v e l s , t h e v e r y c o m m o n p l a c e n e s s
o f
t h e s u b j e c t
i s
a
s o u r c e
o f
m u c h
a p p a r e n t l y
i n n o c e n t
l o q u a c i t y .
S u c h
t h e n i s t h e s u b j e c t o f w e a t h e r t o E n g l i s h m e n i n g e n e r a l ,
A 2
8/20/2019 Saxby - 1862 - Foretelling Weather Being A Description (1).pdf
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/saxby-1862-foretelling-weather-being-a-description-1pdf 9/79
b u t
t h e r e i s
a l s o a
l a r g e p o r t i o n o f t h e
c o m m u n i t y
w h o
h a v e
a
d e e p e r i n t e r e s t i n t h e q u e s t i o n , w h o s e v e r y l i v e s a r e p l a c e d i n
j e o p a r d y b y
s u c h
s p e c u l a t i o n s , a n d t h e h a p p i n e s s o f w h o s e
w h o l e f a m i l i e s d u r i n g t h e i r e n t i r e e a r t h l y c a r e e r , i s i n v o l v e d
i n
t h i s
a p p a r e n t l y
c o m m o n p l a c e
t o p i c
o f w e a t h e r .
I t
i s
t r u e
t h e r e
e x i s t s o c i e t i e s
o f g o o d
m e n r e a d y , a s f a r a s h u m a n m e a n s
a n d s y m p a t h i e s c a n s o o t h e , t o h e l p t h e w i d o w a n d o r p h a n s
o f
t h o s e
v i c t i m s w h o
a r e
y e a r l y s a c r i f i c e d
o n
t h e
a l t a r o f
p r e j u
d i c e o n t h e
s u b j e c t
o f w e a t h e r . I t i s
p r e j u d i c e
w h i c h e x h a u s t s
t h e
r e s o u r c e s
o f t h e
N a t i o n a l L i f e b o a t I n s t i t u t i o n , a n d
t h e
f u n d s o f t h e c h a r i t a b l e a n d e x c e l l e n t S h i p w r e c k e d M a r i n e r ' s
S o c i e t y
; a n d i t s
p e c u l i a r
n a t u r e i s s u c h t h a t
a r e m e d y h a s
i n
e a c h
s u c c e e d i n g
y e a r
b e e n
s o u g h t
f o r
w i t h
i n c r e a s e d
a n x i e t y
b u t
i n
v a i n .
A
s t i l l
l a r g e r c l a s s o f p e o p l e , w h e t h e r t h e y b e m e r e l y p l e a
s u r e - s e e k e r s ,
o r t h o s e
i n p u r s u i t
o f
t h e i r o u t - d o o r a v o c a t i o n s ,
o r t h o s e
w h o s e m i s f o r t u n e
i t i s t o
b e
i n v a l i d s ,
h a v e
a l s o a
s t r o n g c l a i m
o n m e n
o f
s c i e n c e w h o
p r o f e s s
t o b e l e a r n e d i n
m e t e o r o l o g y .
W i t h
a l l
r e s p e c t
f o r
t h e
i l l u s t r i o u s
m e n
w h o s e
w i s d o m
i n
o t h e r s u b j e c t s
h a s
i m m o r t a l i s e d t h e i r n a m e s , t h e i r p r e j u d i c e s
o n
t h e s u b j e c t
o f
w e a t h e r s e e m t o
h a v e b e e n
b e q u e a t h e d b y
t h e m
t o p o s t e r i t y , a n d a r e
e v e n
y e t b e i n g u p h e l d b y l i v i n g
p h i l o s o p h e r s o n
w h o s e s h o u l d e r s c e r t a i n
m a n t l e s
h a v e f a l l e n .
T h e i r
d e c r e e h a s
g o n e
f o r t h
t h a t
t h e m o o n d o e s
n o t
a f f e c t
t h e
w e a t h e r . T o t h i s
w e
m a y a t t r i b u t e t h e s t r o n g p r e j u d i c e s
w h i c h
w o u l d
s t i l l
h o l d
o u r
j u d g m e n t s
i n
b o n d a g e .
B u t
s u r e l y
i t
i s
t i m e t o f r e e o u r s e l v e s f r o m e v e r y t r a m m e l o f
f a l s e p h i
l o s o p h y ,
a n d l o o k t h e q u e s t i o n i n t h e f a c e , b o l d l y a n d w i t h
i n d e p e n d e n c e
p r o v i d e d
a s u f f i c i e n t
b a s e i s
a v a i l a b l e
o n w h i c h
t o f o u n d a m o r e c o n s i s t e n t t h e o r e m .
W h y
s h o u l d i t b e a l
l o w e d
f o r o n e m o m e n t
t h a t
S c i e n c e
b a r s t h e d o o r
a g a i n s t
i n c r e a s e o f k n o w l e d g e r e s p e c t i n g a t m o s p h e r i c d i s t u r b a n c e s ,
w h i l e s h e
o p e n s
i t w i d e l y w i t h a w e l c o m e t o t h o s e
w h o s e a r c h
i n t o
a n y
o t h e r
s u b j e c t
?
8/20/2019 Saxby - 1862 - Foretelling Weather Being A Description (1).pdf
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/saxby-1862-foretelling-weather-being-a-description-1pdf 10/79
H i t h e r t o t h e p u b l i c t h i r s t t o p o s s e s s
a
k n o w l e d g e
o f
c o m i n g
w e a t h e r h a s t e m p t e d
m a n y a n i m p o s t o r t o
v e n d
h i s
s p u r i o u s
p r o g n o s t i c s , t h e c o n s t a n t f a i l u r e s o f w h i c h
s t i l l
f u r t h e r p r e
j u d i c e
t h e w h o l e q u e s t i o n ; h e n c e t h e d i f f i c u l t y
o f
o b t a i n i n g a
h e a r i n g f o r a n y s u g g e s t i o n s f o u n d e d o n r e a l l y
h o n e s t
d e d u c t i o n s .
T h e w e i g h t o f o p i n i o n s d e l i v e r e d b y m e n
o f
h i g h e s t c a l i b r e i n
s c i e n c e m a y w e l l h a v e d a u n t e d t h e a t t e m p t s a n d
s u p p r e s s e d
t h e
c o n v i c t i o n s o f m a n y
a c a s u a l
e n q u i r e r . P e r h a p s I
a m
a m o n g t h e f i r s t w h o , c l a i m i n g t o b e a l l o w e d t h e w e i g h t o f l o n g
e x p e r i e n c e
i n m a t h e m a t i c a l
a n d p h y s i c a l s c i e n c e , h a s
v e n t u r e d
t o
t h r o w
d o w n t h e g a u n t l e t , n o t ,
h o w e v e r , i n
a h o s t i l e s p i r i t ,
b u t i n o r d e r
i f
p o s s i b l e
t o e l i c i t
t h e t r u t h . T h a t m y s u p p o s e d
d i s c o v e r i e s
w e r e
r e c e i v e d
a t
f i r s t
w i t h
c o l d n e s s
n e e d
n o t
s u r
p r i s e ; b u t
r e c e n t
o c c u r r e n c e s , o n e o f w h i c h
w i l l
b e n o w e x
p l a i n e d , s e e m
t o
h a v e
l e f t m e o n c e m o r e w a r m a n d v i g o r o u s
i n t h e d e t e r m i n e d p u r s u i t o f t h i s t r u t h , b e l i e v i n g , a s I f i r m l y d o ,
t h a t
s o d e s i r a b l e a
g i f t t o m a n k i n d
a s a f a i r l y
d e v e l o p e d
w e a
t h e r s y s t e m i s w i t h i n o u r g r a s p .
T h e
o c c u r r e n c e i n t i m a t e d
a b o v e m a y b e
t h u s
d e s c r i b e d . H u n d r e d s o f p e r s o n s , n a y ,
m a n y
t h o u s a n d s ,
k n o w
t h a t
I
h a v e
f o r
a b o u t
t w o
y e a r s
b e e n
a l l o w e d
b y t h e l i b e r a l i t y
o f
t h e H y d r o g r a p h i c d e p a r t m e n t o f
t h e A d m i r a l t y t o s t a t e m y o p i n i o n s o f c o m i n g w e a t h e r
i n
t h e
r e s p e c t e d
N a u t i c a l
M a g a z i n e ( w h i c h i s
a l w a y s o p e n
t o
s u g
g e s t i o n s f o r i m p r o v e m e n t
i n
t h e
c o n d i t i o n
o f
s a i l o r s
a n d n a u
t i c a l s c i e n c e ) . I h a d
a c c o r d i n g l y
i n
S e p t e m b e r
l a s t
a n n o u n c e d ,
a m o n g o t h e r p r e d i c t i o n s ,
t h a t N o v e m b e r 2 n d
t o
5 t h
i n s t a n t
w o u l d p r o b a b l y b e a
p e r i o d
o f u n u s u a l
a t m o s p h e r i c d i s t u r b a n c e ,
a n d
i n
O c t o b e r
I
s e n t p r i n t e d b i l l s
a l o n g t h e c o a s t ,
e s p e c i a l l y
w a r n i n g a l l a g a i n s t 1 4 t h N o v e m b e r
i n s t a n t
a s
a
p e r i o d a t w h i c h
a v i o l e n t C y c l o n e ( o r
h u r r i c a n e ) w o u l d m o s t p r o b a b l y
p a s s o v e r
G r e a t
B r i t a i n f r o m
t h e s o u t h w a r d a n d
w e s t w a r d . L o n g w i l l
b e
r e m e m b e r e d t h e h e a v y g a l e o f t h e 2 n d N o v e m b e r . H a p p e n
i n g t o b e
i n
L o n d o n o n t h e d a y b e f o r e t h e 1 4 t h , a n d b e i n g
d e s i r o u s o f o f f e r i n g
a
p u b l i c p r o o f
o f t h e s i n c e r i t y o f
m y
c o n
v i c t i o n s ,
I ,
o n
t h e
1 3 t h ,
p u r p o s e l y
e n t e r e d
t h e
u n d e r w r i t i n g r o o m .
A 3
8/20/2019 Saxby - 1862 - Foretelling Weather Being A Description (1).pdf
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/saxby-1862-foretelling-weather-being-a-description-1pdf 11/79
G
a t L l o y d s , t o
r e p e a t
i n p e r s o n m y p r e v i o u s l y a n n o u n c e d w a r n
i n g
a s t o
t h e C y c l o n e
d u e
o n t h e f o l l o w i n g d a y ( 1 4 t h ) . W h i l e
e x p l a i n i n g t o s o m e o f t h e u n d e r w r i t e r s ,
o n e
o f t h e m
r e m a r k e d
t h a t t h e b a r o m e t e r
h a d a l e a d y
f a l l e n
a
t e n t h o f a n i n c h s i n c e
9 a . m . , a n d e v e n w h i l e I w a s e n g a g e d i n e x p l a i n i n g m y r e a
s o n s
f o r e x p e c t i n g
a
C y c l o n e , t h e
m e r c u r y
w a s
s t i l l
t a i l i n g ; a n d
t h r o u g h t h e d a y c o n s i d e r a b l e e x c i t e m e n t a r o s e a s t o m y w a r n
i n g ,
b e c a u s e
t h e r e w e r e t w o f a c t s w h i c h s e e m e d t o t h e
m u l
t i t u d e a d v e r s e
t o t h e p r o b a b i l i t y o f a n y C y c l o n e
h a p p e n i n g
o n
t h e d a y f o l l o w i n g ; f o r ,
i n
t h e f i r s t p l a c e , t h e B o a r d
o f T r a d e
h a d
i n f o r m e d
t h e m
t h a t w e s h o u l d m o s t p r o b a b l y h a v e t h e
w e a t h e r m o d e r a t e t i l l
F r i d a y
( 1 5 t h ) , a n d s e c o n d l y , t h e r e w a s
a
s t e a d y
f r e s h
w i n d
f r o m
E . N . E . w i t h
c o l d
t e m p e r a t u r e ,
w h i l e
C y c l o n e s n e a r l y a l w a y s a p p r o a c h u s w i t h t h e w i n d S . t o W .
