REFERENCE DATA ALL DATA SOURCE: EUROSPACE UNLESS … · NASA/Roskosmos for ISS servicing, not...

RE F ER ENCE DATA A L L DA TA SOURCE : EUROSPAC E UN L E S S O THERW I S E S P E C I F I ED

P R E S ENT ED B Y P I E RR E L I ONNET - R E S EARCH D I R E C TOR

COPYRIGHTBYEUROSPACE-REPRODUCTIONFORBIDDENUNLESSAUTHORISEDBYEUROSPACE

SpaceEconomics

(c)copyright-reproduc7onforbiddenSpaceeconomydata

1

Eurospaceeconomicdatacapabili7es


2

�  Europeanspaceindustry(upstream)annualreview¡  PublishedbyEurospace-Eurospacefacts&figures

�  Globalspaceac7vityannualreview¡  PublishedbyEurospace-SpaceTrends¡  PartlylicensedtotheUSSpaceFounda7on-TheSpaceReport¡  SupportedbyLEATdatabase

÷  Tracksallorbitallaunchessince1957÷  Quan7ta7veapproachforSCbasedonmassatlaunchandtechnologyintensityindex÷  MarketapproachforLaunchac7vity,basedonmarketpricedatabaseplusanalog

es7mates÷  Enablessta7s7csonspacecraOdetails(mission,mass,customer,supplier,typeof

propulsion,etc.)andlauncherdetails(version,site,typeofpropellant,propellantusage,orbitserved,performance,etc.)

�  Europeanspacebudgetsannualconsolida7on&review¡  Analysisforinternalcustomersmostly¡  ExcerptspublishedbyUSSpaceFounda7on-TheSpaceReport

Global


3

Masslaunched(kg)byPublic/Privatecustomers

Spaceeconomydata

4

0

100000

200000

300000

400000

500000

600000

700000

1957

1959

1961

1963

1965

1967

1969

1971

1973

1975

1977

1979

1981

1983

1985

1987

1989

1991

1993

1995

1997

1999

2001

2003

2005

2007

2009

2011

2013

2015

2017

Private

Public

(c)copyright-reproduc7onforbidden

Ins9tu9onal(public)customers Commercial(private)customers


0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

Humanac7vi7es

Telecommunica7ons

Remotesensing

Science

Naviga7on/Localisa7on

Technologytests/IOD 0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

5

SpacecraO(tons)launchedworldwide2008-2017bymainmission

Privateini7a7veinspaceverystronglyfocusedontelecommunica7ons.Onlypublicins7tu7onscoverthewholespanofspaceapplica7ons.Theyarealsoinchargeofmostac7vi7esrelatedtotechnologydevelopmentandvalida7on.

GlobalLaunchMarketEs7mateatMarketprices(M$)

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

PrivateCustomers

PublicCustomers


6

Globallaunchmarketes7matesRegionalmarketshares(supplyM$)

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

China Europe Ex-USSR India Japan USA


7

TheGlobalspaceindustrySCproduc7onbysupplierregion(kg)

Spaceeconomydata

8

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

140000

160000

180000

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

China Europe Ex-USSR India Japan USA


TheGlobalspaceindustryworkforce(upstream)

Spaceeconomydata

9

21%

6%

35%

7%2%

29%

China Europe ex-USSR India Japan USA

Spaceindustryworkforceworldwide:about720.000people


Cap7veandaccessiblemarkets


10

Suppliersexposuretocap7ve/openSCmarkets(2013-2017)Masslaunched(tons)–SCSupplierperspec7ve

Spaceeconomydata

11

0

100

200

300

400

ChinaSupply Europe

Supply Ex-USSRSupply India

Supply JapanSupply USA

Supplycap7ve

open

SpecialagreementNASA/RoskosmosforISSservicing,notOpen

market


SuppliersexposuretoopenDomes7c&NotSCmarkets(2013-2017)Masslaunched(tons)–SCSupplierperspec7ve


12

0

50

100

150

200

China Europe Ex-USSR IndiaJapan

USA

Opendomes7c

Opennondomes7c

SpecialagreementNASA/RoskosmosforISSservicing,notreallyOpenmarket

Source:EurospaceLEAT

TheUSindustrypenetra7onoftheEuropeanopenmarket(71t)isalmostasimportantastheEuropeanindustryshareoftheEuropeanopenmarket(84t)-itis100%largeGEOTLC.TheEuropeanindustrypenetra7onoftheUSopenmarket(10t)isonlyworth8%ofthetotalUSopenmarket(120t)-onlyonelargeGEOsoldtoUScustomer(DirectTV).

