Rob Smart Presentation
Transcript of Rob Smart Presentation
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Assuming Doesnt Feed theBulldog!
InventVermont Meeting
June 9, 2005Montpelier, VT
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New Product Categories
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
High Medium Low
Low
Medium
High
Newness to Company
Newn
esstoMa
rket
New-to-world
10%
New Product Line
20%
Existing LineAddition
26%
Existing ProdImprovements
26%
Repositioning
7%
Cost
Reductions
11%
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New Product Mix
10%
20%
26%
26%
11%
7%
New to World
New Line
Additions
Improvements
Cost Reductions
Repositionings
All Industry
20%
38%
20%
20%
2%1%
Industrial Product Firms(moderate-to-high technology)
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Product Development Challenges
Technology making more possible Life cycles cut by 400%
Customer expectations increasing Global competition strengthening
Building company worth
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Majority of Ideas Fail
7
Product Ideas
4
Developed
1.5
Launched
1
Succeeds
14%Success
Rate
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Key Activity Frequency
68%
56%
35%
49%
23%
66%
89%
89%
63%
25%
85%
77%
92%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Market Launch
Production Start-Up
Pre-Launch Business Analysis
Trial/Pilot Production
Test Market/Trial Sell
Customer Tests of Products
In-House Product Tests
Product Development
Business/Financial Analysis
Detailed Market Study
Prelim Technical Assessment
Prelim Market Assessment
Initial Screening
Percentage of Projects Where Activity is Undertaken
Only 1.9% of projects featured all 13 activities
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Key Activity Dollars
27%20%
1%
6%
1%
3%
7%
29%
1%
1%
3%
1%
1%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%
Market Launch
Production Start-Up
Pre-Launch Business Analysis
Trial/Pilot Production
Test Market/Trial Sell
Customer Tests of Products
In-House Product Tests
Product Development
Business/Financial Analysis
Detailed Market Study
Prelim Technical Assessment
Prelim Market Assessment
Initial Screening
Percent of Total Cost of Project
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Key Activity Time
6249
5
79
9
36
98
419
14
16
61
26
32
0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450
Market Launch
Production Start-Up
Pre-Launch Business Analysis
Trial/Pilot Production
Test Market/Trial Sell
Customer Tests of Products
In-House Product Tests
Product Development
Business/Financial Analysis
Detailed Market Study
Prelim Technical Assessment
Prelim Market Assessment
Initial Screening
Average Person-Days of Work per Task
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Top Reasons for Failures
13%
6%
8%
9%
10%
14%
16%
24%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%
All Other Causes
Technical or Production Problems
Poor Timing of Introduction
Competitive Strength or Reaction
Higher Costs than Anticipated
Lack of Effective Marketing Effort
Product Problems or Defects
Inadequate Market Analysis
Percentage of Companies Citing
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Best Companies Do Better
22% of companies surveyed 3.5 ideas to achieve winner (v. 8.4 ideas)
49% of sales (v. 25%)
49% of profits (versus 22%)
97% return on investment (median 33%)
47% market share (median >35%)
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Managing Risk-Reward
Risk/Uncertainty
Expendit
ures
Risk/Uncertainty Expenditures
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Stage-Gate System
Robert Cooper Winning at New Products
Incremental (staged) commitment process Successfully implemented in many companies
Scales from small to large organizations
Idea Gate 1 Gate 5Gate 4Gate 3Gate 2Stage 1 Stage 5Stage 4Stage 3Stage 2 PIR
InitialScreen
SecondScreen
Decision onBusiness Case
PostdevelopmentReview
PrecommercializationBusiness Analysis
PostimplementationReview
PreliminaryInvestigation
DetailedInvestigation
(Build Business Case)
Development Testing &
Validation
Full Production &Market Launch
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Stage Framework
Manage
Product
(P&L)
Refine
Financials
Refine
Financials
Revenue &
Financial Plans
Strategic
AlignmentBusiness
Production &
Launch
Production-
Ready Product
Prototype
Development
Product
Requirement
Document
Technical
FeasibilityProduct
Fully Execute
Marketing Plan
Initiate
Marketing Plan
Formalized
Marketing Plan
Market
Requirement
Document
Preliminary
Market
Assessment
Market
Stage 5Stage 4Stage 3Stage 2Stage 1
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Keys to Effective Gates
Seasoned gatekeepers Cross-functional representation
Control over required resources Constructively critical discussions
Portfolio and other tools
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High-Level Criteria
Company strategic fit, core competenciesMarket segments, customers, competitors
Product unique advantages, feasibilityBusiness capital requirements, financials
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Company Criteria
Strategically aligns with defined objectives Leverages:
Organizational capabilities, structure
Technical know-how
Operational (supply channel) infrastructure
Limited-to-no new competencies
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Market Criteria
Sizable, growing target market(s) Confirmed market requirements
First-to-market advantage Defendable competitive position
Clear channels to customers
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Porters Industry StructurePotential
Entrants
Barriers
DirectCompetition
ChannelsManufacturing MarketsSuppliers
Differentiators
Substitutes
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Sales ChannelsIntroduction Growth Mature Decline
Limit channels(direct sales only)
until product
acceptance
Scale channelswith customer
acceptance,
increased demand
Increasedcompetition drives
channel incentives
and turnover
Consolidation ofvendors and
channels begins;
execute exit strategy
Evaluate licensing to further expansion and/or exit business
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Product & Technical Criteria
Unique product capabilities Technical feasibility
Clear and compelling value Sustainable leadership position
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Business & Financial Criteria
Revenue & profit contributions Operating expenses & capital requirements
Financial metrics:
Net present value
Internal rate of return
Payback period
Sensitivity analysis
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Built-In Success Factors
Emphasizes homework Multidisciplinary and cross-functional
Parallel processing
No single department ownership
Strong market orientation
Weed out weak early
Pre-development product definition
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The Experience Effect
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
1 2 4 8 16 32 64 128
Number of New Product Introductions
RelativeDe
velopmentC
ost
Every 2X introductions leads to 29% cost reduction
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Thank You!