Results from FRA 2015 - UNECE...2015/11/02  · How have forests changed? Results from FRA 2015 K....

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How have forests changed? Results from FRA 2015 K. MacDicken, FAO Forestry

Transcript of Results from FRA 2015 - UNECE...2015/11/02  · How have forests changed? Results from FRA 2015 K....

Page 1: Results from FRA 2015 - UNECE...2015/11/02  · How have forests changed? Results from FRA 2015 K. MacDicken, FAO Forestry 286 national correspondents 6,000+ forest inventory Resource

How have forests changed?Results from FRA 2015

K. MacDicken, FAO Forestry

Page 2: Results from FRA 2015 - UNECE...2015/11/02  · How have forests changed? Results from FRA 2015 K. MacDicken, FAO Forestry 286 national correspondents 6,000+ forest inventory Resource

286 national

correspondents

6,000+ forest inventory

Resource partners

Page 3: Results from FRA 2015 - UNECE...2015/11/02  · How have forests changed? Results from FRA 2015 K. MacDicken, FAO Forestry 286 national correspondents 6,000+ forest inventory Resource

The Collaborative Forest Resources Questionnaire:

Making Joint Data Collection Work

Page 4: Results from FRA 2015 - UNECE...2015/11/02  · How have forests changed? Results from FRA 2015 K. MacDicken, FAO Forestry 286 national correspondents 6,000+ forest inventory Resource

How have forests changed?

Page 5: Results from FRA 2015 - UNECE...2015/11/02  · How have forests changed? Results from FRA 2015 K. MacDicken, FAO Forestry 286 national correspondents 6,000+ forest inventory Resource

But first, how have we changed in the past 25 years?

Page 6: Results from FRA 2015 - UNECE...2015/11/02  · How have forests changed? Results from FRA 2015 K. MacDicken, FAO Forestry 286 national correspondents 6,000+ forest inventory Resource

40%2.5x

37%

3.2%

Page 7: Results from FRA 2015 - UNECE...2015/11/02  · How have forests changed? Results from FRA 2015 K. MacDicken, FAO Forestry 286 national correspondents 6,000+ forest inventory Resource

200 million

m3

Annual wood removal

893

187

High income countries

Industrial

Woodfuel

(million m3)

28

431

Low income countries

Industrial

Woodfuel

(million m3)

Page 8: Results from FRA 2015 - UNECE...2015/11/02  · How have forests changed? Results from FRA 2015 K. MacDicken, FAO Forestry 286 national correspondents 6,000+ forest inventory Resource

Net emissions

from forests

1.5 Gt CO2 per

year

CO2

129 million ha

Land conversion

Page 9: Results from FRA 2015 - UNECE...2015/11/02  · How have forests changed? Results from FRA 2015 K. MacDicken, FAO Forestry 286 national correspondents 6,000+ forest inventory Resource

Natural forest

239 million ha

110 million ha

Planted forest

200 million ha

Protected area

150 million ha

Biodiversityconservation

Page 10: Results from FRA 2015 - UNECE...2015/11/02  · How have forests changed? Results from FRA 2015 K. MacDicken, FAO Forestry 286 national correspondents 6,000+ forest inventory Resource

…and we changed the extent of global forest area

Page 11: Results from FRA 2015 - UNECE...2015/11/02  · How have forests changed? Results from FRA 2015 K. MacDicken, FAO Forestry 286 national correspondents 6,000+ forest inventory Resource

Forest area loss has been cut in half

and is now less than one-tenth the rate

of human population growth

1

Page 12: Results from FRA 2015 - UNECE...2015/11/02  · How have forests changed? Results from FRA 2015 K. MacDicken, FAO Forestry 286 national correspondents 6,000+ forest inventory Resource

Percentage of land area

Page 13: Results from FRA 2015 - UNECE...2015/11/02  · How have forests changed? Results from FRA 2015 K. MacDicken, FAO Forestry 286 national correspondents 6,000+ forest inventory Resource

… and in forest area per capita

Page 14: Results from FRA 2015 - UNECE...2015/11/02  · How have forests changed? Results from FRA 2015 K. MacDicken, FAO Forestry 286 national correspondents 6,000+ forest inventory Resource

Lost or burned: which is more important?

Nearly 7 million ha of natural forest lost per year from 2010-2015.

An average of over 50 million ha of forest land burned every year.

compared to

Page 15: Results from FRA 2015 - UNECE...2015/11/02  · How have forests changed? Results from FRA 2015 K. MacDicken, FAO Forestry 286 national correspondents 6,000+ forest inventory Resource

Forest area continues to expand in the temperate

and boreal zonesand contract in the tropics

2

Page 16: Results from FRA 2015 - UNECE...2015/11/02  · How have forests changed? Results from FRA 2015 K. MacDicken, FAO Forestry 286 national correspondents 6,000+ forest inventory Resource

Forest area gains and losses

Page 17: Results from FRA 2015 - UNECE...2015/11/02  · How have forests changed? Results from FRA 2015 K. MacDicken, FAO Forestry 286 national correspondents 6,000+ forest inventory Resource

Tropical forest loss

7.2 million ha per year

6.6 million ha per year

Agricultural expansion in the tropics

Tropics: 2000-2010

Page 18: Results from FRA 2015 - UNECE...2015/11/02  · How have forests changed? Results from FRA 2015 K. MacDicken, FAO Forestry 286 national correspondents 6,000+ forest inventory Resource

The bulk of the world’s forest is natural forest.

