Q1 2012 Results Presentation FINAL - Emirates NBD · 2012. 5. 7. · 3 Q1 2012 Financial Results...

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1 1 Emirates NBD Q1 2012 Results Presentation April 25, 2012

Transcript of Q1 2012 Results Presentation FINAL - Emirates NBD · 2012. 5. 7. · 3 Q1 2012 Financial Results...

Page 1: Q1 2012 Results Presentation FINAL - Emirates NBD · 2012. 5. 7. · 3 Q1 2012 Financial Results Highlights Highlights Net profit of AED 641 million, +322% vs. Q4 2011 and -55% vs.

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Emirates NBDQ1 2012 Results Presentation

April 25, 2012

Page 2: Q1 2012 Results Presentation FINAL - Emirates NBD · 2012. 5. 7. · 3 Q1 2012 Financial Results Highlights Highlights Net profit of AED 641 million, +322% vs. Q4 2011 and -55% vs.

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Important Information

DisclaimerThe material in this presentation is general background information about Emirates NBD's activities current at the date of the presentation. It is information given in summary form and does not purport to be complete. It is not intended to be relied upon as advice to investors or potential investors and does not take into account the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any particular investor. These should be considered, with or without professional advice when deciding if an investment is appropriate.

The information contained herein has been prepared by Emirates NBD. Some of the information relied on by Emirates NBD is obtained from sources believed to be reliable but does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness.

Forward Looking StatementsIt is possible that this presentation could or may contain forward-looking statements that are based on current expectations or beliefs, as well as assumptions about future events. These forward-looking statements can be identified by the fact that they do not relate only to historical or current facts. Forward-looking statements often use words such as anticipate, target, expect, estimate, intend, plan, goal, believe, will, may, should, would, could or other words of similar meaning. Undue reliance should not be placed on any such statements because, by their very nature, they are subject to known and unknown risks and uncertainties and can be affected by other factors that could cause actual results, and the Group’s plans and objectives, to differ materially from those expressed or implied in the forward-looking statements.

There are several factors which could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied in forward looking statements. Among the factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those described in the forward-looking statements are changes in the global, political, economic, business, competitive, market and regulatory forces, future exchange and interest rates, changes in tax rates and future business combinations or dispositions.

Emirates NBD undertakes no obligation to revise or update any forward looking statement contained within this presentation, regardless of whether those statements are affected as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.

Page 3: Q1 2012 Results Presentation FINAL - Emirates NBD · 2012. 5. 7. · 3 Q1 2012 Financial Results Highlights Highlights Net profit of AED 641 million, +322% vs. Q4 2011 and -55% vs.

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Q1 2012 Financial Results Highlights

Highlights

Net profit of AED 641 million, +322% vs. Q4 2011 and -55% vs. Q1 2011Net interest income down 8% q-o-q and grew by 8% y-o-y to AED 1,777 million due to net interest margin movementsNon-interest income grew by 62% q-o-q and 49% y-o-y aided by impact of non-core items; core fee income grew 14% q-o-q and 17% y-o-yCosts improved by 8% q-o-q to AED 942 million resulting from reductions in non-staff costsContinuation of balance sheet de-risking and conservatism on provisioning resulted in impairment allowances of AED 1,101 millionNew underwriting remains modest with net loans stable q-o-q and up 5% y-o-yDeposits increased 8% q-o-q due to balance sheet optimisation initiatives; Headline LTD ratio at 98% vs. 105% at Q4 2011

Key Performance Indicators

AED million Q1 2012 Q1 2011 Change (%) Q4 2011 Change

(%)Net interest income 1,777 1,648 +8% 1,929 -8%Non-interest income 909 612 +49% 562 +62%

Total income 2,686 2,260 +19% 2,491 +8%Operating expenses (942) (808) +17% (1,025) -8%Operating profit before impairment allowances 1,744 1,452 +20% 1,466 +19%

Impairment allowances (1,101) (1,369) -20% (1,056) +4%

Operating profit 643 83 +673% 410 +57%Amortisation of intangibles (20) (23) -13% (23) -13%

