Phil Steele’s Inside the Pressboxplus.philsteele.com/inside_the_pressbox/2017/College/...Phil...

63
Phil Steele’s Inside the Pressbox WK 13 UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK *this is a Best Bet H Utah St (+1.5) over Air Force HIGH SCORING POW No Selection This Week Phil Steele’s SPECIAL PLAYS OF THE WEEK H H H H H H H 177 H UTAH ST 10:15 p.m. 178 AIR FORCE 179 SOUTHERN MISS 2:30 p.m. 180 MARSHALL 181 UNLV 3:00 p.m. 182 NEVADA 183 WASHINGTON STATE 8:00 p.m. 184 WASHINGTON 185 WYOMING 5:00 p.m. 186 SAN JOSE ST 187 COLORADO 10:00 p.m. 188 UTAH 189 ARKANSAS ST 3:00 p.m. 190 ULM 191 ODU 3:00 p.m. 192 MIDDLE TENNESSEE 193 WISCONSIN 3:30 p.m. 194 MINNESOTA 195 H NOTRE DAME 8:00 p.m. 196 STANFORD 197 CLEMSON 7:30 p.m. 198 SOUTH CAROLINA 199 TEXAS A&M 7:30 p.m. 200 LSU 201 BOISE ST 3:30 p.m. CBSC 202 FRESNO ST 203 TULANE 12:00 p.m. 204 SMU 205 KANSAS 12:00 p.m. 206 OKLAHOMA ST 207 ARIZONA 4:30 p.m. 208 H ARIZONA ST 209 WEST VIRGINIA 3:45 p.m. 210 OKLAHOMA 211 OREGON ST 7:00 p.m. 212 OREGON 213 IDAHO 4:00 p.m. 214 NEW MEXICO ST 215 GEORGIA SOUTHERN 5:00 p.m. 216 H LOUISIANA 141 TEXAS TECH 8:00 p.m. FOX 142 TEXAS 143 CALIFORNIA 10:30 p.m. FOX1 144 UCLA SATURDAY NOVEMBER 25th 145 CONNECTICUT 12:00 p.m. 146 CINCINNATI 147 H BOSTON COLLEGE 12:20 p.m. 148 SYRACUSE 149 MICHIGAN STATE 4:00 p.m. 150 RUTGERS 151 INDIANA 12:00 p.m. 152 PURDUE 153 OHIO STATE 12:00 p.m. FOX 154 MICHIGAN 155 NORTH CAROLINA 3:30 p.m. 156 NC STATE 157 DUKE 12:30 p.m. 158 WAKE FOREST 159 APPALACHIAN ST 2:00 p.m. 160 GEORGIA ST 161 VANDERBILT 4:00 p.m. 162 TENNESSEE 163 IOWA ST 3:30 p.m. 164 KANSAS ST 165 LOUISVILLE 12:00 p.m. 166 KENTUCKY 167 GEORGIA 12:00 p.m. 168 GEORGIA TECH 169 PENN STATE 3:30 p.m. 170 MARYLAND 171 NORTHWESTERN 4:00 p.m. 172 ILLINOIS 173 NORTH TEXAS 1:00 p.m. 174 H RICE 175 FAU 2:00 p.m. 176 CHARLOTTE 217 TEMPLE 4:00 p.m. 218 TULSA 219 UTSA 7:30 p.m. 220 LOUISIANA TECH 221 EAST CAROLINA 12:00 p.m. 222 MEMPHIS 223 UTEP 1:00 p.m. 224 UAB 225 ALABAMA 3:30 p.m. 226 AUBURN 227 FLORIDA STATE 12:00 p.m. 228 FLORIDA 229 BYU 9:00 p.m. CBSC 230 HAWAII TUESDAY NOVEMBER 21 ST ROTATION # ALL TIMES ARE ET. TV STATIONS & TIMES SUBJECT TO CHANGE 101 KENT STATE 7:00 p.m. espn2 102 AKRON 103 BOWLING GREEN 7:00 p.m. 104 EASTERN MICHIGAN 105 MIAMI, OH 7:00 p.m. 106 BALL STATE THURSDAY NOVEMBER 23 RD 113 MISSISSIPPI 7:00 p.m. 114 MISSISSIPPI STATE FRIDAY NOVEMBER 24 th 115 BAYLOR 12:00 p.m. FOX1 116 TCU 117 WESTERN MICHIGAN 11:30 p.m. 118 TOLEDO 119 VIRGINIA TECH 8:00 p.m. 120 VIRGINIA 121 NORTHERN ILLINOIS 12:00 p.m. 122 CENTRAL MICHIGAN 123 OHIO 1:00 p.m. 124 BUFFALO 125 MISSOURI 2:30 p.m. CBS 126 ARKANSAS 127 NEW MEXICO 3:30 p.m. CBSC 128 SAN DIEGO STATE 129 NAVY 12:00 p.m. 130 HOUSTON 131 MIAMI, FL 12:00 p.m. 132 PITTSBURGH 133 IOWA 4:00 p.m. FOX1 134 NEBRASKA 135 TEXAS ST 4:00 p.m. 136 TROY 137 H USF 3:30 p.m. 138 UCF 139 WKU 7:00 p.m. 140 FIU Upset POW

Transcript of Phil Steele’s Inside the Pressboxplus.philsteele.com/inside_the_pressbox/2017/College/...Phil...

Page 1: Phil Steele’s Inside the Pressboxplus.philsteele.com/inside_the_pressbox/2017/College/...Phil Steele’s Inside the Pressbox WK 13 UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK *this is a Best Bet H Utah

Phil Steele’sInside the Pressbox WK 13

UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK*this is a Best Bet

H Utah St (+1.5) over Air ForceHIGH SCORING POW

No Selection This Week

Phil Steele’s SPECIAL PLAYS OF

THE WEEKH

H

H

H

H

H

H

177 H UTAH ST 10:15 p.m. 178 AIR FORCE 179 SOUTHERN MISS 2:30 p.m. 180 MARSHALL 181 UNLV 3:00 p.m. 182 NEVADA183 WASHINGTON STATE 8:00 p.m.184 WASHINGTON185 WYOMING 5:00 p.m. 186 SAN JOSE ST 187 COLORADO 10:00 p.m. 188 UTAH 189 ARKANSAS ST 3:00 p.m. 190 ULM191 ODU 3:00 p.m.192 MIDDLE TENNESSEE193 WISCONSIN 3:30 p.m.194 MINNESOTA195 H NOTRE DAME 8:00 p.m.196 STANFORD197 CLEMSON 7:30 p.m.198 SOUTH CAROLINA199 TEXAS A&M 7:30 p.m.200 LSU201 BOISE ST 3:30 p.m. CBSC 202 FRESNO ST203 TULANE 12:00 p.m.204 SMU205 KANSAS 12:00 p.m.206 OKLAHOMA ST207 ARIZONA 4:30 p.m.208 H ARIZONA ST209 WEST VIRGINIA 3:45 p.m.210 OKLAHOMA211 OREGON ST 7:00 p.m.212 OREGON213 IDAHO 4:00 p.m.214 NEW MEXICO ST215 GEORGIA SOUTHERN 5:00 p.m. 216 H LOUISIANA

141 TEXAS TECH 8:00 p.m. FOX142 TEXAS143 CALIFORNIA 10:30 p.m. FOX1144 UCLA

SATURDAY NOVEMBER 25th145 CONNECTICUT 12:00 p.m.146 CINCINNATI 147 H BOSTON COLLEGE 12:20 p.m.148 SYRACUSE 149 MICHIGAN STATE 4:00 p.m.150 RUTGERS 151 INDIANA 12:00 p.m.152 PURDUE 153 OHIO STATE 12:00 p.m. FOX154 MICHIGAN 155 NORTH CAROLINA 3:30 p.m.156 NC STATE 157 DUKE 12:30 p.m.158 WAKE FOREST 159 APPALACHIAN ST 2:00 p.m.160 GEORGIA ST 161 VANDERBILT 4:00 p.m.162 TENNESSEE 163 IOWA ST 3:30 p.m. 164 KANSAS ST 165 LOUISVILLE 12:00 p.m.166 KENTUCKY 167 GEORGIA 12:00 p.m.168 GEORGIA TECH 169 PENN STATE 3:30 p.m.170 MARYLAND171 NORTHWESTERN 4:00 p.m.172 ILLINOIS173 NORTH TEXAS 1:00 p.m. 174 H RICE175 FAU 2:00 p.m. 176 CHARLOTTE

217 TEMPLE 4:00 p.m. 218 TULSA 219 UTSA 7:30 p.m. 220 LOUISIANA TECH 221 EAST CAROLINA 12:00 p.m. 222 MEMPHIS223 UTEP 1:00 p.m.224 UAB225 ALABAMA 3:30 p.m. 226 AUBURN 227 FLORIDA STATE 12:00 p.m. 228 FLORIDA229 BYU 9:00 p.m. CBSC 230 HAWAII

TUESDAY NOVEMBER 21STRotation # all times aRe et. tV stations & times subject to change

101 KENT STATE 7:00 p.m. espn2102 AKRON103 BOWLING GREEN 7:00 p.m. 104 EASTERN MICHIGAN105 MIAMI, OH 7:00 p.m. 106 BALL STATE

THURSDAY NOVEMBER 23RD

113 MISSISSIPPI 7:00 p.m. 114 MISSISSIPPI STATE

FRIDAY NOVEMBER 24th

115 BAYLOR 12:00 p.m. FOX1116 TCU 117 WESTERN MICHIGAN 11:30 p.m.118 TOLEDO 119 VIRGINIA TECH 8:00 p.m. 120 VIRGINIA 121 NORTHERN ILLINOIS 12:00 p.m.122 CENTRAL MICHIGAN 123 OHIO 1:00 p.m. 124 BUFFALO 125 MISSOURI 2:30 p.m. CBS126 ARKANSAS 127 NEW MEXICO 3:30 p.m. CBSC128 SAN DIEGO STATE 129 NAVY 12:00 p.m.130 HOUSTON 131 MIAMI, FL 12:00 p.m.132 PITTSBURGH 133 IOWA 4:00 p.m. FOX1134 NEBRASKA135 TEXAS ST 4:00 p.m.136 TROY 137 H USF 3:30 p.m.138 UCF 139 WKU 7:00 p.m. 140 FIU

Upset POW

Page 2: Phil Steele’s Inside the Pressboxplus.philsteele.com/inside_the_pressbox/2017/College/...Phil Steele’s Inside the Pressbox WK 13 UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK *this is a Best Bet H Utah

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 102 138 5 9/2 3-56 L 127 92 114 27 3 83 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 101 137 6 9/2 0-52 L 89 83 94 4 18 80-1 0-0 101 9/9 38-31 W 130 114 114 0-1 0-0 99 9/9 52-3 W 117 97 941-1 1-1 0-0 0-0 101 104 9/16 0-21 L 129 122 46 92 46 12 1-1 1-1 0-0 0-0 99 118 9/16 14-41 L 115 97 117 50 82 471-2 2-1 0-0 1-1 98 122 19 9/23 3-42 L 128 119 111 13 25 45 #79 #121 1-2 2-1 0-0 1-0 97 105 9/23 17-22 L 113 98 114 82 56 971-3 2-2 0-0 0-0 96 106 9/30 13-27 L 130 122 85 99 107 124 #123 #69 1-3 0-4 0-0 0-0 98 96 9/30 34-23 W 107 102 121 113 126 281-4 2-2 0-1 0-0 95 115 10/7 3-24 L 129 122 109 99 61 110 #128 #112 2-3 2-3 1-0 0-1 101 99 10/7 31-3 W 118 99 127 105 113 941-5 2-4 0-2 1-1 95 105 10/14 17-14 W 130 119 77 101 85 75 #129 #103 3-3 4-2 2-0 2-0 105 117 10/14 14-13 W 114 90 123 82 78 72-5 5-2 1-2 2-1 98 110 10/21 3-48 L 130 103 95 60 63 10 #128 #79 4-3 5-1 3-0 2-0 109 117 10/21 21-48 L 119 79 122 53 82 362-6 1-7 1-3 1-3 94 93 10/31 16-44 L 129 107 96 98 127 22 #120 #97 4-4 3-5 3-1 1-3 106 105 10/28 21-20 W 118 87 126 109 112 1032-7 1-4 94 11/4 129 105 96 #43 #92 5-4 3-6 4-1 2-3 106 105 11/7 14-24 L 119 90 123 100 91 862-7 5-4 1-4 3-2 89 110 11/8 20-48 L 129 108 105 77 70 8 #97 #106 5-5 8-2 4-2 5-1 105 114 11/14 37-34 W 116 90 126 45 61 112-8 6-4 1-5 4-2 89 113 11/14 23-42 L 129 103 112 86 62 127 #117 #57 6-5 2-9 5-2 1-6 109 89 11/21 120 91 128 129 109 1222-9 6-5 1-6 5-2 89 109 11/21 129 109 122 120 91 128 #88 #112

#128 #116-5 +5

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

at Clemson 3-56 -545 -29 1 5 44-119 2.7 1-5 1 0 34 43-353 8.2 25-35 312 0 at Penn St 0-52 -410 -12 0 12 34-73 2.1 14-29 86 3 24 34-247 7.3 21-31 322 0 Howard 38-31 -53 -2 0 17 53-294 5.5 8-16 105 0 19 48-226 4.7 10-23 226 2 Ark Pine Bluff 52-3 296 15 2 27 44-267 6.1 17-26 197 0 12 34-41 1.2 14-25 127 4at Marshall 0-21 -122 -9 0 14 44-142 3.2 7-17 117 7 23 33-158 4.8 23-43 223 0 Iowa St 14-41 -177 -4 -3 19 24-38 1.6 27-44 293 6 23 37-191 5.2 24-33 317 0at Louisville 3-42 -389 -12 1 11 54-139 2.6 2-5 11 2 23 27-165 6.1 23-30 374 1 at Troy 17-22 -122 -1 -2 23 35-99 2.8 20-40 268 2 24 28-175 6.3 28-42 314 1 Buffalo 13-27 67 6 0 24 40-124 3.1 19-31 320 4 18 44-235 5.3 11-18 142 0 at Bowling Green 34-23 -15 2 1 19 40-178 4.5 14-25 183 1 17 41-181 4.4 24-38 195 1at Northern Illinois 3-24 -135 -6 -1 9 43-102 2.4 6-17 29 6 15 50-152 3.0 13-22 114 3 Ball St 31-3 7 -3 3 19 31-134 4.3 18-31 249 2 22 44-155 3.5 24-46 221 5 Miami, OH 17-14 -7 -7 2 12 44-167 3.8 10-18 161 2 19 34-161 4.7 12-30 174 3 at Western Michigan 14-13 -211 -12 0 14 31-88 2.8 13-24 127 2 26 53-244 4.6 17-29 182 2at Ohio 3-48 -308 -16 -1 7 37-102 2.8 7-17 64 4 23 43-336 7.8 9-20 138 3 at Toledo 21-48 -293 -12 -1 23 24-42 1.8 23-40 291 1 35 43-303 7.0 18-28 323 0 Bowling Green 16-44 -117 2 -4 20 32-144 4.5 16-35 140 4 18 46-227 4.9 14-19 174 3 Buffalo 21-20 -87 -9 0 19 25-81 3.2 21-29 291 1 28 34-146 4.3 34-50 313 1 Bye at Miami, OH 14-24 -147 -8 2 18 30-55 1.8 19-38 218 6 26 34-176 5.2 19-32 244 0at Western Michigan 20-48 -108 -6 -3 12 37-162 4.4 13-24 119 3 18 50-292 5.8 8-19 97 2 Ohio 37-34 48 -5 3 18 32-121 3.8 22-38 322 0 23 43-282 6.6 10-23 113 0 Central Michigan 23-42 44 9 0 25 47-174 3.7 16-30 320 7 16 30-152 5.1 15-23 298 1 Kent St Akron 0

Average 13-36 -152.1 -6.4 -0.5 14 43-152 3.5 48.8% 126 18.1% 21 41-223 5.5 57.8% 207 6.4% Average 23-26 -101.0 -4.5 0.5 19 32-107 3.4 57.1% 230 6.6% 24 39-195 5.0 61.8% 243 3.7% Conference 14-35 -80.6 -2.6 -1.0 16 40-139 3.5 50.6% 165 17.4% 18 42-222 5.2 54.3% 162 9.9% Conference 25-24 -99.7 -6.7 1.1 19 30-100 3.3 57.8% 240 5.8% 25 42-212 5.1 59.3% 227 3.7% Away 5-40 -267.8 -13.0 -0.5 10 43-128 3.0 42.4% 57 25.9% 23 41-243 5.9 59.8% 210 5.3% Home 31-20 17.4 -1.2 1.0 20 31-128 4.1 62.5% 270 5.4% 22 38-163 4.2 59.9% 218 5.6%

at Clemson Nick Holley 1-4-1-0-0 Nick Holley 10-53-5.3-0 Justin Rankin 1-1-1.0-0 at Penn St Thomas Woodson 12-23-71-0-1 Kato Nelson 9-39-4.3-0 AJ Coney 2-25-12.5-0 Howard Nick Holley 8-16-105-2-0 Nick Holley 21-119-5.7-1 Justin Rankin 4-47-11.8-1 Ark Pine Bluff Thomas Woodson 15-21-166-1-0 Warren Ball 20-146-7.3-3 Tra'Von Chapman 5-55-11.0-0at Marshall Dustin Crum 3-5-62-0-0 Justin Rankin 6-44-7.3-0 Trey Harrell 1-40-40.0-0 vs. Iowa St Thomas Woodson 25-40-240-2-1 Warren Ball 11-40-3.6-0 Kwadarrius Smith 3-76-25.3-1at Louisville George Bollas 2-4-11-0-1 Dustin Crum 18-62-3.4-0 Conor Brumfield 1-6-6.0-0 at Troy Thomas Woodson 20-40-268-1-2 Warren Ball 28-112-4.0-1 Kwadarrius Smith 4-103-25.8-1 Buffalo George Bollas 17-26-242-0-0 Justin Rankin 10-39-3.9-0 Trey Harrell 6-122-20.3-0 at Bowling Green Thomas Woodson 13-24-168-2-1 Van Edwards 14-70-5.0-1 Austin Wolf 3-68-22.7-1at Northern Illinois Dustin Crum 2-4-15-0-1 Dustin Crum 15-77-5.1-0 Trey Harrell 2-10-5.0-0 vs. Ball St Thomas Woodson 17-30-211-2-0 Deltron Sands 6-52-8.7-1 AJ Coney 6-90-15.0-0 Miami, OH George Bollas 9-14-154-2-0 Mike Carrigan 1-61-61.0-0 Mike Carrigan 3-101-33.7-1 at Western Michigan Thomas Woodson 13-24-127-1-1 Manny Morgan 12-53-4.4-1 AJ Coney 3-38-12.7-0at Ohio George Bollas 6-14-61-0-0 Justin Rankin 7-47-6.7-0 Will Matthews 1-36-36.0-0 at Toledo Thomas Woodson 18-33-205-2-1 Van Edwards 9-25-2.8-0 Kwadarrius Smith 3-72-24.0-1 Bowling Green George Bollas 16-35-140-0-3 George Bollas 18-84-4.7-1 Justin Rankin 9-60-6.7-0 vs. Buffalo Thomas Woodson 21-29-291-3-1 Deltron Sands 7-70-10.0-0 AJ Coney 7-91-13.0-0 Bye at Miami, OH Kato Nelson 19-38-218-1-0 Manny Morgan 10-41-4.1-0 Kwadarrius Smith 6-69-11.5-0at Western Michigan George Bollas 11-22-102-0-2 Dustin Crum 3-80-26.7-1 Mike Carrigan 1-42-42.0-0 Ohio Kato Nelson 22-38-322-4-0 Manny Morgan 14-55-3.9-1 Kwadarrius Smith 2-125-62.5-2 Central Michigan George Bollas 15-28-310-2-1 Justin Rankin 21-67-3.2-0 Mike Carrigan 4-83-20.8-1 vs. Kent St Akron

vs.

George Bollas 84-169-1089-4-10 Justin Rankin 102-417-4.1-2 Trey Harrell 17-324-19.1-1 Thomas Woodson 154-264-1747-14-8 Warren Ball 75-332-4.4-4 Kwadarrius Smith 30-605-20.2-6Dustin Crum 12-25-192-1-2 George Bollas 95-242-2.5-1 Justin Rankin 38-286-7.5-2 vs. Kato Nelson 47-87-663-5-1 Manny Morgan 77-296-3.8-2 AJ Coney 38-488-12.8-3Nick Holley 9-20-106-2-0 Dustin Crum 73-233-3.2-1 Mike Carrigan 13-276-21.2-2 Robbie Kelley 7-11-115-1-0 Van Edwards 74-247-3.3-2 Tra'Von Chapman 48-442-9.2-2

Category

2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.

Akron - -7 31 18 32-141

Kent St - 53 27 20 41-138 3

2015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.

Akron - -10.5 20 26 51-229

Kent St - 39 0 7 20-10 -2

2014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.

Akron - 24 17 30-188

Kent St - E 27 20 23-113 1

2013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.

Akron - -1.5 16 19 47-173

Kent St - 52.5 7 17 33-162 -4

2012 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's

Akron - 60 24 23 32-130

Kent St - -20 35 18 40-261 1

Score

By Game Yardage Leaders

Buffaloat Miami, OH Ohio Kent St

9-21-131

15-31-138

Comp-Att-Yds

Position by Position Edges

Akron QB/WR

0.52

0.39

Kent St RB's

28-45-298

Comp-Att-Yds

Akron By 11.4

Akron 386-312

Game Grade

Computer Yards

Akron RB's

1.16

Offense Defense

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

RushingPassing

Net

Akron 27 Kent St 17

Akron 32-10

By 3.89 Points

Akron

Computer PointsPOSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

Receiving

Kent St Leaders

+/- Ratings

Las Vegas Line

Las Vegas Total

30-42-312

14-19-103

Akron ZipsZips LogsGolden Flashes Logs

OVERALL: OVERALL:

FOE REC--PS RANK--

TM +/-

6-5vs. MAC

TEAMFOE +/-

AP

FOE

FOE

Kent St Golden Flashes

Akron by 10

0.33

0.60

Kent St LB'S

Akron By 15

46.5 Points

Akron By 22.8

Buffaloat Northern Illinois Miami, OHat Ohio

at Clemson Howardat Marshallat Louisville

2-9vs. MAC

Rush Def

Score OffTotal Off

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

Ken

t S

t G

old

en F

lash

es

Akr

on Z

ips

Ypg DiffTotal TO's

Score DefSks By

Sks Allowed

Total Def

17-42-191

141 yardsComp-Att-Yds

13-24-125

NCAA RANKINGS2017 TEAM RANKINGS

Kent St

Rush Off

Akron

Pass Off

11-19-140

Comp-Att-Yds

11-28-237

19-36-285

Comp-Att-Yds

Akron

Ret

urn

to

Tab

le o

f C

onte

nts

87

1.70

Kent St

Akron

5.25

27

Experience Rankings

Kent St 148 yards

Kent St Akron

Akron LB's

--PS RANK--TM REC

FOE

FOETM +/- FOE +/-

AP TEAMTM CONF FOE CONF

Pass Def

Score

Projected Yardage Total

Projected Passing170 yards

Team & Margin

238 yards

By Game Yardage Leaders

Kent St DB's

Akron

5-21-6

at Bowling Green Ball Stat Western Michiganat Toledo

at Penn St Ark Pine Bluff Iowa Stat Troy

Kent St Pts

Akron Pts

Phil's Forecast:

Kent St

Akron Leaders

Battle for the Wagon Wheel. The home team is 9-3 in this cross-town rivalry (just 12 miles apart). Last year featured 7 lead changes. KSU after a 97/16pl TD drive led 27-24 w/1:02 left, but UA answered w/a GW 57/4pl drive (3 yd td run w/:20). LTH Akron got revenge for missing a bowl in ‘14. The Golden Flashes were shutout for the 1st time in this series s/’85. They had ssn lows in FD’s (7) & yds (135) including just 10 net rush yds (0.5). Kent is probably playing their final game for coach Haynes and is a rivalry dog. Their offense came to life last week with 494 yards vs CMich and it usually takes George Bollas 3 games to hit 300 yards passing, but he was 15-28-310-2-1. Akron is off a huge win vs Ohio which has given them control of the East and if they win this game they play in the MAC Title game next week. QB Thomas Woodson was suspended two weeks ago and frosh Kato Nelson looked good in his 2nd start and first one with a full week of prep as he hit 22-38-322-4-0 and rushed for 45. They are 3-0 in their MAC home games and the Flashes are -268 ypg on the road and lose 35 ppg. This is not much of a road trip and Kent is actually -81 ypg in MAC play with Akron -100! I will take the rivalry dog to make a game of this.

1.13

Kent St OL0.34

OffenseNet

Passing Rushing

Defense

Receiving

0.44

Akron DLKent St DL

Kent St ST's

Akron ST's

Akron OL

Kent St QB/WR

Akron DB's

Phil Steele

1.36

Kent St K

Akron K

Kent St Coaches

Akron Coaches

Projected Rushing

Projected Box Score

Akron

Kent St Akron 386 yards

Kent St 32 points

Team Schedule StrengthKent St Akron

Akron

72

68

10 points

312 yards

Projected Final Score

TM REC FOE REC TM CONF FOE CONF

Bowling Green Byeat Western Michigan Central Michigan

Page 3: Phil Steele’s Inside the Pressboxplus.philsteele.com/inside_the_pressbox/2017/College/...Phil Steele’s Inside the Pressbox WK 13 UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK *this is a Best Bet H Utah

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 106 112 9/2 10-35 L 99 118 65 67 60 118 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 106 90 9/1 24-7 W 95 78 51 122 120 1230-1 0-0 104 9/9 27-35 L 113 122 65 1-0 0-1 0-0 0-0 107 106 9/9 16-13 W 94 80 51 99 76 690-2 1-1 0-0 0-0 100 119 9/16 7-49 L 105 121 43 39 31 74 2-0 0-0 109 9/16 95 80 990-3 1-2 0-0 0-0 96 102 9/23 13-24 L 112 126 31 121 86 63 #88 #116 2-0 2-1 0-0 0-0 109 110 9/23 20-27 L 99 83 96 77 66 110-4 1-3 0-0 0-0 96 98 9/30 23-34 L 113 126 28 107 102 121 #59 #33 2-1 3-1 0-1 1-1 107 121 9/30 20-24 L 106 80 75 68 36 310-5 2-3 0-1 1-0 93 110 10/7 37-29 W 111 125 21 109 80 77 #85 #80 2-2 3-1 0-1 0-0 109 116 10/7 15-20 L 112 73 79 50 103 221-5 4-2 1-1 1-1 98 108 10/14 30-48 L 103 126 31 66 66 3 #92 #88 2-3 4-2 0-2 0-0 110 113 10/14 27-28 L 115 68 105 92 107 551-6 4-2 1-2 2-0 96 115 10/21 17-48 L 98 126 25 103 42 117 #101 #25 2-4 4-3 0-2 2-1 111 113 10/21 17-20 L 116 78 105 70 75 151-7 2-6 1-3 1-3 93 94 10/31 44-16 W 98 127 22 129 107 96 #127 #70 2-5 5-2 0-3 3-0 110 118 10/26 27-30 L 115 83 121 93 41 1162-7 3-6 2-3 1-4 93 105 11/7 28-38 L 96 126 22 106 111 104 #115 #20 2-6 2-6 0-4 0-4 112 88 11/2 56-14 W 112 84 125 126 118 1212-8 2-4 98 11/11 101 122 13 #127 #32 3-6 5-4 1-4 3-2 115 110 11/8 30-42 L 104 87 120 86 66 1272-8 8-2 2-4 5-1 98 118 11/15 37-66 L 100 123 11 34 81 8 #124 #37 3-7 4-6 1-5 3-3 112 107 11/15 27-24 W 106 89 110 99 88 892-9 4-7 2-5 2-5 96 112 11/21 104 125 20 106 86 109 #112 #24 4-7 2-9 2-5 2-5 112 96 11/21 106 86 109 104 125 20

#127 #55-1 -5

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

at Michigan St 10-35 -253 -16 2 9 24-67 2.8 10-31 145 1 25 46-215 4.7 22-36 250 1 Charlotte 24-7 113 6 1 19 41-126 3.1 22-31 267 1 13 35-166 4.7 12-29 114 2 South Dakota 27-35 -44 -5 -3 23 35-161 4.6 21-50 315 4 28 52-214 4.1 19-34 306 3 at Rutgers 16-13 48 4 1 19 35-114 3.3 19-37 260 1 15 30-128 4.3 17-38 198 1at Northwestern 7-49 -326 -9 1 21 30-96 3.2 27-44 256 3 30 43-303 7.0 24-31 375 2 Byeat Middle Tennessee 13-24 -249 -13 3 14 29-1 0.0 21-35 283 3 27 43-243 5.7 24-32 290 1 Ohio 20-27 -18 -4 1 15 27-45 1.7 29-49 305 2 19 46-171 3.7 19-31 197 4 Akron 23-34 15 -2 -1 17 41-181 4.4 24-38 195 1 19 40-178 4.5 14-25 183 1 at Kentucky 20-24 84 4 -2 20 27-13 0.5 27-47 299 5 16 37-53 1.4 18-27 175 5at Miami, OH 37-29 -107 -11 1 26 41-275 6.7 12-26 230 1 37 44-238 5.4 24-43 374 0 at Toledo 15-20 -93 -3 -2 21 23-73 3.2 24-40 253 0 24 42-130 3.1 23-34 289 4 Ohio 30-48 -19 4 -2 22 47-229 4.9 17-43 192 2 18 43-335 7.8 7-22 105 0 at Army West Point 27-28 -49 0 -1 21 26-135 5.2 19-27 229 0 21 61-413 6.8 0-5 0 0 Northern Illinois 17-48 -210 -11 -4 18 44-192 4.4 13-23 175 3 29 55-338 6.1 21-34 239 2 Western Michigan 17-20 37 2 -1 27 37-151 4.1 28-44 308 0 25 42-220 5.2 18-27 202 1at Kent St 44-16 117 -2 4 18 46-227 4.9 14-19 174 3 20 32-144 4.5 16-35 140 4 at Northern Illinois 27-30 11 -3 1 15 33-96 2.9 23-45 307 2 18 36-114 3.2 23-40 278 2at Buffalo 28-38 -188 -5 -1 21 30-100 3.3 28-43 294 3 26 40-176 4.4 23-37 406 0 Ball St 56-14 162 5 1 24 40-225 5.6 15-22 263 1 19 41-157 3.8 11-21 169 1 Bye at Central Michigan 30-42 -4 10 -4 22 36-124 3.4 23-39 204 2 12 42-177 4.2 11-18 155 4 Toledo 37-66 -248 -12 -1 20 32-80 2.5 18-31 309 4 32 53-389 7.3 14-20 248 0 at Miami, OH 27-24 62 -1 0 18 43-185 4.3 15-27 269 1 19 38-141 3.7 22-32 251 4at Eastern Michigan Bowling Green

Average 25-38 -137.5 -7.5 -0.1 19 36-146 4.0 53.5% 233 7.3% 26 45-252 5.6 59.6% 265 4.0% Average 25-23 32.1 1.8 -0.5 20 33-117 3.5 59.8% 269 3.7% 18 41-170 4.2 57.6% 184 9.3% Conference 31-40 -91.4 -5.6 -0.6 20 40-183 4.6 56.5% 224 7.6% 26 44-257 5.9 55.1% 242 3.2% Conference 27-25 22.4 0.9 -0.6 20 34-128 3.8 59.0% 273 3.0% 19 41-159 3.9 62.6% 220 9.9% Away 23-32 -167.7 -9.3 1.7 18 33-128 3.8 56.6% 230 7.1% 28 41-220 5.3 62.1% 306 3.7% Home 29-17 73.5 2.3 0.5 21 36-137 3.8 64.4% 286 2.7% 19 41-179 4.4 55.6% 171 7.4%

at Michigan St James Morgan 10-31-145-0-1 Andrew Clair 4-22-5.5-0 Datrin Guyton 2-40-20.0-0 Charlotte Brogan Roback 22-31-267-0-1 Shaq Vann 23-90-3.9-0 Sergio Bailey 5-78-15.6-0 South Dakota James Morgan 21-50-315-2-1 Josh Cleveland 10-87-8.7-0 Datrin Guyton 5-158-31.6-0 at Rutgers Brogan Roback 19-36-260-1-0 Shaq Vann 16-67-4.2-0 Sergio Bailey 5-107-21.4-0at Northwestern James Morgan 15-26-166-0-0 Josh Cleveland 12-54-4.5-1 Datrin Guyton 3-47-15.7-0 vs. Byeat Middle Tennessee Jarret Doege 21-35-283-1-0 Josh Cleveland 12-38-3.2-0 Scott Miller 8-112-14.0-1 Ohio Brogan Roback 28-47-271-1-1 Shaq Vann 10-29-2.9-0 Sergio Bailey 7-82-11.7-1 Akron James Morgan 17-28-163-2-1 Josh Cleveland 20-94-4.7-0 Scott Miller 10-60-6.0-0 at Kentucky Brogan Roback 26-43-256-1-2 Ian Eriksen 18-40-2.2-1 Sergio Bailey 8-80-10.0-1at Miami, OH James Morgan 11-25-222-3-1 Andrew Clair 16-121-7.6-0 Teo Redding 8-197-24.6-2 vs. at Toledo Brogan Roback 23-39-226-2-2 Ian Eriksen 9-54-6.0-0 Sergio Bailey 4-72-18.0-0 Ohio James Morgan 16-41-182-1-1 Andrew Clair 18-148-8.2-2 Scott Miller 6-95-15.8-0 at Army West Point Brogan Roback 19-27-229-4-1 Ian Eriksen 20-107-5.4-0 Sergio Bailey 8-99-12.4-2 Northern Illinois Grant Loy 6-11-104-0-1 Andrew Clair 15-108-7.2-0 Datrin Guyton 2-51-25.5-0 Western Michigan Brogan Roback 28-44-308-1-1 Ian Eriksen 23-91-4.0-0 Antoine Porter 10-93-9.3-0at Kent St Jarret Doege 14-18-174-2-0 Andrew Clair 8-111-13.9-1 Teo Redding 5-61-12.2-1 vs. at Northern Illinois Brogan Roback 22-44-262-1-0 Ian Eriksen 18-81-4.5-0 Sergio Bailey 3-94-31.3-1at Buffalo Jarret Doege 28-43-294-3-0 Andrew Clair 18-85-4.7-1 Scott Miller 10-108-10.8-1 Ball St Brogan Roback 15-21-263-3-0 Ian Eriksen 21-114-5.4-1 Sergio Bailey 2-110-55.0-1 Bye at Central Michigan Brogan Roback 23-39-204-2-5 Shaq Vann 14-71-5.1-1 Mathew Sexton 4-51-12.8-1 Toledo Jarret Doege 17-30-270-4-1 Josh Cleveland 12-47-3.9-0 Teo Redding 3-78-26.0-2 vs. at Miami, OH Brogan Roback 15-27-269-2-1 Ian Eriksen 18-112-6.2-0 Sergio Bailey 3-69-23.0-2at Eastern Michigan Bowling Green

vs.

James Morgan 97-213-1264-9-7 Andrew Clair 94-676-7.2-4 Scott Miller 55-629-11.4-4 Brogan Roback 240-398-2815-18-14 Ian Eriksen 154-699-4.5-5 Sergio Bailey 50-841-16.8-8Jarret Doege 98-153-1125-10-2 Josh Cleveland 132-643-4.9-3 Teo Redding 44-604-13.7-7 vs. Isaac Holder 3-3-106-1-0 Shaq Vann 97-403-4.2-3 Antoine Porter 43-524-12.2-4Grant Loy 9-16-161-0-2 Donovan Wilson 48-169-3.5-0 Datrin Guyton 26-473-18.2-1 Jaron Johnson 1-1-43-1-0 Breck Turner 31-118-3.8-1 Johnnie Niupalau 27-368-13.6-4

Category

2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Bowling Green - -3 25 29 42-206

Eastern Michigan - 66 28 24 45-212 -12013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Bowling Green - -25.5 58 24 46-296

Eastern Michigan - 54.5 7 4 26-61 -22012 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Bowling Green - -15 24 16 41-225

Eastern Michigan - 52 3 11 27-64 -3

vs.

Comp-Att-Yds

23-47-250

21-30-262

Comp-Att-Yds

13-26-264

1-18-4

Comp-Att-Yds

OVERALL:

2-9 4-7Bowling Green Falcons OVERALL:

10-21-131

11-24-114

0.41

1.55

Las Vegas Total

Bowling Green LB'S

1.81E Michigan QB/WR

1.03

Bowling Green DB's

E Michigan 45-25

Eastern Michigan 44 Bowling Green 24By 0.86 Points

E Michigan

Falcons are 11-2 s/’90 with the only losses by 3 pts each, avg win by 19 ppg. EMichigan is much better than their record this year and are on a 17-3-1 run vs the Vegas number. BG was looking to turn to the run game this year, much like they did at the end of last year when they won their last 3 with 328 ypg rush. They did have a 4 game stretch this year where they went 2-2 where they rushed for 231 ypg, but the last two weeks have just 100 (3.3) and 80 (2.5). They are -91 ypg in MAC play with their defense allowing foes 111 ypg above their season average. E Mich has six losses this year by 7, 4, 5, 1, 3 and 3 and are a few plays away from being back in a bowl. Instead they are 4-7, but are plus 22 ypg in MAC play with their defense holding foes to 32 ypg below their season average. Jarret Doege has taken over at QB for BG ad has a solid 10-2 ratio with BG scoring 36.3 ppg in his 3 starts and just 20.5 ppg prior. EM QB Brogan Roback had an 18-7 ratio last year and it is 18-14 this year and EM’s rush attack was at 4.3 ypc rush last year and just 3.5 this year. Look for the Eagles to finish off their season with a solid win. It will be a chilly night with temps dipping into the 20’s.

Phil's Forecast:

59 Points

+/- RatingsE Michigan By 18.3

Game GradeE Michigan By 17.8

E Michigan PtsBowling Green 45 points

POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

Projected Final Score4.7325 points E Michigan

Experience Rankings

82 Bowling Green E Michigan 78

52 Bowling Green 30E MichiganComputer Points

Computer YardsBowling Green Pts

5.59

Bowling Green E Michigan 310 yards

E Michigan 216 yards 0.98

Bowling Green K

E Michigan KBowling Green Coaches

E Michigan

Projected Rushing

526 yards

Projected Passing210 yards

E Michigan Coaches

0.80

320 yards Bowling GreenProjected Yardage Total

ReceivingPassing Rushing

Defense

Score Score

Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage LeadersRushing Receiving

TEAM --PS RANK--TM REC FOE

REC

at Miami, OH Total Off at Toledo Ohio Score Off at Army West Point

at Middle Tennessee Rush Off Ohio Akron Pass Off at Kentucky

at Michigan St 2017 TEAM RANKINGS Charlotte South Dakota

Bowling Green E Michigan

FOE +/-AP

FOE FOE

TEAM

E Michigan EaglesFalcons Logs vs. MAC vs. MAC Eagles Logs

FOE CONF TM +/- FOE +/-AP FOE

TM CONF TM CONF--PS RANK--

FOE CONF TM +/- FOE REC2-5 2-5FOE

TM RECNCAA RANKINGS

Bowling Green QB/WR

E Michigan LB's

E Michigan DL

E Michigan RB's

at Rutgersat Northwestern Bye

Toledo Score Def at Miami, OHat Eastern Michigan Sks By Bowling Green

at Buffalo Pass Def Ball St Bye Total Def at Central Michigan

Northern Illinois Sks Allowed Western Michiganat Kent St Rush Def at Northern Illinois

Bowling Green OL

Bowling Green DL

E Michigan OL

Net Defense

Bow

ling

Gre

en F

alco

ns

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

Ypg Diff

By Game Yardage Leaders

E M

ich

igan

Eag

les

Bowling Green E Michigan

Offense

Total TO's

E Michigan 526-320

E Michigan Leaders

Net

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) Projected Box Score 2.06

Bowling Green ST's

E Michigan ST's

Bowling Green Leaders

Ret

urn

to

Tab

le o

f C

onte

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110 yards Bowling Green

Phil SteeleE Michigan by 20

Team & Margin

Team Schedule Strength

Offense

Passing

Las Vegas LineE Michigan By 13.5

0.43

Bowling Green RB's

E Michigan DB's1.25

Page 4: Phil Steele’s Inside the Pressboxplus.philsteele.com/inside_the_pressbox/2017/College/...Phil Steele’s Inside the Pressbox WK 13 UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK *this is a Best Bet H Utah

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 116 99 9/2 26-31 L 97 79 92 86 44 55 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 101 104 9/2 21-24 L 105 128 59 88 107 990-1 0-0 112 9/9 31-10 W 97 83 92 0-1 1-0 0-0 0-0 101 97 9/9 51-31 W 109 124 59 128 95 1211-1 1-1 0-0 0-0 111 108 9/16 17-21 L 100 86 125 108 81 66 1-1 0-0 103 9/16 28-13 W 107 126 201-2 2-1 0-0 0-0 108 104 9/23 31-14 W 109 84 80 56 88 108 #84 #89 2-1 1-2 0-0 0-1 103 113 9/23 21-33 L 95 121 64 114 75 42-2 3-1 1-0 2-1 111 134 22 9/30 17-52 L 109 75 98 8 23 70 #51 #96 2-2 2-2 0-0 0-0 103 114 9/30 3-55 L 96 117 80 98 86 202-3 0-5 1-0 0-1 110 93 10/7 29-37 L 109 80 77 111 125 21 #75 #116 2-3 2-3 0-1 1-0 99 101 10/7 3-31 L 105 113 94 118 99 1272-4 1-5 1-1 0-2 105 95 10/14 14-17 L 101 85 75 130 119 77 #95 #121 2-4 0-2 95 10/14 112 109 982-5 3-4 1-2 1-2 102 108 10/21 24-14 W 100 92 89 106 116 104 #60 #118 2-4 3-4 0-2 1-2 95 102 10/21 9-56 L 121 108 99 90 87 1273-5 6-2 2-2 3-1 105 114 10/31 28-45 L 99 90 88 51 64 6 #54 #94 2-5 6-1 0-3 3-0 91 120 10/26 17-58 L 124 113 85 38 79 173-6 5-4 2-3 4-1 105 106 11/7 24-14 W 100 91 86 119 90 123 #45 #89 2-6 2-6 0-4 0-4 88 112 11/2 14-56 L 126 118 121 112 84 1254-6 3-3 105 11/11 102 92 83 #42 #104 2-7 6-3 0-5 4-1 85 116 11/9 17-63 L 126 124 125 99 40 1134-6 3-7 3-3 1-5 107 112 11/15 24-27 L 99 88 89 106 89 110 #56 #127 2-8 4-6 0-6 2-4 83 105 11/16 24-40 L 126 125 130 89 107 1064-7 2-9 3-4 0-7 107 83 11/21 103 88 84 126 124 130 #88 #47 2-9 4-7 0-7 3-4 83 107 11/21 126 124 130 103 88 84

#60 #117-4 -6

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

at Marshall 26-31 162 10 0 25 42-131 3.1 23-44 298 2 15 25-59 2.4 20-30 208 1 at Illinois 21-24 159 7 -1 21 51-171 3.4 21-34 204 3 14 30-71 2.4 10-19 145 4 Austin Peay 31-10 25 6 0 18 50-150 3.0 11-23 145 3 12 37-160 4.3 11-18 110 1 UAB 51-31 -127 0 2 24 44-160 3.6 23-35 217 0 24 49-336 6.9 15-24 168 3 Cincinnati 17-21 -70 -7 1 14 32-70 2.2 16-31 221 3 21 35-139 4.0 24-43 222 1 Tennessee Tech 28-13 111 0 -1 20 33-228 6.9 23-31 238 0 20 33-116 3.5 19-35 239 4at Central Michigan 31-14 49 1 2 20 40-177 4.4 11-19 217 2 19 38-117 3.1 20-39 228 0 at WKU 21-33 3 -5 -1 17 31-107 3.5 18-36 267 1 22 30-52 1.7 28-44 319 4at Notre Dame 17-52 -126 -2 -2 19 33-115 3.5 19-37 262 3 21 39-333 8.5 10-23 170 2 at Western Michigan 3-55 -176 -6 -2 15 30-63 2.1 23-43 175 3 21 43-169 3.9 15-21 245 0 Bowling Green 29-37 107 11 -1 37 44-238 5.4 24-43 374 0 26 41-275 6.7 12-26 230 1 at Akron 3-31 -7 3 -3 22 44-155 3.5 24-46 221 5 19 31-134 4.3 18-31 249 2at Kent St 14-17 7 7 -2 19 34-161 4.7 12-30 174 3 12 44-167 3.8 10-18 161 2 Bye Buffalo 24-14 78 2 2 16 43-172 4.0 13-20 177 0 14 25-69 2.8 17-41 202 3 Central Michigan 9-56 -247 -8 0 14 41-81 2.0 20-34 127 8 22 45-256 5.7 16-23 199 2at Ohio 28-45 5 -5 -2 21 23-98 4.3 28-51 350 1 26 36-149 4.1 21-33 294 0 Toledo 17-58 -293 0 1 16 46-204 4.4 18-37 105 3 16 34-335 9.9 8-18 267 0 Akron 24-14 147 8 -2 26 34-176 5.2 19-32 244 0 18 30-55 1.8 19-38 218 6 at Eastern Michigan 14-56 -162 -5 -1 19 41-157 3.8 11-21 169 1 24 40-225 5.6 15-22 263 1 Bye at Northern Illinois 17-63 -188 -4 0 16 43-83 1.9 19-30 162 7 20 45-222 4.9 11-24 211 2 Eastern Michigan 24-27 -62 1 0 19 38-141 3.7 22-32 251 4 18 43-185 4.3 15-27 269 1 Buffalo 24-40 -228 -8 0 18 37-194 5.2 15-29 143 2 26 39-215 5.5 16-28 350 2at Ball St Miami, OH

Average 24-26 29.3 2.9 -0.4 21 38-148 3.9 54.7% 247 5.8% 18 36-155 4.3 53.3% 210 5.4% Average 19-42 -105.0 -2.4 -0.5 18 40-146 3.6 57.2% 184 8.8% 21 38-194 5.1 59.2% 241 8.3% Conference 25-24 47.3 3.6 -0.4 23 37-166 4.5 56.8% 255 4.4% 19 37-145 4.0 51.4% 229 5.9% Conference 12-51 -185.9 -4.0 -0.7 17 40-134 3.3 54.2% 157 12.1% 21 40-222 5.6 59.3% 255 5.4% Away 23-32 19.4 2.2 -0.8 21 34-136 4.0 51.4% 260 6.1% 19 36-165 4.5 56.6% 212 3.5% Home 26-40 -156.8 -3.2 0.4 18 40-173 4.3 59.6% 166 7.8% 22 40-252 6.3 57.8% 245 8.6%

at Marshall Gus Ragland 23-44-298-2-1 Alonzo Smith 13-59-4.5-0 James Gardner 8-111-13.9-0 at Illinois Riley Neal 21-34-204-1-1 James Gilbert 19-74-3.9-1 Riley Miller 7-86-12.3-0 Austin Peay Gus Ragland 11-23-145-3-0 Alonzo Smith 22-85-3.9-0 James Gardner 5-117-23.4-2 UAB Riley Neal 23-34-217-2-0 Caleb Huntley 10-89-8.9-1 Justin Hall 8-94-11.8-1 Cincinnati Gus Ragland 16-31-221-1-1 Kenny Young 18-57-3.2-1 Luke Mayock 4-74-18.5-1 vs. Tennessee Tech Riley Neal 23-31-238-3-2 James Gilbert 11-92-8.4-0 Justin Hall 7-82-11.7-1at Central Michigan Gus Ragland 11-19-217-2-0 Kenny Young 14-91-6.5-1 Sam Martin 2-72-36.0-1 at WKU Jack Milas 18-36-267-0-2 Malik Dunner 13-57-4.4-1 Justin Hall 5-98-19.6-0at Notre Dame Gus Ragland 19-37-262-2-1 Alonzo Smith 10-66-6.6-0 James Gardner 5-115-23.0-2 at Western Michigan Jack Milas 22-40-170-0-1 Caleb Huntley 11-33-3.0-0 Justin Hall 13-121-9.3-0 Bowling Green Gus Ragland 16-26-255-2-1 Kenny Young 19-113-5.9-0 James Gardner 5-126-25.2-1 vs. at Akron Jack Milas 21-41-176-0-3 Caleb Huntley 25-129-5.2-0 Justin Hall 7-48-6.9-0at Kent St Billy Bahl 12-29-174-2-2 Alonzo Smith 14-96-6.9-0 James Gardner 3-67-22.3-1 Bye Buffalo Billy Bahl 13-20-177-0-0 Kenny Young 18-125-6.9-2 James Gardner 3-79-26.3-0 Central Michigan Jack Milas 18-30-118-0-0 Caleb Huntley 19-79-4.2-0 Markice Hurt 2-30-15.0-0at Ohio Billy Bahl 28-51-350-3-2 Alonzo Smith 10-81-8.1-1 James Gardner 10-166-16.6-3 vs. Toledo Drew Plitt 15-34-97-0-0 Caleb Huntley 24-91-3.8-0 Justin Hall 7-39-5.6-0 Akron Gus Ragland 19-32-244-3-2 Kenny Young 14-100-7.1-0 Kenny Young 9-98-10.9-1 at Eastern Michigan Drew Plitt 11-21-169-2-1 Caleb Huntley 16-75-4.7-0 Justin Hall 4-76-19.0-0 Bye at Northern Illinois Drew Plitt 9-14-89-1-0 Caleb Huntley 22-70-3.2-0 Khalil Newton 6-80-13.3-0 Eastern Michigan Gus Ragland 22-32-251-1-1 Kenny Young 13-85-6.5-2 Ryan Smith 5-73-14.6-1 vs. Buffalo Jack Milas 13-26-127-2-0 Caleb Huntley 26-141-5.4-0 Justin Hall 8-102-12.8-1at Ball St Miami, OH

vs.

Gus Ragland 137-244-1893-16-7 Kenny Young 143-772-5.4-6 James Gardner 45-899-20.0-10 Jack Milas 102-190-931-2-7 Caleb Huntley 185-844-4.6-3 Justin Hall 73-755-10.3-3Billy Bahl 61-117-820-5-4 Alonzo Smith 144-660-4.6-2 Ryan Smith 35-454-13.0-4 vs. Riley Neal 67-99-659-6-3 Malik Dunner 63-380-6.0-7 Riley Miller 27-280-10.4-1TEAM 0-1-0-0-0 Gus Ragland 70-128-1.8-3 Jared Murphy 31-347-11.2-1 Drew Plitt 37-72-371-3-2 James Gilbert 48-207-4.3-3 Antwan Davis 17-176-10.4-0

Category

2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Miami, Oh - -7.5 21 20 25-62

Ball St - 53.5 20 26 40-247 -12013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Miami, Oh - 56 14 17 51-138

Ball St - -34.5 55 22 31-140 22012 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Miami, Oh - 60.5 24 22 25-103

Ball St - -7.5 31 24 58-226 1

vs.

Comp-Att-Yds

26-40-218

11-22-137

Miami, Oh By 18Las Vegas Line

Las Vegas Total55.5 Points

0.12

Miami, Oh 39-20

Ball St Coaches0.80

Phil's Forecast:

Ball St Leaders

Miami, OH ST's Team & Margin

Ball St ST's

Miami, OH DB's

Ball St QB/WR

The visitor is 10-3 since 1995. Last year BSU led 20-14 into the 4Q. MU scored the gm deciding TD on a 27 yd pass w/5:44 left. On the ensuing KO BSU ret’d it 90 yds for a TD but was called for holding. BSU punted down 1 w/2:42 (MU ran clock out). Ball St got off to a great 2-1 start with a 3 point loss to Illinois and then lost their QB Riley Neal and star RB James Gilbert. They put up 398 ypg and 30 ppg in the first 4, but just 291 ypg and 12 pgg without them in MAC play. The offense is gaining 97 ypg less than what their opponents normally allow and the D is allowing 75 ypg more than teams avg with Ball St having a startling -186 ypg in MAC play and losing by 39 ppg. Miami has beaten the Vegas number in 10 of 15 MAC road games. They got QB Gus Ragland back two weeks ago and he was 6-1 as the starter last year and is 3-5 as a starter this year. Last week Miami blew their shot at a bowl game with a home loss to E Mich. Miami is just 3-4 in MAC games, but is +47 ypg and are +19 ypg in road games for the season and I don’t think the crowd will be too intimidating. Miami did beat CMich by 17 on the road earlier this year.

