Presentatie Herman Versteijlen
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Transcript of Presentatie Herman Versteijlen
Competitiveness and
Sustainability of EU agriculture
Herman VERSTEIJLEN
Director Agricultural Markets
European Commission
Wageningen - Publiekbijeenkomst Europese Commissie 06.02.2014
Key drivers for EU food security:
1.Enhanced competitiveness
2.Improved sustainability
2
EU competitiveness - Milk
3
Increasing demand:The main driver in the dairy outlook
4
5
7.7%
9.0%
9.5%
10.2% 10.1%10.3%
10.6% 10.7% 10.7% 10.7% 10.8% 10.8%11.0% 11.1%
6%
7%
8%
9%
10%
11%
12%
2 009 2 010 2 011 2012e 2013f 2014f 2015f 2016f 2017f 2018f 2019f 2020f 2021f 2022f
EU exports of dairy products (in milk equivalent) in % of EU Milk production
Source : DG AGRI Medium Term Outlook, Eurostat (Comext)
60
25
50
75
100
125
150
175
200
225
250
275
300
325
350
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
EU
R/t
on
ne
EU-25 EU-27
EU Wheat Rouen
EU cereal support price
US SRW Wheat
EU-25 EU-15
EU competitiveness - Wheat
7
EU competitiveness - Maize
0
25
50
75
100
125
150
175
200
225
250
275
300
325
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
EU
R/t
on
ne
EU-25 EU-27
EU Maize Bourdeaux
EU cereal support price
US 3YC Maize
EU-25 EU-15
8
EU competitiveness - Sugar
The path of CAP expenditure 1980-2020 (in current prices)
9
Source: DG Agriculture and Rural Development
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
in b
illio
n EU
R -c
urre
nt p
rice
s
Export refunds Other market support Market-related expenditure Coupled direct aids
Decoupled direct aids Direct aids Rural development
EU-10 EU-12 EU-15 EU-25 EU-27 EU-28
2013 = Budget (in commitments); 2014-2020 = in commitments2014 = after transfers from P1 to P2 (before flexibility and capping)
10
ALTERNATIVE VIEWS ON EXPENDITURE
CAP expenditure in 2009(%)
CAP expenditure 2009(euro)
0.5% ofEU GNI
41% of EU budget
Source: European Commission - DG Agriculture and Rural Development
1. Enhanced competitiveness
2. Improved sustainability
11
Decreasing share of CAP expenditure in EU Budget (37,8% for the years 2014-2020);
Direct payments to farmers in exchange for public services & specific objectives, e.g.:
Payments for green services
Payments to young farmers
Payments to areas with natural constraints
12
New focus of direct payments
13
The new greening architecture of the CAP
Agricultural area(eligible for direct payments)
Cross compliance
Greening
Ruraldevelopment
Cu
mu
lati
ve
en
vir
on
men
tal
ben
efi
ts
Regulatory(Statutory
ManagementRequirements andGood Agricultural
EnvironmentalConditions)
Mandatorywith financial
support(decoupled “green”
payment per hectare)
Voluntarywith compensationfor cost incurred
and income forgone
Implementation mechanism
Agricultural
Research
European
Innovation
PartnershipFarm
Advisory
System
14
Standard of living of farmers compared to the standard of living of employees in the whole economy*
* Standard of living of farmers as a share of the standard of living of persons employed full-time in the whole economy (calculated on the basis of entrepreneurial income/salary in EUR/hour worked)
Development of agricultural income in the EU-28 (average 2003-07=100)
15
The new CAP contributes to EU food security by:
• Keeping EU agriculture competitive at world level
• Supporting public services: sustainability, greening
However, agricultural incomes are low as compared to the rest of the Economy.
Thank you for your attention !
Conclusions