Rice Production and Paddy Rice Production & Paddy ...• Rice Farming • The Challenges ... % per...
Transcript of Rice Production and Paddy Rice Production & Paddy ...• Rice Farming • The Challenges ... % per...
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By
Datuk Ir. Hj. Keizrul bin AbdullahPresident
International Commission on Irrigation and DrainageICID
1 November 2004
Rice Production and Paddy Irrigation in the Asian
Monsoon Region
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• Introduction
• Rice Farming
• The Challenges Ahead
• Increasing Rice Production
• Paddy Irrigation
• Conclusion
ContentsContents
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INTRODUCTIONINTRODUCTION
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• FAO 815 million people undernourished
• 777 million in developing countries of which 504 million from Asia
• 25,000 people die every day from hunger
• World Food Summit (1996) and MDG (2000) goal reduce by 50% by 2015
• Need to reduce by 22 million/yr c.f. current rate only 6 million/yr
Food ShortageFood Shortage
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RICE FARMINGRICE FARMING
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RiceRice
Family : Family : PoaceaePoaceae
Genus : Genus : OryzaOryza
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1. Staple food for half world’s population
RiceRice
• 2 billion people in Asia obtain 60-70% of their calories from rice and its products
• Many by-products
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RiceRice
2. Deeply embedded in cultural heritage of Asian societies
• Ingrained into culture and tradition, festivals, paintings, poems, songs …
3. Important economic sector in many Asian countries
• Rice-based production systems and associated post-harvest operations employ > 1 billion people in rural Asia
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4. Grown in paddy fields
RiceRice
5. Multi-functional roles of paddy fields
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• Source of protein
• Navigation
• Groundwater recharge
• Water purification
• Flood and erosion control
• Air cooling effect
• Aesthetics and landscapes
• Environment eg. migratory birds
Multi-functional RolesMulti-functional Roles
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Groundwater recharge
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200 27.6 oC
180 27.4
160 27.2
140 27.0
120 26.8
100 26.6
80 26.4
60 26.2
0 15 30 45 60 (m)
Wind
Asphalt Paddy Potato Soybean Asphalt
Fig.1: Two-dimensional air temperature profiles above paddy fields
(Oue, 1994)
Height Above ground (cm)
Redistribution of Solar Energy above Paddy Fields
Air cooling effect
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THE CHALLENGES
AHEAD
THE CHALLENGES
AHEAD
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1. Population Growth
Challenges AheadChallenges Ahead
• 50 % increase in population by 2050
• Rural - urban migration
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Nov 2004 WORLD POPULATIONWORLD POPULATION
0
5
10
2000 2025 2050YearYear
Bill
ion
Bill
ion
6.0
6.0
8.1
8.1 9.
39.
3
Ref: UN
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97-99 2015 2030 2050
POPULATION DISTRIBUTION
0
24
68
10
YEAR
Billio
ns
WORLD DEV.COUNTRIES IND. COUNTRIES TRAN. COUNTRIES
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Nov 2004 ASIA ASIA -- Population Population vsvs Land AreaLand Area
World World -- AreaArea
World World -- PopulationPopulation
60%60%
40%40%
ASIAASIA
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0
10
20
30
40
50
60
1960 1970 1980 1990 1995 2000
DECLINING CONTRIBUTION OF AGRICULTURE DECLINING CONTRIBUTION OF AGRICULTURE -- MALAYSIAMALAYSIA
% % LabourLabour force force / agric sector/ agric sector
% % GDP / Agric GDP / Agric sector sector
%
% C
on
trib
uti
on
Co
ntr
ibu
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2. Land Utilisation
Challenges AheadChallenges Ahead
• 1.5 billion ha used for crop production• Arable land declined from 0.43 (1962) to
0.26 (1998) ha/person• Crop production areas growing @ 1.3
% per yr vs 2.2 % during past 30 years• Harvested area decreasing from 0.113
ha/person to 0.083 ha/person (2030)• Expansion of land base to marginal
lands
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3. Water
Challenges AheadChallenges Ahead
