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Resilience to Disasters Flexibility-Adaptation · 9/30/2015 · 3. Safeguard natural assets 4....
Transcript of Resilience to Disasters Flexibility-Adaptation · 9/30/2015 · 3. Safeguard natural assets 4....
Resilience to Disasters
Flexibility-Adaptation
Gordon McBean, PhD, FRSC President, International Council for Science Co-Chair, Governing Council, Future Earth
Presentation to JRC Annual Conference- Building a Resilient Europe in a Globalized World
Sept 30, 2015.
Disaster Risk
Vulnerability: predisposition of
a person or
group to be
adversely
affected
Exposure
Nature and
severity of
event –
which are
changing
with the
climate
HAZARD
EVENT
Impacts from hazard events depend on:
Resilience – building it across communities
1. Build on international agreements
2. Take systems approach
3. Consult with communities, stakeholders, …
4. Join and strengthen existing research
• …, there is a need for focused action within and across
sectors by States at local, national, regional and global levels
in the following four priority areas:
1. Understanding disaster risk;
2. Strengthening disaster risk governance to manage disaster
risk;
3. Investing in disaster risk reduction for resilience;
4. Enhancing disaster preparedness for effective response, and
to “Build Back Better” in recovery, rehabilitation and
reconstruction.
• is collaborating with UN and other partners to
make this a reality –Int’l Conference – Jan. 2016, Geneva.
Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction
2015-2030
9. Build resilient infrastructure, promote inclusive and
sustainable industrialization and foster innovation
11. Make cities and human settlements inclusive, safe,
resilient and sustainable
13. Take urgent action to combat climate change and
its impacts*
Sustainable Development Goals
Approved by UN – examples from 17 Goals
Assessing the Vulnerability of Cities in a
Changing Climate Coastal Cities at Risk – CCaR
Building Adaptive Capacity for Managing Climate
Change in Coastal Megacities
CCaR
Lagos Bangkok
Vancouver
Manila
Health
Mobility
GDP
Energy
Workers
Population
Resilience
CCaR
S. P. Simonović
Water Quality
Flood and Sea Level
Which adaptation options give the best resilience?
Sea Level Rise-Storms –
floods-inundations
Systems Analysis Approach – Urban Resilience - Modelling
Interdisciplinary –
Integrative – Policy Relevant-
Approach
Science for Policy-Global Science Advisers Meetings
Science-Policy Advisers
Meeting, Auckland, 2014
International Council for
Science – OECD - +
- Major events -
-biannually
- Workshops – regularly
An integrated approach to research on disaster risk through: an international, multidisciplinary (natural, health, engineering and social sciences) collaborative research programme.
Objectives:
1. … hazards, vulnerability and risk
2. Effective decision making …
3. Reducing risk and curbing losses …
IRDR International Centres of Excellence – ICOE (4 of 8)
• Vulnerability and Resilience Metrics, U.South Carolina, USA
• Community Resilience, Massey University, NZ
• Risk Education and Learning, Partners Enhancing Resilience for People
Exposed to Risks Consortium, Stellenbosch University, SA
• Disaster Resilient Homes, Buildings and Public Infrastructure, ICLR,
Western University, CA
Integrated Research
on Disaster Risk
07.10.2015 10
Themes Challenges
Dynamic Planet Sustainable Development
Transformations to Sustainability
1. Water, food, energy for all
2. Decarbonise socioeconomic
systems
3. Safeguard natural assets
4. Build healthy, resilient cities
5. Sustainable rural futures
6. Improve human health under
GEC
7. Sustainable consumption and
prod’n
8. Social resilience to future
threats
Future Oceans
Transformations
SDGs
Food and the nexus
Future cities
Future health
Natural assets
Knowledge Action Networks
Goal:
To provide the knowledge required for
societies in the world to face risks posed by
global environmental change and to seize
opportunities in a transition to global
sustainability
Fostering co-design and
co-production of knowledge
under Future Earth
11
Co-design
Co-
production
Co-delivery
Science for
Policy and
Communities
Source: Stafford-Smith, Moser, et al., forthcoming
12
We need to address issues of intergenerational and international
equity – increase resilience, reduce risk, sustain development for
people and the planet.
Evidence-based policies for Building a Resilient World
Thank you for your
attention
Integrating research for resilient societies
to reduce risk and sustain development