H o w e v e r ,
o n t h e e v e n i n g
o f
t h e 1 3 t h , u n m i s t a k a b l e e v i d e n c e s
o f t h e c o m i n g
h u r r i c a n e
r e a c h e d t h e D o w n s , a n d a t 7 * 3 0
p . m .
t h e
w i n d
s u d d e n l y
s h i f t e d t o S . S . W . , w i t h i n c r e a s i n g
g a l e ,
s o
t h a t b y 1 ' 3 0 a . m . o f t h e 1 4 t h , t h e h u r r i c a n e ( a s I h a d m o n t h s
b e f o r e
p r e d i c t e d
f o r
t h i s d a y )
s w e p t
o v e r t h e m e t r o p o l i s , a n d
w i t h
w h a t
v i o l e n c e
i s
w e l l
k n o w n
w h i l e
d u r i n g
t h e
1 4 t h ,
i t
d e s o l a t e d m a n y
a h o m e
o n
t h e e a s t c o a s t , a n d i t w a s
n o t
t i l l
t h e e v e n i n g o f t h e 1 5 t h t h a t i t s
f u r y
h a d a b a t e d a t S h i e l d s
a n d
t h e
n o r t h e r n p o r t s , l e a v i n g a
m e l a n c h o l y
t r a c e o f i t s d e
s t r u c t i v e p o w e r w h e r e v e r i t h a d b e e n . N o w t h i s i s e i t h e r a
t r u t h o r a
f i c t i o n .
I f
t r u t h , a n d o f t h a t
t h e m o s t d e e p l y i n
t e r e s t e d b o d y i n t h e k i n g d o m , v i z . , t h e u n d e r w r i t e r s ,
c a n
b e s t
j u d g e ,
n o t i m e s h o u l d
b e l o s t i n e x a m i n i n g
t h e q u e s t i o n o f
w e a t h e r ,
a s
t r a c e a b l e t o l u n a r o r
o t h e r i n f l u e n c e s .
I n
c o m
p l i a n c e , t h e r e f o r e , w i t h t h e s u g g e s t i o n s o f u n d e r w r i t e r s a n d
o t h e r s ,
I i s s u e
t h i s l i t t l e b o o k ,
i n
o r d e r
t o e n a b l e t h e p u b l i c t o
b e n e f i t i f p o s s i b l e b y m y l a b o u r s o f m a n y y e a r s , a n d i n d e e d t o
p r o t e c t m y s e l f
f r o m
a l l i m p u t a t i o n s o f
e m p i r i c i s m
a c c o r d i n g l y ,
b y p l a c i n g b e f o r e t h e p u b l i c t h e r e a l s t a t e o f t h e q u e s t i o n o f
f o r e t e l l i n g
w e a t h e r .
I n
o r d e r
t h a t
I
m a y
f i r s t
p r o v e
t h e
c o r r e c t n e s s
o f
m y
a s s u m p
8/20/2019 Saxby - 1862 - Foretelling Weather Being A Description (1).pdf
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/saxby-1862-foretelling-weather-being-a-description-1pdf 12/79
t i o n t h a t p h i l o s o p h e r s r e p u d i a t e t h e n o t i o n o f a l l l u n a r i n f l u e n c e
o n t h e
w e a t h e r , l e t m e
q u o t e f r o m
t h e
T i m e s
o f
2 n d
M a r c h ,
1 8 6 1 . T h e r e i n t h e h e a d o f t h e m e t e o r o l o g i c a l d e p a r t m e n t o f
t h e
B o a r d o f
T r a d e s t a t e d
t h e i r o p i n i o n a s f o l l o w s
P e r s o n s w h o p r o f e s s t o k n o w i n t u i t i v e l y m o r e
t h a n
r e a l p h i l o s o p h e r s
a n d t h e
m o s t e x p e r i e n c e d
h a v e l e a r n e d , h a v e
p r o g n o s t i c a t e d ,
o r , a s
B o m e
s a y ,
p r o p h e s i e d , c h a n g e s
o r
s t o r m s
a t
d e f i n i t e
t i m e s , u p o n
s o m e
v a g u e i d e a s
o f
l u n a r i n f l u e n c e s ,
o r ( s o - c a l l e d ) a s f r o - m e t e o r o l o g y .
P e r h a p s
t h e
a l c h y m i s t s a n d a s t r o l o g e r s o f o l d w e r e
w i s e r i n
t h e i r
g e n e r a t i o n
t h a n
t h e s e
p r o p h e t s .
I c a n n o t
m o r e
s t r o n g l y i l l u s t r a t e t h e l a m e n t a b l e
w a n t
o f
e n c o u r a g e m e n t t o w a r d s t h o s e w h o w e r e e a r n e s t l y s e e k i n g t h e
t r u t h ,
t h a n t h e c o u p l i n g
t h o s e
w h o m i g h t b e h o n e s t l y i n v e s
t i g a t i n g l u n a r i n f l u e n c e s w i t h t h e a b s u r d i t i e s o f
a s t r o -
m e t e o r o l o g y . I t
i s ,
t h e n , u n d e r t h i s
f e e l i n g
t h a t I w r i t e
b u t
s o
s e t t l e d a r e t h e o p i n i o n s
o f
m e n
i n
g e n e r a l u p o n t h i s p o i n t ,
t h a t
i n
t h e l a s t y e a r a w o r k w a s
p u b l i s h e d
o n t h e s u b j e c t ,
w h i c h , w h i l e r e a l l y c o n t a i n i n g m u c h
s c i e n t i f i c
t r u t h , e x p r e s s e s
t h e
f o l l o w i n g
o p i n i o n s : —
P r e d i c t o r s o f w e a t h e r h a v e
e x i s t e d i n m o s t
c o u n t r i e s ; a n d m e a n s o f
f o r e t e l l i n g
w h a t t h e a l t e r a t i o n s o f t h e
a t m o s p h e r e w o u l d
h e , h a v e a l w a y s
b e e n , a n d
a r e
y e t , s o u g h t
w i t h
g r e a t a v i d i t y
b y
m a n .
O u r s a t e l l i t e
h a s
g e n e r a l l y b e e n c o n s i d e r e d , a n d i s s t i l l e x t e n s i v e l y b e l i e v e d , t o h a v e
g r e a t
i n f l u e n c e
o v e r
t h e w e a t h e r .
A n d c o n s i d e r i n g
t h e
s t a t e
i n
w h i c h
m e t e o r o l o g y
h a s
b e e n l e f t i t i s
n o t
s u r p r i s i n g t h a t
s u c h a b e l i e f s h o u l d
c o n t i n u e .
T h e
m o o n
i s
k n o w n
t o
c a u s e
t i d e s
i n
t h e
o c e a n ,
a n d
t h e r e
f o r e
i s
l i k e l y t o
b e
b e l i e v e d t o h a v e i n f l u e n c e o n t h e a t m o s p h e r e ,
u n t i l
m e t e o r o l o g y b e c o m e s a s c i e n c e , a n d
p r o v e s
t h a t i t
h a s
n o t . N o t w i t h
s t a n d i n g , h o w e v e r , t h a t g r e a t
i n d u s t r y h a s
b e e n
d i s p l a y e d
t o t r a c e
s o m e
c o n n e x i o n
b e t w e e n t h e
m o o n a n d
w e j t h e r , n o n e h a s
b e e n
d i s c o v e r e d .
N o w
t h e s e
a r e
t h e
w o r d s o f
a
m e m b e r o f
t h e
B r i t i s h
M e t e o r o
l o g i c a l S o c i e t y . H a v i n g b e e n u n i n t e n t i o n a l l y a n d u n e x p e c t e d l y
s o
p u b l i c l y
p i t t e d
a g a i n s t t h e d o m i n a n t s y s t e m
o f w e a t h e r
w a r n i n g , I h a v e s c a r c e l y
a n
a l t e r n a t i v e ,
a n d
i f I c a n e s t a b l i s h
8/20/2019 Saxby - 1862 - Foretelling Weather Being A Description (1).pdf
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/saxby-1862-foretelling-weather-being-a-description-1pdf 13/79
8
a
s y s t e m
f o u n d e d o n s o u n d p r i n c i p l e s a n d p h y s i c a l f a c t a ,
( a s a b u n d a n t l y
t e s t e d b y
o b s e r v a t i o n , ) I
c o n t e n d
t h a t i t s i m
p o r t a n c e , m e a s u r e d i n c o m p a r i s o n w i t h m e r e i n s t r u m e n t a l
d e d u c t i o n s , w h i c h a r e
n o t
c o n n e c t e d w i t h
a n y
t h e o r y , b u t
w h i c h a r e w h o l l y d e p e n d e n t o n o b s e r v a t i o n ( o r , t o g i v e i t i t s
t r u e n a m e , i t
i s
t h e r e f o r e
e m p i r i c i s m ) ,
o u g h t t o i n s u r e
f o r
m e a t l e a s t a f a i r h e a r i n g f r o m t h o s e t o w h o m t h e p u b l i c l o o k
a s
t h e
l i g h t s o f
s c i e n c e ,
n o r d o I e x p e c t
o t h e r w i s e .
A n y p e r s o n o f o r d i n a r y i n t e l l e c t c a n
b e t a u g h t
t o
u s e
a n d
r e a d o f f i n s t r u m e n t a l i n d i c a t i o n s , i t i s w i t h i n t h e p o w e r o f
f i s h e r m e n
t o
u s e t h e b a r o m e t e r ;
b u t i t
i s t h e
c o m b i n a t i o n
o f
f a c t s ,
t h e
l e i s u r a b l e u n p r e j u d i c e d c o n t e m p l a t i o n o f s u c h f a c t s ,
a n d
t h e
b r i n g i n g
t h e m
t o
b e a r
u p o n
t h e
a c c e p t e d
n o t i o n s
o f
m a n k i n d
a s
r e g a r d s w e a t h e r ,
t h a t
i s
e q u a l l y
o p e n
t o
t h e
p r o
f e s s o r
o r t h e
p r i v a t e i n d i v i d u a l ,
e x c e p t t h a t t h e f o r m e r
h a s
t h e
a d v a n t a g e o f i m m e n s e r e s o u r c e s t o a i d i n h i s r e s e a r c h ; n o r
n e e d w e c o n c e d e t h a t a l l t h e a b i l i t y a n d e x p e r i e n c e
o f
t h e
c o u n t r y
i s
c o n c e n t r e d i n o n e m i n d .
A n
u n f e t t e r e d p e r s o n
c a n
f r e q u e n t l y s u g g e s t i m p r o v e m e n t s w h i l e t h o s e w h o a r e d r a g g e d
a l o n g
t h e
t r a m - r o a d
o f
r o u t i n e
m u s t
o f t e n
y i e l d
t o
c o n
v e n t i o n a l i t i e s ,
o r a t
l e a s t
c o n f i n e t h e i r z e a l w i t h i n t h e l i m i t s
p r e s c r i b e d
b y p o p u l a r n o t i o n s .
