Public-Private Partnerships: a focus on Energy ... · Ca’ Foscari Workshop . Venice, 9 May 2014 ....

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Ca’ Foscari Workshop Venice, 9 May 2014 Public-Private Partnerships: a focus on Energy Infrastructures and Sustainable Growth

Transcript of Public-Private Partnerships: a focus on Energy ... · Ca’ Foscari Workshop . Venice, 9 May 2014 ....

Ca’ Foscari Workshop

Venice, 9 May 2014

Public-Private Partnerships: a focus on Energy Infrastructures and Sustainable Growth

The world is not enough

2,5bn

6,9bn

25%

38%

1950 2010

Global population Consumers as % of global population

2 1. Source: United Nations, World Population Prospects: The 2010 revision, medium scenario; Ambienta analysis 2. Source: McKinsey & Co, McKinsey Commodity Price Index, 1999-2001 based at 100 3. Source: Stern, DI (2006), Reversal in the trend of global anthropogenic sulfur emissions, Global Environmental Change 16, 207-220

Growth in global population and consumption driving resource demand and increasing pollution

2.75x increase in

global population

2 billion new consumers

Rising global growth and consumption1

Driving up prices of natural resources2

Increasing pollution3

40

90

140

190

240

1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010

-0.6% p.a.

1970s oil shock

0

2.000

4.000

6.000

8.000

10.000

12.000

14.000

Su

lph

ur

emis

sio

ns

(Kto

nn

es)

Sulphur emissions in emerging markets

China Brazil India

+8.9% p.a.

A European centre of excellence

Source: Ambienta research and analysis; UN; World Bank 3

Leadership in environmental businesses

Efficient energy consumption Severe scarcity of resources

High population density

99% 92% 97% 98%

1% 8% 3% 2%

Oil Coal Natural gas Iron ore

RoW Europe

0-9

10-24

25-49

People per km2

50-74

75-149

150-999

1000+

Controlling air pollution

37,4

17,6

USA EU

Electricity consumption kWh/capita/day

2008

Reaction Situation

66

8

66

Ruhr region(1981)

Ruhr region(2000-2005)

Beijing(2000-2005)

Average sulphur dioxide concentrations μg/m3

-52%

A European SME job

Source: European Commission; Number of SMEs (€10-250 million annual turnover) in the manufacturing sector 4

Focus on core industrial “belt” through Europe

Numerous global leading SME businesses

Germany: 76,000

Italy: 79,000

Nordics: 18,000

Spain: 32,000

UK: 31,000

France: 38,000

► Global demand for European pioneered technologies and services

► Developed in a fragmented industrial environment

► Hidden in tens of thousands of SMEs

Ambienta offices

4,5%

6,7%

9,1%

21,6%

France

Spain

Germany

Italy

Global niche leaders with growing succession concerns

Source: Fondazione Edison, Family business international Monitor 2008, Aidat, AUB Monitoring agency

Niche leaders across Italy and Germany

# ranking Country First Places Second Places Third Places Total

1 Germany 828 638 521 1987

2 China 1108 533 343 1984

3 USA 592 579 609 1780

4 Italy 288 382 352 1022

5 Japan 230 217 253 700

6 France 139 234 305 678

7 India 136 163 131 430

8 UK 95 120 184 399

9 Indonesia 111 93 89 293

10 Canada 76 74 101 251

11 Mexico 67 66 101 234

12 South Korea 53 80 79 212

13 Turkey 35 63 62 160

14 Brazil 41 44 45 130

15 Russia 36 50 41 127

= reference markets

5

Ambienta target markets

% of entrepreneurs over 65 years old Global niche leaders (by number of product categories)

Sector-focused approach

6

Granular approach to sub-sector targeting Addressed by Portfolio

► Environmental themes shape almost any industrial sector

► Top-down approach to reviewing resource efficiency and pollution control themes

► Systematic outbound origination based on clear investment theses

Resource Efficiency

Pollution Control

Energy

Water

Other Resources (Food, minerals,…)

