PISA and INES projects

45
1 1 Israel Accession Seminar PISA and INES projects, and EAG 2011 PISA and INES projects 22-23 November 2011 Etienne Albiser

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PISA and INES projects. 22-23 November 2011 Etienne Albiser. PISA 2009 Strong performers and successful reformers. Quality of learning outcomes Equity of learning outcomes Factors that make a difference. Etienne Albiser. PISA 2009 in brief. Over half a million students… - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Transcript of PISA and INES projects

Page 1: PISA and INES  projects

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PISA and INES projects

22-23 November 2011

Etienne Albiser

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PISA 2009Strong performers

and successful reformers

Etienne Albiser

Quality of learning outcomesEquity of learning outcomes

Factors that make a difference

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PISA 2009 in brief Over half a million students…

representing 28 million 15-year-olds in 74 countries/economies (about 87% of world economy)

… took an internationally agreed 2-hour test… Goes beyond testing whether students can reproduce,

what they were taught……to assess students’ capacity to extrapolate from what

they know and creatively apply their knowledge in novel situations

…and responded to questions on… their personal background, their schools and their engagement with learning and school

Parents, principals and system leaders provided data on…

school policies, practices, resources and institutional factors that help explain performance differences.

* Data for Costa Rica, Georgia, India, Malaysia, Malta, Mauritius, Venezuela and Vietnam will be published in December 2011

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How proficient are students in reading?

Kyrg

yzst

an

Pana

ma

Qat

ar

Alba

nia

Arge

ntina

Braz

il

Jord

an

Trin

idad

and

Tob

ago

Uru

guay

Rom

ania

Serb

ia

Chile

Russ

ian

Fede

ratio

n

Luxe

mbo

urg

Lith

uani

a

Croa

tia

Gre

ece

Italy

Spai

n

Uni

ted

King

dom

Port

ugal

Latv

ia

Swed

en

Icel

and

Liec

hten

stei

n

Denm

ark

Nor

way

New

Zea

land

Aust

ralia

Esto

nia

Cana

da

Finl

and

Shan

ghai

-Chi

na

100

80

60

40

20

0

20

40

60

80

100

%

27%, compared with 19% for OECD average

7.4%, similar to OECD average

Students at Level 1a are capable of - locating pieces of explicitly stated information that are rather prominent in the text, - recognising a main idea in a text about a familiar topic, a- recognising the connection between information in such a text and their everyday experience.

Students at Level 5 can - handle texts that are unfamiliar in either form or content,- find information in such texts, demonstrate detailed understanding, and infer which information is relevant to the task. - critically evaluate such texts and build hypotheses about them, drawing on specialised knowledge and accommodating concepts that may be contrary to expectations.

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Performance in reading (2009)400 450 500 550 600

Shanghai-China 556Korea 539

Finland 536Hong Kong-China 533

Singapore 526Canada 524

New Zealand 521J apan 520

Australia 515Netherlands 508

Belgium 506Norway 503Estonia 501

Switzerland 501Poland 500

I celand 500United States 500Liechtenstein 499

Sweden 497Germany 497I reland 496France 496

Chinese Taipei 495Denmark 495

United Kingdom 494Hungary 494

OECD average 493Portugal 489

I taly 486Slovenia 483Greece 483

Spain 481Czech Republic 478Slovak Republic 477

I srael 474Luxembourg 472

Austria 470Turkey 464

Chile 449Mexico 425

539

425

474

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Change in reading performance between 2000 and 2009

Peru

Alba

nia

Latv

ia

Poland

Liec

hten

stein

Kore

a

Germ

any

Hong

Kong

-China

Mex

ico

Belgium

Italy

Norway

Japa

n

Unite

d St

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New Z

ealand

Thailand

Finlan

d

Austra

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Swed

en

Ireland

-40

-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

Scor

e po

int c

hang

e

Reading performance

improved

Reading performance

declined

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Quality of learning outcomes

In Israel Average performance of 15-year-olds is:

Below the OECD average in Reading Below the OECD average in Maths Below the OECD average in Science

Trend data on average performance shows: Between 2000 and 2009 performance in

Reading increased significantly (by 22 score points)

No participation in PISA 2003, and no significant change in mean performance in Science between 2006 and 2009

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1Equity of learning outcomes