I h a v e
b e e n
a
f r e e
a n d
v e r y c l o s e
o b s e r v e r f o r
m a n y y e a r s , a n d a t t r i b u t e m y
d i s
c o v e r y o f p r i n c i p l e s t o t h e
e l a b o r a t e
m a n n e r i n w h i c h I h a v e
w a t c h e d
t h e b a r o m e t e r w i t h t h e w e a t h e r
( f r e q u e n t l y
b y n i g h t
a s w e l l a s d a y ) , a n d c a r e f u l l y p r o j e c t e d i t s r i s e a n d f a l l .
A s , t h e r e f o r e , t h e b a r o m e t e r
s e e m s
t o b e
o f
s u c h
i m p o r t
a n c e , i t w i l l b e w e l l t o c o n s i d e r i t s p e c u l i a r i t i e s . I w o u l d ,
h o w e v e r ,
w i s h i t t o
b e d i s t i n c t l y
u n d e r s t o o d
t h a t a n y
d i s p a
r a g e m e n t o f t h e e x e r t i o n s s o z e a l o u s l y m a d e
t o w a r n
t h e
c o a s t
o f
d a n g e r
i s n e i t h e r m y d e s i r e n o r i n t e n t i o n . I s a y t h i s b e
c a u s e I a m o b l i g e d t o p o i n t
o u t i n
w h a t p a r t i c u l a r
t h e
p r e s e n t
s y s t e m f a i l s , a n d w h i l e I a m o b l i g e d t o a d d u c e i n s t a n c e s i n
w h i c h f a i l u r e s o n t h e
p a r t o f
t h e B o a r d
o f T r a d e h a v e o c c u r r e d ,
I
a m
a l s o
r e a d y
t o
d o
j u s t i c e
t o
t h e i r
a c t i v i t y .
8/20/2019 Saxby - 1862 - Foretelling Weather Being A Description (1).pdf
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/saxby-1862-foretelling-weather-being-a-description-1pdf 14/79
9
I n
t h e
T i m e s
o f
N o v e m b e r
1 4 t h i n s t a n t a p p e a r e d
t h e
f o l l o w i n g :
S h i e l d s ,
T u e s d a y n i g h t
( 1 2 t h N o v e m b e r , 1 8 6 1 ) .
T h i s
m o r n i n g a t
d a y l i g h t ,
i n s t r u c t e d
b y
a
t e l e g r a m f r o m
A d m i r a l
F i t z r o y , o f t h e
B o a r d o f
T r a d e , a c o n e , p o i n t u p ,
w a s h o i s t e d
f r o m t h e
s i g n a l - m a s t a t
t h e
h i g h
l i g h t h o u s e
o v e r l o o k i n g
S h i e l d s
H a r b o u r ,
d e n o t
i n g
t h a t a g a l e m a y b e e x p e c t e d f r o m
t h e N o r t h . T h i s d a y ,
h o w e v e r ,
h a s
b e e n t o l e r a b l y b r i g h t , t h o u g h c o l d .
W i n d
S . W . , w i t h
a l i g h t
s w e l l
o n
t h e
b a r .
I n c h e i .
B a r o m e t e r , F r i d a y , 8 t h 2 9 2 5
S a t u r d a y , 9 t h . . . . 2 9 - 4 9
M o n d a y ,
1 1 t h
. . . .
2 9 - 1 9
T u e s d a y ,
1 2 t h
. . .
2 9 - S 8
T h i s
m o r n i n g ,
i n
c o n s e q u e n c e
o f t h e
f i n e
w e a t h e r ,
n o t w i t h s t a n d i n g
t h e
o m i n o u s w a r n i n g o f
t h e
B o a r d o f T r a d e , a n u m b e r o f c o a l - l a d e n
v e s s e l s , m o s t l y f o r
t h e
N o r t h , a n d s o m e f o r
t h e c o n t i n e n t
o f E u r o p e ,
s a i l e d ,
c , c .
T h u s ,
a n o u t w a r d - b o u n d
f l e e t
s a i l e d
f r o m
S h i e l d s ,
i n
d e
f i a n c e o f
w a r n i n g
g i v e n
b y
t h e B o a r d o f T r a d e , o n t h e 1 2 t h
o f
N o v e m b e r ,
a n d
t h e
s a m e
n e w s p a p e r
t e l l s u s
t h a t
o f t h e s e
n u m b e r s
p e r i s h e d
s h o r t l y
a f t e r
i n
a h u r r i c a n e
o n
t h e
1 4 t h
o f
N o v e m b e r .
T h i s
w a s t h e
h u r r i c a n e w h i c h
I
h a d s o s t r o n g l y
p r e d i c t e d . M a r i n e r s , h o w e v e r , d i s r e g a r d e d t h e a d v i c e s o f t h e
B o a r d
o f T r a d e ,
b e c a u s e
t h e y d o u b t e d t h e i r
a c c u r a c y .
T h e y
d i s r e g a r d e d
m i n e , b e c a u s e o f a g r o w i n g c o n s e q u e n t d i s b e l i e f
i n
w e a t h e r
p r e d i c t i o n s
a l t o g e t h e r .
H e n c e , I s a y t h a t t h e
p h i l o s o p h i c a l d o g m a
w h i c h
d e c l a r e s
t h e
m o o n
t o
h a v e
n o
i n f l u e n c e
o n
t h e
w e a t h e r ,
b i n d s
t h e
p u b l i c m i n d
i n
p r e j u d i c e s a g a i n s t n e w t h e o r i e s ,
a n d s u c h p r e
j u d i c e s c e r t a i n l y d i d
i n
t h e a b o v e , a s i t
h a s
d o n e
i n
m a n y
o t h e r
i n s t a n c e s , s e n d n u m b e r s
o f o u r
f e l l o w - c r e a t u r e s
i n t o e t e r n i t y ,
a n d
s c a t t e r e d
a n
e n o r m o u s a m o u n t o f p r o p e r t y i n
w r e c k a l o n g
t h e
c o a s t .
T h e p u b l i c
w h o d w e l l i n l a n d w e r e s h o c k e d
a t
t h e
a c c i
d e n t
o n t h e B r i g h t o n E a i l w a y ; b u t w h o s h a l l d r a w a p a r a l
l e l
b e t w e e n
t h e s e
h u n d r e d s
o f
d i s a s t e r s
a t
s e a
a n d
t h e o n e
A
5
8/20/2019 Saxby - 1862 - Foretelling Weather Being A Description (1).pdf
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/saxby-1862-foretelling-weather-being-a-description-1pdf 15/79
1 0
a c c i d e n t ,
f r i g h t f u l a s
i t w a s , w h i c h
d e s t r o y e d l i t t l e
m o r e
t h a n
t h e n u m b e r o f p e r s o n s w h o w o u l d h a v e m a n n e d m e r e l y
t h r e e o r f o u r
o f t h e s e t e m p e s t - t o s s e d
s h i p s
? N o t t o d w e l l
u p o n s u c h d r e a d f u l s c e n e s , l e t m e a s k a n y o n e t o c o m p a r e t h e
s u f f e r i n g
o f
i n d i v i d u a l s
f r o m s u d d e n
a c c i d e n t
o n
l a n d
w i t h t h e
l i n g e r i n g
t o r t u r e s
w h i c h e a c h g a l e i n f l i c t s e v e n u p o n t h e m a n y
h u n d r e d s w h o a r e y e a r l y r e s c u e d b y t h e
h u m a n e
v i g i l a n c e o f
t h e L i f e - B o a t S o c i e t y , t o s a y n o t h i n g o f t h e
d r e a d f u l
d e a t h s
W h i c h
s o
t h i c k l y o c c u r ,
w h e r e
h u s b a n d s , a n d
s o n s ,
a n d b r o
t h e r s , c l i n g t o
t h e
f l o a t i n g
m a s t
o r
t h e
s a m e
r i v e n
p l a n k ,
u n t i l n a t u r e y i e l d s t o s u f f e r i n g , a n d
( I e v e n d r e a d
a g a i n t o
u s e
t h e w o r d ) t h e v i c t i m s o f p r e j u d i c e
y i e l d
t h e i r s p i r i t s ,
i n
d e s p a i r ,
t o
t h e
G o d w h o
m a d e
t h e m
l e a v i n g
t h e i r
p r e
c i o u s o n e s t o
t h e
c o l d
s y m p a t h i e s o f t h e
w o r l d , h a r d e n e d
o r
b l u n t e d a s t h e y a r e b y t h e f r e q u e n c y o f s u c h w h o l e s a l e c a l a
m i t i e s . T h e r e a d e r s o f t h i s w i l l p a r d o n m y t o u c h i n g u p o n
s u c h
t o p i c s ,
f o r
o n
S a t u r d a y
t h e 1 6 t h , t w o d a y s a f t e r
t h e
h u r r i c a n e , I c a l l e d o n t h e S h i p w r e c k e d M a r i n e r ' s S o c i e t y t o
w a r n s o l e m n l y
a g a i n s t 1 s t t o 3 r d
D e c e m b e r
a n d
1 1 t h
D e c e m b e r
n e x t ,
w h e n
I
t h e r e
s a w
t h e
b e n e v o l e n t
s e c r e t a r y
( h i m s e l f
a
s a i l o r ) a d m i n i s t e r i n g t o t h e w a n t s o f n o l e s s
t h a n
t h r e e s h i p
w r e c k e d
c r e w s S u r e l y , m y e a r n e s t n e s s i n
t r y i n g
t o a v e r t
t h e s e d i s a s t e r s m i g h t
b e
m y e x c u s e , e v e n w e r e I t o m o v e t h e
h i g h e s t a u t h o r i t i e s
i n
t h e
l a n d , i f n e c e s s a r y , i n o r d e r
t o
a t - *
t e m p t t h e i n t r o d u c t i o n o f a r e m e d y . B u t I a t t a c k n o o n e ,
I
d e n o u n c e o n l y a s y s t e m .
B u t
t o
r e t u r n
t o
t h e
S h i e l d s l e t t e r ,
a l r e a d y q u o t e d ,
a n y
o n e
w h o
w a t c h e d t h e b a r o m e t e r a t t h a t p e r i o d w o u l d h a v e
b e e n j u s t i f i e d ( i f t h e
B o a r d
o f
T r a d e
w i l l p a r d o n
m y o f f e r i n g
a n o p i n i o n ) i n w a r n i n g t h e c o a s t f o r t h e 1 2 t h N o v e m b e r , a n d
i n
o r d e r t h a t
I
m a y n o t
b e s u p p o s e d t o j o i n w i t h
t h e
c o a s t m e n
w h o r i d i c u l e a n d d e s p i s e s u c h w a r n i n g s , I
w o u l d
r e f e r
t o
a n d
q u o t e m y a d v i c e g i v e n i n t h e N a u t i c a l M a g a z i n e f o r S e p
t e m b e r
l a s t
w i t h
r e f e r e n c e t o a n o t h e r
w a r n i n g g i v e n o n 4 t h
J u l y
l a s t ,
b y
t h e
B o a r d
o f
T r a d e ,
t o
p r e p a r e
f o r
a
c o m i n g
8/20/2019 Saxby - 1862 - Foretelling Weather Being A Description (1).pdf
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/saxby-1862-foretelling-weather-being-a-description-1pdf 16/79
1 1
s t o r m . T o p m a s t s w e r e s t r u c k
a n d
a l l p r o m p t l y m a d e
s n u g
i n
t h e
s t e a m
r e s e r v e
o f
h e r M a j e s t y ' s
s h i p s , b u t t h e s t o r m
d i d
n o t
c o m e
; a l i g h t , p l e a s a n t , s i n g l e - r e e f e d t o p s a i l b r e e z e w e n t
d o w n
a t s u n s e t ,
a n d
n o t h i n g e x t r a o r d i n a r y
h a p p e n e d ;
b u t
h e r e a g a i n , h a d I
b e e n
i n A d m i r a l F i t z r o y ' s p o s i t i o n , I w o u l d
h a v e w a r n e d
a s h e d i d .