Game Grade

Miami, OH Coaches

Ball St K

Miami, OH K

Ball St Cardinals4-7 2-9OVERALL:OVERALL:

Miami, Oh by 21 Miami, Oh 41 Ball St 20By 9.44 Points

Miami, Oh By 21.3

Miami, Oh By 13.8

105

Ball St 335 yards

20 points

POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

186 yards

94Team Schedule Strength

Miami, Oh 440-335

Computer Points

Computer Yards

+/- Ratings

Phil Steele96 Miami, OH Ball St

Projected Rushing

Ball St RB's0.64

Miami, OH LB'S

2.85

11-27-143

27-33-445 Miami, OH Ball St

Ret

urn

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Tab

le o

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onte

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Projected Box ScoreComp-Att-Yds

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

Miami, OH

Projected Passing253 yards

2 Miami, OH Ball St

TM CONF FOE CONF TM +/-

Cincinnati

at Notre Dame

FOE

Bal

l St

Car

din

als

Miami, OH QB/WR

2.22

Ypg Diff

Projected Final Score440 yards Miami, OH

Miami, OH

Score

1.46

Ball St LB's

Miami, OH RB's

at Marshall

at Ohio

9.56

Miami, OH Pts

Experience RankingsBall St

Ball St Pts

Ball St DL

22-34-188

Comp-Att-Yds 188 yards Miami, OH

Receiving

Ball StPassing RushingPosition by Position Edges

NCAA RANKINGS FOE

TEAM --PS RANK-- APTM +/-

FOE 3-4

Defense

TM CONF--PS RANK-- FOETEAM

Tennessee Techat WKU

UAB

FOE +/-FOE CONF0-7

TM REC

2017 TEAM RANKINGS at Illinois

Central MichiganRush Def Toledo

at Western Michiganat Akron

FOE REC

vs. MAC vs. MAC Cardinals Logs

Miami, OH RedhawksRedhawks Logs

TM REC FOE REC

Buffalo Sks Allowed

Bowling Green Total Offat Kent St Score Off Bye

Austin PeayMiami, OH

at Central Michigan Rush Off

Ball St

Pass Off

Net OffenseDefense

Total TO's

Eastern Michigan Score Def Buffaloat Ball St Sks By Miami, OH

Akron Pass Def at Eastern Michigan Bye Total Def at Northern Illinois

Mia

mi,

OH

Red

haw

ks

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

Rushing Receiving

Ball St DB's

Score

0.35

Miami, OH OL

Miami, OH DL

0.24

0.12

Ball St OL

1.00

By Game Yardage Leaders

Miami, OH

149 yards

Projected Yardage Total

Ball St

39 points

26-35-380

FOE +/-AP

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing

Miami, OH Leaders

OffenseNet

Page 5: Phil Steele’s Inside the Pressboxplus.philsteele.com/inside_the_pressbox/2017/College/...Phil Steele’s Inside the Pressbox WK 13 UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK *this is a Best Bet H Utah

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 116 96 9/2 47-27 W 28 37 21 121 96 96 0-0 0-0 117 9/2 49-0 W 36 45 1071-0 0-0 117 9/9 45-23 W 23 44 21 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 121 113 9/9 57-21 W 34 34 107 69 87 442-0 2-0 0-0 0-0 117 116 9/16 16-27 L 19 47 5 68 63 61 2-0 2-0 0-0 0-0 125 132 12 9/16 37-7 W 27 28 72 21 3 182-1 0-0 114 9/23 25 40 34 #98 #17 3-0 3-0 1-0 0-0 130 127 17 11 9/23 3-31 L 20 19 69 19 7 582-1 4-0 0-0 1-0 114 145 1 9/30 3-66 L 25 38 26 1 1 24 #7 #110 3-1 3-1 1-1 1-0 125 130 24 13 9/30 10-49 L 22 21 58 21 7 132-2 4-1 0-1 2-0 110 134 12 10/7 23-44 L 36 57 70 19 5 28 #20 #52 3-2 1-2 121 10/7 30 29 592-3 3-3 0-2 0-3 111 116 10/14 57-35 W 33 63 70 95 39 113 #37 #39 3-2 1-5 1-2 0-3 121 102 10/14 35-10 W 34 33 24 124 73 913-3 5-2 1-2 2-1 116 127 24 10/21 24-40 L 23 66 75 30 12 49 #101 #4 4-2 5-1 1-2 2-1 121 117 10/21 45-7 W 24 33 29 78 39 113-4 2-5 1-3 0-4 115 109 10/28 37-38 L 24 76 39 41 78 87 #124 #24 5-2 5-2 2-2 3-1 125 125 10/28 35-14 W 21 30 21 34 23 23-5 6-2 1-4 3-2 112 113 11/4 37-34 W 18 78 51 80 51 19 #54 #9 6-2 2-6 3-2 0-1 130 108 21 11/4 34-23 W 23 21 34 73 94 1244-5 4-4 2-4 3-2 114 99 11/11 50-22 W 15 83 36 100 106 67 #114 #9 7-2 9-0 3-2 6-0 127 143 18 1 11/11 24-31 L 23 20 23 2 1 215-5 6-4 2-4 3-3 116 121 11/18 24-31 L 15 77 33 39 24 4 #113 #20 7-3 4-6 3-3 1-5 128 108 17 11/18 28-21 W 22 20 23 36 87 915-6 8-3 2-5 4-3 115 127 16 11/23 15 71 38 24 20 37 #34 #34 8-3 5-6 4-3 2-5 127 115 16 11/23 24 20 37 15 71 38

#67 #17-8 +1

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

South Alabama 47-27 157 -2 -1 23 29-102 3.5 28-35 429 2 25 37-170 4.6 19-31 204 1 Charleston Southern 49-0 522 27 0 29 50-281 5.6 20-36 274 0 2 39-18 0.5 3-8 15 1 UT Martin 45-23 209 10 0 24 18-54 3.0 32-43 489 1 14 44-219 5.0 10-17 115 1 at Louisiana Tech 57-21 144 1 2 21 40-327 8.2 13-20 132 0 20 50-152 3.0 13-30 163 4at California 16-27 17 -6 -1 19 29-53 1.8 26-44 363 5 25 40-163 4.1 24-48 236 1 LSU 37-7 195 12 0 25 48-285 5.9 15-23 180 1 13 29-133 4.6 13-29 137 2 Bye at Georgia 3-31 -124 0 -1 15 37-177 4.8 15-33 103 0 15 42-203 4.8 9-12 201 0at Alabama 3-66 -360 -15 -2 11 26-88 3.4 14-29 165 5 26 51-365 7.2 15-24 248 0 at Auburn 10-49 -160 4 0 18 47-194 4.1 13-37 157 2 14 39-244 6.3 14-17 267 2at Auburn 23-44 -132 -2 0 23 30-83 2.8 34-51 346 1 25 51-326 6.4 14-21 235 1 Bye Vanderbilt 57-35 186 6 2 27 41-252 6.1 22-35 351 2 21 37-188 5.1 18-37 229 7 BYU 35-10 370 27 -1 35 53-306 5.8 20-31 240 0 8 17-29 1.7 17-29 147 1 LSU 24-40 -246 -5 -3 21 28-153 5.5 17-34 194 3 26 55-393 7.1 9-13 200 3 Kentucky 45-7 181 11 2 25 48-282 5.9 19-27 159 0 14 29-115 4.0 14-30 145 3 Arkansas 37-38 112 -5 -1 22 29-198 6.8 20-30 368 1 27 53-265 5.0 19-30 189 4 at Texas A&M 35-14 84 4 2 19 52-228 4.4 12-21 141 2 15 28-96 3.4 16-41 189 3at Kentucky 37-34 18 2 0 25 26-91 3.5 31-41 382 3 23 45-219 4.9 20-25 236 4 UMass 34-23 43 9 -2 21 45-254 5.6 14-26 139 0 12 32-127 4.0 15-28 223 1 Louisiana 50-22 214 9 -1 30 43-223 5.2 28-36 418 2 21 31-228 7.4 18-35 199 3 Alabama 24-31 -114 3 0 22 49-172 3.5 13-24 158 1 19 38-202 5.3 10-19 242 5 Texas A&M 24-31 0 1 -1 19 39-202 5.2 19-34 189 3 18 44-119 2.7 19-32 272 1 at Arkansas 28-21 127 7 -1 19 48-195 4.1 12-23 153 2 12 34-97 2.9 12-18 124 4at Miss St Mississippi

Average 33-35 15.9 -0.6 -0.7 22 31-136 4.4 65.8% 336 6.8% 23 44-241 5.4 59.1% 215 8.3% Average 32-19 115.3 9.5 0.1 23 47-246 5.2 55.1% 167 2.7% 13 34-129 3.8 52.1% 168 10.0% Conference 29-41 -60.3 -2.6 -0.7 21 31-152 4.9 61.8% 285 7.1% 24 48-268 5.6 62.6% 230 11.0% Conference 26-23 27.0 5.9 0.3 20 47-219 4.7 52.7% 150 4.3% 15 34-156 4.6 53.0% 186 11.4% Away 20-43 -114.3 -5.3 -0.8 20 28-79 2.8 63.6% 314 8.5% 25 47-268 5.7 61.9% 239 5.1% Home 37-13 199.5 14.8 -0.2 26 49-263 5.4 60.5% 192 1.2% 11 31-104 3.4 50.3% 152 9.1%

South Alabama Shea Patterson 28-35-429-4-0 D'Vaughn Pennamon 7-34-4.9-1 A.J Brown 8-233-29.1-2 Charleston Southern Nick Fitzgerald 16-29-239-2-0 Aeris Williams 16-83-5.2-1 Farrod Green 2-68-34.0-0 UT Martin Shea Patterson 32-43-489-5-1 Jordan Wilkins 9-36-4.0-1 A.J Brown 8-156-19.5-2 at Louisiana Tech Nick Fitzgerald 12-18-124-3-1 Nick Fitzgerald 10-111-11.1-2 Aeris Williams 1-28-28.0-0at California Shea Patterson 26-44-363-2-3 Jordan Wilkins 11-38-3.5-0 D.K Metcalf 3-125-41.7-1 vs. LSU Nick Fitzgerald 15-23-180-2-0 Aeris Williams 23-146-6.3-0 Keith Mixon 6-97-16.2-1 Bye at Georgia Nick Fitzgerald 14-29-83-0-2 Nick Gibson 5-52-10.4-0 Deddrick Thomas 2-41-20.5-0at Alabama Shea Patterson 14-29-165-0-2 Jordan Wilkins 12-101-8.4-0 DaMarkus Lodge 2-72-36.0-0 at Auburn Nick Fitzgerald 13-33-157-1-2 Nick Fitzgerald 13-56-4.3-0 Jamal Couch 2-60-30.0-0at Auburn Shea Patterson 34-51-346-2-0 Jordan Wilkins 13-65-5.0-1 A.J Brown 10-109-10.9-0 vs. Bye Vanderbilt Shea Patterson 22-35-351-4-0 Jordan Wilkins 18-113-6.3-1 A.J Brown 8-174-21.8-2 BYU Nick Fitzgerald 19-30-241-2-2 Aeris Williams 23-114-5.0-1 Keith Mixon 5-69-13.8-0 LSU Shea Patterson 10-23-116-0-3 Jordan Wilkins 13-86-6.6-1 Dawson Knox 5-72-14.4-0 Kentucky Nick Fitzgerald 18-26-155-1-0 Nick Fitzgerald 12-115-9.6-2 Donald Gray 6-51-8.5-0 Arkansas Jordan Ta'amu 20-30-368-0-1 Jordan Wilkins 16-118-7.4-1 D.K Metcalf 4-107-26.8-0 vs. at Texas A&M Nick Fitzgerald 12-21-141-2-1 Nick Fitzgerald 18-105-5.8-1 Farrod Green 3-51-17.0-0at Kentucky Jordan Ta'amu 31-40-382-4-0 Jordan Wilkins 8-44-5.5-0 D.K Metcalf 5-83-16.6-2 UMass Nick Fitzgerald 14-25-139-0-2 Nick Fitzgerald 17-135-7.9-2 Jesse Jackson 4-36-9.0-0 Louisiana Jordan Ta'amu 28-36-418-3-1 Jordan Wilkins 14-124-8.9-1 A.J Brown 14-185-13.2-2 Alabama Nick Fitzgerald 13-24-158-0-0 Aeris Williams 22-97-4.4-2 Deddrick Thomas 2-30-15.0-0 Texas A&M Jordan Ta'amu 19-34-189-2-1 Jordan Wilkins 19-147-7.7-1 A.J Brown 7-70-10.0-1 vs. at Arkansas Nick Fitzgerald 12-23-153-2-0 Nick Fitzgerald 22-101-4.6-1 Reggie Todd 3-50-16.7-1at Miss St Mississippi

vs.

Shea Patterson 166-260-2259-17-9 Jordan Wilkins 141-901-6.4-7 A.J Brown 69-1085-15.7-10 Nick Fitzgerald 158-281-1770-15-10 Nick Fitzgerald 159-968-6.1-14 Keith Mixon 18-275-15.3-1Jordan Ta'amu 105-151-1435-9-3 D'Vaughn Pennamon 53-217-4.1-2 DaMarkus Lodge 40-690-17.3-7 vs. Keytaon Thompson 8-19-66-1-0 Aeris Williams 204-944-4.6-5 Donald Gray 24-214-8.9-3TEAM 0-1-0-0-0 Eric Swinney 36-186-5.2-3 D.K Metcalf 37-579-15.6-6 Reggie Todd 0-1-0-0-1 Kylin Hill 57-282-4.9-1 Deddrick Thomas 16-201-12.6-3

Category

2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Mississippi - -10 20 31 38-208

Mississippi St - 69 55 23 47-457 12015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Mississippi 19 -1.5 38 26 37-243

Mississippi St 23 64 27 21 34-148 -22014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Mississippi 18 49 31 15 31-205

Mississippi St 4 -3 17 21 47-163 12013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Mississippi - -4 10 17 35-117

Mississippi St - 53.5 17 23 43-99 22012 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's

Mississippi - -1 41 28 56-233

Mississippi St 25 54.5 24 17 25-30 1

Mississippi Coaches

Miss St Coaches

Projected Rushing

Projected Box Score

Miss St

Mississippi Miss St 539 yards

Mississippi 42 points

Team Schedule StrengthMississippi Miss St

Miss St

63

106

24 points

370 yardsProjected Final Score

TM REC FOE REC TM CONF

FOE CONF

Arkansasat Kentucky Louisiana Texas A&M

Mississippi Pts

Miss St Pts

Phil's Forecast:

Mississippi

Miss St Leaders

Last year Miss St eliminated Ole Miss from bowl eligibility going on the road and winning 55-20. The home team had been 14-2 even though the teams are just 95 miles apart, but the visitor has won the last 2 with Ole Miss winning here 38-27 in ‘15. The Rebels have a self-imposed bowl ban so this is their bowl game. Miss St was in a letdown spot last week and trailed almost the entire game vs Arkansas, but won by 7 holding the Hogs to a season low 221 yards. They are at their best when they can run the ball and Ole Miss allows 268 ypg and 5.6 ypc rush in SEC play. Ole Miss does have QB Jordan Ta’amu who has thrown for 339 ypg in his 4 starts. Miss St is +200 ypg in home games winning by 24 ppg and Ole Miss is -114 ypg in road games losing by an average of 23 ppg.

0.71

Mississippi OL0.76

1.12

OffenseNet

Passing Rushing

Defense

Receiving

1.75

Miss St DLMississippi DL

Mississippi ST's

Miss St ST's

Miss St OL

Mississippi QB/WR

Miss St DB's

Phil Steele

1.76

Mississippi K

Miss St K

--PS RANK--TM REC

FOE

FOETM +/- FOE +/-

AP TEAMTM CONF FOE CONF

Pass Def

Score

Projected Yardage Total

Projected Passing89 yards

Team & Margin

202 yards

By Game Yardage Leaders

Mississippi DB's

Miss St

4-32-5

at Auburn Bye BYU Kentucky

Charleston Southernat Louisiana Tech LSUat Georgia

Mississippi

14-31-327

282 yardsComp-Att-Yds

31-42-254

NCAA RANKINGS2017 TEAM RANKINGS

Mississippi

Rush Off

Miss St

Pass Off

21-30-236

Comp-Att-Yds

27-48-320

8-17-109

Comp-Att-Yds

at Miss St

Ret

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to

Tab

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onte

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37

2.00

Mississippi

Miss St

7.15

86Experience Rankings

Mississippi 337 yards

Mississippi Miss St

0.04

Miss St LB's

at Auburn Vanderbilt LSU

South Alabama UT Martinat California Bye

5-6vs. SEC

Rush Def

Score OffTotal Off

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

Mis

siss

ipp

i Reb

els

Mis

s S

t B

ulld

ogs

Ypg DiffTotal TO's

Score DefSks By

Sks Allowed

Total Def

Receiving

Mississippi Leaders

+/- Ratings

Las Vegas Line

Las Vegas Total

15-22-294

21-39-303

Miss St BulldogsBulldogs LogsRebels Logs

OVERALL: OVERALL:

FOE REC--PS RANK--

TM +/-

8-3vs. SEC

TEAMFOE +/-

AP

FOE

FOE

Mississippi Rebels

Miss St by 14

0.01

Mississippi LB'S

Miss St By 14.5

65.5 Points

Miss St By 16.3

at Alabama

Mississippi St 41 Mississippi 27

Miss St 42-24

By 5.39 Points

Miss St

Computer PointsPOSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

at Texas A&M UMass Alabamaat Arkansas

28-43-201

19-39-197

Comp-Att-Yds

Position by Position Edges

Miss St QB/WR

1.53

Mississippi RB's

22-37-282

Comp-Att-Yds

Miss St By 18.4

Miss St 539-370

Game Grade

Computer Yards

Miss St RB's

1.00

Offense Defense

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

RushingPassing

Net

Score

By Game Yardage Leaders

Page 6: Phil Steele’s Inside the Pressboxplus.philsteele.com/inside_the_pressbox/2017/College/...Phil Steele’s Inside the Pressbox WK 13 UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK *this is a Best Bet H Utah

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 119 9/2 45-48 L 20 38 45 0-0 0-0 123 9/2 63-0 W 13 15 260-1 0-0 0-0 0-0 115 111 9/9 10-17 L 17 53 45 116 88 57 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 126 120 23 9/9 28-7 W 10 15 26 21 45 1020-2 2-0 0-0 0-0 112 127 9/16 20-34 L 24 68 73 44 37 113 2-0 2-0 0-0 0-0 129 113 20 9/16 56-36 W 13 10 39 36 91 1240-3 3-0 0-0 0-0 112 143 3 9/23 41-49 L 39 76 20 5 14 42 #111 #41 3-0 3-0 0-0 0-0 129 141 16 6 9/23 44-31 W 11 12 41 2 34 830-4 2-1 0-1 0-0 116 129 9/30 20-33 L 34 83 19 33 57 1 #27 #67 4-0 1-0 134 9 9/30 12 12 160-5 0-2 116 10/7 37 84 31 #60 #48 4-0 3-1 1-0 1-0 134 120 8 23 10/7 31-24 W 12 14 15 10 64 950-5 4-1 0-2 1-1 116 136 14 10/14 16-59 L 43 82 41 6 27 85 #94 #35 5-0 3-2 2-0 1-1 132 127 6 10/14 26-6 W 12 16 17 36 46 10-6 4-2 0-3 2-1 112 125 23 10/21 36-38 L 52 93 35 11 69 96 #97 #13 6-0 1-5 3-0 0-3 135 95 4 10/21 43-0 W 18 13 23 89 118 640-7 3-4 0-4 2-2 113 130 10/28 7-38 L 54 99 28 28 15 20 #101 #3 7-0 5-2 4-0 3-1 135 130 4 25 10/28 7-14 L 18 9 18 64 39 550-8 1-7 0-5 0-5 110 98 11/4 38-9 W 65 101 16 104 115 109 #113 #68 7-1 4-4 4-1 3-2 133 133 10 11/4 24-7 W 20 7 15 29 13 331-8 4-5 1-5 1-5 114 117 11/11 24-38 L 74 91 52 21 77 112 #116 #14 8-1 8-1 5-1 5-1 135 138 8 5 11/11 20-38 L 19 4 28 3 32 931-9 6-4 1-6 4-3 112 129 11/18 13-23 L 65 90 64 70 45 72 #111 #7 8-2 5-5 5-2 2-5 133 119 11 11/18 27-3 W 21 8 32 24 78 921-10 9-2 1-7 6-2 112 136 10 11/24 70 89 64 22 8 16 #76 #14 9-2 1-10 6-2 1-7 136 112 10 11/24 22 8 16 70 89 64

#99 #19-11 +3

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

Liberty 45-48 -53 -9 -2 22 34-254 7.5 14-30 278 0 31 43-138 3.2 44-60 447 1 Jackson St 63-0 477 17 1 24 36-242 6.7 23-30 300 0 7 42-24 0.6 7-14 41 5 UTSA 10-17 -101 -6 0 14 31-137 4.4 11-27 137 3 20 45-220 4.9 15-20 155 3 at Arkansas 28-7 94 11 -1 24 42-195 4.6 21-31 166 1 13 31-129 4.2 9-23 138 3at Duke 20-34 -110 -15 -2 9 27-57 2.1 12-34 263 3 24 51-246 4.8 20-35 184 5 SMU 56-36 156 11 -1 30 49-254 5.2 24-30 365 3 19 30-124 4.1 18-38 339 0 Oklahoma 41-49 -102 2 0 22 35-60 1.7 33-50 463 3 20 40-342 8.6 13-19 283 2 at Oklahoma St 44-31 -33 6 3 32 52-238 4.6 22-33 228 1 26 31-101 3.3 22-42 398 3at Kansas St 20-33 31 -1 -1 18 27-84 3.1 26-44 291 3 19 43-225 5.2 7-17 119 0 Bye Bye West Virginia 31-24 -102 -12 2 16 36-170 4.7 16-29 236 0 28 39-142 3.6 25-45 366 2at Oklahoma St 16-59 -360 -7 -1 22 46-219 4.8 14-36 168 1 29 38-276 7.3 20-33 471 0 at Kansas St 26-6 179 7 0 17 36-98 2.7 27-37 297 1 10 29-70 2.4 11-30 146 2 West Virginia 36-38 4 7 0 30 42-127 3.0 24-40 370 6 23 29-118 4.1 26-37 375 1 Kansas 43-0 454 18 0 22 42-191 4.5 20-28 284 1 4 31--25 -0.8 8-18 46 4 Texas 7-38 -178 -7 -2 12 37-31 0.8 21-38 218 3 19 35-171 4.9 27-36 256 3 at Iowa St 7-14 52 -3 -2 14 34-172 5.1 12-25 135 0 17 33-53 1.6 21-35 202 2at Kansas 38-9 166 5 2 20 39-120 3.1 24-30 335 2 15 33-126 3.8 19-36 163 3 Texas 24-7 80 3 0 17 46-177 3.8 19-27 166 2 14 26-9 0.3 21-44 254 7† Texas Tech 24-38 186 13 -3 31 29-106 3.7 43-63 417 1 18 30-91 3.0 24-29 246 2 at Oklahoma 20-38 -109 -2 0 19 32-155 4.8 14-29 269 2 21 41-200 4.9 18-27 333 1 Iowa St 13-23 -63 4 -2 25 38-133 3.5 26-36 198 2 21 40-214 5.4 14-28 180 0 at Texas Tech 27-3 -38 -4 1 17 42-204 4.9 6-17 85 1 21 41-174 4.2 18-36 153 3at TCU Baylor

Average 25-35 -52.7 -1.3 -1.0 20 35-121 3.4 57.9% 285 6.3% 22 39-197 5.1 65.4% 262 5.7% Average 34-15 110.0 4.7 0.3 21 41-191 4.7 64.6% 230 3.8% 16 34-91 2.7 50.6% 220 9.1% Conference 24-36 -39.5 2.0 -0.9 23 37-110 3.0 62.6% 308 6.2% 21 36-195 5.4 63.8% 262 4.7% Conference 28-15 60.4 1.6 0.5 19 40-176 4.4 60.4% 213 3.6% 18 34-91 2.7 52.0% 237 8.7% Away 24-35 -17.4 -1.0 -1.0 20 34-117 3.5 57.5% 295 4.8% 21 39-193 4.9 60.0% 237 6.7% Home 43-13 213.0 7.4 0.4 22 42-207 4.9 70.8% 270 4.2% 14 34-55 1.6 49.7% 209 11.3%

Liberty Anu Solomon 14-29-278-3-1 Anu Solomon 6-97-16.2-0 Chris Platt 3-102-34.0-2 Jackson St Kenny Hill 18-23-206-4-1 Darius Anderson 13-67-5.2-0 TreVontae Hights 1-56-56.0-1 UTSA Anu Solomon 10-26-121-1-1 John Levett 18-72-4.0-0 Denzel Mims 3-62-20.7-1 at Arkansas Kenny Hill 21-31-166-0-1 Darius Anderson 15-106-7.1-1 John Diarse 4-36-9.0-0at Duke Zach Smith 12-34-263-3-3 Dru Dixon 9-28-3.1-0 Chris Platt 4-148-37.0-2 vs. SMU Kenny Hill 24-30-365-4-0 Darius Anderson 14-89-6.4-2 KaVontae Turpin 7-88-12.6-1 Oklahoma Zach Smith 33-50-463-4-0 John Levett 13-44-3.4-0 Denzel Mims 11-192-17.5-3 at Oklahoma St Kenny Hill 22-33-228-1-1 Darius Anderson 26-160-6.2-3 Jaelan Austin 1-43-43.0-0at Kansas St Zach Smith 26-44-291-1-1 John Levett 7-95-13.6-1 Denzel Mims 7-127-18.1-1 Bye Bye vs. West Virginia Kenny Hill 15-28-188-1-0 Kyle Hicks 11-71-6.5-0 John Diarse 4-70-17.5-0at Oklahoma St Zach Smith 11-28-127-0-1 Terence Williams 10-95-9.5-0 Tony Nicholson 4-57-14.3-0 at Kansas St Kenny Hill 27-37-297-0-0 Kyle Hicks 16-58-3.6-0 KaVontae Turpin 5-70-14.0-0 West Virginia Zach Smith 16-27-261-0-0 Trestan Ebner 3-54-18.0-1 Denzel Mims 7-132-18.9-0 Kansas Kenny Hill 19-26-278-5-0 Darius Anderson 12-62-5.2-0 John Diarse 4-130-32.5-1 Texas Charlie Brewer 17-27-181-0-0 Terence Williams 7-29-4.1-0 Blake Lynch 2-51-25.5-0 vs. at Iowa St Kenny Hill 12-25-135-0-2 Darius Anderson 12-95-7.9-0 Jaelan Austin 3-39-13.0-0at Kansas Charlie Brewer 23-29-315-3-0 Terence Williams 23-62-2.7-1 Denzel Mims 5-122-24.4-0 Texas Kenny Hill 18-26-146-0-0 Darius Anderson 18-99-5.5-1 John Diarse 2-37-18.5-0† Texas Tech Charlie Brewer 43-63-417-3-1 JaMycal Hasty 13-73-5.6-0 Denzel Mims 12-152-12.7-1 at Oklahoma Kenny Hill 13-28-270-1-0 Darius Anderson 7-42-6.0-1 Kyle Hicks 3-71-23.7-1 Iowa St Charlie Brewer 26-36-198-1-1 JaMycal Hasty 17-86-5.1-0 Denzel Mims 4-60-15.0-0 vs. at Texas Tech Shawn Robinson 6-17-85-1-0 Shawn Robinson 10-84-8.4-0 Sewo Olonilua 1-28-28.0-0at TCU Baylor

vs.

Zach Smith 103-196-1458-8-7 John Levett 97-440-4.5-5 Denzel Mims 59-1061-18.0-8 Kenny Hill 189-287-2279-16-5 Darius Anderson 128-768-6.0-8 John Diarse 27-460-17.0-2Charlie Brewer 120-175-1261-9-3 JaMycal Hasty 67-305-4.6-1 Pooh Stricklin 32-414-12.9-1 vs. Shawn Robinson 13-27-184-3-0 Kyle Hicks 115-554-4.8-3 KaVontae Turpin 32-343-10.7-1Anu Solomon 24-55-399-4-2 Terence Williams 72-253-3.5-1 Chris Platt 16-401-25.1-5 KaVontae Turpin 2-2-68-1-0 Sewo Olonilua 47-200-4.3-6 Jalen Reagor 22-338-15.4-5

Category

2013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Baylor 13 -8 22 19 45-133

TCU - 67.5 62 34 59-431 12012 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Baylor 7 75.5 21 21 71-273

TCU 15 -1 28 15 46-154 32011 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Baylor 5 -7.5 61 39 54-272

TCU 9 64 58 23 41-139 22010 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Baylor 9 -13.5 41 21 52-164

TCU - 65 38 23 33-122 -32009 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's

Baylor - -7 21 21 32-106

TCU - 68 49 29 57-248 6

Tcu 475-268

TCU Leaders

Net

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) Projected Box ScoreBaylor ST's

1.68

TCU ST's

Baylor Leaders

Ret

urn

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Tab

le o

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onte

nts

52 yards Baylor

Phil SteeleTCU by 21

Team & Margin

Team Schedule Strength

Offense

Passing

Las Vegas LineTcu By 24.5

0.51

Baylor RB'sTCU DB's

Net Defense

Bay

lor

Bea

rs

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

Ypg Diff

By Game Yardage Leaders

TCU

Hor

ned

Fro

gs

Baylor TCU

Offense

Total TO's

Baylor QB/WR

1.93

TCU LB's

TCU DL

TCU RB's

at Arkansasat Duke SMU

Iowa St Score Def at Texas Techat TCU Sks By Baylor

at Kansas Pass Def Texas† Texas Tech Total Def at Oklahoma

West Virginia Sks Allowed Kansas Texas Rush Def at Iowa St

Baylor OL

Baylor DL

TCU OL

FOE +/-AP

FOE FOE

TEAM

TCU Horned FrogsBears Logs vs. BIG 12 vs. BIG 12 Horned Frogs Logs

FOE CONF TM +/- FOE +/-AP FOETM

CONF TM CONF--PS RANK--FOE

CONF TM +/- FOE REC1-7 6-2FOE

TM RECNCAA RANKINGS

ReceivingPassing Rushing

Defense

Score Score

Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage LeadersRushing Receiving

TEAM --PS RANK--TM REC FOE REC

Bye Total Off West Virginiaat Oklahoma St Score Off at Kansas St

Oklahoma Rush Off at Oklahoma Stat Kansas St Pass Off Bye

Liberty 2017 TEAM RANKINGS Jackson St UTSA

Baylor TCU

Baylor TCU 240 yards

TCU 235 yards 0.18

Baylor K

TCU KBaylor Coaches

TCU

Projected Rushing

475 yards

Projected Passing216 yards

TCU Coaches1.90

268 yards BaylorProjected Yardage Total

Baylor 37 points

POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

Projected Final Score0.187 points TCU

Experience Rankings

23 Baylor TCU 31

101

22-30-261

21-47-288

Comp-Att-Yds

15-23-326

Baylor 3TCUComputer Points

Computer YardsBaylor Pts

12.68

TCU

Baylor is on their 3rd road game in 4 weeks and playing on a short week the Friday after Thanksgiving. Last year at home BU did lead 7-0 after an 81 yd TD pass, but TCU had a 48-14 advantage into 4Q and won 62-22. TCU needs to win by 1 point or more to get to the Big 12 Title game next week. QB Kenny Hill sat out vs TCU and while the Frogs rolled 27-3 they were outgained 327-289 and Shawn Robinson hit just 6-17-85. If Hill plays it may not be for the full game once it is secured. Baylor played a solid game last week vs Iowa St as in the 4Q they were down 7 and had a 1st and goal at the ISU 2, but fumbled and ended up losing by 10. Charlie Brewer is their 3rd starting QB this year and is hitting 69% with a 9-3 ratio. TCU has the best defense in the Big 12 holding foes to 140 ypg below their season average and has not allowed a point in the 2nd half of five straight games. Hill is probable, but with that title game next week they may not win by as much as my computer has forecasted.

Phil's Forecast:

51 Points

+/- RatingsTcu By 28.5

Game GradeTcu By 25.3

TCU Pts

2.07

1.50

Las Vegas Total

Baylor LB'S

1.84

TCU QB/WR

1.25

Baylor DB's

Tcu 37-7

TCU 34 Baylor 13By 12.50 Points

OVERALL:

1-10 9-2Baylor Bears OVERALL:

28-55-510

22-48-346

Comp-Att-Yds

19-38-206

Comp-Att-Yds

22-43-282

18-31-257

Comp-Att-Yds

7-24-62

18-33-148

Comp-Att-Yds

Page 7: Phil Steele’s Inside the Pressboxplus.philsteele.com/inside_the_pressbox/2017/College/...Phil Steele’s Inside the Pressbox WK 13 UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK *this is a Best Bet H Utah

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 118 137 4 9/2 31-49 L 106 59 85 5 6 25 0-0 0-0 112 8/31 47-13 W 44 91 560-1 1-0 0-0 0-0 119 115 9/9 14-28 L 108 72 85 58 35 118 1-0 0-1 0-0 0-0 114 110 9/9 37-24 W 49 73 56 112 113 1090-2 1-1 0-0 0-0 115 100 9/16 37-28 W 119 84 29 113 124 59 2-0 1-1 0-0 0-0 116 116 9/16 54-51 W 54 75 16 43 117 851-2 0-0 114 9/23 49-14 W 117 91 27 #23 #24 3-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 116 131 14 9/23 30-52 L 47 85 26 9 21 122-2 2-2 0-0 0-0 114 103 9/30 55-3 W 98 86 20 96 117 80 #114 #23 3-1 0-0 116 9/30 51 97 223-2 3-2 1-0 1-0 118 107 10/7 71-68 W 94 79 23 95 107 124 #67 #7 3-1 2-2 0-0 0-1 116 109 10/7 20-15 W 50 103 22 112 73 794-2 3-3 2-0 2-0 117 105 10/14 13-14 L 82 78 7 114 90 123 #22 #12 4-1 3-3 1-0 1-1 115 104 10/14 30-10 W 53 96 26 81 89 1304-3 2-4 2-1 0-2 113 111 10/21 20-17 W 70 75 15 116 78 105 #60 #37 5-1 4-3 2-0 3-0 117 109 10/21 48-21 W 53 82 36 119 79 1225-3 3-1 114 10/28 63 69 9 #56 #79 6-1 2-5 3-0 0-3 120 91 10/26 58-17 W 38 79 17 124 113 855-3 4-4 3-1 2-2 114 106 11/1 28-35 L 57 67 8 92 70 126 #56 #44 7-1 6-2 4-0 4-0 123 116 11/2 27-17 W 33 72 5 94 37 1205-4 2-7 3-2 1-4 110 89 11/8 48-20 W 77 70 8 129 108 105 #48 #60 8-1 7-2 5-0 4-1 123 114 11/8 10-38 L 28 69 7 46 66 76-4 7-3 4-2 5-1 110 118 11/15 31-35 L 79 69 7 90 36 76 #81 #65 8-2 2-8 5-1 2-4 118 98 11/15 66-37 W 34 81 8 100 123 116-5 9-2 4-3 6-1 111 120 11/24 85 69 21 30 75 10 #83 #96 9-2 6-5 6-1 4-3 120 111 11/24 30 75 10 85 69 21

#61 #15+9 +7

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

at USC 31-49 -164 -1 1 24 48-263 5.5 12-23 94 1 25 34-232 6.8 23-33 289 2 Elon 47-13 378 18 -1 25 41-239 5.8 19-34 314 2 7 40-128 3.2 3-14 47 1at Michigan St 14-28 -262 -10 1 11 36-116 3.2 12-27 79 4 21 49-296 6.0 13-21 161 2 at Nevada 37-24 40 6 2 28 60-194 3.2 19-27 232 0 22 24-109 4.5 19-37 277 1 Idaho 37-28 -52 5 2 20 42-135 3.2 21-31 212 2 15 34-170 5.0 16-26 229 4 Tulsa 54-51 131 0 -1 29 33-221 6.7 22-33 458 1 29 68-423 6.2 12-20 125 2 Wagner 49-14 414 12 -1 23 51-362 7.1 11-12 165 0 11 35-56 1.6 8-16 57 2 at Miami, Fl 30-52 -158 -4 0 23 34-85 2.5 29-50 344 4 27 26-254 9.8 27-36 333 2 Ball St 55-3 176 6 2 21 43-169 3.9 15-21 245 0 15 30-63 2.1 23-43 175 3 Byeat Buffalo 71-68 -38 3 0 33 68-376 5.5 24-31 269 1 30 33-86 2.6 35-61 597 0 Eastern Michigan 20-15 93 3 2 24 42-130 3.1 23-34 289 4 21 23-73 3.2 24-40 253 0 Akron 13-14 211 12 0 26 53-244 4.6 17-29 182 2 14 31-88 2.8 13-24 127 2 at Central Michigan 30-10 155 5 2 17 56-310 5.5 10-18 89 1 12 21-62 3.0 17-38 182 0at Eastern Michigan 20-17 -37 -2 1 25 42-220 5.2 18-27 202 1 27 37-151 4.1 28-44 308 0 Akron 48-21 293 12 1 35 43-303 7.0 18-28 323 0 23 24-42 1.8 23-40 291 1 Bye at Ball St 58-17 293 0 -1 16 34-335 9.9 8-18 267 0 16 46-204 4.4 18-37 105 3 Central Michigan 28-35 -50 2 -2 17 54-315 5.8 6-18 42 3 15 35-164 4.7 12-31 243 1 Northern Illinois 27-17 97 -2 1 23 40-166 4.2 23-31 361 1 25 40-185 4.6 24-44 245 2 Kent St 48-20 108 6 3 18 50-292 5.8 8-19 97 2 12 37-162 4.4 13-24 119 3 at Ohio 10-38 -216 -9 1 14 23-53 2.3 24-35 263 4 23 56-393 7.0 7-15 139 1at Northern Illinois 31-35 9 0 2 17 44-110 2.5 15-27 211 5 17 49-248 5.1 6-11 64 0 at Bowling Green 66-37 248 12 1 32 53-389 7.3 14-20 248 0 20 32-80 2.5 18-31 309 4at Toledo Western Michigan

Average 36-28 28.6 3.0 0.8 21 48-237 4.9 60.0% 163 7.9% 18 37-156 4.2 56.9% 215 5.7% Average 39-27 123.1 3.7 0.6 24 42-220 5.3 63.7% 290 5.2% 20 36-178 4.9 54.5% 210 4.8% Conference 38-27 54.1 3.9 0.9 22 51-247 4.9 59.9% 178 8.1% 19 36-137 3.8 54.6% 233 3.8% Conference 37-22 137.6 3.0 1.0 23 42-241 5.8 65.2% 263 5.4% 20 35-148 4.3 53.5% 218 4.5% Away 33-39 -98.4 -2.0 1.0 22 48-217 4.6 60.0% 171 8.9% 24 40-203 5.0 61.8% 284 2.4% Home 39-23 198.4 6.2 0.4 27 40-212 5.3 65.6% 349 5.0% 21 39-170 4.4 54.4% 192 3.8%

at USC Jon Wassink 11-22-67-0-1 LeVante Bellamy 9-102-11.3-0 Anton Curtis 3-30-10.0-0 Elon Logan Woodside 19-31-314-0-0 Shakif Seymour 11-102-9.3-1 Cody Thompson 5-112-22.4-0at Michigan St Jon Wassink 11-26-79-0-1 LeVante Bellamy 12-67-5.6-0 D'Wayne Eskridge 4-42-10.5-0 at Nevada Logan Woodside 19-27-232-2-0 Terry Swanson 27-101-3.7-2 Cody Thompson 8-101-12.6-1 Idaho Jon Wassink 21-31-212-1-0 Jamauri Bogan 17-47-2.8-0 Giovanni Ricci 7-66-9.4-0 vs. Tulsa Logan Woodside 22-33-458-6-1 Terry Swanson 19-139-7.3-1 Cody Thompson 9-178-19.8-3 Wagner Jon Wassink 11-12-165-3-0 Jamauri Bogan 14-132-9.4-1 D'Wayne Eskridge 2-92-46.0-0 at Miami, Fl Logan Woodside 28-48-342-3-0 Terry Swanson 20-79-4.0-0 Cody Thompson 5-114-22.8-0 Ball St Jon Wassink 14-20-240-3-0 Jamauri Bogan 13-69-5.3-0 Keishawn Watson 5-93-18.6-2 Byeat Buffalo Jon Wassink 23-29-256-5-1 Jarvion Franklin 37-176-4.8-3 D'Wayne Eskridge 4-97-24.3-1 vs. Eastern Michigan Logan Woodside 23-34-289-0-0 Art Thompkins 15-94-6.3-1 Diontae Johnson 8-97-12.1-0 Akron Jon Wassink 17-29-182-1-1 Jarvion Franklin 31-130-4.2-0 D'Wayne Eskridge 7-93-13.3-1 at Central Michigan Logan Woodside 10-18-89-0-0 Terry Swanson 23-145-6.3-2 Diontae Johnson 2-32-16.0-0at Eastern Michigan Jon Wassink 16-24-190-1-0 Jarvion Franklin 24-104-4.3-1 Donnie Ernsberger 6-91-15.2-0 Akron Logan Woodside 17-24-304-5-1 Terry Swanson 20-123-6.2-0 Jon'Vea Johnson 5-102-20.4-2 Bye vs. at Ball St Logan Woodside 8-17-267-3-0 Terry Swanson 11-105-9.5-1 Diontae Johnson 4-170-42.5-2 Central Michigan Reece Goddard 6-18-42-0-1 Jarvion Franklin 26-228-8.8-2 Donnie Ernsberger 4-35-8.8-0 Northern Illinois Logan Woodside 23-31-361-0-0 Terry Swanson 29-116-4.0-3 Diontae Johnson 10-166-16.6-0 Kent St Reece Goddard 8-19-97-0-0 Jarvion Franklin 22-191-8.7-1 Keishawn Watson 3-33-11.0-0 at Ohio Logan Woodside 24-35-263-1-0 Shakif Seymour 11-77-7.0-0 Diontae Johnson 9-144-16.0-1at Northern Illinois Reece Goddard 15-27-211-2-0 Jarvion Franklin 27-115-4.3-1 Tyron Arnett 3-93-31.0-0 vs. at Bowling Green Logan Woodside 13-18-232-2-0 Terry Swanson 23-192-8.3-0 Diontae Johnson 3-75-25.0-1at Toledo Western Michigan

vs.

Jon Wassink 124-193-1391-14-4 Jarvion Franklin 220-1176-5.3-11 D'Wayne Eskridge 30-506-16.9-3 Logan Woodside 206-316-3151-22-2 Terry Swanson 189-1045-5.5-11 Diontae Johnson 58-1078-18.6-10Reece Goddard 31-67-362-2-1 Jamauri Bogan 112-589-5.3-3 Keishawn Watson 41-374-9.1-7 vs. Michael Julian 2-6-21-0-0 Shakif Seymour 94-611-6.5-11 Cody Thompson 28-537-19.2-4Keishawn Watson 2-2-40-2-0 LeVante Bellamy 49-394-8.0-3 Donnie Ernsberger 32-363-11.3-4 Mitchell Guadagni 1-6-16-0-1 Art Thompkins 94-580-6.2-2 Jon'Vea Johnson 31-476-15.4-4

Category

2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Western Michigan 14 -7.5 55 25 48-249

Toledo - 71 35 20 30-227 -32015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Western Michigan - 59.5 35 16 40-160

Toledo 24 -8 30 22 39-201 02014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Western Michigan - 63.5 19 20 32-62

Toledo - -5.5 20 19 36-234 -32013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Western Michigan - 58 20 18 40-87

Toledo - -22.5 47 26 39-360 42012 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's

Western Michigan - -1.5 17 22 30-173

Toledo - 57.5 37 25 37-278 4

19-25-196

FOE +/-AP

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing

W Michigan Leaders

OffenseNet

W M

ich

igan

Bro

nco

s

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

Rushing Receiving

0.58

Toledo DB's

Score

W Michigan OL

W Michigan DL1.21

Toledo OL

1.31

By Game Yardage Leaders

W Michigan

232 yards

Projected Yardage Total

Toledo

29 points

at Central Michigan

at Michigan StW Michigan

Wagner Rush Off

Toledo

Pass Off

Net OffenseDefense

Total TO's

at Northern Illinois Score Def at Bowling Greenat Toledo Sks By Western Michigan

Central Michigan Pass Def Northern Illinois Kent St Total Def at Ohio

at Eastern Michigan Sks Allowed

at Buffalo Total Off Akron Score Off

FOE REC

vs. MAC vs. MAC Rockets Logs

W Michigan BroncosBroncos Logs

TM REC FOE REC

Receiving

ToledoPassing RushingPosition by Position Edges

NCAA RANKINGS FOE

TEAM --PS RANK-- APTM +/-

FOE 4-3

Defense

TM CONF--PS RANK-- FOETEAM

Tulsaat Miami, Fl

at Nevada

FOE +/-FOE CONF6-1

TM REC

2017 TEAM RANKINGS Elon

AkronRush Def at Ball St

Bye Eastern Michigan

TM CONF

FOE CONF TM +/-

Idaho

Ball St

FOE

Tole

do

Roc

kets

W Michigan QB/WR

Ypg Diff

Projected Final Score339 yards W Michigan

Toledo

Score

1.20

Toledo LB's

W Michigan RB's

at USC

Bye

2.94

W Michigan Pts

Experience RankingsToledo

Toledo Pts

Toledo DL

13-24-229

Comp-Att-Yds 212 yards W MichiganProjected Rushing

0.83

Toledo RB's

W Michigan LB'S

0.43

13-21-256

16-33-280 W Michigan Toledo

Ret

urn

to

Tab

le o

f C

onte

nts

Projected Box ScoreComp-Att-Yds

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

W Michigan

Projected Passing127 yards

19-32-288

113 W Michigan Toledo14-32-168

Comp-Att-Yds

26-46-232

22-33-243

Toledo by 11 Toledo 40 Western Michigan 29By 2.72 Points

Toledo By 13.0

Toledo By 13.1

79

Toledo 507 yards

40 points

POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

275 yards

102Team Schedule Strength

Toledo 507-339

Computer Points

Computer Yards

+/- Ratings

Phil Steele109 W Michigan Toledo

OVERALL:

Phil's Forecast:

Toledo Leaders

W Michigan ST's Team & Margin

Toledo ST's

W Michigan DB's

1.08

Toledo QB/WR

Toledo had won 5 in a row in the series, but WM has now won the last 2 upsetting the Rockets here in ’15, 35-30 and winning at home last year 55-35. Toledo is 8-3 in Glass Bowl finales. Toledo needs to win to wrap up the MAC West. Coming, into the year I called them the best team in the MAC and they have lived up to that billing. Their only losses are on the road vs undefeated Miami Florida and a 38-10 clunker to Ohio U on the road. They are +198 ypg at home. Western lost QB Jon Wassink (64% 14-4) a few weeks back and their offense has struggled with Reece Goddard hitting 46% with a 2-1. Toledo rates the edges all around and is priced that way as almost a two TD favorite. WM has lost 5 games, but the largest losses were by 18 at USC and 14 at Michigan St and their Mac losses have been by 1, 7 and 4.

Game Grade

0.96

W Michigan Coaches

1.00

Toledo K

W Michigan K

Toledo Rockets6-5 9-2OVERALL:

Toledo By 13.5Las Vegas Line

Las Vegas Total62.5 Points

5.66

Toledo 40-29

Toledo CoachesComp-Att-Yds

31-38-388

13-27-210

Comp-Att-Yds

Page 8: Phil Steele’s Inside the Pressboxplus.philsteele.com/inside_the_pressbox/2017/College/...Phil Steele’s Inside the Pressbox WK 13 UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK *this is a Best Bet H Utah

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 127 118 21 22 9/3 31-24 W 91 9 18 35 58 75 0-0 0-0 111 9/2 28-10 W 108 47 831-0 0-0 126 18 9/9 27-0 W 77 14 18 1-0 0-1 0-0 0-1 112 113 9/9 17-34 L 106 57 83 85 42 322-0 0-2 0-0 0-0 124 97 16 9/16 64-17 W 79 16 8 106 130 128 1-1 1-0 0-0 0-0 108 94 9/16 38-18 W 112 51 105 103 76 1143-0 2-1 0-0 0-0 128 101 13 9/23 38-0 W 54 13 19 101 82 92 #65 #120 2-1 2-1 0-0 1-0 108 111 9/22 42-23 W 90 60 105 76 45 494-0 4-0 0-0 2-0 129 141 12 2 9/30 17-31 L 41 11 10 7 2 102 #52 #39 3-1 0-0 113 9/30 78 44 1084-1 2-3 0-1 0-2 128 112 16 10/7 23-10 W 42 10 26 91 47 56 #57 #93 3-1 4-1 0-0 1-1 113 124 10/7 28-21 W 74 44 102 53 22 925-1 1-1 128 15 10/14 44 13 18 #52 #84 4-1 1-5 1-0 0-3 117 114 10/14 20-14 W 79 35 94 55 54 385-1 1-6 1-1 0-4 128 112 14 10/21 59-7 W 38 14 17 61 57 43 #60 #90 5-1 3-4 2-0 1-3 118 116 10/21 10-41 L 74 26 100 84 46 746-1 4-4 2-1 1-4 132 116 13 10/28 24-3 W 35 12 11 68 31 99 #27 #77 5-2 3-5 2-1 1-3 113 119 10/28 14-31 L 83 34 79 87 65 447-1 7-0 3-1 5-0 132 130 13 9 11/4 10-28 L 36 9 10 15 17 44 #22 #19 5-3 4-3 2-2 3-2 112 129 11/4 40-36 W 89 35 88 41 39 797-2 4-4 3-2 3-3 129 125 17 11/11 22-28 L 41 13 6 52 35 97 #18 #36 6-3 5-4 3-2 2-4 116 122 11/11 21-38 L 85 34 68 5 58 877-3 4-6 3-3 2-4 128 116 11/18 20-14 W 48 15 6 83 57 81 #6 #78 6-4 9-0 3-3 6-0 115 138 2 11/18 28-44 L 95 35 70 17 6 378-3 6-5 4-3 3-4 126 117 24 11/24 54 15 4 92 33 69 #40 #28 6-5 8-3 3-4 4-3 117 126 24 11/24 92 33 69 54 15 4

#22 #70+7 +3

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

† West Virginia 31-24 -123 -8 1 21 45-234 5.2 15-27 235 1 29 35-221 6.3 31-54 371 2 William & Mary 28-10 114 7 1 19 32-92 2.9 27-40 262 3 12 41-168 4.1 7-13 72 2 Delaware 27-0 80 3 1 15 28-81 2.9 16-29 222 1 12 46-107 2.3 8-17 116 4 Indiana 17-34 -4 3 1 22 25-55 2.2 39-66 259 1 19 41-121 3.0 19-30 197 4at East Carolina 64-17 394 22 3 34 62-287 4.6 25-33 388 1 12 31-40 1.3 11-30 241 2 Connecticut 38-18 192 4 2 27 31-171 5.5 30-40 455 1 23 41-207 5.0 18-26 227 2 Old Dominion 38-0 433 25 0 32 57-271 4.8 21-32 311 1 7 24-64 2.7 8-26 85 1 at Boise St 42-23 57 -1 1 21 40-167 4.2 19-29 273 1 22 24-30 1.3 28-53 353 4 Clemson 17-31 10 3 -3 17 28-90 3.2 30-45 252 2 14 43-146 3.4 12-21 186 3 Byeat Boston College 23-10 77 4 -1 20 48-109 2.3 22-33 322 5 16 33-163 4.9 14-33 191 0 Duke 28-21 55 4 0 21 38-128 3.4 24-43 182 1 17 32-131 4.1 14-42 124 2 Bye at North Carolina 20-14 148 11 2 23 47-156 3.3 19-31 249 4 12 35-211 6.0 7-18 46 2 North Carolina 59-7 211 10 3 21 46-181 3.9 15-27 202 1 11 42-54 1.3 8-22 118 6 Boston College 10-41 -265 0 -3 19 26-95 3.7 19-42 152 3 19 47-237 5.0 19-24 275 0 Duke 24-3 204 13 2 23 48-187 3.9 13-28 200 1 10 35-101 2.9 10-24 82 1 at Pittsburgh 14-31 4 1 0 20 31-102 3.3 22-42 212 3 19 40-176 4.4 10-18 134 1at Miami, Fl 10-28 -130 1 -1 22 43-102 2.4 20-32 197 4 21 35-219 6.3 11-23 210 2 Georgia Tech 40-36 -42 -1 0 15 25-97 3.9 21-43 260 0 16 52-220 4.2 6-22 179 5at Georgia Tech 22-28 -143 -5 1 14 36-105 2.9 14-26 153 2 19 57-261 4.6 2-8 140 0 at Louisville 21-38 -216 -11 0 16 28-63 2.3 19-36 214 4 27 43-298 6.9 15-26 195 2 Pittsburgh 20-14 9 2 1 18 40-157 3.9 17-37 218 2 16 30-55 1.8 20-33 311 4 at Miami, Fl 28-44 81 3 -1 18 28-55 2.0 28-37 384 5 15 32-148 4.6 15-28 210 3at Virginia Virginia Tech

Average 30-15 92.9 6.4 0.6 22 44-164 3.8 59.6% 245 6.0% 15 37-130 3.5 46.4% 186 8.6% Average 26-28 11.3 1.8 0.3 20 32-107 3.4 59.5% 264 5.8% 18 39-177 4.5 52.7% 183 9.0% Conference 25-17 34.0 4.0 0.3 19 41-133 3.2 57.5% 221 7.5% 15 39-143 3.6 47.0% 177 9.8% Conference 23-32 -33.6 1.0 -0.3 19 32-99 3.1 55.5% 236 7.3% 18 40-203 5.1 48.3% 166 8.4% Away 30-21 15.0 2.8 0.6 22 47-167 3.6 63.6% 259 8.6% 19 38-181 4.7 46.6% 231 4.1% Home 27-27 8.3 2.8 0.2 21 30-106 3.6 58.4% 262 3.3% 18 42-181 4.3 52.9% 179 9.6%

† West Virginia Josh Jackson 15-26-235-1-0 Josh Jackson 11-101-9.2-1 Cam Phillips 7-138-19.7-1 William & Mary Kurt Benkert 27-39-262-3-0 Jordan Ellis 20-80-4.0-1 Doni Dowling 6-76-12.7-0 Delaware Josh Jackson 16-28-222-2-0 Jalen Holston 8-32-4.0-0 Cam Phillips 6-90-15.0-1 Indiana Kurt Benkert 39-66-259-1-0 Jordan Ellis 14-44-3.1-1 Olamide Zaccheaus 12-72-6.0-0at East Carolina Josh Jackson 24-31-372-5-0 Travon McMillian 11-72-6.5-0 Cam Phillips 14-189-13.5-3 vs. Connecticut Kurt Benkert 30-40-455-3-1 Jordan Ellis 20-95-4.8-1 Doni Dowling 6-136-22.7-1 Old Dominion Josh Jackson 20-30-298-3-1 Coleman Fox 11-66-6.0-0 Cam Phillips 7-106-15.1-0 at Boise St Kurt Benkert 19-29-273-3-0 Jordan Ellis 24-93-3.9-2 Andre Levrone 5-141-28.2-2 Clemson Josh Jackson 29-44-251-1-2 Coleman Fox 5-39-7.8-0 Cam Phillips 7-74-10.6-0 Byeat Boston College Josh Jackson 22-33-322-1-1 Travon McMillian 17-88-5.2-1 Sean Savoy 9-139-15.4-1 vs. Duke Kurt Benkert 24-43-182-3-2 Jordan Ellis 25-96-3.8-0 Olamide Zaccheaus 8-69-8.6-1 Bye at North Carolina Kurt Benkert 19-31-249-2-0 Jordan Ellis 27-136-5.0-0 Olamide Zaccheaus 5-100-20.0-1 North Carolina Josh Jackson 10-20-132-3-0 Coleman Fox 7-58-8.3-0 Cam Phillips 5-49-9.8-1 Boston College Kurt Benkert 17-33-126-0-1 Jordan Ellis 12-58-4.8-0 Olamide Zaccheaus 6-57-9.5-0 Duke Josh Jackson 13-27-200-1-0 Deshawn McClease 15-75-5.0-1 Chris Cunningham 3-48-16.0-0 vs. at Pittsburgh Kurt Benkert 22-42-212-2-1 Jordan Ellis 15-58-3.9-0 Olamide Zaccheaus 8-80-10.0-0at Miami, Fl Josh Jackson 20-32-197-0-2 Travon McMillian 15-52-3.5-0 Cam Phillips 7-101-14.4-0 Georgia Tech Kurt Benkert 21-43-260-3-1 Jordan Ellis 13-48-3.7-0 Olamide Zaccheaus 9-98-10.9-0at Georgia Tech Josh Jackson 14-26-153-0-0 Sean Savoy 3-32-10.7-1 Eric Kumah 6-82-13.7-0 at Louisville Kurt Benkert 19-36-214-1-1 Jordan Ellis 13-58-4.5-1 Andre Levrone 6-92-15.3-0 Pittsburgh Josh Jackson 17-37-218-1-1 Deshawn McClease 14-70-5.0-0 Cam Phillips 8-117-14.6-1 vs. at Miami, Fl Kurt Benkert 28-37-384-4-1 Olamide Zaccheaus 5-29-5.8-0 Joe Reed 2-81-40.5-1at Virginia Virginia Tech

vs.