Low degree of equity in schooling outcomes in Israel Overall variation in reading performance is

high compared with OECD average (the largest among OECD countries) …

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Variation in reading performance between and within schools

Arg

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Italy

Turk

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Isra

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Germ

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Hungary

Aust

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Luxem

bourg

Japan

Uru

guay

Bra

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Slo

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Cro

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a

Unit

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tate

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Sin

gapore

Kyrg

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tan

Monte

negro

Alb

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Slo

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epublic

Kaza

khst

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Irela

nd

Chin

ese

Taip

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Sw

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rland

New

Zeala

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Shanghai-

Chin

a

Russ

ian F

edera

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Sw

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Indonesi

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Pola

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Icela

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Norw

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-100

-80

-60

-40

-20

0

20

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60

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100Within-school variance explained Between-school variance explained

Performance differences between schools

Performance differences within schools

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1Equity of learning outcomes

Low degree of equity in schooling outcomes in Israel Overall variation in reading performance is

high compared with OECD average (the largest among OECD countries) …

… and there is a large variation in performance between schools compared to other countries

Gender differences similar to OECD average– Girls outperform boys in reading (42 points)– No gender difference in mathematics– No gender difference in science

Relationship between performance and socio-economic background of the students is stronger than the average…

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Measures of the relationship between socio-economic background and reading

performance

OECD average

Israel

Shanghai-China

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50

38.0

43.0

27.0

Slope of the gradient (score point difference associated with one unit increase in ESCS)

Performance gap between the advantaged and the disadvantaged is large compared with OECD average. Much larger than that in Shanghai-China…

OECD average

Israel

Shanghai-China

0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16

14.0

12.5

12.3

Strength of the gradient(% of variance explained by ESCS)

…but like Shanghai-China, the strength of association between performance and ESCS is similar to the OECD average.About 12-13% of reading performance variation between students explained by differences in their socio-economic background (compared with 14% on average across OECD countries)

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01020304050607080

%

Percentage of resilient students among disadvantaged students

More than 30% resilient students

among disadvantaged

students

Between 15%-30% of resilient students among

disadvantaged students

Less than 15% resilient

students among

disadvantaged students

students who succeed despite social disadvantage

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1What factors make a difference?

For the individual student Reading for enjoyment

– 34% of students in Israel do not read for enjoyment…about the average but strongly related to performance

Diversity of reading materials– Students in Israel read a similar diversity of

material than on average in OECD countries Knowledge of strategies to summarise

information– Students in Israel are below the OECD

average in their knowledge of understanding, remembering and summarising information, but above the OECD average in their knowledge of the use of control strategies

And for system and school policies …

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Policies and practices

Learning climate

DisciplineTeacher behaviourParental pressureTeacher-student relationships

Dealing with heterogeneity

Grade repetitionPrevalence of trackingExpulsionsAbility grouping (all subjects)

Standards /accountability

Nat. examinationStandardised tests

PolicySystem

RSchool

REquity

E

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What does it all mean?

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Lessons from PISA on successful education systems

Commitment to universal education and the belief that competencies can be learned and therefore all children can achieve

Universal educational standards and personalisation as the approach to heterogeneity ; Clear articulation who is responsible for ensuring student success and to whom

Clear ambitious goals that are shared across the system and aligned with high stakes gateways and instructional systems

Curricular goals translate into instructional systems, instructional practices and student learning (intended, implemented and achieved)

Capacity at the point of deliveryAttract develop and retain high quality teachers and school leaders; Instructional leadership and human resource management in schools; Keeping teaching an attractive profession; System-wide career development

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Lessons from PISA on successful education systems

Incentives, accountability, knowledge management

Aligned incentive structures (for students and teachers), balance between vertical and lateral accountability; Effective instruments to manage and share knowledge and spread innovation; A capable centre with authority and legitimacy to act

Investing resources where they can make most of a difference

Alignment of resources with key challenges e.g. attracting the most talented teachers to the most challenging classrooms); Effective spending choices that prioritise high quality teachers over smaller classes

A learning systemAn outward orientation of the system; Recognising challenges and potential future threats to current success

Coherence of policies and practicesAlignment of policies across all aspects of the system; Coherence of policies over sustained periods of time; Consistency of implementation; Fidelity of implementation (without excessive control)

