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    Assuming Doesnt Feed theBulldog!

    InventVermont Meeting

    June 9, 2005Montpelier, VT

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    InventVermont - June 9, 2005

    New Product Categories

    0%

    5%

    10%

    15%

    20%

    25%

    30%

    High Medium Low

    Low

    Medium

    High

    Newness to Company

    Newn

    esstoMa

    rket

    New-to-world

    10%

    New Product Line

    20%

    Existing LineAddition

    26%

    Existing ProdImprovements

    26%

    Repositioning

    7%

    Cost

    Reductions

    11%

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    New Product Mix

    10%

    20%

    26%

    26%

    11%

    7%

    New to World

    New Line

    Additions

    Improvements

    Cost Reductions

    Repositionings

    All Industry

    20%

    38%

    20%

    20%

    2%1%

    Industrial Product Firms(moderate-to-high technology)

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    Product Development Challenges

    Technology making more possible Life cycles cut by 400%

    Customer expectations increasing Global competition strengthening

    Building company worth

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    Majority of Ideas Fail

    7

    Product Ideas

    4

    Developed

    1.5

    Launched

    1

    Succeeds

    14%Success

    Rate

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    Key Activity Frequency

    68%

    56%

    35%

    49%

    23%

    66%

    89%

    89%

    63%

    25%

    85%

    77%

    92%

    0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

    Market Launch

    Production Start-Up

    Pre-Launch Business Analysis

    Trial/Pilot Production

    Test Market/Trial Sell

    Customer Tests of Products

    In-House Product Tests

    Product Development

    Business/Financial Analysis

    Detailed Market Study

    Prelim Technical Assessment

    Prelim Market Assessment

    Initial Screening

    Percentage of Projects Where Activity is Undertaken

    Only 1.9% of projects featured all 13 activities

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    Key Activity Dollars

    27%20%

    1%

    6%

    1%

    3%

    7%

    29%

    1%

    1%

    3%

    1%

    1%

    0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%

    Market Launch

    Production Start-Up

    Pre-Launch Business Analysis

    Trial/Pilot Production

    Test Market/Trial Sell

    Customer Tests of Products

    In-House Product Tests

    Product Development

    Business/Financial Analysis

    Detailed Market Study

    Prelim Technical Assessment

    Prelim Market Assessment

    Initial Screening

    Percent of Total Cost of Project

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    Key Activity Time

    6249

    5

    79

    9

    36

    98

    419

    14

    16

    61

    26

    32

    0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450

    Market Launch

    Production Start-Up

    Pre-Launch Business Analysis

    Trial/Pilot Production

    Test Market/Trial Sell

    Customer Tests of Products

    In-House Product Tests

    Product Development

    Business/Financial Analysis

    Detailed Market Study

    Prelim Technical Assessment

    Prelim Market Assessment

    Initial Screening

    Average Person-Days of Work per Task

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    Top Reasons for Failures

    13%

    6%

    8%

    9%

    10%

    14%

    16%

    24%

    0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%

    All Other Causes

    Technical or Production Problems

    Poor Timing of Introduction

    Competitive Strength or Reaction

    Higher Costs than Anticipated

    Lack of Effective Marketing Effort

    Product Problems or Defects

    Inadequate Market Analysis

    Percentage of Companies Citing

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    Best Companies Do Better

    22% of companies surveyed 3.5 ideas to achieve winner (v. 8.4 ideas)

    49% of sales (v. 25%)

    49% of profits (versus 22%)

    97% return on investment (median 33%)

    47% market share (median >35%)

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    Managing Risk-Reward

    Risk/Uncertainty

    Expendit

    ures

    Risk/Uncertainty Expenditures

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    Stage-Gate System

    Robert Cooper Winning at New Products

    Incremental (staged) commitment process Successfully implemented in many companies

    Scales from small to large organizations

    Idea Gate 1 Gate 5Gate 4Gate 3Gate 2Stage 1 Stage 5Stage 4Stage 3Stage 2 PIR

    InitialScreen

    SecondScreen

    Decision onBusiness Case

    PostdevelopmentReview

    PrecommercializationBusiness Analysis

    PostimplementationReview

    PreliminaryInvestigation

    DetailedInvestigation

    (Build Business Case)

    Development Testing &

    Validation

    Full Production &Market Launch

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    Stage Framework

    Manage

    Product

    (P&L)

    Refine

    Financials

    Refine

    Financials

    Revenue &

    Financial Plans

    Strategic

    AlignmentBusiness

    Production &

    Launch

    Production-

    Ready Product

    Prototype

    Development

    Product

    Requirement

    Document

    Technical

    FeasibilityProduct

    Fully Execute

    Marketing Plan

    Initiate

    Marketing Plan

    Formalized

    Marketing Plan

    Market

    Requirement

    Document

    Preliminary

    Market

    Assessment

    Market

    Stage 5Stage 4Stage 3Stage 2Stage 1

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    Keys to Effective Gates

    Seasoned gatekeepers Cross-functional representation

    Control over required resources Constructively critical discussions

    Portfolio and other tools

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    High-Level Criteria

    Company strategic fit, core competenciesMarket segments, customers, competitors

    Product unique advantages, feasibilityBusiness capital requirements, financials

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    Company Criteria

    Strategically aligns with defined objectives Leverages:

    Organizational capabilities, structure

    Technical know-how

    Operational (supply channel) infrastructure

    Limited-to-no new competencies

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    Market Criteria

    Sizable, growing target market(s) Confirmed market requirements

    First-to-market advantage Defendable competitive position

    Clear channels to customers

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    Porters Industry StructurePotential

    Entrants

    Barriers

    DirectCompetition

    ChannelsManufacturing MarketsSuppliers

    Differentiators

    Substitutes

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    Sales ChannelsIntroduction Growth Mature Decline

    Limit channels(direct sales only)

    until product

    acceptance

    Scale channelswith customer

    acceptance,

    increased demand

    Increasedcompetition drives

    channel incentives

    and turnover

    Consolidation ofvendors and

    channels begins;

    execute exit strategy

    Evaluate licensing to further expansion and/or exit business

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    Product & Technical Criteria

    Unique product capabilities Technical feasibility

    Clear and compelling value Sustainable leadership position

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    Business & Financial Criteria

    Revenue & profit contributions Operating expenses & capital requirements

    Financial metrics:

    Net present value

    Internal rate of return

    Payback period

    Sensitivity analysis

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    Built-In Success Factors

    Emphasizes homework Multidisciplinary and cross-functional

    Parallel processing

    No single department ownership

    Strong market orientation

    Weed out weak early

    Pre-development product definition

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    The Experience Effect

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    120

    1 2 4 8 16 32 64 128

    Number of New Product Introductions

    RelativeDe

    velopmentC

    ost

    Every 2X introductions leads to 29% cost reduction

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    Thank You!