Josh Jackson 200-334-2600-18-7 Travon McMillian 102-434-4.3-2 Cam Phillips 68-918-13.5-7 Kurt Benkert 265-439-2876-25-8 Jordan Ellis 194-790-4.1-6 Olamide Zaccheaus 76-794-10.4-5A.J Bush 7-11-99-1-0 Deshawn McClease 77-335-4.4-3 Sean Savoy 39-454-11.6-4 vs. Lindell Stone 2-9-26-0-2 Lamont Atkins 27-182-6.7-1 Doni Dowling 46-614-13.3-5Oscar Bradburn 1-1-1-0-0 Josh Jackson 100-236-2.4-4 Eric Kumah 22-243-11.0-1 TEAM 0-1-0-0-0 Olamide Zaccheaus 17-103-6.1-1 Andre Levrone 29-603-20.8-7

Category

2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Virginia Tech - -17.5 52 29 51-289

Virginia - 54.5 10 14 31-108 -12015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Virginia Tech - -3.5 23 12 30-67

Virginia - 51 20 21 40-262 -12014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Virginia Tech - 40 24 21 40-198

Virginia - -1 20 15 35-38 22013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Virginia Tech - -12 16 21 42-126

Virginia - 43 6 15 27-109 12012 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's

Virginia Tech - -10 17 23 57-174

Virginia - 47.5 14 7 20-30 -1

Comp-Att-Yds

18-38-129

17-36-187

Virginia ST's

18-38-171

Comp-Att-Yds

15-35-235

18-38-276

14-30-238

Virginia

FOE

FOEFOE CONF TM +/- FOE +/-

AP TEAM --PS RANK--

Defense

0.07

Virginia Tech QB/WR

Virginia DB's

Virginia Tech

vs. ACC vs. ACC8-3

OVERALL:

Virginia Tech Coaches

Virginia Coaches

262 yards

45 Virginia Tech by 1

Computer Points

7.41

Virginia Tech Pts

Virginia Pts18 points

Experience Rankings

Projected Final Score28 points

Virginia Tech

Virginia is just 1-9 in final home games and VT has owned the Commonwealth Cup for 4,744 straight days having won the last 13 in a row in the series. Last year VT led 52-3 into the 4Q in a 52-10 win. LTH VT came in 5-6 needing a win to send Beamer to his L/bowl. Down 7 w/10:04, VT got a TD & GW 41 yd FG w/1:38 (UVA int’d w/:59). VT QB Josh Jackson is hitting just 53% with a 7-6 ratio in ACC play and now faces the #28 pass D led by S Quin Blanding. VT is 5-14 vs the Vegas number when favored on the road. Last week Virginia had a 439-358 yard edge vs powerful Miami on the road. VT is +34 ypg in ACC play and Virginia is -34. VT’s D is allowing 238 ypg at home, but 411 on the road. VT was lucky to beat Pitt at home last week as Pitt had 4 cracks with a 1st and goal at the 1 in the final minute, but came up short. My computer shows VT with only a 10 yard edge and the Cavs will be fired up to try and end that 13 game losing streak.77 Virginia Tech 28-18

Team Schedule StrengthPhil Steele

58 Virginia Tech Virginia

67 yards

POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

Virginia Tech 24 Virginia 23By 6.62 Points

Phil's Forecast:

Virginia Tech By 7

50 PointsLas Vegas Total

Virginia Tech By 5.8

Virginia Tech By 7.2

+/- Ratings

Game Grade

Computer YardsVirginia Tech 332-328

138 yards Virginia TechProjected Passing

Projected Rushing0.44

Virginia Tech K

VirginiaVirginia K

332 yards Virginia Tech Virginia 328 yards

194 yards Virginia TechProjected Yardage Total

Virginia

Virginia Tech Virginia 0.79

Virginia Tech OL

Virginia DL

Virginia Tech RB's

0.79

Virginia LB's

0.10

Virginia Leaders

Team & Margin

1.58

Virginia Tech DL

Virginia OL

2.33

0.45

2.45Las Vegas Line

Virginia RB'sVirginia Tech DB's

Virginia QB/WRVirginia Tech ST's

Virginia Tech LB'S

Score Score

ReceivingPosition by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing RushingRushing

Net

AP

Hokies Logs

TM REC FOE REC TM CONF

FOE CONF TM +/- TM CONF

FOE NCAA RANKINGS4-3 3-4

TM REC FOE RECTEAM --PS RANK-- FOE

Old Dominion Rush Off at Boise St Clemson Pass Off Bye

Virginia Tech HokiesCavaliers Logs

6-5 Virginia CavaliersOVERALL:

DelawareVirginia Tech Virginia

Indianaat East Carolina Connecticut

† West Virginia 2017 TEAM RANKINGS William & Mary

at Miami, Fl Pass Def Georgia Techat Georgia Tech Total Def at Louisville

North Carolina Sks Allowed Boston College Duke Rush Def at Pittsburgh

at Boston College Total Off Duke Bye Score Off at North Carolina

Offense Defense

Vir

gin

ia T

ech

Hok

ies

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

Vir

gin

ia C

aval

iers

Net Offense

Ypg DiffTotal TO's

Pittsburgh Score Def at Miami, Flat Virginia Sks By Virginia Tech

Receiving

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

Ret

urn

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Tab

le o

f C

onte

nts

Projected Box Score

Comp-Att-Yds

103 Virginia Tech Virginia

By Game Yardage Leaders

17-40-176

Passing

Virginia Tech Leaders

Comp-Att-Yds

18-30-290

13-36-139

Comp-Att-Yds

15-29-237

FOE +/-

Page 9: Phil Steele’s Inside the Pressboxplus.philsteele.com/inside_the_pressbox/2017/College/...Phil Steele’s Inside the Pressbox WK 13 UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK *this is a Best Bet H Utah

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 109 116 9/1 20-23 L 102 89 75 68 29 67 0-0 0-0 106 8/31 30-27 W 75 90 1100-1 0-0 110 9/9 38-10 W 103 86 75 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 103 108 9/9 45-27 W 71 89 110 89 94 1001-1 1-1 0-0 0-0 112 116 9/16 21-17 W 97 77 64 55 42 27 2-0 1-1 0-0 0-0 108 109 9/16 14-41 L 57 83 115 70 56 492-1 0-0 115 9/23 106 65 99 #38 #91 2-1 1-2 0-0 0-0 104 108 9/23 14-31 L 56 88 108 109 84 802-1 4-0 0-0 1-0 115 120 19 9/30 28-34 L 103 62 101 87 60 34 #83 #49 2-2 1-3 0-1 0-2 101 111 9/30 8-28 L 64 90 118 94 50 662-2 1-4 0-0 0-1 115 95 10/7 24-3 W 99 61 110 129 122 109 #72 #76 2-3 4-1 0-1 1-0 100 112 10/7 26-23 W 73 91 121 71 67 163-2 3-3 1-0 1-1 115 108 10/14 14-13 W 100 51 115 90 114 102 #48 #61 3-3 4-1 1-1 1-0 104 115 10/14 10-30 L 81 89 130 53 96 264-2 1-6 2-0 1-2 115 96 10/21 48-17 W 103 42 117 98 126 25 #52 #25 3-4 2-4 1-2 0-2 102 95 10/21 56-9 W 90 87 127 121 108 995-2 2-5 3-0 0-3 118 110 10/26 30-27 W 93 41 116 115 83 121 #9 #99 4-4 2-2 106 10/28 91 73 1236-2 7-1 4-0 4-0 116 123 11/2 17-27 L 94 37 120 33 72 5 #51 #26 4-4 5-3 2-2 3-1 106 114 11/1 35-28 W 92 70 126 57 67 86-3 2-7 4-1 0-5 116 85 11/9 63-17 W 99 40 113 126 124 125 #20 #63 5-4 3-6 3-2 1-4 110 115 11/8 42-30 W 86 66 127 104 87 1207-3 6-4 5-1 4-2 118 110 11/15 35-31 W 90 36 76 79 69 7 #24 #67 6-4 2-8 4-2 1-5 113 89 11/14 42-23 W 86 62 127 129 103 1128-3 7-4 6-1 5-2 117 113 11/24 87 37 77 82 68 127 #4 #24 7-4 8-3 5-2 6-1 113 117 11/24 82 68 127 87 37 77

#30 #74-2 +7

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

Boston College 20-23 28 -3 0 18 35-164 4.7 16-39 203 0 21 50-148 3.0 26-42 191 2 Rhode Island 30-27 107 9 2 24 50-246 4.9 28-54 253 2 15 31-108 3.5 21-40 284 1 Eastern Illinois 38-10 312 10 0 26 47-230 4.9 24-35 269 1 16 45-60 1.3 14-32 127 3 at Kansas 45-27 120 -3 1 26 35-123 3.5 28-37 467 0 29 34-147 4.3 32-62 323 2at Nebraska 21-17 -171 -5 2 13 31-85 2.7 15-23 128 2 18 36-85 2.4 25-47 299 3 at Syracuse 17-41 -197 4 0 22 34-105 3.1 23-46 277 0 18 44-300 6.8 19-35 279 0 Bye Miami, OH 14-31 -49 -1 -2 19 38-117 3.1 20-39 228 0 20 40-177 4.4 11-19 217 2at San Diego St 28-34 166 13 -4 23 46-160 3.5 24-40 269 4 10 38-127 3.3 10-20 136 1 at Boston College 8-28 -13 1 -1 18 33-116 3.5 22-43 180 3 17 53-224 4.2 14-21 85 0 Kent St 24-3 135 6 1 15 50-152 3.0 13-22 114 3 9 43-102 2.4 6-17 29 6 at Ohio 26-23 -33 -3 3 18 31-68 2.2 25-35 249 2 21 39-190 4.9 17-31 160 2at Buffalo 14-13 58 13 -1 28 56-217 3.9 20-31 224 2 15 27-39 1.4 21-34 344 4 Toledo 10-30 -155 -5 -2 12 21-62 3.0 17-38 182 0 17 56-310 5.5 10-18 89 1at Bowling Green 48-17 210 11 4 29 55-338 6.1 21-34 239 2 18 44-192 4.4 13-23 175 3 at Ball St 56-9 247 8 0 22 45-256 5.7 16-23 199 2 14 41-81 2.0 20-34 127 8 Eastern Michigan 30-27 -11 3 -1 18 36-114 3.2 23-40 278 2 15 33-96 2.9 23-45 307 2 Byeat Toledo 17-27 -97 2 -1 25 40-185 4.6 24-44 245 2 23 40-166 4.2 23-31 361 1 at Western Michigan 35-28 50 -2 2 15 35-164 4.7 12-31 243 1 17 54-315 5.8 6-18 42 3 Ball St 63-17 188 4 0 20 45-222 4.9 11-24 211 2 16 43-83 1.9 19-30 162 7 Eastern Michigan 42-30 4 -10 4 12 42-177 4.2 11-18 155 4 22 36-124 3.4 23-39 204 2 Western Michigan 35-31 -9 0 -2 17 49-248 5.1 6-11 64 0 17 44-110 2.5 15-27 211 5 at Kent St 42-23 -44 -9 0 16 30-152 5.1 15-23 298 1 25 47-174 3.7 16-30 320 7at Central Michigan Northern Illinois

Average 31-20 73.5 4.9 -0.2 21 45-192 4.3 57.4% 204 5.8% 16 40-110 2.7 56.0% 213 10.6% Average 30-27 3.4 -1.0 0.6 19 36-144 4.0 56.1% 248 3.9% 20 43-195 4.5 54.5% 194 8.1% Conference 33-19 67.7 5.6 0.0 22 47-211 4.5 57.3% 196 6.3% 16 39-113 2.9 58.0% 227 13.5% Conference 32-25 2.9 -3.1 0.7 16 35-142 4.1 56.0% 222 4.8% 19 45-196 4.4 54.5% 166 13.2% Away 26-22 33.2 6.8 0.0 24 46-197 4.3 60.5% 221 7.0% 17 37-122 3.3 59.4% 263 7.7% Home 24-30 -23.3 -1.8 0.5 17 38-151 4.0 51.0% 205 4.0% 19 41-180 4.4 56.0% 199 5.2%

Boston College Ryan Graham 15-38-190-2-1 Ryan Graham 12-99-8.3-0 Chad Beebe 6-93-15.5-0 Rhode Island Shane Morris 25-49-226-1-1 Jonathan Ward 19-147-7.7-1 Mark Chapman 5-88-17.6-0 Eastern Illinois Daniel Santacaterina 23-34-252-3-1 Jordan Huff 11-88-8.0-0 DJ Brown 7-88-12.6-0 at Kansas Shane Morris 28-37-467-5-0 Jonathan Ward 11-59-5.4-0 Mark Chapman 8-168-21.0-3at Nebraska Daniel Santacaterina 15-22-128-0-0 Jordan Huff 16-105-6.6-1 Christian Blake 5-77-15.4-0 vs. at Syracuse Shane Morris 22-45-279-2-2 Kumehnnu Gwilly 6-44-7.3-0 Cameron Cole 3-75-25.0-1 Bye Miami, OH Shane Morris 15-33-195-1-2 Jonathan Ward 22-56-2.5-0 Eric Cooper 6-81-13.5-1at San Diego St Daniel Santacaterina 24-39-269-3-3 Jordan Huff 25-148-5.9-0 Christian Blake 13-160-12.3-2 at Boston College Shane Morris 21-42-171-0-3 Kumehnnu Gwilly 12-61-5.1-1 Tony Poljan 3-61-20.3-0 Kent St Marcus Childers 13-21-114-3-1 Marcus Childers 17-65-3.8-0 Shane Wimann 4-53-13.3-1 vs. at Ohio Shane Morris 25-35-249-2-1 Tony Poljan 5-24-4.8-0 Tyler Conklin 10-136-13.6-2at Buffalo Marcus Childers 20-31-224-1-0 Marcus Childers 27-79-2.9-1 DJ Brown 5-53-10.6-0 Toledo Shane Morris 17-37-182-1-2 Jonathan Ward 10-32-3.2-0 Mark Chapman 5-71-14.2-0at Bowling Green Marcus Childers 21-33-239-3-0 Tommy Mister 17-115-6.8-1 Chad Beebe 6-124-20.7-1 at Ball St Shane Morris 16-21-199-4-0 Jonathan Ward 13-97-7.5-2 Corey Willis 5-98-19.6-3 Eastern Michigan Marcus Childers 23-40-278-2-0 Marcus Childers 16-54-3.4-1 DJ Brown 7-104-14.9-1 vs. Byeat Toledo Marcus Childers 23-43-235-0-2 Marcus Jones 14-80-5.7-0 Spencer Tears 3-63-21.0-0 at Western Michigan Shane Morris 12-30-243-2-0 Jonathan Ward 18-130-7.2-1 Corey Willis 5-148-29.6-1 Ball St Marcus Childers 10-22-141-4-0 Jordan Huff 6-57-9.5-1 Jauan Wesley 1-70-70.0-1 Eastern Michigan Shane Morris 11-18-155-3-0 Jonathan Ward 19-159-8.4-2 Corey Willis 6-71-11.8-2 Western Michigan Marcus Childers 6-11-64-1-0 Jordan Huff 25-185-7.4-2 Mitch Brinkman 1-26-26.0-1 vs. at Kent St Shane Morris 14-22-297-2-1 Jonathan Ward 13-80-6.2-1 Tyler Conklin 4-104-26.0-0at Central Michigan Northern Illinois

vs.

Marcus Childers 117-203-1312-14-3 Jordan Huff 116-692-6.0-4 Spencer Tears 34-420-12.4-4 Shane Morris 206-369-2663-23-12 Jonathan Ward 146-829-5.7-8 Mark Chapman 51-731-14.3-4Daniel Santacaterina 63-99-719-7-5 Marcus Childers 120-441-3.7-5 Christian Blake 35-395-11.3-4 vs. Tony Poljan 9-15-61-0-0 Kumehnnu Gwilly 52-202-3.9-2 Corey Willis 39-587-15.1-8Ryan Graham 15-38-190-2-1 Marcus Jones 78-336-4.3-3 Chad Beebe 27-391-14.5-1 Jonathan Ward 1-2-9-0-0 Romello Ross 49-192-3.9-1 Jonathan Ward 40-357-8.9-1

Category

2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.

Northern Illinois - 64 28 16 37-174

Central Michigan - -2.5 34 24 50-230 -1

2015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.

Northern Illinois - -2.5 19 17 59-211

Central Michigan - 51.5 29 15 34-93 3

2014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.

Northern Illinois - -9.5 17 19 33-110

Central Michigan - 57 34 30 46-283 0

2013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.

Northern Illinois 23 -15 38 28 53-437

Central Michigan - 59 17 17 30-75 -1

2012 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's

Northern Illinois - -10 55 32 55-407

Central Michigan - 58 24 20 31-130 -2

Eastern Michigan Rush Def Bye

Passing

C Michigan DL

Net Offense Defense

N I

llin

ois

Hu

skie

s

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

C M

ich

igan

Ch

ipp

ewas

Net Offense

Ypg DiffTotal TO's

Passing Rushing ReceivingBy Game Yardage Leaders

FOE +/-APFOE

CONFTM

CONF FOE

FOETEAM --PS RANK--

N Illinois Leaders

7-4OVERALL: OVERALL: C Michigan Chippewas8-3

Defense

Score Score

TM +/-

Kent Stat Buffalo

Byeat San Diego St Pass Off at Boston College

2017 TEAM RANKINGS Rhode Island Eastern Illinois

N Illinois C Michiganat Kansas

at Nebraska at Syracuse

Boston College

Western Michigan Score Defat Central Michigan Sks By Northern Illinois

at Toledo Pass Def at Western Michigan Ball St Total Def Eastern Michigan

at Bowling Green Sks Allowed

TM +/-5-2 FOE

Total Off at Ohio Score Off Toledo

Rush Off Miami, OH

APTM REC FOE REC

at Kent St

vs. MAC vs. MAC Chippewas Logs--PS RANK--

TM CONFNCAA RANKINGS

FOE CONFFOE

FOE +/-TEAM6-1

at Ball St

N Illinois

C Michigan

Experience Rankings

Projected Final Score27 points

171 yards

N Illinois By 3.6

Receiving

N Illinois C MichiganPosition by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Rushing

0.20

N Illinois RB's

C Michigan LB's

N Illinois QB/WR

0.05

C Michigan DB's

1.01

N Illinois DL

C Michigan OL

0.47

N Illinois OL

Projected Yardage Total273 yardsN Illinois

Projected Passing

C Michigan Coaches

Projected Rushing94 yards

C Michigan RB's1.37

N Illinois LB'S

18-30-165

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

Ret

urn

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Tab

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onte

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Projected Box Score

0.66 C Michigan Leaders

2.42

N Illinois ST's

C Michigan ST's

N Illinois DB's

C Michigan QB/WR

Las Vegas Line

N Illinois K

0.85

C Michigan

N Illinois Coaches

N Illinois C Michigan 24 points

20-31-269

Comp-Att-Yds

20-30-155

14-33-215

16-32-271

N Illinois

Computer PointsPOSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

C Michigan Pts

CMichigan is 7-3 in this series and despite Northerns' dominance in the MAC this decade, CMich had 3 straight wins by 11 ppg, but did need OT for a 6 point road win last year. Marcus Childers took over at QB for Northern Illinois and since his 3rd start they are averaging 38.6 ppg after just 24.1 ppg the first 6 games. Northern is +68 ypg in MAC play and have the MAC’s best defense allowing just 323 ypg including a 2.7 ypc rush while CM is allowing 4.5 ypc rush. CM QB Stephen Morris opened the year with a 12-11 ratio, but over the last 4 games it is 11-1. Toledo did come in here and won 30-10 and speaking of Toledo if they lose (kicks off half hour earlier) then Northern wins the West with a win. NIU is +68 ypg in MAC play and CM is just +3.

N Illinois 370-367

Phil's Forecast:

Game Grade

Team & Margin

N Illinois By 3

53.5 PointsLas Vegas Total

Computer Yards6.31

N Illinois Pts

0.75

+/- RatingsN Illinois By 1.0

0.05

114 55

N Illinois by 798Team Schedule Strength

100 N Illinois C Michigan

N Illinois

Northern Illinois 31 Central Michigan 24By 5.56 Points

N Illinois 27-24

Phil Steele

12-30-105

16-32-182

Comp-Att-Yds

18-33-231

C Michigan

C Michigan

367 yards

200 yards

370 yards N Illinois

C Michigan K

20-40-332

Comp-Att-Yds

Comp-Att-Yds

N Illinois HuskiesHuskies Logs

TM REC FOE REC

19-35-254

Comp-Att-Yds

Page 10: Phil Steele’s Inside the Pressboxplus.philsteele.com/inside_the_pressbox/2017/College/...Phil Steele’s Inside the Pressbox WK 13 UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK *this is a Best Bet H Utah

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 109 9/2 59-0 W 94 66 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 99 123 8/31 7-17 L 123 110 125 85 57 41-0 0-1 0-0 0-0 114 113 9/8 21-44 L 87 47 22 83 63 79 0-1 1-0 0-0 0-0 102 115 9/9 17-21 L 123 108 125 42 92 1161-1 1-1 0-0 0-0 110 103 9/16 42-30 W 89 59 17 87 98 97 0-2 0-0 104 9/16 33-10 W 121 114 1092-1 2-0 0-0 0-0 110 109 9/23 27-20 W 77 66 11 99 83 96 #13 #81 1-2 1-2 0-0 0-0 106 104 9/23 34-31 W 108 109 128 78 113 553-1 0-5 1-0 0-1 112 101 9/30 58-50 W 76 66 14 97 110 119 #102 #21 2-2 1-3 0-0 0-0 106 96 9/30 27-13 W 99 107 124 130 122 854-1 2-3 1-0 0-1 112 100 10/7 23-26 L 71 67 16 73 91 121 #39 #37 3-2 3-2 1-0 1-0 107 118 10/7 68-71 L 95 107 124 94 79 234-2 1-5 1-1 1-1 108 98 10/14 48-30 W 66 66 3 103 126 31 #9 #69 3-3 3-2 1-1 1-0 108 115 10/14 13-14 L 90 114 102 100 51 1155-2 2-5 2-1 1-2 110 98 10/21 48-3 W 60 63 10 130 103 95 #21 #25 3-4 2-5 1-2 1-2 108 102 10/21 14-24 L 106 116 104 100 92 896-2 3-5 3-1 2-2 114 105 10/31 45-28 W 51 64 6 99 90 88 #13 #102 3-5 4-4 1-3 3-1 105 106 10/28 20-21 L 109 112 103 118 87 1267-2 8-1 4-1 5-0 114 123 11/8 38-10 W 46 66 7 28 69 7 #110 #32 3-6 2-7 1-4 2-3 105 93 11/7 38-28 W 106 111 104 96 126 228-2 5-5 5-1 4-2 114 106 11/14 34-37 L 45 61 11 116 90 126 #53 #69 4-6 2-4 105 11/8 96 111 1068-3 5-2 119 11/18 41 56 14 #52 #46 4-6 2-8 2-4 0-6 105 83 11/16 40-24 W 89 107 106 126 125 1308-3 5-6 5-2 3-4 115 105 11/24 42 61 6 79 106 102 #34 #103 5-6 8-3 3-4 5-2 105 115 11/24 79 106 102 42 61 6

#42 #48-2 -1

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

Hampton 59-0 312 15 1 22 53-248 4.7 13-19 172 0 7 32-47 1.5 6-24 61 3 at Minnesota 7-17 -146 -8 0 13 22-51 2.3 22-42 211 1 21 51-169 3.3 19-32 239 0at Purdue 21-44 -162 -2 -2 23 38-173 4.6 17-29 223 1 25 44-263 6.0 15-23 295 1 at Army West Point 17-21 -27 -8 -2 11 23-119 5.2 9-16 193 2 19 66-322 4.9 2-8 17 0 Kansas 42-30 -1 -1 0 22 42-196 4.7 16-22 254 1 23 32-108 3.4 30-47 343 5 Colgate 33-10 263 8 0 26 58-302 5.2 9-16 184 0 18 38-167 4.4 6-23 56 2at Eastern Michigan 27-20 18 4 -1 19 46-171 3.7 19-31 197 4 15 27-45 1.7 29-49 305 2 Florida Atlantic 34-31 46 6 1 28 57-204 3.6 18-27 254 2 22 37-262 7.1 17-29 150 1at UMass 58-50 -71 -5 2 25 40-298 7.5 13-24 181 2 30 37-147 4.0 33-58 403 2 at Kent St 27-13 -67 -6 0 18 44-235 5.3 11-18 142 0 24 40-124 3.1 19-31 320 4 Central Michigan 23-26 33 3 -3 21 39-190 4.9 17-31 160 2 18 31-68 2.2 25-35 249 2 Western Michigan 68-71 38 -3 0 30 33-86 2.6 35-61 597 0 33 68-376 5.5 24-31 269 1at Bowling Green 48-30 19 -4 2 18 43-335 7.8 7-22 105 0 22 47-229 4.9 17-43 192 2 Northern Illinois 13-14 -58 -13 1 15 27-39 1.4 21-34 344 4 28 56-217 3.9 20-31 224 2 Kent St 48-3 308 16 1 23 43-336 7.8 9-20 138 3 7 37-102 2.8 7-17 64 4 at Miami, OH 14-24 -78 -2 -2 14 25-69 2.8 17-41 202 3 16 43-172 4.0 13-20 177 0 Miami, OH 45-28 -5 5 2 26 36-149 4.1 21-33 294 0 21 23-98 4.3 28-51 350 1 at Akron 20-21 87 9 0 28 34-146 4.3 34-50 313 1 19 25-81 3.2 21-29 291 1 Toledo 38-10 216 9 -1 23 56-393 7.0 7-15 139 1 14 23-53 2.3 24-35 263 4 Bowling Green 38-28 188 5 1 26 40-176 4.4 23-37 406 0 21 30-100 3.3 28-43 294 3at Akron 34-37 -48 5 -3 23 43-282 6.6 10-23 113 0 18 32-121 3.8 22-38 322 0 Bye Bye at Ball St 40-24 228 8 0 26 39-215 5.5 16-28 350 2 18 37-194 5.2 15-29 143 2at Buffalo Ohio

Average 40-25 56.3 4.1 -0.2 22 44-252 5.8 55.4% 180 5.2% 18 33-116 3.5 56.2% 259 6.2% Average 28-25 43.1 -0.4 -0.1 21 37-149 4.1 58.1% 291 4.1% 22 45-199 4.4 60.1% 198 5.2% Conference 38-22 77.3 5.4 -0.4 22 44-265 6.1 51.4% 164 5.7% 16 31-102 3.3 56.7% 249 5.6% Conference 31-28 48.3 -0.3 0.0 22 35-138 4.0 58.4% 336 3.7% 23 43-181 4.2 65.4% 245 6.1% Away 38-36 -48.8 -0.4 -0.4 22 42-252 6.0 51.2% 164 5.4% 22 37-161 4.3 55.0% 303 3.3% Home 37-31 95.4 0.6 0.6 25 43-161 3.8 60.6% 357 3.4% 24 46-224 4.9 60.5% 199 5.7%

Hampton Quinton Maxwell 7-9-100-1-1 AJ Ouellette 12-63-5.3-0 Cameron Odom 4-75-18.8-0 at Minnesota Tyree Jackson 22-42-211-1-1 Johnathan Hawkins 10-21-2.1-0 Anthony Johnson 11-140-12.7-1at Purdue Nathan Rourke 16-23-224-1-0 Julian Ross 9-55-6.1-1 Papi White 6-98-16.3-0 at Army West Point Tyree Jackson 9-16-193-1-0 Tyree Jackson 10-75-7.5-1 Anthony Johnson 3-82-27.3-0 Kansas Nathan Rourke 11-16-152-2-0 AJ Ouellette 10-102-10.2-1 Brendan Cope 5-104-20.8-0 vs. Colgate Tyree Jackson 9-16-184-1-0 Emmanuel Reed 22-120-5.5-1 Anthony Johnson 2-60-30.0-1at Eastern Michigan Nathan Rourke 19-32-197-2-0 AJ Ouellette 26-145-5.6-0 Cameron Odom 5-56-11.2-1 Florida Atlantic Tyree Jackson 11-18-145-0-0 Emmanuel Reed 26-107-4.1-0 Anthony Johnson 6-87-14.5-1at UMass Nathan Rourke 13-24-181-2-0 AJ Ouellette 12-125-10.4-1 Brendan Cope 7-126-18.0-1 at Kent St Drew Anderson 11-18-142-1-1 Emmanuel Reed 33-144-4.4-3 Anthony Johnson 4-67-16.8-0 Central Michigan Nathan Rourke 17-31-160-0-1 Nathan Rourke 13-105-8.1-3 Brendan Cope 6-58-9.7-0 vs. Western Michigan Drew Anderson 35-61-597-7-0 Theo Anderson 16-44-2.8-0 Anthony Johnson 11-195-17.7-2at Bowling Green Nathan Rourke 7-22-105-1-2 Nathan Rourke 8-143-17.9-3 Andrew Meyer 3-84-28.0-1 Northern Illinois Drew Anderson 13-18-191-1-0 Emmanuel Reed 15-37-2.5-0 Anthony Johnson 7-140-20.0-0 Kent St Nathan Rourke 8-17-132-2-0 Dorian Brown 13-108-8.3-1 Papi White 2-82-41.0-0 at Miami, OH Kyle Vantrease 17-41-202-2-1 Emmanuel Reed 13-56-4.3-0 Kamathi Holsey 3-67-22.3-0 Miami, OH Nathan Rourke 21-33-294-3-0 AJ Ouellette 20-80-4.0-0 Brendan Cope 5-89-17.8-1 vs. at Akron Tyree Jackson 34-50-313-0-1 Emmanuel Reed 28-116-4.1-2 Kamathi Holsey 7-100-14.3-0 Toledo Nathan Rourke 7-15-139-1-1 Dorian Brown 17-142-8.4-2 Papi White 3-91-30.3-0 Bowling Green Tyree Jackson 23-37-406-3-0 Theo Anderson 22-133-6.0-1 Anthony Johnson 8-160-20.0-2at Akron Nathan Rourke 9-22-110-0-2 Nathan Rourke 15-165-11.0-2 Papi White 6-68-11.3-0 Bye Bye vs. at Ball St Tyree Jackson 16-28-350-4-1 Emmanuel Reed 18-123-6.8-0 Anthony Johnson 7-153-21.9-4at Buffalo Ohio

vs.

Nathan Rourke 134-245-1766-14-6 AJ Ouellette 183-976-5.3-7 Brendan Cope 35-494-14.1-4 Tyree Jackson 124-207-1802-10-3 Emmanuel Reed 181-777-4.3-8 Anthony Johnson 70-1201-17.2-12Quinton Maxwell 14-24-220-2-2 Nathan Rourke 118-828-7.0-19 Papi White 26-471-18.1-2 vs. Drew Anderson 66-106-1039-10-1 Theo Anderson 94-413-4.4-2 KJ Osborn 33-478-14.5-4Brendan Cope 1-1-3-1-0 Dorian Brown 99-592-6.0-7 Andrew Meyer 28-393-14.0-2 Kyle Vantrease 25-57-355-2-2 Tyree Jackson 45-211-4.7-4 Kamathi Holsey 27-471-17.4-1

Category

2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Ohio - -19.5 34 18 39-156

Buffalo - 51.5 10 19 38-105 -22015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Ohio - -2.5 17 22 34-54

Buffalo - 53.5 41 19 34-161 42014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Ohio - -9 37 19 55-233

Buffalo - 54 14 7 25-28 -22013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Ohio - 56 3 17 34-69

Buffalo - -3.5 30 20 42-252 02012 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's

Ohio - -14 38 16 36-149

Buffalo - 57 31 30 56-313 -2

2017 TEAM RANKINGS

Net Offense Defense

Oh

io B

obca

ts

LEA

DER

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TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

Bu

ffal

o B

ulls

Net Offense

Total TO'sYpg Diff

1.98

Ohio QB/WR

Buffalo DB's

Ohio Buffalo

2.20

Ohio OL

TM REC FOE REC

Bulls Logs

Ohio Bobcats OVERALL: OVERALL:

TM CONF

FOE CONF TM +/- FOE +/-

Buffalo Bulls8-3 5-6Bobcats Logs vs. MAC vs. MAC

TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE --PS RANK--5-2 3-4TM REC FOE REC TM CONF FOE CONF

Score Score

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Passing

AP

Central Michigan Total Off Western Michiganat Bowling Green Score Off Northern Illinois

at Eastern Michigan Rush Off Florida Atlanticat UMass Pass Off at Kent St

at Minnesotaat Purdue

Ohio Buffaloat Army West Point

Kansas Colgate

Bye Score Def at Ball Stat Buffalo Sks By

Ohio BuffaloProjected Final Score

Ohio Buffalo

ReceivingRushing

FOE

FOE FOETM +/- FOE +/-

AP

NCAA RANKINGSTEAM

Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders

Defense

Ohio

Toledo Pass Def Bowling Greenat Akron Total Def Bye

Kent St Sks Allowed at Miami, OH Miami, OH Rush Def at Akron

Hampton

Computer Yards1.8312.55

Ohio Pts

Ohio LeadersOhio DB's

1.83

Buffalo QB/WR

Comp-Att-Yds

12-22-216

Buffalo Leaders

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

Ret

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Projected Box Score 1.86

Ohio ST's

33 points Ohio Buffalo 24 points

24-40-308 Projected Rushing113 yards

Projected PassingOhio Buffalo 311 yards

Projected Yardage Total424 yards410 yards

1.16

Ohio RB's

Buffalo LB's

1.70

Ohio LB'S

Buffalo RB's

0.21

Ohio DL

Buffalo OL

Team & Margin

1.94

Ohio K

Buffalo K

Buffalo DL

Las Vegas Total61.5 Points

+/- RatingsOhio By 7.0

Game Grade

Phil's Forecast:

Las Vegas LineBuffalo ST's Ohio By 4

228 yards Ohio Buffalo

183 yards

Experience Rankings Buffalo Pts

62

Buffalo 114

Ohio 33-24

Team Schedule Strength Ohio Ohio by 9 Ohio 33 Buffalo 24By 10.72 Points

POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

The home team is 9-2 including 7 straight wins. Last year Ohio won 34-10 at home, but Buffalo won as a home dog here in ‘15 by a score of 41-17 so the home team has won the last 4 by 24.5 ppg. Ohio was eliminated from the MAC East Title chance with Akron’s win on Tuesday. Ohio has a large defensive edge as they are holding MAC foes to 34 ypg below their season average and Buffalo is yielding 73 yards above opp’s averages. Buffalo has put up 38 and 40 points since Tyree Jackson returned to the lineup and he has a 7-1 ratio the last two games, but vs two of the MAC’s weakest defenses in BG and Ball St. They lost to Akron on the road in his first game back. Ohio averages 5.8 ypc while Buffalo is just 4.1 and on defense OU allows 3.5 and Buffalo gives up 4.4.76

Ohio By 3.31.50

Ohio Coaches

Phil Steele

Buffalo 424-410

116 Ohio

Computer Points

Buffalo Coaches

17-38-164

13-23-169

Comp-Att-Yds

19-36-188

15-27-184

Comp-Att-Yds

33-54-370

21-32-212

Comp-Att-Yds

8-19-156

12-25-106

Comp-Att-Yds

Page 11: Phil Steele’s Inside the Pressboxplus.philsteele.com/inside_the_pressbox/2017/College/...Phil Steele’s Inside the Pressbox WK 13 UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK *this is a Best Bet H Utah

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0-0 0-0 117 9/2 72-43 W 16 53 77 0-0 0-0 120 8/31 49-7 W 23 51 1021-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 117 118 9/9 13-31 L 12 64 77 32 26 126 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 120 126 23 9/9 7-28 L 21 45 102 10 15 261-1 1-1 0-1 0-0 112 117 9/16 3-35 L 10 71 80 77 72 93 1-1 0-0 117 9/16 28 41 941-2 2-1 0-1 0-0 108 126 15 9/23 14-51 L 22 78 46 24 9 23 #34 #60 1-1 2-1 0-0 0-0 117 117 9/23 43-50 L 34 39 122 36 15 31-3 0-2 104 9/30 24 82 44 #16 #90 1-2 2-2 0-1 0-1 114 104 9/30 42-24 W 31 56 122 40 85 1191-3 4-1 0-2 1-1 104 119 10/7 34-40 L 26 85 49 78 35 37 #11 #100 2-2 3-2 0-1 1-2 115 117 10/7 22-48 L 24 54 126 60 28 1201-4 6-0 0-3 3-0 106 139 4 10/14 28-53 L 22 83 36 18 4 22 #13 #73 2-3 6-0 0-2 3-0 111 146 1 10/14 9-41 L 32 55 116 1 1 231-5 2-4 0-4 1-2 108 100 10/21 68-21 W 27 97 37 110 109 90 #7 #118 2-4 5-2 0-3 3-1 112 130 21 10/21 20-52 L 35 62 109 19 9 282-5 3-4 0-4 2-3 112 99 10/28 52-12 W 22 93 26 103 104 115 #66 #92 2-5 3-4 0-4 1-3 109 115 10/28 38-37 W 41 78 87 24 76 393-5 3-4 0-4 3-3 116 119 11/4 45-16 W 19 82 24 67 36 53 #108 #73 3-5 1-7 1-4 0-5 112 87 11/4 39-38 W 37 86 89 125 124 944-5 4-5 1-4 0-5 120 115 11/11 50-17 W 16 74 19 88 38 24 #91 #83 4-5 6-3 1-4 3-2 108 129 11/11 10-33 L 35 88 88 31 5 905-5 4-6 2-4 0-6 124 108 11/18 45-17 W 14 65 15 94 59 120 #88 #111 4-6 7-3 1-5 3-3 108 128 17 11/18 21-28 L 36 87 91 22 20 236-5 4-7 3-4 1-6 126 109 11/25 12 57 19 40 84 74 #19 #103 4-7 6-5 1-6 3-4 109 126 11/25 40 84 74 12 57 19

#32 #97-3 -2

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

Missouri St 72-43 323 14 0 35 41-294 7.2 21-34 521 1 21 39-139 3.6 24-35 353 4 Florida A&M 49-7 240 17 0 26 45-236 5.2 16-22 179 2 9 31-80 2.6 14-29 95 3 South Carolina 13-31 64 1 -3 21 37-178 4.8 14-32 245 1 20 40-172 4.3 18-28 187 1 TCU 7-28 -94 -11 1 13 31-129 4.2 9-23 138 3 24 42-195 4.6 21-31 166 1 Purdue 3-35 -274 -16 -2 10 24-70 2.9 12-28 133 0 26 50-205 4.1 26-34 272 3 Bye Auburn 14-51 -142 -1 -4 21 31-124 4.0 23-39 216 2 22 53-263 5.0 16-21 219 1 † Texas A&M 43-50 -44 1 0 21 45-226 5.0 13-27 231 6 20 42-285 6.8 14-27 216 1 Bye New Mexico St 42-24 139 11 1 29 51-230 4.5 19-26 264 0 18 14-11 0.8 23-38 344 2at Kentucky 34-40 82 2 -1 24 33-213 6.5 22-43 355 1 22 39-188 4.8 22-37 298 1 at South Carolina 22-48 -28 0 -4 19 32-106 3.3 20-37 224 2 19 36-159 4.4 16-31 199 1at Georgia 28-53 -384 -14 0 10 24-59 2.5 15-25 253 0 24 51-370 7.3 18-26 326 1 at Alabama 9-41 -269 -8 1 15 29-27 0.9 23-43 200 5 23 43-308 7.2 13-21 188 2 Idaho 68-21 380 13 0 28 30-183 6.1 24-34 475 1 15 38-81 2.1 22-36 197 5 Auburn 20-52 -295 -7 -1 19 42-171 4.1 15-26 163 6 26 47-345 7.3 21-30 284 0at Connecticut 52-12 229 8 0 31 34-175 5.1 34-43 408 2 23 41-121 3.0 22-52 233 5 at Mississippi 38-37 -112 5 1 27 53-265 5.0 19-30 189 4 22 29-198 6.8 20-30 368 1 Florida 45-16 106 9 1 26 46-227 4.9 15-21 228 0 17 31-93 3.0 20-29 256 1 Coastal Carolina 39-38 164 0 -1 21 35-259 7.4 16-25 264 0 21 38-131 3.4 15-28 228 1 Tennessee 50-17 374 13 3 29 53-433 8.2 14-30 226 1 16 36-146 4.1 16-32 139 5 at LSU 10-33 -97 -4 -1 17 34-142 4.2 16-33 176 1 21 39-198 5.1 11-16 217 2at Vanderbilt 45-17 27 -8 3 17 39-191 4.9 10-25 235 0 25 30-51 1.7 28-52 348 2 Miss St 21-28 -127 -7 1 12 34-97 2.9 12-18 124 4 19 48-195 4.1 12-23 153 2at Arkansas Missouri

Average 39-31 71.4 1.9 -0.3 23 36-195 5.5 57.6% 300 2.5% 21 41-166 4.1 60.7% 257 7.6% Average 27-35 -47.5 -0.3 -0.2 20 39-172 4.4 57.4% 196 10.6% 20 37-191 5.1 59.2% 223 5.3% Conference 33-32 18.1 0.3 -0.1 21 38-204 5.4 52.6% 251 2.3% 21 40-183 4.6 61.3% 253 5.3% Conference 23-41 -138.9 -2.9 -0.4 19 38-148 3.8 55.1% 187 13.1% 21 41-241 5.9 60.1% 232 5.1% Away 40-31 -11.5 -3.0 0.5 21 33-160 4.9 59.6% 313 2.2% 24 40-183 4.5 53.9% 301 5.4% Home 30-30 4.5 0.5 0.2 20 40-187 4.7 62.1% 189 10.7% 20 37-160 4.4 59.2% 212 5.0%

Missouri St Drew Lock 21-34-521-7-1 Damarea Crockett 18-202-11.2-2 J'Mon Moore 4-187-46.8-2 Florida A&M Austin Allen 14-19-135-1-1 Chase Hayden 14-120-8.6-1 David Williams 2-48-24.0-0 South Carolina Drew Lock 14-32-245-1-2 Damarea Crockett 18-97-5.4-0 Jason Reese 2-88-44.0-1 TCU Austin Allen 9-23-138-1-0 David Williams 10-65-6.5-0 Jonathan Nance 3-75-25.0-1 Purdue Drew Lock 12-28-133-0-2 Ish Witter 7-25-3.6-0 J'Mon Moore 3-61-20.3-0 vs. Bye Auburn Drew Lock 23-39-216-2-1 Damarea Crockett 13-57-4.4-0 Johnathon Johnson 10-85-8.5-0 † Texas A&M Austin Allen 12-25-229-2-1 Chase Hayden 13-77-5.9-1 Jonathan Nance 3-100-33.3-1 Bye New Mexico St Austin Allen 19-26-264-3-1 Devwah Whaley 19-119-6.3-1 Jordan Jones 4-84-21.0-0at Kentucky Drew Lock 22-42-355-3-0 Ish Witter 17-139-8.2-0 Emanuel Hall 4-129-32.3-1 vs. at South Carolina Cole Kelley 8-13-140-1-1 David Williams 7-32-4.6-1 Jonathan Nance 8-116-14.5-1at Georgia Drew Lock 15-25-253-4-1 Damarea Crockett 9-32-3.6-0 Emanuel Hall 4-141-35.3-2 at Alabama Cole Kelley 23-42-200-1-1 Devwah Whaley 5-18-3.6-0 Jordan Jones 4-72-18.0-1 Idaho Drew Lock 23-33-467-6-1 Larry Rountree 12-97-8.1-0 J'Mon Moore 11-174-15.8-1 Auburn Cole Kelley 15-26-163-0-0 David Williams 14-86-6.1-0 Jordan Jones 2-33-16.5-0at Connecticut Drew Lock 31-37-377-5-0 Ish Witter 10-73-7.3-1 Johnathon Johnson 5-128-25.6-1 vs. at Mississippi Cole Kelley 19-30-189-3-1 TJ Hammonds 11-89-8.1-0 Deon Stewart 4-49-12.3-1 Florida Drew Lock 15-20-228-3-1 Larry Rountree 15-83-5.5-3 Emanuel Hall 5-113-22.6-0 Coastal Carolina Cole Kelley 16-25-264-1-0 TJ Hammonds 7-119-17.0-1 Jonathan Nance 2-61-30.5-0 Tennessee Drew Lock 13-28-217-4-1 Ish Witter 24-216-9.0-1 Emanuel Hall 5-102-20.4-2 at LSU Austin Allen 13-23-140-0-0 David Williams 13-81-6.2-0 Will Gragg 3-47-15.7-0at Vanderbilt Drew Lock 10-25-235-3-0 Ish Witter 16-102-6.4-0 Albert Okwuegbunam 5-116-23.2-2 vs. Miss St Austin Allen 12-18-124-0-0 David Williams 8-75-9.4-1 Deon Stewart 2-39-19.5-0at Arkansas Missouri

vs.

Drew Lock 199-343-3247-38-10 Ish Witter 132-822-6.2-4 J'Mon Moore 50-857-17.1-9 Austin Allen 91-158-1114-8-4 David Williams 106-581-5.5-6 Jonathan Nance 37-539-14.6-5Micah Wilson 5-10-48-0-1 Larry Rountree 97-577-5.9-6 Emanuel Hall 31-706-22.8-6 vs. Cole Kelley 87-151-1038-8-4 Devwah Whaley 116-504-4.3-6 Deon Stewart 27-336-12.4-3Team 0-1-0-0-0 Damarea Crockett 80-481-6.0-2 Johnathon Johnson 37-615-16.6-5 Blake Johnson 0-1-0-0-0 Chase Hayden 61-326-5.3-4 Jordan Jones 19-279-14.7-2

Category

2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Missouri - 72.5 28 15 30-131

Arkansas - -8 24 27 46-155 -12015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Missouri - 44 3 8 25-88

Arkansas - -14 28 19 52-208 02014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Missouri 17 44.5 21 26 41-158

Arkansas - -3 14 18 30-155 0

vs.

Net Offense Defense

Mis

sou

ri T

iger

s

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

Ark

ansa

s R

azor

bac

ks

Net Offense

Score

By Game Yardage Leaders

2.48

Missouri QB/WR

Arkansas DB's

Missouri Arkansas

1.15

Missouri OL

Arkansas DL

TCU Purdue Bye

† Texas A&M Bye Pass Off New Mexico St Auburn Rush Off

Total TO'sYpg Diff

at Vanderbilt Score Def Miss Stat Arkansas Sks By Missouri

Florida Pass Def Coastal Carolina Tennessee Total Def at LSU

TM REC FOE REC

South CarolinaMissouri

4-7

Florida A&M Missouri St

OVERALL: OVERALL:

6-5Tigers Logs Razorbacks Logs

FOE +/-AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE TEAM --PS RANK--3-4 1-6

TM REC FOE RECNCAA RANKINGS

TM CONF

FOE CONF TM +/-

Arkansas Razorbacksvs. SEC vs. SEC

Missouri Tigers

ReceivingRushing

FOE

FOE FOEFOE CONF TM +/- FOE +/-

APTM CONF

Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders

Defense

Score

Passing Rushing Receiving Passing

2017 TEAM RANKINGS

Idaho Sks Allowed Auburnat Connecticut Rush Def at Mississippi

at South Carolinaat Georgia Score Off at Alabamaat Kentucky Total Off

Arkansas

1.63

Missouri RB's

Arkansas LB's

Missouri LB'S0.70

Arkansas RB's

0.13

Missouri DL

Arkansas OL

0.69

493 yards Missouri Arkansas 453 yards

Missouri Leaders

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

288 yards Missouri11-17-102

16-26-268

Arkansas K

271 yards

205 yardsProjected Passing

1.04Missouri Arkansas 182 yards

Arkansas

Projected Rushing

Arkansas Leaders

Team & Margin

1.16

Missouri KLas Vegas Total

Arkansas QB/WR

Missouri DB's

Missouri ST's

Arkansas ST'sLas Vegas Line

Arkansas 32 points

Missouri Phil Steele69 Missouri Arkansas 41

Phil's Forecast:

Last year MO LB Eric Beisel said it would be “a huge mistake” for Arkansas to even show up for their game, and referred to them as Ar-Kansas then Ark blew a 24-7 HT lead (318-137). Beisel returns and Ark will be out for some serious revenge. The home team is a perfect 3-0 in their SEC meetings. This could be the last game for Bret Bielema and the Hogs figure to play inspired ball. Drew Lock has a 33-7 ratio the last 7 games. Missouri is allowing SEC foes 75 ypg above their season average and Arkansas is only slightly better at 51 above. Austin Allen has returned for Arkansas at QB and looked rusty vs the tough defenses of LSU and Miss St and should have a better game here.

Missouri By 10

Missouri By 12.8

Missouri By 4.0

70 Points

Game Grade

+/- Ratings

1.95

Missouri 493-4537.13

Missouri Pts3.81

Arkansas PtsComputer Points

Computer Yards

19

Missouri by 4 Missouri 42 Arkansas 38By 3.32 Points

90 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: Missouri 44-32

Ret

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Projected Box Score

Projected Final Score44 points Missouri

Arkansas Coaches

Missouri Coaches

Projected Yardage Total

Experience RankingsMissouri Arkansas

Team Schedule Strength

24-39-348

Comp-Att-Yds

9-27-83

Comp-Att-Yds

25-42-265

13-30-133

Comp-Att-Yds

Page 12: Phil Steele’s Inside the Pressboxplus.philsteele.com/inside_the_pressbox/2017/College/...Phil Steele’s Inside the Pressbox WK 13 UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK *this is a Best Bet H Utah

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 106 9/2 38-14 W 63 127 14 0-0 0-0 117 9/2 38-17 W 92 41 101-0 0-1 0-0 0-0 105 103 9/9 28-30 L 62 121 14 56 104 110 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 116 112 9/9 30-20 W 79 49 10 47 48 901-1 1-1 0-0 0-0 103 111 9/14 14-28 L 65 104 13 69 45 71 2-0 1-1 0-0 0-1 117 127 19 9/16 20-17 W 73 50 6 12 28 161-2 1-2 0-1 0-0 103 116 9/23 16-13 W 86 99 33 32 127 61 #15 #14 3-0 1-1 0-0 0-0 120 112 22 9/23 28-24 W 83 51 9 57 107 622-2 1-2 0-1 0-1 107 112 9/30 56-38 W 85 94 35 72 111 32 #124 #117 4-0 2-1 1-0 0-0 120 115 19 9/30 34-28 W 87 60 34 103 62 1013-2 1-1 112 10/7 72 95 35 #95 #62 5-0 2-2 1-0 1-0 120 101 19 10/7 41-10 W 90 58 17 38 127 1133-2 3-2 1-1 2-0 112 107 10/14 0-38 L 73 91 48 84 100 69 #112 #55 6-0 3-2 2-0 1-0 122 111 19 10/14 14-31 L 85 53 34 94 59 143-3 5-2 1-2 3-0 107 117 10/20 24-27 L 76 99 53 31 91 52 #25 #85 6-1 4-2 2-1 3-0 117 112 10/21 3-27 L 87 55 44 72 84 773-4 4-3 1-3 2-1 108 109 10/28 3-42 L 70 95 58 125 81 68 #44 #11 6-2 3-4 2-2 1-3 112 95 10/28 28-7 W 95 61 41 56 128 1303-5 4-5 1-4 2-3 104 107 11/4 10-24 L 87 97 38 102 96 2 #96 #24 7-2 1-8 3-2 0-4 113 83 11/4 52-7 W 93 47 56 123 126 263-6 5-4 1-5 3-3 101 119 11/11 14-55 L 94 98 42 44 27 4 #66 #11 8-2 4-2 117 11/11 83 42 693-7 4-6 1-5 3-3 99 98 11/17 35-38 L 103 101 43 60 127 123 #96 #19 8-2 2-8 4-2 2-4 117 107 11/18 42-23 W 78 42 67 84 116 963-8 9-2 1-6 5-2 97 118 11/24 99 108 46 71 44 56 #88 #54 9-2 3-8 5-2 1-6 118 97 11/25 71 44 56 99 108 46

#85 #20-16 +8

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

Abilene Christian 38-14 199 1 1 21 40-259 6.5 12-18 222 3 20 21-8 0.4 35-55 274 2 UC Davis 38-17 198 11 1 27 52-276 5.3 17-23 237 2 16 27-57 2.1 19-24 258 1 New Mexico St 28-30 -70 -2 -2 21 37-176 4.8 20-38 254 1 23 26-99 3.8 34-57 401 1 at Arizona St 30-20 10 -1 1 14 43-279 6.5 9-18 73 4 15 31-44 1.4 20-33 298 5at Boise St 14-28 13 6 -2 18 51-198 3.9 8-16 79 1 12 32-127 4.0 15-19 137 1 Stanford 20-17 120 12 3 21 49-171 3.5 21-29 187 6 9 22-174 7.9 9-20 64 4at Tulsa 16-13 160 10 -2 25 59-338 5.7 9-14 108 1 15 31-155 5.0 13-27 131 2 at Air Force 28-24 114 5 0 19 41-187 4.6 10-16 180 1 14 60-220 3.7 2-6 33 0 Air Force 56-38 113 -10 2 16 41-363 8.9 4-9 146 0 26 63-238 3.8 9-18 158 4 Northern Illinois 34-28 -166 -13 4 10 36-127 3.5 10-20 136 1 23 46-160 3.5 24-40 269 4 Bye at UNLV 41-10 244 17 -1 27 45-302 6.7 14-24 172 1 10 30-104 3.5 9-22 126 3at Fresno St 0-38 -204 -3 -1 14 37-109 2.9 15-30 213 2 17 36-227 6.3 13-23 299 1 Boise St 14-31 12 1 -1 16 39-83 2.1 12-27 240 4 15 34-186 5.5 14-23 125 0 Colorado St 24-27 39 -2 -1 21 48-318 6.6 7-19 132 2 23 35-180 5.1 17-33 231 1 Fresno St 3-27 -120 -1 -1 14 39-165 4.2 11-23 90 4 15 38-199 5.2 10-16 176 0at Wyoming 3-42 -125 -5 -7 13 40-115 2.9 10-25 69 2 18 32-75 2.3 16-28 234 0 at Hawaii 28-7 222 9 -1 21 53-334 6.3 5-11 83 1 12 23-35 1.5 19-33 160 3 Utah St 10-24 97 9 -2 21 57-265 4.6 12-22 75 1 12 24-129 5.4 13-24 114 0 at San Jose St 52-7 448 23 2 31 71-554 7.8 6-7 94 1 8 21-33 1.6 12-22 167 2at Texas A&M 14-55 -418 -14 -1 11 42-120 2.9 7-17 24 1 25 23-63 2.7 30-43 499 1 Bye UNLV 35-38 -52 -6 -1 19 56-482 8.6 0-4 0 1 25 46-323 7.0 13-25 211 5 Nevada 42-23 46 7 1 25 48-289 6.0 15-23 205 0 18 18-34 1.9 33-55 414 1at San Diego St New Mexico

Average 22-32 -22.5 -1.5 -1.5 18 46-249 5.4 49.1% 120 7.1% 20 34-148 4.4 59.1% 244 5.1% Average 30-19 102.5 6.4 0.7 20 47-252 5.4 58.8% 154 11.3% 14 32-113 3.6 58.2% 190 7.8% Conference 20-34 -17.0 -1.6 -1.7 17 47-264 5.6 44.8% 102 7.2% 19 38-186 4.8 56.5% 198 7.1% Conference 30-18 138.0 8.7 -0.1 22 48-273 5.7 55.7% 152 9.2% 13 32-116 3.6 55.9% 172 5.1% Away 9-35 -114.8 -1.2 -2.6 16 46-176 3.8 48.0% 99 6.9% 17 31-129 4.2 62.1% 260 3.6% Home 25-24 15.0 2.8 1.2 19 44-185 4.2 59.3% 183 11.7% 16 31-135 4.4 61.2% 218 5.6%

Abilene Christian Lamar Jordan 11-17-213-1-0 Romell Jordan 3-65-21.7-0 Delane Hart-Johnson 3-77-25.7-0 UC Davis Christian Chapman 16-21-220-2-1 Rashaad Penny 21-197-9.4-2 Kahale Warring 5-74-14.8-1 New Mexico St Tekava Tuioti 10-19-151-2-0 Jay Griffin 1-61-61.0-1 Jay Griffin IV 5-95-19.0-1 at Arizona St Christian Chapman 9-18-73-1-0 Rashaad Penny 18-216-12.0-1 Rashaad Penny 4-38-9.5-1at Boise St Coltin Gerhart 7-13-67-1-1 Coltin Gerhart 8-49-6.1-0 Delane Hart-Johnson 2-24-12.0-0 vs. Stanford Christian Chapman 21-29-187-1-0 Rashaad Penny 32-175-5.5-1 Mikah Holder 7-85-12.1-0at Tulsa Coltin Gerhart 9-14-108-0-1 Coltin Gerhart 24-156-6.5-1 Chris Davis 4-60-15.0-0 at Air Force Christian Chapman 10-16-180-1-0 Rashaad Penny 20-128-6.4-3 Mikah Holder 2-46-23.0-0 Air Force Lamar Jordan 4-9-146-2-0 Richard McQuarley 11-179-16.3-5 Jay Griffin IV 2-75-37.5-1 Northern Illinois Christian Chapman 10-19-136-2-0 Rashaad Penny 25-107-4.3-0 Kahale Warring 3-39-13.0-1 Bye vs. at UNLV Christian Chapman 14-24-172-0-0 Rashaad Penny 27-170-6.3-2 Mikah Holder 9-144-16.0-0at Fresno St Tekava Tuioti 13-24-200-0-1 Tyrone Owens 10-29-2.9-0 Delane Hart-Johnson 2-56-28.0-0 Boise St Christian Chapman 12-27-240-1-0 Rashaad Penny 21-53-2.5-1 Fred Trevillion 2-128-64.0-1 Colorado St Tekava Tuioti 5-16-84-1-0 Tyrone Owens 16-159-9.9-1 Q'Drennan 2-63-31.5-0 Fresno St Christian Chapman 10-20-77-0-0 Rashaad Penny 15-69-4.6-0 Mikah Holder 4-35-8.8-0at Wyoming Tekava Tuioti 8-17-47-0-3 Richard McQuarley 13-43-3.3-0 Delane Hart-Johnson 1-17-17.0-0 vs. at Hawaii Christian Chapman 5-11-83-1-1 Rashaad Penny 30-253-8.4-2 Mikah Holder 3-55-18.3-1 Utah St Tekava Tuioti 8-15-54-0-0 Lamar Jordan 16-85-5.3-0 Jay Griffin IV 5-35-7.0-0 at San Jose St Christian Chapman 4-5-77-1-1 Rashaad Penny 20-234-11.7-3 Fred Trevillion 1-40-40.0-0at Texas A&M Lamar Jordan 4-9-15-0-1 Tyrone Owens 18-58-3.2-0 Jay Griffin IV 4-15-3.8-0 Bye UNLV Tekava Tuioti 0-0-0-0-0 Tyrone Owens 15-164-10.9-1 Zahneer Shuler 0-0-0.0-0 vs. Nevada Christian Chapman 15-23-205-1-0 Rashaad Penny 24-222-9.3-2 Mikah Holder 5-85-17.0-1at San Diego St New Mexico

vs.