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1Further information

Education Directoratewww.oecd.org/edu

PISAwww.pisa.oecd.org Email: [email protected]

[email protected]

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INES Methods, data collections

and publication (Education at a Glance)

22-23 November 2011

Etienne Albiser

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Education Policy Committee

Level 1: Governance and strategic co-ordination

Level 2: Operational Management

supported by an INES Advisory Group

Employment, Labour and

Social Affairs Committee

CERI Governing

Board

PISAGoverning

Board

Level 3: Research, Development, Production

Indicators of Education Systems (INES)Decisions/discussions bodies

EDPC governs INES drawing on advice of

Advisory Groupelected from EDPC on

rotating basis plus members from

ELSAC, CERI, PISA, BPCs

Manages the basic annual INES data collection

Provides technical oversight over respective analysis and publications (EAG)

INES Working Party for the annual INES data collection and

Outputs (including Education at a Glance)

Expert NetworkNESLI: network for the collection and adjudication of system-level descriptive information on educational structures, policies and practices

Expert NetworkLSO: network for data development on labour-market and social outcomes of education

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Indicators of Education Systems (INES)Data collections

Joint UNESCO-OECD-Eurostat (UOE) data collection on Education systems

Data on Enrolment, Entrant, Graduates, Class size, Education personnel, Education expenditure and ISCED mapping

INES Networks data collections NESLI network

– the OECD data collection on teachers and the curriculum,

LSO network– the OECD data collections on labour market outcomes

(NEAC), – transitions from education to work (TRANS), and – Earnings;

Some other non regular data collections

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Criteria to select an indicator at the international level

Statistics published at the national level are not always comparable between countries

The criteria used to guide the choice of indicators: Policy relevance – key measure of one of the cells in

the indicator framework Coherence - can be used together to present a

coherent picture of the education systems between countries and available for most countries

Accuracy and credibility - comparably measured across countries

Timeliness - regularly updated Indicators reviewed by members of INES Working

Party and also Education Policy Committee in a priority rating exercice

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Low policy value

High policy value

In development, improvement needed

Established, high technical standards

Money pits

Must haves

Low-hanging fruits

Quick wins

Indicators derived from UOE and other established

data sources

Indicators derived from UOE and other established

data sources

Developmental work in the INES Networks

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Education at a Glance 2011Key results

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Education at a Glance Education at a Glance 2011

495 pages, 29 Indicators, 132 tables, 119 charts +web only: 1 Indicator and 100 tables

4 Chapters Outcomes of education (Chapter A), Financing (Chapter B) Participation (Chapter C) School environment (Chapter D)

Public release: September (2nd Tuesday) Press conferences: Paris; Brussels; London; Berlin; Mexico Media coverage: Good coverage in media; BBC; CNN; Economist; etc.

On-line dissemination Whole book (tables, charts, text) available free EAG “navigator” tool Country notes Simultaneous release of Highlights from Education at a Glance

2010 Update of the public OECD.stat database with UOE 2010 data

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Education at a Glance 2011

some results

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Expenditure on education is a priorityExpenditure on educational institutions as a percentage of GDP

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2008 2000 1995% of GDP

Chart B2.1

7.3% of GDP is devoted to education in 2008 (compared with 6.1% for OECD as a whole) But this share has decreased slightly between 2000 and 2008 (-0.3 percentage point), as expenditure on education increased by 21% whereas GDP increased by 29%.

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Primary, secondary and post-secondary non-tertiary

education

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Change in expenditureChange in the number of students (in full-time equivalents)Change in expenditure per student

Index of change (2000 = 100)

Chart B1.6

Expenditure per student is still below the OECD average

Index of changes between 2000 and 2008 (2000=100, 2008 constant prices), primary, secondary, post-secondary non-tertiary level

USD 5 780 USD 8 169

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ItalyAustralia

IsraelBelgium (Fr.)Netherlands

MexicoFranceIreland

SpainLuxembourg

PortugalEngland

Belgium (Fl.)Turkey

ChileAustria

OECD averageDenmark

IcelandGermany

JapanGreece

Slovak Repub-lic

NorwayHungary

Czech RepublicKorea

Sweden

Russian Federation

SloveniaFinlandEstoniaPoland

0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,000 9,000

Ages 7 to 8 Ages 9 to 11 Ages 12 to 14

Chart D1.1Total number of intended instruction time in hours

… Despite a large number of instruction hours…

Total number of intended instruction hours in public institutions between the ages of 7 and 14 (2009)