• Irrigation water use efficiency generally low : 20 % (paddy) to 90 % drip
• Average for developing countries ~43 % • Need improvement in water productivity
water efficiency & higher crop yields • Use of lower quality water• To meet 2025 food production levels
need ~ 2,000 cubic km additional water • 2030 water withdrawals for irrigation in
developing countries 14 % increase • Chronic competition for water expected
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Agriculture Domestic Industry
70 %
20 %
10 %
93.5 %
3.8 %2.7 %
Water Withdrawal
Water Consumption
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4. Changes in Lifestyle
Challenges FacedChallenges Faced
• More disposal income Change in diet, more consumption of meat
• Developed countries 70-100 kg/p/yr c.f. < 20 kg/p/yr in developing countries
• Developing world catching up
• Need to increase cereal production 1.84 b tons 2.8 b tons by 2030 [50 % food, 44 % feed]
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Nov 2004 1kgPulses, roots, tubers
2kgPalm oil1kgCitrus fruits2kgRice1kgWheat6kgFresh poultry
10kgFresh lamb15kgFresh beef
500headSheep and goats4,000headCattle
Equivalent water, m³
UnitFood Product
Water Requirement EquivalentWater Requirement Equivalent
Ref: FAO
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5. Investments in Irrigation and Drainage
Challenges AheadChallenges Ahead
• Reduction in irrigation investment• World Bank funding :
US$ 1.5 b US$ 300 - 400• Number of projects 20-25 5-6• New projects Rehabilitation• Avoiding controversial projects
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0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
1970-1980 1980-1990 1990-2000 2000-2025
% increase
Irrigation ExpansionIrrigation Expansion
2.3 %2.3 %
1.3 %1.3 %
0.6 %0.6 %
1.0 %1.0 %
Ref: Hopper
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• Irrigation and Drainage schemes perceived as not friendly to environment
• Over-extraction of goundwater
• Salinization of soils
• Use of chemicals, fertilisers, pesticides
EnvironmentEnvironment
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Nov 2004 Global Fertilizer UsageGlobal Fertilizer Usage
0
50
100
Present Future
Per
cen
tag
eP
erce
nta
ge
Ref: FAO
43 %43 %
84 %84 %
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RICE PRODUCTION
RICE PRODUCTION
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Nov 2004 9,863,00010. Japan
10,219,300 9. Brazil 13,171,0878. Philippines 21,900,0007. Myanmar 27,000,0006. Thailand34,605,4005. Viet Nam38,060,000 4. Bangladesh 51,849,200 3. Indonesia
133,513,000 2. India166,000,000 1. China
Paddy Production, metric tonnes
Top 10 Rice Producers, 2003Top 10 Rice Producers, 2003
Ref: FAO
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Net World Cereal Export Surplus in Million ton (T), or in % of Own Production (OP)
Source : Schultz et al. (2003)
1997/98 1998/99 1999/00 2000/01 2001/02 T OP T OP T OP T OP T OP
Asia -81.9 -8.3 -79.3 -7.8 -81.1 -7.9 -74.1 -7.4 -77.4 -7.8
Africa -33.8 -30.8 -38.8 -33.9 -40.7 -36.5 -43.8 -39 -43.2 -36.7
Americas 83.7 16.1 77.7 14.6 82.4 15.7 82.1 15.4 83.4 16.1
Europe 15.1 3.4 22.8 5.8 18.7 4.9 12.5 3.2 19.2 4.5
Oceania 17.9 56.1 20.9 61.3 20.7 57.7 20.6 58 20.8 54.2
World 1 0 3.3 0.2 0 0 -2.7 -0.1 2.8 0.1
Developed Countries 99.6 11.4 111.8 13.3 117.3 14.3 105.2 12.7 109.2 12.9
Emerging developing countries
-61.5 -5.7 -65.5 -5.9 -74.5 -6.7 -62.5 -5.8 -61.1 -5.6
Least developed Countries
-37.1 -26.6 -43 -29.4 -42.8 -28.9 -45.4 -29.9 -45.3 -28.8
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ANIMAL ANIMAL FEEDFEED
INCREASE INCREASE RICE RICE
PRODUCTIONPRODUCTION
POPULATION POPULATION GROWTHGROWTH
CHANGES CHANGES IN DIETIN DIET
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VERTICAL VERTICAL DEVELOPMENTDEVELOPMENT
HORIZONTAL HORIZONTAL DEVELOPMENTDEVELOPMENT
INCREASE INCREASE RICE RICE
PRODUCTIONPRODUCTION
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Horizontal Development
Development of New Rice Production Areas
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1990455.2 million tons
2020781.3 million tons
-- Increase of 40%Increase of 40%
-- Require additional 9.8 million ha of landRequire additional 9.8 million ha of land
-- Assuming yields of 3.2 tons of rice per ha.Assuming yields of 3.2 tons of rice per ha.