I h a v e
n o d o u b t
( f r o m
t h e
s t a t e
o f
t h e b a r o m e t e r ) t h a t a
C y c l o n e
t h e n p a s s e d n o t f a r f r o m t h e s e
s h o r e s .
M y
p u b l i s h e d
w o r d s a r e
( s e e
N a u t i c a l a g a z i n e
f o r S e p t e m b e r , p . 4 9 2 ) :
T h e - w a r n i n g s
w e
o c c a s i o n a l l y
r e c e i v e f r o m A d m i r a l
F i t z r o y
a r e
w o r t h y e v e r y
a t t e n t i o n a l o n g t h e c o a s t , b e c a u s e
I
b e l i e v e
t h a t
g r e a t
f a l l s ( i n t h e b a r o m e t e r ) n e v e r o c c u r f r o m a n y c a u s e b u t a p p r o a c h i n g
C y c l o n e s
a n d
w h i l e
w e
l a u g h
a t
t h e
o c c a s i o n a l
f r u i t l e s s n e s s
o f
s o m e
w a r n i n g s , a n d
r e j o i c e
t o h a v e e s c a p e d
t h e
s t o r m t h a t t h r e a t e n e d , l e t
u s b e
t h a n k f u l f o r t h e
v i g i l a n c e
w h i c h t r i e d t o g i v e u s t h e t i m e l y
w a r n i n g .
I h a v e
t h u s
a t t e m p t e d t o
a c q u a i n t t h e
p u b l i c w i t h
c u r r e n t
g e n e r a l
o p i n i o n s
a s
r e g a r d s
c o m i n g w e a t h e r
b u t b e f o r e I
c a n
c o n d e n s e t h e s e i n t o t a n g i b l e s h a p e f o r c o m p a r i s o n w i t h w h a t
I
h a v e
t o
s a y
i n
r e g a r d
t o
a
n e w
t h e o r y ,
i t
i s
n e c e s s a r y
t h a t
t h e r e a d e r
b e
a c q u a i n t e d
w i t h
t h e a c t i o n
o f t h e
b a r o m e t e r .
L e t
u s c o n s i d e r t h a t t h e e a r t h
i s
s u r r o u n d e d
b y
a i r , t o t h e
h e i g h t o f ( s a y a b o u t ) 4 5 m i l e s .
N o w ,
w e r e i t p o s s i b l e t o
s e t u p a
g l a s s
t u b e o f
t h i s
l e n g t h ,
h a v i n g a
s e c t i o n a l a r e a
o f
1 s q u a r e i n c h , p e r p e n d i c u l a r l y o n a n y p a r t o f t h e e a r t h ' s s u r
f a c e , t h e a i r r e q u i r e d
t o i l l
t h i s
t u b e w o u l d w e i g h n e a r l y
1 4 f l b s . ; t h i s t h e n w o u l d b e a n a i r B a r o m e t e r , a n d s u p p o s i n g
t h e
b o t t o m
t o
b e
o p e n ,
g r a d u a t i o n s
o n
t h e
u p p e r
p o r t i o n s o f
t h e t u b e w o u l d m e a s u r e t h e h e i g h t o r c h a n g e s i n h e i g h t o f
t h e a i r t h e n r e s t i n g o n
t h e
p a r t o f
t h e
e a r t h a t w h i c h
t h e
t u b e
w a s e r e c t e d . B u t s u c h
a b a r o m e t e r i s a m a n i f e s t i m p o s s i
b i l i t y , w e c o n s e q u e n t l y h a v e r e c o u r s e
t o o t h e r
m e t h o d s .
S u p p o s e
i n s t e a d
o f a i r w e u s e w a t e r i n a
t u b e
a s
w a s
d o n e a t t h e K o y a l S o c i e t y i n 1 8 3 1 ; b u t t h e t u b e w a s
o f
g l a s s ,
a n d
4 0
f e e t
l o n g ,
a n d 3 0
t o
4 0
f e e t
i s
a
u s e l e s s
h e i g h t
f o r
A
6
8/20/2019 Saxby - 1862 - Foretelling Weather Being A Description (1).pdf
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/saxby-1862-foretelling-weather-being-a-description-1pdf 17/79
1 2
p u b l i c o b s e r v a t i o n , e v e n w e r e t h e r e n o o t h e r o b j e c t i o n s ; b u t i f
w e
t a k e
a h e a v i e r
f l u i d , s u c h
a s
m e r c u r y ,
w e c a n
f o r m a n a v a i l
a b l e
i n s t r u m e n t i n
t h e
f o l l o w i n g
m a n n e r , o n e w h i c h w i l l a t
t h e s a m e t i m e i l l u s t r a t e t h e n a t u r e
o f
a t m o s p h e r i c
p r e s s u r e .
I f w e h a v e
a t u b e b e n t l i k e t h e l e t t e r
y , a n d p l a c e
a
q u a n
t i t y
o f m e r c u r y
t h e r e i n , t h e t w o e n d s b e i n g o p e n , t h e m e r c u r y
w i l l s t a n d i n t h e t w o l e g s a t a d e a d l e v e l ; b u t i f w e c l o s e o n e
l e g
s e c u r e l y w i t h
a
p l u g
h a v i n g
a s m a l l
p i p e
c o n n e c t i n g t h e
a i r
a b o v e t h e m e r c u r y i n t h e c l o s e d l e g w i t h a n a i r p u m p ,
e v e r y s t r o k e o f t h e l a t t e r , w h i c h p u m p s o u t a i r ,
w i l l
a l l o w o f
t h e m e r c u r y r i s i n g
i n
t h e c l o s e d l e g u n t i l i t a t t a i n s t h e h e i g h t
o f a b o u t 3 0 i n c h e s
;
w h e n a l l
t h e
a i r i n
t h e c l o s e d
l e g w i l l
h a v e b e e n
r e m o v e d ,
t h e
v a c a n c y
o r
v o i d
t h u s
p r o d u c e d
i s
w h a t
w e
c a l l
a
v a c u u m . T h e
r i s e
o f
t h e
m e r c u r y
i n t h e t u b e w a s
c a u s e d b y t h e w e i g h t o f a i r r e s t i n g o n t h e s u r f a c e o f t h e
m e r c u r y i n
t h e
o p e n t u b e ,
w h i c h
f o r c e d
t h e m e r c u r y u p t h e
e m p t y
o n e
w h e r e t h e r e
w a s n o t h i n g
t o r e s i s t i t N o w ,
i f
t h e s e c t i o n a l
a r e a
o f t h i s
t u b e
b e
o n e
s q u a r e i n c h , t h e o u t e r
p r e s s u r e o i a i r
w o u l d
s u s t a i n ,
a t
a b o u t 3 0 i n c h e s
h i g h ,
a
c o l u m n
o f
m e r c u r y
w e i g h i n g
( a s
i n
t h e
c a s e
o f
t h e c o n t e n t s
o f
t h e
A i r B a r o m e t e r ) 1 4 ^ l b s . T h i s
t h e n i s
c a l l e d
t h e B a r o
m e t e r . ( B a r o m e t e r s a r e v e r y
e a s i l y
m a d e w i t h o u t a n
a i r
p u m p . )
L e t u s n o w c o n s i d e r t h e n a t u r e o f c h a n g e s i n t h e b a r o
m e t e r .
W e h a v e d e c l a r e d t h e
a i r
i n a q u i e s c e n t s t a t e
u p o n
t h e e a r t h ' s s u r f a c e t o w e i g h 1 4 | l b s .
p e r s q u a r e
i n c h , w h e n
e x
t e n d i n g t o , s a y 4 5 m i l e s
h i g h
;
b u t s u p p o s e
t h a t f l u i d
a i r
i s
a f f e c t e d i n t h e s a m e
m a n n e r
a s f l u i d w a t e r ( a n d s u c h i s t h e
c a s e ) , u n d u l a t i o n s w o u l d
p r o d u c e d i f f e r e n c e s i n
t h e
h e i g h t o f
s u c h a i r
w o u l d
t h e r e f o r e p r o d u c e
d i f f e r e n c e s
i n t h e w e i g h t
o f
s u c h a i r , a n d w e s h o u l d s e e t h e s u r f a c e
o f
t h e
m e r c u r y
r i s e
a n d f a l l a c c o r d i n g l y , o n l y w e d o n o t r e g i s t e r t h e c h a n g e s o f
w e i g h t
o f
a i r
o r m e r c u r y , b u t ,
m o r e
c o n v e n i e n t l y , t h e c h a n g e s
i n
h e i g h t o f t h e m e r c u r y . H e n c e , t h e n , o u r r e a d i n g s o f
t h e
b a r o m e t e r ,
a s
i n d i c a t i n g
r i s e
a n d
f a l l
o f
m e r c u r y .
8/20/2019 Saxby - 1862 - Foretelling Weather Being A Description (1).pdf
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/saxby-1862-foretelling-weather-being-a-description-1pdf 18/79
1 3
F u r t h e r m o r e ,
i t
h a s b e e n
a s c e r t a i n e d
b e y o n d
d o u b t
t h a t t h e
w e a t h e r c o r r e s p o n d s , i n s o m e m e a s u r e , w i t h t h e s e r i s i n g s a n d
f a l l i n g s
o f
m e r c u r y .
B u t
c o n t r a d i c t i o n s s e e m t o
e x i s t i n p r e
s e n t d e d u c t i o n s f r o m t h e r i s e a n d f a l l o f t h e m e r c u r y , b e c a u s e
s t o r m s
d o s o m e t i m e s o c c u r w i t h o u t
a n y
d i s t u r b a n c e
o f
t h e
b a r o m e t e r w h i l e , o n t h e o t h e r h a n d , s t o r m s d o n o t o c c u r
w h e n e x i s t i n g p o p u l a r n o t i o n s o f
t h e
c a u s e s
o f d i s t u r b a n c e o f
t h e
b a r o m e t e r l e a d u s t o
e x p e c t
t h e m . H e n c e
t h e
b a r o m e t e r
i s
a t
b e s t a n
u n c e r t a i n m e a n s
o f
f o r e t e l l i n g
w e a t h e r .
T h i s I f u l l y -
p r o v e d i n t h e N a u t i c a l M a g a z i n e f o r S e p t e m b e r l a s t , w i t h o u t
e v e n
g o i n g b e y o n d t h e R e g i s t e r
o f W e a t h e r
a n d t h e B a r o m e t e r
f o r
t h e p r e v i o u s m o n t h o f J u l y .