Lamar Jordan 40-83-593-3-6 Tyrone Owens 133-743-5.6-4 Jay Griffin IV 23-283-12.3-3 Christian Chapman 126-213-1650-11-3 Rashaad Penny 253-1824-7.2-17 Mikah Holder 39-552-14.2-2Tekava Tuioti 47-98-549-3-4 Richard McQuarley 92-473-5.1-6 Delane Hart-Johnson 13-272-20.9-1 vs. Ryan Agnew 4-7-47-0-0 Juwan Washington 113-631-5.6-6 Kahale Warring 15-233-15.5-2Coltin Gerhart 17-29-180-1-2 Daryl Chestnut 68-443-6.5-4 Chris Davis 24-257-10.7-1 Team 0-1-0-0-0 Chase Jasmin 33-137-4.2-2 Fred Trevillion 7-226-32.3-1

Category

2014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.New Mexico - 51.5 14 15 38-152

San Diego St - -4 24 19 46-397 -32013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.New Mexico - 57.5 30 21 41-253

San Diego St - -14 35 19 41-249 1

vs.

vs.

Net Offense Defense

New

Mex

ico

Lob

os

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

San

Die

go

St

Azt

ecs

Net Offense

Rushing Receiving Passing

New Mexico QB/WR

0.40

San Diego St DB's

New Mexico San Diego St

New Mexico OL0.24

Total TO'sYpg Diff

UNLV Score Def Nevadaat San Diego St Sks By New Mexico

Utah St Pass Def at San Jose Stat Texas A&M Total Def Bye

Colorado St Sks Allowed Fresno Stat Wyoming Rush Def at Hawaii

at UNLVat Fresno St Score Off Boise St Bye Total Off

Stanford

Abilene Christian 2017 TEAM RANKINGS

at Air Force Air Force Pass Off Northern Illinoisat Tulsa Rush Off

TM REC FOE REC

UC Davis New Mexico St

New Mexico San Diego Stat Arizona St

at Boise St

San Diego St Aztecs3-8 9-2Lobos Logs vs. MTW vs. MTW

New Mexico Lobos OVERALL: OVERALL:

Aztecs LogsTM

CONFFOE

CONF TM +/- FOE +/-AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE --PS RANK--TEAM1-6 5-2

TM REC FOE RECNCAA RANKINGS

ReceivingRushing

FOE

FOE FOEFOE CONF TM +/- FOE +/-

APTM CONF

Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders

Defense

Score Score

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing

San Diego St DL

0.25

New Mexico RB's

San Diego St LB's

New Mexico DL0.76

San Diego St OL

San Diego St Leaders

New Mexico LB'S

2.38

San Diego St RB's

New Mexico LeadersNew Mexico DB's

1.58San Diego St QB/WR

Phil's Forecast:

Las Vegas Line

New Mexico Coaches

0.45

New Mexico K

San Diego St By 19.0

San Diego St K

Projected Yardage TotalGame Grade

236 yards New Mexico San Diego St 436 yards San Diego St Coaches

San Diego St 192 yards

New MexicoProjected Final Score

Experience RankingsSan Diego St 35 points

New Mexico San Diego St92 115

San Diego St 436-236

Computer PointsPOSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

0.55

New Mexico Pts5.81

Team & MarginLast Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

Projected Rushing0.10New Mexico San Diego St 243 yards

Projected Passing

11-24-111

5-17-73

62 yards New Mexico

By 5.26 Points

Ret

urn

to

Tab

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onte

nts

Projected Box Score 0.19

New Mexico ST's

San Diego St ST's

San Diego St

11 points

San Diego St by 25 San Diego St 35 New Mexico 10

Rocky Long was the head coach at New Mexico from 1998-2008. SDSt has won the last 5 in this series by 11 ppg and SDSt is 11-3 in Qualcomm Stadium regular season finales. Long does well preparing for the option. Since their back to back losses mid-year the Aztecs have got back to their usual dominating MW teams and have won the last 3 by 31 ppg and plus 239 ypg. New Mexico is a respectable -17 ypg in MW play despite their 1-6 record. Unlike last year when they wrapped up the MW West early and had the title game on deck, this year this is their season finale. New Mexico has lost their last 3 road games by 38, 39 and 41. Rashaad Penny had over 400 all-purpose yards last week and should have success vs a Lobo defense allowing 4.8 ypc in MW play

San Diego St By 20

Las Vegas Total48 Points

+/- RatingsSan Diego St By 25.0

Phil Steele

Comp-Att-Yds

10-20-170173 yards

San Diego St Pts

Computer Yards

San Diego St 35-11

Team Schedule Strength95 New Mexico San Diego St 93

Comp-Att-Yds

17-22-234

Page 13: Phil Steele’s Inside the Pressboxplus.philsteele.com/inside_the_pressbox/2017/College/...Phil Steele’s Inside the Pressbox WK 13 UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK *this is a Best Bet H Utah

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 117 97 9/1 42-19 W 84 101 41 64 113 93 0-0 0-0 119 9/2 39 52 711-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 119 109 9/9 23-21 W 70 84 41 80 81 77 0-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 119 115 9/9 19-16 W 43 54 71 22 102 972-0 1-0 117 9/16 72 88 52 1-0 1-1 0-0 1-0 119 99 9/16 38-3 W 48 58 30 110 106 952-0 2-1 1-0 0-0 117 111 9/23 42-32 W 71 87 87 107 71 100 #2 #52 2-0 2-0 0-0 0-0 121 123 9/23 24-27 L 50 49 72 29 70 533-0 1-3 2-0 0-0 117 112 9/30 31-21 W 46 84 94 44 127 48 #128 #42 2-1 2-2 0-0 0-1 124 107 9/30 20-13 W 54 51 60 120 81 524-0 1-3 3-0 0-2 118 107 10/7 48-45 W 34 90 101 89 123 19 #30 #36 3-1 4-1 1-0 1-0 123 115 10/7 35-22 W 51 45 63 23 97 1225-0 4-1 3-0 1-1 116 118 25 10/14 27-30 L 23 97 86 37 81 9 #40 #65 4-1 1-5 2-0 0-2 123 107 10/14 17-45 L 47 49 68 45 129 675-1 5-0 3-1 3-0 116 126 20 10/21 21-31 L 25 100 80 17 35 31 #7 #17 4-2 5-1 2-1 2-1 118 118 25 10/19 38-42 L 62 51 73 37 83 85-2 3-2 116 10/28 23 103 84 #65 #39 4-3 7-0 2-2 4-0 117 121 17 10/28 28-24 W 52 49 73 31 22 655-2 3-5 3-2 1-3 116 108 11/2 26-34 L 21 104 95 111 75 100 #84 #127 5-3 2-6 3-2 1-3 120 96 11/4 52-27 W 47 42 63 109 130 1145-3 6-3 3-3 3-2 113 113 11/11 43-40 W 32 109 70 27 99 89 #72 #99 6-3 4-2 120 11/11 39 44 626-3 8-2 4-3 6-2 113 135 9 11/18 17-24 L 32 109 63 4 17 118 #86 #43 6-3 4-6 4-2 2-4 120 105 11/18 17-20 L 42 46 61 92 111 1156-4 6-4 4-3 4-3 116 116 11/24 38 101 68 37 52 63 #118 #83 6-4 6-4 4-3 4-3 116 116 11/24 37 52 63 38 101 68

12/2 #45 #698-3 1-0 114 12/9 62 96 32 -7 -1

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

at Florida Atlantic 42-19 200 7 0 23 68-416 6.1 3-10 110 0 16 24-40 1.7 21-33 286 2 at Bye Tulane 23-21 64 4 -2 15 52-194 3.7 4-12 132 3 11 46-191 4.2 8-13 71 1 at Arizona 19-16 12 -3 0 18 37-158 4.3 25-32 225 0 21 39-152 3.9 22-37 219 1 Bye Rice 38-3 242 8 3 22 37-130 3.5 34-38 354 2 14 35-129 3.7 11-25 113 3 Cincinnati 42-32 183 9 0 31 72-569 7.9 2-3 53 0 22 23-58 2.5 28-46 381 2 Texas Tech 24-27 -94 8 -4 25 31-110 3.5 32-52 317 2 17 33-200 6.1 29-45 321 2at Tulsa 31-21 167 12 -1 24 68-421 6.2 3-4 90 0 12 39-229 5.9 12-18 115 0 at Temple 20-13 64 1 2 23 31-162 5.2 25-36 226 0 22 37-142 3.8 20-42 182 1 Air Force 48-45 -64 -5 2 22 57-471 8.3 4-12 86 0 27 55-340 6.2 10-17 281 2 SMU 35-22 -81 -3 0 27 40-265 6.6 20-28 198 0 30 26-147 5.7 41-59 397 2at Memphis 27-30 -63 -5 -4 19 68-314 4.6 1-8 20 1 24 29-118 4.1 24-40 279 2 at Tulsa 17-45 -12 5 -2 25 47-146 3.1 25-41 258 3 20 53-288 5.4 9-18 128 1 UCF 21-31 -64 -3 -2 19 59-248 4.2 5-14 171 0 22 42-247 5.9 16-24 236 1 Memphis 38-42 53 -3 -1 25 54-239 4.4 29-41 315 1 28 23-30 1.3 33-53 471 2 Bye at USF 28-24 -65 -5 -1 16 48-255 5.3 14-25 142 5 21 55-137 2.5 23-38 325 4at Temple 26-34 -31 0 0 20 52-136 2.6 13-19 226 5 20 28-104 3.7 22-30 289 0 East Carolina 52-27 -32 -17 3 16 26-142 5.5 15-22 330 0 33 24-36 1.5 54-74 468 1 SMU 43-40 133 3 0 24 72-559 7.8 0-1 0 0 21 31-165 5.3 16-30 261 2 Byeat Notre Dame 17-24 -9 7 0 23 72-277 3.8 3-8 41 0 16 31-163 5.3 9-18 164 1 at Tulane 17-20 28 -1 -1 22 33-220 6.7 18-26 225 0 23 47-166 3.5 17-25 251 2at Houston Navy Bye† Army West Point

Average 32-30 51.6 2.9 -0.4 22 64-361 5.6 41.8% 93 9.9% 19 35-166 4.8 61.7% 236 4.8% Average 29-24 11.5 -1.0 -0.1 22 38-183 4.8 69.5% 259 3.8% 23 37-143 3.8 62.3% 288 4.6% Conference 30-30 55.6 2.9 -1.3 22 63-349 5.5 45.9% 99 14.8% 19 34-159 4.7 62.7% 233 4.0% Conference 30-28 -6.4 -3.3 0.0 22 40-204 5.1 66.7% 242 4.1% 25 38-135 3.6 63.8% 317 4.2% Away 29-26 52.8 4.2 -1.0 22 66-313 4.8 46.9% 97 12.2% 18 30-131 4.3 63.3% 227 3.6% Home 37-24 17.6 -1.4 0.2 23 38-177 4.7 71.8% 303 2.8% 24 28-108 3.8 65.6% 354 3.9%

at Florida Atlantic Zach Abey 3-10-110-1-1 Zach Abey 32-235-7.3-2 Tyler Carmona 1-56-56.0-0 at Bye Kyle Postma 0-0-0-0-0 Team 0-0-0.0-0 Steven Dunbar 0-0-0.0-0 Tulane Zach Abey 4-12-132-1-1 Zach Abey 29-108-3.7-0 Tyler Carmona 1-79-79.0-1 at Arizona Kyle Allen 25-32-225-1-2 Dillon Birden 14-83-5.9-1 Steven Dunbar 6-72-12.0-0 Bye vs. Rice Kyle Allen 31-33-309-2-0 Mulbah Car 11-59-5.4-1 Linell Bonner 10-132-13.2-0 Cincinnati Zach Abey 2-3-53-1-0 Zach Abey 20-128-6.4-2 Tyler Carmona 2-53-26.5-1 Texas Tech Kyle Allen 24-39-217-1-2 Kyle Postma 4-52-13.0-1 Steven Dunbar 6-83-13.8-0at Tulsa Zach Abey 3-4-90-0-0 Zach Abey 36-185-5.1-3 Malcolm Perry 2-53-26.5-0 at Temple Kyle Postma 25-36-226-1-1 Kyle Postma 15-81-5.4-0 Steven Dunbar 6-78-13.0-0 Air Force Zach Abey 4-11-86-2-0 Zach Abey 29-214-7.4-2 Malcolm Perry 2-45-22.5-1 vs. SMU Kyle Postma 19-27-176-2-2 Duke Catalon 22-177-8.0-2 Steven Dunbar 6-65-10.8-0at Memphis Zach Abey 1-7-20-0-2 Zach Abey 37-146-3.9-3 Darryl Bonner 1-20-20.0-0 at Tulsa Kyle Postma 25-41-258-0-2 Dillon Birden 11-82-7.5-1 Steven Dunbar 10-107-10.7-0 UCF Zach Abey 2-4-115-1-1 Zach Abey 25-126-5.0-1 Malcolm Perry 1-75-75.0-1 Memphis Kyle Postma 29-40-315-1-1 Dillon Birden 21-106-5.0-1 Linell Bonner 8-121-15.1-0 Bye vs. at USF D'Eriq King 12-20-137-1-0 Mulbah Car 18-137-7.6-1 Courtney Lark 2-69-34.5-1at Temple Zach Abey 6-9-111-0-1 Zach Abey 25-60-2.4-0 Malcolm Perry 4-94-23.5-0 East Carolina D'Eriq King 15-21-330-3-0 Duke Catalon 9-77-8.6-1 Steven Dunbar 6-171-28.5-1 SMU Zach Abey 0-0-0-0-0 Malcolm Perry 33-282-8.5-4 Zach Abey 0-0-0.0-0 Byeat Notre Dame Zach Abey 3-6-41-1-1 Zach Abey 29-87-3.0-1 Anthony Gargiulo 1-21-21.0-0 vs. at Tulane D'Eriq King 18-26-225-0-1 D'Eriq King 10-141-14.1-2 Linell Bonner 7-100-14.3-0at Houston Navy Bye† Army West Point vs.

Zach Abey 28-66-758-7-7 Zach Abey 262-1289-4.9-14 Tyler Carmona 13-341-26.2-4 Kyle Postma 111-167-1125-5-6 Duke Catalon 131-594-4.5-8 Linell Bonner 65-752-11.6-4Garret Lewis 9-19-166-2-1 Malcolm Perry 77-736-9.6-7 Malcolm Perry 10-267-26.7-2 vs. Kyle Allen 80-105-751-4-4 Mulbah Car 66-365-5.5-3 Steven Dunbar 59-740-12.5-2Malcolm Perry 1-2-5-1-1 Chris High 111-478-4.3-2 Darryl Bonner 7-182-26.0-1 D'Eriq King 46-69-714-5-1 Dillon Birden 60-333-5.6-4 D'Eriq King 29-264-9.1-2

Category

2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Navy - 52 46 20 63-306

Houston 6 -17 40 28 33-125 -32015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Navy 16 -3 31 17 38-147

Houston 21 60.5 52 27 44-218 1

vs.

vs.

Net Offense Defense

Nav

y M

idsh

ipm

en

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

Hou

ston

Cou

gar

s

Net Offense

0.96

Navy QB/WR

Houston DB's

Navy Houston

Navy OL

Houston DL

Receiving Passing

Navy

5.42Houston 27 points

419 yards

at Tulsa Air Force Total Off

Rice

at Florida Atlantic 2017 TEAM RANKINGS

Texas Techat Tulsa Pass Off at Temple Cincinnati Rush Off

† Army West Point Total TO'sYpg Diff Bye

at Notre Dame Score Def at Tulane at Houston Sks By Navy

at Temple Pass Def East Carolina SMU Total Def Bye

TM REC FOE REC

at Bye Tulane

Navy Houstonat Arizona

Bye

Midshipmen Logs

Navy Midshipmen

Navy LB'S1.29

Houston RB's

Houston Leaders

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)0.77

Navy ST's Team & Margin

Navy LeadersHouston QB/WR

Navy DB's

Projected Box Score

vs. AAC

OVERALL: OVERALL:

6-4 6-4 Houston CougarsCougars Logs

TM CONF

FOE CONF TM +/- FOE +/-

AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE

vs. AACTEAM --PS RANK--

ReceivingRushing

FOE

FOE FOEFOE CONF TM +/- FOE +/-

APTM CONF

Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders

Defense

Score Score

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing

UCF Sks Allowed Memphis Bye Rush Def at USF

SMU

4-3 4-3TM REC FOE REC

NCAA RANKINGS

at Memphis Score Off

276 yards 140 yardsNavy

Houston CoachesGame Grade

55.5 Points

Projected Passing Houston K

Navy K0.81

Las Vegas Total

Navy RB's0.06

Houston LB's

2.55

Navy DL1.05

Houston OL

407 yards

Houston Phil Steele61 Navy Houston

Computer PointsExperience Rankings

Houston by 7

HoustonComp-Att-Yds

Navy Houston By 4.0

Houston By 0.9

+/- Ratings

2.75

Navy Coaches

Houston 419-407Projected Final Score

23 points NavyNavy Pts

5.77Computer Yards

Houston 27 Navy 20By 0.35 Points

Ret

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Houston Pts

131 yardsProjected Yardage Total

Houston

Houston

Phil's Forecast:

Comp-Att-Yds Las Vegas Line

Last year Houston was #6 and unbeaten when they were upset on the road at Navy on a rainy day with the Hurricane off shore. Houston is playing with revenge and had a bye two weeks' ago and just faced the option of Tulane last week so they are in a great situation in their home finale. Navy just faced Notre Dame on the road and travels again on a short week. Navy does have the edge on D, holding foes to 53 ypg below their average and Houston allows 7 above. Navy has some QB injury questions and Houston facing the option a 3rd straight week is nice and they grab the win in their home finale. Look for DT Ed Oliver to have a big game for the Cougars.

Houston ST's Houston By 4.5

Projected Rushing3-5-76

32-50-359

13-18-312

Houston 41 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: Houston 27-23

Team Schedule Strength76

27-36-337 279 yards

0.94

102 Navy

Page 14: Phil Steele’s Inside the Pressboxplus.philsteele.com/inside_the_pressbox/2017/College/...Phil Steele’s Inside the Pressbox WK 13 UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK *this is a Best Bet H Utah

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 133 18 9/2 41-13 W 34 5 16 0-0 0-0 120 9/2 28-21 W 29 76 281-0 0-0 131 16 9/9 20 8 16 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 120 139 4 9/9 14-33 L 37 71 28 4 12 81-0 0-0 131 17 9/16 14 15 14 1-1 2-0 0-0 0-0 120 137 9 9/16 21-59 L 49 60 48 2 35 1061-0 3-0 0-0 0-0 131 116 14 9/23 52-30 W 9 21 12 47 85 26 #54 #83 1-2 1-1 0-0 0-0 116 123 9/23 17-35 L 55 68 39 26 55 1252-0 4-0 0-0 1-0 131 128 14 9/29 31-6 W 3 15 15 50 19 116 #38 #73 1-3 1-3 0-1 1-1 115 95 9/30 42-10 W 67 79 40 122 101 993-0 1-2 1-0 1-1 136 131 13 10/7 24-20 W 5 13 27 65 12 14 #35 #98 2-3 2-3 0-1 0-1 117 115 10/7 24-27 L 76 71 32 67 68 424-0 3-1 2-0 2-0 136 127 11 10/14 25-24 W 7 15 15 25 36 129 #34 #98 2-4 5-1 0-2 3-0 117 127 20 10/14 17-35 L 78 73 13 28 26 1105-0 4-3 3-0 2-1 134 120 8 10/21 27-19 W 10 19 18 57 72 33 #41 #110 2-5 4-3 0-3 1-3 115 120 10/21 24-17 W 91 76 34 65 25 1016-0 1-7 4-0 0-5 133 108 8 10/28 24-19 W 11 18 32 77 56 56 #51 #49 3-5 5-2 1-3 2-1 119 113 10/28 31-14 W 87 65 44 83 34 797-0 7-1 5-0 3-1 130 132 9 13 11/4 28-10 W 15 17 44 36 9 10 #46 #112 4-5 2-3 120 11/4 84 58 678-0 8-1 6-0 6-1 133 140 7 3 11/11 41-8 W 17 14 38 4 17 114 #41 #78 4-5 1-8 2-3 0-6 120 111 11/9 31-34 L 91 55 75 84 49 509-0 6-4 6-0 3-3 138 115 2 11/18 44-28 W 17 6 37 95 35 70 #15 #73 4-6 7-3 2-4 3-3 116 128 11/18 14-20 L 83 57 81 48 15 610-0 4-7 7-0 2-5 136 118 2 11/24 19 9 61 86 51 100 #3 #83 4-7 10-0 2-5 7-0 118 136 2 11/24 86 51 100 19 9 61

#28 #94+16 +1

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

Bethune-Cookman 41-13 200 8 2 28 34-317 9.3 18-31 233 0 20 30-121 4.0 25-39 229 1 Youngstown St 28-21 -70 5 0 24 53-208 3.9 17-24 140 3 19 26-107 4.1 18-32 311 1 Bye at Penn St 14-33 30 10 -2 24 45-155 3.4 24-41 187 5 14 24-148 6.2 15-28 164 1 Bye Oklahoma St 21-59 -285 -10 0 17 34-103 3.0 20-35 288 2 27 35-104 3.0 26-37 572 1 Toledo 52-30 158 4 0 27 26-254 9.8 27-36 333 2 23 35-85 2.4 29-50 344 4 at Georgia Tech 17-35 -249 -14 3 11 20-37 1.9 22-35 198 3 25 67-436 6.5 4-7 48 0at Duke 31-6 60 -5 2 19 35-139 4.0 15-26 270 3 24 46-183 4.0 21-42 166 5 Rice 42-10 202 10 2 24 33-69 2.1 28-34 410 3 14 23-55 2.4 15-32 222 3at Florida St 24-20 -69 -2 1 20 29-83 2.9 19-44 254 3 22 43-203 4.7 17-28 203 4 at Syracuse 24-27 -142 -10 0 16 26-129 5.0 22-33 229 2 26 42-135 3.2 33-49 365 3 Georgia Tech 25-24 200 8 1 24 36-184 5.1 23-38 297 3 16 53-226 4.3 3-8 55 2 NC State 17-35 -120 2 -2 20 32-95 3.0 24-45 231 1 18 38-248 6.5 14-25 198 0 Syracuse 27-19 81 -1 3 22 32-136 4.3 26-43 344 0 23 51-264 5.2 14-42 135 4 at Duke 24-17 126 -2 2 20 57-336 5.9 8-18 149 3 22 26-76 2.9 16-34 283 2at North Carolina 24-19 -13 -11 2 16 32-59 1.8 17-41 356 2 27 46-176 3.8 20-46 252 4 Virginia 31-14 -4 -1 0 19 40-176 4.4 10-18 134 1 20 31-102 3.3 22-42 212 3 Virginia Tech 28-10 130 -1 1 21 35-219 6.3 11-23 210 2 22 43-102 2.4 20-32 197 4 Bye Notre Dame 41-8 113 5 4 18 42-237 5.6 15-24 137 0 13 36-109 3.0 13-27 152 5 North Carolina 31-34 43 4 -1 25 45-267 5.9 11-17 142 3 21 32-96 3.0 21-32 270 3 Virginia 44-28 -81 -3 1 15 32-148 4.6 15-28 210 3 18 28-55 2.0 28-37 384 5 at Virginia Tech 14-20 -9 -2 -1 16 30-55 1.8 20-33 311 4 18 40-157 3.9 17-37 218 2at Pittsburgh Miami, Fl

Average 34-18 77.9 0.2 1.6 21 33-178 5.3 55.7% 264 5.4% 21 41-152 3.7 54.1% 212 10.8% Average 24-28 -43.5 -0.7 0.1 20 38-148 3.9 61.9% 220 9.0% 20 35-151 4.3 56.6% 260 5.4% Conference 29-18 44.0 -2.1 1.4 20 33-138 4.2 51.9% 277 6.6% 22 44-173 3.9 52.3% 199 11.9% Conference 23-26 -50.7 -3.3 0.1 18 36-156 4.4 58.8% 199 8.5% 21 39-179 4.5 56.2% 228 5.8% Away 26-15 -7.3 -6.0 1.3 18 32-94 2.9 45.9% 293 7.2% 24 45-187 4.2 50.0% 207 11.2% Home 28-29 -39.0 1.7 -0.2 22 40-153 3.9 63.6% 224 7.5% 20 31-119 3.8 58.0% 298 5.5%

Bethune-Cookman Malik Rosier 17-28-217-3-0 Mark Walton 16-148-9.3-2 Darrell Langham 3-65-21.7-1 Youngstown St Max Browne 17-24-140-1-0 Qadree Ollison 22-91-4.1-2 Qadree Ollison 5-35-7.0-0 Bye at Penn St Max Browne 19-32-138-0-2 Qadree Ollison 15-96-6.4-0 Jester Weah 6-65-10.8-0 Bye vs. Oklahoma St Ben DiNucci 13-25-228-1-2 Chawntez Moss 12-36-3.0-1 Rafael Araujo-Lopes 6-89-14.8-1 Toledo Malik Rosier 27-36-333-3-1 Mark Walton 11-204-18.5-1 Braxton Berrios 5-105-21.0-1 at Georgia Tech Ben DiNucci 12-19-110-1-0 Jordan Whitehead 2-35-17.5-0 Aaron Mathews 3-50-16.7-0at Duke Malik Rosier 15-26-270-2-1 Mark Walton 17-51-3.0-0 Ahmmon Richards 3-106-35.3-1 Rice Max Browne 28-32-410-4-0 Jordan Whitehead 1-24-24.0-0 Jester Weah 5-137-27.4-1at Florida St Malik Rosier 19-44-254-3-1 Travis Homer 3-29-9.7-0 Braxton Berrios 8-90-11.3-2 vs. at Syracuse Max Browne 15-22-161-0-0 Jordan Whitehead 7-73-10.4-1 Rafael Araujo-Lopes 7-100-14.3-0 Georgia Tech Malik Rosier 23-37-297-1-0 Travis Homer 20-170-8.5-1 Darrell Langham 5-100-20.0-0 NC State Ben DiNucci 19-32-170-1-1 Kenny Pickett 4-18-4.5-0 Jester Weah 7-106-15.1-1 Syracuse Malik Rosier 26-43-344-2-0 Travis Homer 20-95-4.8-1 Ahmmon Richards 6-99-16.5-0 at Duke Ben DiNucci 8-18-149-0-0 Darrin Hall 24-254-10.6-3 Jester Weah 2-74-37.0-0at North Carolina Malik Rosier 16-38-356-3-1 Travis Homer 16-40-2.5-0 Jeff Thomas 3-101-33.7-1 vs. Virginia Ben DiNucci 10-18-134-1-1 Darrin Hall 25-111-4.4-1 Maurice Ffrench 1-32-32.0-0 Virginia Tech Malik Rosier 10-21-193-2-3 Travis Homer 14-95-6.8-1 Christopher Herndon 2-61-30.5-1 Bye Notre Dame Malik Rosier 15-24-137-1-0 Travis Homer 18-146-8.1-0 Lawrence Cager 2-45-22.5-0 North Carolina Ben DiNucci 11-17-142-0-0 Darrin Hall 23-121-5.3-4 Maurice Ffrench 3-35-11.7-0 Virginia Malik Rosier 15-28-210-3-2 Travis Homer 17-96-5.6-1 Ahmmon Richards 4-51-12.8-1 vs. at Virginia Tech Kenny Pickett 15-23-242-0-1 Quadree Henderson 2-26-13.0-0 Jester Weah 4-104-26.0-0at Pittsburgh Miami, Fl

vs.

Malik Rosier 183-325-2611-23-9 Travis Homer 130-849-6.5-7 Braxton Berrios 40-513-12.8-8 Ben DiNucci 88-158-1091-5-5 Darrin Hall 118-598-5.1-9 Jester Weah 35-618-17.7-4Braxton Berrios 1-1-17-0-0 Mark Walton 56-428-7.6-3 Christopher Herndon 37-436-11.8-4 vs. Max Browne 96-135-997-5-2 Qadree Ollison 76-336-4.4-5 Rafael Araujo-Lopes 41-510-12.4-2Evan Shirrefs 2-5-16-0-0 Malik Rosier 100-377-3.8-5 Ahmmon Richards 21-392-18.7-2 Kenny Pickett 21-37-316-0-1 Quadree Henderson 32-228-7.1-0 Maurice Ffrench 25-272-10.9-0

Category

2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Miami, Fl - -3 51 22 36-178

Pittsburgh - 58.5 28 22 34-130 -22015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Miami, Fl - 55 29 20 40-116

Pittsburgh - -7 24 15 31-189 -22014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Miami, Fl - -10 23 21 28-125

Pittsburgh - 56 35 22 47-226 02013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Miami, Fl - -3 41 21 34-180

Pittsburgh - 56 31 25 33-220 -2

Net Offense Defense

Mia

mi,

Fl H

urr

ican

es

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

Pit

tsb

urg

h P

anth

ers

Net Offense

1.36

Miami, Fl QB/WR

Pittsburgh DB's

Miami, Fl Pittsburgh

0.86

Miami, Fl OL

Pittsburgh DL

0.75

Miami, Fl RB's

Rush Def Virginia

at Florida St Total Off at Syracuse Georgia Tech Score Off NC State

Toledo Rush Off at Georgia Techat Duke Pass Off Rice

Total TO'sYpg Diff

Virginia Score Def at Virginia Techat Pittsburgh Sks By Miami, Fl

Virginia Tech Pass Def Bye Notre Dame Total Def North Carolina

TM REC FOE REC

Bethune-Cookman 2017 TEAM RANKINGS

OVERALL: OVERALL: Pittsburgh Panthers10-0 4-7

FOE +/-TM CONF

FOE CONF TM +/- FOE +/-

vs. ACC vs. ACC Panthers Logs

TM REC FOE RECAPAP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE

TM CONF FOE CONF TM +/-

Pittsburgh Leaders

ReceivingRushing

FOE

FOE FOENCAA RANKINGSTEAM --PS RANK--7-0 2-5

Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders

Defense

Score Score

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Passing

Youngstown St Bye

Miami, Fl Pittsburghat Penn St

Bye Oklahoma St

Syracuse Sks Allowed at Dukeat North Carolina

Phil's Forecast:

Computer Yards

Team & Margin

Las Vegas Total

Las Vegas LineMiami, Fl By 13.5

52 Points

+/- Ratings

Miami is 18-2 in the series and Miami has not lost at Pitt since 1997. Miami won here on a cold day in 2015, 29-24 and won at home last year 51-28. This is a tough spot for Miami as they have played down to the level of their competition all year and last week trailed Virginia 24-0 and 28-14 at home. Miami has the ACC Title game on deck and is playing with unbeaten pressure. Pitt has gone to true frosh Kenny Pickett at QB and he hit 15-23-242 vs VTech last week and Pitt had a 1st and G at the 2 and 4 cracks at the end zone in a one point loss. Pitt is playing their best ball of the season, as in the first 7 weeks they played to an average game grade of 79.7, but the last 4 weeks they have played at a 93.3 level.

Pittsburgh ST's

Game GradeMiami, Fl By 8.9

Miami, Fl 420-370

Miami, Fl By 14.3

Miami, Fl 31-17Computer Points

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)0.55

Miami, Fl ST's

Miami, Fl Leaders 1.19

Miami, Fl DB's

Pittsburgh QB/WR

Hurricanes Logs

Miami, Fl Hurricanes

Pittsburgh LB's

1.61

Miami, Fl LB'S

Pittsburgh RB's

1.40

Miami, Fl DL

Pittsburgh OL

Projected Passing

1.00238 yards Miami, Fl Coaches

0.99

Miami, Fl K

Pittsburgh K

Pittsburgh Coaches

133 yards

370 yards

Projected Rushing

31 points Miami, Fl Pittsburgh

140 yards

420 yards Miami, Fl

Pittsburgh

Pittsburgh

Pittsburgh

123

0.00

Pittsburgh Pts9.71

Miami, Fl Pts

17 pointsExperience Rankings

Projected Final Score

POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:Team Schedule Strength Miami, Fl Phil Steele

40 Miami, Fl Pittsburgh Miami, Fl by 14 Miami, Fl 31 Pittsburgh 17By 9.71 Points

17-28-296

Miami, Fl21-35-261

Ret

urn

to

Tab

le o

f C

onte

nts

Projected Box ScoreComp-Att-Yds

32-47-356

17-36-287

73 Miami, Fl Pittsburgh

22

Projected Yardage Total280 yards Miami, Fl

Comp-Att-Yds

22-45-296

8-12-134

13-27-142

Comp-Att-Yds

Comp-Att-Yds

24-43-281

Page 15: Phil Steele’s Inside the Pressboxplus.philsteele.com/inside_the_pressbox/2017/College/...Phil Steele’s Inside the Pressbox WK 13 UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK *this is a Best Bet H Utah

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 120 109 9/2 24-3 W 69 30 40 98 85 119 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 115 112 9/2 43-36 W 55 33 42 101 49 631-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 121 120 9/9 44-41 W 68 23 40 48 78 29 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 115 128 9/9 35-42 L 50 32 42 1 37 192-0 1-1 0-0 0-0 123 100 9/16 31-14 W 64 24 34 85 89 58 1-1 1-1 0-0 0-0 116 112 9/16 17-21 L 55 42 27 97 77 643-0 3-0 0-0 0-0 122 140 4 9/23 19-21 L 58 29 13 8 8 7 #108 #118 1-2 1-2 0-0 0-0 113 108 9/23 27-17 W 64 41 40 87 59 513-1 2-1 0-1 0-0 124 117 9/30 10-17 L 59 33 18 36 18 111 #87 #28 2-2 2-1 1-0 0-0 113 107 9/29 28-6 W 79 39 30 112 78 743-2 2-2 0-2 0-1 121 104 10/7 45-16 W 77 32 18 115 83 91 #118 #73 3-2 4-0 2-0 1-0 116 136 9 10/7 17-38 L 70 36 41 21 11 644-2 1-2 122 10/14 76 34 21 #87 #76 3-3 5-1 2-1 3-0 116 140 9 10/14 14-56 L 70 48 39 3 5 474-2 3-3 1-2 1-2 122 124 10/21 10-17 L 79 37 20 46 31 60 #71 #75 3-4 2-2 112 10/21 59 60 464-3 4-3 1-3 1-3 123 116 10/28 17-10 W 85 35 61 100 53 81 #45 #110 3-4 3-4 2-2 1-3 112 119 10/28 25-24 W 60 63 38 80 62 1195-3 7-1 2-3 5-0 123 144 3 11/4 55-24 W 91 27 25 2 5 57 #53 #74 4-4 5-3 3-2 3-2 115 125 11/4 24-31 L 54 61 27 49 31 466-3 9-0 3-3 6-0 128 134 25 6 11/11 14-38 L 78 24 29 26 8 55 #40 #97 4-5 4-5 3-3 1-5 115 114 11/11 21-54 L 66 59 17 115 60 646-4 4-6 3-4 2-5 125 117 11/18 15-24 L 97 29 34 76 53 82 #26 #109 4-6 8-2 3-4 5-2 111 138 13 11/18 44-56 L 69 73 40 20 13 226-5 4-7 3-5 3-5 120 114 11/25 101 32 24 68 83 44 #34 #112 4-7 6-5 3-5 3-5 114 120 11/24 68 83 44 101 32 24

#92 #91+1 -4

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

Wyoming 24-3 30 1 -2 16 41-138 3.4 8-15 125 2 15 30-59 2.0 23-40 174 3 Arkansas St 43-36 -34 -7 2 25 38-225 5.9 19-32 238 1 32 21-82 3.9 46-68 415 1at Iowa St 44-41 30 7 1 29 41-164 4.0 27-41 333 1 22 26-120 4.6 25-46 347 1 at Oregon 35-42 -205 -3 -2 19 29-109 3.8 19-41 252 3 22 44-201 4.6 25-33 365 0 North Texas 31-14 130 11 0 28 59-238 4.0 16-27 197 1 17 17-112 6.6 18-29 193 1 Northern Illinois 17-21 171 5 -2 18 36-85 2.4 25-47 299 3 13 31-85 2.7 15-23 128 2 Penn St 19-21 -306 -18 1 11 23-82 3.6 13-22 191 1 29 51-295 5.8 31-48 284 4 Rutgers 27-17 112 9 0 21 47-197 4.2 13-26 109 0 12 24-68 2.8 15-29 126 0at Michigan St 10-17 -69 -8 -2 11 25-19 0.8 17-32 212 3 19 40-88 2.2 18-28 212 2 at Illinois 28-6 212 8 0 23 38-165 4.3 17-24 246 2 15 37-93 2.5 10-16 106 5 Illinois 45-16 -5 0 2 20 38-191 5.0 18-34 250 1 20 30-200 6.7 22-45 246 1 Wisconsin 17-38 -85 -3 -1 16 26-110 4.2 18-35 271 1 19 49-353 7.2 9-17 113 1 Bye Ohio St 14-56 -240 -26 -1 15 16-44 2.8 27-47 349 0 41 47-279 5.9 31-39 354 1at Northwestern 10-17 -27 -7 -1 14 33-89 2.7 19-33 223 2 21 46-147 3.2 21-36 192 3 Bye Minnesota 17-10 34 0 -1 15 33-125 3.8 15-27 190 0 15 43-142 3.3 9-29 139 4 at Purdue 25-24 108 5 0 25 27-40 1.5 32-50 431 3 20 38-199 5.2 16-28 164 1 Ohio St 55-24 116 4 4 24 38-243 6.4 21-32 244 1 20 30-163 5.4 18-34 208 1 Northwestern 24-31 -138 -5 -1 21 31-112 3.6 21-38 225 0 26 45-232 5.2 19-35 243 0at Wisconsin 14-38 -316 -13 1 5 26-25 1.0 8-24 41 4 18 49-247 5.0 11-18 135 2 at Minnesota 21-54 -134 -4 0 20 33-69 2.1 25-36 311 6 24 45-409 9.1 9-16 105 1 Purdue 15-24 -36 -3 -2 17 38-82 2.2 16-33 176 6 20 29-65 2.2 22-37 229 4 at Penn St 44-56 -143 -11 1 21 26-67 2.6 26-41 399 4 32 35-263 7.5 26-39 346 2at Nebraska Iowa

Average 26-20 -38.1 -2.4 0.1 17 36-127 3.5 55.6% 198 6.9% 20 36-149 4.2 55.9% 214 6.7% Average 27-35 -34.2 -2.9 -0.4 20 32-111 3.5 58.0% 285 5.5% 23 38-206 5.4 64.4% 224 4.1% Conference 23-21 -76.1 -5.6 0.3 15 32-107 3.4 53.6% 191 7.6% 20 40-168 4.2 55.3% 206 7.6% Conference 25-35 -38.5 -3.4 -0.3 20 31-101 3.3 60.3% 293 5.4% 24 40-237 5.9 61.6% 195 5.0% Away 20-28 -95.5 -5.3 -0.3 15 31-74 2.4 54.6% 202 7.7% 20 40-151 3.7 58.6% 222 6.3% Home 24-33 -35.7 -4.5 -0.5 19 32-129 4.0 54.7% 249 2.2% 24 36-183 5.1 64.0% 230 2.4%

Wyoming Nate Stanley 8-15-125-3-1 Akrum Wadley 24-116-4.8-0 Nick Easley 4-77-19.3-1 Arkansas St Tanner Lee 19-32-238-2-0 Tre Bryant 31-192-6.2-1 Stanley Morgan 5-102-20.4-1at Iowa St Nate Stanley 27-41-333-5-0 Akrum Wadley 28-118-4.2-1 Akrum Wadley 4-72-18.0-1 at Oregon Tanner Lee 19-41-252-3-4 Tre Bryant 20-107-5.4-1 Stanley Morgan 7-103-14.7-2 North Texas Nate Stanley 16-27-197-2-0 Toren Young 19-78-4.1-0 Akrum Wadley 2-80-40.0-0 vs. Northern Illinois Tanner Lee 25-47-299-0-3 Mikale Wilbon 24-90-3.8-0 De'Mornay Pierson-El 8-101-12.6-0 Penn St Nate Stanley 13-22-191-2-0 Akrum Wadley 19-80-4.2-1 Akrum Wadley 4-75-18.8-1 Rutgers Tanner Lee 13-26-109-2-2 Devine Ozigbo 24-101-4.2-0 JD Spielman 5-46-9.2-1at Michigan St Nate Stanley 16-31-197-0-0 Akrum Wadley 17-30-1.8-1 T.J Hockenson 3-46-15.3-0 at Illinois Tanner Lee 17-24-246-3-0 Devine Ozigbo 18-106-5.9-1 Stanley Morgan 8-96-12.0-1 Illinois Nate Stanley 17-32-247-3-1 Akrum Wadley 23-115-5.0-1 Noah Fant 3-78-26.0-0 vs. Wisconsin Tanner Lee 16-32-262-1-1 Devine Ozigbo 23-112-4.9-0 Stanley Morgan 4-115-28.8-1 Bye Ohio St Tanner Lee 23-38-303-2-0 Devine Ozigbo 9-24-2.7-0 JD Spielman 11-200-18.2-1at Northwestern Nate Stanley 19-33-223-1-1 Akrum Wadley 26-90-3.5-0 Matt Vandeberg 3-90-30.0-0 Bye Minnesota Nate Stanley 15-27-190-1-1 Akrum Wadley 16-70-4.4-1 Noah Fant 3-67-22.3-1 vs. at Purdue Tanner Lee 32-50-431-2-0 Jaylin Bradley 7-42-6.0-0 Stanley Morgan 6-112-18.7-1 Ohio St Nate Stanley 20-31-226-5-0 Akrum Wadley 20-118-5.9-0 T.J Hockenson 5-71-14.2-2 Northwestern Tanner Lee 21-38-225-2-3 Devine Ozigbo 23-72-3.1-0 JD Spielman 3-48-16.0-0at Wisconsin Nate Stanley 8-24-41-0-1 James Butler 8-30-3.8-0 Nick Easley 2-19-9.5-0 at Minnesota Tanner Lee 13-18-174-1-0 Devine Ozigbo 10-37-3.7-1 JD Spielman 9-141-15.7-0 Purdue Nate Stanley 16-33-176-1-1 Akrum Wadley 22-78-3.5-1 Nick Easley 5-60-12.0-0 vs. at Penn St Tanner Lee 26-41-399-3-0 Mikale Wilbon 10-53-5.3-2 Stanley Morgan 7-185-26.4-1at Nebraska Iowa

vs.

Nate Stanley 175-316-2146-23-6 Akrum Wadley 211-862-4.1-6 Nick Easley 46-481-10.5-4 Tanner Lee 224-387-2938-21-13 Devine Ozigbo 126-480-3.8-3 Stanley Morgan 54-912-16.9-8Colten Rastetter 2-2-33-0-0 James Butler 72-328-4.6-0 Noah Fant 25-370-14.8-8 vs. Patrick O'Brien 18-30-192-0-1 Mikale Wilbon 81-340-4.2-6 JD Spielman 55-830-15.1-2Tyler Wiegers 1-2-3-1-0 Toren Young 37-172-4.6-1 Matt Vandeberg 25-350-14.0-2 Tre Bryant 51-299-5.9-2 De'Mornay Pierson-El 42-584-13.9-5

Category

2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Iowa - -2.5 40 13 47-264

Nebraska 17 43 10 17 31-90 02015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Iowa 3 -1.5 28 11 28-153

Nebraska - 57.5 20 22 38-137 -32014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Iowa - -1 34 24 50-142

Nebraska - 55.5 37 13 31-161 22013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Iowa - 48 38 14 45-156

Nebraska - -2.5 17 20 37-89 -32012 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's

Iowa - 49 7 13 39-108

Nebraska 17 -16 13 16 53-200 0

Net Offense Defense

Iow

a H

awke

yes

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

Neb

rask

a C

orn

hu

sker

s

Net Offense

Iowa RB's0.06

Nebraska LB's

0.59

Iowa QB/WR

Nebraska DB's

1.15

Iowa OL

Nebraska DL

Nebraska RB's

Rush Off Rutgersat Michigan St Pass Off at Illinois Penn St

Total TO'sYpg Diff

Purdue Score Def at Penn Stat Nebraska Sks By Iowa

Ohio St Pass Def Northwesternat Wisconsin Total Def at Minnesota

2017 TEAM RANKINGS Arkansas St Wyoming

APTM CONF FOE CONF TM +/- FOE +/-

vs. BIG 10 Cornhuskers Logs

OVERALL: OVERALL: Nebraska Cornhuskers6-5 4-7vs. BIG 10Hawkeyes Logs

TM CONF

--PS RANK-- FOETM REC FOE REC FOE

CONF TM +/- FOE +/-FOE

FOE FOENCAA RANKINGSTEAM --PS RANK--3-5 3-5

TM REC FOE RECAP TEAM

at Iowa StIowa Nebraska

at Oregon North Texas Northern Illinois

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving

Defense

Score Score

Passing ReceivingRushing

Iowa NebraskaPosition by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders

at Northwestern Sks Allowed Bye Minnesota Rush Def at Purdue

Total Off Wisconsin Bye Score Off Ohio St Illinois

Iowa DB's0.51

Nebraska QB/WR

9-16-97

Comp-Att-Yds 170 yards IowaProjected Passing

Ret

urn

to

Tab

le o

f C

onte

nts

Projected Box ScoreComp-Att-Yds

10-15-144

14-37-127

Comp-Att-Yds

12 Iowa Nebraska 8

1269-17-126

Nebraska31 points

66 Iowa

Iowa 28 pointsExperience Rankings

19-38-230

12-28-202

These rivals play for the Heroes Trophy ever since NU joined the B10 in 2011 and they close the season for the 7th straight year. The visitor is 4-1 the last 5 with 2 outright upsets and last year Iowa got that lone home win by a commanding 40-10 margin. While the teams are 3-3 in their 6 meetings, Iowa has won their 3 by 20 ppg and Nebraska’s wins are by 8 ppg. This figures to be the final home game for coach Mike Riley as they clinched a losing season and have a new AD. Nebraska did trail Penn St 56-23 last week before getting 3 garbage TD’s. Their defense is giving up 5.4 ypc rush and 64% completions and 430 ypg. Nebraska has taken on the 8th toughest schedule in the country, but Iowa has taken on the #12 schedule. Iowa averages just 298 ypg in total offense in Big 10 play (how did they get 487 yds and 55 pts vs Ohio St?). While Nebraska is -39 ypg in Big Ten play, Iowa is -76 ypg! Tanner Lee has a 16-4 ratio the last 7 games. I will back the home dog here.

Nebraska ST's Iowa By 3.5

53.5 Points

Iowa ST's Team & Margin

Iowa By 1.3

Phil's Forecast:

Nebraska Leaders

0.70

0.75

Iowa LB'S

Iowa DL

412 yards

+/- RatingsNebraska K

Game Grade

Iowa K0.10

Las Vegas Total

356 yards Iowa Nebraska Coaches

IowaProjected Yardage Total

Nebraska 300 yards0.65

Nebraska

Iowa Coaches

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

Iowa Leaders

113 yardsProjected Rushing

Las Vegas Line

Nebraska OL

0.40

Nebraska 412-356Projected Final Score

4.25Computer Yards

Iowa Pts0.66

Nebraska Pts

186 yards

Iowa By 1.8

25-45-296

Nebraska

Comp-Att-Yds

Iowa Hawkeyes

Iowa 31-28Comp-Att-Yds

11-24-92

Computer PointsPOSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

Phil SteeleNebraska by 3 Nebraska 30 Iowa 27By 3.59 Points

Iowa

19-37-199 NebraskaTeam Schedule Strength

8-14-63

Page 16: Phil Steele’s Inside the Pressboxplus.philsteele.com/inside_the_pressbox/2017/College/...Phil Steele’s Inside the Pressbox WK 13 UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK *this is a Best Bet H Utah

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 81 9/2 20-11 W 129 125 120 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 105 108 9/2 13-24 L 66 63 85 53 86 1131-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 82 122 9/9 3-37 L 129 127 120 46 52 94 0-1 0-0 105 9/9 34-7 W 98 61 851-1 1-1 0-0 0-0 83 113 9/16 13-20 L 130 123 119 60 70 98 1-1 1-1 0-0 0-0 103 105 9/16 27-24 W 80 55 102 47 99 1201-2 2-0 0-1 0-0 87 114 9/23 14-44 L 126 116 123 97 63 67 #102 #72 2-1 1-2 1-0 0-0 105 97 9/23 22-17 W 82 56 97 113 98 1141-3 2-2 0-1 1-0 86 104 9/30 10-45 L 127 119 120 121 104 96 #81 #50 3-1 3-1 1-0 0-1 104 126 25 9/30 24-21 W 69 55 105 29 5 371-4 2-2 0-1 2-0 84 100 10/7 27-45 L 127 118 125 85 115 90 #107 #59 4-1 1-0 109 10/7 68 55 1041-5 2-3 0-2 1-1 83 100 10/12 7-24 L 128 120 125 91 122 90 #123 #77 4-1 1-4 1-0 0-1 109 98 10/11 8-19 L 71 56 107 122 86 531-6 0-3 83 10/21 128 121 125 #123 #17 4-2 3-2 1-1 2-0 104 101 10/21 34-10 W 82 53 115 114 111 1161-6 0-3 83 92 10/28 27-7 W 127 118 125 122 123 109 #38 #5 5-2 0-6 2-1 0-2 107 87 10/28 38-16 W 76 43 114 126 119 352-6 3-5 1-3 1-3 88 103 11/4 35-45 L 123 106 127 55 93 129 #123 #47 6-2 3-5 3-1 2-2 107 97 11/2 24-21 W 68 46 113 107 114 912-7 5-3 1-4 4-1 88 100 11/11 30-33 L 120 110 123 118 105 122 #89 #19 7-2 FALSE-FALSE 105 87 11/11 42-17 W 59 48 94 125 123 862-8 5-3 1-5 4-1 89 111 11/18 12-30 L 119 114 122 55 44 9 #91 #13 8-2 1-0 107 11/18 68 43 742-9 8-2 1-6 1-0 90 107 11/25 120 114 124 66 47 76 #61 #19 8-2 2-9 1-0 1-6 107 90 11/25 66 47 76 120 114 124

#106 #23 6-3 5-1 110 12/2 57 40 9-11 -2

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

Houston Baptist 20-11 32 -2 -1 18 41-155 3.8 18-28 135 0 20 40-59 1.5 21-34 199 6 at Boise St 13-24 -142 -8 -1 11 29-76 2.6 17-34 139 4 19 44-147 3.3 19-32 210 4at Colorado 3-37 -147 -9 -2 12 47-156 3.3 8-18 127 6 21 41-91 2.2 23-36 339 3 Alabama St 34-7 446 18 -1 32 36-257 7.1 33-42 354 0 14 32-85 2.7 15-28 80 3 Appalachian St 13-20 102 2 0 21 37-125 3.4 23-35 260 4 19 29-116 4.0 17-28 167 1 at New Mexico St 27-24 87 8 0 26 37-183 4.9 25-41 286 1 18 17-51 3.0 32-45 331 0 UTSA 14-44 -371 -8 0 17 32-37 1.2 10-27 161 1 25 45-357 7.9 17-25 212 2 Akron 22-17 122 1 2 24 28-175 6.3 28-42 314 1 23 35-99 2.8 20-40 268 2at Wyoming 10-45 -71 -2 -1 16 52-135 2.6 11-23 127 4 18 35-84 2.4 15-26 249 2 at LSU 24-21 -65 -5 2 16 42-206 4.9 16-28 157 3 21 29-162 5.6 21-32 266 0 ULM 27-45 -203 -6 -1 18 39-181 4.6 14-25 205 2 24 41-156 3.8 24-37 433 1 Byeat Louisiana 7-24 -42 0 -3 19 44-106 2.4 14-25 219 6 19 38-135 3.6 17-27 232 2 South Alabama 8-19 75 6 -3 18 20-30 1.5 25-47 269 2 12 44-48 1.1 11-20 176 4 Bye at Georgia St 34-10 150 4 -1 20 22-122 5.5 25-36 335 0 16 33-52 1.6 25-40 255 4at Coastal Carolina 27-7 324 23 -1 32 52-238 4.6 27-39 269 3 9 20-34 1.7 13-27 149 1 GA Southern 38-16 74 -3 1 16 30-241 8.0 10-20 142 0 19 62-227 3.7 6-12 82 1 New Mexico St 35-45 -59 4 -2 30 36-163 4.5 33-53 400 5 26 33-119 3.6 31-49 503 1 Idaho 24-21 17 -2 -2 20 36-183 5.1 20-31 212 1 22 32-90 2.8 24-35 288 6 Georgia St 30-33 -140 2 1 23 25-75 3.0 35-55 315 1 21 41-162 4.0 26-40 368 2 at Coastal Carolina 42-17 123 8 1 24 36-122 3.4 21-33 259 1 16 37-94 2.5 14-28 164 5at Arkansas St 12-30 -269 -14 -1 11 29-97 3.3 8-25 103 2 25 61-240 3.9 20-33 229 1 Byeat Troy Texas St

at Arkansas St

Average 18-31 -76.7 -0.9 -1.0 20 39-133 3.4 56.9% 211 9.6% 21 39-141 3.7 61.9% 280 6.1% Average 27-18 88.7 2.7 -0.2 21 32-160 5.0 62.1% 247 3.7% 18 37-106 2.9 59.9% 212 9.3% Conference 22-29 -41.0 1.6 -1.0 22 37-141 3.8 59.9% 253 8.9% 20 38-137 3.7 61.4% 297 3.7% Conference 29-18 87.7 3.5 -0.7 21 30-147 4.9 60.6% 251 2.4% 17 38-94 2.5 62.2% 216 11.1% Away 12-29 -41.0 -0.4 -1.6 18 45-146 3.3 52.3% 169 16.2% 18 39-117 3.0 59.1% 240 6.0% Home 25-16 146.8 4.0 -0.6 22 30-177 5.9 63.7% 258 2.2% 18 41-110 2.7 56.3% 179 11.9%

Houston Baptist Damian Williams 18-28-135-0-1 Anthony Smith 7-71-10.1-1 Elijah King 4-85-21.3-0 at Boise St Brandon Silvers 17-33-139-0-1 Jordan Chunn 11-41-3.7-0 Damion Willis 2-27-13.5-0at Colorado Damian Williams 6-16-95-0-1 Anthony D Taylor 8-66-8.3-0 Thurman Morbley 5-96-19.2-0 Alabama St Brandon Silvers 32-40-345-0-1 Jamarius Henderson 8-107-13.4-2 Damion Willis 7-93-13.3-0 Appalachian St Damian Williams 23-35-260-1-1 Robert Brown Jr 7-51-7.3-0 Elijah King 6-112-18.7-0 vs. at New Mexico St Brandon Silvers 25-41-286-1-0 Jordan Chunn 20-87-4.4-1 Deondre Douglas 7-101-14.4-0 UTSA Damian Williams 9-24-156-1-0 Anthony Smith 4-21-5.3-0 Gabe Schrade 2-56-28.0-0 Akron Brandon Silvers 28-41-314-1-0 Jordan Chunn 16-106-6.6-1 Deondre Douglas 7-92-13.1-1at Wyoming Damian Williams 10-19-91-1-1 Willie Jones III 5-57-11.4-0 Hutch White 2-42-21.0-0 at LSU Brandon Silvers 16-28-157-0-0 Jordan Chunn 30-191-6.4-1 Deondre Douglas 3-46-15.3-0 ULM Damian Williams 13-24-158-1-0 Anthony D Taylor 15-102-6.8-0 Anthony D Taylor 3-52-17.3-1 vs. Byeat Louisiana Willie Jones III 12-18-197-0-1 Willie Jones III 14-58-4.1-0 Thurman Morbley 3-68-22.7-0 South Alabama Brandon Silvers 24-46-263-0-1 Jordan Chunn 10-28-2.8-0 Emanuel Thompson 6-67-11.2-0 Bye at Georgia St Brandon Silvers 25-35-335-2-1 Josh Anderson 13-57-4.4-1 Tray Eafford 3-67-22.3-0at Coastal Carolina Damian Williams 27-38-269-2-1 Anthony Smith 12-70-5.8-1 Tyler Watts 8-90-11.3-0 vs. GA Southern Brandon Silvers 9-18-102-1-0 Josh Anderson 15-96-6.4-1 Tray Eafford 3-53-17.7-1 New Mexico St Damian Williams 31-47-321-2-1 Tyler Watts 1-76-76.0-1 Elijah King 11-129-11.7-1 Idaho Brandon Silvers 20-30-212-1-1 Jordan Chunn 18-113-6.3-2 Damion Willis 3-60-20.0-0 Georgia St Damian Williams 35-55-315-3-1 Anthony D Taylor 7-51-7.3-0 Elijah King 7-103-14.7-1 at Coastal Carolina Brandon Silvers 18-30-206-1-1 Josh Anderson 9-58-6.4-1 Deondre Douglas 3-66-22.0-1at Arkansas St Damian Williams 8-23-103-1-0 Robert Brown Jr 5-71-14.2-0 Hutch White 1-29-29.0-0 vs. Byeat Troy Texas St

at Arkansas Stvs.

