Presentation Bond Holders Visit 29 Sep - Aspire Defence

43
Visit to Project Allenby/Connaught by Bond Holders 29 September 2009

Transcript of Presentation Bond Holders Visit 29 Sep - Aspire Defence

Page 1: Presentation Bond Holders Visit 29 Sep - Aspire Defence

Visit to Project Allenby/Connaught byBond Holders

29 September 2009

Page 2: Presentation Bond Holders Visit 29 Sep - Aspire Defence

Programme

Q & A session and lunch13:15 - 14:00

Close/Return to Andover14:00

Windscreen Tour of Tidworth Garrison12:15 - 13:15

Project briefing & presentation10:45 - 12:15

Arrive at the Aspire Business Centre, Tidworth 10:30

Page 3: Presentation Bond Holders Visit 29 Sep - Aspire Defence

Strategic Importance to MoD• The Project covers approximately 35% of Army UK Based Trained

Manpower (20% of total manpower)• Salisbury Plain is the principle All Arms Manoeuvre Training Area in

UK• The Project delivers two key objectives of the 1998 Strategic

Defence Review:

• Improving working and living accommodation• Identified as a major factor in morale, effectiveness, recruiting and retention

• Providing accommodation for Units returning from Germany and reorganising within UK

• 2nd Royal Tank Regiment in July 2007, a key deliverable which was met on time

• 5 major units moving onto Salisbury Plain (2,500 soldiers)

Source: MOD

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Shared Purpose and VisionPurposeTogether, MoD and Aspire will manage and deliver a modern, flexible living and working environment for soldiers in the Aldershot and Salisbury Plain area that will support military fighting power, enhance Army recruitment and retention and provide long-term value for the MoD and for Aspire

VisionWe will improve the quality of lifeof soldiers by delivering best in class service

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History• January 2002 Formed Aspire Joint Venture• 2002-2003 Bidding• July 2003 Selected as Preferred Bidder• January 2004 Pre-Contract Activities Letter – mobilised• April 2006 Financial Close• July 2006 Service Commencement• July 2007 2RTR delivered• 2014 Funding availability period• 2014 Construction complete• 2016 Benchmarking/market testing• 2041 End of contract

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What is the Contract?

A 35 year contract to provide a service

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Project Locations

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• £8Bn [£11.9Bn] 35 year PFI contract with Aspire Defence.

• Construction Value £1.3Bn, Steady State Unitary Payment £240M pa

• Provides living & working accommodation to 18,700 military personnel, with total dependency more that 21,000

• Originally 10 year, now 8 year construction phase. 375 new buildings and a further 192 refurbished. 457 buildings demolished

• Previously 50+ support contracts. Aspire Defence Services manage/operate service provision – 50% self delivered 50% sub-contracted

• Local Help Desks, available 24/7 365 days a year

Key Facts

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Organisation and Structures

Page 10: Presentation Bond Holders Visit 29 Sep - Aspire Defence

Aspire Defence The Authority

Services Subcontract

Works Subcontract

Living AccommodationServices(Sodexho)

Transport Management (Lex) Other Sub-subcontractors

Works Sub-subcontractsSub-

Aspire Defence ServicesLifecycleHard FMSoft FM Utilities

Utilities Infrastructure Service Subcontract

Utilities Capital Upgrade Subcontract

Thames Water/EDF Energy MUJV(Integrated Services & Works Utility)

KBR Mowlem

KBR

Mowlem

50%

50%

KBR

Mowlem

50%

50%

Third Party Equity

Aspire Defence Holdings

5%50%45%

Joint Management

100%

Hard FM / some Soft FM(ADSL)

Aspire DefenceLimited

MoD

Project Contract

Services Subcontract

Living AccommodationServices(Sodexo)

Transport Management

(VT Land)Corus

Works -subcontracts

Major FMsubcontracts

Aspire Defence ServicesLifecycleHard FMSoft FM Utilities

Aspire Defence ServicesLifecycleHard FM Utilities

Utilities Infrastructure Service Subcontract

Utilities Capital Upgrade Subcontract

VEOLIA/EDF Energy MUJV(Integrated Services & Works Utility)

KBR Carillion

KBR

Carillion

50%

KBR

Carillion

HSBCInfrastructure

Aspire Defence Finance

Aspire Defence Holdings

Joint Management

100%

Hard FM / some Soft FM(ADSL)

Soft FM Aspire Defence Capital Works

OtherSub-subcontractors

LendersCollateral

Deed

Contractual Framework

Page 11: Presentation Bond Holders Visit 29 Sep - Aspire Defence

ADL

ADCW ADS

Working Relationships

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Aspire Defence Capital Works

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Construction Overview

• £1.3bn, 8 year construction programme• Construction of large number low/medium rise, not

technically complex but geographically spread accommodation = low risk

• Management of Transition Programme key as provides solution to ensure MoD’s operational requirements are met

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Three Pricing Categories

• Firm, Fixed and Competed:• Firm – £481m

• Fixed – uplifted for inflation/change in law – £327m

• Competed – subject to benchmarking or competition in

the market with agreed multiplier – c £470m including

client’s reassessment of the out-turn cost (of which

£125m Firmed)

