RELATIVE...IDAHO STATE REPORT 07.26.2020 SUMMARY Idahoisin thered zoneforcases, indicatingmorethan...

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IDAHO STATE REPORT 07.26.2020 SUMMARY Idaho is in the red zonefor cases , indicating more than 100 new casesper 100,000populationlastweek, and thered zonefor test positivity , indicatinga rate above 10 % . Idaho has seen stability in new casesand a decreasein testing positivity overthe past week. Both the cases and the test positivityrate remained veryhighbut improved slightlylast weekwith a declineseen in Ada County , while cases increased in the IdahoFalls area. The followingthree counties had the highest number of new cases over thepast 3 weeks : 1. Ada County, 2.CanyonCounty, and 3. Kootenai County . These counties represent76.3 percent of new cases in Idaho . COVID - 19 -related hospitalizations have continued to rise and currently exceed the initial peak in April . Whilemany counties throughout Idaho are affected the highest case and test positivity rates continueto be in the Boise area and other counties of southwest Idaho , where hospitalsare under the most strain . Idaho had 196 new cases per 100,000 population in the past week , compared to a national averageof 140 per 100,000 . Thefederal government hasdeployed the following staff as assets to support the state response : 11to support operations activities from FEMA. During Jul 18 - Jul24 , on average , 18 patients with confirmedCOVID - 19 and 4 patientswith suspected COVID- 19were reported asnewly admitted each day to hospitals in Idaho . An averageof 39 percent of hospitalsreported each day during this period; therefore, this may be an underestimate of theactual total number of COVID -relatedhospitalizations . Underreporting may lead to a lower allocation of critical supplies.* RECOMMENDATIONS Surge testing and contact tracing resources to neighborhoods and zip codes with highestcaserates , especially in the Centraland SouthwestHealth Districts. Support the recent mandates for mask wearing in highly affected counties and the CentralHealth District . Communicate support for their adoption in other counties and health districts with rapidly rising reported cases. Considerfurther restrictions of opening statusunder state reopening guidelines for businesses and gathering sizes in localities if cases and hospitalizations continue to rise rapidly . Move to community - led neighborhood testing andwork with local community groups to increase access to testing Specific , detailed guidance on community mitigationmeasures can be found on the CDC website. Thepurpose of this report is to developa sharedunderstanding of the current status of the pandemicat the national , regional , stateand local levels . Werecognize thatdata at the state level maydiffer from that available at the federal level . Our objectiveis to useconsistent data sourcesand methods that allowfor comparisons to be madeacrosslocalities . Weappreciate your continued support in identifying data discrepancies andimproving data completeness and sharing acrosssystems . Welook forwardto yourfeedback . * This figuremay differ from state data due to differences in hospital lists between federal and state systems or inclusion of hospitals that are not admitting COVID- 19 patients. We are working to incorporate feedback on anongoing basis to update these figures. These data exclude psychiatric, rehabilitation, and religious non- medicalhospitals . COVID - 19

Transcript of RELATIVE...IDAHO STATE REPORT 07.26.2020 SUMMARY Idahoisin thered zoneforcases, indicatingmorethan...

Page 1: RELATIVE...IDAHO STATE REPORT 07.26.2020 SUMMARY Idahoisin thered zoneforcases, indicatingmorethan 100 new casesper 100,000populationlastweek, and thered zonefor testpositivity, indicatinga

IDAHO

STATE REPORT 07.26.2020

SUMMARY

Idaho is in the red zonefor cases, indicatingmore than 100 new casesper 100,000populationlastweek, and thered zonefortest positivity, indicatinga rateabove 10 % .

Idahohasseen stability in new casesand a decreasein testing positivity overthepastweek. Both the casesand the testpositivityrate remainedveryhighbut improved slightlylastweekwith a declineseenin Ada County, while cases increasedinthe IdahoFalls area.

The followingthree countieshad the highestnumberof new casesover thepast3 weeks: 1.Ada County, 2.CanyonCounty, and3.KootenaiCounty. These countiesrepresent76.3percentofnew cases in Idaho.

COVID- 19-related hospitalizationshave continued to rise andcurrently exceed the initialpeak in April.