Damian Williams 182-316-1925-12-7 Anthony D Taylor 103-435-4.2-2 Elijah King 46-641-13.9-3 Brandon Silvers 214-342-2359-7-6 Jordan Chunn 130-657-5.1-9 Deondre Douglas 37-472-12.8-3Willie Jones III 16-33-270-0-1 Robert Brown Jr 71-299-4.2-0 Tyler Watts 38-317-8.3-2 vs. John Johnson 2-2-72-1-0 Josh Anderson 62-306-4.9-4 Damion Willis 28-400-14.3-1Jaylin Nelson 1-1-69-1-0 Anthony Smith 61-264-4.3-3 Gabe Schrade 20-287-14.4-2 Kaleb Barker 4-9-36-0-0 Jamarius Henderson 38-302-7.9-4 Emanuel Thompson 33-307-9.3-0

Category

2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Texas St - 59 7 15 39-109

Troy - -28 40 25 42-154 22013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Texas St - 57.5 28 18 38-233

Troy - -6.5 42 16 35-164 1

vs.

vs.

Net OffenseNet Offense Defense

Texa

s S

t B

obca

ts

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

Troy

Tro

jan

s

Receiving

0.67

Texas St QB/WR

Troy DB's

Texas St DL0.80

Troy OL

2.20

Score Def Byeat Troy Sks By Texas St

at Arkansas St

Pass Def Idaho Georgia St Total Def at Coastal Carolina New Mexico St

Texas St Troy

Texas St OL1.75

Troy DL

Texas St RB's1.84

Troy LB's

Texas St LB'S1.03

Troy RB's

GA Southern Bye

Total Off Byeat Louisiana Score Off South Alabama ULM

Rush Off Akronat Wyoming Pass Off at LSU UTSA

Total TO'sYpg Diff

TM REC FOE REC

2017 TEAM RANKINGS at Boise St Houston Baptist

TM +/- FOE +/-

OVERALL: OVERALL: Troy Trojans2-9 8-2

TEAM --PS RANK--AP TEAM

FOE

vs. SUN vs. SUN Trojans Logs

TM CONF FOE CONF

Texas St BobcatsBobcats Logs

Projected Yardage Total

Receiving

FOE

FOE NCAA RANKINGSFOE 1-6 4-1

TM REC FOE REC

RushingPosition by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing

Defense

Score

Passing Rushing

--PS RANK--

at Arkansas St

at ColoradoTexas St Troy

Alabama St Appalachian St at New Mexico St

Sks Allowed at Georgia Stat Coastal Carolina

Texas St Troy

Phil's Forecast:

Troy is fresh off a bye while Texas St is playing a 5th straight week. LY the Trojans led 37-0 w/9:44 3Q. TXST’s F/8 poss ttl’d 84/39pl (2.2 ypp) in a 40-7 win. Miss St transfer QB Damian Williams had his 3 best passing games of the year with 301 ypg, but had just 103 yds pass vs Ark St in their last game. Troy has been a home favorite 5 times this year and lost to the Vegas number in each one. In Brandon Silvers 1st three seasons the Troy QB averaged an 18-7 ratio and this year is just 7-6. Texas St is just 2-9, but are -41 ypg in SBC play. Troy is +89 ypg vs SBC foes.Troy has a big game on deck at Ark St where the winner gains a share of the SBC Title.

Troy ST's

49.5 PointsTroy K

Las Vegas Total

Team & Margin

Computer Yards

Texas St Coaches21-27-297

Comp-Att-Yds

11 pointsProjected Final Score

Troy Coaches

Troy 463-275

+/- Ratings

Computer Points

11.55

Experience Rankings Troy PtsTexas St

293 yards

275 yards

187 yards TroyTexas St

Texas St DB's2.77

Troy QB/WR

Las Vegas LineTroy By 24.5

0.16

Texas St K

11-31-192

24-37-237

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

Troy

TM CONF

FOE CONF TM +/- FOE +/-

Texas St Leaders

Comp-Att-Yds

Projected Rushing88 yards Texas St 170 yards

Projected Passing

Troy Leaders

Texas St ST's

12-29-147

Score

By Game Yardage Leaders

Rush Def

AP

33 points 0.83

POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: Troy 34-11

122

Troy By 20.0

Troy By 21.4Game Grade

1.15

117 35Texas St

Phil SteeleTexas St Troy 128 Troy by 21 Troy 34 Texas St 13By 10.71 Points

Ret

urn

to

Tab

le o

f C

onte

nts

Projected Box Score

Team Schedule Strength Troy

463 yards

Troy

Troy

Texas St Pts

Page 17: Phil Steele’s Inside the Pressboxplus.philsteele.com/inside_the_pressbox/2017/College/...Phil Steele’s Inside the Pressbox WK 13 UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK *this is a Best Bet H Utah

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 120 103 19 8/26 42-22 W 38 36 48 115 111 52 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 109 103 8/31 61-17 W 70 67 33 111 99 821-0 0-0 119 19 9/2 31-17 W 53 36 48 1-0 0-0 113 9/9 65 67 332-0 0-0 119 21 9/9 52 36 92 1-0 0-0 113 9/16 51 67 212-0 2-0 0-0 0-0 121 109 22 9/15 47-23 W 44 37 86 102 65 68 #8 #32 1-0 2-0 0-0 0-0 113 116 9/23 38-10 W 46 67 44 15 48 573-0 2-1 0-0 0-0 125 111 21 9/21 43-7 W 42 24 64 96 81 24 #76 #11 2-0 3-0 0-0 0-0 118 118 9/30 40-13 W 38 52 71 39 71 74-0 1-3 1-0 1-0 125 95 18 9/30 61-31 W 31 20 40 105 130 127 #13 #5 3-0 2-3 1-0 0-1 122 107 25 10/7 51-23 W 35 42 51 110 88 1175-0 2-0 125 18 10/7 35 22 57 #16 #1 4-0 1-5 2-0 1-2 125 92 22 10/14 63-21 W 24 41 50 109 130 1205-0 2-4 2-0 0-2 126 104 18 10/14 33-3 W 32 17 42 106 98 104 #25 #9 5-0 5-1 3-0 3-1 126 116 20 10/21 31-21 W 17 35 31 25 100 806-0 3-3 3-0 1-1 125 109 16 10/21 34-28 W 30 20 51 88 110 92 #22 #55 6-0 4-0 126 18 10/28 73-33 W 12 40 277-0 4-3 4-0 2-2 121 117 17 10/28 24-28 L 31 22 65 52 49 73 #35 #65 7-0 6-2 4-0 3-1 127 113 15 11/4 31-24 W 10 45 23 27 98 907-1 3-5 4-1 2-3 120 95 11/4 37-20 W 25 21 30 114 112 117 #21 #51 8-0 3-6 5-0 2-4 127 96 14 11/11 49-24 W 12 43 27 117 115 1158-1 5-1 120 22 11/11 25 22 28 #23 #27 9-0 5-5 6-0 3-3 125 113 14 11/18 45-19 W 10 51 21 105 85 1028-1 2-8 5-1 1-5 118 105 23 11/16 27-20 W 25 23 30 61 129 58 #10 #112 10-0 9-1 7-0 6-1 128 118 13 22 11/24 14 45 17 25 23 30

10-0 7-0 128 22 13 11/24 14 45 17 #6 #12+10 +16

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

at San Jose St 42-22 161 11 2 29 74-315 4.3 13-26 233 3 18 38-109 2.9 25-50 278 1 FIU 61-17 252 18 2 31 45-148 3.3 26-33 439 0 13 26-134 5.2 18-31 201 1 Stony Brook 31-17 110 7 1 21 49-153 3.1 19-32 186 2 14 36-92 2.6 17-34 137 5 Bye Bye Bye Illinois 47-23 326 23 2 38 66-376 5.7 17-32 304 3 15 15-67 4.5 20-40 287 2 at Maryland 38-10 231 0 2 18 39-250 6.4 18-30 178 0 18 37-42 1.1 17-28 155 5 Temple 43-7 323 15 4 22 63-312 5.0 8-20 96 1 7 33--4 -0.1 7-25 89 5 Memphis 40-13 207 2 3 27 49-350 7.1 19-31 253 0 25 24-75 3.1 27-49 321 2at East Carolina 61-31 161 2 1 25 50-390 7.8 13-21 185 1 23 36-108 3.0 21-46 306 1 at Cincinnati 51-23 124 2 1 23 21-141 6.7 16-19 374 1 21 26-113 4.3 23-40 278 1 Bye East Carolina 63-21 253 17 0 33 41-235 5.7 25-31 365 2 16 37-187 5.1 15-33 160 1 Cincinnati 33-3 129 4 2 25 53-212 4.0 17-30 190 0 21 33-95 2.9 21-37 178 3 at Navy 31-21 64 3 2 22 42-247 5.9 16-24 236 1 19 59-248 4.2 5-14 171 0at Tulane 34-28 90 4 0 25 52-378 7.3 10-24 127 0 21 47-194 4.1 9-19 221 2 Austin Peay 73-33 137 9 2 27 36-142 3.9 28-31 347 1 18 44-143 3.3 12-19 209 0 Houston 24-28 65 5 1 21 55-137 2.5 23-38 325 4 16 48-255 5.3 14-25 142 5 at SMU 31-24 126 2 -2 23 36-203 5.6 23-40 412 2 21 37-206 5.6 27-52 283 0at Connecticut 37-20 278 6 -1 28 40-217 5.4 24-37 385 1 22 41-148 3.6 21-28 176 4 Connecticut 49-24 106 -1 1 22 35-173 4.9 25-38 346 2 23 45-212 4.7 18-31 201 3 Bye at Temple 45-19 -13 -2 5 17 40-130 3.3 18-28 254 2 19 36-196 5.4 17-42 201 1 Tulsa 27-20 64 -1 -2 21 45-279 6.2 11-28 142 0 22 55-166 3.0 14-28 191 5 USFat UCF

Average 38-20 170.7 7.6 1.0 26 55-277 5.1 53.8% 217 5.2% 18 38-123 3.2 50.9% 201 9.9% Average 48-21 148.7 5.0 1.6 24 38-202 5.3 70.2% 320 3.6% 19 37-156 4.2 52.8% 218 4.1% Conference 37-20 158.6 5.0 0.7 24 51-275 5.4 53.5% 207 3.5% 19 42-137 3.3 51.4% 186 12.0% Conference 44-21 123.9 3.3 1.4 24 38-211 5.6 67.3% 320 4.7% 21 38-177 4.7 50.6% 231 3.1% Away 44-25 172.5 5.8 0.5 27 54-325 6.0 55.6% 233 4.6% 21 41-140 3.5 53.1% 245 5.6% Home 38-38 0.0 0.0 0.0 38 38-38 38.0 100.0% 38 100.0% 38 38-38 38.0 100.0% 38 100.0%

at San Jose St Quinton Flowers 11-22-212-2-0 D'Ernest Johnson 22-99-4.5-2 Marquez Scantling 6-91-15.2-0 FIU McKenzie Milton 16-21-360-4-1 Jawon Hamilton 12-56-4.7-1 Dredrick Snelson 4-98-24.5-0 Stony Brook Quinton Flowers 19-32-186-2-1 Quinton Flowers 18-67-3.7-0 Tyre McCants 2-74-37.0-1 Bye Bye vs. Bye Illinois Quinton Flowers 15-27-280-4-1 Quinton Flowers 25-106-4.2-1 Marquez Scantling 4-96-24.0-1 at Maryland McKenzie Milton 18-30-178-1-0 McKenzie Milton 6-94-15.7-0 Jordan Akins 3-57-19.0-1 Temple Quinton Flowers 8-20-96-0-0 Darius Tice 15-117-7.8-2 Tyre McCants 2-29-14.5-0 Memphis McKenzie Milton 19-31-253-3-1 Adrian Killins 9-115-12.8-1 Tre'Quan Smith 3-71-23.7-2at East Carolina Quinton Flowers 10-18-160-2-0 D'Ernest Johnson 16-111-6.9-2 Marquez Scantling 6-94-15.7-1 vs. at Cincinnati McKenzie Milton 16-19-374-5-0 Marlon Williams 1-47-47.0-0 Tre'Quan Smith 5-165-33.0-3 Bye East Carolina McKenzie Milton 21-27-324-2-0 Greg McCrae 5-64-12.8-1 Tre'Quan Smith 5-93-18.6-0 Cincinnati Quinton Flowers 16-29-184-0-0 Quinton Flowers 15-80-5.3-1 Deange Antoine 3-50-16.7-0 at Navy McKenzie Milton 15-23-233-1-1 Adrian Killins 15-122-8.1-2 Dredrick Snelson 3-72-24.0-0at Tulane Quinton Flowers 10-24-127-2-1 Darius Tice 13-141-10.8-1 Darnel Salomon 3-50-16.7-1 vs. Austin Peay McKenzie Milton 24-26-275-3-0 Noah Vedral 5-37-7.4-1 Dredrick Snelson 5-90-18.0-2 Houston Quinton Flowers 23-38-325-0-0 Darius Tice 26-92-3.5-0 Marquez Scantling 10-186-18.6-0 at SMU McKenzie Milton 23-40-412-1-2 Adrian Killins 14-145-10.4-2 Tre'Quan Smith 7-141-20.1-0at Connecticut Quinton Flowers 24-37-385-3-1 Quinton Flowers 16-131-8.2-0 Marquez Scantling 6-152-25.3-1 Connecticut McKenzie Milton 24-36-311-2-0 Otis Anderson 9-84-9.3-2 Tre'Quan Smith 7-120-17.1-1 Bye vs. at Temple McKenzie Milton 16-23-208-4-0 Otis Anderson 5-58-11.6-0 Tre'Quan Smith 4-89-22.3-1 Tulsa Quinton Flowers 11-28-142-2-1 Quinton Flowers 17-119-7.0-0 Darnel Salomon 2-44-22.0-1 USFat UCF

vs.

Quinton Flowers 147-275-2097-17-5 Quinton Flowers 162-870-5.4-9 Marquez Scantling 48-737-15.4-5 McKenzie Milton 192-276-2928-26-5 Adrian Killins 83-629-7.6-8 Tre'Quan Smith 44-850-19.3-11Brett Kean 7-11-64-0-0 Darius Tice 154-860-5.6-10 Tyre McCants 21-371-17.7-4 vs. Noah Vedral 22-29-276-1-0 McKenzie Milton 71-373-5.3-5 Dredrick Snelson 29-430-14.8-3Chris Oladokun 1-1-12-0-0 D'Ernest Johnson 166-715-4.3-7 Darnel Salomon 23-326-14.2-3 Otis Anderson 33-313-9.5-3 Jordan Akins 22-351-16.0-3

Category

2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.

South Florida - -10 48 20 48-351

UCF - 65.5 31 22 35-64 -2

2015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.

South Florida - -23 44 25 54-281

UCF - 54 3 10 27-87 -2

2014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.

South Florida - 42.5 0 15 22-5

UCF - -11 16 23 45-145 -3

2013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.

South Florida - 50.5 20 13 33-83

UCF 17 -26.5 23 18 30-77 -3

Net Offense Defense

US

F B

ulls

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

UC

F K

nig

hts

Net Offense

0.44

USF QB/WR

UCF DB's

USF UCF

2.07

USF OL

UCF DL

Total TO'sYpg Diffat UCF

Total Def ConnecticutScore Def at Temple

Tulsa Sks By USF

Sks Allowed at Navyat Tulane Rush Def Austin Peay

Pass Def at SMU

Bye Score Off East Carolinaat East Carolina

Bye Bye Bye

at San Jose St

Rush Off at Maryland

FOE REC

2017 TEAM RANKINGS FIU

Memphis Illinois

Total Off at Cincinnati

FOE--PS RANK--

vs. AAC

TM REC TM +/- FOE +/-FOE NCAA RANKINGS

6-1 7-0

9-1 10-0vs. AACBulls Logs

Byeat Connecticut

TM CONF

FOE CONF TM +/-

Knights Logs

OVERALL: OVERALL: UCF Knights

--PS RANK--AP

USF ST's

1.73

4.09

USF Pts

26 points USF

Defense

Score Score

AP TEAM

FOETM REC FOE REC

Stony BrookUSF

PassingBy Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving

TM CONF FOE CONF

UCF

Temple Pass Off

ReceivingRushingPosition by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders

Cincinnati

Houston

63.5 Points

Team & Margin

Las Vegas Total

Las Vegas LineUCF By 10.5

+/- RatingsUCF By 13.8

Phil's Forecast:

These two are 2-2 in AAC meetings with USF 6-2 the last 8. LTH USF won 44-3 in Bright House during UCF’s 0-12 season, but this time UCF is unbeaten. Last year USF scored 17 pts off TO’s and won 38-21 at home. Last week UCF benefitted from +5 in TO’s to win at Temple 45-19. UCF had scoring “drives” of 21, -5 and 5 yards in the 1H after TO’s. UCF has not been as dominant as they were at the start of the year and in their last 5 games vs FBS foes are allowing 210 (4.9) ypc rush. UCF is +124 ypg in conference play, but USF is an even stronger +159 and USF’s only loss was to Houston where they never trailed until a TD with :11 left after an improbable 4th down conversion. USF is holding AAC foes to 87 ypg below their season average and UCF’s D just 29 ypg less. USF was the clear-cut favorite into the year and while UCF has McKenzie Melton at QB, USF counters with Quinton Flowers. The winner of this game is the favorite to grab the New Years' Day Six Group of Five bid and USF is capable of the upset even on the road and getting double digits here.

231 yards USFProjected Passing UCF K

1.13

UCF ST's

UCF By 12.6

Projected Yardage Total

41 pointsUCFProjected Final Score

Experience Rankings UCF Pts

UCF 474-4093.71Computer Yards

Computer PointsUCF 41-26

170 yards

USF

36 USF

UCF Leaders

Game Grade409 yards UCF Coaches

0.20

UCF 303 yards USF Coaches

USF 474 yardsUCF

178 yards

18-39-195

Comp-Att-Yds

UCF by 3 Best Bet: ★ USF 31 (+) UCF 34By 0.38 Points

UCF

UCF 88USF

Ret

urn

to

Tab

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f C

onte

nts

Projected Box Score

UCFProjected Rushing

Phil Steele

53 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

0.25

UCF RB's

0.25

USF DL

UCF OL

0.95

20-29-150

USF LeadersUSF DB's

UCF QB/WR

17-26-152

28-47-338

Comp-Att-Yds

USF K

Comp-Att-Yds

Team Schedule Strength119 USF

USF RB's0.78

UCF LB's

USF LB'S

10-27-116

Comp-Att-Yds

15-23-174

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

USF Bulls

FOE

17-27-219

15-34-211

FOE +/-TEAM

Page 18: Phil Steele’s Inside the Pressboxplus.philsteele.com/inside_the_pressbox/2017/College/...Phil Steele’s Inside the Pressbox WK 13 UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK *this is a Best Bet H Utah

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 124 9/2 31-17 W 52 77 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 103 109 8/31 17-61 L 111 99 82 70 67 331-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 121 104 9/9 7-20 L 78 74 2 96 93 99 0-1 0-0 100 9/9 17-10 W 115 111 821-1 1-1 0-0 0-0 116 109 9/16 22-23 L 96 79 24 74 100 42 1-1 0-0 100 9/16 118 110 1101-2 2-1 0-1 0-0 113 103 9/23 33-21 W 114 75 4 95 121 64 #130 #85 1-1 1-2 0-0 1-0 100 97 9/23 13-7 W 116 115 107 117 100 1042-2 0-1 113 9/30 114 74 2 #8 #63 2-1 0-4 1-0 0-0 102 86 9/30 30-29 W 119 106 95 124 121 842-2 0-5 0-1 0-1 113 88 10/7 15-14 W 116 72 2 130 128 76 #66 #87 3-1 2-3 2-0 0-1 99 100 10/7 17-37 L 103 111 80 108 78 733-2 0-6 1-1 0-2 109 90 10/14 45-14 W 120 76 20 117 121 81 #75 #108 3-2 3-2 2-1 1-1 96 114 10/14 23-10 W 105 112 80 88 101 794-2 2-4 2-1 0-2 110 93 10/20 35-31 W 108 81 19 127 104 113 #126 #45 4-2 2-1 101 10/21 99 113 615-2 4-3 3-1 3-0 108 114 10/28 28-42 L 107 92 25 43 89 30 #78 #89 4-2 6-1 2-1 3-0 101 116 10/28 41-30 W 96 111 62 74 28 295-3 3-5 3-2 0-5 106 112 11/4 17-31 L 105 94 66 98 65 122 #30 #60 5-2 5-2 3-1 2-2 106 108 11/4 14-7 W 90 110 68 70 43 285-4 6-3 3-2 3-2 105 111 11/11 23-30 L 112 100 76 67 36 34 #52 #74 6-2 3-6 4-1 1-4 107 95 11/11 30-37 L 93 104 77 128 107 1175-5 5-5 3-3 3-3 105 102 11/17 41-38 W 112 93 83 107 83 53 #54 #75 6-3 7-3 4-2 6-0 102 119 11/18 24-52 L 81 112 78 43 80 206-5 6-4 4-3 4-3 105 101 11/25 108 95 75 89 115 71 #125 #108 6-4 6-5 4-3 4-3 101 105 11/25 89 115 71 108 95 75

#64 #87 4-7 0-2 108 12/2 80 82 128-3 -5

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

Eastern Kentucky 31-17 19 -2 -1 20 40-100 2.5 20-31 264 3 22 22-25 1.1 29-48 320 1 at UCF 17-61 -252 -18 -2 13 26-134 5.2 18-31 201 1 31 45-148 3.3 26-33 439 0at Illinois 7-20 -56 -5 -1 14 16-6 0.4 28-43 238 2 19 50-193 3.9 14-25 107 1 Alcorn St 17-10 196 14 -1 26 40-137 3.4 21-33 328 2 12 25-78 3.1 22-34 191 1 Louisiana Tech 22-23 -51 -179 1 23 41-151 3.7 25-35 226 4 202 30-122 4.1 22-39 306 1 Bye Ball St 33-21 -3 5 1 22 30-52 1.7 28-44 319 4 17 31-107 3.5 18-36 267 1 at Rice 13-7 23 -1 0 18 33-99 3.0 17-28 172 5 19 41-100 2.4 16-27 148 2 Bye Charlotte 30-29 -29 -3 -1 20 41-234 5.7 15-27 241 0 23 49-349 7.1 16-28 155 1at UTEP 15-14 -5 3 0 18 33-74 2.2 24-37 208 2 15 36-163 4.5 12-22 124 0 at Middle Tennessee 17-37 -120 -4 -2 21 36-85 2.4 22-34 221 4 25 34-176 5.2 25-31 250 0 Charlotte 45-14 318 25 0 34 34-121 3.6 43-58 506 2 9 34-248 7.3 9-19 61 2 Tulane 23-10 199 5 0 23 44-218 5.0 17-31 220 0 18 40-203 5.1 5-16 36 3at Old Dominion 35-31 -32 3 2 23 33-73 2.2 25-35 343 3 20 48-268 5.6 17-25 180 0 Bye Florida Atlantic 28-42 9 11 -3 32 33-99 3.0 32-56 371 2 21 55-368 6.7 10-24 93 0 at Marshall 41-30 -104 -8 3 21 48-224 4.7 14-18 177 1 29 29-142 4.9 33-52 363 0at Vanderbilt 17-31 -45 3 0 22 30--6 -0.2 33-53 355 6 19 35-174 5.0 14-21 220 1 UTSA 14-7 54 -1 -1 18 37-100 2.7 18-25 215 0 19 40-156 3.9 13-22 105 4at Marshall 23-30 34 -1 -1 21 19-34 1.8 28-42 334 3 22 49-144 2.9 17-28 190 2 Old Dominion 30-37 48 6 -2 27 35-164 4.7 35-50 323 2 21 36-199 5.5 17-24 240 3 Middle Tennessee 41-38 107 -2 -1 25 33-53 1.6 39-54 485 5 27 33-137 4.2 27-46 294 1 at Florida Atlantic 24-52 -269 -9 1 18 31-85 2.7 20-33 218 4 27 46-333 7.2 18-25 239 1at FIU WKU

UMass

Average 27-26 26.8 -12.6 -0.3 23 31-69 2.2 66.6% 332 7.4% 36 38-177 4.6 56.8% 197 3.0% Average 23-28 -25.4 -1.9 -0.5 21 37-148 4.0 63.5% 232 6.1% 22 39-188 4.9 65.4% 217 5.1% Conference 30-27 54.3 -20.0 -0.3 25 32-86 2.7 68.1% 353 6.6% 45 41-207 5.1 56.2% 178 3.0% Conference 24-28 -56.7 -2.9 -0.3 20 37-142 3.8 65.6% 224 7.4% 23 39-208 5.3 66.0% 214 5.3% Away 19-25 -20.8 0.6 0.0 20 26-36 1.4 65.7% 296 7.6% 19 44-188 4.3 61.2% 164 3.3% Home 23-19 93.6 4.2 -1.0 23 39-171 4.3 63.9% 265 2.4% 19 38-197 5.2 58.9% 145 9.7%

Eastern Kentucky Mike White 20-31-264-1-0 Marquez Trigg 16-61-3.8-1 Lucky Jackson 5-144-28.8-1 at UCF Alex McGough 18-29-201-1-1 Napoleon Maxwell 4-61-15.3-1 Thomas Owens 4-99-24.8-1at Illinois Mike White 28-43-238-0-1 D'Andre Ferby 7-14-2.0-0 Nacarius Fant 10-110-11.0-0 Alcorn St Alex McGough 21-33-328-0-0 Alex Gardner 20-102-5.1-1 Julian Williams 5-129-25.8-0 Louisiana Tech Mike White 25-35-226-0-0 Quinton Baker 19-79-4.2-1 Xavier Lane 5-54-10.8-0 vs. Bye Ball St Mike White 28-44-319-1-2 Jakairi Moses 12-56-4.7-1 Xavier Lane 6-86-14.3-0 at Rice Alex McGough 17-28-172-1-1 Alex Gardner 17-80-4.7-0 Tony Gaiter IV 4-54-13.5-0 Bye Charlotte Alex McGough 14-26-206-1-1 Napoleon Maxwell 5-76-15.2-0 Thomas Owens 7-101-14.4-1at UTEP Mike White 24-37-208-0-0 Jakairi Moses 19-50-2.6-0 Lucky Jackson 3-56-18.7-0 vs. at Middle Tennessee Alex McGough 20-31-209-1-1 Alex Gardner 10-42-4.2-0 Thomas Owens 11-162-14.7-1 Charlotte Mike White 33-47-398-5-0 Quinton Baker 14-74-5.3-0 Kylen Towner 6-111-18.5-1 Tulane Alex McGough 17-31-220-1-2 Alex Gardner 20-79-4.0-0 Thomas Owens 6-152-25.3-0at Old Dominion Mike White 24-34-304-5-1 Quinton Baker 14-48-3.4-0 Quin Jernighan 6-81-13.5-1 Bye Florida Atlantic Mike White 32-56-371-2-2 Jakairi Moses 11-42-3.8-0 Cameron Echols-Luper 6-70-11.7-1 vs. at Marshall Alex McGough 14-18-177-2-0 Napoleon Maxwell 11-93-8.5-1 Thomas Owens 7-114-16.3-2at Vanderbilt Mike White 31-50-324-0-0 D'Andre Ferby 12-19-1.6-0 Lucky Jackson 7-135-19.3-0 UTSA Alex McGough 18-25-215-2-1 Shawndarri Phillips 11-45-4.1-0 Thomas Owens 8-72-9.0-1at Marshall Mike White 28-41-334-3-1 D'Andre Ferby 13-39-3.0-0 Cameron Echols-Luper 9-99-11.0-1 Old Dominion Alex McGough 35-50-323-2-0 Alex Gardner 15-95-6.3-1 Thomas Owens 11-87-7.9-0 Middle Tennessee Mike White 39-54-485-5-0 D'Andre Ferby 21-64-3.0-0 Lucky Jackson 5-109-21.8-1 vs. at Florida Atlantic Alex McGough 20-32-218-2-0 Alex Gardner 10-56-5.6-1 Sherman Thornton 2-55-27.5-1at FIU WKU

UMassvs.

Mike White 312-472-3471-22-7 D'Andre Ferby 100-308-3.1-3 Nacarius Fant 60-573-9.6-3 Alex McGough 194-303-2269-13-7 Alex Gardner 146-635-4.3-4 Thomas Owens 59-887-15.0-6Drew Eckels 8-11-86-0-1 Quinton Baker 65-233-3.6-1 Lucky Jackson 36-564-15.7-2 vs. Thomas Owens 1-1-35-1-0 Napoleon Maxwell 57-341-6.0-3 Julian Williams 19-266-14.0-1Nacarius Fant 2-2-51-1-0 Jakairi Moses 57-231-4.1-2 Deon Yelder 43-509-11.8-5 Maurice Alexander 2-6-12-0-0 Shawndarri Phillips 75-314-4.2-1 Tony Gaiter IV 25-248-9.9-1

Category

2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.WKU - -33 49 24 37-225

FIU - 64.5 21 17 30-101 -12015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.WKU - -19.5 63 23 37-253

FIU - 66 7 10 29-73 02012 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.WKU - -6.5 14 16 39-161

FIU - 52.5 6 19 35-86 -3

vs.

Middle Tennessee

Net

at Old Dominion

at Illinois

Offense Defense

WK

U H

illto

pp

ers

LEA

DER

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TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

FIU

Gol

den

Pan

ther

s

3.06

WKU QB/WR

FIU DB's

WKU FIU

WKU OL0.61

FIU DL

Phil's Forecast:

FIU Leaders

Receiving

Team & MarginLast Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

WKU LeadersFIU QB/WR

WKU DB's1.23

WKU RB's0.49

FIU LB's

0.04

WKU LB'S

Florida Atlantic Rush Def at Marshall

Total Off at Middle Tennessee Charlotte Score Off Tulane at UTEP

Rush Off at Rice Bye Pass Off Charlotte Ball St

Total TO'sYpg Diff

Score Def at Florida Atlanticat FIU Sks By WKU

UMass

at Vanderbilt Pass Def UTSAat Marshall Total Def Old Dominion

Louisiana Tech Bye

2017 TEAM RANKINGS at UCF Eastern Kentucky

TM REC FOE REC TM CONF

FOE CONF TM +/-

Golden Panthers Logs

OVERALL: OVERALL: FIU Golden Panthers

TM +/- FOE +/-AP TEAM

FOE

FOE

WKU Hilltoppers 6-5 6-4vs. CUSA vs. CUSA

FOE

NCAA RANKINGS4-3 4-3

TM REC FOE REC TM CONF FOE CONF--PS RANK--

RushingPosition by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing

Defense

Score

WKU FIU Alcorn St

Sks Allowed Bye

Net Offense

WKUExperience Rankings

Fiu By 1.8

231 yardsProjected Passing

Game Grade

349 yards WKU FIU

3.69

WKU Pts5.6824 points

FIU Pts

Projected Yardage Total399 yards WKU

WKU DL0.72

FIU OL

Score

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing

FOE +/-AP

FOE

FIU 405 yards

Computer Points

Computer YardsFIU 25 points

Projected Final Score

Team Schedule StrengthRet

urn

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Tab

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onte

nts

Projected Box Score 0.58

WKU ST's

80 FIU 4 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:WKU

129 WKU FIU 107 WKU by 6 WKU 29 FIU 23By 1.99 Points

FIU Phil Steele

FIU has lost their last 5 final home games and WKU has won 4 in a row in the series allowing a combined 43 points, 54 FD’s and just 250 ypg. FIU QB Alex McGough is hitting 64% with a 13-7 ratio and FIU has already got to the 6 win mark. WKU wrapped a bowl bid up last week and after having just a 2-3 ratio the first 5 games he has a 20-4 ratio the last 6. WKU has gone from 523 ypg and 46 ppg to 401 ypg and 27 ppg this year because their rush attack has gone from 186 (5.4) to 69 (2.2) ypg rush. These two have played 5 common opp’s and WKU is +3 ppg and +87 ypg while FIU is -9 ppg and -95 ypg in those games. Last week WKU led 10-3 in the 4Q, but the teams combined for 34 4Q and 35 OT points. WKU is +54 ypg in league play and FIU is just -57 ypg despite their 4-3 record.

Fiu 405-399

Fiu 25-24

Las Vegas Total

Las Vegas LineFIU ST's Wku By 2.5

0.88

WKU Coaches1.75

54 PointsFIU K

WKU K

+/- RatingsWku By 1.3

FIU Coaches

51 yards WKU FIU 174 yards

16-32-256

Comp-Att-Yds

14-21-128

Comp-Att-Yds

16-21-224

17-33-95

FIU RB's

22-34-210

Comp-Att-Yds

Hilltoppers Logs

Projected Rushing18-32-284

TEAM --PS RANK--

ReceivingRushing

Page 19: Phil Steele’s Inside the Pressboxplus.philsteele.com/inside_the_pressbox/2017/College/...Phil Steele’s Inside the Pressbox WK 13 UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK *this is a Best Bet H Utah

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 120 9/2 56-10 W 47 105 59 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 118 106 23 9/2 41-51 L 12 13 20 58 39 351-0 0-0 125 9/9 40 79 59 0-1 1-1 0-0 0-0 114 99 9/9 56-0 W 16 29 20 110 113 401-0 1-1 0-0 0-0 125 111 9/16 52-45 W 31 66 129 61 57 121 1-1 2-0 0-0 1-0 118 138 4 9/16 24-27 L 9 30 56 3 14 772-0 2-0 0-0 0-0 123 121 9/23 27-24 W 29 70 53 50 49 72 #82 #91 1-2 0-0 122 9/23 18 24 483-0 3-1 0-0 0-1 124 136 15 9/30 34-41 L 23 63 69 6 35 97 #10 #37 1-2 2-1 0-0 0-0 122 120 9/28 17-7 W 18 22 63 45 72 393-1 1-3 0-1 0-1 124 102 10/7 65-19 W 32 63 81 69 112 82 #18 #56 2-2 3-1 1-0 1-0 125 129 10/7 40-34 W 20 16 24 33 49 14-1 3-2 1-1 1-1 128 122 24 10/14 35-46 L 26 57 82 9 64 100 #26 #59 3-2 4-1 2-0 1-1 127 134 12 10/14 24-29 L 20 14 61 2 23 884-2 4-2 1-2 2-1 125 125 10/21 13-31 L 21 52 97 67 47 41 #75 #110 3-3 5-1 2-1 2-1 128 140 10 10/21 10-13 L 22 16 54 4 28 834-3 6-1 1-3 3-1 120 133 10 10/28 27-49 L 25 58 90 3 32 80 #59 #8 3-4 0-7 2-2 0-4 130 113 10/28 38-7 W 28 15 20 54 99 284-4 4-4 1-4 2-3 119 121 11/4 35-42 L 25 76 99 44 40 1 #124 #104 4-4 7-1 3-2 4-1 133 133 10 11/4 7-24 L 29 13 33 20 7 154-5 1-8 1-5 1-5 117 114 11/11 38-24 W 21 77 112 74 91 52 #107 #37 4-5 1-8 3-3 0-6 131 94 11/11 42-27 W 34 11 35 111 114 955-5 8-2 2-5 5-2 119 133 11 11/18 3-27 L 24 78 92 21 8 32 #99 #32 5-5 7-3 4-3 5-2 127 127 24 11/18 28-14 W 35 12 35 12 48 1215-6 6-5 2-6 5-3 116 131 11/25 28 78 97 33 10 36 #96 #28 6-5 5-6 5-3 2-6 131 116 11/24 33 10 36 28 78 97

#52 #47+9 +6

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

Eastern Washington 56-10 325 13 3 32 40-177 4.4 31-35 449 2 19 36-81 2.3 23-36 220 1 Maryland 41-51 -9 8 -1 26 31-98 3.2 34-53 375 5 18 43-263 6.1 12-15 219 1 Bye San Jose St 56-0 452 24 2 32 59-406 6.9 16-29 217 0 8 23-42 1.8 15-29 129 1 Arizona St 52-45 121 6 0 33 29-72 2.5 37-50 543 3 27 44-168 3.8 27-41 326 3 at USC 24-27 -102 -8 -2 17 35-68 1.9 21-40 298 5 25 37-71 1.9 28-51 397 3at Houston 27-24 94 -8 4 17 33-200 6.1 29-45 321 2 25 31-110 3.5 32-52 317 2 Bye Oklahoma St 34-41 -213 -7 0 25 26-54 2.1 29-46 330 1 32 44-221 5.0 27-38 376 1 at Iowa St 17-7 56 1 1 19 25-141 5.6 19-26 171 2 18 15-10 0.7 24-49 246 4at Kansas 65-19 235 13 2 30 52-313 6.0 22-27 290 3 17 33-112 3.4 23-43 256 1 Kansas St 40-34 152 16 0 32 40-166 4.2 30-51 380 0 16 39-140 3.6 14-23 254 3at West Virginia 35-46 117 -1 0 27 33-190 5.8 24-39 323 2 28 29-44 1.5 32-41 352 4 † Oklahoma 24-29 -90 3 1 23 39-139 3.6 21-43 289 3 20 39-174 4.5 18-28 344 2 Iowa St 13-31 -64 4 -2 24 41-129 3.1 31-41 207 2 20 36-208 5.8 22-36 192 0 Oklahoma St 10-13 -145 -13 0 13 33-42 1.3 22-36 241 3 26 51-146 2.9 25-38 282 2at Oklahoma 27-49 -180 -7 0 24 34-115 3.4 22-36 322 2 31 47-336 7.1 22-34 281 1 at Baylor 38-7 178 7 2 19 35-171 4.9 27-36 256 2 12 37-31 0.8 21-38 218 3 Kansas St 35-42 119 2 0 26 31-122 3.9 34-53 405 1 24 36-145 4.0 18-28 263 2 at TCU 7-24 -80 -3 0 14 26-9 0.3 21-44 254 7 17 46-177 3.8 19-27 166 2† Baylor 38-24 -186 -13 3 18 30-91 3.0 24-29 246 2 31 29-106 3.7 43-63 417 1 Kansas 42-27 7 -1 2 18 40-113 2.8 24-34 258 3 19 35-96 2.7 27-43 268 4 TCU 3-27 38 4 -1 21 41-174 4.2 18-36 153 3 17 42-204 4.9 6-17 85 1 at West Virginia 28-14 125 1 1 18 42-233 5.5 17-27 187 0 17 29-56 1.9 20-34 239 2at Texas Texas Tech

Average 35-33 36.9 0.5 0.8 25 35-149 4.2 68.9% 326 5.3% 25 37-158 4.3 64.1% 280 4.0% Average 30-21 49.5 3.2 0.5 21 37-144 3.9 60.1% 266 7.2% 18 36-110 3.1 59.5% 251 7.2% Conference 31-35 -16.8 -0.6 0.3 24 36-149 4.1 66.4% 285 5.2% 25 37-172 4.6 64.3% 278 3.7% Conference 26-19 25.4 1.4 0.9 20 35-127 3.6 60.9% 255 6.7% 18 36-104 2.9 60.0% 252 7.9% Away 38-32 16.0 -3.2 1.8 23 36-182 5.0 68.8% 300 6.3% 26 34-142 4.2 65.2% 325 3.9% Home 38-25 91.4 6.8 0.6 24 41-165 4.1 62.1% 294 5.4% 17 38-137 3.6 62.8% 230 7.4%

Eastern Washington Nic Shimonek 26-30-384-3-0 Desmond Nisby 6-57-9.5-0 Derrick Willies 4-126-31.5-1 Maryland Shane Buechele 34-52-375-2-1 Chris Warren 6-31-5.2-0 Collin Johnson 7-125-17.9-1 Bye San Jose St Sam Ehlinger 15-27-222-1-0 Chris Warren 16-166-10.4-2 Armanti Foreman 5-51-10.2-1 Arizona St Nic Shimonek 37-50-543-6-0 Justin Stockton 12-47-3.9-0 Keke Coutee 12-186-15.5-1 vs. at USC Sam Ehlinger 21-40-298-2-2 Chris Warren 4-15-3.8-0 Collin Johnson 7-191-27.3-0at Houston Nic Shimonek 29-45-321-2-1 Justin Stockton 10-102-10.2-0 Keke Coutee 11-161-14.6-1 Bye Oklahoma St Nic Shimonek 29-46-330-1-1 Justin Stockton 12-28-2.3-1 Cameron Batson 6-84-14.0-0 at Iowa St Shane Buechele 19-26-171-1-1 Chris Warren 16-44-2.8-1 Lil'Jordan Humphrey 4-36-9.0-0at Kansas Nic Shimonek 19-24-233-2-1 Justin Stockton 15-161-10.7-1 Keke Coutee 8-87-10.9-1 vs. Kansas St Sam Ehlinger 30-50-380-2-1 Sam Ehlinger 20-107-5.4-0 Reggie Hemphill 12-121-10.1-0at West Virginia Nic Shimonek 24-39-323-4-1 Justin Stockton 15-96-6.4-0 T.J Vasher 2-113-56.5-2 † Oklahoma Sam Ehlinger 19-39-278-1-0 Sam Ehlinger 22-106-4.8-1 Chris Warren 4-55-13.8-0 Iowa St Nic Shimonek 31-41-207-0-1 Tre King 20-82-4.1-0 Keke Coutee 8-72-9.0-0 Oklahoma St Sam Ehlinger 22-36-241-0-1 Chris Warren 12-33-2.8-0 John Burt 2-99-49.5-0at Oklahoma Nic Shimonek 22-36-322-4-1 Tre King 24-113-4.7-0 T.J Vasher 5-98-19.6-0 vs. at Baylor Shane Buechele 27-34-256-1-1 Toneil Carter 15-70-4.7-1 Lil'Jordan Humphrey 5-55-11.0-1 Kansas St Nic Shimonek 34-53-405-4-1 Tre King 16-71-4.4-1 Keke Coutee 12-189-15.8-2 at TCU Shane Buechele 21-44-254-1-0 Daniel Young 12-31-2.6-0 Lil'Jordan Humphrey 6-109-18.2-0† Baylor Nic Shimonek 24-29-246-2-0 Tre King 20-67-3.4-1 Dylan Cantrell 11-94-8.5-0 Kansas Shane Buechele 22-32-249-1-1 Daniel Young 21-67-3.2-0 Lorenzo Joe 5-98-19.6-1 TCU Nic Shimonek 17-33-137-0-1 Justin Stockton 21-124-5.9-0 Dylan Cantrell 7-55-7.9-0 vs. at West Virginia Sam Ehlinger 12-19-136-2-1 Daniel Young 12-85-7.1-1 Reggie Hemphill 2-58-29.0-0at Texas Texas Tech

vs.

Nic Shimonek 292-426-3451-28-8 Justin Stockton 107-649-6.1-4 Keke Coutee 73-1074-14.7-9 Sam Ehlinger 121-213-1564-9-5 Sam Ehlinger 93-329-3.5-2 Collin Johnson 47-695-14.8-2McLane Carter 7-9-122-2-0 Tre King 118-575-4.9-4 Dylan Cantrell 65-778-12.0-6 vs. Shane Buechele 129-197-1344-6-4 Chris Warren 71-314-4.4-6 Lil'Jordan Humphrey 35-409-11.7-2Jett Duffey 2-2-16-0-0 Desmond Nisby 56-258-4.6-7 Cameron Batson 54-448-8.3-4 Jerrod Heard 2-3-18-0-0 Daniel Young 56-270-4.8-2 Reggie Hemphill 34-386-11.4-0

Category

2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Texas Tech - 83.5 37 31 41-115

Texas - -3 45 29 50-414 02015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Texas Tech - 72 48 28 51-293

Texas - -1 45 19 48-403 22014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Texas Tech - 57 13 18 32-156

Texas - -4.5 34 21 51-241 02013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Texas Tech - 66 16 21 28-94

Texas - -4.5 41 24 61-281 12012 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's

Texas Tech 20 -6.5 22 25 28-112

Texas - 67.5 31 18 39-163 0

Bye

† Baylor

Oklahoma St

TM REC FOE REC TM CONF

FOE CONF TM +/-

Net Offense Defense

Texa

s Te

ch R

ed R

aid

ers

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

Texa

s Lo

ng

hor

ns

Net Offense

Score

at Texas Sks By Texas Tech TCU

Total TO'sYpg Diff

Total Def Kansas Kansas St

Score Def at West Virginia

at Oklahoma Rush Def at Baylor Iowa St

Pass Def at TCU

at West Virginia Score Off † Oklahomaat Kansas

Sks Allowed Oklahoma St

Total Off Kansas St

6-5OVERALL: OVERALL:Texas Tech Red Raiders

at Iowa St

FOEFOE +/-

AP

FOE

TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE

NCAA RANKINGS2-6 5-3

TM REC FOE REC TM CONF FOE CONF--PS RANK--

TM +/-

at Houston

Texas Tech Texas San Jose St

Arizona St at USCRush Off Bye

2017 TEAM RANKINGS Maryland Eastern Washington

Longhorns Logs

Texas Longhorns5-6

FOE +/-AP TEAM

FOE

RushingBy Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders

Texas

0.34

Texas Tech QB/WR

Texas DB's

Phil's Forecast:Team & Margin

Defense

Receiving

Texas Tech OL1.10

Texas DL

Passing

Texas Tech RB's1.76

Texas LB's

Texas Tech

Score

Texas Tech K

0.25Texas Tech Texas 291 yards

Texas 452-346

Texas Tech DL0.47

Texas OL

Texas Leaders

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) Texas Tech ST's1.83

Texas Tech LeadersTexas QB/WR

Texas Tech DB's

Las Vegas Line

28-47-225Game Grade

346 yards Texas Tech Texas 452 yards Texas Coaches

0.34

Texas Tech Pts7.93

13-25-228

0.22

Texas RB's

2.28

Texas Tech LB'S

Red Raiders Logs vs. BIG 12 vs. BIG 12

Pass Off

0.02

Texas K

Texas20 Texas Tech Texas 9

118 Texas Tech Texas 10

Texas by 10 Texas 31 Texas Tech 21By 7.59 Points

Texas 32-20

Phil Steele

Computer PointsPOSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

After TT got a 100 yd FR TD UT found themselves down 23-14 mid 2Q LY. UT then scored 31 of the next 38 pts. Up 8 w/:09 left UT int’d TT in the EZ (from the UT20) and Texas won 45-37. Texas is 18-6 in home finales, but those 6 losses have been in the last 7 years. Last week Tech had just 327 yards and 3 points vs the #1 defense in the Big 12 and now take on the #2 unit that leads the nation in pick sixes. Texas got back QB Sam Ehlinger and LT Connor Williams and rushed for 233 (5.5) their best mark since week 2. Texas got to 6 wins last week and TT needs to pull the upset to get there. Texas is holding Big 12 foes to 101 ypg below their season average and have a large edge on defense with edges on special teams (#40 vs #94) and the home edge and have faced the #9 schedule in the country. TT has the edge on offense and Herman is great as a dog, but is just 4-11-1 as a home favorite.