• Appropriate allocation of risk over 8 year construction period

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Demolished, 457

Refurbished/Altered, 192

New Build, 375

Capital Works – number of units, by building type

Page 16: Presentation Bond Holders Visit 29 Sep - Aspire Defence

Capital Works - building space by type and use

Dining13%

Technical21%

Other5%

Living61%

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• Construction programme is on schedule

• First new build Accepted into Service – 04 May 2007

• 168 new builds completed (45%)

• 45 refurbished buildings completed (23%)

• 3,800 new/refurbished SLA beds (35%)

• 206 demolitions completed (45%)

• 97% re-use of demolition materials

Construction Progress (as at end Aug)

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• Advancing: Provide 10 SLA £18m buildings in FY 09/10 (2 years early)

• Shortening: Complete construction on all sites except Aldershot by end 2013. Aldershot 2014.

Agreement to ‘Advance’ and ‘Shorten’ the construction period

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Construction Summary

• Construction not complex, lessons learned/continuous improvement

• Appropriate pricing risk – Firm, Fixed and Competed

• Shorter programme• On programme

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Aspire Defence Services

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Hard and Soft FM Services

• £4.2bn over 35 years• Management and administration• Assets facilities maintenance• Living accommodation services• Transport services• Stores services• Office services • Welfare services• Support to security

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Management &Administration

Supply, Transport and Equipment

Support Services

LivingAccommodation

Services

OfficeServices

WelfareServices

Support toSecurityServices

Assets andFacilities

Performance Monitoring

QA Admin

Helpdesk

MIS

HS&E

HR

Reporting

Data Management

VisitorManagement

Weapons & AmmunitionManagement

Stores

Fuel & Lubricants

Laundry & Dry Cleaning

Tailoring

Shoe Repairs

Travel Booking

Fleet Management

Logistics

Vehicle Servicing

Domestic Services

Parking Space Management

Mess Management

Military Catering

Bar Services

Function Services

Mailroom

Archiving

Admin and Clerical

Typing

PA Services

Media Services

Model Making

Reprographics

Leisure Services

Civilian Catering

Security Passes

Reception

Vetting

Maintenance:M&EBuilding FabricGroundsDuctingCivil EngFurnitureFixtures & Fittings

Estate Management

Pest Control

UtilitiesMaintenance & Management

Cleaning

Waste Management

Window Cleaning

Services

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Direct Delivery/Sub-Contract Revenue – averages over years 1-10 at Financial Close prices

ADSL, £54m

MUJV, £13m

VT Land, £9m

Sodexo, £28m

Page 24: Presentation Bond Holders Visit 29 Sep - Aspire Defence

Services Progress• Performance

• Effective start up• No significant PI failures• No significant unavailability

• Help Desk• 24/7 Help Desk handles average of 5,500 calls monthly – 97+%

answered within 30 seconds • Predominantly Building Maintenance related, reflecting condition of the

estate at Financial Close

• Retained Estate (RE) Acceptance into Service• 75% of RE AIS and subject to availability performance regime • Remaining RE to be AIS in 2010.

• Plan to introduce PAYD in 2010

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Lifecycle

Page 26: Presentation Bond Holders Visit 29 Sep - Aspire Defence

Lifecycle• ProjCo budgetary risk, except for utilities

• Pre FC surveys and due diligence

• Cyril Sweet pricing model:-

• Gross Floor Area

• Cost /m2

• Age of building

• E C Harris opinion as to adequacy

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New & Refurbished Buildings

Retained Buildings

FF&E

External Areas

Catering Equipment

Total £613 million Real 2004

Lifecycle

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Lifecycle• Post FC

• Retained Estate (circa ⅓ of total)

• Extensive surveys

• 69 assets

• 16 space types

• Detailed pricing :-

• Individual quantities

• Cost per element

• Remaining life of each component

• Extrapolated

• Reconfirms adequacy of Retained Estate estimate

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Lifecycle - cumulative

0

200

400

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£M n

omin

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Financial Model Estimate Actual budget Forecast

Lifecycle

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Financial

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Issuance Structure

The 2006 issuance for the financing of the project consisted of two fixed rate, wrapped, amortising Sterling debt tranches:-

8.5 years until amortisation commencesGrace Period

34 years (1 year tail on the Project Agreement)Legal Maturity

25 yearsWeighted Average Life

S&P: BBB-Moody’s: Baa3Underlying Rating

Fixed Rate SterlingType

£ 1,463 million (plus additional £305 million of Variation Bonds) sold as:• Series A (Ambac): £ 731 million• Series B (MBIA): £ 731 million

Total Issuance

Debt Security Package

• Fixed and floating charges• Security over project

accounts and contracts• Assignment of insurance

policies• Step-in rights

Debt Issuance

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Bond Outstanding Principal and Amortisation ProfileThe outstanding principal and the amortisation profile for the combined Series A andSeries B bonds over time is shown below on an annual basis. Series A and Series Bare repaid pro-rata