AssessmentofEuropeancompaniesmarketpenetra7on(tons)


13

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

NonaccessiblemarketAccessibleMarketforEurope(t)Cap7vemarketEuropeanSCshareoftotal(t)LaunchedbyEurope(t)

Europeanlaunchprovidermanagedtocaptureanaverage40%oftheaccessiblelaunchmarket

ThemarketaccessibletoEuropeancompaniesrepresentsonly36%ofthetotalmarket

Source:EurospaceLEAT

Europeancompaniesmanagedtocaptureanaverage31%oftheaccessiblesatellitemarket-thisshareishighlyfluctua7ng

SatelliteExports


14

HistoryofSatelliteexports(inmass)

Spaceeconomydata

15

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

Tons

Domes7cProcurement

Exports

Satelliteexportsarearecentphenomenon,startedinthemid90s.Exportsrepresentabout25%oftotalsatellitemasslaunchedeveryyear


WhatwasexportedintheLastDecade

Spaceeconomydata

16

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

0-1M 1-10M 10-100M 100-300M

Exportsbymissionandsystemvalue

Naviga7on&posi7oning

Remotesensing&Science

Technology

Telecommunica7ons

�  Atotalof243satelliteswereexportedinthedecade¡  81%aresatellitesworth10M$andmore

¡  76%areTelecommunica7onssystems

�  Thetotales7matevalueoftheexportmarketisintheorderof25B$fortheDecade,i.e.2,5B$/year


Wherearesatellitesexportedto?(2008-2017)

Spaceeconomydata

17

-

1

2

3

4

5

6

Algeria

An

gola

Australia

Azerbaijan

Berm

udaIsland

sBo

livia

Brazil

Canada

Chile

China

Egypt

Hongkong

Indo

nesia

Ira

qIsrael

Japan

Kazakhstan

Laos

Luxembo

urg

Malaysia

Mexico

Morocco

Nigeria

Pakistan

Peru

Russia

Saud

iArabia

Singapore

SouthAfrica

SouthKo

rea

Thailand

Turkey

Turkmen

istan

UnitedArabEmira

tes

USA

Ve

nezuela

Vietnam

Austria

Bu

lgaria

Denm

ark

France

Italy

Nethe

rland

sNorway

Poland

Spain

UK

Europe

B$

Marketvaluebydes9na9oncountryinthedecade

Europeancountriesrepresentedthemaindes9na9onsegmentforsatelliteexports


ThesatelliteTradeBalance

Spaceeconomydata

18

-6 -3 0 3 6 9 12 15

USA

Europe

China

Russia(CIS)

Japan

India

Thousands

Imports

Exports

�  TheUSAisthelargestexporterofsatellitesworldwide,with>12B$worthofexportsinthedecade.¡  Withlessthan300M$worthof

importsinthedecadetheUSAexhibitalargelyposi7vesatellitetradebalance

�  Europeisthelargestimporterofsatellitesworldwide,with>5B$worthofimportsinthedecade¡  Thankstoitsgoodexport

capaci7es(worth>9B$)intheperiod,itmaintainsagloballyposi7vesatellitetradebalance


TheDecadeinbrief

Spaceeconomydata

19�  Satelliteexportsrepresenteda

volumeof243spacecraOinTheDecade.i.e.<25/year.

�  SatelliteExportsrepresentaglobalvalueof25B$inthedecade¡  Mostofthevalue(>95%)was

generatedinonesinglemarketsegment:theTLCsatellitesegment÷  USsupplywasleadingthissegment

(58%)followedbyEurope(31%)¡  Thesecondsegment(4%invalue)is

thatofRemotesensingsatellites÷  Eurosupplywasleadingthis

segment,challengedbyChina¡  Allothermissions/applica7ons

segmentsareveryrareintheexportmarkets

�  Exportedsatelliteswereproducedinavarietyofcountries,butthebulkofthesupplyoriginatesfrom¡  USA¡  Europe¡  China¡  Russia

�  Themaindes7na7onsforsatelliteexportswere:¡  Europe¡  USA¡  Canada¡  SaudiArabia¡  China¡  Japan¡  Brazil


ConclusiononEuropeansatelliteexports

Spaceeconomydata

20

�  USAisthemainexporterofsatellitesworldwide.Withtotalexportsworth13B$,theUSAgeneratedatradebalancesurplusonsatellites,worth10B$inthepastdecade.

