Range Bound or Trending - The Best Way Traders Can Determine Market Conditions
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Transcript of Range Bound or Trending - The Best Way Traders Can Determine Market Conditions
Copyright © 2007-2013 Market Geeks, LLC. All Rights Reserved.
Copyright © 2007-2013 Market Geeks, LLC. All Rights Reserved.
Copyright © 2007-2013 Market Geeks, LLC. All Rights Reserved.
Copyright © 2007-2013 Market Geeks, LLC. All Rights Reserved.
GOVERNMENT REQUIRED RISK DISCLAIMER:
FUTURES & FOREX TRADING HAS LARGE POTENTIAL REWARDS, BUT ALSO LARGE
POTENTIAL RISK. YOU MUST BE AWARE OF THE RISKS AND BE WILLING TO
ACCEPT THEM IN ORDER TO INVEST IN THE FUTURES AND FOREX MARKETS.
DON'T TRADE WITH MONEY YOU CAN'T AFFORD TO LOSE. THIS IS NEITHER A
SOLICITATION NOR AN OFFER TO BUY/SELL FUTURES OR FOREX. NO
REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO
ACHIEVE PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE DISCUSSED ON THIS WEB SITE.
THE PAST PERFORMANCE OF ANY TRADING SYSTEM OR METHODOLOGY IS NOT
NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS.
CFTC RULE 4.41-HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE
CERTAIN INHERENT LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD,
SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE
TRADES HAVE NOT ACTUALLY BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-
OR OVER-COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS,
SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE
ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF
HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS
LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN.
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Why it’s important to
determine if markets are
trending or choppy?
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1. Some indicators do not work well in choppy
market conditions.
2. Some indicators do not do well in trending
market conditions.
3. Before trading breakouts strategies, make
sure markets are trending.
4. Before trading reversal strategies, make sure
markets are choppy or range bound.
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Follow the rules and don’t get run over by the angry train.
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1. Look at the chart visually without any
indicators.
2. Look at the slope of the trendline.
3. Trending markets usually have a slope greater
than 20 percent either upwards or downwards.
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The first thing to do is to check the slope of the trendline.
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Price resumes trending quickly after each pullback.
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1. Choppy markets trade mostly horizontally
without much of a slope or direction.
2. Prices drift back and forth, between the upper
resistance line and the lower support line.
3. Often times this is called trading channel.
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Prices are sluggish and markets slowly drift.
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1. Another way to determine if markets are
trending or range bound (choppy) is to use
technical indicators.
2. A simple indicator to determine if markets are
trending is a 20 period exponential moving
average.
3. Exponential moving average is available on all
popular technical analysis programs.
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Microsoft above 20 bar exponential moving average.
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Intel below 20 bar exponential moving average.
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1. Oscillators work well when markets are
choppy and range bound.
2. Oscillators measure overbought and oversold
market conditions.
3. Do not use oscillators when markets are
trending.
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1. A solid oscillator to measure overbought and
oversold levels is the Relative Strength
Indicator.
2. When the RSI indicator reaches 70 or higher,
it indicates overbought market levels.
3. When the RSI indicator reaches 30 or lower, it
indicates oversold market levels.
4. For short term market swings, use a 5 bar RSI
time frame period.
Copyright © 2007-2013 Market Geeks, LLC. All Rights Reserved.
Copyright © 2007-2013 Market Geeks, LLC. All Rights Reserved.
Before using technical indicators
determine if markets are trending or
choppy (range bound).
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Thank you for watching the lesson.
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