Associates 24 (477) n/a (228) n/a

Gain on subsidiaries - 1,835 -100% - n/a

Taxation charge (6) (5) +19% (7) -17%

Net profit 641 1,413 -55% 152 +322%Cost: income ratio (%) 35.1% 35.7% -0.6% 41.1% -6.0%

Net interest margin (%) 2.63% 2.41% +0.22% 2.85% -0.22%

EPS (AED) 0.10 0.24 -57% 0.02 +333%

AED billion 31 Dec 2012

31 Mar 2011

Change (%)

31 Dec 2012

Change (%)

Loans 204.1 194.4 +5% 203.1 +0%

Deposits 208.5 212.0 -2% 193.3 +8%

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NIM of 2.63% for Q1 2012 declined by 22 bps from 2.85% in Q4 2011 resulting in an 8% q-o-q drop in net interest income to AED 1,777 million; NIM reduction driven by:– lower loan spreads resulting from re-pricing

to lower EIBOR rates– lower deposit spreads due to balance sheet

optimisation initiatives– negative mix impact of improved liquidity

position reflected in a reduction in Treasury spreads

Net Interest Income

Highlights Net Interest Margin (%)

Q1 2012

(0.03%)0.01%

Q4 2011 Deposit Spreads

Other

(0.14%)

(0.06%) 2.63%

Loan Spreads Treasury Spreads

2.85%

Net Interest Margin Drivers (%)

Page 5: Q1 2012 Results Presentation FINAL - Emirates NBD · 2012. 5. 7. · 3 Q1 2012 Financial Results Highlights Highlights Net profit of AED 641 million, +322% vs. Q4 2011 and -55% vs.

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Liquid Assets and Maturity of Debt Issued (AED million)

Funding and Liquidity

Loan to Deposit Ratios (%)Highlights

Headline LTD ratio of 98% at Q1 2012 due to balance sheet optimisation initiativesThe LTD ratio is being managed to the target range of c.95%-100%Liquid assets (excl. Investments) of AED 52 billion as at 31 March 2012 (18% of total assets);Debt maturity profile well within existing funding capacityIssued AED 7.4 billion medium term debt in Q1 2012

Target LTD Ratio of 95-100%

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Loan and Deposit Trends

Trend in Gross Loans by Type (AED billion)

Trend in Deposits by Type (AED billion)

Highlights

Signs of pickup in new underwriting from H2 2011:– Annualised decline in gross loans of 4% from

Q4 2009 to Q2 2011– Annualised organic growth in gross loans of

4% from Q2 2011 to Q1 2012 (excl. Dubai Bank Impact)

Balance sheet optimisation initiatives successful in improving deposit mix:– CASA organic growth of AED 19 billion from

end-2010 (excl. Dubai Bank Impact)– CASA % age of total deposits 41% at Q1

2012 vs. 31% at end-2010– Time deposits increased by AED 10 billion in

Q1 2012 due to balance sheet optimisation initiatives and seasonal factors

21

209

+32%

+8%

Q1 12

80

116

11

Q4 11

193

75

106

11

Q3 11

184

70

112

2

Q2 11

201

71

128

2

Q1 11

212

63

147

2

Q4 10

200

61

137

1

Q3 10

199

58

139

2

Q2 10

198

55

140

2

Q1 10

191

57

133

2

Q4 09

181

56

122

3

CASATimeOtherDubai Bank

204

119

21

164

Q4 10

205

120

21

163

Q3 10

209

120

22

166

Q2 10

211

120

23

167

Q1 10

218

120

23

174

Q4 09

221

220

26

173

166

8

Q3 11

209

118

22

168

Q2 11

204

117

21

165

Q1 11

+4%*-4%*

218+1%

Q1 12

119

22

168

9

Q4 11

216

119

22

TreasuryIslamic, Excl DBConsumerCorporateDubai Bank (DB)* Annualised CAGR, excluding impact of Dubai Bank in Q4 2011