Renewables

Air

Water

Soil

Renewable power

Energy Mobility Industry Infrastruct. & Buildings

Combustion efficiency

Smart grid

Energy services

Water efficiency

Energy storage

Biofuels

Combustion efficiency

Energy recovery

Hybrid and electric vehicles

Light materials

Traffic management

Car Sharing

Efficient motors

Power electronics

Efficient irrigation

Heat recovery

Energy & Resources efficient processes

Biomass power and equipment

Recycling

Water efficiency

Efficient lighting

Building automation

Insulation

Efficient heating

Higher efficiency appliances

Biomaterials

Soil remediation

Control and monitoring

Flue gas cleaning

Dust reduction

Water treatment and recycling

Advanced materials

Congestion charging

Ecosystem preservation

Engine control and abatement systems

Low emission engines

Traffic control

Waste disposal

Waste to energy

Cleaner products

Waste management

Pollution monitoring

Wastewater treatment

Leak Detection & Prevention

Cleaner products

Noise insulation

Infrastructure rehabilitation

Pollution monitoring

Air filtration

Waste management

Water treatment

$1,349bn

$443bn

Ambienta investment thesis Portfolio company Country Description Investment

date

Energy

Energy efficient lighting towers Feb-12

Offshore grouting services Jun-12

Pellet-fed stoves and boilers May-10

Water

Water treatment and filtration Oct-11

Industrial cooling systems Jun-10

Industrial Industrial processing efficiency Oct-12

Recycling Low-cost recycled plastics Feb-11

Asset investments

Renewable energy plant developer and producer Sep-08

Southern Europe’s largest pellet producer Aug-08

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Fund I portfolio

228 263

282 312

398 438

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

104 118 126 130 129 118

27

33 36 23

56 60

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Project debt

Other NFP items

1.303

817

981

1.134

1.240 1.261

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

27

33

40 44

59

70

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Robust growth trajectory across investments

1. Italiana Pellets financials excluded as divested in February 2013 8

08-13: +486 YoY 12-13: +3%

+59%

Aggregated sales (€ml) Aggregated EBITDA (€ml)

Aggregated employees Net Financial position (€ml)

CAGR:+14% +40%

►Gearing ratio 0.85x

►Gearing ratio 1,7x

Project debt

Other NFP items

CAGR:+22%

+59%

Continue to internationalise our businesses

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Ambienta I growth portfolio geographic footprint

Sales by geography 2013

Combined sales across 93 countries

€182m

€305m

At entry 2013

+68%

International business growth

78% of revenue generated outside Italy

Italy; 22%

Europe; 34%

RoW; 44%

Key Aggregate portfolio sales (2013)

>€40m

€10m-€40m

<€10m

Italy; 24%

Europe; 40%

RoW; 36%

76% of revenue generated outside Italy

Sales by geography at entry

€19,8m

€30,9m

€37,1m

€42,5m

€3,3m

€6,4m €7,0m €8,5m

€0,0m €2,0m €4,0m €6,0m €8,0m €10,0m €12,0m €14,0m €16,0m €18,0m €20,0m

€15,0m

€20,0m

€25,0m

€30,0m

€35,0m

€40,0m

€45,0m

€50,0m

2010 2011 2012 2013

Revenue EBITDA

Tower Light Manufacturer and distributer of the world’s largest range of lighting towers

► #1 in Europe, manufacturer of the world’s largest range of lighting towers

► Increased penetration of non-infrastructure industries e.g. events, security and mining

► Two-fold increase in non-European sales

► Exit in July 2013 to Generac, a US-based manufacturer of engine powered products, realising a 3.1x MoC

Product leadership

Strong financial performance

Opportunity for safe, energy efficient, cost-effective lighting solutions driven by rise in “round-the-clock” working in global infrastructure

Deal summary Sector Lighting systems Investment date February 2012 Exit date July 2013 Headquarters Italy Sourcing Limited auction Stake 82% Acquisition EV €28.4 million Entry multiple 4.4x Investment cost €13.5 million Total proceeds1 €42.1 million Realised MoC1 3.1x cost

TL “VB9 Eco Tower” Peer products Savings

Fuel consumption 0.53 L/hour 1.93 L/hour 72%

Running cost per week €48 €175 €127 per week per

unit

Running time on full tank of fuel 320 hours 60 hours +260 hours

Labour saving on re-fuelling 1 per week 4 per week 75% in labour and

travel

1. Of which €37 million at closing with the remaining portion deferred through an earn-out structure

Investment performance

Cost Total proceeds

3.1x MoC >100% IRR

€42.0m

€13.5m

Earn-out Realised proceeds

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Tower Light Key achievements - internationalisation

