San Francisco Transportation Plan Update...3. Prioritizing projects to fit in San Francisco’s...

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San Francisco Transportation Plan Update

Regional Transportation Plan/Sustainable Communities Strategy and SFTP

Call for Projects

SFTP CAC Meeting #3

April 13, 2011

SAN FRANCISCO COUNTY TRANSPORTATION AUTHORITY 2

What is the Regional Transportation Plan (RTP)?

Policy How can we advance policy mandates, such as greenhouse gas

reduction, through funding decisions/regional initiatives?Priorities

When transportation funding becomes available, what should we invest in?

How can we divide the pie to best advance our sometimes competing goals? E.g. expansion vs. maintenance

Long-range investment plan for the regionPlan developed by MTC (regional 9 county Bay Area

planning agency) ~$40-60 billion (expected) in federal/state/regional

discretionary money available by 2040It’s about Policy, it’s about Priorities


Housing Units Planed in San Francisco

Source: SF Planning Dept.

New SCS context: addressing climate change/affordable housing through RTP

SB 375, landmark legislation for California on land use, transportation and environmental planning passed in 2008

Requires each region to add a new element to its RTP called a Sustainable Communities Strategy (SCS) which must: Reduce greenhouse gas

(GHG) emissions from driving in the Bay Area by 15% per capita by 2035.

Identify a strategy to house the region’s population at all income levels


What is the RTP/SCS Call for Projects?

MTC issued a call for RTP/SCS projects on February 14

Authority, as San Francisco’s Congestion Management Agency (CMA), is responsible for:

1. Issuing a call for projects2. Performing related outreach to project sponsors and the public3. Prioritizing projects to fit in San Francisco’s target of discretionary

funds ($6.16 billion) by April 294. Coordinating with MTC, project sponsors, and stakeholders, in policy

discussions leading to development of final list of San Francisco projects in RTP/SCS

Regional transit operators and Caltrans submit projects directly to MTC

Public can submit projects but need agency sponsor


What San Francisco projects were in the last RTP (T2035)?

5

Individual projects such as BRT on Van Ness, Geary, and Geneva corridors Presidio Parkway Central Subway Caltrain Electrification Improve the Great Highway

Programmatic categories such as Traffic calming Bicycle facilities Transit priority treatments Transit rehabilitation Local streets and roads maintenance


How does the RTP relate to the SFTP?

Modal Plans:Bicycle Plan, Transit

Effectiveness Project, Better Streets Plan

Major Projects & Plans

Neighborhood Plans & Projects

Hayes 2-way ConversionTraffic Calming Projects

Parklets

Bicycle lanesPedestrian improvements

Curb extensionsTransit Signal Priority

Van Ness BRTGeary BRT

Caltrain Electrification/DTX

SFTransportation

Plan

General Plan Transportation

Element

Climate Action Plan

Regional Transportation Plan/ Sustainable Communities

Strategy

New ideas start here


Public Outreach to solicit project ideas and priorities

Emails to over 2,000 individuals

Newspaper ads

Web page www.sftca.org/RTP in English, Spanish, and Chinese with FAQs, online submittal form

Neighborhood Meetings: 200+ individuals reached at 14 meetings, targeted in communities of concern

March/April Authority committee meetings to serve as public hearings for project ideas and project priorities


What we heard from members of the public

200+ ideas were submitted by March 24 deadline

Support for projects already being pursued

High demand for transit, pedestrian, cycling, traffic calming

High demand for expansion of transit w/ designated right-of-way

Demand for roadway capacity reduction projects (eg remove lanes)


What we heard from public agencies

Separate process for public agencies to submit projects for consideration

Almost 100 ideas submitted by deadline

Projects already in current RTPNew projects coming from new planning

efforts since last RTP – TEP, Development Plans at BVHP, Mission Bay, Treasure Island, Eastern Neighborhoods, Park Merced, Bi-County

Many projects that can be bundled into programmatic categories


SFCTA Project Screening

Category Main Criteria1. Consider for inclusion in 2013 RTP/SCS

Consistent with SCS/RTP goalsRegionally significant Seeking federal/state funding or action by 2017Plan statusEligible for programmatic category (doesn’t impact capacity)

2. Consider for the SFTP

Ideas needing further development/ vettingNot typically included in RTP but relevant for SF

3. Not under consideration

Inconsistent w/ City policyNot related to transportation


1. Sample Individual Projects Under Consideration for Inclusion in RTP/SCS

Projects Already in Current RTPGeary, Van Ness, and Geneva/Harney

BRTMuni light rail vehicle acquisitionPresidio ParkwayCentral Subway Transbay Transit Center and Caltrain

Downtown Extension22-Fillmore Trolley Coach Extension to

Mission Bay


1. Sample New Individual Projects Under Consideration for Inclusion in RTP/SCS

Proposed New Projects:Better Market Street* Transit Effectiveness Project (TEP)*ENTRIPS Circulation Improvements*Downtown SF Congestion Pricing PilotHOV lanes on US 101Oakdale Caltrain Station*Muni fleet/facilities expansion e.g. BRT