Whilemany countiesthroughoutIdaho areaffected the highestcaseand test positivity rates continueto bein the Boise area

and other counties of southwestIdaho, wherehospitalsare under themoststrain.

Idahohad 196 new casesper100,000 population in the pastweek, compared to a nationalaverageof 140 per 100,000.

Thefederalgovernmenthasdeployed the following staff as assets to support the state response: 11to support operationsactivities from FEMA.

DuringJul18 - Jul24, on average, 18 patientswith confirmedCOVID -19 and 4 patientswith suspected COVID- 19were reportedasnewly admitted each day to hospitals in Idaho. An averageof 39 percentofhospitalsreported each day during this period;therefore, this maybe an underestimate of theactualtotalnumberof COVID -relatedhospitalizations. Underreportingmay leadto a lower allocation of criticalsupplies.*

RECOMMENDATIONS

Surgetestingand contact tracing resources to neighborhoodsand zip codes with highestcaserates, especially inthe Centraland SouthwestHealth Districts.

Support the recentmandatesformask wearing in highly affected counties and the CentralHealth District.Communicate support fortheir adoption in other countiesandhealth districts with rapidly rising reported cases.

Considerfurther restrictionsof openingstatusunder state reopening guidelines for businessesand gatheringsizes in localities if cases andhospitalizationscontinue to rise rapidly.

Moveto community-led neighborhood testing andwork with localcommunity groups to increase access totesting

Specific , detailed guidanceon community mitigationmeasurescan be found on the CDC website.

Thepurposeofthis reportis to developa sharedunderstandingof thecurrentstatusof thepandemicat the national, regional, stateand locallevels. Werecognize

thatdataatthestate levelmaydiffer from thatavailableatthe federallevel. Our objectiveis to useconsistentdata sourcesand methodsthatallowforcomparisonsto bemadeacrosslocalities. Weappreciateyour continuedsupportin identifyingdata discrepanciesandimprovingdata completenessand sharingacrosssystems.Welookforwardto yourfeedback.

* This figuremay differ from state data due to differences in hospital lists between federal and state systems or inclusion ofhospitals that

are not admitting COVID- 19 patients. Weare working to incorporate feedback on anongoing basis to update these figures. These dataexclude psychiatric, rehabilitation, and religious non-medicalhospitals. COVID -19

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COVID - 19

IDAHOSTATE REPORT 07.26.2020

STATE, % CHANGE FEMA/HHSSTATE FROM PREVIOUS REGION

LASTWEEK WEEK LAST WEEK

UNITED STATESLASTWEEK

NEW CASES

(RATE PER 100,000)

3,510

( 196)-8.2%

12,065

(84 )

460,137

( 140)

DIAGNOSTIC TEST

POSITIVITY RATE18.0 % -4.8 % * 6.6 % 8.5 %

TOTAL DIAGNOSTICTESTS

( TESTS PER 100,000)

28,721**

( 1,607)-5.0% ** 221,815 **

( 1,546)

5,437,404**

( 1,657)

30COVID DEATHS

( RATE PER 100,000 )+ 130.8 %

113

( 1)

6,434

( 2 )( 2 )

AT LEASTONE

COVID- 19 CASE9.1 % + 3.0 % * 4.4 % 12.1%

100 %

80 %

60 %

MOBILITY MOBILITYRELATIVE

TOBASELINE

40 %

20 %

0 %

2/233/1 3/8

3/15 3/22 3/29

4/5 4/12 4/19 4/26 5/3

5/10 5/17 5/24 5/31

6/7 6/14 6/21 6/28 7/5

7/12 7/19 7/26

**

Indicates absolute change in percentage points.Dueto delayed reporting, this figuremayunderestimate totaldiagnostic tests and week-on-week changes in diagnostic tests.

