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Nourishing the PlanetWorldwatch Institute Project on Hunger and Poverty Alleviation
Danielle NierenbergSenior Researcher, Worldwatch Institute
[email protected] http://blogs.worldwatch.org/nourishingtheplanet/
www.worldwatch.org
Nourishing the Planet Part II: Our Challenge in the
21st Century?
Finding ways to nourish both people and the planet with environmentally sustainable methods
of food production
Source: Bernard Pollack
Challenge of Reducing HungerDemographic, economic, and natural forces all conspire to make the challenge of reducing hunger more difficult, including:– Soaring petroleum and food prices– Population growth and urbanization– Climate change– Gender inequity– Changing diets– Unfair trade practices– Subsidies
Challenges: Population Growth
Challenges: Population Growth
• 79 million more people each year
• By 2050, population will exceed 9 billion
Source: World Bank
Challenges: Urbanization
• More people now living in cities than in rural areas
• Urban consumers pay more for their food than people in rural areas
• Urban and peri-urban agriculture are growing, but can also create food safety problems
Source: Bernard Pollack
Challenges: Gender Inequity
• Women comprise up to 80 percent of farmers in sub-Saharan Africa
• Many lack access to land tenure, credit, extension services• Studies show that gender inequity can negatively affect
natural resources, including by causing deforestation
Source: World Bank
Challenge: Changing Diets
Challenge: Changing Diets
• Growing middle-class populations are able to include more animal products in their diets
• Livestock are responsible for 18% of GHG emissions
• Spread of zoonotic diseases and foodborne illness
Source: EcoAgriculture Partners,Sajal Sthapit
Challenges: Biofuels
Challenges: Biofuels
• The increased biofuel demand between 2000 and 2007 is estimated to have accounted for 30 percent of the increase in weighted average grain prices (IFPRI 2008)
• Worldwide, the amount of coarse grains converted to energy jumped 15 percent to 255 million tons in 2007
Source: World Bank
Challenges: Climate Change
• The impacts of rising temperatures and more-extreme weather events will likely hurt the poor, especially rural farmers, the most
• According to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPPC), agricultural yields in Africa could decline by more than 30 percent by 2050
Source: World Bank
Opportunities and Growing Interest in Agriculture
• The same high food prices that handicap food-aid organizations and threaten hundreds of millions of people with hunger are also pushing governments to commit to long-term, agricultural investment
• They are also responsible for establishing food security as a global priority
The Single Best Way to Alleviate Poverty
• A recent United Nations analysis of Asia and the Pacific found that 218 million people could be lifted out of poverty by raising agricultural productivity
• Growth originating from agriculture is known to be twice as effective in reducing poverty as GDP growth originating from outside of agriculture (World Bank, WDR 2008)
www.worldwatch.org