Range Bound or Trending - The Best Way Traders Can Determine Market Conditions

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http://marketgeeks.com - Visit our website for more stock trading tips! This Market Geeks video describes basic factors to help traders determine if markets are trending or are range bound (choppy). Simple visual analysis as well as basic technical indicators are discussed.

Transcript of Range Bound or Trending - The Best Way Traders Can Determine Market Conditions

Page 1: Range Bound or Trending - The Best Way Traders Can Determine Market Conditions

Copyright © 2007-2013 Market Geeks, LLC. All Rights Reserved.

Page 2: Range Bound or Trending - The Best Way Traders Can Determine Market Conditions

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GOVERNMENT REQUIRED RISK DISCLAIMER:

FUTURES & FOREX TRADING HAS LARGE POTENTIAL REWARDS, BUT ALSO LARGE

POTENTIAL RISK. YOU MUST BE AWARE OF THE RISKS AND BE WILLING TO

ACCEPT THEM IN ORDER TO INVEST IN THE FUTURES AND FOREX MARKETS.

DON'T TRADE WITH MONEY YOU CAN'T AFFORD TO LOSE. THIS IS NEITHER A

SOLICITATION NOR AN OFFER TO BUY/SELL FUTURES OR FOREX. NO

REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO

ACHIEVE PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE DISCUSSED ON THIS WEB SITE.

THE PAST PERFORMANCE OF ANY TRADING SYSTEM OR METHODOLOGY IS NOT

NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS.

CFTC RULE 4.41-HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE

CERTAIN INHERENT LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD,

SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE

TRADES HAVE NOT ACTUALLY BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-

OR OVER-COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS,

SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE

ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF

HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS

LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN.

Page 5: Range Bound or Trending - The Best Way Traders Can Determine Market Conditions

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Why it’s important to

determine if markets are

trending or choppy?

Page 6: Range Bound or Trending - The Best Way Traders Can Determine Market Conditions

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1. Some indicators do not work well in choppy

market conditions.

2. Some indicators do not do well in trending

market conditions.

3. Before trading breakouts strategies, make

sure markets are trending.

4. Before trading reversal strategies, make sure

markets are choppy or range bound.

Page 7: Range Bound or Trending - The Best Way Traders Can Determine Market Conditions

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Follow the rules and don’t get run over by the angry train.

Page 8: Range Bound or Trending - The Best Way Traders Can Determine Market Conditions

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1. Look at the chart visually without any

indicators.

2. Look at the slope of the trendline.

3. Trending markets usually have a slope greater

than 20 percent either upwards or downwards.

Page 9: Range Bound or Trending - The Best Way Traders Can Determine Market Conditions

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The first thing to do is to check the slope of the trendline.

Page 10: Range Bound or Trending - The Best Way Traders Can Determine Market Conditions

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Price resumes trending quickly after each pullback.

Page 11: Range Bound or Trending - The Best Way Traders Can Determine Market Conditions

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1. Choppy markets trade mostly horizontally

without much of a slope or direction.

2. Prices drift back and forth, between the upper

resistance line and the lower support line.

3. Often times this is called trading channel.

Page 12: Range Bound or Trending - The Best Way Traders Can Determine Market Conditions

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Prices are sluggish and markets slowly drift.

Page 13: Range Bound or Trending - The Best Way Traders Can Determine Market Conditions

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1. Another way to determine if markets are

trending or range bound (choppy) is to use

technical indicators.

2. A simple indicator to determine if markets are

trending is a 20 period exponential moving

average.

3. Exponential moving average is available on all

popular technical analysis programs.

Page 14: Range Bound or Trending - The Best Way Traders Can Determine Market Conditions

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Microsoft above 20 bar exponential moving average.

Page 15: Range Bound or Trending - The Best Way Traders Can Determine Market Conditions

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Intel below 20 bar exponential moving average.

Page 16: Range Bound or Trending - The Best Way Traders Can Determine Market Conditions

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1. Oscillators work well when markets are

choppy and range bound.

2. Oscillators measure overbought and oversold

market conditions.

3. Do not use oscillators when markets are

trending.

Page 17: Range Bound or Trending - The Best Way Traders Can Determine Market Conditions

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1. A solid oscillator to measure overbought and

oversold levels is the Relative Strength

Indicator.

2. When the RSI indicator reaches 70 or higher,

it indicates overbought market levels.

3. When the RSI indicator reaches 30 or lower, it

indicates oversold market levels.

4. For short term market swings, use a 5 bar RSI

time frame period.

Page 18: Range Bound or Trending - The Best Way Traders Can Determine Market Conditions

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Page 19: Range Bound or Trending - The Best Way Traders Can Determine Market Conditions

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Before using technical indicators

determine if markets are trending or

choppy (range bound).

Page 20: Range Bound or Trending - The Best Way Traders Can Determine Market Conditions

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Thank you for watching the lesson.

Check back weekly for new videos!

Visit Marketgeeks.com for professional

trading education.

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