Reynolds aston erc_bus_growth_11feb15
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Transcript of Reynolds aston erc_bus_growth_11feb15
11 February 2015
GROWTH BUSINESS ISSUES
Understanding Small Business Growth Workshop
Enterprise Research Centre
Aston Business
Paul D. Reynolds
Economics and Strategy Group
Aston University
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Issues to Explore
• Conception of Contributions
– Fantasy of “permanent jobs”
– Attend to benefits of churning
• Track start-up activities
– Effect on growth trajectory
• Growth Firms and Regional Growth
– Which firms improve regional well-being
– Consequences of firm growth
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Permanent Job Myth
• Churning (firms, jobs) associated with
subsequent economic growth
• Job churn in US – 8 million jobs added or lost each month
– 6% of 129 million private sector wage, salary worker positions
• New firms a major source of job gains, and
losses, net additions are substantial
• Suggests more attention to dynamics
• Measure “job years” not jobs created
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Job Opening and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) Quarterly Job Flow Estimates: US
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Bruyere, C. N,, G.L.Podgornik, and J. R. Spletzer. (2011) Employment Dynamics over the last decade. Monthly Labor Review, August
2011, p. 16-29.
Effect of Start-up Process on Outcomes
(Profitability, survival, growth)
• Potential for a UK PSED – Initial pretest [Fall 2013]
– Partial effort underway
• Track the start-up process in detail
• Need follow-ups for 5-6 years
• Most significant firms may need longer
launch period
• Compare start-up history of new firms with
different outcomes
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Which Firms Improve Economic
Outcomes for All?
• Which growth firms
– Improve productivity and reduce regional jobs
– Expand the economic pie and increase
regional jobs
• Examples from six two year periods,
– 1976-1978, 1978-1980, …
– Regional job growth in following five years
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Reynolds, Paul D. (2014) New Growth Firms and Regional Job Growth. Philadelphia, PA: Academy of
Management Annual Meeting. 4 August.
Small Firm Births and Five Year Regional Job Growth
[Six 2-year periods, n=1,859; r=0.16, 430 cases omitted]
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