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Non Interest Income

Highlights

Non-interest income improved by 62% q-o-q and 49% y-o-y; impacted by non-core items:– AED 248 million loss on properties in Q4

2011 reverting to AED 14 million income in Q1 2012

– Higher investment securities income in Q1 2012 of AED 194 million

– AED 158 million non-recurring Treasury position gain in Q4 2011

Core gross fee income grew 14% q-o-q and 20% y-o-y, key trends being:

– pickup in trade finance income (+5% q-o-q and +26% y-o-y)

– increase in brokerage and asset management fee income (+33% q-o-q and +13% y-o-y)

– pickup in forex, rates, derivatives and other income (+64% q-o-q and +69% y-o-y)

– decline in banking fee income (-16% q-o-q and -13% y-o-y)

– Dubai Bank contribution to core fee income AED 15 million in Q1 2012 and AED 14 million in Q4 2011

Composition of Non Interest Income (AED million)

Composition of Core Gross Fee Income (AED million)

AED million Q1 2012 Q1 2011 Change (%) Q4 2011 Change

(%)Core gross fee income 753 628 +20% 662 +14%

Fees & commission expense (52) (29) +79% (48) +7%

Core fee income 701 599 +17% 614 +14%Property income / (loss) 14 0 n/a (248) n/a

Investment securities 194 13 n/a 38 n/a

Non-recurring Treasury gain - - n/a 158 n/a

Total Non Interest Income 909 612 +49% 562 +62%

+20%753

+14%

Q1 12

170

241

39

302

Q4 11

662

162

286

30185

646

132

299

35180

Q2 11

626

150

258

42175

Q1 11

628

136

278

35179

Q3 11

Trade financeFee IncomeBrokerage & AM feesForex, Rates & Other

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Operating Costs and Efficiency

Highlights

Costs improved by AED 83 million or 8% q-o-q to AED 942 million in Q1 2012 resulting from:– AED 14 million cost reduction in Dubai Bank– AED 26 million lower depreciation charge– AED 17 million reduction in occupancy costs– AED 33 million reduction in other costsThe cost to Income ratio for Q1 2012 improved to 35.1% from 35.3% in 2011In 2012, the cost to Income ratio is expected to be managed to the target range of c.33%-34%

Cost to Income Ratio (%)

Cost Composition (%)

Target Ratio of 33%-34%

942 -8%

Q1 12

17970 49

565

79

Q4 11

1,025

21296

66

558

93

Q3 11

850

184

+17%

64 51

551

Q2 11

825

1046474

583

Q1 11

808

16861 74

505

Other CostDepreciation Occupancy costStaff Cost Dubai Bank

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Credit Quality

Highlights

• Q1 2012 impairment charge of AED 1,101 million driven by:– Specific provisions of AED 671 million,

AED 105 million and AED 69 million made in relation to the Corporate, Retail and Islamic financing portfolios respectively

– AED 234 million portfolio impairment allowances taking the total allowance to AED 4.0 billion or 2.7% of credit RWAs

• Management targets for impaired loan coverage ratios:– 80%-85% on underlying NPL portfolio– 55%-60% on overall impaired loans to be

achieved by 2013

• Target coverage ratios to be achieved through more conservative provisioning for and recognition of impaired loans

Impaired Loan & Coverage Ratios (%)

* IIRL = Interest Impaired Renegotiated Loans at Q1 2012 comprises D1 (exposure AED 9.2 billion ; provision AED 618 million) and D2B (exposure AED 4.9 billion; provision AED 1.1 billion)

Impaired Loans and Impairment Allowances (AED billion)

Q1 12

30.8

0.42.93.8

9.6

14.1

Q4 11

29.7

0.32.93.6

8.8

14.1

Q4 10

20.4

0.41.7

3.23.6

11.5

Q4 09

5.8

0.80.7

2.7

1.70.0

Investment SecuritiesIslamicRetailCore CorporateIIRLs

Q1 12

13.9

0.21.5

3.7

6.7

1.7

Q4 11

12.9

0.21.4

3.7

6.0

1.6

Q4 10

8.3

0.30.83.5

2.80.9

Q4 09

5.9

0.7 0.52.9

1.8 0.0

Impaired Loans Impairment Allowances

Page 10: Q1 2012 Results Presentation FINAL - Emirates NBD · 2012. 5. 7. · 3 Q1 2012 Financial Results Highlights Highlights Net profit of AED 641 million, +322% vs. Q4 2011 and -55% vs.