N o w
t h e
a b o v e
i s
a b s o l u t e l y
a l l
t h a t
p h i l o s o p h y
i n
E n g l a n d
o r i n
t h e c i v i l i s e d
w o r l d , h a s h i t h e r t o
b e e n
a b l e t o p r o d u c e
i n
o r d e r t o a s c e r t a i n t h e p r e d i c t i o n s o f w e a t h e r . A n d i n c a s e
s o m e
s h o u l d
f e e l
i n c l i n e d
t o
d i s p u t e t h e a c c u r a c y o f
s u c h a
s t a t e m e n t ,
I
w o u l d r e f e r
t h e
r e a d e r t o t h e p a g e s o f t h e
T i m e s
n e w s p a p e r f o r
t h e
1 4 t h o r 1 5 t h
i n s t a n t ,
w h e r e i n
t h e
i n d e f a
t i g a b l e
a n d g a l l a n t A d m i r a l ( o u r
b e s t a u t h o r i t y
o n t h i s
s u b
j e c t )
t e l l s
u s :
H a v i n g e x p l a i n e d
w h y i t
i s i m p o s s i b l e t o
f o r e t e l l
o r
p r e d i c t
a c c u r a t e l y
a n y p a r t i c u l a r
w e a t h e r
a t a n i n t e r v a l o f t i m e e x c e e d i n g t w o o r t h r e e
d a y s i n
a d v a n c e ,
a n d h a v i n g a s s u r e d
h i m
( r e f e r r i n g t o s o m e
a s t r o -
m e t e o r o l o g i s t ) t h a t
n o s u c h
f o r e s e e n p r e d i c t i o n
a s
t h a t o f
t h e 1 0 t h
i n s t a n t ,
a d v e r t i n g
t o t h e
1 7 t h , w o u l d
h a v e b e e n v e n t u r e d o n
a t
t h i s
O f f i c e , s i m p l y b e c a u s e w e c o u l d n o t h a v e f a c t s o n w h i c h i t m i g h t b e
b a s e d e v e n a p p r o x i m a t e l y , c .
N o w a s t h e w o r d c o u l d a p p e a r s i n I t a l i c s i n t h e o r i g i n a l ,
i t i s i n t e n d e d
t o b e
c o n s i d e r e d
e m p h a t i c .
T h i s
i s
s o m e w h a t
s i n g u l a r ,
a s o n t h e v e r y d a y o n w h i c h t h a t w a s i s s u e d f o r
p u b l i c
i n f o r m a t i o n
( v i z . ,
F r i d a y
m o r n i n g ) , a
n o t i c e , w h i c h
I
m y s e l f r e a d a t L l o y d s , w a s p o s t e d t o a n n o u n c e t h a t t h e w o r t h y
A d m i r a l
i n t e n d e d
t o w a r n f o r t h e f o l l o w i n g
T u e s d a y , t h e
p o r t s
( w h i c h
s t a n d
o n
t h e
l i s t )
a b o v e
S c a r b o r o u g h ,
a n d
t o
8/20/2019 Saxby - 1862 - Foretelling Weather Being A Description (1).pdf
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/saxby-1862-foretelling-weather-being-a-description-1pdf 19/79
1 4
w a r n f o r
t h e
f o l l o w i n g W e d n e s d a y a l l t h e p o r t s , o n t h a t l i s t ,
t h u s
h i m s e l f w a r n i n g
o v e r
a
p e r i o d
o f s i x d a y s .
I m a y h e r e
o b s e r v e ,
t h a t r e f e r e n c e t o t h e N a u t i c a l a g a z i n e
f o r
S e p t e m b e r
l a s t
( p a g e
4 9 3 ) w i l l s h o w
t h a t I h a d e x p r e s s l y
p r e d i c t e d
t h a t
t h i s v e r y 1 9 t h
N o v e m b e r
w o u l d
b e
a p e r i o d o f
a t m o s p h e r i c d i s t u r b a n c e a n d p r o b a b l e c h a n g e ; a n d
i t
p r o v e d
s o , f o r
o n t h a t
d a y a t h a w
s u c c e e d e d t h e
s e v e r e f r o s t s o f
p r e v i o u s d a y s , a n d t h e w i n d c h a n g e d
f r o m
N . W . t o S . \ V .
I n t h e
T i m e s o f
2 3 r d
i n s t . , p .
1 2 , a p p e a r s t h e f o l l o w i n g
i n
t h e i r S h i e l d s c o r r e s p o n d e n t ' s r e p o r t :
T u e s d a y
n i g h t ,
s p e c i a l l y
m e n t i o n e d b y M r . S a x b y , E . N . ,
a s
l i k e l y t o
b e
a
p e r i o d
o f
a t m o s p h e r i c
d i s t u r b a n c e ,
w a s
v e r y w i l d
a n d
s t o r m y
i n
t h e
N o r t h S e a .
S u c h , t h e n ,
a b u n d a n t l y
i l l u s t r a t e s
t h e
c o n d i t i o n
o f m e t e o r o
l o g i c a l s c i e n c e ,
a s r e g a r d s w e a t h e r i n E n g l a n d ,
a c o u n t r y
p r o v e r b i a l f o r i t s c h a n g e s a n d t h e u n c e r t a i n t y
o f
i t s c l i m a t e ,
a n d , a b o v e a l l
o t h e r s ,
p o s s e s s i n g
a
w e a l t h a n d
c o m m e r c e
e x
p o s e d t o t h e i n f l u e n c e s o f w e a t h e r .
C o u l d
w e ,
t h e r e f o r e ,
o v e r - e s t i m a t e
t h e
v a l u e
o f
a w e l l -
d i g e s t e d
a n d w e l l - p r o v e d s y s t e m t o
s u c h
a c o u n t r y ,
a n d
m o r e
e s p e c i a l l y o n e w h i c h
I
f i r m l y b e l i e v e
t o
b e a s a v a i l
a b l e f o r p r e d i c t i o n s t w e n t y y e a r s i n a d v a n c e
a s
f o r t w o d a y s ?
I f w e c a n o n l y r e s t o r e a w e l l - g r o u n d e d c o n f i d e n c e i n t h e
b a r o m e t e r ,
a n d e x p l a i n
t h e
c a u s e s w h i c h
h a v e
h e r e t o f o r e
r e n d e r e d t h a t v a l u a b l e i n s t r u m e n t u n c e r t a i n a n d a t t i m e s
d e c e i v i n g ,
w e
p l a c e
i n
t h e h a n d s
o f m a r i n e r s ,
f a r m e r s ,
f i s h e r
m e n , a n d i n d e e d i n e v e r y B r i t i s h h o u s e h o l d , a
m e a n s
o f
i m
m e n s e p u b l i c c o n v e n i e n c e ,
t o s a y
n o t h i n g o f
t h e
a n n u a l
s a v i n g
o f s o m a n y h u m a n l i v e s a n d c a r g o e s , a n d i n d e e d m u c h o f t h e
f r u i t s
o f
h u s b a n d r y a n d
c o m m e r c e , w h i c h
t h e p r e s e n t
s t a t e
o f t h i n g s c o n s i g n s t o t h e m i g h t y d e e p
T o
a c c o m p l i s h
t h i s g r e a t d i s c o v e r y
h a s
l o n g b e e n t h e a m b i
t i o n
o f
t h e
w r i t e r ,
a n d t h e f o l l o w i n g e x p l a n a t i o n s , i n
a
c o n
d e n s e d
f o r m ,
a r e
o f f e r e d
t o
t h e
g e n e r a l
p u b l i c
a f t e r
a
p u b l i c
8/20/2019 Saxby - 1862 - Foretelling Weather Being A Description (1).pdf
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/saxby-1862-foretelling-weather-being-a-description-1pdf 20/79
1 5
t e s t i n g o f t w o
y e a r s . W h e t h e r
f r o m t h e e n c o u r a g e m e n t
g i v e n b y t h o s e
w h o
h a v e
w a t c h e d
t h e f u l f i l m e n t o f m y n e a r l y
1 0 0 p r e d i c t i o n s d u r i n g t h a t p e r i o d , p u b l i s h e d m o n t h s i n
a d v a n c e , o r w h e t h e r a s e n c o u r a g e d b y t h e t h a n k s o f p i l o t s
o r
o f m a r i n e r s ,
t o
w h o s e
a t t e n t i o n
t o
m y
h u m b l e
p r e d i c t i o n s ,
a n d d e f e r e n c e t o m y w a r n i n g s s e n t a l o n g t h e c o a s t , t h e y c o n
f e s s
t o o w e
t h e i r l i v e s
a n d
s a f e t y
( v i d e N a u t i c a l
M a g a z i n e
f o r
A p r i l , p . 1 9 0 ) , I o f f e r t h e f o l l o w i n g , i n f i r m b e l i e f i n i t s
i m p r e g n a b l e
t r u t h .
I t h a s
a l r e a d y
b e e n c a l l e d
S a x b t ' s
W e a t h e r
S y s t e m .
A s
t h i s
b o o k
i s
i n t e n d e d
f o r
t h e g e n e r a l
r e a d e r ,
r a t h e r
t h a n
f o r
t h e
m a n
o f s c i e n c e , m i n u t e d e t a i l s
o f p h i l o s o p h i c a l
q u e s t i o n s
a r e u n n e c e s s a r y ,
w h i l e e n o u g h
w i l l
b e
g i v e n t o b r i n g t h e
s u b j e c t
w i t h i n
t h e
t h o r o u g h c o m p r e h e n s i o n o f
a l l c l a s s e s .
I n f e w w o r d s , t h e n , I p r o c e e d t o s t a t e a s
f o l l o w s
:
I
h a v e f o u n d
t h a t t h e
m o o n
n e v e r c r o s s e s t h e
e a r t h ' s
e q u a t o r
o r r e a c h e s
h e r
p o s i t i o n o f s t i t i a l c o l u r e , w i t h o u t a m a r k e d
d i s t u r b a n c e
o f
t h e
a t m o s p h e r e
o c c u r r i n g
a t
t h e
s a m e
p e r i o d .
T h e r e f o r e
I b e g a n b y c o m b i n i n g t h e s e l u n a r c h a n g e s a n d
a c t u a l
w e a t h e r
d i s t u r b a n c e s
i n t o
t h e
r e l a t i o n s h i p
o f c a u s e
a n d e f f e c t .
I n c o n s i d e r i n g t h e c a u s e , t h e r e w a s l i t t l e d i f f i c u l t y i n
t r a c i n g
i t t o d i s t u r b a n c e
o f
t h e e l e c t r i c s y s t e m o f t h e g l o b e
a t s u c h
p e r i o d s ,
i n c o n s e q u e n c e
o f
c h a n g e s i n t h e
e f f e c t
p r o
d u c e d
i n
o u r a t m o s p h e r e
b y
v a r i a t i o n s
i n
t h e
i n t e n s i t y
o f
t h e a t t r a c t i o n
o f
t h e
s u n o r
m o o n , o r b o t h , a s t h e y
v a r y
t h e i r p o s i t i o n s w i t h r e s p e c t t o t h e e a r t h . I h a d b e f o r e
m e
a s
a g u i d e t h e w e l l - k n o w n a n d r e c o g n i s e d i n f l u e n c e o f t h e m o o n ' s
a t t r a c t i o n u p o n
t h e t i d e s .
»
I f i n d
t h a t
t h e
p h a s e s o f
t h e m o o n , p r o p e r l y
s o c a l l e d ,
d o
n o t , p e r c e p t i b l y ,
a f f e c t
t h e w e a t h e r .
T h a t
t h e
p e r i o d
o f
n e w
m o o n
h a s
a
m a r k e d
i n f l u e n c e
o n
t h e
8/20/2019 Saxby - 1862 - Foretelling Weather Being A Description (1).pdf
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/saxby-1862-foretelling-weather-being-a-description-1pdf 21/79
1 6
w e a t h e r w h e n o c c u r r i n g n e a r t h e
p e r i o d s
o f l u n a r e q u i n o x o r
l u n a r
s t i t i a l
c o l u r e ,
a n d t h a t t h i s
i n f l u e n c e
i s h e i g h t e n e d
c o n
s i d e r a b l y i f a t t h e s a m e t i m e t h e m o o n b e i n p e r i g e e .
