Prof Gavin Begg SARDI - Goyder Institute...SARDI Gavin Begg Ben Baghurst Rod Lukatelich David Smith...

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Faculty of Edit this on the Title Master An integrated study of environmental, economic and social values Presentation to Goyder Institute Water Forum 2017 Prof Gavin Begg SARDI Gavin Begg Ben Baghurst Rod Lukatelich David Smith Rob Lewis Rochelle Smith

Transcript of Prof Gavin Begg SARDI - Goyder Institute...SARDI Gavin Begg Ben Baghurst Rod Lukatelich David Smith...

Page 1: Prof Gavin Begg SARDI - Goyder Institute...SARDI Gavin Begg Ben Baghurst Rod Lukatelich David Smith Rob Lewis Rochelle Smith Faculty of Edit this on the Slide Master The University

Faculty of Edit this on the Title Master

An integrated study of environmental, economic and social values

Presentation to Goyder Institute Water Forum 2017

Prof Gavin Begg

SARDI

Gavin Begg

Ben Baghurst

Rod Lukatelich

David Smith

Rob Lewis

Rochelle Smith

Page 2: Prof Gavin Begg SARDI - Goyder Institute...SARDI Gavin Begg Ben Baghurst Rod Lukatelich David Smith Rob Lewis Rochelle Smith Faculty of Edit this on the Slide Master The University

Faculty of Edit this on the Slide Master The University of Adelaide

Great Australian Bight

o High endemism - over 85% of known species unique to the region

o Australia’s largest commercial fishery - SA Sardine Fishery

o Significant feeding grounds for Southern Bluefin Tuna & Pygmy Blue Whales

o 25% Australia’s seafood production by value, more by volume

o 80% Australian population of NZ fur seals & Australian sea lions

o Ecotourism hotspot

o Petroleum frontier

Page 3: Prof Gavin Begg SARDI - Goyder Institute...SARDI Gavin Begg Ben Baghurst Rod Lukatelich David Smith Rob Lewis Rochelle Smith Faculty of Edit this on the Slide Master The University

Faculty of Edit this on the Slide Master The University of Adelaide

Program Overview

o $20 million whole-of-ecosystem program

o Unique partnership for all involved

o One of the few whole of system studies conducted in Australia; first in GAB

o Data, information & ecosystem models created will inform sustainable development in the region

o Program commenced in April 2013; finishes in September 2017

Page 4: Prof Gavin Begg SARDI - Goyder Institute...SARDI Gavin Begg Ben Baghurst Rod Lukatelich David Smith Rob Lewis Rochelle Smith Faculty of Edit this on the Slide Master The University

Faculty of Edit this on the Slide Master The University of Adelaide

o Working Group established in 2012

o Science Plan developed

o Literature Review conducted

o Research Prospectus developed

Aim

To improve understanding of the environmental, economic and social value of the Great Australian Bight

Approach

Page 5: Prof Gavin Begg SARDI - Goyder Institute...SARDI Gavin Begg Ben Baghurst Rod Lukatelich David Smith Rob Lewis Rochelle Smith Faculty of Edit this on the Slide Master The University

Faculty of Edit this on the Slide Master The University of Adelaide

o Management Committee

o Research Office

o Independent Science Panel

o BP Subject Matter Experts

o Data publicly available

o Biennial stakeholder Science Symposium

o 7 themes, 16 projects

o ~100 scientists, 3 PhD students

Program Elements

Page 6: Prof Gavin Begg SARDI - Goyder Institute...SARDI Gavin Begg Ben Baghurst Rod Lukatelich David Smith Rob Lewis Rochelle Smith Faculty of Edit this on the Slide Master The University

Faculty of Edit this on the Slide Master The University of Adelaide

Advantages of Approach

o Baseline data collection & research prior to production

o Engaging with the local scientific community builds knowledge base & scientific capability

o Integrated program enables development & validation of ecosystem models to:

➢elucidate inter-connections➢establish tools to support decisions regarding

future development➢predict, monitor and assess potential impacts

Page 7: Prof Gavin Begg SARDI - Goyder Institute...SARDI Gavin Begg Ben Baghurst Rod Lukatelich David Smith Rob Lewis Rochelle Smith Faculty of Edit this on the Slide Master The University

Faculty of Edit this on the Slide Master The University of Adelaide

Theme 1Oceanography

Theme 4Iconic Species & Apex predators

Theme 2Pelagic Ecosystem &

Environmental Drivers

Theme 3Benthic Biodiversity

Theme 5Petroleum Geology &

Geochemistry

Theme 6Socio-Economics

Theme 7Integration &

Ecosystem Modelling

Page 8: Prof Gavin Begg SARDI - Goyder Institute...SARDI Gavin Begg Ben Baghurst Rod Lukatelich David Smith Rob Lewis Rochelle Smith Faculty of Edit this on the Slide Master The University

Faculty of Edit this on the Slide Master The University of Adelaide

Oceanography

Upwelling

Minimal

Nutrients

Temperature & depth-averaged currents (multiple models)