Texas ST's

Texas Tech Coaches

Projected Yardage Total266 yards

Texas Pts20 points Texas Tech

Computer Yards

55 PointsLas Vegas Total

Texas By 19.0

Texas By 7.7

Texas By 10

+/- Ratings

Texas TechProjected Passing

80 yards

11-23-64

Texas

Ret

urn

to

Tab

le o

f C

onte

nts

Projected Box ScoreComp-Att-Yds

Projected RushingComp-Att-Yds

11-19-264

Team Schedule Strength

Experience Rankings

22-39-372

31-52-302

11-20-182

Comp-Att-Yds

26-44-329

Comp-Att-Yds

36-59-367

20-40-244

Comp-Att-Yds

32 pointsProjected Final Score

Texas 161 yards

Page 20: Phil Steele’s Inside the Pressboxplus.philsteele.com/inside_the_pressbox/2017/College/...Phil Steele’s Inside the Pressbox WK 13 UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK *this is a Best Bet H Utah

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 112 119 9/2 35-30 W 80 69 61 71 34 63 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 118 119 9/3 45-44 W 17 25 85 31 21 61-0 0-0 117 9/9 33-20 W 74 60 61 1-0 2-0 0-0 0-0 118 101 9/9 56-23 W 25 22 85 71 115 1162-0 2-0 0-0 0-0 116 117 9/16 27-16 W 68 63 61 19 47 5 2-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 121 120 25 9/16 45-48 L 20 27 81 33 73 73-0 3-0 0-0 1-0 119 134 5 9/23 20-30 L 75 53 78 10 10 37 #115 #109 2-1 1-2 0-0 0-1 121 129 9/23 34-58 L 17 31 71 10 31 113-1 3-1 0-1 0-1 119 126 9/30 24-45 L 83 46 83 5 25 59 #41 #6 2-2 3-1 0-1 0-1 118 116 9/30 27-23 W 14 37 82 57 53 533-2 5-0 0-2 2-0 117 140 6 10/7 7-38 L 98 56 88 16 15 66 #89 #22 3-2 1-1 118 10/7 13 41 743-3 6-0 0-3 3-0 116 132 8 10/13 37-3 W 111 52 96 31 31 52 #70 #31 3-2 3-2 1-1 1-1 118 119 10/14 30-47 L 14 40 76 15 72 924-3 4-2 1-3 2-1 121 121 10/21 44-45 L 115 40 87 9 67 102 #118 #85 3-3 4-3 1-2 1-3 116 119 10/21 31-14 W 15 58 86 14 20 684-4 4-4 1-4 1-4 120 112 10/28 28-44 L 116 48 69 65 68 36 #73 #129 4-3 6-1 2-2 3-1 119 136 10/28 23-44 L 16 52 71 29 6 604-5 1-7 1-5 0-5 115 109 11/4 37-23 W 113 54 75 87 93 81 #105 #39 4-4 4-4 2-3 1-4 119 115 11/3 17-48 L 22 59 76 50 33 185-5 2-5 116 11/11 106 53 65 #93 #124 4-5 5-4 2-4 4-2 116 123 11/11 44-37 W 22 63 78 48 47 825-5 7-3 2-5 6-2 116 128 20 11/18 14-17 L 109 54 62 13 22 5 #81 #121 5-5 9-2 3-4 7-1 119 132 12 11/18 23-28 L 18 61 98 8 10 525-6 5-6 2-6 3-5 118 121 11/24 109 54 53 20 55 120 #47 #88 5-6 5-6 3-5 2-6 121 118 11/24 20 55 120 109 54 53

#98 #88+4 -9

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

at North Carolina 35-30 29 -8 1 20 35-106 3.0 24-38 363 1 28 45-219 4.9 25-44 221 2 Texas A&M 45-44 83 6 -3 29 25-63 2.5 35-59 491 3 23 63-382 6.1 9-30 89 6 Weber St 33-20 -140 -5 2 19 34-231 6.8 20-28 200 3 24 38-140 3.7 25-45 431 2 Hawaii 56-23 -19 0 1 25 26-132 5.1 24-29 373 3 25 42-281 6.7 24-39 243 1 Mississippi 27-16 -17 6 1 25 40-163 4.1 24-48 236 1 19 29-53 1.8 26-44 363 5 at Memphis 45-48 73 5 0 31 35-170 4.9 34-56 463 1 26 37-162 4.4 23-39 398 2 USC 20-30 60 -1 -4 21 33-113 3.4 22-52 303 3 22 38-133 3.5 26-38 223 1 at Stanford 34-58 42 4 -3 27 15-115 7.7 40-60 480 1 23 45-405 9.0 16-24 148 0at Oregon 24-45 -196 -7 -1 17 29-8 0.3 23-43 255 7 24 56-328 5.9 17-22 131 0 Colorado 27-23 33 1 -1 25 35-95 2.7 28-45 372 1 24 38-191 5.0 17-38 243 0at Washington 7-38 -284 -13 0 9 26--40 -1.5 16-26 133 8 22 38-162 4.3 27-42 215 1 Bye Washington St 37-3 28 2 7 18 32-106 3.3 21-38 259 2 16 26-23 0.9 32-48 314 9 at Arizona 30-47 -196 1 -4 28 38-190 5.0 20-34 219 5 27 61-457 7.5 9-13 148 0 Arizona 44-45 -38 7 -1 31 47-172 3.7 29-49 301 1 24 46-345 7.5 10-15 166 0 Oregon 31-14 88 -2 2 22 37-142 3.8 21-36 266 2 24 62-246 4.0 8-15 74 4at Colorado 28-44 -118 -1 0 26 25-61 2.4 30-53 374 4 27 53-200 3.8 21-27 353 3 at Washington 23-44 -210 -9 1 15 28-62 2.2 19-33 170 4 24 58-333 5.7 9-12 109 0 Oregon St 37-23 176 16 -1 34 45-216 4.8 24-31 259 2 18 31-104 3.4 14-26 195 1 at Utah 17-48 -257 -12 -1 12 32-134 4.2 11-16 115 1 24 50-272 5.4 15-22 234 2 Bye Arizona St 44-37 -11 -4 0 25 33-192 5.8 25-45 381 0 29 61-294 4.8 21-37 290 2at Stanford 14-17 -41 -2 0 19 28-155 5.5 20-29 182 1 21 38-193 5.1 17-26 185 0 at USC 23-28 84 4 -1 28 31-80 2.6 32-52 421 4 24 41-153 3.7 17-28 264 1at UCLA California

Average 28-28 -49.2 -0.5 0.4 22 34-117 3.5 58.2% 260 7.6% 22 40-173 4.3 63.7% 254 6.4% Average 34-38 -26.4 -0.5 -0.8 24 30-125 4.1 62.2% 341 5.4% 25 51-289 5.7 56.6% 204 6.1% Conference 26-31 -51.6 0.1 0.0 22 33-99 3.0 57.6% 258 8.7% 22 41-186 4.6 67.2% 223 6.1% Conference 29-37 -53.4 -2.1 -0.9 23 31-126 4.1 61.1% 303 5.6% 25 52-294 5.7 59.3% 189 4.8% Away 22-35 -122.0 -6.2 0.0 18 29-58 2.0 59.8% 261 11.1% 24 46-220 4.8 66.5% 221 3.7% Home 41-28 34.8 0.2 -0.2 25 31-125 4.0 62.1% 377 4.2% 25 53-279 5.2 49.7% 188 8.2%

at North Carolina Ross Bowers 24-38-363-4-2 Tre Watson 11-52-4.7-0 Vic Wharton III 5-156-31.2-1 Texas A&M Josh Rosen 35-59-491-4-0 Soso Jamabo 7-46-6.6-1 Caleb Wilson 15-203-13.5-0 Weber St Ross Bowers 20-28-200-0-0 Patrick Laird 12-191-15.9-3 Demetris Robertson 4-58-14.5-0 Hawaii Josh Rosen 22-25-329-5-0 Nate Starks 7-42-6.0-0 Theo Howard 7-110-15.7-1 Mississippi Ross Bowers 24-47-236-1-2 Patrick Laird 22-78-3.5-1 Kanawai Noa 6-81-13.5-0 vs. at Memphis Josh Rosen 34-56-463-4-2 Bolu Olorunfunmi 13-77-5.9-0 Darren Andrews 10-175-17.5-1 USC Ross Bowers 22-50-303-1-4 Patrick Laird 15-82-5.5-0 Kanawai Noa 6-110-18.3-0 at Stanford Josh Rosen 40-60-480-3-2 Soso Jamabo 12-100-8.3-1 Jordan Lasley 11-158-14.4-1at Oregon Ross Bowers 23-41-255-3-0 Patrick Laird 11-28-2.5-0 Kanawai Noa 7-126-18.0-1 Colorado Josh Rosen 28-45-372-1-1 Soso Jamabo 21-70-3.3-1 Jordan Lasley 7-146-20.9-0at Washington Ross Bowers 11-18-80-0-0 Derrick Clark 5-19-3.8-0 Gavin Reinwald 2-37-18.5-0 vs. Bye Washington St Ross Bowers 21-38-259-1-0 Vic Enwere 22-102-4.6-1 Kanawai Noa 6-95-15.8-0 at Arizona Josh Rosen 20-34-219-0-3 Bolu Olorunfunmi 10-102-10.2-2 Jordan Lasley 6-77-12.8-0 Arizona Ross Bowers 29-49-301-2-2 Patrick Laird 28-130-4.6-2 Vic Wharton III 8-96-12.0-0 Oregon Josh Rosen 21-36-266-2-0 Bolu Olorunfunmi 13-76-5.8-1 Christian Pabico 4-99-24.8-1at Colorado Ross Bowers 29-52-359-3-1 Patrick Laird 13-52-4.0-0 Jordan Veasy 7-111-15.9-1 vs. at Washington Josh Rosen 12-21-93-1-0 Soso Jamabo 9-28-3.1-0 Darren Andrews 8-73-9.1-1 Oregon St Ross Bowers 24-30-259-2-0 Patrick Laird 33-214-6.5-1 Vic Wharton III 8-121-15.1-1 at Utah Devon Modster 8-12-103-1-0 Bolu Olorunfunmi 16-63-3.9-0 Darren Andrews 3-66-22.0-1 Bye Arizona St Josh Rosen 25-45-381-1-1 Bolu Olorunfunmi 15-79-5.3-1 Jordan Lasley 7-162-23.1-1at Stanford Ross Bowers 20-29-182-0-1 Patrick Laird 20-153-7.7-1 Jordan Veasy 5-68-13.6-0 vs. at USC Josh Rosen 32-52-421-3-1 Soso Jamabo 9-62-6.9-0 Jordan Lasley 10-204-20.4-3at UCLA California

vs.

Ross Bowers 247-420-2797-17-12 Patrick Laird 159-949-6.0-8 Vic Wharton III 60-810-13.5-5 Josh Rosen 269-433-3515-24-10 Bolu Olorunfunmi 102-540-5.3-5 Jordan Lasley 49-909-18.6-7Chase Forrest 5-10-53-0-0 Vic Enwere 97-350-3.6-5 Kanawai Noa 49-701-14.3-4 vs. Devon Modster 16-27-185-2-0 Soso Jamabo 84-424-5.0-6 Darren Andrews 60-778-13.0-10Vic Wharton III 1-2-15-1-0 Tre Watson 17-83-4.9-0 Jordan Veasy 35-464-13.3-5 Caleb Wilson 1-1-39-0-0 Jalen Starks 35-136-3.9-4 Caleb Wilson 38-485-12.8-1

Category

2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.California - 71 36 34 54-195

UCLA - -3 10 11 24-84 -22015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.California 20 69.5 24 25 35-131

UCLA - -3.5 40 31 42-174 -12014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.California - 73.5 34 21 31-56

UCLA - -7 36 33 47-237 -22013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.California - 74 10 21 37-105

UCLA 11 -26 37 28 34-78 22012 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's

California - 56 43 24 42-185

UCLA 25 -2.5 17 26 34-128 -3

Las Vegas LineUCLA By 7.5

Net

Rushing

Defense

Receiving

Score

Texas A&M Hawaiiat Memphisat Stanford Colorado Byeat Arizona Oregon

at Colorado Oregon St Byeat Stanfordat UCLA

Mississippi USCat Oregonat Washington Washington St Arizona

at North Carolina

Ypg Diff

Experience Rankings33 pointsUCLACalifornia

California UCLA

30 points

Ret

urn

to

Tab

le o

f C

onte

nts

2.06

California DB's

UCLA QB/WR

Comp-Att-Yds

California

Projected Yardage TotalCalifornia UCLA

399 yards CaliforniaProjected Final Score

UCLA 33-30

UCLA by 11

UCLA 483-399

California K

UCLA

California Coaches

UCLA 483 yards

43

California UCLA19

Net Offense Defense

Receiving

32-48-301

CaliforniaPassing Rushing

California QB/WR

Comp-Att-Yds

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

Position by Position Edges

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

Cal

ifor

nia

Gol

den

Bea

rs

UC

LA B

ruin

s

UCLA

2.16

California RB's

UCLA LB's

UCLA DL

California OL

California LB'S

UCLA RB's

UCLA K

344 yards

Score DefSks By

Weber St

5-6vs. PAC 12

FOE +/-AP

FOE

--PS RANK-- FOE 3-52-6TM +/-

TEAM

California Golden Bears UCLA BruinsBruins LogsGolden Bears Logs

OVERALL: OVERALL:

vs. PAC 125-6

at Washingtonat Utah

Rush Def

Score Off

California UCLA

Arizona St

California Leaders

TM REC FOE REC TM CONF

FOE CONF

Score

By Game Yardage Leaders

Rush OffPass Off

Total Off

0.19

1.61

By 2.05 Points7

168 yards

Total Def

0.22

UCLA OL

UCLA ST's

California DL

California ST's

UCLA DB's

Pass Def

NCAA RANKINGS2017 TEAM RANKINGS

Sks Allowed

Total TO's

at USC

TM RECFOE

TM CONF

FOE CONF

FOE REC

California

UCLA By 5.6

Passing

The home team is 15-2 in this series and won the last 2 meetings by 21 ppg. UCLA is playing with legitimate revenge as getting smoked 36-10 on the road without QB Josh Rosen one week after being eliminated from bowl eligibility with a loss to physical rival USC. These two teams have both been much better at home than on the road. UCLA is a perfect 5-0 at home this year and +35 ypg while 0-6 on the road and -77 ypg. Last week UCLA actually outgained powerful USC 501-417 and this is Josh Rosen's final home game. Cal caught Stanford in a sandwich situation off the Cardinal’s upset of Washington with ND on deck and I thought Cal would give them a tough game. Cal is now 0-4 on the Pac 12 road with losses by 21, 31 and 16 and they are -160 ypg in those 4 games. I think UCLA should dedicate this game to Jim Mora Jr who got axed this week and give a solid effort.

UCLA By 7.0

FOETM +/- FOE +/-

AP TEAM --PS RANK--

Game Grade

Computer Yards

Offense

Phil Steele

Computer Points

UCLA Leaders

By Game Yardage Leaders

Team & Margin

Las Vegas Total64 Points

+/- Ratings

Phil's Forecast:

UCLA 38 California 27

0.04

0.68

0.26

138 yardsProjected Passing

232 yards0.40

2.79 4.84

POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

UCLA CoachesCalifornia Pts

UCLA Pts

Team Schedule Strength

Projected Rushing

Projected Box Score

UCLA

Comp-Att-Yds

110

26-42-310

31-42-330

12-30-176

26-43-215

31-41-410

Comp-Att-Yds

Comp-Att-Yds

32-53-295

34-48-399

25-30-295

31-47-253

Page 21: Phil Steele’s Inside the Pressboxplus.philsteele.com/inside_the_pressbox/2017/College/...Phil Steele’s Inside the Pressbox WK 13 UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK *this is a Best Bet H Utah

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 96 8/31 27-20 W 116 75 124 0-0 0-0 111 8/31 26-14 W 100 70 911-0 0-0 94 9/9 107 70 124 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 108 130 8 9/9 14-36 L 101 75 91 44 9 371-0 1-1 0-0 0-0 94 108 9/16 18-38 L 103 76 114 112 51 105 1-1 1-1 0-0 0-0 108 111 9/16 21-17 W 108 81 66 100 86 1251-1 0-3 0-0 0-0 94 93 9/24 38-41 L 89 90 120 119 130 130 #93 #99 2-1 2-0 0-0 1-0 111 117 9/23 32-42 L 107 71 100 71 87 871-2 3-1 0-1 0-0 92 116 9/30 28-49 L 82 96 117 28 103 125 #34 #75 2-2 2-1 0-1 0-0 111 106 9/30 21-38 L 111 89 91 95 54 171-3 3-1 0-2 0-1 93 114 10/6 31-70 L 96 98 118 49 82 6 #53 #103 2-3 3-0 0-1 1-0 107 122 25 10/7 23-51 L 110 88 117 35 42 511-4 3-3 0-3 1-2 89 111 10/14 28-24 W 96 111 118 118 74 51 #99 #116 2-4 5-0 0-2 2-0 104 126 18 10/14 3-33 L 106 98 104 32 17 422-4 2-5 1-3 1-2 94 112 10/21 20-14 W 102 114 118 50 129 63 #118 #25 2-5 4-2 0-3 1-1 103 115 10/21 28-31 L 109 101 1 29 96 1033-4 2-5 2-3 0-4 99 112 10/28 12-52 L 103 104 115 22 93 26 #90 #96 2-6 0-4 104 10/28 106 98 1003-5 7-1 2-3 4-1 95 120 11/4 20-37 L 114 112 117 25 21 30 #130 #83 2-6 3-5 0-4 1-3 104 107 11/4 17-16 W 101 100 108 95 113 1153-6 8-0 2-4 5-0 96 127 14 11/11 24-49 L 117 115 115 12 43 27 #129 #95 3-6 4-5 1-4 2-3 106 111 11/10 24-35 L 95 97 111 110 82 1073-7 5-5 2-5 3-4 98 125 11/18 16-39 L 118 117 117 77 26 104 #125 #102 3-7 2-8 1-5 1-5 105 96 11/18 20-48 L 93 100 116 104 130 953-8 3-8 2-5 1-6 99 100 11/25 118 113 112 91 103 116 #70 #125 3-8 3-8 1-6 2-5 100 99 11/25 91 103 116 118 113 112

#124 #105-8 -3

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

Holy Cross 27-20 -9 -6 -1 18 37-160 4.3 28-41 278 0 24 26-89 3.4 33-56 358 2 Austin Peay 26-14 -65 -5 2 15 29-97 3.3 17-28 151 0 20 60-224 3.7 9-19 89 1 Bye at Michigan 14-36 -214 -3 2 13 30-68 2.3 15-40 132 4 16 37-193 5.2 17-29 221 1at Virginia 18-38 -192 -4 -1 23 41-207 5.0 18-26 227 2 27 31-171 5.5 30-40 455 1 at Miami, OH 21-17 70 7 -1 21 35-139 4.0 24-43 222 1 14 32-70 2.2 16-31 221 3 East Carolina 38-41 0 -3 -1 27 38-190 5.0 24-39 406 1 30 47-170 3.6 30-39 426 1 at Navy 32-42 -183 -9 0 22 23-58 2.5 28-46 381 2 31 72-569 7.9 2-3 53 0at SMU 28-49 -98 -10 -1 18 36--8 -0.2 22-28 408 8 28 41-218 5.3 27-39 280 3 Marshall 21-38 -17 -1 -2 21 26-138 5.3 22-45 211 0 22 44-133 3.0 21-34 233 0 Memphis 31-70 -234 -10 -3 24 34-167 4.9 21-35 310 4 34 45-231 5.1 39-55 480 1 UCF 23-51 -124 -2 -1 21 26-113 4.3 23-40 278 1 23 21-141 6.7 16-19 374 1at Temple 28-24 -229 -13 0 15 38-139 3.7 18-28 105 2 28 29-117 4.0 33-55 356 2 at USF 3-33 -129 -4 -2 21 33-95 2.9 21-37 178 3 25 53-212 4.0 17-30 190 0 Tulsa 20-14 -12 -4 1 19 42-69 1.6 23-29 372 2 23 44-194 4.4 17-28 259 6 SMU 28-31 3 0 -1 26 42-249 5.9 22-35 189 2 26 44-140 3.2 26-37 295 3 Missouri 12-52 -229 -8 0 23 41-121 3.0 22-52 233 5 31 34-175 5.1 34-43 408 2 Bye USF 20-37 -278 -6 1 22 41-148 3.6 21-28 176 4 28 40-217 5.4 24-37 385 1 at Tulane 17-16 98 3 0 19 35-208 5.9 18-27 248 0 16 35-132 3.8 18-25 226 0at UCF 24-49 -106 1 -1 23 45-212 4.7 18-31 201 3 22 35-173 4.9 25-38 346 2 Temple 24-35 -24 -4 1 21 35-184 5.3 21-37 221 1 25 43-205 4.8 19-30 224 1† Boston College 16-39 27 1 -2 15 41-171 4.2 14-33 241 2 14 49-330 6.7 7-15 55 0 at East Carolina 20-48 -252 -11 -1 17 31-139 4.5 15-28 187 1 28 33-114 3.5 32-46 464 0at Cincinnati Connecticut

Average 24-39 -123.6 -5.6 -0.7 21 39-143 3.6 61.9% 269 8.9% 26 38-190 5.0 67.2% 346 4.7% Average 21-33 -76.1 -2.6 -0.3 20 31-135 4.3 55.7% 218 3.7% 22 43-194 4.5 63.7% 235 3.3% Conference 27-41 -136.7 -6.4 -0.6 21 39-131 3.3 67.4% 283 11.0% 28 40-189 4.7 67.0% 362 5.5% Conference 21-37 -87.3 -3.9 -0.6 21 32-149 4.6 59.2% 240 4.0% 25 43-216 5.0 68.4% 261 2.6% Away 23-40 -119.6 -5.0 -1.0 19 40-144 3.6 61.6% 236 11.6% 24 37-202 5.5 65.2% 298 4.3% Home 24-34 -45.4 -2.4 -0.2 21 32-156 4.9 56.8% 210 2.2% 23 42-169 4.0 65.5% 243 4.3%

Holy Cross David Pindell 19-28-154-0-0 Nate Hopkins 20-130-6.5-3 Hergy Mayala 9-106-11.8-1 Austin Peay Hayden Moore 17-28-151-3-0 Mike Boone 19-100-5.3-1 Thomas Geddis 4-48-12.0-1 Bye at Michigan Hayden Moore 15-40-132-1-2 Mike Boone 12-44-3.7-1 Devin Gray 3-41-13.7-0at Virginia Bryant Shirreffs 18-26-227-2-1 Bryant Shirreffs 14-90-6.4-0 Hergy Mayala 2-77-38.5-2 vs. at Miami, OH Hayden Moore 24-43-222-1-2 Gerrid Doaks 17-71-4.2-0 Kahlil Lewis 7-83-11.9-1 East Carolina Bryant Shirreffs 24-39-406-3-1 Kevin Mensah 16-107-6.7-0 Arkeel Newsome 8-170-21.3-1 at Navy Hayden Moore 28-46-381-3-0 Gerrid Doaks 14-59-4.2-1 Devin Gray 6-112-18.7-1at SMU Bryant Shirreffs 22-28-408-2-0 Nate Hopkins 10-27-2.7-1 Aaron McLean 5-122-24.4-1 Marshall Hayden Moore 22-45-211-1-0 Gerrid Doaks 10-55-5.5-1 Devin Gray 3-68-22.7-0 Memphis Bryant Shirreffs 21-35-310-1-1 Arkeel Newsome 9-114-12.7-2 Tyler Davis 4-87-21.8-0 vs. UCF Hayden Moore 23-40-278-1-1 Hayden Moore 13-75-5.8-2 Kahlil Lewis 7-89-12.7-0at Temple Bryant Shirreffs 18-28-105-3-1 Arkeel Newsome 18-56-3.1-0 Aaron McLean 3-30-10.0-0 at USF Hayden Moore 16-28-147-0-1 Michael Warren II 6-47-7.8-0 Kahlil Lewis 6-35-5.8-0 Tulsa Bryant Shirreffs 23-29-372-1-0 Nate Hopkins 21-38-1.8-1 Hergy Mayala 4-131-32.8-1 SMU Hayden Moore 22-35-189-2-1 Gerrid Doaks 9-91-10.1-0 Kahlil Lewis 10-72-7.2-0 Missouri Bryant Shirreffs 19-39-202-0-0 Kevin Mensah 16-64-4.0-1 Hergy Mayala 9-116-12.9-0 vs. Bye USF Bryant Shirreffs 17-23-133-1-1 Kevin Mensah 22-95-4.3-1 Hergy Mayala 4-45-11.3-0 at Tulane Hayden Moore 18-27-248-1-0 Gerrid Doaks 17-149-8.8-0 Thomas Geddis 3-54-18.0-0at UCF David Pindell 18-31-201-2-1 David Pindell 21-96-4.6-1 Arkeel Newsome 1-60-60.0-0 Temple Hayden Moore 20-36-217-2-0 Hayden Moore 11-75-6.8-0 Kahlil Lewis 5-84-16.8-0† Boston College David Pindell 14-33-241-1-3 Kevin Mensah 16-115-7.2-1 Arkeel Newsome 2-74-37.0-0 vs. at East Carolina Hayden Moore 15-28-187-3-1 Mike Boone 15-62-4.1-0 Kahlil Lewis 2-84-42.0-1at Cincinnati Connecticut

vs.

Bryant Shirreffs 171-260-2287-14-5 Kevin Mensah 110-537-4.9-4 Hergy Mayala 39-584-15.0-6 Hayden Moore 220-396-2363-18-8 Gerrid Doaks 87-513-5.9-2 Kahlil Lewis 55-612-11.1-5David Pindell 57-108-664-3-5 Nate Hopkins 83-305-3.7-7 Arkeel Newsome 25-541-21.6-2 vs. Ross Trail 5-9-31-0-0 Mike Boone 96-380-4.0-4 Devin Gray 27-439-16.3-3Quayvon Skanes 1-2-6-0-0 Arkeel Newsome 65-256-3.9-3 Aaron McLean 27-414-15.3-2 Mike Boone 1-1-4-0-0 Hayden Moore 84-302-3.6-3 Thomas Geddis 23-323-14.0-3

Category

2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Connecticut - 48.5 20 21 41-188

Cincinnati - -3 9 22 22-2 12015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Connecticut - 57.5 13 19 30-136

Cincinnati - -13 37 28 49-285 12014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Connecticut - 55.5 0 10 27-48

Cincinnati - -9.5 41 24 48-249 22013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Connecticut - 46 16 22 32-36

Cincinnati - -15 41 23 36-137 02012 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's

Connecticut - 40 17 19 29-36

Cincinnati - -5 34 18 32-72 2

18-33-224

Comp-Att-Yds

20-36-176

Connecticut HuskiesHuskies Logs

TM REC FOE REC TM CONF

FOE CONF

at Temple

Holy Cross

Receiving

Comp-Att-Yds

17-41-130

Net

26-35-327

14-27-81

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing

21-30-388

Comp-Att-Yds

23-47-337

20-30-284

Score Off at USF Tulsa Sks Allowed SMU Missouri Rush Def Bye

at East Carolinaat Cincinnati Sks By Connecticut

USF Pass Def at Tulane at UCF Total Def Temple† Boston College Score Def

2017 TEAM RANKINGS Austin Peay Bye

Connecticut Cincinnatiat Michigan

at Virginia at Miami, OH East Carolina Rush Off at Navyat SMU Pass Off Marshall Memphis Total Off UCF

TEAM

Cincinnati Bearcatsvs. AAC vs. AAC

OVERALL: OVERALL:

3-8 3-8

TM REC FOE REC

Bearcats LogsTEAM --PS RANK-- FOE

FOE +/-AP1-6

Offense

TM +/-FOE

--PS RANK--TM +/- FOE +/-

AP

FOE

FOE 2-5NCAA RANKINGS

FOE CONF

TM CONF

Cincinnati Leaders

By Game Yardage Leaders

Connecticut Leaders

0.21

Cincinnati DB'sConnecticut RB's

Score

Ypg Diff

Offense Defense

Score

Con

nec

ticu

t H

usk

ies

Connecticut DB's

2.67

Connecticut OL

Cincinnati DL

Cincinnati OL

0.83

Cincinnati RB's

Connecticut LB'S

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

Cin

cin

nat

i Bea

rcat

s

Net

ReceivingPassing Rushing

0.23

Cincinnati QB/WR

Projected Passing

0.07

Connecticut DL

Total TO's

Rushing Position by Position Edges

Cincinnati LB's

Connecticut CincinnatiConnecticut QB/WR

Defense

Connecticut ST's

Cincinnati ST's

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) Projected Box Score

Cincinnati 159 yards137 yards Connecticut

Comp-Att-Yds

29-56-315

Ret

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Tab

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onte

nts

1.83

Phil's Forecast:

Cincy was on a 5-0 SU/ATS run in this series prior to losing last year as they were held to their lowest rush ttl s/’06 vs Ohio St & will be ply’g with revenge. CT is on the road for the 3rd straight week and has lost their last 4 games by 37, 17, 25 and 23. All of those were vs bowl teams and they step down in class here with both teams coming in with just 3 wins on the season. Cincy is a poor -87 ypg in AAC play, but UConn is even worse at -137 ypg. Cincy has a large edge on defense allowing 429 ypg on the year and UConn is at 536 ypg. Conn is down to backup QB David Pindell who is hitting just 53% with a 3-5 ratio and Hayden Moore is hitting 56% with a 18-8 ratio.

Cincinnati By 8.2

Team & Margin

Cincinnati 476-387

Cincinnati 28-27

Cincinnati By 5.5

59 Points

Cincinnati By 5.0

Projected Rushing

Las Vegas Line

Las Vegas TotalConnecticut K

Cincinnati K

0.81

Connecticut Cincinnati 317 yards

4.82

Cincinnati Pts

POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

3.39

Connecticut Pts

Experience Rankings78

CincinnatiConnecticut 28 points

40 Connecticut Cincinnati

Comp-Att-Yds

24-42-321

Game Grade0.75

Connecticut Coaches

Cincinnati Coaches

+/- Ratings

0.82

Computer Yards

Computer Points

251 yardsProjected Yardage Total

387 yards Connecticut Cincinnati 476 yardsProjected Final Score

27 points

Cincinnati by 7 Cincinnati 30 Connecticut 23By 1.43 Points

Phil Steele67

Team Schedule Strength Cincinnati70 Connecticut Cincinnati

Page 22: Phil Steele’s Inside the Pressboxplus.philsteele.com/inside_the_pressbox/2017/College/...Phil Steele’s Inside the Pressbox WK 13 UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK *this is a Best Bet H Utah

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 116 109 9/1 23-20 W 68 29 67 102 89 75 0-0 0-0 114 9/1 50-7 W 72 65 681-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 116 120 9/9 10-34 L 75 30 67 81 59 30 1-0 0-1 0-0 0-0 114 98 9/9 23-30 L 67 58 68 92 90 501-1 1-1 0-1 0-1 112 131 9/16 20-49 L 81 33 63 11 22 70 1-1 2-0 0-0 0-0 109 108 9/16 41-17 W 70 56 49 57 83 1151-2 3-0 0-1 1-0 110 142 2 9/23 7-34 L 84 50 32 4 2 103 #27 #68 2-1 2-1 0-0 0-1 113 127 25 9/23 26-35 L 63 52 36 27 4 141-3 2-2 0-2 0-1 111 101 9/30 28-8 W 94 50 66 64 90 118 #116 #17 2-2 3-1 0-0 1-0 114 126 9/30 25-33 L 63 68 27 32 27 1032-3 4-1 0-2 0-1 112 128 16 10/7 10-23 L 91 47 56 42 10 26 #96 #24 2-3 2-3 0-1 0-1 115 117 10/7 27-24 W 67 68 42 76 71 322-4 4-2 0-3 1-2 112 122 10/14 45-42 W 93 43 60 11 32 58 #93 #66 3-3 6-0 1-1 4-0 115 141 2 10/13 27-24 W 63 71 28 10 3 1113-4 5-1 1-3 2-0 116 118 10/21 41-10 W 84 46 74 74 26 100 #9 #114 4-3 5-0 2-1 3-0 120 134 8 10/21 19-27 L 57 72 33 10 19 184-4 2-4 2-3 2-3 121 126 10/27 35-3 W 72 36 78 47 13 37 #108 #86 4-4 2-2 121 10/28 61 71 125-4 3-3 126 11/4 69 26 82 #25 #98 4-4 2-5 2-2 2-4 121 121 11/4 24-27 L 60 71 11 59 16 595-4 6-3 3-3 4-1 126 128 11/11 14-17 L 68 26 85 29 33 101 #68 #101 4-5 5-4 2-3 2-3 121 126 11/11 43-64 L 57 73 15 46 65 845-5 3-7 3-4 2-5 125 98 11/18 39-16 W 77 26 104 118 117 117 #42 #93 4-6 6-4 2-4 3-4 118 123 11/18 10-56 L 49 86 17 5 52 866-5 4-7 3-4 2-5 124 114 11/25 69 27 99 55 91 28 #88 #103 4-7 6-5 2-5 3-4 114 124 11/25 55 91 28 69 27 99

#89 #62+6 -10

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

at Northern Illinois 23-20 -28 3 0 21 50-148 3.0 26-42 191 2 18 35-164 4.7 16-39 203 0 Central Conn St 50-7 419 26 -1 34 41-155 3.8 37-52 431 1 8 30-54 1.8 12-27 113 2 Wake Forest 10-34 -4 4 -4 19 41-142 3.5 18-41 163 0 15 52-158 3.0 13-19 151 2 Middle Tennessee 23-30 -55 5 1 25 49-126 2.6 27-44 182 6 20 33-94 2.8 22-36 269 1 Notre Dame 20-49 -211 3 -1 22 44-185 4.2 24-41 215 1 19 51-515 10.1 11-27 96 0 Central Michigan 41-17 197 -4 0 18 44-300 6.8 19-35 279 0 22 34-105 3.1 23-46 277 0at Clemson 7-34 -244 -15 0 12 34-97 2.9 15-32 141 1 27 58-342 5.9 17-26 140 2 at LSU 26-35 -30 6 0 24 27-76 2.8 34-55 308 3 18 38-151 4.0 14-23 263 2 Central Michigan 28-8 13 -1 1 17 53-224 4.2 14-21 85 0 18 33-116 3.5 22-43 180 3 at NC State 25-33 -18 -9 -1 20 30-59 2.0 30-48 385 3 29 47-256 5.4 21-34 206 0 Virginia Tech 10-23 -87 -4 1 16 33-153 4.6 14-33 191 0 20 48-109 2.3 22-33 322 5 Pittsburgh 27-24 142 10 0 26 42-135 3.2 33-49 365 3 16 26-129 5.0 22-33 229 2at Louisville 45-42 -70 2 1 27 59-364 6.2 12-28 191 2 25 36-293 8.1 19-39 332 0 Clemson 27-24 123 12 -1 28 50-162 3.2 20-33 278 6 16 25-113 4.5 22-32 204 4at Virginia 41-10 265 0 3 19 47-237 5.0 19-24 275 0 19 26-95 3.7 19-42 152 3 at Miami, Fl 19-27 -81 1 -3 23 51-264 5.2 14-42 135 4 22 32-136 4.3 26-43 344 0 Florida St 35-3 116 9 3 19 55-241 4.4 7-21 88 0 10 29-64 2.2 12-27 149 2 Bye Bye at Florida St 24-27 120 8 0 21 40-149 3.7 31-55 314 3 13 37-207 5.6 12-19 136 3 NC State 14-17 -20 3 0 20 54-236 4.4 10-22 111 5 17 41-221 5.4 13-32 146 1 Wake Forest 43-64 -113 0 -1 33 32-178 5.6 38-67 443 2 33 51-371 7.3 25-38 363 1† Connecticut 39-16 -27 -1 2 14 49-330 6.7 7-15 55 0 15 41-171 4.2 14-33 241 0 at Louisville 10-56 -392 -5 -4 22 45-197 4.4 13-34 138 1 27 42-411 9.8 17-30 316 1at Syracuse Boston College

Average 25-23 -27.0 0.3 0.5 19 47-214 4.5 51.9% 155 3.4% 18 41-204 5.0 49.4% 192 5.0% Average 29-31 28.4 4.5 -0.9 25 41-164 4.0 57.6% 296 6.2% 20 36-184 5.1 59.8% 247 4.4% Conference 23-23 -6.3 -0.1 0.6 19 46-210 4.6 47.3% 166 4.0% 19 41-183 4.4 52.8% 199 6.9% Conference 25-36 -31.3 2.4 -1.4 25 41-163 3.9 54.6% 294 6.7% 22 37-232 6.2 63.3% 257 4.8% Away 31-24 -20.8 -2.2 1.2 19 48-235 4.9 56.0% 171 3.5% 21 39-213 5.4 47.5% 214 2.8% Home 35-28 118.8 8.2 -0.3 27 43-176 4.1 62.1% 330 6.4% 19 33-144 4.4 59.4% 243 4.7%

at Northern Illinois Anthony Brown 26-42-191-2-1 Jon Hilliman 25-58-2.3-0 Kobay White 6-76-12.7-0 Central Conn St Eric Dungey 28-36-328-3-0 Eric Dungey 9-51-5.7-2 Steve Ishmael 12-134-11.2-0 Wake Forest Anthony Brown 11-29-119-1-3 Thadd Smith 5-46-9.2-0 Jeff Smith 5-56-11.2-0 Middle Tennessee Eric Dungey 26-42-180-0-1 Eric Dungey 19-53-2.8-1 Steve Ishmael 14-116-8.3-0 Notre Dame Anthony Brown 24-40-215-2-2 Jon Hilliman 22-122-5.5-0 Charlie Callinan 7-82-11.7-2 vs. Central Michigan Eric Dungey 19-35-279-2-1 Eric Dungey 11-105-9.5-1 Steve Ishmael 8-139-17.4-0at Clemson Anthony Brown 14-30-133-0-1 AJ Dillon 18-57-3.2-1 Jeff Smith 4-58-14.5-0 at LSU Eric Dungey 32-53-265-1-1 Dontae Strickland 7-27-3.9-0 Steve Ishmael 11-123-11.2-1 Central Michigan Anthony Brown 14-21-85-1-0 AJ Dillon 25-120-4.8-1 Jeff Smith 2-35-17.5-0 at NC State Eric Dungey 30-47-385-1-1 Eric Dungey 16-44-2.8-2 Ervin Philips 17-188-11.1-0 Virginia Tech Anthony Brown 13-30-166-0-0 Anthony Brown 7-51-7.3-0 Travis Levy 3-42-14.0-0 vs. Pittsburgh Eric Dungey 33-49-365-2-0 Dontae Strickland 25-80-3.2-0 Ravian Pierce 9-99-11.0-0at Louisville Anthony Brown 5-17-100-1-1 AJ Dillon 39-272-7.0-4 Tommy Sweeney 4-57-14.3-0 Clemson Eric Dungey 20-32-278-3-0 Dontae Strickland 19-78-4.1-0 Ervin Philips 4-94-23.5-1at Virginia Anthony Brown 19-24-275-3-0 AJ Dillon 24-89-3.7-0 Kobay White 3-85-28.3-1 at Miami, Fl Eric Dungey 13-41-137-0-4 Dontae Strickland 14-105-7.5-0 Ervin Philips 5-57-11.4-0 Florida St Anthony Brown 6-20-54-1-0 AJ Dillon 33-149-4.5-1 Kobay White 2-46-23.0-1 vs. Bye Bye at Florida St Eric Dungey 24-43-278-2-1 Eric Dungey 22-109-5.0-1 Steve Ishmael 12-143-11.9-1 NC State Darius Wade 8-15-82-0-0 AJ Dillon 36-196-5.4-1 Tommy Sweeney 4-55-13.8-0 Wake Forest Zack Mahoney 33-60-384-3-2 Moe Neal 12-86-7.2-0 Steve Ishmael 14-145-10.4-1† Connecticut Darius Wade 7-15-55-1-0 AJ Dillon 24-200-8.3-2 Tommy Sweeney 2-42-21.0-0 vs. at Louisville Rex Culpepper 8-19-89-0-2 Moe Neal 19-98-5.2-0 Devin C Butler 5-63-12.6-0at Syracuse Boston College

vs.

Anthony Brown 134-258-1367-11-9 AJ Dillon 245-1239-5.1-10 Kobay White 30-368-12.3-2 Eric Dungey 225-378-2495-14-9 Eric Dungey 143-595-4.2-9 Steve Ishmael 94-1160-12.3-6Darius Wade 30-55-280-1-1 Jon Hilliman 144-548-3.8-5 Tommy Sweeney 27-350-13.0-3 vs. Zack Mahoney 46-89-471-3-4 Dontae Strickland 128-482-3.8-4 Ervin Philips 81-839-10.4-3Jeff Smith 2-4-59-2-0 Thadd Smith 30-276-9.2-2 Jeff Smith 22-259-11.8-0 Rex Culpepper 21-41-238-0-2 Moe Neal 79-400-5.1-1 Devin C Butler 32-324-10.1-1

Category

2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.

Boston College - -4 20 16 40-223

Syracuse - 50.5 28 23 35-98 -1

2015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.

Boston College - -3 17 9 40-230

Syracuse - 40.5 20 17 45-155 1

2014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.

Boston College - -11 28 19 49-142

Syracuse - 43 7 8 28-70 -1

2013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.

Boston College - -2.5 31 15 33-191

Syracuse - 51 34 30 51-210 1

† Connecticut

Bye NC State

at Syracuse

Passing Rushing

Defense

Receiving

1-13-9

Comp-Att-Yds

11-19-168

29-43-270

11-26-86

13-17-160

8-20-66

Comp-Att-Yds

Comp-Att-Yds

7-20-64

Syracuse 30

Team Schedule StrengthBoston College

Boston College

Syracuse

Syracuse

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

Ret

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Projected Box Score

Comp-Att-Yds

Boston College Leaders

Net Offense

FOE REC

32-38-434

Syracuse Coaches Syracuse By 2.2

Las Vegas Total56.5 Points

+/- Ratings

Boston College K

1.78Boston College

Projected Rushing247 yards Syracuse 206 yards

Projected Passing

Projected Final Score2.77

Syracuse

25 points

Experience Rankings46 24 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

5.98

Boston College Pts

Total Def Wake Forest

Sks Allowed at Miami, Fl

Ypg DiffTotal TO's

Score Def at LouisvilleSks By Boston College

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

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Syr

acu

se O

ran

gem

en

Net Offense

Score

Bos

ton

Col

leg

e Ea

gle

s

Score Off

Syracuse Middle Tennessee Central Michigan

Central Conn St

Rush Off at LSUPass Off

Clemson

Pass Def at Florida St

at NC State

Rush Def Bye

Total Off Pittsburgh

TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE CONF

Eagles Logs

TM REC

Boston College Eagles

at Clemson Central Michigan

Florida Stat Virginia

Virginia Techat Louisville

TEAMAPFOE

OVERALL: Syracuse Orangemen6-5 4-7OVERALL:

vs. ACCvs. ACC Orangemen Logs

1.28

Syracuse LB's

Boston College RB's

Boston College OL

Receiving

Boston College SyracusePosition by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing

TM CONF

TM CONF

3-4FOE CONF TM +/-

By Game Yardage Leaders

Score

2-5TM REC FOE

RECFOE +/-AP

at Northern Illinois 2017 TEAM RANKINGS

Wake ForestBoston College

FOE

FOE NCAA RANKINGS FOE

0.73

Syracuse QB/WR

Syracuse ST's

Boston College DB's

Boston College ST's

Syracuse RB's

Boston College DL

0.52

Syracuse OL

1.20

Boston College LB'S

1.83

Syracuse DL

0.47Las Vegas Line

TM +/- FOE +/-

Notre Dame

Phil SteeleBoston College6

Syracuse K

Team & Margin

450 yards

0.65

244 yards

Projected Yardage Total394 yards Boston College Syracuse

147 yards Boston College

Boston College By 3.5

Boston College By 6.8

Game Grade

Syracuse 450-394

Computer Points

Computer Yards

Boston College 29-25

Boston College Coaches

29 pointsSyracuse Pts

Boston College

Defense

--PS RANK--

Syracuse Leaders

Phil's Forecast:

Syracuse has won 3 of the 4 ACC meetings including the L/2 when hosting on Sr day. LY Cuse was coming off their upset of VT and avoided a letdown by upsetting the Eagles as well, 28-20 (+4). BC got their 6th win last week in Fenway Park whipping UConn 39-16. BC lost starting QB Anthony Brown and in the last two games Darius Wade has thrown for just 82 & 55 yds. AJ Dillon has been the key to BC’s resurgence as he has rushed for 272, 89, 149, 196 and 200 yards the last 5 games and then takes on an Orange defense that is allowing 232 (6.2!) rush in ACC games. Syracuse was competitive vs everyone until Eric Dungey went out with injury. Zack Mahoney started vs Wake and had a great 1H, but a poor 2H in a game he threw for 384 yards. Last week he and Rex Culpepper both struggled combining for 137 yards pass with 38% completions and an 0-4 ratio vs a weak Louisville defense. I lost a high scoring play on that game despite Louisville putting up 727 yards and 56 points! Syracuse has scored just 15 points the last 6 quarters since leading Wake 38-24 at the half. The Orange defense wore down at the end of last week with their fast pace offense having them face a lot of plays and the last two weeks they have allowed 734 and 727 yards allowing over 300 yards rush and 300 pass in both. BC’s D is allowing just 310 ypg the last 4 weeks.

Boston College QB/WR

0.28

Syracuse DB's

Boston College by 11Best Bet: ★ Boston College 34 Syracuse 23By 3.21 Points

Page 23: Phil Steele’s Inside the Pressboxplus.philsteele.com/inside_the_pressbox/2017/College/...Phil Steele’s Inside the Pressbox WK 13 UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK *this is a Best Bet H Utah

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 112 106 9/2 35-10 W 67 60 118 99 118 65 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 102 138 8 9/2 14-30 L 104 84 69 6 16 731-0 0-1 0-0 0-0 115 119 9/9 28-14 W 58 35 118 108 72 85 0-1 1-0 0-0 0-0 106 107 9/9 13-16 L 99 76 69 94 80 512-0 0-0 118 9/16 41 26 126 0-2 0-0 104 9/16 65-0 W 99 69 792-0 2-1 0-0 1-1 118 133 9/23 18-38 L 41 16 127 7 22 70 #74 #73 1-2 1-2 0-0 0-0 108 113 9/23 17-27 L 87 59 51 64 41 402-1 3-1 0-0 0-1 117 124 9/30 17-10 W 36 18 111 59 33 18 #78 #125 1-3 3-1 0-1 1-0 108 132 11 9/30 0-56 L 90 59 45 4 6 213-1 4-0 1-0 1-0 120 131 7 10/7 14-10 W 39 21 111 45 2 13 #91 #129 1-4 0-2 104 10/7 102 69 684-1 3-2 2-0 0-2 124 118 21 10/14 30-27 W 39 18 121 99 42 25 #115 #120 1-4 2-3 0-2 0-2 104 103 10/14 35-24 W 98 67 49 113 84 545-1 3-3 3-0 0-3 124 119 18 10/21 17-9 W 40 15 112 92 44 26 #45 #32 2-4 3-3 1-2 1-2 107 123 10/21 14-12 W 83 64 56 86 65 816-1 4-3 4-0 2-2 124 124 16 10/28 31-39 L 48 16 124 58 27 97 #7 #80 3-4 5-2 2-2 2-2 111 125 10/28 14-35 L 92 66 42 49 3 236-2 7-1 4-1 4-1 123 143 24 7 11/4 27-24 W 39 19 110 17 11 9 #41 #55 3-5 4-4 2-3 2-3 111 113 11/4 31-24 W 99 77 54 82 74 367-2 7-2 5-1 5-1 128 139 13 11 11/11 3-48 L 38 18 99 1 15 53 #16 #67 4-5 7-2 3-3 4-2 112 138 16 11/11 6-35 L 98 76 44 18 12 107-3 4-6 5-2 2-5 124 110 22 11/18 17-7 W 51 19 100 91 76 66 #34 #70 4-6 4-6 3-4 1-6 112 114 11/18 0-41 L 102 70 41 101 39 518-3 4-7 6-2 3-5 123 108 21 11/25 52 18 92 110 76 40 #54 #118 4-7 8-3 3-5 6-2 108 123 21 11/25 110 76 40 52 18 92

#40 #123-1 -2

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

Bowling Green 35-10 253 16 -2 25 46-215 4.7 22-36 250 1 9 24-67 2.8 10-31 145 1 Washington 14-30 -59 2 -2 19 42-131 3.1 24-35 178 1 17 24-84 3.5 17-30 284 1 Western Michigan 28-14 262 10 -1 21 49-296 6.0 13-21 161 2 11 36-116 3.2 12-27 79 4 Eastern Michigan 13-16 -48 -4 -1 15 30-128 4.3 17-38 198 1 19 35-114 3.3 19-37 260 1 Bye Morgan St 65-0 333 19 3 25 54-326 6.0 13-19 152 1 6 37-80 2.2 8-23 65 1 Notre Dame 18-38 141 5 -3 26 32-151 4.7 32-53 345 2 21 40-182 4.6 14-20 173 1 at Nebraska 17-27 -112 -9 0 12 24-68 2.8 15-29 126 0 21 47-197 4.2 13-26 109 0 Iowa 17-10 69 8 2 19 40-88 2.2 18-28 212 2 11 25-19 0.8 17-32 212 3 Ohio St 0-56 -419 -11 -2 13 41-117 2.9 11-27 92 1 24 38-286 7.5 19-30 342 2at Michigan 14-10 -48 -4 5 13 40-158 4.0 11-22 94 0 17 39-102 2.6 16-35 198 4 Byeat Minnesota 30-27 75 5 -1 19 50-245 4.9 9-18 120 0 14 27-74 2.7 16-32 216 2 at Illinois 35-24 -18 -1 0 17 47-274 5.8 6-12 102 1 18 29-86 3.0 20-38 308 2 Indiana 17-9 21 5 -1 19 44-89 2.0 16-30 185 3 14 35-95 2.7 22-34 158 1 Purdue 14-12 -257 -17 2 8 37-130 3.5 9-18 87 1 25 41-279 6.8 23-44 195 0at Northwestern 31-39 108 0 -1 28 30-95 3.2 39-57 445 1 28 28-64 2.3 34-50 368 1 at Michigan 14-35 -276 -16 1 9 31-94 3.0 8-16 101 5 25 51-334 6.5 13-20 137 0 Penn St 27-24 8 3 2 25 24-74 3.1 33-56 400 2 22 21-65 3.1 27-48 401 3 Maryland 31-24 -39 1 -1 21 46-239 5.2 8-18 107 0 20 37-167 4.5 19-32 218 4at Ohio St 3-48 -329 -10 -1 15 34-64 1.9 18-36 131 6 25 42-335 8.0 15-23 189 0 at Penn St 6-35 -104 -8 -1 10 39-157 4.0 7-20 43 1 18 31-90 2.9 16-21 214 2 Maryland 17-7 87 7 0 19 51-271 5.3 2-14 20 0 12 31-83 2.7 13-25 121 3 at Indiana 0-41 -313 -12 -1 11 33-87 2.6 11-24 103 4 23 48-267 5.6 17-28 236 0at Rutgers Michigan St

Average 22-21 58.8 4.1 -0.1 21 40-159 4.0 57.4% 215 5.1% 17 32-109 3.5 54.9% 205 6.4% Average 19-27 -119.3 -5.1 -0.2 15 39-159 4.1 50.4% 117 6.3% 20 38-180 4.7 55.9% 215 4.0% Conference 20-22 -1.1 1.8 0.6 20 39-136 3.5 55.9% 201 5.4% 18 31-105 3.4 57.3% 233 6.1% Conference 15-32 -192.3 -9.1 -0.3 13 37-146 3.9 45.7% 95 7.9% 22 40-213 5.3 58.6% 220 4.2% Away 20-31 -48.5 -2.3 0.5 19 39-141 3.6 57.9% 198 5.3% 21 34-144 4.2 57.9% 243 5.0% Home 23-23 -81.5 -1.7 -0.2 17 42-179 4.3 52.9% 136 3.2% 19 35-168 4.8 53.6% 227 4.6%

Bowling Green Brian Lewerke 22-33-250-3-0 Brian Lewerke 8-69-8.6-0 Darrell Stewart 6-85-14.2-0 Washington Kyle Bolin 24-34-178-2-2 Gus Edwards 24-79-3.3-0 Damon Mitchell 4-46-11.5-0 Western Michigan Brian Lewerke 13-21-161-1-1 LJ Scott 18-86-4.8-1 Felton Davis 4-69-17.3-0 Eastern Michigan Kyle Bolin 17-37-198-0-2 Robert Martin 13-68-5.2-0 Janarion Grant 8-91-11.4-0 Bye vs. Morgan St Kyle Bolin 11-17-140-1-0 Raheem Blackshear 14-102-7.3-2 Bo Melton 1-48-48.0-0 Notre Dame Brian Lewerke 31-51-340-2-1 LJ Scott 11-61-5.5-0 Hunter Rison 4-73-18.3-0 at Nebraska Kyle Bolin 15-29-126-0-2 Gus Edwards 15-58-3.9-1 Dacoven Bailey 3-38-12.7-0 Iowa Brian Lewerke 18-28-212-2-0 Brian Lewerke 12-42-3.5-0 Felton Davis 9-114-12.7-2 Ohio St Kyle Bolin 5-14-56-0-0 Gus Edwards 10-43-4.3-0 Robert Martin 2-36-18.0-0at Michigan Brian Lewerke 11-22-94-1-0 Brian Lewerke 15-61-4.1-1 Darrell Stewart 3-42-14.0-0 vs. Byeat Minnesota Brian Lewerke 9-18-120-0-1 LJ Scott 25-194-7.8-2 Felton Davis 2-35-17.5-0 at Illinois Giovanni Rescigno 5-10-89-0-0 Gus Edwards 21-91-4.3-2 Janarion Grant 3-49-16.3-0 Indiana Brian Lewerke 16-29-185-1-0 LJ Scott 22-87-4.0-1 Cody White 6-99-16.5-0 Purdue Giovanni Rescigno 9-18-87-1-0 Gus Edwards 14-94-6.7-1 Raheem Blackshear 2-39-19.5-1at Northwestern Brian Lewerke 39-57-445-4-1 Brian Lewerke 9-30-3.3-0 Cody White 9-165-18.3-2 vs. at Michigan Giovanni Rescigno 8-16-101-0-0 Janarion Grant 5-71-14.2-1 Jerome Washington 2-33-16.5-0 Penn St Brian Lewerke 33-56-400-2-1 LJ Scott 14-43-3.1-1 Felton Davis 12-181-15.1-1 Maryland Giovanni Rescigno 8-17-107-1-1 Gus Edwards 21-109-5.2-0 Jerome Washington 3-57-19.0-0at Ohio St Brian Lewerke 18-36-131-0-2 LJ Scott 8-30-3.8-0 Cody White 5-42-8.4-0 at Penn St Giovanni Rescigno 7-20-43-0-0 Robert Martin 11-71-6.5-0 Nakia Griffin-Stewart 2-19-9.5-0 Maryland Brian Lewerke 2-14-20-0-0 LJ Scott 29-147-5.1-1 Matt Sokol 1-12-12.0-0 vs. at Indiana Giovanni Rescigno 8-14-67-0-0 Johnathan Lewis 6-36-6.0-0 Bo Melton 2-31-15.5-0at Rutgers Michigan St

vs.

Brian Lewerke 212-365-2358-16-7 LJ Scott 164-731-4.5-6 Felton Davis 45-586-13.0-8 Kyle Bolin 73-133-711-3-6 Gus Edwards 160-703-4.4-6 Jerome Washington 27-273-10.1-1Trishton Jackson 1-1-5-0-0 Brian Lewerke 97-433-4.5-4 Darrell Stewart 43-450-10.5-2 vs. Giovanni Rescigno 47-97-517-2-1 Robert Martin 98-452-4.6-3 Janarion Grant 16-167-10.4-1Connor Heyward 0-1-0.1-0-0 Madre London 70-265-3.8-2 Cody White 30-407-13.6-2 Johnathan Lewis 8-22-69-1-2 Raheem Blackshear 38-238-6.3-3 Damon Mitchell 10-130-13.0-0

Category

2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Michigan St - -16 49 20 50-277

Rutgers - 54 0 8 36-109 -22015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Michigan St 4 -13 31 22 37-122

Rutgers - 52.5 24 15 32-141 12014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Michigan St 10 -23 45 26 44-242

Rutgers - 57 3 15 29-95 -1

vs.

Iowa

129

TM REC FOE REC

Comp-Att-Yds

17-26-278

Western Michigan

Rutgers

By Game Yardage Leaders Receiving

Michigan St Leaders

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)Comp-Att-Yds

12-19-163

6-18-40

Passing Rushing

Projected Final Score

Comp-Att-Yds 193 yards Michigan StProjected Passing

Michigan St Rutgers

377 yards Michigan St RutgersProjected Yardage Total

Michigan St Rutgers 10 pointsExperience Rankings

21 points14-31-139

at Ohio St Total Def at Penn St Maryland Score Def at Indianaat Rutgers Sks By Michigan St

Ypg DiffTotal TO's

Net Offense Defense

Mic

hig

an S

t S

par

tan

s

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

Ru

tger

s S

carl

et K

nig

hts

Net Offense

Bye Morgan St Notre Dame Rush Off at Nebraska

Spartans Logs--PS RANK--

at Minnesota Score Off

8-3OVERALL: OVERALL:

Score Score

TEAM --PS RANK--3-5FOE 6-2TM REC FOE

REC

Ohio St Byeat Illinois

Indiana Sks Allowed Purdueat Northwestern Rush Def at Michigan Penn St

TM +/- FOE +/-AP TEAM TM

CONFFOE NCAA RANKINGS FOE

Bowling Green 2017 TEAM RANKINGS Washington

at Michigan Total Off

Rutgers OL

ReceivingPosition by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing

0.57

Michigan St RB's

Rutgers LB's

0.52

Michigan St QB/WR

238 yards

Rutgers DB's

Michigan St Rutgers

Michigan St DL

Projected Rushing

183 yards 128 yards

Rutgers 110 yards

Rutgers Pts

Last time here after a 91/16pl RU TD drive the score was 24-24 w/4:21 left. The Spartans on the ensuing drive went 76/10pl getting a 3 yd TD run w/:43 and stopped Rutgers 7pl later at midfield. Last year Mich St was 1-9 their last 10 games, but that one win was vs Rutgers by a score of 49-0 at home. Mich St has faced the tougher schedule (#3 vs #28). Michigan St is known for their defense, but allowed 474 ypg in a 3 game stretch vs NW, Penn St and Ohio St and 37 ppg. They took on a weaker offense last week and bounced back holding MD to 204 total yards. Rutgers offense has just 230 ypg total offense the last 5 weeks. Despite being 6-2 in the Big 10 Mich St is actually -1 ypg. Despite being 3-5 in the Big 10 Rutgers is -192 ypg. Rutgers bench Giovanni Rescigno last week and the Knights average just 95 ypg pass in B10 play.

