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Qatar National Development Planning
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Qatar National Development PlanningQatar National Development PlanningStatistics as the Evidence Base Statistics as the Evidence Base
Dr Richard LeeteDirector, Department of Social Development (DSD) and
Ms Badria Ali MohammadSenior Researcher, DSD
Ministry of Development Planning and Statistics
Doha10 December 2013
Qatar National Development Planning
Presentation Themes
Qatar’s National Planning Framework
Results Chain and Monitoring Progress
Human Rights Perspective
Qatar’s New Measures of Well-being
Frontier Statistical Possibilities
Conclusion
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Qatar National Development Planning
Critical importance of quality, timely and disaggregated statistics for every stage of the planning cycle
Qatar’s National Planning FrameworkUnderpinned with solid evidence base
QatarNational
Vision 2030
• Defines national development goals
NationalDevelopment
Strategy2011 – 2016
Mid-term Review 2013• Learns lessons and realigns
sector and national initiatives
Sector Strategies 2011 – 2016• Defines priority
sector initiatives
• Defines priority national initiatives for achieving QNV 2030 goals
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Qatar National Development Planning
Process indicators such as # qualified teachers and curricula changes
Outcome indicators such as examination results and attainment levels
Data Required at All Stages of Results Chain
If – then
If project activities are undertaken as planned then outputs will be produced
If project outputs are produced then NDS outcomes are likely to follow
If NDS outcomes are achieved then they will contribute towards QNV goals
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Inputs
Activities
Project OutputsDeliverables
NDS Outcomes
QNV GOALS
Process Indicators
Under control of implementation agency
Theory of change
Outcome Indicators
Qatar National Development Planning
Monitoring for Development ResultsWhat, why and how
Why do we monitor?
To get regular feedback on implementation progress, detect implementation problems, and improve performance
To ensure we are on track to achieve expected project results at all levels
What are key questions for monitoring?
Are project outputs being produced as planned & are they contributing to desired outcomes & goals?
Have we specified appropriate indicators?
How do we use
monitoring information?
To learn lessons and report on progress
Qatar National Development Planning
Tracking Progress in Achieving Results Illustrative example
Budgets, human resources
• CEDAW and CRC ratified and complied with
• Procure services • Collect and review data• Drafting legislation • Training programme• Create hotline
• Number of reported cases of domestic violence reduced
• Increase in % of women who feel that domestic violence has decreased
• Comprehensive domestic violence prevention, protection and support system established
• An early child neglect and abuse detection mechanism established
• Increased awareness of harmful effects of domestic violence
• New policy and legislation on child abuse implemented
Reduced family violence
Develop a sound social structure with effective public institutions and
active civil society organisations
• Budget allocated and spent for each activity
Results chainResults chainIndicators of progress
(Baselines and targets)Indicators of progress
(Baselines and targets)
QNV Goal
NDS Outcome
Outputs(Deliverables)
Activities(Tasks)
Inputs
What results are we aiming to achieve
What results are we aiming to achieve
Qatar National Development Planning
Illustrative Examples of Tracking ProgressTowards QNV 2030 goals - targets and monitorable indicators
QVN 2030 Development Goals Indicators for Monitoring Progress
Human Development Pillar – An Educated Population
QNV 2030 Goal 5 A world-class educational system that equips citizens to achieve their aspirations and to meet the needs of Qatar’s society
Target 1: Qatar’s students’ school performance in international tests ranked in line with mean of top 10 OECD countries
PISA, TIMSS, PIRLS test scores Net enrolment in K-12 schooling by level and
sex
Social Development Pillar – Social Care and Protection
QNV2030 Goal 13 An effective social protection system for all Qataris that ensures their civil rights, values their contribution in developing their society, and ensures an adequate income to maintain a healthy and dignified life
Target 1: Incidence of relative poverty (half median household equalized income) below 5 percent of Qatari households
Percentage of low income Qatari household Gini coefficient
Qatar National Development Planning
Ensuring Quality DataFor evidence base planning and monitoring
Data users Can only assess data quality indirectly by checking internal
consistency Comparing same variable derived from different data sources Through trend analysis
Data producers Need to check quality and reliability of statistics Systematic validation assessments of data quality through in-
house checks and validation controls
Meta data on concepts and methodologies used should follow international standards
Qatar National Development Planning
Data users Can give greater focus to disadvantaged communities through
focus on relevant indicators that support an inclusive approach to sustainable development
Data producers Can advance agenda on right to development through
adopting human rights principles, such as disaggregating basic indicators according to sex, age, nationality, geographic location
Indicators From a Human Rights PerspectiveQatar’s 4th NHDR on theme – The Right to Development
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Human development and human rights two sides of same coin
Qatar National Development Planning
New Measure of Well-being for QatarFor monitoring progress towards QNV 2030 goals
Emerging Complementary Approach
International policy focus shifting to include indicators of well-being of individuals and nations
– New and innovative methods to monitor well-being and happiness are being devised by international agencies, countries and NGOs
– National well-being measured through many domains of people’s lives, attitudes and aspirations using traditional and non-traditional data sources
Traditionally
Countries measured well-being merely in terms of income growth. But size and growth of GDP reflects aggregate economic performance and is not necessarily a good measure of individual or national well-being ― low income groups may not always benefit ― and increasing GDP growth is unsustainable if depleting natural resource base
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Qatar National Development Planning
Objective and Subjective Well-being MeasuresStatistical agencies need to facilitate collection, validation and dissemination of data
Individual
National
Based on external evaluation using measurable criteria, mainly from household surveys such as
– Personal income– Whether employed– Other personal and
household characteristics
How well country is doing in terms of well-being of its population
– Mainly based on socio-economic indicators
How individuals think and feel about their lives in terms of self reporting on life as a whole, and on domains such as family and work
– Can include the individual’s actual feelings, such as pain, worry, pleasure and respect
Information based on aggregation of self-reports of individuals
– May not be comparable across different cultures, although interesting to compare sub-groups
National well-being measure provide information to policy makers and citizens about social and economic progress
Qualitative Subjective Indicators of Well-being
Quantitative Objective Indicators of Well-beingLevel
Qatar National Development Planning
Major challenges in developing measures of well being include: What indicators or domains to combine when using either objective or subjective data,
and what weights to assign the components Reconciling expert and key stakeholder opinions on what is well-being and how best it
should be measured Collecting the required data on a regular annual basis
High-levels of Life SatisfactionBut Qataris more satisfied than non-Qataris
Qatar National Development Planning
New Data
Citizen report cards – users’ giving feedback on public service performance in terms of quality and access, eg education and health
Social audits – stakeholders assessments of industry’s social and environmental benefits and impacts
Frontier Data PossibilitiesStatistical agencies to explain and set quality standards for planning
Big Data
Disciplining increasing volumes of micro information captured through transactions and digital interactions
Improving efficiency and quality of service delivery in health education and environment sectors by monitoring and tracking individual level data
For example , enhancing individual student performance through individual assessments, including interactions with teachers, through analysis of data trails
Enhancing participation and accountability
Utilising new huge computing capacity for in-depth analysis at individual level in different domains
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Qatar National Development Planning
What we measure and monitor is
what we strive to achieve
Conclusion6