Domestic consolidation

Key foreign markets

New markets

Brazil: Established a subsidiary in Q1 2013 to capture the South American opportunity

Europe: Successful commencement of trading in Germany and continued consolidation across Western Europe

Middle East: Laid ground work to establish a direct commercial presence in the region

Italy 12%

RoW 23%

Revenues 2011

Europe 65%

€30.9m

Internationalisation

€42.5m

Italy 10%

RoW 34%

Revenues 2013

Europe 56%

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Tower Light Exit strategy and value creation

1. Analysis completed using the original 2012 budget EBITDA (€4.8m), using an implied entry multiple of 5.9x EBITDA. Dashed line represents calculation if actual 2012 EBITDA used (€6.4m), implying an entry multiple of 4.4x EBITDA

Generac profile

► Leading US-based designer and manufacturer of generators and other engine powered products

► Listed on the NYSE, with a market cap of $2.7 billion

► Products marketed and distributed under the Generac, Magnum, Ottomotores and now the Tower Light brands

► Actively pursuing external growth opportunities with the goal of expanding its products’ range and its geographical footprint

Value creation1

► Successfully exit in July 2013

► Both companies will be able to leverage on established platforms in Europe and US to launch their respective products

► As the #1 European player, Tower Light was a natural acquisition target for

> European strategics seeking a platform extension; or

> US players seeking to expand their offering globally

► Having fulfilled many strategic objectives ahead of plan, the company received significant interest from large corporates operating in the industry

> Atlas Copco > Generac

1

2

3

4

Strategically attractive

asset

Strategic interest

Exclusive engagment

Successful exit

► Generac was rapidly granted exclusivity based on:

> Clear strategic fit between Tower Light and Generac’s declared growth strategy

> Senior attention from the outset > Attractive valuation, fully pricing in

expected 2013 performance 0,4x

0,6x 0,2x

2,7x 3,1x

EBITDAgrowth

Multipleexpansion

De-leverage Returns atclosing

EBITDAgrowth

Returns incl.earn-outbased onbudgetEBITDA

1.7x 0.9x

2.0x

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Top 10 “Hot Topics”

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Developing investment theses and relations to target companies

Topic Environmental theme

Applications

LED related products/ technologies

Energy efficiency

► Fixture specialists in niche application ► Drivers and controls

Power electronics Energy efficiency

► Variable frequency drives for MV applications ► Power converters for specialty applications

Water monitoring equipment

Water efficiency ► Equipment or systems for on line monitoring

Infrastructure rehabilitation Pollution control

► Rehabilitation equipment ► Service business

Transmission &Distribution grid components

Energy efficiency

► Grid components only when benefiting of grid upgrade trend and increasing grid automation

Control equipment for gen sets

Energy efficiency ► Electronic controls

Fire prevention systems Pollution control

► Systems designers and installers equipment ► Service businesses

Resource efficiency in the food processing value chain

Resource efficiency

► Post harvesting sorting equipment ► Processing technologies and functional ingredients

High efficiency HVAC solutions

Energy efficiency

► Process cooling equipment for industrial applications ► High efficiency CO2 based cooling equipment

LNG conversion equipment Energy efficiency

► Critical cryogenic equipment ► Point of use conversion solution

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

10

9

Top 10 “Hot Topics”

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Topic Environmental theme

Applications

LED related products/ technologies

Energy efficiency

► Fixture specialists in niche application ► Drivers and controls

Power electronics Energy efficiency

► Variable frequency drives for MV applications ► Power converters for specialty applications

Water monitoring equipment

Water efficiency ► Equipment or systems for on line monitoring

Infrastructure rehabilitation Pollution control

► Rehabilitation equipment ► Service business

Transmission &Distribution grid components

Energy efficiency

► Grid components only when benefiting of grid upgrade trend and increasing grid automation