Page 9: Prof Gavin Begg SARDI - Goyder Institute...SARDI Gavin Begg Ben Baghurst Rod Lukatelich David Smith Rob Lewis Rochelle Smith Faculty of Edit this on the Slide Master The University

Faculty of Edit this on the Slide Master The University of Adelaide

• Long food web• Regenerated

nitrogen• Short food web• New nitrogen

Primary productivity is similar between

the two regions

Sampling from Nov 30 to Dec 18 2015

o MNF survey

o 40 scientists

o 8 organisations

o >450 casts

o 100 – 3,000 m

o >2,000 nm

Pelagic

Page 10: Prof Gavin Begg SARDI - Goyder Institute...SARDI Gavin Begg Ben Baghurst Rod Lukatelich David Smith Rob Lewis Rochelle Smith Faculty of Edit this on the Slide Master The University

Faculty of Edit this on the Slide Master The University of Adelaide

Fishes

GABRP data

All data

o Composition, diversity, abundance & distribution of deep sea (200-3000 m) benthic fishes, epifauna & infauna

o Many new species

o Diversity & biomass decline steeply with depth

o Predictive assemblage mapping using environmental variables

Benthic Biodiversity

Page 11: Prof Gavin Begg SARDI - Goyder Institute...SARDI Gavin Begg Ben Baghurst Rod Lukatelich David Smith Rob Lewis Rochelle Smith Faculty of Edit this on the Slide Master The University

Faculty of Edit this on the Slide Master The University of Adelaide

Iconic Species & Apex Predators

Raw tracking & observation data for 10 species

Page 12: Prof Gavin Begg SARDI - Goyder Institute...SARDI Gavin Begg Ben Baghurst Rod Lukatelich David Smith Rob Lewis Rochelle Smith Faculty of Edit this on the Slide Master The University

Faculty of Edit this on the Slide Master The University of Adelaide

Geo-Petroleum

Page 13: Prof Gavin Begg SARDI - Goyder Institute...SARDI Gavin Begg Ben Baghurst Rod Lukatelich David Smith Rob Lewis Rochelle Smith Faculty of Edit this on the Slide Master The University

Faculty of Edit this on the Slide Master The University of Adelaide

Socio-Economics

Social impact assessment

Offshore exploration and drilling, and possible subsequent onshore development, will:

0

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2000–01 2002–03 2004–05 2006–07 2008–09 2010–11 2012-13

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State wild catch fisheries

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2000–01 2002–03 2004–05 2006–07 2008–09 2010–11 2012-13

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Aquaculture

Commonwealth

State wild catch fisheries

Economic profile of region

o Regional economic model

Fisheries benchmark study & potential impacts of development

Page 14: Prof Gavin Begg SARDI - Goyder Institute...SARDI Gavin Begg Ben Baghurst Rod Lukatelich David Smith Rob Lewis Rochelle Smith Faculty of Edit this on the Slide Master The University

Faculty of Edit this on the Slide Master The University of Adelaide

EcosystemModels

Atlantis

Page 15: Prof Gavin Begg SARDI - Goyder Institute...SARDI Gavin Begg Ben Baghurst Rod Lukatelich David Smith Rob Lewis Rochelle Smith Faculty of Edit this on the Slide Master The University

Faculty of Edit this on the Slide Master The University of Adelaide

GABRP

Connections

National Mooring Network Facility

Australian Animal Tracking and Monitoring System

Facility

Ocean Glider Facility

IMOS OceanCurrent

Satellite Remote Sensing

TERM-Australia modelVictoria University

National Offshore Petroleum Data Repository Project

Page 16: Prof Gavin Begg SARDI - Goyder Institute...SARDI Gavin Begg Ben Baghurst Rod Lukatelich David Smith Rob Lewis Rochelle Smith Faculty of Edit this on the Slide Master The University

Faculty of Edit this on the Slide Master The University of Adelaide

Lessons Learnt

1. Partners took the time to understand drivers & critical needs of other parties; agreed on key knowledge gaps, project scope, budgets, deliverables

2. Clear governance structure established; strong and effective working relationships

3. Investment from all partners, resulting in ‘skin in the game’

4. Freedom to operate & publication rights negotiated upfront

5. Engaging with the local scientific community built on the existing knowledge base & working relationships with other stakeholders

6. Don’t underestimate legal/contract/financial resources required

7. Ensure funding or financial contingencies are in place for ‘mission critical’ research, such as voyages

Page 17: Prof Gavin Begg SARDI - Goyder Institute...SARDI Gavin Begg Ben Baghurst Rod Lukatelich David Smith Rob Lewis Rochelle Smith Faculty of Edit this on the Slide Master The University

Faculty of Edit this on the Slide Master The University of Adelaide

The Future

o Major project reports & journal papers now starting to flow

o Models developed will be a lasting legacy of the program

o Program information is available through Marine Innovation Southern Australia

www.misa.net.au/GAB

o Final Stakeholder Science Symposium August 2017

o Discussions commenced about filling key remaining data gaps

Page 18: Prof Gavin Begg SARDI - Goyder Institute...SARDI Gavin Begg Ben Baghurst Rod Lukatelich David Smith Rob Lewis Rochelle Smith Faculty of Edit this on the Slide Master The University