But the share of planted forest is increasing.

Year Natural forest (%)

Planted forest (%)

1990 96 4

2005 94 6

2015 93 7

Page 19: Results from FRA 2015 - UNECE...2015/11/02  · How have forests changed? Results from FRA 2015 K. MacDicken, FAO Forestry 286 national correspondents 6,000+ forest inventory Resource

Natural forest change (1990-2015)

Page 20: Results from FRA 2015 - UNECE...2015/11/02  · How have forests changed? Results from FRA 2015 K. MacDicken, FAO Forestry 286 national correspondents 6,000+ forest inventory Resource

Natural forest change (2010-2015)

Page 21: Results from FRA 2015 - UNECE...2015/11/02  · How have forests changed? Results from FRA 2015 K. MacDicken, FAO Forestry 286 national correspondents 6,000+ forest inventory Resource

Planted forest change (1990-2015)

Page 22: Results from FRA 2015 - UNECE...2015/11/02  · How have forests changed? Results from FRA 2015 K. MacDicken, FAO Forestry 286 national correspondents 6,000+ forest inventory Resource

Planted forest change (2010-2015)

Page 23: Results from FRA 2015 - UNECE...2015/11/02  · How have forests changed? Results from FRA 2015 K. MacDicken, FAO Forestry 286 national correspondents 6,000+ forest inventory Resource

Do FRA results have global implications?

Earth Summit (1992)CBD (1992)UNFCCC (1992)UNFF (2000)

Page 24: Results from FRA 2015 - UNECE...2015/11/02  · How have forests changed? Results from FRA 2015 K. MacDicken, FAO Forestry 286 national correspondents 6,000+ forest inventory Resource

Our capacity to manage forests for the long-term has never been

stronger.

3

Page 25: Results from FRA 2015 - UNECE...2015/11/02  · How have forests changed? Results from FRA 2015 K. MacDicken, FAO Forestry 286 national correspondents 6,000+ forest inventory Resource

More than half of all forest is permanent forest

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Forest area

Not permanent

Private

State-owned

Page 26: Results from FRA 2015 - UNECE...2015/11/02  · How have forests changed? Results from FRA 2015 K. MacDicken, FAO Forestry 286 national correspondents 6,000+ forest inventory Resource

UP

SFMsupportive

policies and legislation

UP

Management Planning

UP

Forest monitoring

through inventories

UP

Forest management certification

Page 27: Results from FRA 2015 - UNECE...2015/11/02  · How have forests changed? Results from FRA 2015 K. MacDicken, FAO Forestry 286 national correspondents 6,000+ forest inventory Resource

More measurements, monitoring, and reporting

Page 28: Results from FRA 2015 - UNECE...2015/11/02  · How have forests changed? Results from FRA 2015 K. MacDicken, FAO Forestry 286 national correspondents 6,000+ forest inventory Resource

Forest area certified as sustainably managed increased everywhere

More forest area is under management plans

Page 29: Results from FRA 2015 - UNECE...2015/11/02  · How have forests changed? Results from FRA 2015 K. MacDicken, FAO Forestry 286 national correspondents 6,000+ forest inventory Resource

The Future

Page 30: Results from FRA 2015 - UNECE...2015/11/02  · How have forests changed? Results from FRA 2015 K. MacDicken, FAO Forestry 286 national correspondents 6,000+ forest inventory Resource

What do countries think will happen to their forest area by 2030?

• Some countries expect it will decrease (27%)

• 21 countries expect a decrease of 65 million ha or 6% of their forest area

• Some think it will increase (73%)

• 52 countries expect a total increase of 144 million ha or 10% of their forest area

Page 31: Results from FRA 2015 - UNECE...2015/11/02  · How have forests changed? Results from FRA 2015 K. MacDicken, FAO Forestry 286 national correspondents 6,000+ forest inventory Resource

Three important take-aways

1Forest area loss

has been cut in half and is now less than one-tenth the rate

of human population growth

2Forest area continues

to expand in the temperate and boreal

zones and contract in the tropics

3Our capacity

to manage forests for the long-term has never been

stronger.

Page 32: Results from FRA 2015 - UNECE...2015/11/02  · How have forests changed? Results from FRA 2015 K. MacDicken, FAO Forestry 286 national correspondents 6,000+ forest inventory Resource

Explore these resources:–How are forests changing?

–Special Issue of Forest Ecology and Management

–Desk Reference

–Country Reports

–Forest Land Use Data Explorer

www.fao.org/forestry/fra

Page 33: Results from FRA 2015 - UNECE...2015/11/02  · How have forests changed? Results from FRA 2015 K. MacDicken, FAO Forestry 286 national correspondents 6,000+ forest inventory Resource

Forest resource information without investment and action is just interesting history…

Let us put this information to use for present and future generations…

Page 34: Results from FRA 2015 - UNECE...2015/11/02  · How have forests changed? Results from FRA 2015 K. MacDicken, FAO Forestry 286 national correspondents 6,000+ forest inventory Resource

Thank you.