6732 hours

7 746 hours

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… Despite a smaller number of teaching hours…

Net statutory contact time for teachers, in hours per year, in public institutions (2009)

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1,200

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Lower secondary educationPrimary educationUpper secondary education, general programmesHours per year

Chart D4.2

Between 80 % and 84 % of the OECD average teaching time at lower and upper secondary

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2009 2000Number of studentsper classroom

Chart D2.1

…but because of bigger class sizes…

Average class size in primary education (2000, 2009)

In 2009 , 27.4 pupils per classroom: 6 more than on average in OECD countries

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… And lower than average teachers salaries…

Annual statutory teachers’ salaries (minimum, after 15 years experience, and maximum) in public institutions in lower secondary education, in equivalent USD converted using PPPs

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40,000

60,000

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Starting salary/ minimum training

Salary at the top of scale/ minimum training

Salary after 15 years of experience/ minimum training

Equivalent USD converted using PPPs

Chart D3.1

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…even if teachers’ salaries have increased

Lower secondary teachers’ statutory salaries after 15 years of experience/minimum training, index of change between 1995 and 2009 (2005 = 100, constant prices)

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Ire

lan

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eth

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an

ds

Ice

lan

dIs

rae

lN

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ay

Port

ug

al

Sp

ain

Luxe

mb

ou

rgB

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ium

(Fr.

)G

ree

ceA

ust

ria

Be

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m (

Fl.)

Fin

lan

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de

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EC

D a

ve

rag

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coE

ng

lan

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zerl

an

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an

dIt

aly

Ko

rea

Un

ite

d S

tate

sA

ust

ralia

Jap

an

Fra

nce

Hu

ng

ary

50

60

70

80

90

100

110

120

130

140

150

2009 1995 2000Index of change

2005=100

Chart D3.2

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Baseline qualifications are more widespread than in most other

countriesApproximated by percentage of persons with upper secondary or equivalent qualifications in the age groups 55-64, 45-55, 45-44 and 25-34 years (2009)

Un

ite

d S

tate

s

Est

on

ia

Ge

rma

ny

Ca

na

da

Po

lan

d

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el

Hu

ng

ary

Ru

ssia

n F

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tio

n

De

nm

ark

Un

ite

d K

ing

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Ne

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Au

stra

lia

Fra

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Ire

lan

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Bra

zil

Tu

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0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

1002000's 1990's 1980's 1970's%

TA1.2a

81% of 25-64 year-olds 73% of 25-64 year-

olds

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011 Tertiary education

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University-level qualifications are more prevalent in two other countries

only

Percentage of the population that has attained tertiary-type A education in the age groups 25-34 years and 55-64 years (2009)

Ko

rea

Jap

an

Ire

lan

d

Ne

w Z

ea

lan

d

Un

ite

d K

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m

De

nm

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Sw

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Ne

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s

Fin

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OE

CD

ave

rag

e

Ice

lan

d

Ch

ile

Gre

ece

Hu

ng

ary

Au

stri

a

Cze

ch R

ep

ub

lic

Ita

ly

Bra

zil0

10

20

30

40

50

60

7025-34 year-olds 55-64 year-olds

%

Chart A1.1

45% of 25-64 year-olds

30% of 25-64 year-olds

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Po

lan

dK

ore

aS

pa

inPo

rtu

ga

lE

sto

nia

Un

ite

d K

ing

do

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ria

Cze

ch R

ep

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lan

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Me

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Ca

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Be

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liaG

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ed

Sta

tes

Bra

zil

Isra

el

Hu

ng

ary

Ch

ile

708090

100110120130140150160170180190200210

Change in expenditureChange in the number of students (in full-time equivalents)Change in expenditure per student

Chart B1.6

Index of change (2000 = 100)

Expenditure per student is below the OECD average and decreases

Index of change between 2000 and 2008 (2000=100, 2008 constant prices), tertiary

education

USD 12 568USD 13 718

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Ire

lan

dFin

lan

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rae

lC

zech

Re

pu

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Po

lan

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Ne

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Ch

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Ne

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No

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De

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G2

0 a

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Fe

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.S

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Arg

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Ch

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sia

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

Graduation rates from upper secondary and post-secondary non-tertiary programmes designed to prepare students for tertiary-type A education