Outstanding Principal Amortisation Profiles

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

2006

2008

2010

2012

2014

2016

2018

2020

2022

2024

2026

2028

2030

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2036

2038

2040

£ m

illio

n

0

200

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800

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1,200

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1,600

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2008

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£ m

illio

n

Page 33: Presentation Bond Holders Visit 29 Sep - Aspire Defence

Uses of Funds(First 8 years) £m Sources of Funds

(First 8 years) £m % External Funding

3,383Total

214Cash/Reserves

876Hard & Soft Facilities Mgmt

593

101

130

81

52

Financing Fees and Interest

Lifecycle

Overheads, insurance and tax

Direct funded Change

Loan Stock Interest

1,336Capital Expenditure

-86Additional Authority Funding

100%3,383Total

-180Interest Income

-1,534Operating Revenues

7.6%120Shareholder Financing

92.4%1,463Fixed Rate Guaranteed Bonds

Source: Mar 2009 Operating Financial model

Sources and Anticipated Uses of Funds –first 8 years

Page 34: Presentation Bond Holders Visit 29 Sep - Aspire Defence

Main cash out-flows over project life

0

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2007

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2009

2010

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Year ending December 31

£m N

omin

al

Operating Costs Lifecycle Costs Corporation Tax Senior Debt Interest and Fees Senior Debt Repayment Payment to Authority Capital Expenditure

Page 35: Presentation Bond Holders Visit 29 Sep - Aspire Defence

Senior Debt Cover Ratios

1.001.101.201.301.401.501.601.701.801.902.00

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

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2039

2040

ADSCR BLCR Base Case ADSCR Base Case BLCR

• FC Base case ADSCR min 1.32 (2014) average 1.39, BLCR 1.46• Current forecast ADSCR min 1.28 (2036) average 1.32, BLCR 1.39• Distribution lock-ups at ADSCR <1.12, BLCR <1.15

Page 36: Presentation Bond Holders Visit 29 Sep - Aspire Defence

Credit Crisis

• Credit crisis impacted the Project:• Primary Arrangements – GICs and Authorised Investments

• 6 significant GIC deposits at FC, balances reduce monthly

• Protective provisions called up

• Series of novations

• No remaining financial exposure to both monolines

• 3 of 4 exposures now fully collateralised

• Secondary Arrangements – LCs

• LC issuer downgraded

• Alternative arrangements now in place

Page 37: Presentation Bond Holders Visit 29 Sep - Aspire Defence

Fin Close Currently

Novate

Collateralise

Collateralise

1 & 2

3 (Collateralised)

4 & 5 (Collateralised)

Novate Collateralise 6 (Collateralised)

1

2

3

4

Novate

6

5 Novate Collateralise

2007 2008 2009

Nov 2008

July 2008

July 2008 Nov 2008

Apr 2007

Feb 2009

Feb 2009

Feb 2009

GICs

Page 38: Presentation Bond Holders Visit 29 Sep - Aspire Defence

1 £ 85m n.a.

2 £ 82m £ 87m UK Gilts

3 £ 57m £ 64m CDs

4 £ 43m £ 44m US Treasuries

Total £267m £195m

CollateralExposure

GICs

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0

50

100

150

200

250

300

Sep-09Oct-09Nov-09Dec-09Jan-10Feb-10Mar-10Apr-10May-10Jun-10Jul-10Aug-10Sep-10Oct-10Nov-10Dec-10Jan-11Feb-11Mar-11Apr-11May-11Jun-11Jul-11Aug-11Sep-11Oct-11Nov-11Dec-11Jan-12Feb-12Mar-12

£m

Exposure 2 (Collateralised

Exposure 3 (Collateralised)

Exposure 1 (Uncollateralised)

Exposure 4 (Collateralised)

Due £1,242 m Received £ 964 m

GICs

Page 40: Presentation Bond Holders Visit 29 Sep - Aspire Defence

• Letters of Credit:• Form part of ADCW credit support package

• Guarantee receipt of shareholder loan stock subscriptions

• FC £170m: £60m Letters of Credit, £110m Surety Bond• Total requirement

• Increases as Competed works are Firmed

• Reduces as works Accepted into Service

• Currently £73m: £60m Letters of Credit, £13m Surety Bond

• Letter of Credit provider downgraded, alternative arrangements in place• LCs re-issued

• Partially Cash Collateralised

Letters of Credit

Page 41: Presentation Bond Holders Visit 29 Sep - Aspire Defence

Conclusion

Page 42: Presentation Bond Holders Visit 29 Sep - Aspire Defence

Project Summary – and Achievements

• Effective robust contract structure – issues of detail but effective

• Successful service delivery from the start – better than could have hoped for

• Construction programme that delivers the Transition Programme – Achievable, including 2RTR

• Effective management of changing MoD requirements – high volume but process is working

• Strong partnering relationships – a real strength

Page 43: Presentation Bond Holders Visit 29 Sep - Aspire Defence

Visit to Project Allenby/Connaught byBond Holders

29 September 2009