Control equipment for gen sets

Energy efficiency ► Electronic controls

Fire prevention systems Pollution control

► Systems designers and installers equipment ► Service businesses

Resource efficiency in the food processing value chain

Resource efficiency

► Post harvesting sorting equipment ► Processing technologies and functional ingredients

High efficiency HVAC solutions

Energy efficiency

► Process cooling equipment for industrial applications ► High efficiency CO2 based cooling equipment

LNG conversion equipment Energy efficiency

► Critical cryogenic equipment ► Point of use conversion solution

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

10

9

32

34

36

38

40

42

44

46Price of Electricity (€/MWh)

Lighting efficiency Macroeconomic drivers

Energy losses for incandescent bulbs fixture

Rising energy and electricity prices driving the need for efficiency

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

Bre

nt

($/b

arre

l) Price of brent ($/barrel)

► Traditional incandescent bulbs waste 95% of energy into heat

► Resource scarcity driving up the price of commodities

► Opportunities for technologies across power chain that:

> Limit energy losses

> Provide better usage of traditional lighting sources

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Lighting efficiency Macroeconomic drivers

Lighting: 19% of global electricity consumption

Lighting sources installed base by technology

► Lighting represent a relevant part of global electricity consumption (19%)

► Installed based of lighting devices is still dominated by old technologies like incandescent bulbs or fluorescent lamps

Global Electricity consumption

19%

81%

20’300 TWh = Lighting consumes about 3800 TWh of electricity which is:

► ~1x EU or China total electricity consumption

► ~10x UK total electricity consumption

39%

9%

2%

47%

2%

Incadescent

Halogen

HID

Fluorescent

LED

Installed base light sources = 26.4 bn pieces

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Lighting efficiency

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Identifying sources of efficiency along the energy value chain

LED value value chain

Chip/Epi Package Moduling Electricity control/Drivers Fixtures

Key success factor

Scale Scale Increasing technical

integration

Increasing technical integration

Differentiation and customer

relationship

Type of player

Typically large companies

► Cree

► Nichia

► Philips

► Large integrated global players

► Large integrated global players

► Select specialised players

► Large integrated players

► Some subsidiaries of diversified power supplies manufacturers

► Some specialized players

► Very fragmented market

► Both large and small local or specialized players

► Core and soul of the LED technology

► Room for improvement

► Limited number of targets around

► Commercial scalability issues

► Healthy margins

► Large target universe

Lighting efficiency

1. Source: Markets and Markets, Global LED driver IC Market for Display and Lighting Applications report, 2011 2. Source: McKinsey, Lighting the way report 2012 18

Lighting controls and fixtures: tremendous growth ahead

$5,0bn

$32,0bn

2011 2016

LED General Lighting market2

+640%

LED based general lighting market

► LED based lighting fixtures will spread because of steep decrease in chip prices and energy savings

► Segments (outdoor, indoor, architectural,…) show different growth an penetration rates

► Further segment analysis to identify best in class assets

$1,1bn

$4,4bn

2010 2015

LED drivers market1

+400%

Lighting controls market

► Lighting controls can boost LED fixtures performance and lifespan

► Lighting controls can integrate sensor and remote control options to improve usage patterns

Lighting efficiency

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Identifying niche sectors

2 target areas identified to capture the current market opportunity

Sources of efficiency / Market

opportunity

Market size ($bn)

Target universe

LED drivers/ Controls

► Crucial part of LED technology

► Enable innovation and specific features

► c.$1,1bn ► 8 relevant

players (WIP)

Lighting fixtures

► Penetration of efficient lighting in niche applications

► €5 bn ► +60

relevant (WIP)

Large target

universe

Review of ~150

companies

2 niche areas

identified

Disclaimer

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The information contained in this Document should not be construed as either projections or predictions. The IRR figures presented on a gross basis do not take account of fund level expenses, priority profit share, carried interest and taxes borne by investors, which in aggregate may be substantial. Past performance cannot be relied on as a guide to future performance. The SGR makes no representation or warranty, express or implied, except as required by law or in the case of fraud, regarding the accuracy, completeness or adequacy of the information. To the maximum extent permitted by law, none of the SGR’s parties shall be liable (including in negligence) for any direct, indirect or consequential losses, damages, costs or expenses arising out of or in connection with the use of or reliance on this Document.

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