Entry rates into tertiary-type A education

Chart A2.2

%

Below average access to University education

Access to tertiary-type A education for upper secondary and post-secondary non-tertiary graduates (2009)

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Average relative earnings from employment…

Relative earnings from employment by level of educational attainment for 25-to-64 year-olds

(upper secondary and post-secondary non-tertiary education = 100) (2009 or latest available year)

Bra

zil

Hu

ng

ary

Slo

ve

nia

Cze

ch

Re

pu

bli

cS

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lic

Un

ite

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Po

lan

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xe

mb

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Un

ite

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Ge

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Fra

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an

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Ko

rea

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we

de

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ew

Ze

ala

nd

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

220

Below upper secondary education Tertiary education

Chart A8.1

Index256

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… and lower than average labour costs…Deviation from the OECD mean in annu al labour costs, by level of education

(in USD for 25-64 year-olds)

Po

lan

d

Esto

nia

Hu

ng

ary

Slo

va

k R

ep

ub

lic

Po

rtu

ga

l

Isra

el

Gre

ece

Ko

rea

Ne

w Z

ea

lan

d

Slo

ve

nia

Cze

ch

Re

pu

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c

Sp

ain

Ca

na

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Ice

lan

d

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Fin

lan

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Au

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Un

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d K

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m

Be

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m

Sw

ed

en

Ge

rma

ny

Ita

ly

De

nm

ark

Un

ite

d S

tate

s

No

rwa

y

Ire

lan

d

Ne

the

rla

nd

s

Au

str

ia

Lu

xe

mb

ou

rg

-50,000

-30,000

-10,000

10,000

30,000

50,000

70,000Below upper secondary education Upper secondary education

Chart A10.2

USD

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…As well as below average net income

Net income in USD for 25-64 year-olds with a tertiary education (2009 or latest year available)

Lu

xe

mb

ou

rgU

nit

ed

Sta

tes

Au

stri

aIr

ela

nd

Ne

the

rla

nd

sA

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ralia

Un

ite

d K

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mC

an

ad

aK

ore

aN

orw

ay

Ge

rma

ny

Ita

lyS

we

de

nO

EC

D A

ve

rag

eC

zech

Re

pu

blic

Ne

w Z

ea

lan

dD

en

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rkFin

lan

dIc

ela

nd

Fra

nce

Be

lgiu

mS

pa

inIs

rae

lS

love

nia

Po

rtu

ga

lG

ree

ceS

lova

k R

ep

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licH

un

ga

ryPo

lan

dE

sto

nia

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

70,000

80,000

90,000

Net income 3-year-average exchange rate

Net income (Purchasing Power Parity-adjusted)

Chart A10.4

USD

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Positive relation between education and employment

Percentage of 25-64 year-olds in employment, by level of education (2009)

No

rwa

y

Slo

ve

nia

Sw

ed

en

De

nm

ark

Au

stri

a

Bra

zil

Lu

xe

mb

ou

rg

Fin

lan

d

Au

stra

lia

Ne

w Z

ea

lan

d

Fra

nce

Est

on

ia

Gre

ece

Ca

na

da

Sp

ain

Jap

an

Hu

ng

ary

Ko

rea

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

Tertiary education

Upper secondary and post-secondary non-tertiary

Below upper secondary

Chart A7.1

%

Since the start of the recession in 2007, employment rates did not decreased much in Israel, compared to other OECD countries

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When the crisis hit

Percentage point change between 2008-09 in unemployment rate for the 25-64 year-olds

Germany

Chile

Norway

Italy

Brazil

Australia

Mexico

Slovenia

Greece

Slovak Republic

Poland

OECD average

Turkey

Hungary

Denmark

United States

Spain

-2 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16

Tertiary education Below upper secondary

Table A7.4a

Unemployment rates in 2009Below upper secondary attainment: 10.8% in Israel (OECD average of 11.5%)Tertiary attainment: 5.2% in Israel (OECD average of 4.4%)

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4747Is

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Acc

essi

on S

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ISA

and

INE

S p

roje

cts,

and

E

AG

201

1Further information

Education Directoratewww.oecd.org/edu

Education at a Glance 2011www.oecd.org/edu/eag2011

[email protected]

[email protected]