Michigan St By 13

Michigan St ST's

Rutgers ST's

2.65

Michigan St Coaches

0.26

Michigan St K

Rutgers K

Rutgers Coaches

Michigan St By 11.8

Michigan St By 11.9

Michigan St 377-238

Game Grade

+/- Ratings

40 PointsLas Vegas Total

8.57

Michigan St Pts

Michigan St 21-1081 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

Michigan St by 13 Michigan St 23 Rutgers 10By 6.50 Points

Phil SteeleMichigan St

Computer Points

2.07Computer Yards

TM CONF

FOE CONF

Michigan St Spartans

Rutgers QB/WR

FOE CONF TM +/- FOE +/-

AP

vs. BIG 10 vs. BIG 10

2.07

1.23

Michigan St LB'S

Phil's Forecast:

Las Vegas Line

1.08

Michigan St OL

Rutgers DL

Rutgers Leaders

Team & Margin

1.04

Defense

Scarlet Knights LogsFOE

Pass Def Maryland

4-7 Rutgers Scarlet Knights

Michigan St

Pass Off

Rutgers Eastern Michigan

24-39-367

15-26-208

Ret

urn

to

Tab

le o

f C

onte

nts

Projected Box Score

Team Schedule Strength3 Michigan St Rutgers 28

Rutgers RB's

1.22

Michigan St DB's

Michigan St

Page 24: Phil Steele’s Inside the Pressboxplus.philsteele.com/inside_the_pressbox/2017/College/...Phil Steele’s Inside the Pressbox WK 13 UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK *this is a Best Bet H Utah

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 113 135 2 8/31 21-49 L 74 31 32 3 4 46 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 111 123 16 9/2 28-35 L 79 62 79 19 17 340-1 1-0 0-1 0-0 113 112 9/9 34-17 W 85 42 32 106 57 83 0-1 1-0 0-0 0-0 113 114 9/8 44-21 W 83 63 79 87 47 221-1 0-1 117 9/16 94 39 35 1-1 1-1 0-0 0-1 117 112 9/16 35-3 W 77 72 93 10 71 801-1 0-2 0-1 0-0 117 93 9/23 52-17 W 100 38 18 130 124 79 #103 #96 2-1 3-0 0-0 0-0 121 129 8 9/23 10-28 L 72 64 113 42 3 152-1 4-0 0-1 1-0 119 138 4 9/30 14-45 L 92 48 12 9 10 8 #44 #54 2-2 0-1 119 9/30 86 58 1092-2 0-2 118 10/7 27-0 W 92 43 25 #79 #82 2-2 3-1 0-1 0-1 119 120 10/7 31-17 W 84 59 106 87 39 73-2 4-1 0-2 1-1 118 127 17 10/14 20-27 L 87 38 37 42 2 12 #74 #100 3-2 5-0 1-1 2-0 121 136 7 10/14 9-17 L 80 62 103 21 12 653-3 5-1 0-3 3-0 119 124 18 10/21 9-17 L 92 44 26 40 15 112 #85 #108 3-3 2-4 1-2 1-2 123 107 10/21 12-14 L 86 65 81 83 64 563-4 3-4 0-4 1-3 119 111 10/28 39-42 L 97 38 15 84 72 54 #48 #31 3-4 3-4 1-3 2-2 119 112 10/28 24-25 L 80 62 119 60 63 383-5 8-0 0-5 5-0 117 131 4 11/4 17-45 L 97 41 43 26 12 62 #17 #76 3-5 2-6 1-4 0-5 116 105 11/4 29-10 W 77 63 81 117 83 583-6 2-7 0-6 0-6 114 104 11/11 24-14 W 103 45 49 121 85 63 #22 #35 4-5 6-3 2-4 4-2 117 125 11/11 13-23 L 70 54 71 49 29 594-6 4-6 1-6 3-4 114 112 11/18 41-0 W 101 39 51 102 70 41 #45 #18 4-6 6-4 2-5 3-4 117 125 11/18 24-15 W 76 53 82 97 29 345-6 5-6 2-6 3-5 118 122 11/25 93 36 50 78 48 80 #9 #61 5-6 5-6 3-5 2-6 122 118 11/25 78 48 80 93 36 50

#41 #65-7 +3

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

Ohio St 21-49 -159 -1 -3 25 27-17 0.6 42-68 420 5 26 51-292 5.7 20-35 304 1 † Louisville 28-35 -180 -2 -1 25 21-51 2.4 33-57 293 4 27 33-146 4.4 30-46 378 0at Virginia 34-17 4 -3 -1 19 41-121 3.0 19-30 197 4 22 25-55 2.2 39-66 259 1 Ohio 44-21 162 2 2 25 44-263 6.0 15-23 295 1 23 38-173 4.6 17-29 223 1 Bye at Missouri 35-3 274 16 2 26 50-205 4.1 26-34 272 3 10 24-70 2.9 12-28 133 0 GA Southern 52-17 92 5 3 20 47-282 6.0 11-22 185 0 15 54-242 4.5 7-16 133 3 Michigan 10-28 -234 -15 1 9 20-30 1.5 13-30 159 5 24 44-139 3.2 21-31 284 4at Penn St 14-45 -18 -1 -3 19 47-177 3.8 15-32 175 1 20 37-39 1.1 24-37 331 5 Bye Charleston Southern 27-0 344 19 -3 25 45-157 3.5 32-41 321 1 6 44-134 3.0 0-10 0 3 Minnesota 31-17 111 6 -2 22 29-132 4.6 25-36 307 4 16 47-227 4.8 11-25 101 0 Michigan 20-27 -51 -3 -2 14 29-80 2.8 21-43 198 2 17 44-271 6.2 10-20 58 0 at Wisconsin 9-17 -273 -10 2 14 26-66 2.5 13-29 155 3 24 53-295 5.6 13-18 199 1at Michigan St 9-17 -21 -5 1 14 35-95 2.7 22-34 158 1 19 44-89 2.0 16-30 185 3 at Rutgers 12-14 257 17 -2 25 41-279 6.8 23-44 195 0 8 37-130 3.5 9-18 87 1at Maryland 39-42 138 17 0 35 35-73 2.1 43-62 410 5 18 40-174 4.4 10-16 171 3 Nebraska 24-25 -108 -5 0 20 38-199 5.2 16-28 164 1 25 27-40 1.5 32-50 431 3 Wisconsin 17-45 -141 -8 -2 16 21-40 1.9 20-34 226 4 24 52-237 4.6 15-22 170 3 Illinois 29-10 185 10 0 25 44-209 4.8 18-28 226 1 15 35-80 2.3 12-27 170 5at Illinois 24-14 134 12 2 22 42-139 3.3 32-48 289 2 10 30-33 1.1 13-26 261 8 at Northwestern 13-23 48 0 -1 22 22-40 1.8 38-61 398 3 22 38-94 2.5 26-46 296 1 Rutgers 41-0 313 12 1 23 48-267 5.6 17-28 236 0 11 33-87 2.6 11-24 103 4 at Iowa 24-15 36 3 2 20 29-65 2.2 22-37 229 4 17 38-82 2.2 16-33 176 6at Purdue Indiana

Average 27-25 57.7 4.0 -0.6 21 38-132 3.5 62.0% 256 5.7% 17 41-150 3.6 54.6% 180 11.3% Average 24-19 25.3 2.0 0.3 21 33-140 4.2 59.5% 245 7.1% 19 38-134 3.6 56.7% 225 6.3% Conference 23-30 24.4 2.9 -0.8 21 36-111 3.1 60.7% 264 5.7% 18 41-153 3.7 56.7% 198 12.9% Conference 19-19 2.8 0.8 0.0 20 31-128 4.1 57.3% 229 7.2% 19 40-136 3.4 56.5% 218 8.5% Away 24-27 47.4 4.0 -0.2 22 40-121 3.0 63.6% 246 6.3% 18 35-78 2.2 58.3% 241 11.4% Home 28-20 23.2 -0.4 0.2 20 35-167 4.8 60.0% 230 8.3% 21 38-132 3.5 57.4% 242 8.0%

Ohio St Richard Lagow 40-65-410-3-2 Morgan Ellison 7-24-3.4-0 Simmie Cobbs 11-149-13.5-1 † Louisville David Blough 18-26-175-2-2 Tario Fuller 8-29-3.6-0 Jackson Anthrop 7-82-11.7-2at Virginia Peyton Ramsey 16-20-173-2-0 Morgan Ellison 12-47-3.9-0 Simmie Cobbs 5-62-12.4-1 Ohio David Blough 11-13-235-3-0 Tario Fuller 16-142-8.9-1 Cole Herdman 2-87-43.5-1 Bye vs. at Missouri David Blough 22-28-187-1-0 Tario Fuller 19-90-4.7-1 Cole Herdman 1-54-54.0-0 GA Southern Richard Lagow 8-13-130-1-0 Morgan Ellison 25-186-7.4-2 Ian Thomas 2-79-39.5-1 Michigan Elijah Sindelar 7-16-103-1-0 Richie Worship 2-18-9.0-0 Terry Wright 4-64-16.0-0at Penn St Richard Lagow 7-15-97-0-0 Peyton Ramsey 12-53-4.4-0 Ian Thomas 5-91-18.2-0 Bye Charleston Southern Peyton Ramsey 32-41-321-2-1 Peyton Ramsey 15-54-3.6-1 Taysir Mack 7-111-15.9-2 vs. Minnesota Elijah Sindelar 19-26-248-1-0 DJ Knox 7-56-8.0-0 Anthony Mahoungou 2-76-38.0-0 Michigan Peyton Ramsey 20-41-178-1-2 Morgan Ellison 14-68-4.9-1 Luke Timian 7-95-13.6-0 at Wisconsin Elijah Sindelar 13-29-155-0-1 DJ Knox 7-31-4.4-0 Brycen Hopkins 2-48-24.0-0at Michigan St Peyton Ramsey 22-34-158-0-0 Morgan Ellison 17-47-2.8-0 Simmie Cobbs 7-53-7.6-0 at Rutgers Elijah Sindelar 15-29-138-0-2 DJ Knox 13-84-6.5-0 Anthony Mahoungou 4-47-11.8-1at Maryland Peyton Ramsey 31-41-279-3-1 Cole Gest 12-38-3.2-0 Simmie Cobbs 10-138-13.8-2 vs. Nebraska David Blough 16-28-164-1-0 Richie Worship 18-89-4.9-1 Jackson Anthrop 6-55-9.2-1 Wisconsin Richard Lagow 20-34-226-2-2 Alex Rodriguez 4-29-7.3-0 Luke Timian 5-64-12.8-0 Illinois David Blough 16-24-194-0-0 DJ Knox 14-85-6.1-1 Brycen Hopkins 3-53-17.7-0at Illinois Richard Lagow 32-48-289-2-1 Cole Gest 17-82-4.8-0 Luke Timian 5-62-12.4-0 at Northwestern Elijah Sindelar 37-60-376-2-1 DJ Knox 6-22-3.7-0 Jared Sparks 11-130-11.8-0 Rutgers Richard Lagow 17-28-236-2-1 Morgan Ellison 15-149-9.9-2 Ian Thomas 4-93-23.3-1 vs. at Iowa Elijah Sindelar 22-37-229-3-0 Markell Jones 14-74-5.3-0 Anthony Mahoungou 7-135-19.3-2at Purdue Indiana

vs.

Richard Lagow 140-235-1563-12-7 Morgan Ellison 134-688-5.1-6 Simmie Cobbs 65-736-11.3-7 Elijah Sindelar 138-246-1544-12-6 DJ Knox 74-412-5.6-1 Anthony Mahoungou 31-472-15.2-4Peyton Ramsey 134-205-1252-10-5 Cole Gest 80-388-4.9-1 Luke Timian 62-520-8.4-2 vs. David Blough 102-157-1103-9-4 Markell Jones 61-263-4.3-1 Jackson Anthrop 39-371-9.5-5Mike Majette 0-1-0.1-0-0 Peyton Ramsey 92-237-2.6-2 Ian Thomas 25-376-15.0-5 Jackson Anthrop 1-1-24-0-0 Tario Fuller 43-261-6.1-2 Brycen Hopkins 23-324-14.1-3

Category

2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Indiana - -21 26 17 54-152

Purdue - 64.5 24 20 34-42 12015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Indiana - -6.5 54 31 56-309

Purdue - 68.5 36 30 36-150 -32014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Indiana - -3 23 18 46-239

Purdue - 57.5 16 16 34-228 -22013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Indiana - -21 56 42 54-401

Purdue - 66.5 36 21 16-31 22012 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's

Indiana - 63 35 22 35-164

Purdue - -5.5 56 23 38-185 3

Hoosiers Logs

Projected Rushing

26-40-291

33-49-485

Comp-Att-Yds

31-53-348

Indiana

21-32-373

GA Southern

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving

at Michigan St

24-45-225

Projected Box Score

114 yardsProjected Passing

17

Comp-Att-Yds

24 pointsExperience Rankings

18-29-350

37-58-336

19-35-123

Comp-Att-Yds

--PS RANK--

FOE

Indiana Leaders

at Maryland

AP TEAMFOE +/-

Net Offense Defense

Ind

ian

a H

oosi

ers

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

Pu

rdu

e B

oile

rmak

ers

Net Offense

1.34

Pass Def Illinoisat Illinois Total Def at Northwestern Wisconsin

Score Def at Iowaat Purdue Sks By Indiana Rutgers

Ypg DiffTotal TO's

Indiana HoosiersBoilermakers Logs

--PS RANK--TM CONF

FOE CONF TM +/- FOE +/-

FOE

FOEFOE RECNCAA RANKINGS

FOE 2-6 3-5TM REC

OVERALL: OVERALL: Purdue Boilermakers5-6 5-6

AP TEAM

Defense

Score Score

TM REC FOE REC TM CONF

FOE CONF TM +/-

† Louisvilleat Virginia

Indiana Purdue Ohio

Bye at Missouri

Ohio St 2017 TEAM RANKINGS

Rush Off Michiganat Penn St Pass Off Bye

Total Off Minnesota Michigan Score Off at Wisconsin Charleston Southern

Sks Allowed at RutgersRush Def Nebraska

Purdue LB'sIndiana OL

0.61

Purdue DL

0.97

Indiana Purdue

0.71

Indiana QB/WR

Purdue DB's

ReceivingPosition by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing

Indiana DL

Purdue OL

Indiana RB's

Purdue By 6.5Indiana Coaches

Purdue K

Last year PU led 22-17 into the 4Q, but allowed a FG & a 61/11pl gm deciding TD drive w/4:59. PU’s last drive was int’d in the EZ from the IU27 w/1:06, 26-24. Indy had won the previous 3 by 15 ppg. Both teams come in needing a win to get to a bowl. Indiana plays in the stronger East division and drew Wisconsin out of the West, but are still +24 ypg in Big Ten play while Purdue is just +3 ypg despite avoiding Ohio St, Penn St and Mich St. Indy could easily have beaten both Michigan and Michigan St. Indy does have the special teams edge at #50 vs #80 and I feel edges on both offense and defense. Indy is a team that is better than its record and they pull the upset here.

Indiana Pts

Purdue Pts

Purdue Leaders

Las Vegas Line

Las Vegas Total51 Points

0.60

Team & Margin

Purdue By 2.5

+/- Ratings

Indiana ST's0.44

Purdue ST'sIndiana K

Indiana DB's

Purdue QB/WR

Indiana LB'S

Purdue RB's

Projected Final Score3.98

276 yards Indiana Purdue

19 points Indiana

Game GradePurdue By 4.7

Computer YardsPurdue 377-363Purdue

Purdue Coaches0.45

3.44

Comp-Att-Yds

363 yards Indiana

Phil's Forecast:

Projected Yardage Total15-24-119 377 yards

87 yards

vs. BIG 10

263 yards

Indiana Purdue

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)Comp-Att-Yds

11-22-117

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0.93

vs. BIG 10

Indiana 27 Purdue 23By 0.54 Points

Purdue 24-19

Phil SteeleIndiana

POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

Indiana by 3

Computer PointsPurdue 39

Team Schedule Strength42 Indiana Purdue

47

Purdue

Page 25: Phil Steele’s Inside the Pressboxplus.philsteele.com/inside_the_pressbox/2017/College/...Phil Steele’s Inside the Pressbox WK 13 UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK *this is a Best Bet H Utah

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 135 113 2 8/31 49-21 W 3 4 46 74 31 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 125 128 11 17 9/2 33-17 W 41 22 37 25 14 31-0 1-0 1-0 0-0 137 140 2 5 9/9 16-31 L 3 2 46 2 20 12 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 130 108 8 9/9 36-14 W 44 9 37 101 75 911-1 2-0 1-0 0-0 133 113 8 9/16 38-7 W 7 4 22 76 93 78 2-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 130 110 7 9/16 29-13 W 42 6 83 40 106 262-1 1-1 1-0 0-0 134 95 10 9/23 54-21 W 6 6 28 31 128 73 #12 #35 3-0 2-1 0-0 0-0 129 121 8 9/23 28-10 W 42 3 15 72 64 1133-1 1-3 1-0 0-1 132 108 11 9/30 56-0 W 4 6 21 90 59 45 #19 #112 4-0 1-0 131 8 9/30 48 3 234-1 3-1 2-0 1-0 136 116 10 10/7 62-14 W 3 6 30 40 53 48 #4 #102 4-0 3-1 1-0 1-0 131 120 7 10/7 10-14 L 45 2 13 39 21 1115-1 3-3 3-0 2-1 140 116 9 10/14 56-14 W 3 5 47 70 48 39 #3 #82 4-1 3-2 1-1 0-2 127 118 17 10/14 27-20 W 42 2 12 87 38 376-1 4-0 144 6 10/21 2 5 52 #32 #101 5-1 6-0 2-1 3-0 127 141 19 2 10/21 13-42 L 41 2 22 16 4 56-1 7-0 4-0 4-0 144 143 6 2 10/28 39-38 W 2 5 47 14 4 4 #12 #15 5-2 3-4 2-2 2-2 125 111 10/28 35-14 W 49 3 23 92 66 427-1 5-3 5-0 2-3 144 123 3 11/4 24-55 L 2 5 57 91 27 25 #15 #1 6-2 4-4 3-2 1-4 125 116 11/4 33-10 W 38 3 32 108 52 557-2 7-2 5-1 5-1 139 128 11 13 11/11 48-3 W 1 15 53 38 18 99 #8 #3 7-2 4-5 4-2 2-4 127 112 21 11/11 35-10 W 36 2 61 89 75 408-2 2-8 6-1 0-7 143 104 8 11/18 52-14 W 1 9 47 121 82 59 #22 #11 8-2 10-0 5-2 7-0 129 136 19 5 11/18 10-24 L 37 3 39 26 4 499-2 8-3 7-1 5-3 143 129 8 11/25 1 7 48 43 5 51 #24 #6 8-3 9-2 5-3 7-1 129 143 8 11/25 43 5 51 1 7 48

11-0 8-0 136 12/2 29 3 34 #1 #21+1 -1

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

at Indiana 49-21 159 1 3 26 51-292 5.7 20-35 304 1 25 27-17 0.6 42-68 420 5 † Florida 33-17 241 10 1 19 49-215 4.4 12-26 218 5 9 27-11 0.4 14-26 181 6 Oklahoma 16-31 -140 -6 1 21 34-167 4.9 19-35 183 3 27 37-104 2.8 27-35 386 2 Cincinnati 36-14 214 3 0 16 37-193 5.2 17-29 221 1 13 30-68 2.3 15-40 132 4 Army West Point 38-7 308 14 1 30 32-270 8.4 29-37 316 2 16 58-259 4.5 2-8 19 0 Air Force 29-13 127 2 0 17 42-190 4.5 14-23 169 2 15 49-168 3.4 1-9 64 3 UNLV 54-21 400 17 -1 34 40-190 4.8 31-44 474 3 17 41-176 4.3 11-20 88 4 at Purdue 28-10 234 15 -1 24 44-139 3.2 21-31 284 4 9 20-30 1.5 13-30 159 5at Rutgers 56-0 419 11 2 24 38-286 7.5 19-30 342 2 13 41-117 2.9 11-27 92 1 Bye Maryland 62-14 518 27 0 33 50-281 5.6 23-36 303 0 6 42-50 1.2 3-13 16 5 Michigan St 10-14 48 4 -5 17 39-102 2.6 16-35 198 4 13 40-158 4.0 11-22 94 0at Nebraska 56-14 240 26 0 41 47-279 5.9 31-39 354 1 15 16-44 2.8 27-47 349 0 at Indiana 27-20 51 3 2 17 44-271 6.2 10-20 58 0 14 29-80 2.8 21-43 198 2 Bye at Penn St 13-42 -237 -9 0 16 42-103 2.5 16-28 166 7 25 35-224 6.4 17-26 282 2 Penn St 39-38 246 10 -2 27 39-201 5.2 33-39 328 2 17 35-91 2.6 17-29 192 2 Rutgers 35-14 276 16 -1 25 51-334 6.5 13-20 137 0 9 31-94 3.0 8-16 101 5at Iowa 24-55 -116 -4 -4 20 30-163 5.4 18-34 208 1 24 38-243 6.4 21-32 244 1 Minnesota 33-10 263 1 1 14 37-371 10.0 8-13 56 3 13 44-90 2.0 5-12 74 5 Michigan St 48-3 329 10 1 25 42-335 8.0 15-23 189 0 15 34-64 1.9 18-36 131 6 at Maryland 35-10 -35 1 2 16 38-160 4.2 9-18 145 0 15 32-180 5.6 18-38 160 1 Illinois 52-14 438 22 0 27 59-325 5.5 16-29 218 1 5 28-89 3.2 4-14 16 2 at Wisconsin 10-24 -91 -1 0 13 37-58 1.6 11-26 176 2 14 40-182 4.6 9-19 143 3at Michigan Ohio St† Wisconsin

Average 45-20 254.6 11.6 0.1 28 42-254 6.0 66.7% 293 4.2% 16 36-114 3.2 55.6% 178 8.5% Average 26-17 99.2 4.1 -0.1 18 42-194 4.6 54.6% 166 10.4% 14 34-117 3.4 47.0% 144 12.8% Conference 48-20 279.1 12.9 0.0 28 45-270 6.1 66.0% 281 3.0% 15 33-89 2.7 53.8% 183 8.3% Conference 24-18 63.6 3.8 -0.3 18 42-192 4.6 54.5% 153 10.5% 14 34-130 3.8 49.5% 151 11.2% Away 46-23 175.5 8.5 0.3 28 42-255 6.1 63.8% 302 3.6% 19 31-105 3.5 58.0% 276 4.0% Home 29-13 185.6 5.2 -1.0 18 41-238 5.8 56.7% 156 8.3% 13 39-116 3.0 40.4% 93 17.2%

at Indiana JT Barrett 20-35-304-3-0 JK Dobbins 29-181-6.2-0 Parris Campbell 6-136-22.7-1 † Florida Wilton Speight 11-25-181-1-2 Ty Isaac 11-114-10.4-0 Tarik Black 2-83-41.5-1 Oklahoma JT Barrett 19-35-183-0-1 JK Dobbins 13-72-5.5-1 KJ Hill 5-44-8.8-0 Cincinnati Wilton Speight 17-29-221-2-0 Ty Isaac 20-133-6.7-0 Kekoa Crawford 4-83-20.8-1 Army West Point JT Barrett 25-33-270-2-0 JK Dobbins 13-172-13.2-2 KJ Hill 8-74-9.3-0 vs. Air Force Wilton Speight 14-23-169-0-0 Ty Isaac 16-89-5.6-0 Tarik Black 5-55-11.0-0 UNLV Dwayne Haskins 15-23-228-2-1 JK Dobbins 14-95-6.8-0 Parris Campbell 3-105-35.0-1 at Purdue John O'Korn 18-26-270-1-1 Chris Evans 14-97-6.9-2 Sean McKeon 5-82-16.4-0at Rutgers JT Barrett 14-22-275-3-0 Demario McCall 11-103-9.4-1 Johnnie Dixon 3-115-38.3-2 Bye Maryland JT Barrett 20-31-261-3-0 JK Dobbins 13-96-7.4-1 Binjimen Victor 4-55-13.8-1 vs. Michigan St John O'Korn 16-35-198-0-3 Karan Higdon 12-65-5.4-0 Grant Perry 5-61-12.2-0at Nebraska JT Barrett 27-33-325-5-0 JK Dobbins 12-106-8.8-1 KJ Hill 7-80-11.4-2 at Indiana John O'Korn 10-20-58-0-0 Karan Higdon 25-200-8.0-3 Donovan Peoples-Jones 4-34-8.5-0 Bye at Penn St John O'Korn 16-28-166-0-0 Karan Higdon 15-45-3.0-1 Grant Perry 3-46-15.3-0 Penn St JT Barrett 33-39-328-4-0 JT Barrett 17-95-5.6-0 KJ Hill 12-102-8.5-0 vs. Rutgers Brandon Peters 10-14-124-1-0 Karan Higdon 18-158-8.8-2 Sean McKeon 3-31-10.3-0at Iowa JT Barrett 18-34-208-3-4 JT Barrett 14-63-4.5-0 Johnnie Dixon 4-81-20.3-2 Minnesota Brandon Peters 8-13-56-1-0 Karan Higdon 16-200-12.5-2 Sean McKeon 3-30-10.0-1 Michigan St JT Barrett 14-21-183-2-2 Mike Weber 9-162-18.0-2 Binjimen Victor 2-65-32.5-1 at Maryland Brandon Peters 9-18-145-2-0 Chris Evans 15-80-5.3-2 Zach Gentry 3-63-21.0-1 Illinois JT Barrett 11-19-141-2-0 Mike Weber 11-108-9.8-2 Parris Campbell 3-59-19.7-0 vs. at Wisconsin Brandon Peters 9-18-157-0-0 Chris Evans 11-25-2.3-0 Donovan Peoples-Jones 4-64-16.0-0at Michigan Ohio St† Wisconsin

vs.

JT Barrett 213-319-2687-32-7 JK Dobbins 149-1089-7.3-6 Parris Campbell 34-507-14.9-2 John O'Korn 66-124-761-1-5 Karan Higdon 136-874-6.4-10 Grant Perry 24-298-12.4-1Dwayne Haskins 34-50-471-4-1 JT Barrett 116-616-5.3-8 KJ Hill 49-466-9.5-3 vs. Wilton Speight 44-81-581-3-2 Chris Evans 115-594-5.2-6 Sean McKeon 27-279-10.3-2Joe Burrow 7-11-61-0-0 Mike Weber 80-545-6.8-9 Johnnie Dixon 17-413-24.3-8 Brandon Peters 37-64-486-4-0 Ty Isaac 88-548-6.2-3 Zach Gentry 13-244-18.8-2

Category

2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Ohio St 2 -5 30 23 50-206

Michigan 3 45 27 16 43-91 -22015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Ohio St 8 47 42 25 54-369

Michigan 12 E 13 20 25-57 -12014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Ohio St 7 -21 42 20 39-233

Michigan - 53.5 28 27 38-121 -22013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Ohio St 3 -16 42 23 46-393

Michigan - 57.5 41 31 35-152 12012 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's

Ohio St 4 -3.5 26 22 52-207

Michigan 20 53.5 21 13 27-108 -2 Ohio St 31 Michigan 17By 4.30 Points

Phil SteeleOhio St by 14

Ohio St 401-306Comp-Att-Yds

6-15-133

32-47-451

Computer Yards

Computer PointsOhio St 32-22

Projected Final Score4.72

26

127 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:Team Schedule Strength Ohio St

Comp-Att-Yds

MichiganOhio St Pts

0.41Ohio StExperience Rankings Michigan Pts

32 points

Michigan

+/- Ratings

Ohio St By 9.9

Ohio St K

Team & Margin

0.41Las Vegas Total

Phil's Forecast:

Las Vegas Line OSU sent LY’s gm into OT after hitting a FG w/:01 left & won in 2OT as UM HC Harbaugh was furious at the officials over a questionable FD spot. Ohio St is 12-1 in the series and last year Michigan had the much more veteran team and now Ohio St does. LTH in a much anticipated ranked mtg (Harbaugh/Meyer), OSU never trailed & led by DD’s for much of the 2H. The 29 pt MOV was the largest for OSU in Ann Arbor s/’61 (won 50-20). Defensive home dogs are usually a solid play especially in a rivalry game. Michigan has the reputation on D but Buckeys are holding B10 foes to 88 ypg below their season average and Michigan is just 95 below so they are close. Michigan’s D has acatully allowed 180 (5.6) and 182 (4.6) the last two weeks so look for a good dose of Dobbins/Weber running the ball.

Ohio St By 12

50.5 Points

Ohio St By 9.0

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

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Projected Box Score 0.58

Ohio St ST's

Michigan ST's

Ohio St Coaches

158 yardsProjected Passing

148 yards

Comp-Att-Yds

15-32-124

23-36-219

Michigan

Game Grade401 yards Ohio St Michigan 306 yards Michigan Coaches

0.20

Michigan OL

0.45

Ohio St LB'S

Michigan RB's

0.40

Ohio St RB's

Michigan LB's

0.24

Ohio St OL

Michigan DL

Comp-Att-Yds

Michigan K9-15-113

Projected Rushing188 yards Ohio St Michigan

ReceivingBy Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing

7-1

Defense

Score Score

Total TO'sYpg Diff† Wisconsin

5-3TM +/-

FOE FOENCAA RANKINGSTEAMFOE

Maryland Total Off Michigan Stat Nebraska Score Off at Indiana

Ohio St

vs. BIG 10

Michigan

0.59

Ohio St QB/WR

Michigan DB's

1.08

Ohio St DB's

Michigan QB/WR

FOE +/-AP

TM REC FOE REC

TM CONF

FOE CONF

FOE--PS RANK--

OVERALL: Michigan Wolverines9-2 8-3vs. BIG 10 Wolverines Logs

OVERALL:

at Indiana 2017 TEAM RANKINGS † Florida Oklahoma

Ohio St Michigan Cincinnati

Army West Point Air Force UNLV Rush Off at Purdueat Rutgers Pass Off Bye

Bye Sks Allowed at Penn St Penn St Rush Def Rutgersat Iowa Pass Def Minnesota Michigan St Total Def at Maryland Illinois Score Def at Wisconsinat Michigan Sks By Ohio St

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

Mic

hig

an W

olve

rin

es

Net OffenseNet Offense Defense

Oh

io S

t B

uck

eyes

25-47-307

Comp-Att-Yds

15-24-183

23-33-251

213 yards Ohio St Michigan

14-18-189

11-20-171

22 points

38

38 Ohio St

Ohio St Leaders Michigan Leaders

1.18

Ohio St DL

Ohio St BuckeyesBuckeyes Logs

TM REC FOE RECTEAMTM

CONFFOE

CONF TM +/- FOE +/-AP --PS RANK--

Ohio St

Projected Yardage Total

Page 26: Phil Steele’s Inside the Pressboxplus.philsteele.com/inside_the_pressbox/2017/College/...Phil Steele’s Inside the Pressbox WK 13 UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK *this is a Best Bet H Utah

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 119 112 9/2 30-35 L 71 34 63 80 69 61 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 127 113 9/2 28-35 L 26 20 36 22 32 1260-1 1-0 0-0 0-0 116 123 17 9/9 35-47 L 61 31 63 24 10 34 0-1 1-0 0-0 0-0 122 104 9/9 37-20 W 29 19 36 93 43 550-2 2-0 0-1 0-0 115 105 9/16 53-23 W 62 48 15 93 85 23 1-1 0-0 122 9/16 49-16 W 34 20 1031-2 3-0 0-1 0-0 119 127 9/23 17-27 L 53 43 52 43 27 102 #80 #62 2-1 0-1 0-0 0-0 121 136 12 9/23 27-21 W 30 30 76 59 5 1101-3 2-1 0-2 1-0 118 124 9/30 7-33 L 52 40 42 26 47 129 #72 #30 3-1 2-2 1-0 0-0 126 114 9/30 33-25 W 32 27 103 63 68 271-4 4-1 0-3 2-1 115 135 21 10/7 10-33 L 54 52 60 4 24 75 #94 #32 4-1 4-1 2-0 1-1 125 124 24 17 10/5 39-25 W 29 26 69 9 27 331-5 4-1 0-3 1-0 114 117 10/14 14-20 L 55 54 38 79 35 94 #81 #53 5-1 2-4 3-0 0-2 127 117 20 10/14 35-17 W 28 26 110 78 73 131-6 5-1 0-4 1-1 112 128 14 10/21 7-59 L 61 57 43 38 14 17 #108 #13 6-1 4-0 129 16 10/21 26 24 941-7 6-0 0-5 4-0 108 133 8 10/28 19-24 L 77 56 56 11 18 32 #110 #33 6-1 6-1 4-0 4-1 129 140 14 9 10/28 14-35 L 26 25 98 5 17 911-8 0-6 111 11/4 81 48 52 #75 #91 6-2 7-1 4-0 5-1 128 137 20 6 11/4 31-38 L 32 30 87 14 2 1121-8 4-5 0-6 2-3 111 120 11/9 34-31 W 84 49 50 91 55 75 #100 #55 6-3 5-4 4-1 3-3 128 126 11/11 17-14 W 29 33 101 68 26 852-8 1-6 115 11/18 65-10 W 80 55 31 #92 #50 7-3 6-4 5-1 3-3 129 129 25 11/18 24-30 L 30 32 90 33 66 733-8 7-4 1-6 5-2 118 129 11/25 64 53 23 32 30 90 #54 #47 7-4 3-8 5-2 1-6 129 118 11/25 32 30 90 64 53 23

#102 #37-6 +4

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

California 30-35 -29 8 -1 28 45-219 4.9 25-44 221 2 20 35-106 3.0 24-38 363 1 † South Carolina 28-35 258 17 -1 29 35-89 2.5 45-64 415 4 12 21-31 1.5 17-29 215 2 Louisville 35-47 -304 -15 0 20 23-17 0.7 29-38 384 2 35 44-312 7.1 25-39 393 2 Marshall 37-20 34 5 2 23 33-144 4.4 29-36 341 2 18 25-101 4.0 26-43 350 1at Old Dominion 53-23 195 10 1 24 49-254 5.2 16-26 257 1 14 33-102 3.1 14-32 214 2 Furman 49-16 161 9 3 25 39-242 6.2 24-30 248 1 16 47-133 2.8 11-19 196 2 Duke 17-27 -11 -5 -1 15 33-118 3.6 17-32 259 4 20 45-186 4.1 18-34 202 3 at Florida St 27-21 -17 6 1 21 37-110 3.0 23-33 255 1 15 26-104 4.0 22-39 278 4at Georgia Tech 7-33 -209 -11 0 11 26-106 4.1 18-32 141 2 22 66-403 6.1 5-10 53 3 Syracuse 33-25 18 9 1 29 47-256 5.4 21-34 206 0 20 30-59 2.0 30-48 385 3 Notre Dame 10-33 -222 -14 -1 13 28-86 3.1 19-42 179 2 27 57-341 6.0 17-31 146 1 Louisville 39-25 50 -2 0 23 39-153 3.9 20-32 367 0 25 29-116 4.0 26-48 354 4 Virginia 14-20 -148 -11 -2 12 35-211 6.0 7-18 46 2 23 47-156 3.3 19-31 249 4 at Pittsburgh 35-17 120 -2 2 18 38-248 6.5 14-25 198 0 20 32-95 3.0 24-45 231 1at Virginia Tech 7-59 -211 -10 -3 11 42-54 1.3 8-22 118 6 21 46-181 3.9 15-27 202 1 Bye Miami, Fl 19-24 13 11 -2 27 46-176 3.8 20-46 252 4 16 32-59 1.8 17-41 356 2 at Notre Dame 14-35 -159 -11 -1 14 24-50 2.1 17-37 213 1 25 54-318 5.9 10-19 104 2 Bye Clemson 31-38 76 8 -1 27 34-153 4.5 31-50 338 1 19 35-224 6.4 20-38 191 0at Pittsburgh 34-31 -43 -4 1 21 32-96 3.0 21-32 270 3 25 45-267 5.9 11-17 142 3 at Boston College 17-14 20 -3 0 17 41-221 5.4 13-32 146 1 20 54-236 4.4 10-22 111 5 Western Carolina 65-10 307 14 2 31 43-313 7.3 20-30 298 1 17 37-151 4.1 16-33 153 1 at Wake Forest 24-30 168 10 -2 28 42-175 4.2 34-52 327 1 18 28-87 3.1 19-28 247 0at NC State North Carolina

Average 26-31 -60.2 -2.5 -0.5 19 37-150 4.1 55.2% 220 8.0% 22 44-206 4.6 54.4% 225 6.9% Average 30-25 66.3 4.2 0.4 23 37-167 4.5 63.8% 278 2.8% 19 35-137 3.9 56.9% 242 6.3% Conference 19-34 -130.4 -6.4 -1.0 17 34-111 3.3 54.5% 210 10.5% 23 46-223 4.8 55.3% 228 9.0% Conference 29-24 62.1 3.7 0.1 23 40-188 4.7 60.5% 262 1.6% 20 33-132 3.9 56.3% 257 6.3% Away 25-37 -67.0 -3.8 -0.3 17 37-128 3.4 56.3% 197 10.7% 21 48-238 5.0 52.3% 153 10.5% Home 38-25 67.8 5.8 1.0 25 38-190 4.9 68.7% 300 2.2% 20 33-127 3.8 57.7% 295 5.1%

California Chazz Surratt 18-28-161-1-0 Michael Carter 11-94-8.5-2 Austin Proehl 4-55-13.8-0 † South Carolina Ryan Finley 45-64-415-2-0 Nyheim Hines 15-81-5.4-1 Kelvin Harmon 10-114-11.4-0 Louisville Brandon Harris 17-23-216-1-0 Jordon Brown 6-23-3.8-0 Austin Proehl 8-120-15.0-0 Marshall Ryan Finley 29-36-341-3-0 Reggie Gallaspy 12-61-5.1-2 Kelvin Harmon 9-121-13.4-1at Old Dominion Chazz Surratt 16-24-257-1-0 Jordon Brown 17-125-7.4-2 Carl Tucker 3-79-26.3-0 vs. Furman Ryan Finley 22-27-231-1-0 Nyheim Hines 11-92-8.4-1 Jaylen Samuels 6-75-12.5-0 Duke Chazz Surratt 17-32-259-1-1 Chazz Surratt 17-77-4.5-1 Anthony Ratliff 5-125-25.0-1 at Florida St Ryan Finley 22-32-230-2-0 Nyheim Hines 24-94-3.9-0 Jakobi Meyers 5-112-22.4-1at Georgia Tech Chazz Surratt 18-30-141-0-1 Jordon Brown 8-41-5.1-1 Jordon Brown 9-57-6.3-0 Syracuse Ryan Finley 20-33-186-1-0 Nyheim Hines 19-115-6.1-1 Stephen Louis 4-67-16.8-1 Notre Dame Chazz Surratt 19-42-179-1-1 Chazz Surratt 12-32-2.7-0 Anthony Ratliff 5-55-11.0-1 vs. Louisville Ryan Finley 20-31-367-1-0 Nyheim Hines 18-102-5.7-2 Kelvin Harmon 6-133-22.2-1 Virginia Brandon Harris 7-18-46-0-3 Michael Carter 13-157-12.1-2 Brandon Fritts 2-15-7.5-0 at Pittsburgh Ryan Finley 14-25-198-1-0 Nyheim Hines 16-135-8.4-1 Kelvin Harmon 3-113-37.7-0at Virginia Tech Chazz Surratt 4-8-94-1-0 Jordon Brown 10-44-4.4-0 Anthony Ratliff 1-43-43.0-1 Bye Miami, Fl Nathan Elliott 16-39-173-1-3 Jordon Brown 19-88-4.6-0 Beau Corrales 4-64-16.0-2 vs. at Notre Dame Ryan Finley 17-37-213-1-1 Reggie Gallaspy 11-47-4.3-0 Kelvin Harmon 7-97-13.9-1 Bye Clemson Ryan Finley 31-50-338-3-2 Reggie Gallaspy 6-46-7.7-0 Kelvin Harmon 8-155-19.4-1at Pittsburgh Nathan Elliott 20-31-235-2-0 Jordon Brown 15-70-4.7-0 Anthony Ratliff 5-75-15.0-1 at Boston College Ryan Finley 13-32-146-0-1 Nyheim Hines 19-110-5.8-1 Kelvin Harmon 5-68-13.6-0 Western Carolina Nathan Elliott 18-28-240-4-0 Michael Carter 16-103-6.4-1 Anthony Ratliff 5-88-17.6-1 vs. at Wake Forest Ryan Finley 34-52-327-1-1 Jaylen Samuels 7-50-7.1-1 Kelvin Harmon 8-105-13.1-0at NC State North Carolina

vs.

Chazz Surratt 107-183-1340-8-3 Jordon Brown 129-600-4.7-4 Anthony Ratliff 30-497-16.6-5 Ryan Finley 267-419-2992-16-5 Nyheim Hines 159-844-5.3-7 Kelvin Harmon 64-972-15.2-4Nathan Elliott 54-101-648-7-3 Michael Carter 88-529-6.0-8 Austin Proehl 19-322-16.9-1 vs. Jaylen Samuels 1-2-25-0-0 Reggie Gallaspy 99-418-4.2-5 Jakobi Meyers 49-550-11.2-4Brandon Harris 35-71-346-1-8 Chazz Surratt 85-210-2.5-5 Jordan Cunningham 24-293-12.2-0 Gavin Locklear 1-1-20-0-0 Jaylen Samuels 65-334-5.1-10 Jaylen Samuels 65-525-8.1-4

Category

2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.North Carolina - -10 21 20 26-133

NC State - 62 28 24 53-259 02015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.North Carolina 11 -3.5 45 25 41-374

NC State - 67 34 28 52-308 22014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.North Carolina - -6 7 18 28-30

NC State - 69 35 20 58-388 22013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.North Carolina - -5.5 27 21 38-152

NC State - 58.5 19 20 48-212 -12012 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's

North Carolina - -7 43 24 39-212

NC State - 54.5 35 24 31-67 -2

27 North Carolina NC State

7

10 NC State by 14 NC State 34 North Carolina 20By 0.79 Points

NC State Phil SteeleTeam Schedule Strength

NC State K

NC State QB/WR

1.73

NC StateComputer Yards

NC State 35-20

NC State 498-294

Computer Points112 North Carolina NC State POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

Projected Final Score

Experience Rankings NC State PtsNorth Carolina 2.95

North Carolina Pts

20 points

291 yards205 yards

35 points

NC State By 17.2Projected Yardage Total

Game Grade294 yards

Duke

Louisville Virginia at Pittsburgh Notre Dame

Bye

at Old Dominion

California Louisville

Rush Off at Florida Stat Georgia Tech

NC State DL

Comp-Att-Yds

14-24-233

Ret

urn

to

Tab

le o

f C

onte

nts

Projected Box ScoreComp-Att-Yds

23-39-280

Comp-Att-Yds

3.74

24-38-275

14-29-176

Projected Rushing89 yards North Carolina NC State 207 yards

Projected PassingNorth Carolina NC State

FOE

TEAM --PS RANK-- --PS RANK--1-6 5-2TM REC

FOE FOE REC

TM CONF TM +/-

Tar Heels Logs

ReceivingBy Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing

FOE

Defense

Score Score

Marshall Furman

2017 TEAM RANKINGS † South Carolina

North Carolina NC State

Syracuse

OVERALL: OVERALL: NC State Wolfpack3-8 7-4

Total OffScore Off

Sks Allowed

vs. ACC Wolfpack LogsFOE

CONF FOE +/-AP TEAM FOE

NCAA RANKINGS

vs. ACC

North Carolina LB'S

0.40

NC State RB's

North Carolina RB's

0.77

NC State LB'sNorth Carolina OL

1.06

AP

North Carolina Tar Heels

Pass Off

Miami, Fl Rush Def at Notre Dameat Virginia Tech

Pass Def Clemsonat Pittsburgh Total Def at Boston College Bye

Score Def at Wake Forestat NC State Sks By North Carolina Western Carolina

Total TO'sYpg Diff

Net Offense Defense

Nor

th C

arol

ina

Tar

Hee

ls

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

NC

Sta

te W

olfp

ack

Net Offense

North Carolina NC State

0.60

North Carolina QB/WR

NC State DB's

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) North Carolina ST's

North Carolina DL

0.46

NC State OL

0.62

Comp-Att-Yds

17-35-177

9-11-66

Comp-Att-Yds

North Carolina Leaders

20-31-179

17-37-206

Phil's Forecast:

There have been 13 outright upsets the last 19 years and NCSt is 7-3 in the series but lost the last two at home so the visitor has won 4 in a row. LY on a Friday night the Wolfpack came in 5-6 & needing a win to become bowl eligible. NC St jumped out to a 21-0 lead incl a 59 yd td pass. NCSt led 28-7 into 4Q but NC trimmed it to 7 w/7:52. NC’s L/drive was SOD at NC49 w/3:10. I wonder about the phyche of the Wolfpack here as they were thinking Nation and ACC titles but have lost 3 of the last 4. Last week was bad as the NCSt WR was headed to the endzone for the GW TD, he fumbled at the foot line and WF recovered in the EZ snanching victory from the mouth of defeat. True frosh Nathan Elliot was inserted in the lineup vs Miami and NC which was 1-7 vs the Vegas number has covered in all 3 of his starts. NCSt is the stronger team at +62 ypg in ACC play while NC is a poor -130 ypg but the situation favors the dog to keep it closer than expected.

NC State Leaders

Las Vegas Total56 Points

+/- RatingsNorth Carolina Coaches

Team & Margin

Las Vegas LineNC State ST's NC State By 16.5

North Carolina K

NC State By 14.5

NC State Coaches

North Carolina DB's

1.06

TM REC FOE REC TM CONF

FOE CONF TM +/- FOE +/-

North Carolina NC State 498 yards

30-47-358

29-52-467

Page 27: Phil Steele’s Inside the Pressboxplus.philsteele.com/inside_the_pressbox/2017/College/...Phil Steele’s Inside the Pressbox WK 13 UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK *this is a Best Bet H Utah

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 119 9/2 60-7 W 61 55 110 0-0 0-0 119 8/31 51-7 W 96 50 301-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 123 123 9/9 41-1 W 51 51 110 26 28 115 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 120 116 9/9 34-10 W 81 59 30 75 30 672-0 0-2 0-0 0-0 127 112 9/16 34-20 W 44 37 113 24 68 73 2-0 1-1 1-0 0-0 124 105 9/16 46-10 W 86 61 36 111 116 553-0 1-2 0-0 0-1 127 119 9/23 27-17 W 43 27 102 53 43 52 #57 #48 3-0 2-1 1-0 1-0 126 109 9/23 20-19 W 69 46 21 68 79 604-0 2-0 1-0 0-0 128 131 14 9/29 6-31 L 50 19 116 3 15 15 #88 #31 4-0 0-2 1-0 0-1 124 131 9/30 19-26 L 65 45 25 58 9 434-1 3-1 1-1 0-0 124 113 10/7 21-28 L 53 22 92 74 44 102 #92 #23 4-1 5-0 1-1 3-0 124 142 2 10/7 14-28 L 64 46 34 11 3 1074-2 1-3 1-2 1-2 120 131 10/14 10-17 L 60 20 106 58 9 29 #91 #30 4-2 1-2 125 10/14 69 45 644-3 2-5 1-3 0-3 120 115 10/21 17-24 L 65 25 101 91 76 34 #90 #21 4-2 3-2 1-2 2-1 125 129 10/21 24-38 L 71 43 69 34 36 1194-4 6-1 1-4 2-1 116 132 13 10/28 3-24 L 68 31 99 35 12 11 #63 #104 4-3 5-3 1-3 2-3 124 123 10/28 42-32 W 71 54 63 6 45 704-5 1-5 116 11/4 78 28 98 #11 #95 5-3 7-1 2-3 5-1 125 141 5 11/4 37-48 L 63 49 69 5 15 1164-5 7-2 1-5 1-0 116 116 11/11 16-21 L 82 28 96 69 103 31 #27 #108 5-4 4-5 2-3 2-3 126 121 11/11 64-43 W 46 65 84 57 73 154-6 5-4 1-5 4-3 116 127 11/18 43-20 W 82 31 119 52 34 108 #28 #58 6-4 7-3 3-3 5-1 129 129 25 11/18 30-24 W 33 66 73 30 32 905-6 7-4 2-5 4-3 121 129 11/25 74 38 108 35 63 73 #47 #40 7-4 5-6 4-3 2-5 129 121 11/25 35 63 73 74 38 108

#53 #66+1 +7

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

NC Central 60-7 366 22 1 30 47-243 5.2 26-34 281 1 8 31-64 2.1 11-18 94 3 Presbytrian 51-7 239 16 0 28 45-248 5.5 20-27 239 1 12 45-207 4.6 2-9 41 3 Northwestern 41-17 347 19 1 34 59-233 3.9 29-45 305 1 15 21-22 1.0 14-33 169 4 at Boston College 34-10 4 -4 4 15 52-158 3.0 13-19 151 2 19 41-142 3.5 18-41 163 0 Baylor 34-20 110 15 2 24 51-246 4.8 20-35 184 5 9 27-57 2.1 12-34 263 3 Utah St 46-10 321 15 1 26 59-291 4.9 16-27 297 1 11 31-42 1.4 15-37 225 2at North Carolina 27-17 11 5 1 20 45-186 4.1 18-34 202 3 15 33-118 3.6 17-32 259 4 at Appalachian St 20-19 -150 -9 0 18 40-168 4.2 14-27 176 1 27 35-122 3.5 26-52 372 0 Miami, Fl 6-31 -60 5 -1 24 46-183 4.0 21-42 166 5 19 35-139 4.0 15-26 270 3 Florida St 19-26 97 2 -1 17 34-96 2.8 24-35 271 2 15 43-149 3.5 11-21 121 5at Virginia 21-28 -55 -4 0 17 32-131 4.1 14-42 124 2 21 38-128 3.4 24-43 182 1 at Clemson 14-28 -117 -9 2 16 35-133 3.8 14-30 203 3 25 49-190 3.9 29-41 263 1 Florida St 10-17 -110 -6 1 17 25-111 4.4 22-37 204 1 23 40-228 5.7 18-21 197 2 Bye Pittsburgh 17-24 -126 2 -2 22 26-76 2.9 16-34 283 2 20 57-336 5.9 8-18 149 3 at Georgia Tech 24-38 -133 -9 -1 20 31-110 3.5 17-30 252 1 29 66-427 6.5 5-11 68 3at Virginia Tech 3-24 -204 -13 -2 10 35-101 2.9 10-24 82 1 23 48-187 3.9 13-28 200 1 Louisville 42-32 102 -4 0 26 39-164 4.2 28-34 461 1 30 42-191 4.5 28-46 332 7 Bye at Notre Dame 37-48 -123 4 -1 34 40-239 6.0 30-48 348 1 30 46-380 8.3 23-38 330 1at Army West Point 16-21 -15 5 -1 22 33-89 2.7 19-30 164 4 17 57-226 4.0 1-1 42 0 at Syracuse 64-43 113 0 1 33 51-371 7.3 25-38 363 1 33 32-178 5.6 38-67 443 2 Georgia Tech 43-20 141 15 1 30 51-319 6.3 19-28 181 1 15 47-277 5.9 3-14 82 0 NC State 30-24 -168 -10 2 18 28-87 3.1 19-28 247 0 28 42-175 4.2 34-52 327 1at Wake Forest Duke

Average 25-21 36.8 5.9 0.1 23 41-174 4.3 55.6% 198 6.8% 17 39-162 4.1 50.7% 173 9.0% Average 35-26 16.8 -0.7 0.6 23 41-188 4.5 64.1% 273 4.1% 24 43-200 4.7 55.2% 244 6.0% Conference 18-23 -57.6 0.6 -0.3 20 37-158 4.3 49.8% 177 6.2% 19 43-202 4.7 53.8% 191 7.7% Conference 32-29 -14.6 -4.9 1.0 21 39-160 4.1 65.4% 278 4.7% 26 45-207 4.6 58.4% 245 6.8% Away 17-23 -65.8 -1.8 -0.5 17 36-127 3.5 46.9% 143 7.7% 19 44-165 3.7 52.9% 171 5.8% Home 38-20 118.2 3.8 0.4 23 41-177 4.3 70.9% 303 3.3% 19 41-153 3.8 54.5% 209 10.9%

NC Central Daniel Jones 19-25-213-2-0 Brittain Brown 10-120-12.0-1 Aaron Young 5-89-17.8-1 Presbytrian Kendall Hinton 7-8-124-2-0 Arkeem Byrd 7-75-10.7-0 Greg Dortch 4-55-13.8-2 Northwestern Daniel Jones 29-45-305-2-1 Daniel Jones 16-108-6.8-2 TJ Rahming 12-127-10.6-0 at Boston College John Wolford 13-19-151-1-0 John Wolford 20-92-4.6-1 Greg Dortch 6-56-9.3-1 Baylor Daniel Jones 20-35-184-0-1 Shaun Wilson 18-176-9.8-2 Brittain Brown 4-71-17.8-0 vs. Utah St John Wolford 12-22-242-2-0 Arkeem Byrd 19-120-6.3-1 Tabari Hines 5-129-25.8-0at North Carolina Daniel Jones 18-34-202-1-0 Brittain Brown 10-90-9.0-0 TJ Rahming 6-73-12.2-0 at Appalachian St John Wolford 14-27-176-2-0 John Wolford 13-77-5.9-0 Scotty Washington 4-79-19.8-0 Miami, Fl Daniel Jones 21-41-166-0-1 Shaun Wilson 9-63-7.0-0 Johnathan Lloyd 9-82-9.1-0 Florida St John Wolford 24-34-271-0-1 John Wolford 19-63-3.3-1 Greg Dortch 10-110-11.0-0at Virginia Daniel Jones 14-42-124-1-2 Brittain Brown 10-54-5.4-0 TJ Rahming 2-39-19.5-0 vs. at Clemson Kendall Hinton 14-30-203-2-0 Kendall Hinton 24-92-3.8-0 Greg Dortch 5-78-15.6-0 Florida St Daniel Jones 22-35-204-0-0 Shaun Wilson 13-66-5.1-0 TJ Rahming 8-111-13.9-0 Bye Pittsburgh Daniel Jones 15-33-272-2-1 Shaun Wilson 11-42-3.8-0 TJ Rahming 8-142-17.8-1 at Georgia Tech John Wolford 17-30-252-2-1 Cade Carney 19-92-4.8-0 Greg Dortch 8-125-15.6-0at Virginia Tech Daniel Jones 10-24-82-0-1 Daniel Jones 17-65-3.8-0 Johnathan Lloyd 2-43-21.5-0 vs. Louisville John Wolford 28-34-461-5-0 Matt Colburn II 24-134-5.6-0 Greg Dortch 10-167-16.7-4 Bye at Notre Dame John Wolford 28-45-331-2-1 Matt Colburn II 20-120-6.0-1 Alex Bachman 8-116-14.5-1at Army West Point Daniel Jones 19-29-164-0-1 Shaun Wilson 7-46-6.6-0 TJ Rahming 3-40-13.3-0 at Syracuse John Wolford 25-38-363-3-0 Matt Colburn II 31-237-7.6-2 Tabari Hines 9-124-13.8-0 Georgia Tech Daniel Jones 18-26-177-2-0 Brittain Brown 14-116-8.3-1 Johnathan Lloyd 5-57-11.4-0 vs. NC State John Wolford 19-28-247-3-1 Matt Colburn II 12-38-3.2-1 Tabari Hines 8-139-17.4-3at Wake Forest Duke

vs.