T h a t
t h e
m e r e
f a c t
o f
h e r
b e i n g
i n
p e r i g e e
i s
o f n o i m p o r t - s
a n c e a t a n y o t h e r t i m e s . S o t h a t w h e n t h e l u n a r e q u i n o x o r
c o l u r e o c c u r s a t t h e s a m e p e r i o d
a s
t h e
n e w
m o o n
i n
p e r i g e e ,
t h e g r e a t e s t a t m o s p h e r i c d i s t u r b a n c e s t o w h i c h
o u r
e a r t h i s
l i a b l e
m a y t h e n
b e e x p e c t e d w i t h c e r t a i n t y o f f u l f i l m e n t .
N o w , e i t h e r t h e
m o o n
c r o s s e s o u r e q u a t o r , o r
i s
a t h e r
s t i t i a l c o l u r e
( o r g r e a t e s t d i s t a n c e f r o m
o u r
e q u a t o r ) a b o u t
o n c e
i n
a
w e e k
( i t
i s
p o s s i b l e
t h a t
o n e o f
e a c h
m a y
h a p p e n i n
t h e s a m e w e e k , a c c o r d i n g t o t h e i n c l i n a t i o n o f h e r o r b i t ) ,
t h e r e f o r e
t h e r e
i s
a n
a t m o s p h e r i c
d i s t u r b a n c e
f r o m
t h i s
c a u s e ,
s a y o n c e a w e e k , a n d i t i s i n v a r i a b l y t r a c e a b l e , a s w i l l p r e
s e n t l y b e
f u r t h e r
e x p l a i n e d .
T h i s w e a t h e r
s y s t e m i s
e x t r e m e l y
s i m p l e ; a n d
I f e a r
m a n y e n e m i e s t o i t w i l l b e m a d e f r o m d i s t r u s t o n a c c o u n t 0 1
s u c h
s i m p l i c i t y .
F o r i f w e c o n d e n s e t h e d e f i n i t i o n
o f
t h e a b o v e
t h e o r y ,
i t
i s
m a i n l y
a
m e r e
q u e s t i o n
o f
t h e
m o o n ' s
d e c l i n a t i o n .
I h a v e , f r o m a c t u a l r e p o r t s f r o m a b r o a d , r e a s o n t o b e l i e v e
t h a t i t s e f f e c t s a r e u n i v e r s a l ,
e x c e p t i n g
p e r h a p s
a t
t h e r e g i o n s
o f
t h e t r a d e w i n d s , a n d t h i s i s e a s y t o
b e
a c c o u n t e d f o r i i
w e c o n s i d e r t h e c a u s e
o f
t h e m e r i d i o n a l
a i r
c u r r e n t s
o f t h e
e a r t h .
T h e m e t h o d i n w h i c h t h e w e a t h e r i s a f f e c t e d b y t h e f o r c e s
o f t h e s u n ' s
a n d m o o n ' s a t t r a c t i o n ,
i s i n t h e n e c e s s a r i l y r e s u l t
i n g s u d d e n c o n d e n s a t i o n s o f m o i s t u r e i n t h e a t m o s p h e r e , o r i n
t h e i n c r e a s e d e v a p o r a t i o n
o f
m o i s t u r e , a c c o r d i n g a s t h e
a i r
i s
i n a s t a t e o f p o s i t i v e o r n e g a t i v e e l e c t r i c i t y i n a d i s t r i c t , w h e n
d i s t u r b e d
b y
t h e
s u d d e n a f f e c t i o n
o f t h e
w h o l e
e l e c t r i c
s y s t e m
a t t h e p e r i o d s a b o v e d e n o t e d .
N o w s u d d J n c o n d e n s a t i o n o f m o i s t u r e i n t h e a t m o s p h e r e
p r o d u c e s
a p a r t i a l v a c u u m , i n t o w h i c h s u r r o u n d i n g a i r
n e c e s
s a r i l y
r u s h e s
;
h e n c e
t h e
p e r i o d s
o f
l u n a r e q u i n o x ,
o r
o o l u r e s ,
8/20/2019 Saxby - 1862 - Foretelling Weather Being A Description (1).pdf
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/saxby-1862-foretelling-weather-being-a-description-1pdf 22/79
1 7
a r e p e r i o d s o f
a t m o s p h e r i c d i s t u r b a n c e ,
t h e i n t e n s i t y
o f
s u c h
d e p e n d i n g
m u c h
o n
l o c a l i t i e s ,
a n d
w h e r e
s u c h c o n d e n s a t i o n s
o r e v a p o r a t i o n s o c c u r
u p o n a l a r g e
s c a l e , t h e i r e f f e c t s m a y
l a s t
f o r s o m e d a y s , o r u n t i l
e q u i l i b r i u m i s
r e s t o r e d .
H i g h
w i n d s
a t
t h e s e
p e r i o d s
a r e
n o t
a l w a y s a c c o m p a n i e d
b y
f a l l s o f m e r c u r y i n t h e b a r o m e t e r , s i n c e n o a c c u m u l a t i o n o f
t h e e l e c t r i c f l u i d
( w h i c h i s i m p o n d e r a b l e )
c a n
i n c r e a s e
t h e
w e i g h t o f t h e a t m o s p h e r e .
T h e a b o v e d i s t u r b a n c e s o p e r a t i n g a s t h e y d o a t
t h e
p e r i o d
o f
t h e
l u n a r e q u i n o x , o r s t i t i a l c o l u r e ,
b e i n g t h e
i m m e d i a t e
r e s u l t o f e l e c t r i c a c t i o n , I c a l l p r i m a r y , o r e l e c t r i c , t o d i s
t i n g u i s h
t h e m f r o m a n o t h e r
k i n d o f a t m o s p h e r i c d i s t u r b a n c e ,
w h i c h I c a l l s e c o n d a r y o r m e c h a n i c a l , a n d f o r t h e f o l l o w i n g
r e a s o n s ,
v i z .
W h e t h e r
f r o m
t h e n e a r e r p r o x i m i t y
o f
t h e e q u a t o r i a l r e g i o n s
o f t h e e a r t h
t o t h e
m o o n ,
o r f r o m t h e p e c u l i a r
a c t i o n
o f w h a t
i s
t e r m e d
t h e r m o - e l e c t r i c i t y , c e r t a i n i t i s t h a t s u c h a r e t h e
p l a c e s
w h i c h a r e
s u b j e c t t o
t h e
g r e a t e s t a m o u n t o f p r e c i p i t a
t i o n s
o r
c o n d e n s a t i o n s .
W e
m a y ,
t h e r e f o r e ,
e a s i l y
c o n c e i v e
t h a t
a t m o s p h e r i c
d i s t u r b a n c e s a r e t h e r e g e n e r a t e d
o n
t h e
g r a n d e s t s c a l e . I n t h o s e p a r t s o f t h e g l o b e w h e r e i t i s k n o w n
t h a t
t h e
a i r c o n t a i n s
t h e
g r e a t e s t a m o u n t
o f
v a p o u r ( f r o m
t h e
g r e a t e r e v a p o r a t i o n s w i t h i n t h e t r o p i c s ) a s u d d e n d i s t u r b a n c e o f
e l e c t r i c i t y
c a u s i n g s u c h a n
e x t e n s i v e p r e c i p i t a t i o n ,
w o u l d
r e
q u i r e a n i m m e n s e f l o w o f a i r t o r e s t o r e e q u i l i b r i u m a n d t h a t
t h e
a i r
a s s u m e s
a w h i r l i n g
m o t i o n
i s
o n l y
w h a t
w e
s e e i n
a l l
f l u i d s u n d e r s i m i l a r c i r c u m s t a n c e s , b u t t h a t t h i s w h i r l i n g s h o u l d
a l w a y s , i n
t h e n o r t h e r n h e m i s p h e r e , b e
i n
a d i r e c t i o n c o n t r a r y
t o
t h e h a n d s
o f a
w a t c h , i s n o
m o r e
t h a n
w e
s h o u l d e x p e c t
f r o m t h e c i r c u m s t a n c e s o f
t h e
e a r t h ' s
m o t i o n
o n i t s a x i s
b e i n g
f r o m
w e s t t o e a s t , w h i l e o n t h e s o u t h e r n
s i d e
o f t h e
e q u a t o r ,
t h e w h i r l
i s
i n
a c o n t r a r y d i r e c t i o n . T h e s e w h i r l i n g
c o l u m n s o f a i r , m o r e o v e r ,
h a v e
a p r o g r e s s i v e m o t i o n , a l w a y s
i n
a
d i r e c t i o n
f r o m
t h e
e q u a t o r .
8/20/2019 Saxby - 1862 - Foretelling Weather Being A Description (1).pdf
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/saxby-1862-foretelling-weather-being-a-description-1pdf 23/79
1 8
H e n c e a r i s e s a m e a n s o f d i s t i n g u i s h i n g m y t h e o r y
i n t o
t w o
d i s t i n c t h e a d s t h u s ,
T h e p r i m a r y e f f e c t s o f
d i s t u r b a n c e
a r e i m m e d i a t e a n d
s t a
t i o n a r y .
T h e
s e c o n d a r y
a r e
p r o g r e s s i v e ,
a n d
t h e y
t r a v e l
t o
a
c o n s i d e r
a b l e d i s t a n c e .
T h e l a t t e r a r e
k n o w n b y t h e
n a m e o f h u r r i c a n e s , o r C y c l o n e s ,
a s t h e y a r e c a l l e d , a n d t h e y r e q u i r e s o m e
f u r t h e r
i l l u s t r a t i o n .
T h e C y c l o n e s w h i c h
a f f e c t
u s
d e r i v e t h e i r
o r i g i n
i n t h e
r e g i o n s
o f a b o u t 1 0 ° t o 1 5 ° n o r t h l a t i t u d e , n o t v e r y
f a r
e a s t w a r d o f t h e
i s l a n d o f T r i n i d a d ,
t h e y t h e n
t r a v e l
a l o n g
v e r y n e a r l y
u p o n
s o m e
l i n e
o f
e q u a l
m a g n e t i c
v a r i a t i o n
u n t i l
t h e y
m e e t
t h e
c o n
t i n e n t o f A m e r i c a w i t h m o r e o r
l e s s
p r o x i m i t y ,
a n d t h e n ,
w h e t h e r i t b e c a u s e d b y t h e h i g h e r t e m p e r a t u r e o f t h e G u l f
S t r e a m
o r b y s o m e p e c u l i a r
m a g n e t i c
o r
e l e c t r i c r e p u l s i o n , t h e i r
c o u r s e s e e m s t o b e a b s o r b e d
i n t o
t h e l i n e o f d i r e c t i o n o f t h e G u l f
S t r e a m , w h i c h s h u n t s t h e m , a s
i t w e r e ,
a c r o s s
s e v e r a l c o n t i
g u o u s
l i n e s
o f e q u a l
m a g n e t i c
v a r i a t i o n , a n d p l a c e s t h e m
u p o n
o t h e r s
i n
t h e
d i r e c t i o n
o f
w h i c h
( o r
v e r y
n e a r l y )
t h e y r e a c h
t h e
B r i t i s h I s l a n d s .
T h u s C y c l o n e s
a l w a y s
a p p r o a c h
u s f r o m
t h e s o u t h w a r d a n d w e s t w a r d , a n d p r o c e e d t o w a r d s t h e n o r t h
e a s t w a r d a n d t h i s
k n o w n f a c t
a f f o r d s t h e B o a r d o f T r a d e
t h e
o p p o r t u n i t y o f
w a r n i n g
t h e n o r t h e r n p o r t s o f a n a p p r o a c h i n g
C y c l o n e ,
f o r t h e r e
i s
a n o t h e r p e c u l i a r i t y
a b o u t C y c l o n e s
w h i c h
o r d i n a r y g a l e s
a r e f r e e f r o m , a n d
i t
c a n e a s i l y
b e e x p l a i n e d .