International Rice Research Institute
Global Rice OutlookGlobal Rice Outlook
Sources: FAO data and Fischer et al. (2000)
Cropland in use and total suitable land (million ha)
Ref : FAO data and Fischer et al. (2000)
1066 1031
203 228
366
232
220
207
99
86
874
387
497
265
Limited Arable Land and Competition for other Usage
South Asia
East Asia
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VERTICAL VERTICAL DEVELOPMENTDEVELOPMENT
HORIZONTAL HORIZONTAL DEVELOPMENTDEVELOPMENT
INCREASE INCREASE RICE RICE
PRODUCTIONPRODUCTION
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Vertical Development
Cropping Intensity
Higher Yields
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• Growing more intense / frequently on same piece of land, thus increasing crop production
• Soil management important
Cropping IntensityCropping Intensity
• Water may be limiting resource
• Irrigation and Drainage facilities needed in many situations
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70 % - Higher Yields70 % - Higher Yields
30 % -Other
Factors
30 % -Other
Factors
PRODUCTION INCREASE IN DEV. COUNTRIES
Source: FAO
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Average yield (tons/ha) of rice, wheat, maize, 1960 and 1994
Average Yields
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INCREASE YIELDS
MORE FERTILIZER/ PESTICIDE
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Effect of Fertilizers on Yields
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INCREASE YIELDS
NEW TECHNOLOGYMORE FERTILIZER/
PESTICIDE
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GROUND DATA COLLECTIONGROUND DATA COLLECTION
Pest, weed etcPest, weed etc
BASIC LAYERSBASIC LAYERS
MODELLING for optimum input and MODELLING for optimum input and outputoutput
ACTION MAP for optimum inputACTION MAP for optimum input
Soil MapSoil Map
Yield MapYield Map
Land Use MapLand Use Map
CadastralCadastral MapMap
Remote Sensing DataRemote Sensing Data
Weather DataWeather Data
SocioSocio--EconomicEconomic
Objective:Objective:
Development and integration of remote sensing, Development and integration of remote sensing, GIS, GPS and related technologies for efficient GIS, GPS and related technologies for efficient and precision plantation management to and precision plantation management to increase national rice and oil palm production increase national rice and oil palm production and quality of environmentand quality of environment
Use of Technology - Precision Farming
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Sprinklers for rice, Brazil
Water use reduced to one quarter (¼) cf. flood irrigation
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INCREASE YIELDS
NEW TECHNOLOGY
CAPACITY BUILDINGCAPACITY BUILDING
MORE FERTILIZER/ PESTICIDE
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INCREASE YIELDS
NEW TECHNOLOGY
CAPACITY BUILDINGCAPACITY BUILDING IRR & DR FACILITIES
MORE FERTILIZER/ PESTICIDE
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Nov 2004 WORLD FOOD PRODUCTIONWORLD FOOD PRODUCTION
World World -- AreaArea
World World -- FoodFood
40%40%
17%17%
IRRIGATEDIRRIGATED
NONNON--IRRIGATEDIRRIGATED
Ref: Postel
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0
2
4
6
8
10
12PA
DDY
YIEL
DS to
n/ha
Ext
ensi
ve fa
rmin
g
Inte
nsiv
e fa
rmin
g
Source : Kawasugi
POORLY DRAINED
WELL DRAINEDP
add
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ield
s t/
ha
Pad
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Yie
lds
t/h
a
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44
88
1212
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VERTICAL VERTICAL DEVELOPMENTDEVELOPMENT
HORIZONTAL HORIZONTAL DEVELOPMENTDEVELOPMENT
INCREASE INCREASE RICE RICE
PRODUCTIONPRODUCTION
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Sources of growth in production, 1961 to 1999
Ref : FAO
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PADDY IRRIGATION
PADDY IRRIGATION
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1. Providing Irrigation and Drainage Infrastructure
Paddy IrrigationPaddy Irrigation
• Irrigation infrastructure for more reliable water supply / off-season supply
• Drainage infrastructure to remove excess water
• Drainage infrastructure to improve soil bearing capacity to facilitate harvesting, mechanisation
• Road network for access, transportation
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54.72183.51Asia
3.8811.72Africa
2.172.66Oceania
46.0623.46Europe
64.5640.75Americas
171.39262.10Total -101 countries
Drained AreaMha
Irrigated AreaMha
Continent
Ref: ICID 2000
Irrigated and Drained Areas
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0
25
50
75
100
125
150
175
200
225
250
275
1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000
Are
a (M
Ha)
Rate of Increase of Irrigated Area
World
Developing Countries
Developed CountriesChina
India
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1. Rising capital cost1. Rising capital cost