Maintenance FacilityMission Bay Loop

*Indicates a project that was also submitted by the public


1. Sample Projects Eligible for Programmatic Funding

Pedestrian Wider Sidewalks Longer/New Ped. Countdown Signals

Bicycle Bike Racks Bikeways

Transit Bus Shelters Transit Priority Treatments

Multi-Modal Safe Routes to School Education/Outreach Electric Vehicle Infrastructure


2. Ideas Not Being Considered for RTP/SCS, But Will Be Considered for SFTP

Longer-Term Roadway Changes On/Off-Ramp Changes, e.g. I-280 at San

Jose/ Monterrey/ Guerrero Road Diet, Balboa Park, “Hairball” reconfiguration

HOV lanes on I-280

Longer-Term Transit Expansion BRT Network Light-Rail and Subway Network

Transit Policy Changes Make Muni Free (for low income/students,

for everyone) Local service changes (Muni + BART)


3. Sample Projects Not Under Consideration

Build more parking garagesEliminate bike racks on buses and

disability access on Limited Bus LinesUnderground the electrical wires on

Cesar ChavezDaylight Islais Creek


RTP and SFTP Call for Projects Schedule and Next Steps

Call for projects released February 18

Public meetings on Call for Projects

and public outreach

March 22: SFCTA Plans and Programs Committee

March 23: SFCTA Citizens Advisory Committee

Deadline for project submittal to Authority March 24

Public meetings on San Francisco project priorities

April 13: SFTP Community Advisory Committee

April 27: SFCTA Citizens Advisory Committee

May 17: SFCTA Plans and Programs Committee

Authority submits draft and final San Francisco project priorities to MTC

April/May 2011

MTC project performance evaluation May-July 2011

Second call for SFTP projects Spring/Summer 2011

Discussion on RTP investment priorities Fall 2011/Winter 2012


RTP and SFTP Call for Projects Schedule and Next Steps

Call for projects released February 18

Public meetings on Call for Projects

and public outreach

March 22: SFCTA Plans and Programs Committee

March 23: SFCTA Citizens Advisory Committee

Deadline for project submittal to Authority March 24

Public meetings on San Francisco project priorities

April 13: SFTP Community Advisory Committee

April 27: SFCTA Citizens Advisory Committee

May 17: SFCTA Plans and Programs Committee

Authority submits draft and final San Francisco project priorities to MTC

April/May 2011

MTC project performance evaluation May-July 2011

Second call for SFTP projects Spring/Summer 2011

Discussion on RTP investment priorities Fall 2011/Winter 2012

Critical Policy Points1. Will have to revisit priorities after performance evaluation, leading to leaner

financially constrained list2. Opportunity to increase SF’s share of the regional funding pie, through

investment policy that takes into account:• Travel demand• Growth/affordable housing• Performance

3. Opportunity to advocate to grow the pie, seek new revenue sources


April MTC/ABAG will present IVS findings and seek input from San Francisco

April 19, 10:30 AM, City Hall Room 263MTC/ABAG presentation Plans & Programs Committee,

April 25, 5:30-8:30pmMilton Marks Conference Center, 455 Golden Gate Ave.MTC/ABAG-hosted SF Public Workshop

Call for Projects will inform development of RTP/SCS “Alternative Scenarios”

Initial Vision ScenarioDecember 2010-April 2011

Alternative Scenarios April 2011-February 2012

Preferred RTP/SCS ScenarioSelected: February 2012Environmental review:

February 2012-March 2013RTP/SCS Adoption: April 2013

RTP Call for ProjectsFeeds into

Alternative Scenarios


Economic Competitiveness Aspirational Scenario, Initial Results:

What would it take to keep the average commute times to San Francisco from increasing?

April 13, 2011

www.sfcta.org/MoveSmartSF | twitter.com/SanFranciscoTA | www.facebook.com/MoveSmartSF 20

Scenario framework

(1) Select optimization metric or measure

(2) Determine the target for the optimization metric (ie, “What would it take to…?”)

(3) Isolate the most underperforming markets or corridors (ie, those that contribute most to “target failure”)

(4) Compile list of projects to address these and other underperforming markets/corridors


San Francisco Downtown is currently most competitive average auto-to-transit commute times

Average Commute Time for Workers for Regional Work Centers, 2010

Note: chart depicts workers to given workplace destinations Source: SF CHAMP 4.1, draft p2011

Time/D

istance


In the baseline, San Francisco begins losing its travel-time competitiveness, especially transit travel times

Average TRANSIT Commute Time for Workers by Workplace San Francisco & Region, 2010-2035

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

SF Downtown C3 SF Southeast Downtown Oakland Downtown San Jose

tra ns i t 2010 tra ns i t 2035

14.0%


Getting to an aspirational goal with >71,000 new households and >154,000 new jobs

Focused on transportation effects: travel time SF auto times increase, particularly outside of greater downtown SF transit is most competitive today, but losing ground over time Expect 5% increase in average total commute times to San Francisco Expect 6% increase in average transit commute times to San Francisco

What would it take to keep the total average commute time to San Francisco from increasing?


