REGIONAL UPDATE FOR RUSHMORE ELECTRIC POWER … · 2014 Est Deficit Pmt 2015 Prelim Study 33.54...
Transcript of REGIONAL UPDATE FOR RUSHMORE ELECTRIC POWER … · 2014 Est Deficit Pmt 2015 Prelim Study 33.54...
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REGIONAL UPDATEFOR
RUSHMORE ELECTRIC POWER COOPERATIVE
Bob HarrisSVP &UGP Regional Manager
March 30, 2016
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Balancing Broad System
• Distributed organization
• Multiple systems
• Competing demands
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Western’s Focus – Roadmap 2024
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Rate Pressures Outside Western
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Business Excellence• Compelled to do more
– Cost Controls
– Evolving industry = increasing demands
• Rethinking processes for efficacy
• Broad base to support $4B assets
• GAO Audit: Committed to Congress to finalize and implement unobligated balances strategy
• Customer partnership critical piece
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Committed to Transparency
• Lowest possible rates consistent with sound business principles
• Critical to focus on the big issues we are all facing
• Need customer support to meet your changing needs
• Participation in meetings is critical—as is your engagement in the customer survey process
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Westernwide Accomplishments
• Joined SPP RTO
• Wind PEIS
• Fall Protection
• TIP: ED5-PVH and Southline
• Boulder Canyon Remarketing
• 133 Structure Replacements
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Missouri River Mainstem System
Annual Runoff above Sioux City, IA
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
1890 1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010
Million Acre-Feet
Median
Historic Drought Periods
2016
Forecast
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Mainstem System Generation
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
Normal 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
9.3
14.6
10.0
11.2
9.6
6.17.5 7.6
6.55.6
6.3
4.94.9
6.6
8.7
11.110.4
7.59.6
8.59.1
Mar 1, 2016 Forecast Upper Basic: 10.5 Lower Basic: 9.2
Million Megawatt Hours
Forecast
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$0
$100
$200
$300
$400
$500
$600
$700
$800
$900
$1,000
Millions
Payments Applied
2014 Est Deficit Pmt
2015 Prelim Study 33.54
Total Accumulated Deficit $843 M
Approximately$206 M Unpaid
Cumulative Deficit Deficit Repayment
Projected in Current Rate
Planned Deficit Repayment FY 2015
1
Planned Repayment
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P-SMBP 2015 Prelim PRS Required Payments
5
$107
$171
$50$45
$0
$20
$40
$60
$80
$100
$120
$140
$160
$180
$200
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Mill
ion
s
Deficit Repl Inv/Add Aid
New Pinch Point
2015 Projected$111 M Deficit Payment
Deficit Paid
Ahead
Required Payments
Solve Year
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Projection on Composite Rate
33.54 33.54 33.54 33.54
28.54
24.23 24.9626.43 27.13
27.9
0.00
5.00
10.00
15.00
20.00
25.00
30.00
35.00
40.00
FY 13 FY 14 FY 15 FY 16 FY 17 FY 18 FY 19 FY 20 FY 21 FY 22
2015 Projection
Assumptions:• Median water• O&M inflated 3% per year on Work Plan data• Investments average $90M per year• No adjustment to rate until drought paid off
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Drought Adder Schedule for 2016(as detailed in the FRN)
• Finalize annual Power Repayment Study (Feb-March)
– Determine if Base Rate and/or Drought Adder needs adjustment via formal rate adjustment
• Corp snowpack is final—new generation projections May 15th
• Perform preliminary review of Drought Adder early summer –notify customers of and estimated change to the rate
• Perform second review of Drought Adder in September
• Notify customers in October of Drought Adder change to be implemented January 2017
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2021 Power Marketing Initiative • Customer Updates:
– Tribes: all 25 Tribal FES contracts have been offered – six executed
• 19 Tribal contracts offered > one year ago
• No bill crediting contracts offered to date
– 15 Great River Energy cooperative members’ contracts
– Remaining customer contracts: ten under development
– Near term focus is on addressing Western and Customer membership in SPP
– Interconnection Agreements now coordinated with/through SPP
– IAs signed by customers, but not executed by Western before 10/1/2015, will be re-offered to customers to include a new required SPP signature block and acknowledgement language. Those IAs include:
• City of Lakota, ND, City of Flandreau, SD, City of Pierre, SD
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Move to SPP• Moved Integrated System into
SPP– Co-own IS with Basin Electric
Power Cooperative and Heartland Consumers Power District
– Adds 2500 MW of hydro from Western
• First PMA to move into RTO
• SPP provides greater flexibility– Creates more options for buying
and selling– Reduces constraints in delivering
power– Helps keep costs low for
customers
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Move to SPP
• 5 Months of Operation
– 20 market invoices
– 4 transmission invoices
• Alternate Operations Study
– $11.5 M net benefits predicted initial year savings/cost avoidance
• Thoughts based on 1st 3 months
– Savings estimated to be greater than the AOS
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Questions