2. Low return on capital2. Low return on capital
3. Problem of operation 3. Problem of operation and maintenanceand maintenance
4. Low efficiency of 4. Low efficiency of water use.water use.
55. Low level of water . Low level of water charges and revenuescharges and revenues
6. Environmental impacts 6. Environmental impacts of projects (dams)of projects (dams)
7. Degradation of natural 7. Degradation of natural resourcesresources
Future ProspectsNew Irrigation & Drainage Projects
Future ProspectsNew Irrigation & Drainage Projects
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2. Improving Water Use Efficiency
Paddy IrrigationPaddy Irrigation
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More Crop Per Drop
More Crop Less Drop
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Less Drop
Improving Water Efficiency
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World Summit on Sustainable Development (WSSD) J’burg 2002
World Summit on Sustainable Development (WSSD) J’burg 2002
WSSD Plan of Action
• “To develop integrated water resource management and water efficiency plans by 2005”
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SystemsSystems
Improving O&MImproving O&M
Cost RecoveryCost Recovery
ModernisationModernisation
WATER WATER USEUSE
Improving Water EfficiencyImproving Water Efficiency
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• Comparing and assessing scheme’s performance
• Improve weaknesses
• Learn, borrow, adapt best management practices
Benchmarking Benchmarking
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• Wastage because of little or no water recovery cost from farmers
• Where available, quantum low and inadequate
• Need adequate and appropriate charges, with measurement system
Cost RecoveryCost Recovery
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“Irrigation Modernisation is a process of
technical and managerialupgrading of irrigation scheme
combined with institutional reforms
with the objective to improve resource utilisation
(labour, water, economic, environmental)
and water productivity”
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• Wider stakeholders’ participation
• Water user groups, Farmers Associations
• Turnover programs
• Participatory Irrigation Management (PIM)
• Governance
Institutional Reforms Institutional Reforms
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3. Improving Rain-fed Areas
Paddy IrrigationPaddy Irrigation
• Represents 87 % of cropped land
• Small improvement large impact
• Subjected to risk of droughts and floods
• Providing basic infrastructure
• Small scale projects
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Nov 2004 WORLD FOOD PRODUCTIONWORLD FOOD PRODUCTION
World World -- AreaArea World World -- FoodFood
60%60%
83%83%RAINRAIN--FEDFEDNONNON--
IRRIGATEDIRRIGATED
Ref: Postel
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4. Knowledge Development
Paddy IrrigationPaddy Irrigation
• Research & Development• Improvements to systems and
processes• Field application / best practices• Better risk management models• Capacity building, humanware, TOT
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5. Integrated Approach
Paddy IrrigationPaddy Irrigation
• Holistic view
• Hardware & software
• Integration within scheme
• Integration within river basin
• Irrigation and Drainage as a component of IWRM
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* Categories of countries arranged from Deficiency to Surplus food self-sufficiency.
Category I : Many countries in Sub-Saharan AfricaCategory II : Saudi Arabia, Japan etc.Category III : India, China etc.Category IV : USA, Canada etc.
Category
ofcountries*
Food SelfSufficiency
EconomicStatus(GNP)
Population Status ofWRD Governance Strategies
I Deficient Low High Low DeficientAid, Investment, Develop WaterResources, Improve Efficiency,Population Control
II Deficient High Low Adequate Adequate Virtual Water - Import
III SufficientLow and
Low
MiddleHigh Medium Evolving
Investment, Develop WaterResource, Improve Efficiency,Population Control
IV Surplus High Low Adequate Adequate Trade - Export
6. ICID Strategies
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CONCLUSIONCONCLUSION
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1. Food Production in Asia Pressing problems to be solved
ConclusionConclusion
• Population growth
• Increasing food production
• Water issues
• Environmental issues
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2. Irrigation and Drainage Significant enablers in meeting challenges
ConclusionConclusion
• Enabling role to achieve required production increase
• Small scale infrastructure Significant improvement to rain-fed areas
• Need to be more environment friendly
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3. Need to improve on water use efficiency
ConclusionConclusion
• More Crop Less Drop
4. Holistic approach IWRM