DATA SOURCES

Cases andDeaths: Statevalues arecalculatedbyaggregating county -leveldata from USAFacts; therefore , the valuesmaynotmatchthose reported directlyby the state. Data is through 7/24/2020; lastweek is 7/18 - 7/24 previousweek is 7/11- 7/17.Testing: State-level values calculatedby using 7 -day rolling averagesofreported tests. Regional-andnational-levelvalues calculatedbyusing a combination of CELR (COVID - 19ElectronicLab Reporting) state health department-reported data andHHSProtect laboratorydata (provided directly to FederalGovernmentfrom publichealthlabs,hospitallabs, and commerciallabs) through 7/22/2020. Last

week is 7/16 - 7/22, previousweek is 7/9 - 7/15 . Testing dataareinclusive of everythingreceived andprocessed bythe CELR system as of19:00EDT on 07/25/2020. Somedates maybeincomplete due to delaysin reporting. Testing data may bebackfilledover time, resultingin changesweek-to -week in testingdata. It is criticalthatstates provide as up- to-date testing data aspossible.Mobility: Descartes Labs. This depicts themedian distancemoved across a collection ofmobiledevices to estimate the levelofhuman mobilitywithin a county; 100 % represents thebaselinemobility level. Data is anonymized andprovided at the county level.Datathrough 7/24/2020.

Skilled nursingfacilities. NationalHealthcareSafetyNetwork. Lastweek is 7/13-7/ 19, previousweek is 7/6-7/ 12.

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COVID - 19

IDAHOSTATEREPORT| 07.26.2020

COVID - 19COUNTYANDMETROALERTS

LOCALITIESIN REDZONE LOCALITIES IN YELLOW ZONE

METRO

AREA

( CBSA )LASTWEEK

5

Boise CityCoeur d'AleneIdahoFalls

Burley

Ontario

8

Twin Falls

Pocatello

RexburgBlackfootMountain HomeMoscow

Jackson

Logan

Twin Falls

BannockJerome

BinghamElmore

GoodingLatahTeton

ValleyBenewah

ClearwaterFranklin

Ada

CanyonKootenai

Bonneville

Minidoka

Payette

Cassia

Top 12 shown Owyhee(full list Gem

below ) Jefferson

WashingtonShoshone

17COUNTY

LASTWEEK14

Top 12 shown(fulllistbelow )

AllRed CBSAs BoiseCity, Coeurd'Alene, IdahoFalls, Burley, Ontario

All Yellow Counties: Twin Falls, Bannock, Jerome, Bingham , Elmore,Gooding, Latah, Teton , Valley, Benewah,Franklin, Clearwater, Lincoln, PowerLemhi, BearLake, Adams

Red Zone: Those core-based statistical areas (CBSAs) and counties that during the lastweek reported both new cases above 100 per100,000 population , and a diagnostic test positivity result above 10 % .Yellow Zone : Those core -based statistical areas (CBSAs) and counties that during the last week reported both new cases between 10100 per 100,000 population , and a diagnostic test positivity result between 5-10 % , or one of those two conditions and one conditionqualifying as being in the “ Red Zone.Note: Top 12 locations are selected based on thehighest number of new cases in the last three weeks .DATA SOURCESCases and Deaths: State values are calculated by aggregating county -level data from USAFacts ; therefore , the valuesmay notmatchthose reported directly by the state. Data is through 7/24/2020 ; lastweek is 7/18 -7/24 , three weeks is 7/4 - 7/24 .Testing :CELR (COVID - 19 Electronic Lab Reporting) state health department -reported data through 7/22/2020 . Lastweek is 7/16 - 7/22.Testing datamay bebackfilled over time, resulting in changes week -to-week in testing data. It is critical that states provide as up -todate testing data as possible.

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POLICYRECOMMENDATIONSFOR COUNTIES IN THERED ZONE

PublicMessagingWear amask atall timesoutsidethehomeandmaintainphysicaldistanceLimitsocialgatheringsto 10 peopleor fewerDonotgo to bars, nightclubs, or gymsUsetakeoutor eat outdoorssocially distanced

Protectanyonewithseriousmedicalconditionsat homeby socialdistancingathomeandusinghigh levelsofpersonalhygiene, includinghandwashingandcleaningsurfaces

Reduceyourpublic interactionsandactivitiesto 25% ofyournormalactivity

Public Officials

Closebars and gyms, andcreateoutdoordiningopportunitieswithpedestrianareasLimitsocialgatheringsto 10 peopleorfewerInstituteroutineweeklytestingofallworkersin assistedlivingandlong-term care facilities. Requiremasksforallstaffandprohibitvisitors