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Capital Adequacy

Capital Ratios - Basel II (AED billion)

Risk Weighted Assets – Basel II (AED billion)

Highlights

CAR declined 1.4% q-o-q to 19.1% and T1 declined 0.5% q-o-q to 12.5% resulting from a reduction in capital:– Tier 1 capital decreased by AED 0.5 billion

in Q1 2012 due to net profit generation for the quarter being more than offset by the dividend payable in respect of 2011

– Tier 2 capital decreased by AED 1.8 billion in Q1 2012 as the amortisation of the MOF T2 deposits commenced, partly offset by higher capital eligibility of general provisions

Capital Movements (AED billion)

31 Dec 2011 to 31 Mar 2012 Tier 1

Tier 2 Total

Capital as at 31 Dec 2011 28.9 16.7 45.6Net profits generated 0.6 - 0.6FY 2011 dividend payable (1.1) - (1.1)Interest on T1 securities (0.1) (0.1)Cumulative changes in FV - 0.1 0.1Change in general provisions - 0.7 0.7Amortisation of MOF T2 - (2.5) (2.5)Other 0.1 (0.1) -Capital as at 31 Mar 2012 28.4 14.9 43.3

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Divisional Performance

Key focus during Q1 2012 was on strategy re-alignment to ensure enhanced future customer service quality and share of wallet, increased cross-sell of Treasury and Investment Banking income and increased Cash Management and Trade Finance penetration

Revenue declined 8% q-o-q but improved 9% y-o-y

Loans rose by 1% from end-2011 as new underwriting more than offset normal loan repayments

Deposits rose 8% from end-2011 due to balance sheet management initiatives

CWM maintained its position in challenging market conditionsRevenue improved 7% q-o-q due to strong 29% growth in fee income Deposits grew 10% from end-2011Loans declined 2% from end-2011 as strong growth in personal loans was more than offset by declines in other retail portfoliosChannel optimization strategy being pursued to enhance efficiency across all distribution channels, resulting in a reduction of 3 branches and 25 ATM/SDMs during Q1 2012 to 109 and 605 respectively

Who

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onsu

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Ban

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&W

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Man

agem

ent

Balance Sheet Trends AED billion

Revenue TrendsAED million

Balance Sheet Trends AED billion

Revenue TrendsAED million

240299 268

+9%

1,113 -8%

Q1 12

845

Q4 11

1,216

916

Q1 11

1,024

784

NIINFI

75.769.8

+1%

+8%

Q1 12

163.6

Q4 11

162.0

Q1 11

100.5

159.1

DepositsLoans

18.418.817.4

82.670.8 75.4

-2%

+10%

Q1 12Q4 11Q1 11

DepositsLoans

254267 345

+29%1,121

+7%

Q1 12

776

Q4 11

1,048

781

Q1 11

869

615

NIINFI

Page 12: Q1 2012 Results Presentation FINAL - Emirates NBD · 2012. 5. 7. · 3 Q1 2012 Financial Results Highlights Highlights Net profit of AED 641 million, +322% vs. Q4 2011 and -55% vs.