I f w e s t i r w a t e r
i n a
t u m b l e r , i t w i l l b e s e e n
t h a t
t h e c e n t r e
o f t h e f l u i d i s d e p r e s s e d i n p r o p o r t i o n t o t h e v e l o c i t y o f
t h e
f l u i d , a n d i t
i s j u s t
s o
i n t h e c a s e
o f
a C y c l o n e .
T h e
r a p i d
w h i r l i n g m o t i o n o f t h e a i r y i e l d s t o t h e l a w o f c e n t r i f u g a l f o r c e ,
a n d t h e
a i r l e a v e s
t h e
c e n t r e c o n s e q u e n t l y ,
w i t h i n t h e v o r t e x
t h e h e i g h t o f t h e a i r b e c o m e s l o w e r e d , o r , w e m a y s a y , t h e
w e i g h t o f
t h e
a i r b e c o m e s
l e s s e n e d , s o
t h a t i t a l l o w s
t h e m e r c u r y
i n a b a r o m e t e r t o f a l l i n c o n s e q u e n c e
o f d i m i n i s h e d
a t m o s p h e r i c
p r e s s u r e .
A n d ,
f u r t h e r ,
t h e
s a m e
l a w
w h i c h
c a u s e s
a
v e s s e l
8/20/2019 Saxby - 1862 - Foretelling Weather Being A Description (1).pdf
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/saxby-1862-foretelling-weather-being-a-description-1pdf 24/79
1 9
i n s a i l i n g t h r o u g h t h e w a t e r
t o
p u s h a s m a l l w a v e b e f o r e i t
c a u s e s
t h e m a s s o f w h i r l i n g a i r ,
i n
i t s
p r o g r e s s
t h r o u g h
t h e
a t m o s p h e r e ,
t o p u s h i t s
a t m o s p h e r i c
w a v e
b e f o r e
i t
w h i c h
n e c e s s a r i l y , b y i n c r e a s i n g
t h e
h e i g h t o f t h e
c o l u m n o f a i r ,
s l i g h t l y
r a i s e s t h e m e r c u r y t h i s
I
h a v e f r e q u e n t l y n o t i c e d ,
a n d h a v e c a l l e d i t t h e p r e m o n i t o r y w a v e o f a C y c l o n e . I
o b s e r v e d
i t a t d a y l i g h t o n t h e
1 3 t h i n s t a n t ,
a n d e a r l y i n t h e
f o r e n o o n
o f
t h a t
d a y a n n o u n c e d i t i n p e r s o n t o t h e u n d e r
w r i t e r s o f L l o y d s , a s a n
i n d i s p u t a b l e
p r o o f t h a t t h e C y c l o n e
w h i c h I
h a d p r e d i c t e d
f o r t h e 1 4 t h
w a s
t h e n
n o t
f a r f r o m u s ;
a n d ,
t o m y k n o w l e d g e , t e l e g r a m s b y
L o n d o n
s h i p o w n e r s w e r e
s e n t
t o t h e c o a s t
t o w a r n a c c o r d i n g l y ,
a n d
i n t i m e
t o o ,
f o r , a s
b e f o r e
o b s e r v e d ,
t h e
h u r r i c a n e
o r
C y c l o n e
r e a c h e d
t h e
D o w n s
i n
i t s
f u r y e a r l y
o n t h e
1 4 t h .
M y
r e a s o n s
f o r s o
e a r n e s t l y
w a r n i n g a g a i n s t
t h e
1 4 t h w e r e
t h e s e . *
C y c l o n e s ,
l i k e a l l o t h e r g e n e r a l a t m o s p h e r i c d i s
t u r b a n c e s ,
a r e p r o d u c e d a t
t h e p e r i o d s
o f l u n a r
e q u i n o x e s a n d
s t i t i a l c o l u r e s ; a n d f o r a s m u c h a s t h e s t i t i a l c o l u r e h a p p e n e d
o n t h e
5 t h , n e a r t h e
t i m e o f
t h e n e w m o o n
i n p e r i g e e ( b e f o r e
e x p l a i n e d ) ,
I
e x p e c t e d
a n
u n u s u a l l y
w e l l - d e v e l o p e d
C y c l o n e
w o u l d b e t h e n g e n e r a t e d i n t h e r e g i o n s o f
e q u i n o c t i a l
c a l m s ;
a n d a g a i n , b e c a u s e t h e y t r a v e l a t t h e
r a t e
o f a b o u t 1 6 t o 2 0 m i l e s
a n
h o u r , a n d
t h r o u g h a
s p a c e o f
u p w a r d s o f 4 0 0 0 m i l e s
b e f o r e
t h e y r e a c h u s , I h a v e f o u n d i t v e r y a c c u r a t e t o a l l o w u p o n a n
a v e r a g e
a b o u t 9
d a y s f o r
t h e
t i m e
o f
t h e i r p a s s a g e t o
G r e a t
B r i t a i n ; a n d a s 9 a d d e d t o t h e 5 t h N o v e m b e r g a v e m e t h e 1 4 t h ,
I , i n c o n s e q u e n c e , a s o n o t h e r o c c a s i o n s , p r e d i c t e d a c c o r d i n g l y .
I t
f r e q u e n t l y ,
h o w e v e r ,
h a p p e n s
t h a t
t h e i r
p a s s a g e o c c u p i e s
1 0 ,
I I ,
o r e v e n
1 2 d a y s ,
s o t h a t
w h e n
d u e
w e s h o u l d w a t c h
t h e b a r o m e t e r c a r e f u l l y , a s w e
w o u l d
f o r
t h e
a r r i v a l o f a
m a i l .
H a v i n g
t h u s , a s
I b e l i e v e ,
e x p l a i n e d
t h e h e a d s o f m y W e a t h e r
S y s t e m ,
I
l e a v e w i t h m y r e a d e r s a
l i s t o f
s u s p e c t e d d a y s f o r
t h e i r f u t u r e g u i d a n c e .
* I t w o u l d b e a p u b l i c c o n v e n i e n c e i f p r o g n o s t i c a t o r s o f w e a t h e r
w o u l d
a l w a y s
f a v o u r
u s
w i t h
t h e i r
r e a s o n s .
8/20/2019 Saxby - 1862 - Foretelling Weather Being A Description (1).pdf
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/saxby-1862-foretelling-weather-being-a-description-1pdf 25/79
2 0
1 8 6 1
D e c e m b e r
1 8 G 2
J a n u a r y
F e b r u a r y
M a r c h
A p r i l
M a y
J u n e
L i s t o f
d a y s
o n w h i c h t h e
w e a t h e r
m a y r e a s o n a b l y b e
s u s p e c t e d a s l i a b l e t o c h a n g e , m o s t p r o b a b l y t o w a r d s h i g h
w i n d s o r
l o w e r t e m p e r a t u r e ,
b e i n g e s p e c i a l l y p e r i o d s
o f
p r i m a r y
a t m o s p h e r i c
d i s t u r b a n c e .
2 n d ,
9 t h ,
1 6 t h , 2 3 r d , 3 0 t h .
5 t h ,
1 2 t h *
o r
1 3 t h , 1 9 t h
o r
2 0 t h , 2 6 t h .
1 s t
o r
2 n d , 9 t h , 1 6 t h ,
2 2 n d .
1 s t , 8 t h , 1 5 t h ,
2 1 s t o r 2 2 n d ,
2 8 t h .
4 t h
o r
5 t h , 1 2 t h , 1 8 t h , 2 4 t h .
2 n d , 9 t h , 1 4 t h o r 1 5 t h , 2 1 s t o r 2 2 n d , 2 9 t h .
5 t h o r 6 t h , 1 1 t h o r 1 2 t h ,
1 8 t h ,
2 5 t h o r
2 6 t h .
N . B .
I f t h e
d a y
m a r k e d p r o v e
c a l m a n d s t i l l d i s t r u s t
t h e
d a y
a f t e r ,
a n d
e s p e c i a l l y t h e
s e c o n d
d a y
a f t e r .
T h e c h a n g e s
v a r y
i n i n t e n s i t y , b u t e v e n a t q u i e t
p e r i o d s
t h e y m a y
b e
p l a i n l y t r a c e d i n
t h e
s c u d f l y i n g w i t h a v e l o c i t y t o t a l l y a t
v a r i a n c e
w i t h
t h e s t a t e o f t h e a i r a t
t h e
e a r t h ' s s u r f a c e .
N o w t h e s o
f r e q u e n t r o u g h n e s s o f t h e
w e a t h e r
o n t h e
s e c o n d
d a y a f t e r e i t h e r o f t h e a b o v e d a t e s m a y p o s s i b l y p r o c e e d f r o m
C y c l o n e s
o f i n f e r i o r i m p o r t a n c e , w h i c h
t h e n
g e n e r a l l y
c o m p l e t e
t h e i r n i n t h d a y o f e x i s t e n c e , a n d a r e c o n s e q u e n t l y d u e a t
t h e
B r i t i s h I s l e s .
A s
a n
e x a m p l e , a C y c l o n e g e n e r a t e d o n
t h e
2 6 t h
J a n u a r y w o u l d b e d u e
i n
E n g l a n d
o n t h e
9 t h
d a y a f t e r , v i z . , o n t h e 4 t h F e b r u a r y . A n d b y w a y o f e x
p l a i n i n g
t h e
n a t u r e
o f t h e
l i s t a d d e d
b e l o w ,
I w o u l d s t a t e t h a t I
f i n d o n t h e 2 6 t h J a n u a r y , n o t o n l y w i l l t h e
m o o n
b e i n p e r i g e e
a t
t h e t i m e
o f
h e r s t i t i a l c o l u r e , b u t i t w i l l
b e
v e r y n e a r h e r
t i m e o f n e w m o o n ( 3 0 t h a t 3 a . m . ) ; t h e r e f o r e , a s t h r e e
d i s t u r b
i n g
i n f l u e n c e s
a r e
n e a r l y
c o n f l u e n t ,
I
s p e c i a l l y
w a r n
a g a i n s t
n o t o n l y
t h e 2 6 t h J a n u a r y t o
t h e
3 0 t h , a s l i k e l y t o
b e
d i s t u r b e d
b y
p r i m a r y
c a u s e s , b u t a l s o a g a i n s t t h e
4 t h F e b r u a r y
a s l i k e l y
t o b e a t i m e o f s t o r m f r o m s e c o n d a r y c a u s e s , v i z . , t h a t o f
a C y c l o n e
o f
u n u s u a l v i o l e n c e
p a s s i n g
s o m e w h e r e n e a r ,
o r p e r
h a p s o v e r , t h e B r i t i s h I s l e s a n d t h e s i m i l a r r e a s o n s i n d u c e
*
W h e n t w o
c o n s e c u t i v e
d a y s a r e
m e n t i o n e d , t h e e q u i n o x , c , o c c u r s
a t
a b o u t
m i d n i g h t
o f
t h e
f i r s t
d a t e .
8/20/2019 Saxby - 1862 - Foretelling Weather Being A Description (1).pdf
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/saxby-1862-foretelling-weather-being-a-description-1pdf 26/79
2 1
m e
t o
n a m e t h e o t h e r
p e r i o d s
u n d e r m e n t i o n e d f o r s p e c i a l
w a r n i n g .
1 8 6 1 , D e c e m b e r , 1 s t
t o 3 r d
a n d 1 1 t h .
„
J a n u a r y ,
2 6 t h
t o
3 0 t h .