Notably underperforming markets and corridorshighest travel time increases in key markets to SF

San Francisco eastern areas: greater downtown, southeast

San Pablo and Central/East Contra Costa Co.

Northwest Alameda Co. (Berkeley/Piedmont/Oakland)

Southern Alameda Co. (Hayward/Fremont)

Central and NW Santa Clara Co. (San Jose/Mountain View)


3 levels of investment—Regional

Project Low Med High

BART freq (2mins in tube) ▪ ▪

BART new tube ▪

Bay Bridge Contraflow Lane ▪ ▪

Caltrain 2025 (includes electrification) ▪

Caltrain 2025 + Downtown Extension ▪

High Speed Rail (4 trains/hr, no Baby Bullet) ▪

TPS: Evans, Palou, HPX, CPX ▪ ▪ ▪

HOV/HOT on 280/101 (includes transit service re-route) ▪ ▪ ▪

Congestion Pricing (NEC) ▪ ▪


3 levels of investment—San Francisco

Project Low Med High

BRT: San Bruno/Potrero, Geneva/Harney, Mission, Market, Fulton, California, Downtown ▪ ▪ ▪

TPS: Evans, Palou, HPX, CPX ▪ ▪ ▪

Transit Extensions: 14 to Daly City; 23, 28, 24, 48 to Bayview Hunters Point ▪ ▪

Transit Extensions: M-line to Daly City ▪ ▪

Roadway Extensions: Geneva ▪ ▪ ▪

Signalize key rapid transit streets, eg: Lincoln, Haight, Judah, Church ▪ ▪ ▪

Muni Frequency improvements, eg: 71L, 22, 47, 19, 48 ▪ ▪ ▪

Fleet upgrades, eg: 22, 19, 6, T-short, M to Park Merced ▪ ▪

Grade separations at key rail-line hotspots, eg: Church/Duboce, St Francis/West Portal ▪ ▪

Congestion Pricing (NEC and 280/101 HOT ) ▪ ▪

New rail connection between UCSF & Mission Bay ▪


Performance of the scenarios

2010 2035base 2035EconLow 2035EconMed 2035EconHigh

Total Average commute time (minutes) 43 45 44 43 43

Auto 39 39 38 35 35

Transit 48 56 49 49 50

Cost (millions of $) - - $2,000 $5,000 $20,000

Cost Effectiveness high medium low


Observations

Aspirational travel time goal seems achievable… at a cost of ~$2 – 5B

Projects focused on transit and auto; few projects for cyclists or pedestrians

Travel time may not be the best/sole rationale for big ticket projects

Need to refine and identify corridors with best/worst performance

SF's success depends partially on regional actions & coordination▪ Transit oriented development, access to regional transit, pricing &

parking management

Next steps will help to identify top projects for the constrained scenarios▪ Identify crowding hot spots (routes and parking access)▪ Quantify costs of crowding▪ Scenario test: regional pricing▪ Tradeoffs & performance within other goal areas


Livability ScenarioAspirational Goal Framework

What would it take to make the City’s Transit First mode share higher than 50%?

April 13, 2011


Why focus on mode share?

Mode share is a good transportation indicator of livability

▪ It’s correlated with many key aspects of livability (traffic incidents, traffic intrusion, noise, air and water pollution)

▪ It’s easy to grasp

▪ It can be affected directly and measurably by the SFTP


Baseline Mode Share, 2035 Daily

Transit19%

Walk & Bike22%

Drive alone37%

Carpool22%

What’s the problem?

San Francisco is a Transit First city…

…but Transit First would continue to be a minority of trips


Our aspirational scenario for livability

What would it take to make San Francisco’s Transit First mode share higher than 50%?

Transit First includes transit, walking and biking

For all daily trips to, from and within San Francisco


We’ll consider projects that increase the transit mode share

Transit projects that: Improve reliability

Decrease travel times

Reduce the need to transfer

Improve access

Increase security


…that increase the walk mode share

Street closuresRoad dietsTraffic calmingOther safety/security improvementsStreetscaping and open space treatments

To support the City’s Pedestrian Safety goals, we will:

Analyze collision trends Analyze collision factors and gather input Suggest projects and program delivery measures


…that increase the bike mode share

Network of “cycletracks” (lanes physically separated from cars)

Bike stations at key transit hubsBike sharing throughout the citySecure bicycle parking

Need to support the City’s official “20 by 20” goal for bicycling through:– Increased connectivity– Improved education and awareness


…that reduce auto travel demand

Enhanced commuter benefits, employee parking cashout

Safe Routes to School, school poolsTransit passes for new developments,

car sharingMore use of shuttles, vanpools, jitneysVariable on-street parking pricingRelaxed off-street parking requirements

Plus sensitivity test on supportive land uses

To promote school transportation alternatives, we will ask:

What would it take to let your 4th grader walk or bike to school?

What would it take to let your 7th grader take transit to school?


Thank You!

Next Meeting: mid/late June

April 13, 2011

San Francisco Transportation Plan Update...3. Prioritizing projects to fit in San Francisco’s...

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