Ensurethatallbusinessretailersandpersonalservicesrequiremasksand can safelysocialdistanceIncreasemessagingon theriskofseriousdiseasefor individualsin all age groupswithpreexistingobesity,hypertension, anddiabetes

mellitus, andrecommendto shelterin placeWorkwith localcommunitygroupsto providetargeted, tailoredmessagingto communitieswithhighcaserates, and increasecommunityleveltestingRecruitmorecontacttracers ascommunityoutreachworkersto ensureallcasesare contactedand allpositivehouseholdsare

individuallytestedwithin24hours

Provideisolationfacilitiesoutsideofhouseholdsif positiveindividualscan'tquarantinesuccessfully

Testing

Moveto community-ledneighborhoodtestingandwork with localcommunity groupsto increaseaccessto testingSurgetestingand contacttracing resourcesto neighborhoodsand zip codes highestcase ratesDiagnosticpooling: Laboratoriesshouldusepooling ofsamplesto increasetestingaccessand reduce turnaroundtimes to under 12hours. Considerpoolsof2-3 individuals in high incidencesettingsand 5 :1pools in settingwheretestpositivityis under 10 %Surveillancepooling: For familyand cohabitatinghouseholds, screen entirehouseholdsin a single testbypooling specimensofall

members into single collection device

POLICYRECOMMENDATIONSFOR COUNTIESIN THEYELLOW ZONEIN ORDER

TO PREEMPTEXPONENTIALCOMMUNITYSPREADPublicMessaging

Wear a mask atall timesoutsidethehomeandmaintain physicaldistance

Limitsocialgatherings to 25 people or fewer

Do notgo to barsor nightclubs

Usetakeout, outdoor dining or indoor diningwhen strict socialdistancingcan bemaintainedProtectanyonewith serious medicalconditions at homeby socialdistancing athome and using high levels ofpersonalhygieneReduce your public interactions and activities to 50 % of your normal activity

PublicOfficials

Limitgymsto 25 % occupancyandclosebarsuntilpercentpositiveratesareunder3 ; createoutdoordiningopportunitieswithpedestrianareasLimitsocialgatheringsto 25 peopleorfewerInstituteroutineweeklytestingofallworkersin assistedlivingandlong-term carefacilities. Requiremasksfor allstaffandprohibitvisitors

EnsurethatallbusinessretailersandpersonalservicesrequiremasksandcansafelysocialdistanceIncreasemessagingon theriskofseriousdiseaseforindividualsin allagegroupswithpreexistingobesity,hypertension, anddiabetesmellitus, andrecommendto shelterin placeWorkwith localcommunitygroupsto providetargeted, tailoredmessagingto communitieswith high case rates, and increasecommunityleveltestingRecruitmorecontacttracers ascommunityoutreachworkersto ensureallcasesare contactedand allpositivehouseholdsareindividuallytestedwithin24 hours

Provideisolationfacilitiesoutsideofhouseholdsif positiveindividualscan'tquarantinesuccessfully

Testing

Moveto community- led neighborhoodtestingandwork with localcommunitygroupsto increaseaccess to testingSurgetestingandcontact tracingresourcesto neighborhoodsandzip codes with highestcaserates

Diagnosticpooling: Laboratoriesshouldusepoolingofsamplesto increasetestingaccessandreduceturnaroundtimesto under 12hours. Considerpoolsof3-5 individualsSurveillancepooling: Forfamilyandcohabitatinghouseholds, screenentirehouseholdsin a singletestby poolingspecimensofall

membersinto singlecollectiondevice

Page 5: RELATIVE...IDAHO STATE REPORT 07.26.2020 SUMMARY Idahoisin thered zoneforcases, indicatingmorethan 100 new casesper 100,000populationlastweek, and thered zonefor testpositivity, indicatinga