„
F e b r u a r y , 4 t h
a n d
2 8 t h .
„
M a r c h ,
1 s t a n d 2 8 t h
t o
3 0 t h .
„
A p r i l , 6 t h
a n d 2 4 t h
t o 2 8 t h .
„
M a y ,
4 t h a n d 2 8 t h t o 2 9 t h .
„ J u n e , 7 t h a n d
2 5 t h
t o 2 7 t h .
I n
c o n c l u s i o n , I
w o u l d
a s s u r e t h e r e a d e r t h a t
m y
t h o u g h t s
h a v e
b e e n
m o r e u p o n
t h e
s u b j e c t
i t s e l f
t h a n
u p o n
t h e
l a n g u a g e
a n d m o d e o f
e x p r e s s i n g m y
t h o u g h t s , a n d
t r u s t ,
t h e r e f o r e , t o
t h e i r
i n d u l g e n c e ; w e r e I
a n
i d l e m a n , I c o u l d
n o t a s k i t
S . M .
S .
2 5 t h N o v e m b e r , 1 8 6 1 .
P . S .
D e c . 6 t h , 1 8 6 1 . T h e a b o v e w a s i n t h e h a n d s o f t h e
p u b l i s h e r s
o n t h e
2 6 t h
o f
N o v e m b e r .
S i n c e t h e n
w e
h a d t h e
p r e d i c t e d
h e a v y g a l e o n t h e 1 s t o f D e c e m b e r ,
a n d i t s
o c c u r r e n c e
i s
i n s t r i c t
a c c o r d a n c e w i t h m y t h e o r y .
I t w a s n o t p r e v i o u s l y
i n d i c a t e d
b y ,
n o r
d i d i t s e e m t o
a f f e c t , t h e
b a r o m e t e r , b e c a u s e
i t w a s e l e c t r i c ,
o r ,
a s I
c a l l
i t
p r i m a r y . I
h a d e x t e n s i v e l y
w a r n e d
t h e f i s h e r
m e n
c ,
o f
t h i s
n e i g h b o u r h o o d ,
a n d
h a d
t h e
p l e a s u r e ,
a c c o r d i n g l y , o f s e e i n g , o n
t h e 1 s t ,
s o m e e i g h t y b a r g e s a n d
f i s h i n g s m a c k s s n u g l y a n c h o r e d a l o n g t h e I s l e o f G r a i n ,
s e c u r e
f r o m
t h e f u r y o f t h e N . W . w i n d .
S . M .
S .
8/20/2019 Saxby - 1862 - Foretelling Weather Being A Description (1).pdf
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/saxby-1862-foretelling-weather-being-a-description-1pdf 27/79
L O N D O N
P B I S T E D
B Y B P O T T I S W O O D B
A N D
C O .
N E W - S T R E E T S Q U A B E
8/20/2019 Saxby - 1862 - Foretelling Weather Being A Description (1).pdf
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/saxby-1862-foretelling-weather-being-a-description-1pdf 28/79
8/20/2019 Saxby - 1862 - Foretelling Weather Being A Description (1).pdf
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/saxby-1862-foretelling-weather-being-a-description-1pdf 29/79
8/20/2019 Saxby - 1862 - Foretelling Weather Being A Description (1).pdf
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/saxby-1862-foretelling-weather-being-a-description-1pdf 30/79
8/20/2019 Saxby - 1862 - Foretelling Weather Being A Description (1).pdf
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/saxby-1862-foretelling-weather-being-a-description-1pdf 31/79
8/20/2019 Saxby - 1862 - Foretelling Weather Being A Description (1).pdf
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/saxby-1862-foretelling-weather-being-a-description-1pdf 32/79
8/20/2019 Saxby - 1862 - Foretelling Weather Being A Description (1).pdf
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/saxby-1862-foretelling-weather-being-a-description-1pdf 33/79
8/20/2019 Saxby - 1862 - Foretelling Weather Being A Description (1).pdf
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/saxby-1862-foretelling-weather-being-a-description-1pdf 34/79
8/20/2019 Saxby - 1862 - Foretelling Weather Being A Description (1).pdf
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/saxby-1862-foretelling-weather-being-a-description-1pdf 35/79
8/20/2019 Saxby - 1862 - Foretelling Weather Being A Description (1).pdf
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/saxby-1862-foretelling-weather-being-a-description-1pdf 36/79
8/20/2019 Saxby - 1862 - Foretelling Weather Being A Description (1).pdf
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/saxby-1862-foretelling-weather-being-a-description-1pdf 37/79
8/20/2019 Saxby - 1862 - Foretelling Weather Being A Description (1).pdf
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/saxby-1862-foretelling-weather-being-a-description-1pdf 38/79
8/20/2019 Saxby - 1862 - Foretelling Weather Being A Description (1).pdf
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/saxby-1862-foretelling-weather-being-a-description-1pdf 39/79
8/20/2019 Saxby - 1862 - Foretelling Weather Being A Description (1).pdf
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/saxby-1862-foretelling-weather-being-a-description-1pdf 40/79
8/20/2019 Saxby - 1862 - Foretelling Weather Being A Description (1).pdf
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/saxby-1862-foretelling-weather-being-a-description-1pdf 41/79
8/20/2019 Saxby - 1862 - Foretelling Weather Being A Description (1).pdf
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/saxby-1862-foretelling-weather-being-a-description-1pdf 42/79
8/20/2019 Saxby - 1862 - Foretelling Weather Being A Description (1).pdf
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/saxby-1862-foretelling-weather-being-a-description-1pdf 43/79
8/20/2019 Saxby - 1862 - Foretelling Weather Being A Description (1).pdf
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/saxby-1862-foretelling-weather-being-a-description-1pdf 44/79
8/20/2019 Saxby - 1862 - Foretelling Weather Being A Description (1).pdf
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/saxby-1862-foretelling-weather-being-a-description-1pdf 45/79
8/20/2019 Saxby - 1862 - Foretelling Weather Being A Description (1).pdf
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/saxby-1862-foretelling-weather-being-a-description-1pdf 46/79
8/20/2019 Saxby - 1862 - Foretelling Weather Being A Description (1).pdf
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/saxby-1862-foretelling-weather-being-a-description-1pdf 47/79
8/20/2019 Saxby - 1862 - Foretelling Weather Being A Description (1).pdf
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/saxby-1862-foretelling-weather-being-a-description-1pdf 48/79
8/20/2019 Saxby - 1862 - Foretelling Weather Being A Description (1).pdf
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/saxby-1862-foretelling-weather-being-a-description-1pdf 49/79
8/20/2019 Saxby - 1862 - Foretelling Weather Being A Description (1).pdf
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/saxby-1862-foretelling-weather-being-a-description-1pdf 50/79
8/20/2019 Saxby - 1862 - Foretelling Weather Being A Description (1).pdf
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/saxby-1862-foretelling-weather-being-a-description-1pdf 51/79
8/20/2019 Saxby - 1862 - Foretelling Weather Being A Description (1).pdf
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/saxby-1862-foretelling-weather-being-a-description-1pdf 52/79
8/20/2019 Saxby - 1862 - Foretelling Weather Being A Description (1).pdf
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/saxby-1862-foretelling-weather-being-a-description-1pdf 53/79
8/20/2019 Saxby - 1862 - Foretelling Weather Being A Description (1).pdf
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/saxby-1862-foretelling-weather-being-a-description-1pdf 54/79
8/20/2019 Saxby - 1862 - Foretelling Weather Being A Description (1).pdf
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/saxby-1862-foretelling-weather-being-a-description-1pdf 55/79
8/20/2019 Saxby - 1862 - Foretelling Weather Being A Description (1).pdf
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/saxby-1862-foretelling-weather-being-a-description-1pdf 56/79
8/20/2019 Saxby - 1862 - Foretelling Weather Being A Description (1).pdf
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/saxby-1862-foretelling-weather-being-a-description-1pdf 57/79
8/20/2019 Saxby - 1862 - Foretelling Weather Being A Description (1).pdf
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/saxby-1862-foretelling-weather-being-a-description-1pdf 58/79
8/20/2019 Saxby - 1862 - Foretelling Weather Being A Description (1).pdf
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/saxby-1862-foretelling-weather-being-a-description-1pdf 59/79
8/20/2019 Saxby - 1862 - Foretelling Weather Being A Description (1).pdf
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/saxby-1862-foretelling-weather-being-a-description-1pdf 60/79
8/20/2019 Saxby - 1862 - Foretelling Weather Being A Description (1).pdf
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/saxby-1862-foretelling-weather-being-a-description-1pdf 61/79
8/20/2019 Saxby - 1862 - Foretelling Weather Being A Description (1).pdf
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/saxby-1862-foretelling-weather-being-a-description-1pdf 62/79
8/20/2019 Saxby - 1862 - Foretelling Weather Being A Description (1).pdf
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/saxby-1862-foretelling-weather-being-a-description-1pdf 63/79
8/20/2019 Saxby - 1862 - Foretelling Weather Being A Description (1).pdf
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/saxby-1862-foretelling-weather-being-a-description-1pdf 64/79
8/20/2019 Saxby - 1862 - Foretelling Weather Being A Description (1).pdf
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/saxby-1862-foretelling-weather-being-a-description-1pdf 65/79
8/20/2019 Saxby - 1862 - Foretelling Weather Being A Description (1).pdf
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/saxby-1862-foretelling-weather-being-a-description-1pdf 66/79
8/20/2019 Saxby - 1862 - Foretelling Weather Being A Description (1).pdf
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/saxby-1862-foretelling-weather-being-a-description-1pdf 67/79
8/20/2019 Saxby - 1862 - Foretelling Weather Being A Description (1).pdf
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/saxby-1862-foretelling-weather-being-a-description-1pdf 68/79
8/20/2019 Saxby - 1862 - Foretelling Weather Being A Description (1).pdf
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/saxby-1862-foretelling-weather-being-a-description-1pdf 69/79
8/20/2019 Saxby - 1862 - Foretelling Weather Being A Description (1).pdf
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/saxby-1862-foretelling-weather-being-a-description-1pdf 70/79
8/20/2019 Saxby - 1862 - Foretelling Weather Being A Description (1).pdf
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/saxby-1862-foretelling-weather-being-a-description-1pdf 71/79
8/20/2019 Saxby - 1862 - Foretelling Weather Being A Description (1).pdf
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/saxby-1862-foretelling-weather-being-a-description-1pdf 72/79
8/20/2019 Saxby - 1862 - Foretelling Weather Being A Description (1).pdf
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/saxby-1862-foretelling-weather-being-a-description-1pdf 73/79
8/20/2019 Saxby - 1862 - Foretelling Weather Being A Description (1).pdf
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/saxby-1862-foretelling-weather-being-a-description-1pdf 74/79
8/20/2019 Saxby - 1862 - Foretelling Weather Being A Description (1).pdf
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/saxby-1862-foretelling-weather-being-a-description-1pdf 75/79
8/20/2019 Saxby - 1862 - Foretelling Weather Being A Description (1).pdf
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/saxby-1862-foretelling-weather-being-a-description-1pdf 76/79
8/20/2019 Saxby - 1862 - Foretelling Weather Being A Description (1).pdf
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/saxby-1862-foretelling-weather-being-a-description-1pdf 77/79
* • ;
V
8/20/2019 Saxby - 1862 - Foretelling Weather Being A Description (1).pdf
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/saxby-1862-foretelling-weather-being-a-description-1pdf 78/79
«
8/20/2019 Saxby - 1862 - Foretelling Weather Being A Description (1).pdf
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/saxby-1862-foretelling-weather-being-a-description-1pdf 79/79