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Divisional Performance

Revenue improved 27% q-o-q and 67% y-o-y to AED 247 million in Q1 2012 aided by higher investment income relative to previous quarters and a pick-up in foreign exchange and treasury sales businessTreasury sales recorded a pickup in activity in Q1 2012 as customers exhibited greater demand for interest rate hedging products as well as through increased sales of floating rate notes and structured productsThe foreign exchange flow business improved during the quarter due to recent volatility in the foreign exchange market, seasonal demand and targeted marketing efforts

EIB revenue improved 21% y-o-y to AED 223 million in Q1 2012 (net of customers’ share of profit), due growth in both net interest and non-interest income linesFinancing receivables rose 1% to AED 14.3 billion from end-2011Customer accounts increased by 5% to AED 19.2 billion from end-2011Total number of EIB branches remain at 33 while the ATM & SDM network totals 106

Glo

bal M

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ts &

Tre

asur

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irate

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ank

Revenue TrendsAED million

Balance Sheet Trends AED billion

Revenue TrendsAED million

Note: Stand-alone Financial Statements for Emirates Islamic Bank may differ from these results due to consolidation adjustments

14.314.315.419.218.2

27.5

Q1 11

+1%

+5%

Q1 12Q4 11

Customer accountsFinancing receivables

223

13

184

+21%

Q1 12Q4 11Q1 11

Total Income

247

195148

Q1 11 Q1 12

+27%

+67%

Q4 11

Total revenue

Page 13: Q1 2012 Results Presentation FINAL - Emirates NBD · 2012. 5. 7. · 3 Q1 2012 Financial Results Highlights Highlights Net profit of AED 641 million, +322% vs. Q4 2011 and -55% vs.

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Outlook

The UAE economy proved relatively resilient to global and regional developments in 2011, with estimated GDP growth of 4.6% for the year on the back of higher oil production and improving trends in non-oil trade and tourism

During Q1 2012 the UAE economy continued to display resiliency and modest growth with oil output rising 3.5% and modest private sector expansion, particularly in Dubai’s traditional trade, logistics, tourism and retail sales sectors

For the remainder of 2012 the external environment remains challenging in the context of weaker expected global growth resulting from recessionary risks in the Eurozone, downgrades to US growth and an expected slowdown in Asia

Nevertheless, the UAE remains well-positioned to enjoy modest GDP growth of 2.5% in 2012 underpinned by supportive fiscal policy

Despite a cautious and uncertain outlook, Emirates NBD is resilient and well placed to take advantage of growth opportunities in selected areas

o Capitalisation and liquidity continue to be extremely strong, offering resilience and flexibility for the future

o Significantly de-risked and strengthened balance sheet offers strong platform for capturing future growth opportunities

o The Bank has a clear strategy in place and is focused on relentless execution

Page 14: Q1 2012 Results Presentation FINAL - Emirates NBD · 2012. 5. 7. · 3 Q1 2012 Financial Results Highlights Highlights Net profit of AED 641 million, +322% vs. Q4 2011 and -55% vs.

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Summary

Strong operating performance with 19% q-o-q and 20% y-o-y growth in pre-impairment operating profit to AED 1.7 billion

Top-line trends continue to improve with 8% q-o-q and 19% y-o-y growth in total income

Operating expenses improved 8% q-o-q and are being managed to a 33%-34% cost income ratio for 2012

The outlook remains challenging but Emirates NBD has a clear strategy in place to take advantage of of selected growth opportunities

Continuation of balance sheet de-risking and conservatism on provisioning resulted in impairment allowances of AED 1.1 billion for Q1 2012

Capitalisation and liquidity continue to be extremely strong, offering resilience and flexibility for the future

Page 15: Q1 2012 Results Presentation FINAL - Emirates NBD · 2012. 5. 7. · 3 Q1 2012 Financial Results Highlights Highlights Net profit of AED 641 million, +322% vs. Q4 2011 and -55% vs.

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Investor Relations PO Box 777Emirates NBD Head Office, 4th FloorDubai, UAETel: +971 4 201 2606Email: [email protected]

Ben Franz-Marwick Head, Investor RelationsTel: +971 4 201 2604Email: [email protected]

Shagorika CairaeSenior Analyst, Investor RelationsTel: +971 4 201 2620Email: [email protected]

Emilie FrogerBuy-Side Manager, Investor RelationsTel: +971 4 201 2606Email: [email protected]