�  Europeisanetexporterofsatellites.¡  With9,5B$worthofsatelliteexports,EuropewassecondtotheUSA.

�  Europeanprovidesthelargestdes9na9onmarketforsatelliteexports(worth5B$inthepastdecade).¡  EuropesufferedfromatradedeficitonsatelliteswiththeUSA(>2B$inthedecade).This

deficitiscompensatedbythetradesurplusonsatellitemarketswithothercountries�  Satellitesarenetposi9vecontributortotheEUglobaltradesurplus.

¡  EUsatellitecontributedanes7mated430M$/yeartoEU'sposi7vetradebalanceforgoodsinthepastdecade,i.e.2%of2017EU'snettradesurplus.

¡  Thesatelliteindustry,representsonly0,084%oftheEuropeanmanufacturingindustryworkforce.

�  ThesatelliteindustryhasaveryhighleverageeffectonEUglobaltrade.


ANNUAL F A C T S & F I GURE S SURVEY

Europeanspacemanufacturingindustry


21

Europeanspaceindustrysalesandemployment1996-2017(M€,right&FTE,leO)

Spaceeconomydata

22

0

5000

10000

15000

20000

25000

30000

35000

40000

45000

20172014201120082005200219991996-

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000

9,000

10,000Finalsales

DirectSpaceemployment


Salesbymainmarketsegment-Europeanpublicen77esvsCommercialandexports(M€)

Spaceeconomydata

23

-

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

20172014201120082005200219991996

SalestoEuropeanpublicen77es Commercial&exportssales

Other/unknown


Focus:Europeanpublic/ins7tu7onalcustomers

Spaceeconomydata

24

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000SalestoESA

SalestotheEuropeanCommission

Salestopublicsatelliteoperators

Salestoothercivilpublicagencies

Salestomilitaryins7tu7ons

0 200 400 600 800 1000

Launcher

Telecommunica7onssystems

EarthObserva7onsystems

Naviga7onsystems

Science&explora7on

HumanSpaceinfrastructure

Microgravity(racks,experiments)

EGSE,MGSE(test&supportequipmt)

Groundsta7ons(TT&C,UL/DL…)

Professionalservices

Other&unknown

ESA

Otherins7tu7onalEurope


Focus:Thecommercialmarket(privatecustomersandexports)

Spaceeconomydata

25

945

824394

486

144

379

279

SalestoArianespace

Salestoprivatesatelliteoperators(EU)

Salestoprivatesatelliteoperators(RoW)

Salestoothercompaniesinthesector(RoW)

Salestopublicsatelliteoperators(RoW))

Salestocivilpublicagencies(RoW)

Salestomilitaryins7tu7ons(RoW)

0 200 400 600 800 1,0001,200

Launcher

Telecommunica7onssystems

EarthObserva7onsystems

Naviga7onsystems

Science&explora7on

HumanSpaceinfrastructure

Microgravity(racks,experiments)

EGSE,MGSE(test&supportequipmt)

Groundsta7ons(TT&C,UL/DL…)

Professionalservices

Other&unknown

Europeancustomers

Exports


Downstreamandvaluechain


26

The"commercialspaceindustry"(2017)

Spaceeconomydata

27�  Commercialspaceisalooselydefined

segment�  Themostcommonlypublishedfigures

(releasedbySIA)includesthefollowingmarketsegments¡  Satelliteservices

÷  Satellitecommunica7ons÷  Earthobserva7onproducts

¡  ContentsdistributedbySatellite÷  DTHTV÷  Satelliteradio

¡  Spacesystems÷  SpacecraOmanufacturing÷  Launchindustry

¡  Groundsta7ons&equipment÷  Terminalsandenduserequipment

�  They'addup'to307,5B$in2017�  TheBryce/SIAapproachisfullof

loopholesandques7onableassump7ons

86.0

6.8

2.5

0.7

97.6

23.2

5.4

3.4

81.9

Groundsta7ons&equipmt

Satellitemanufacturing

Launchindustry

Insurance

DTHTV

Satellitecomms

Satelliteradio

EarthObserva7on

Posi7oning,naviga7on&7ming

0 20 40 60 80 100 120

Source:SIA(www.sia.org)-Bryce


Downstreammarketsegments(Euroconsult/Ber7n)

Spaceeconomydata

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REFERENCE DATA ALL DATA SOURCE: EUROSPACE UNLESS … · NASA/Roskosmos for ISS servicing, not...

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