COVID - 19

IDAHO

STATE REPORT 07.26.2020

1000

800

600

NEWCASES

COVID-19CASES

400

200

Daily COVID - 19 Cases ( 7 - day average ) Daily COVID - 19 Cases

400020.0 %

3000 15.0 %

PERCENTAGE

OF

TOTALTESTS

2000 10.0 %

1000 5.0 %

0.0 %

% Positivity Rate (byresult date 7 day avg. )Daily Tests Completed ( 7 day avg. )

Top countiesbasedon greatestnumber ofnew cases inlast three weeks (7/4 - 7/24 )

6000

TOPCOUNTIES 4000

NEWCASES(CUMULATIVE

Ada

CanyonKootenai

Twin FallsBonneville

Minidoka

PayetteCassia

Bannock2000

3/83/15 3/22

-3/29-

4/54/12 4/19 4/26 5/3

5/10 5/17 5/24

-

5/31

6/7 6/14-

6/21 6/28 7/5-

7/12-

7/19 7/26

DATA SOURCES

Cases: County-leveldata from USAFacts. State values are calculated byaggregating county- leveldata from USAFacts;therefore, the valuesmay notmatch those reported directly by the state. Data is through 7/24/2020 .Testing: CELR ( COVID - 19 Electronic Lab Reporting) statehealth department-reported data through 7/22/2020.

Page 6: RELATIVE...IDAHO STATE REPORT 07.26.2020 SUMMARY Idahoisin thered zoneforcases, indicatingmorethan 100 new casesper 100,000populationlastweek, and thered zonefor testpositivity, indicatinga

COVID - 19

Top 12 counties based on number ofnew cases in thelast 3 weeks

Daily COVID - 19 Cases ( 7 -day average) Daily COVID - 19 Cases

400 Ada County Canyon County KootenaiCounty

300 80

300

60

200

20040

100100

20

w

Twin Falls County BonnevilleCounty MinidokaCounty40

80 20

30 60 151020 40

10 20

TOTALDAILYCASES

O

Payette County Cassia County Owyhee County15

2010

10

10

5

Bannock County JeromeCounty, Bingham County

15 20

10

15

10

105

5

5

3/21 4/5 4/20 5/55/20

6/46/19

7/47/19 3/21

4/5 4/20 5/55/20

6/4 6/19 7/19 3/21 6/19 7/4 7/19

DATA SOURCES

Cases: County-leveldata from USAFacts through 7/24/2020. Last 3 weeks is 7/4 -7/24.

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COVID - 19

IDAHOSTATEREPORT 07.26.2020

CASERATESAND DIAGNOSTICTESTPOSITIVITYDURING THE

LASTWEEK

NEW CASES PER 100,000 DURINGLASTWEEK

TEST POSITIVITY DURING LAST

WEEK

Date: 7/26/2020 Date: 7/26/2020

WA WA

MT ND MT ND

OR OR

ID ID

SD

TestPositivityCasesin Last

Cases per 100K

Casesin Last

14 DaysWY 0.1to 9.9

10 to 99.9100 to

200 to 499.9500 or More

CA CA

NV NV

0 % to 4.9 %

5 % to 9.9

10 % to 19.9%20 % orMore

UT UT

WEEKLY % CHANGEIN NEW

CASES PER 100K

WEEKLY CHANGE IN TEST

POSITIVITY

Date: 7/26/2020 Date: 7/26/2020E

WA WA

MT ND MT ND

OR ORID IDPercentChangein

Casesper100K

< Casesin14Days

100% Less

10% to 99.9% Less

LittleChange10 to 99.9% More

100% to 999.9%More

1,000 More

AbsoluteChangeinTestPositivity

20 Casesin Last14 Days2 % + Less

0.5% to 1.9% Less

LittleChange

0.5% to 1.9% More

% + More

CA CA

NV NV

UT UT

co

DATA SOURCES

Cases: County-leveldata from USAFactsthrough 7/24/2020. Lastweek is7/18- 7/24, previousweek is 7/11- 7/17.Testing: CELR (COVID- 19 ElectronicLabReporting) statehealth department-reporteddata through7/22/2020. Lastweek is 7/16

- 7/22, previousweek is 7/9 - 7/15. Testingdatamaybebackfilledover time, resultingin changesweek- to-week in testing data. Itis criticalthat statesprovideasup- to -datetestingdata aspossible.