Daniel Jones 205-369-2093-10-8 Shaun Wilson 129-705-5.5-5 TJ Rahming 53-643-12.1-1 John Wolford 191-292-2601-23-4 Matt Colburn II 135-712-5.3-6 Greg Dortch 53-722-13.6-9Quentin Harris 7-10-73-1-0 Brittain Brown 106-627-5.9-5 Johnathan Lloyd 34-354-10.4-1 vs. Kendall Hinton 27-46-399-4-0 John Wolford 113-567-5.0-10 Tabari Hines 39-565.1-14.5-4Parker Boehme 1-2-6-0-0 Daniel Jones 131-395-3.0-5 Chris Taylor 17-231-13.6-1 Jamie Newman 2-4-8-0-1 Arkeem Byrd 66-354-5.4-1 Scotty Washington 35-565-16.1-2

Category

2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Duke - -6.5 14 21 30-37

Wake Forest - 44 24 13 49-239 12015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Duke - -4 27 30 48-151

Wake Forest - 46 21 21 23-112 -32014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Duke - -19 41 21 45-146

Wake Forest - 43.5 21 18 24-64 -12013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Duke 25 -7 28 20 35-121

Wake Forest - 49.5 21 16 40-124 -12012 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's

Duke - 60 34 22 36-123

Wake Forest - -2 27 17 35-167 -3

30-40-258

19-38-23043 Duke Wake Forest 15 Wake Forest by 10 Wake Forest 33 Duke 23By 1.13 Points

Duke Phil SteeleTeam Schedule Strength

Comp-Att-Yds

23-35-338

Comp-Att-Yds

20-32-293

Computer Yards

Wake Forest 31-23

2.83 Wake Forest 465-401

Computer Points82 Duke Wake Forest 32 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

Projected Final Score

Experience Rankings Wake Forest PtsDuke 3.96

Duke Pts

23 points 31 points

Projected Yardage Total401 yards Duke

Wake Forest

Wake Forest Leaders

0.75Las Vegas Total

Wake Forest K58 Points

+/- RatingsDuke Coaches

Wake Forest By 5.6

Duke DB's0.73

Wake Forest QB/WR

Game GradeWake Forest Coaches

1.50

Phil's Forecast:

WF has lost 7 of their L/8 on Senior day (1-6-1 ATS) by an avg of 16.7 ppg. WF has won 12 straight from ‘00-’11 then Duke won the next 4. Last year it was 14-14 3Q but WF (+6’) scored the final 10 pts. The visitor is 5-1 SU in this series. Duke snapped a 6 game losing streak as my upset play last week when they beat GTech 43-20 and kept their bowl hopes alive. Duke David Cutcliffe is a dangerous dog and Duke needs a win to get to a bowl. Last week Wake was outgained 502-334 and needed the NCST WR to fumble diving into the EZ for the GW score. Duke has the defensive edge allowing 335 ypg while Wake yields 444. Wake has the large offensive edge especially at QB with a red hot John Wolford hitting 65% with a 23-4 ratio and Dukes Daniel Jones has a 6-7 ratio the last 9 games. Wake just set a school record with 381 points and they are #7 in the FBS gaining 97 ypg above what their opp’s usually allow.

Wake Forest By 11.3

Projected Rushing

Duke Wake Forest 275 yardsProjected Passing

171 yards Duke Wake Forest

230 yards

Score Score

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing

1.24

Duke K

Duke DL0.54

Wake Forest OLDuke LB'S

Wake Forest RB's

Duke RB's0.21

Wake Forest LB's

0.60

Duke OL

Wake Forest DL

Duke ST's0.61

Team & Margin

Ret

urn

to

Tab

le o

f C

onte

nts

FOEFOE

CONF TM +/- FOE +/-APTM

CONFTM +/- FOE +/-FOETEAM --PS RANK--2-5 FOE

RECNCAA RANKINGS4-3

TM REC

Receiving

2017 TEAM RANKINGS Presbytrian

AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE

Rush Off at Appalachian St Miami, Fl Pass Off Florida St

Total Off at Clemson Florida St Score Off

vs. ACC vs. ACC

OVERALL: OVERALL: Wake Forest Demon Deacons5-6 7-4Blue Devils Logs Demon Deacons Logs

Sks Allowed

TM REC

NC Central

at North Carolina

at Army West Point

Comp-Att-Yds

31-48-332

Duke Leaders

24-36-251

Comp-Att-Yds

25-32-257

12-27-124

27-41-280

FOE REC TM CONF

FOE CONF

NorthwesternDuke Wake Forest

at Boston College Baylor Utah St

Byeat Virginia

at Georgia Techat Virginia Tech Rush Def Louisville Pittsburgh

Pass Def at Notre DameTotal Def at Syracuse

Bye

Score Def NC Stateat Wake Forest Sks By Duke Georgia Tech

Total TO'sYpg Diff

Net Offense Defense

Du

ke B

lue

Dev

ils

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

Wak

e Fo

rest

Dem

on D

eaco

ns

Net Offense

Duke Wake ForestRushing

0.62

Duke QB/WR

Wake Forest DB's

Defense

Projected Box ScoreLas Vegas Line

Wake Forest ST's Wake Forest By 129-16-150

190 yards

Duke Blue Devils

FOE

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

Wake Forest 465 yards

Comp-Att-Yds

Page 28: Phil Steele’s Inside the Pressboxplus.philsteele.com/inside_the_pressbox/2017/College/...Phil Steele’s Inside the Pressbox WK 13 UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK *this is a Best Bet H Utah

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 113 125 15 9/2 10-31 L 49 61 85 9 7 58 0-0 0-0 96 8/31 10-17 L 126 112 1300-1 0-0 112 9/9 54-7 W 63 66 85 0-1 0-0 93 9/9 124 117 1301-1 1-1 0-0 0-0 113 83 9/16 20-13 W 60 70 98 130 123 119 0-1 2-0 0-0 0-0 93 139 5 9/16 0-56 L 126 118 104 6 9 32-1 3-0 1-0 1-0 109 126 9/23 19-20 L 68 79 60 69 46 21 #43 #117 0-2 0-3 0-0 0-0 92 91 9/23 28-0 W 127 122 129 122 120 1042-2 1-0 111 9/30 77 76 78 #61 #29 1-2 0-0 97 9/30 126 116 1232-2 2-3 1-0 0-1 111 103 10/7 45-31 W 75 74 84 41 92 116 #47 #78 1-2 0-0 97 92 10/7 27-21 W 125 114 129 126 126 1123-2 2-3 2-0 1-1 110 100 10/14 23-20 W 72 70 73 104 113 93 #50 #110 2-2 3-2 1-0 3-0 97 101 10/14 47-37 W 124 115 122 83 110 834-2 3-0 110 90 10/21 37-29 W 75 59 85 123 123 124 #4 #41 3-2 4-2 2-0 1-1 101 104 10/21 10-34 L 114 111 116 82 53 1155-2 1-6 4-0 0-1 107 105 10/28 27-30 L 62 60 108 72 95 124 #50 #26 3-3 3-4 2-1 2-1 98 103 10/26 21-13 W 117 110 118 120 80 495-3 3-5 4-0 3-3 107 96 11/4 45-52 L 58 60 101 71 121 49 #38 #111 4-3 0-7 3-1 0-3 101 87 11/4 21-17 W 118 102 118 127 122 395-4 0-8 4-1 0-4 103 88 11/9 27-6 W 51 67 92 127 118 37 #33 #62 5-3 2-7 4-1 1-4 100 88 11/11 33-30 W 118 105 122 120 110 1236-4 5-1 103 11/18 46 63 77 #43 #48 6-3 5-1 99 11/18 116 102 1146-4 6-3 5-1 5-1 103 99 11/25 47 64 78 112 102 119 #19 #103 6-3 6-4 5-1 5-1 99 103 11/25 112 102 119 47 64 78

5-5 4-2 101 12/2 83 100 86 #35 #75 3-7 2-4 95 12/2 111 110 118+6 -4

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

at Georgia 10-31 -84 -6 2 12 32-136 4.3 21-32 148 1 18 44-221 5.0 11-20 147 1 Tennessee St 10-17 -110 -7 -4 14 29-49 1.7 18-23 224 3 21 42-238 5.7 12-25 145 1 Savannah State 54-7 505 21 -2 27 47-274 5.8 16-22 345 1 6 33-77 2.3 5-18 37 3 Byeat Texas St 20-13 -102 -2 0 19 29-116 4.0 17-28 167 1 21 37-125 3.4 23-35 260 4 at Penn St 0-56 -206 2 -5 21 49-150 3.1 18-32 170 3 19 24-166 6.9 21-29 360 1 Wake Forest 19-20 150 9 0 27 35-122 3.5 26-52 372 0 18 40-168 4.2 14-27 176 1 at Charlotte 28-0 96 8 2 22 40-119 3.0 26-37 250 0 14 34-94 2.8 16-29 179 3 Bye Bye New Mexico St 45-31 -7 -11 3 17 38-350 9.2 11-22 75 0 28 42-176 4.2 27-50 256 4 at Coastal Carolina 27-21 -2 5 -1 22 40-91 2.3 18-30 273 1 17 32-127 4.0 18-26 239 2at Idaho 23-20 -36 0 0 14 38-121 3.2 19-26 155 1 14 36-112 3.1 15-28 200 6 at ULM 47-37 239 12 1 31 41-224 5.5 26-35 446 1 19 37-117 3.2 23-37 314 7 Coastal Carolina 37-29 115 9 2 27 35-122 3.5 23-39 427 1 18 30-102 3.4 17-29 332 2 Troy 10-34 -150 -4 1 16 33-52 1.6 25-40 255 4 20 22-122 5.5 25-36 335 0at UMass 27-30 -32 -1 1 15 47-234 5.0 14-29 133 0 16 39-209 5.4 20-33 190 4 South Alabama 21-13 -29 1 1 16 34-114 3.4 17-31 195 0 15 23-41 1.8 27-48 297 1at ULM 45-52 -61 -3 0 25 36-169 4.7 20-29 339 3 28 38-213 5.6 24-32 356 1 at GA Southern 21-17 32 -4 2 15 24-49 2.0 22-37 319 4 19 50-189 3.8 22-28 147 0 GA Southern 27-6 226 4 0 19 47-256 5.4 7-14 161 0 15 38-111 2.9 10-18 80 3 at Texas St 33-30 140 -2 -1 21 41-162 4.0 26-40 368 2 23 25-75 3.0 35-55 315 1 Bye Byeat Georgia St Appalachian St Louisiana Idaho

Average 31-24 67.4 2.0 0.6 20 38-190 4.9 59.4% 232 2.7% 18 38-151 4.0 57.2% 203 10.0% Average 22-25 1.1 1.2 -0.4 20 37-112 3.1 64.3% 278 5.9% 19 32-130 4.0 63.6% 259 5.1% Conference 33-25 22.5 -0.5 0.8 20 37-189 5.1 61.4% 221 3.8% 21 37-140 3.8 60.4% 247 10.4% Conference 27-25 38.3 1.3 0.5 20 36-115 3.2 62.9% 309 5.6% 19 32-112 3.6 65.2% 275 4.8% Away 25-29 -63.0 -2.4 0.6 17 36-155 4.3 63.2% 188 4.2% 19 39-176 4.5 62.8% 231 10.8% Home 14-21 -96.3 -3.3 -0.7 15 32-72 2.2 63.8% 225 7.4% 19 29-134 4.6 58.7% 259 1.8%

at Georgia Taylor Lamb 18-27-128-0-0 Taylor Lamb 10-66-6.6-1 Jalin Moore 4-34-8.5-0 Tennessee St Conner Manning 14-17-159-0-0 Taz Bateman 11-31-2.8-0 Taz Bateman 6-74-12.3-1 Savannah State Taylor Lamb 12-15-327-5-0 Terrence Upshaw 10-86-8.6-1 Collin Reed 3-106-35.3-2 Byeat Texas St Taylor Lamb 17-28-167-1-0 Terrence Upshaw 14-60-4.3-1 Malik Williams 4-68-17.0-0 vs. at Penn St Conner Manning 16-29-133-0-3 Taz Bateman 29-100-3.4-0 Penny Hart 7-56-8.0-0 Wake Forest Taylor Lamb 26-50-372-2-0 Terrence Upshaw 15-86-5.7-0 TJ Watkins 3-102-34.0-1 at Charlotte Conner Manning 26-37-250-1-0 Glenn Smith 31-90-2.9-2 Penny Hart 11-141-12.8-1 Bye Bye New Mexico St Taylor Lamb 10-21-48-0-2 Jalin Moore 19-241-12.7-2 Thomas Hennigan 6-66-11.0-1 vs. at Coastal Carolina Conner Manning 18-30-273-1-1 Glenn Smith 23-74-3.2-0 Penny Hart 8-132-16.5-1at Idaho Taylor Lamb 19-26-155-3-1 Jalin Moore 17-49-2.9-0 Ike Lewis 6-101-16.8-2 at ULM Conner Manning 26-35-446-4-0 Kyler Neal 14-65-4.6-1 Penny Hart 11-190-17.3-3 Coastal Carolina Taylor Lamb 23-39-427-2-0 Malik Williams 15-72-4.8-2 Jalen Virgil 5-186-37.2-2 Troy Conner Manning 25-40-255-1-1 Glenn Smith 11-19-1.7-0 Tamir Jones 5-75-15.0-0at UMass Taylor Lamb 14-28-133-2-1 Marcus Williams Jr. 25-125-5.0-0 Ike Lewis 5-87-17.4-1 vs. South Alabama Conner Manning 17-31-195-2-0 Glenn Smith 17-73-4.3-0 Penny Hart 6-98-16.3-1at ULM Taylor Lamb 20-29-339-4-0 Jalin Moore 21-114-5.4-2 Ike Lewis 7-87-12.4-3 at GA Southern Conner Manning 22-37-319-2-1 Glenn Smith 11-49-4.5-0 Penny Hart 8-191-23.9-1 GA Southern Taylor Lamb 7-13-161-2-0 Marcus Williams Jr. 28-130-4.6-0 Ike Lewis 3-67-22.3-1 at Texas St Conner Manning 26-40-368-2-0 Glenn Smith 22-98-4.5-0 Devin Gentry 3-120-40.0-2 Bye vs. Byeat Georgia St Appalachian St Louisiana Idaho

vs.

Taylor Lamb 166-276-2257-21-4 Jalin Moore 112-563-5.0-6 Ike Lewis 38-561-14.8-7 Conner Manning 190-296-2398-13-6 Glenn Smith 116-404-3.5-2 Penny Hart 65-961-14.8-8Zac Thomas 6-10-33-0-0 Taylor Lamb 62-428-6.9-3 Thomas Hennigan 39-457-11.7-3 vs. Aaron Winchester 6-9-102-1-1 Kyler Neal 61-181-3.0-4 Glenn Smith 34-286-8.4-1Malik Williams 1-2-27-1-0 Marcus Williams Jr. 67-323-4.8-0 Jalen Virgil 17-339-19.9-3 Taz Bateman 52-180-3.5-0 Ari Werts 18-260-14.4-0

Category

2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Appalachian St - -19 17 26 48-218

Georgia St - 51.5 3 16 25-88 -32015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Appalachian St - -16 37 24 41-184

Georgia St - 62 3 14 21-59 -12014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Appalachian St - -13 44 26 66-469

Georgia St - 66 0 6 26-8 -3

vs.

Georgia St ST's Appalachian St By 7

1.25

1.80

Appalachian St By 2.0+/- Ratings

Appalachian St Coaches

Georgia St Coaches

52 Points

Appalachian St by 9 Appalachian St 27 Georgia St 18By 8.90 Points

POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:Computer Points

Appalachian St 27-18

Phil SteeleAppalachian StAppalachian St Georgia St 126

27 points

Georgia St

Georgia St

18

Georgia St 364 yards

18 points Appalachian St 404-364Projected Final Score

9.85

Appalachian St Pts

0.95

Experience Rankings Georgia St Pts

13-25-143 Last year ASU led 10-0 :05 sec into the 4Q. After GSU cut it to 7, ASU went 85/14pl sealing it w/a 12 yd td pass w/3:16 in a 17-3 home win as a 3 td favorite. App St won in the Georgia dome 37-3 in ‘15 but this is at Turner Field. These two teams are tied for first in the SBC with GS +38 ypg in SBC play and App St +23. Both teams have avoided the big boys in conf play with only 1 combined win between the two ove a team that currently has a winning record in the SBC. App St has been disappointing this year only faring better than what Vegas forecast in 3 of their 10 games. App St has played to an average game grade of 81.8 and GS to 71.0 so factoring in the home edge, you get App St by 7.8.

246 yards Appalachian St Georgia St 278 yards

Appalachian St By 8.7Projected Yardage Total

Game Grade

Georgia St Leaders

Appalachian St ST's Team & Margin

0.95

Las Vegas Total

Georgia St K

Georgia St QB/WR

Appalachian St DB's

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

Ret

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Projected Box Score 0.02

Appalachian St K

Comp-Att-Yds

Appalachian St Leaders

19-44-153

21-28-314

21-39-166

Computer YardsAppalachian St

Appalachian St RB's

Georgia St LB's

1.07

Appalachian St OL

Georgia St DL

Receiving

Appalachian St Georgia StRushing

2.44

Appalachian St QB/WR

Georgia St DB's

Phil's Forecast:

Las Vegas Line

Score Score

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing

FOETEAM

Panthers Logs

FOE FOEFOE

CONF TM +/- FOE +/-APTEAM --PS RANK-- --PS RANK--5-1 FOE

RECNCAA RANKINGS5-1

TM RECFOE TM

CONF

at GA Southern GA Southern Total Def

Defense

vs. SUN vs. SUN

OVERALL: OVERALL:

Mountaineers Logs

Georgia St Panthers6-4 6-3Appalachian St Mountaineers

Tennessee St Byeat Penn Stat Charlotte Bye

Projected Rushing158 yards Appalachian St Georgia St 86 yards

Projected Passing

at Coastal Carolinaat ULM Troy South Alabama

Score Def Bye

Georgia St RB's

1.23

Appalachian St DL

Georgia St OL

1.18

Appalachian St LB'S

0.86

2017 TEAM RANKINGS

Appalachian St Georgia St

Rush OffPass Off

Total OffScore Off

TM REC FOE REC TM CONF

at Texas Stat ULM

at Georgia St Sks By Appalachian St Bye

IdahoTotal TO's

Ypg Diff Louisiana

FOE CONF TM +/- FOE +/-

AP

at Georgia Savannah Stateat Texas St Wake Forest Bye

at Idaho New Mexico St

Sks Allowedat UMass Rush Def Coastal Carolina

Pass Def

Net Offense Defense

Ap

pal

ach

ian

St

Mou

nta

inee

rs

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

Geo

rgia

St

Pan

ther

s

Net Offense

Comp-Att-Yds

Comp-Att-Yds

9-14-98

9-19-54404 yards Appalachian St

34 Appalachian StTeam Schedule Strength

120

Page 29: Phil Steele’s Inside the Pressboxplus.philsteele.com/inside_the_pressbox/2017/College/...Phil Steele’s Inside the Pressbox WK 13 UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK *this is a Best Bet H Utah

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 119 98 9/2 28-6 W 65 54 70 56 88 50 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 122 123 25 9/2 42-41 W 45 23 5 57 56 1051-0 0-0 120 9/9 42-0 W 72 38 70 1-0 0-0 122 25 9/9 42-7 W 39 39 52-0 2-0 0-0 0-0 120 133 18 9/16 14-7 W 59 29 54 29 62 2 2-0 0-1 0-0 0-0 123 126 23 24 9/16 20-26 L 38 43 1 63 21 43-0 3-0 0-0 0-0 124 141 1 9/23 0-59 L 62 20 118 1 1 17 #128 #110 2-1 0-4 0-1 0-0 123 101 9/23 17-13 W 38 44 2 104 105 1263-1 2-1 0-1 2-0 120 126 21 9/30 24-38 L 84 30 115 56 29 9 #56 #107 3-1 4-0 0-1 1-0 119 131 7 9/30 0-41 L 37 43 3 16 4 413-2 5-0 0-2 2-0 120 135 5 10/7 14-45 L 86 31 96 17 4 45 #117 #125 3-2 0-2 115 10/7 52 50 53-3 2-3 0-3 0-2 116 111 10/14 35-57 L 95 39 113 33 63 70 #105 #119 3-2 4-2 0-2 2-2 115 121 10/14 9-15 L 59 47 10 62 25 783-4 0-4 111 10/21 96 54 120 #41 #114 3-3 7-0 0-3 4-0 115 145 1 10/21 7-31 L 66 41 9 1 1 213-4 5-2 0-4 3-2 111 122 10/28 27-34 L 102 55 120 69 24 65 #117 #126 3-4 5-2 0-4 2-2 116 113 10/28 26-29 L 82 46 8 86 47 193-5 5-3 0-5 3-2 112 106 11/4 31-17 W 98 65 122 105 94 66 #29 #2 3-5 5-3 0-5 3-2 115 100 11/4 24-10 W 79 50 20 48 68 834-5 6-3 0-5 3-3 113 111 11/11 21-44 L 90 50 119 71 57 25 #85 #73 4-5 4-5 0-5 1-4 115 120 11/11 17-50 L 88 38 24 16 74 194-6 5-5 0-6 2-4 108 124 11/18 17-45 L 94 59 120 14 65 15 #97 #74 4-6 7-3 0-6 4-2 111 129 21 11/18 10-30 L 96 41 26 27 5 844-7 4-7 0-7 0-7 106 110 11/25 95 59 121 96 43 41 #47 #70 4-7 4-7 0-7 0-7 110 106 11/25 96 43 41 95 59 121

#112 #118-6 -2

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

at Middle Tennessee 28-6 152 1 1 15 35-71 2.0 20-28 296 1 14 26-49 1.9 18-31 166 5 † Georgia Tech 42-41 -286 -15 2 18 22-148 6.7 20-37 221 0 33 86-535 6.2 5-10 120 0 Alabama A&M 42-0 298 11 2 18 35-174 5.0 19-26 227 0 7 32-59 1.8 8-21 44 3 Indiana St 42-7 180 11 -2 24 37-160 4.3 17-30 235 1 13 38-122 3.2 9-19 93 1 Kansas St 14-7 -7 -2 1 11 32-65 2.0 14-23 205 1 13 35-201 5.7 10-28 76 2 at Florida 20-26 62 9 0 23 33-183 5.5 21-39 259 1 14 29-168 5.8 18-28 212 2 Alabama 0-59 -599 -35 -2 3 16-40 2.5 7-22 38 0 38 66-496 7.5 17-27 181 1 UMass 17-13 38 4 -1 18 39-135 3.5 19-32 184 0 14 37-144 3.9 13-22 137 7at Florida 24-38 -157 -6 0 17 20-46 2.3 18-40 264 1 23 51-218 4.3 17-26 249 1 Georgia 0-41 -236 -13 -3 7 29-62 2.1 11-23 80 3 20 55-294 5.3 7-17 84 2 Georgia 14-45 -371 -16 1 11 22-6 0.3 17-31 172 0 27 54-423 7.8 10-14 126 2 Byeat Mississippi 35-57 -186 -6 -2 21 37-188 5.1 18-37 229 7 27 41-252 6.1 22-35 351 2 South Carolina 9-15 -70 -3 0 16 39-120 3.1 11-19 133 7 19 40-194 4.9 15-24 129 1 Bye at Alabama 7-45 -496 -28 1 7 30-64 2.1 9-16 44 4 35 53-272 5.1 22-33 332 2at South Carolina 27-34 54 1 -1 27 23-107 4.7 27-49 333 0 26 37-212 5.7 19-29 174 1 at Kentucky 26-29 74 10 4 27 55-203 3.7 18-23 242 7 17 36-289 8.0 7-16 82 0 WKU 31-17 45 -3 0 19 35-174 5.0 14-21 220 1 22 30--6 -0.2 33-53 355 6 Southern Miss 24-10 -69 -4 2 14 38-95 2.5 10-21 115 2 18 42-118 2.8 13-34 161 4 Kentucky 21-44 -159 0 -3 21 20-60 3.0 30-43 308 5 21 47-332 7.1 13-17 195 1 at Missouri 17-50 -374 -13 -3 16 36-146 4.1 16-32 139 5 29 53-433 8.2 14-30 226 1 Missouri 17-45 -27 8 -3 25 30-51 1.7 28-52 348 2 17 39-191 4.9 10-25 235 0 LSU 10-30 6 -5 -2 12 34-38 1.1 14-25 249 2 17 43-200 4.7 11-15 81 1at Tennessee Vanderbilt

Average 23-32 -87.0 -4.3 -0.5 17 28-89 3.2 57.0% 240 4.8% 21 42-221 5.3 57.8% 196 7.8% Average 19-28 -106.5 -4.3 -0.2 17 36-123 3.5 55.9% 173 10.8% 21 47-252 5.4 54.0% 151 8.5% Conference 20-46 -206.4 -7.7 -1.4 18 24-71 3.0 52.9% 242 5.5% 26 48-303 6.3 62.4% 216 4.6% Conference 13-34 -147.7 -6.1 -0.4 15 37-117 3.2 56.5% 164 16.4% 22 44-264 6.0 57.7% 164 5.5% Away 29-34 -34.3 -2.5 -0.5 20 29-103 3.6 53.9% 281 5.8% 23 39-183 4.7 62.8% 235 7.4% Home 17-19 -25.2 -1.7 -1.0 15 36-102 2.8 54.7% 166 10.0% 17 43-179 4.2 51.9% 114 12.2%

at Middle Tennessee Kyle Shurmur 20-28-296-3-0 Ralph Webb 24-49-2.0-1 Ralph Webb 3-104-34.7-1 † Georgia Tech Quinten Dormady 20-37-221-2-0 John Kelly 19-128-6.7-4 Marquez Callaway 4-115-28.8-2 Alabama A&M Kyle Shurmur 15-18-202-4-0 Jamauri Wakefield 15-64-4.3-0 Trent Sherfield 4-69-17.3-1 Indiana St Quinten Dormady 13-18-194-2-1 John Kelly 18-80-4.4-0 John Kelly 5-60-12.0-0 Kansas St Kyle Shurmur 14-23-205-1-0 Ralph Webb 21-46-2.2-0 Trent Sherfield 4-97-24.3-0 vs. at Florida Quinten Dormady 21-39-259-1-3 John Kelly 19-141-7.4-1 John Kelly 6-96-16.0-0 Alabama Deuce Wallace 3-7-20-0-0 Ralph Webb 6-20-3.3-0 Trent Sherfield 2-14-7.0-0 UMass Quinten Dormady 17-27-187-1-0 John Kelly 25-101-4.0-1 Brandon Johnson 7-123-17.6-0at Florida Kyle Shurmur 18-40-264-3-0 Ralph Webb 11-29-2.6-0 CJ Duncan 5-75-15.0-0 Georgia Quinten Dormady 5-16-64-0-2 John Kelly 16-44-2.8-0 John Kelly 4-47-11.8-0 Georgia Kyle Shurmur 17-31-172-1-0 Ralph Webb 12-47-3.9-1 Kalija Lipscomb 3-55-18.3-0 vs. Byeat Mississippi Kyle Shurmur 13-29-174-2-1 Ralph Webb 23-163-7.1-2 Trent Sherfield 3-65-21.7-1 South Carolina Jarrett Guarantano 11-18-133-0-0 John Kelly 16-58-3.6-0 Brandon Johnson 3-54-18.0-0 Bye at Alabama Jarrett Guarantano 9-16-44-0-1 John Kelly 12-63-5.3-0 Marquez Callaway 3-14-4.7-0at South Carolina Kyle Shurmur 27-49-333-4-1 Dallas Rivers 11-41-3.7-0 Kalija Lipscomb 7-128-18.3-1 vs. at Kentucky Jarrett Guarantano 18-23-242-0-0 Ty Chandler 22-120-5.5-2 Jeff George 2-59-29.5-0 WKU Kyle Shurmur 14-21-220-2-0 Ralph Webb 23-104-4.5-1 Trent Sherfield 5-82-16.4-1 Southern Miss Jarrett Guarantano 9-13-102-0-0 John Kelly 20-79-4.0-2 Marquez Callaway 2-53-26.5-0 Kentucky Kyle Shurmur 30-43-308-1-4 Ralph Webb 9-70-7.8-1 Trent Sherfield 8-81-10.1-0 at Missouri Will McBride 16-32-139-1-2 Will McBride 14-63-4.5-0 Ethan Wolf 3-45-15.0-1 Missouri Kyle Shurmur 28-52-348-1-3 Ralph Webb 19-55-2.9-1 Jared Pinkney 6-119-19.8-0 vs. LSU Jarrett Guarantano 13-23-239-1-0 John Kelly 25-47-1.9-0 Marquez Callaway 2-72-36.0-1at Tennessee Vanderbilt

vs.

Kyle Shurmur 200-349-2540-22-10 Ralph Webb 167-668-4.0-8 Trent Sherfield 44-648-14.7-3 Quinten Dormady 76-137-925-6-6 John Kelly 179-758-4.2-8 Marquez Callaway 21-390-18.6-4Deuce Wallace 11-22-94-1-0 Khari Blasingame 45-147-3.3-0 Kalija Lipscomb 32-552-17.3-7 vs. Jarrett Guarantano 72-117-814-2-1 Ty Chandler 68-286-4.2-2 Brandon Johnson 31-375-12.1-1Shawn Stankavage 1-1-6-0-0 Jamauri Wakefield 24-89-3.7-0 CJ Duncan 46-418-9.1-4 Will McBride 17-40-152-1-2 Carlin Fils-Aime 29-184-6.3-2 John Kelly 36-294-8.2-0

Category

2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Vanderbilt - 53 45 27 38-192

Tennessee 24 -7.5 34 27 33-176 -12015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Vanderbilt - 41.5 28 21 36-202

Tennessee - -18 53 27 52-331 12014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Vanderbilt - 49.5 17 19 36-123

Tennessee - -17 24 19 45-170 12013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Vanderbilt - 52.5 14 15 31-90

Tennessee - -2.5 10 18 45-184 12012 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's

Vanderbilt - -3 41 15 40-194

Tennessee - 60.5 18 19 33-149 -2

Phil's Forecast:

Comp-Att-Yds Las Vegas Line

Vanderbilt has actually won 3 of the last 5 meetings, but Tennessee is good at getting revenge in the series as since 1936 they are 10-1 vs Vandy after losing to them the prior year and the avg win has been by 14 ppg. Last year UT led 34-24, but lost 45-34 and the Vols banged-up defense allowed 608 yards (that number should be plastered around the locker room). Tenn won here in ‘15 by 53-28. Last year when these two played Vandy allowed 377 ypg in SEC play and Tenn allowed 536 ypg. This year while the Vols defense has been beat up and bad they are giving up over 100 ypg less than last year at 428 ypg. Vandy is giving up almost 150 ypg more at 519 ypg this year. This is the home finale for Tennessee, they are playing with revenge and are playing at a 77.5 avg game grade in SEC games while Vandy is at 69.8. My computer has Tennessee winning by a TD and they are just a 1 point favorite.

Tennessee ST's Tennessee By 1Vanderbilt K

198 yards 45.5 Points0.99

306 yards

21 points Vanderbilt

Vanderbilt

Tennessee

37 Tennessee

0.70

Tennessee By 8.3

Tennessee By 6.3

Tennessee 374-306Projected Final Score

1.05

Vanderbilt Pts4.08

Experience Rankings Tennessee Pts

48 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: Tennessee 28-21

Tennessee 28 Vanderbilt 20

Tennessee Leaders

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

Ret

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Projected Box Score Vanderbilt ST's1.49

Las Vegas Total

+/- Ratings

Computer Points

Computer Yards

Team & Margin

Game GradeTennessee Coaches

Phil SteeleTennessee by 8

Vanderbilt LB'S

Tennessee RB's

Vanderbilt Leaders

Projected Yardage Total

Vanderbilt DB's0.03

Tennessee QB/WR

134 yards

Comp-Att-Yds

13-30-149

Comp-Att-Yds

24-31-195

14-28-248

19-41-154

Comp-Att-Yds

Tennessee KVanderbilt Coaches

TennesseeTeam Schedule Strength

28 points

11-20-53

Comp-Att-Yds

15-34-209

15-25-192

By 3.02 Points

11-20-92Vanderbilt Tennessee 374 yards

Vanderbilt RB's0.78

Tennessee LB's

0.30

Tennessee DLVanderbilt DL

0.13

Tennessee OL

Vanderbilt OL

Receiving

Vanderbilt TennesseeRushing

0.36

Tennessee DB's

Defense

Vanderbilt QB/WR

Score

Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing

Van

der

bilt

Com

mod

ores

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

Ten

nes

see

Vol

un

teer

s

Net Offense

FOENCAA RANKINGSTEAM --PS RANK--0-7 0-7

TM REC FOE REC

TEAM --PS RANK-- TM CONF

FOE CONF TM +/- FOE +/-

AP

Sks By Vanderbilt

Total Def at MissouriScore Def LSU

GeorgiaTotal Off ByeScore Off South Carolina

FOE

Total TO'sYpg Diff

at Florida Pass Off

vs. SEC Volunteers LogsTM

CONFFOE

CONF TM +/- FOE +/-AP

Projected Passing172 yards Vanderbilt Tennessee 176 yards

0.35

Vanderbilt Tennessee

Sks Allowed at Alabamaat South Carolina Rush Def at Kentucky WKU Pass Def Southern Miss

vs. SECFOE

OVERALL: Tennessee Volunteers4-7 4-7OVERALL:

Georgiaat Mississippi Bye

FOE REC

at Middle Tennessee 2017 TEAM RANKINGS † Georgia Tech Alabama A&M

Vanderbilt Tennessee Indiana St

Kansas St at Florida Alabama Rush Off UMass

Vanderbilt CommodoresCommodores Logs

TM REC

21-35-416

31-34-340

Score

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving

36

FOE

Kentucky Missouriat Tennessee

Net Offense Defense

49 Vanderbilt Tennessee

Projected Rushing

Page 30: Phil Steele’s Inside the Pressboxplus.philsteele.com/inside_the_pressbox/2017/College/...Phil Steele’s Inside the Pressbox WK 13 UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK *this is a Best Bet H Utah

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 120 9/2 42-24 W 50 72 29 0-0 0-0 133 20 9/2 55-19 W 37 40 11-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 120 121 9/9 41-44 L 48 78 29 68 23 40 1-0 0-1 0-0 0-0 133 91 19 9/9 55-7 W 33 68 1 120 118 1231-1 1-1 0-0 0-0 118 99 9/16 41-14 W 50 82 47 115 97 117 2-0 2-0 0-0 0-0 133 120 18 9/16 7-14 L 29 62 2 59 29 542-1 0-0 120 9/23 45 74 25 #112 #36 2-1 0-0 129 9/23 37 54 12-1 1-2 0-0 0-0 120 122 9/28 7-17 L 45 72 39 18 22 63 #32 #97 2-1 0-4 0-0 0-1 129 116 9/30 33-20 W 33 57 1 34 83 192-2 4-0 0-1 1-0 117 139 3 10/7 38-31 W 56 65 55 2 18 46 #77 #89 3-1 2-2 1-0 1-0 129 125 10/7 34-40 L 33 49 1 20 16 243-2 1-4 1-1 0-2 122 98 10/14 45-0 W 56 65 44 74 117 63 #46 #36 3-2 5-0 1-1 2-0 127 132 6 10/14 6-26 L 36 46 1 12 16 174-2 4-2 2-1 1-2 125 125 10/21 31-13 W 67 47 41 21 52 97 #13 #52 3-3 5-1 1-2 2-1 124 133 9 10/21 35-42 L 44 38 2 3 22 785-2 7-0 3-1 4-0 130 135 25 4 10/28 14-7 W 64 39 55 18 9 18 #32 #21 3-4 1-6 1-3 0-4 124 95 10/28 30-20 W 44 42 1 104 115 866-2 5-3 4-1 3-2 132 124 14 11/4 16-20 L 74 34 78 13 62 93 #89 #129 4-4 4-4 2-3 1-4 121 119 11/4 42-35 W 44 40 1 25 76 996-3 7-2 4-2 4-2 130 135 24 12 11/11 42-49 L 76 39 57 7 19 104 #54 #105 5-4 6-3 3-3 4-2 123 126 23 11/11 23-28 L 43 37 1 10 56 1036-4 1-9 4-3 1-6 129 112 11/18 23-13 W 70 45 72 65 90 64 #31 #64 5-5 8-2 3-4 5-2 121 136 10 11/18 45-40 W 53 38 2 7 21 887-4 6-5 5-3 4-4 129 126 11/25 65 49 65 46 34 1 #76 #61 6-5 7-4 4-4 5-3 126 129 11/25 46 34 1 65 49 65

#68 #101+11 +11

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

Northern Iowa 42-24 27 3 2 24 35-134 3.8 27-36 271 0 21 22-119 5.4 23-38 259 2 Central Arkansas 55-19 98 -12 3 16 31-186 6.0 10-16 333 1 28 55-223 4.1 27-35 198 4 Iowa 41-44 -30 -7 -1 22 26-120 4.6 25-46 347 1 29 41-164 4.0 27-41 333 1 Charlotte 55-7 325 18 3 28 51-304 6.0 17-23 189 1 10 28-110 3.9 10-25 58 0at Akron 41-14 177 4 3 23 37-191 5.2 24-33 317 0 19 24-38 1.6 27-44 293 6 at Vanderbilt 7-14 7 2 -1 13 35-201 5.7 10-28 76 2 11 32-65 2.0 14-23 205 1 Bye Bye Texas 7-17 -56 -1 -1 18 15-10 0.7 24-49 246 2 19 52-141 2.7 19-26 171 2 Baylor 33-20 -31 1 1 19 43-225 5.2 7-17 119 0 18 27-84 3.1 26-44 291 3at Oklahoma 38-31 -64 -7 1 21 32-81 2.5 20-27 368 1 28 35-190 5.4 25-34 323 2 at Texas 34-40 -152 -16 0 16 39-140 3.6 14-23 254 3 32 40-166 4.2 30-51 380 0 Kansas 45-0 212 10 2 15 43-106 2.5 18-30 212 3 5 33-62 1.9 11-26 44 0 TCU 6-26 -179 -7 0 10 29-70 2.4 11-30 146 2 17 36-98 2.7 27-37 297 1at Texas Tech 31-13 64 -4 2 20 36-208 5.8 22-32 192 0 24 41-129 3.1 31-41 207 2 Oklahoma 35-42 -207 -10 1 18 42-268 6.4 12-14 144 0 28 38-209 5.5 32-41 410 2 TCU 14-7 -52 3 2 17 33-53 1.6 21-35 202 2 14 34-172 5.1 12-25 135 1 at Kansas 30-20 -142 -5 1 15 43-202 4.7 8-13 138 2 20 28-64 2.3 23-48 418 4at West Virginia 16-20 -174 0 0 23 29-101 3.5 27-40 249 1 23 47-208 4.4 20-25 316 0 at Texas Tech 42-35 -119 -2 0 24 36-145 4.0 18-28 263 2 26 31-122 3.9 34-53 405 1 Oklahoma St 42-49 -31 7 -1 30 29-105 3.6 30-47 386 2 23 37-146 3.9 25-31 376 2 West Virginia 23-28 -160 -6 2 14 42-173 4.1 13-26 159 4 20 26-120 4.6 27-46 372 2at Baylor 23-13 63 -4 2 21 40-214 5.4 14-28 180 0 25 38-133 3.5 26-36 198 2 at Oklahoma St 45-40 -89 -12 1 18 49-217 4.4 10-13 204 3 30 31-85 2.7 32-53 425 4at Kansas St Iowa St

Average 31-21 12.4 0.4 1.0 21 32-120 3.7 62.5% 270 3.0% 21 37-137 3.7 67.0% 241 5.4% Average 33-26 -59.0 -4.5 1.0 17 40-194 4.8 56.3% 184 8.7% 22 34-122 3.6 61.8% 314 4.8% Conference 27-19 -4.8 0.5 0.9 21 32-110 3.4 61.1% 254 3.8% 20 40-148 3.7 69.3% 221 4.5% Conference 31-31 -134.9 -7.1 0.8 17 40-180 4.5 56.7% 178 9.8% 24 32-119 3.7 61.9% 375 4.6% Away 30-18 13.2 -2.2 1.6 22 35-159 4.6 66.9% 261 1.3% 24 37-140 3.8 71.7% 267 6.7% Home 35-24 -25.7 -2.7 1.7 18 40-204 5.2 55.6% 182 6.3% 20 35-141 4.0 65.4% 271 5.3%

Northern Iowa Jacob Park 27-35-271-2-1 David Montgomery 14-82-5.9-2 Allen Lazard 8-108-13.5-0 Central Arkansas Jesse Ertz 10-16-333-4-0 Skylar Thompson 3-49-16.3-0 Byron Pringle 3-121-40.3-1 Iowa Jacob Park 25-46-347-4-1 David Montgomery 20-112-5.6-1 Hakeem Butler 5-128-25.6-2 Charlotte Jesse Ertz 16-21-178-0-0 Alex Barnes 16-99-6.2-1 Isaiah Zuber 7-73-10.4-0at Akron Jacob Park 24-33-317-2-0 David Montgomery 22-127-5.8-1 Trever Ryen 6-80-13.3-0 vs. at Vanderbilt Jesse Ertz 10-28-76-0-2 Jesse Ertz 24-126-5.3-1 Isaiah Zuber 4-37-9.3-0 Bye Bye Texas Jacob Park 24-48-246-1-3 David Montgomery 9-34-3.8-0 Allen Lazard 5-63-12.6-0 Baylor Jesse Ertz 7-17-119-1-0 Jesse Ertz 12-95-7.9-1 Isaiah Zuber 4-79-19.8-1at Oklahoma Kyle Kempt 18-24-343-3-0 David Montgomery 17-55-3.2-1 Trever Ryen 4-99-24.8-1 vs. at Texas Jesse Ertz 12-18-224-2-1 Alex Delton 12-79-6.6-2 Dalton Schoen 5-128-25.6-2 Kansas Kyle Kempt 13-20-122-1-0 David Montgomery 21-68-3.2-3 Allen Lazard 3-40-13.3-0 TCU Alex Delton 11-29-146-0-0 Alex Delton 19-39-2.1-0 Byron Pringle 3-80-26.7-0at Texas Tech Kyle Kempt 22-32-192-3-1 David Montgomery 28-164-5.9-0 Marchie Murdock 4-68-17.0-0 Oklahoma Alex Delton 12-14-144-1-1 Alex Delton 27-142-5.3-3 Byron Pringle 2-70-35.0-0 TCU Kyle Kempt 21-35-202-2-1 David Montgomery 25-74-3.0-0 Allen Lazard 6-106-17.7-0 vs. at Kansas Alex Delton 4-7-98-0-0 Alex Barnes 23-128-5.6-2 Byron Pringle 3-92-30.7-0at West Virginia Kyle Kempt 27-40-249-1-1 David Montgomery 26-115-4.4-0 Hakeem Butler 4-62-15.5-0 at Texas Tech Alex Delton 13-20-167-1-1 Justin Silmon 2-45-22.5-0 Dalton Schoen 5-103-20.6-0 Oklahoma St Zeb Noland 17-28-263-0-1 David Montgomery 21-105-5.0-3 Allen Lazard 9-126-14.0-2 West Virginia Skylar Thompson 13-26-159-0-2 Dalvin Warmack 14-96-6.9-0 Isaiah Zuber 4-45-11.3-0at Baylor Zeb Noland 14-28-180-2-0 David Montgomery 27-144-5.3-0 Hakeem Butler 1-67-67.0-1 vs. at Oklahoma St Skylar Thompson 10-13-204-3-0 Skylar Thompson 17-93-5.5-1 Byron Pringle 4-166-41.5-3at Kansas St Iowa St

vs.

Kyle Kempt 113-169-1209-11-3 David Montgomery 230-1080-4.7-11 Allen Lazard 55-704-12.8-9 Jesse Ertz 55-100-930-7-3 Alex Barnes 127-679-5.3-6 Byron Pringle 28-705-25.2-6Jacob Park 100-162-1181-9-5 Joel Lanning 33-106-3.2-1 Hakeem Butler 34-563-16.6-5 vs. Alex Delton 42-75-585-2-2 Alex Delton 80-342-4.3-5 Dalton Schoen 23-470-20.4-3Zeb Noland 36-66-533-2-1 Mike Warren 30-88.1-2.9-1 Marchie Murdock 33-438-13.3-4 Skylar Thompson 33-55-510-4-2 Jesse Ertz 65-336-5.2-3 Isaiah Zuber 44-454-10.3-3

Category

2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Iowa St - 50.5 26 25 31-154

Kansas St - -6 31 27 43-247 12015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Iowa St - 53.5 35 21 44-238

Kansas St - -3.5 38 22 41-165 32014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Iowa St - 54.5 28 21 37-105

Kansas St 20 -13 32 24 41-232 12013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Iowa St - 52 7 15 34-122

Kansas St - -17 41 19 48-226 22012 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's

Iowa St - 48 21 12 24-65

Kansas St 6 -6 27 25 52-177 0

Kansas St by 3 Kansas St 24 Iowa St 21By 9.13 Points

Kansas St

Kansas St

Game Grade

+/- Ratings

Computer Points

Iowa St Coaches

2.50

19-33-220

Comp-Att-Yds

FOE

FOE FOENCAA RANKINGSTEAMTM

CONF

Comp-Att-Yds

13 Iowa St16-24-187

16-36-166 39Phil Steele

Team Schedule Strength

10.84Computer Yards

Kansas St K

Sks Allowed Oklahoma

at Texas Techat West Virginia

Receiving

Iowa St Kansas StRushing

1.10

Iowa St QB/WR

Kansas St DB's

Rushing Receiving Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing

Net Offense

at Texas Tech

Northern Iowa

ByePass Off Baylor

FOE CONF TM +/- FOE +/-TM

CONFFOE

CONF TM +/- FOE +/-

OVERALL: OVERALL: Kansas St Wildcats7-4 6-5

168 yards

Projected Final Score24 points Iowa St Kansas St 24 points

200 yardsProjected Passing

299 yards Kansas St

85 yards Iowa St Kansas St

Oklahoma St Total Def West VirginiaScore Def at Oklahoma St

Experience Rankings71 Iowa St

Sks By Iowa Stat Baylor

Kan

sas

St

Wild

cats

Iowa St DL0.13

Kansas St OL

Rush Def

Iowa StProjected Yardage Total

384 yards Iowa St Kansas St

Kansas St RB's

Iowa St RB's1.13

Kansas St LB's

0.62

Iowa St OL1.43

2017 TEAM RANKINGS Central Arkansas Iowa

Iowa St Kansas St Charlotte

at Akron at Vanderbilt

TCU

Bye Rush Off

AP

Kansas St DL

Phil's Forecast:

Las Vegas Line

Iowa St is -5 ypg in Big 12 play and KSt is -135 ypg Kansas St has won 9 in a row in the series, but have only won the last 3 by 4, 3 & 5 points. Iowa St is playing their 6th straight tough game, 4th road game in those six weeks. Last week the game with Baylor was even the Bears down two had a 1st and goal at the 2, but fumbled and ISt won by 10. They are down to 3rd string QB Zeb Nolarnd who hit 14-28-180-2-0 in his first start. KSt is also down to their #3 QB in Skylar Thompson who hit 10-13-204-3-0 guiding the upset in Stillwater last week. This is the final home game for KSt so they have the situational edge and will be excited after that big upset.

Kansas St ST's Kansas St By 3Iowa St K

3.54

Las Vegas Total

Kansas St Leaders

Iowa St ST's Team & Margin

Kansas St Coaches

TEAM

vs. BIG 12 vs. BIG 12 Wildcats Logs--PS RANK-- --PS RANK--5-3 4-4

TM REC FOE REC

Defense

Tie 24-24

49.5 Points

POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

Kansas St By 1.8

Iowa St By 4.3

at Kansas

Total Off at TexasScore Off

Pass Def

Cyclones LogsFOE

TM REC

Score

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing

at Kansas St

Comp-Att-Yds

Comp-Att-Yds

Comp-Att-Yds

15-20-210

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

Ret

urn

to

Tab

le o

f C

onte

nts

Projected Box Score

Kansas St

17-36-126

Texas

TCU

at Oklahoma Kansas

368 yards

Projected Rushing

Total TO'sYpg Diff

Net Offense Defense

Iow

a S

t C

yclo

nes

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

24-43-339

22-33-214

16-29-239

13-20-221

18-28-151

Iowa St Leaders

60

1.08

Kansas St QB/WR

Score

Iowa St 384-368Kansas St Pts

1.71

Iowa St Pts

1.04

Iowa St LB'S

Iowa St DB's

FOE RECAP

Iowa St Cyclones

Page 31: Phil Steele’s Inside the Pressboxplus.philsteele.com/inside_the_pressbox/2017/College/...Phil Steele’s Inside the Pressbox WK 13 UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK *this is a Best Bet H Utah

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0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 123 111 16 9/2 35-28 W 19 17 34 79 62 79 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 121 104 9/2 24-17 W 51 35 31 82 93 661-0 0-1 0-0 0-0 123 116 17 9/9 47-35 W 24 10 34 61 31 63 1-0 0-0 119 9/9 27-16 W 64 27 312-0 2-0 1-0 0-0 124 140 14 3 9/16 21-47 L 15 12 90 12 2 86 2-0 2-0 0-0 1-0 116 123 7 9/16 23-13 W 67 32 25 37 23 652-1 1-2 1-1 0-0 122 98 19 9/23 43-3 W 13 25 45 128 119 111 #19 #64 3-0 1-1 1-0 1-0 121 126 20 9/23 27-28 L 70 33 30 66 26 63-1 1-1 124 17 9/30 55-10 W 15 28 61 #12 #94 3-1 2-1 1-1 0-1 121 107 9/30 24-20 W 68 36 31 106 80 754-1 4-1 1-1 2-0 124 125 17 24 10/5 25-39 L 9 27 33 29 26 69 #3 #105 4-1 1-3 1-1 0-2 119 104 10/7 40-34 W 78 35 37 26 85 494-2 2-4 1-2 0-3 122 112 10/14 42-45 L 11 32 58 93 43 60 #13 #78 5-1 2-1 117 10/14 77 37 114-3 2-3 1-3 2-2 118 131 10/21 31-28 W 7 45 67 48 11 58 #101 #90 5-1 4-2 2-1 1-2 117 121 10/21 7-45 L 78 39 11 24 33 295-3 4-3 2-3 1-3 123 124 10/28 32-42 L 6 45 70 71 54 63 #43 #42 5-2 3-4 2-2 0-4 113 116 10/28 29-26 W 86 47 19 82 46 85-4 2-4 122 11/4 6 56 80 #94 #116 6-2 3-5 3-2 1-4 113 112 11/4 34-37 L 80 51 19 18 78 515-4 6-3 2-4 3-2 122 116 11/11 38-21 W 5 58 87 85 34 68 #65 #80 6-3 4-5 3-3 0-5 111 113 11/11 44-21 W 71 57 25 90 50 1196-4 4-6 3-4 2-4 123 118 11/18 56-10 W 5 52 86 49 86 17 #75 #68 7-3 9-1 4-3 6-1 116 134 7 11/18 13-42 L 64 50 18 9 14 137-4 7-4 4-4 4-4 127 115 11/25 4 42 87 73 58 14 #70 #24 7-4 7-4 4-4 4-4 115 127 11/25 73 58 14 4 42 87

#7 #103+3 +5

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

† Purdue 35-28 180 2 1 27 33-146 4.4 30-46 378 0 25 21-51 2.4 33-57 293 4 at Southern Miss 24-17 -110 -7 2 12 35-78 2.2 11-20 176 1 19 38-55 1.4 22-40 309 2at North Carolina 47-35 304 15 0 35 44-312 7.1 25-39 393 2 20 23-17 0.7 29-38 384 2 Eastern Kentucky 27-16 118 5 2 22 39-207 5.3 16-24 229 3 17 20-62 3.1 31-43 256 1 Clemson 21-47 -180 -4 -1 21 27-116 4.3 21-42 317 5 25 48-297 6.2 23-33 316 4 at South Carolina 23-13 -5 6 0 20 47-184 3.9 16-26 169 1 14 20-54 2.7 24-37 304 2 Kent St 42-3 389 12 -1 23 27-165 6.1 23-30 374 2 11 54-139 2.6 2-5 11 1 Florida 27-28 -55 1 1 21 32-120 3.8 18-27 220 4 20 36-186 5.2 17-27 209 1 Murray St 55-10 596 33 -1 38 46-312 6.8 32-45 364 3 5 22-19 0.9 10-21 61 0 Eastern Michigan 24-20 -84 -4 2 16 37-53 1.4 18-27 175 5 20 27-13 0.5 27-47 299 5at NC State 25-39 -50 2 0 25 29-116 4.0 26-48 354 4 23 39-153 3.9 20-32 367 0 Missouri 40-34 -82 -2 1 22 39-188 4.8 22-37 298 1 24 33-213 6.5 22-43 355 1 Boston College 42-45 70 -2 -1 25 36-293 8.1 19-39 332 0 27 59-364 6.2 12-28 191 2 Byeat Florida St 31-28 46 -1 2 22 44-293 6.7 13-21 156 2 23 38-155 4.1 16-28 248 2 at Miss St 7-45 -181 -11 -2 14 29-115 4.0 14-30 145 3 25 48-282 5.9 19-27 159 0at Wake Forest 32-42 -102 4 0 30 42-191 4.5 28-46 332 7 26 39-164 4.2 28-34 461 1 Tennessee 29-26 -74 -10 -4 17 36-289 8.0 7-16 82 0 27 55-203 3.7 18-23 242 7 Bye Mississippi 34-37 -18 -2 0 23 45-219 4.9 20-25 236 4 25 26-91 3.5 31-41 382 3 Virginia 38-21 216 11 0 27 43-298 6.9 15-26 195 2 16 28-63 2.3 19-36 214 4 at Vanderbilt 44-21 59 0 3 21 47-232 4.9 13-17 195 1 21 20-60 3.0 30-43 308 5 Syracuse 56-10 392 5 4 27 42-411 9.8 17-30 316 1 22 45-197 4.4 13-34 138 1 at Georgia 13-42 -242 -8 0 17 37-124 3.4 12-23 138 3 25 44-381 8.7 9-14 123 1at Kentucky Louisville

Average 39-28 169.2 7.0 0.3 27 38-241 6.4 60.4% 319 6.8% 20 38-147 3.9 59.2% 244 6.1% Average 27-27 -61.3 -2.9 0.5 19 38-164 4.3 61.4% 188 9.6% 22 33-145 4.4 64.9% 268 7.3% Conference 37-33 87.0 3.8 0.5 27 38-254 6.6 56.4% 299 7.9% 23 40-176 4.4 60.8% 290 6.1% Conference 27-31 -74.8 -3.3 -0.1 19 39-184 4.7 60.7% 185 8.5% 23 35-184 5.2 66.7% 260 7.8% Away 34-34 75.6 4.4 0.6 28 38-212 5.5 61.0% 323 7.5% 23 32-108 3.4 66.7% 351 4.8% Home 30-27 -32.5 -2.0 0.3 20 38-179 4.7 64.7% 207 10.9% 22 33-128 3.9 65.2% 291 8.0%

† Purdue Lamar Jackson 30-46-378-2-0 Lamar Jackson 21-107-5.1-0 Jay Smith 8-117-14.6-0 at Southern Miss Stephen Johnson 11-20-176-1-0 Benny Snell 20-67-3.4-0 C.J Conrad 3-97-32.3-1at North Carolina Lamar Jackson 25-39-393-3-0 Malik Williams 13-149-11.5-0 Jaylen Smith 9-183-20.3-1 Eastern Kentucky Stephen Johnson 15-22-224-1-0 Benny Snell 19-103-5.4-1 Blake Bone 3-93-31.0-0 Clemson Lamar Jackson 21-42-317-3-1 Lamar Jackson 17-64-3.8-0 Traveon Samuel 2-100-50.0-0 vs. at South Carolina Stephen Johnson 16-25-169-0-1 Benny Snell 32-102-3.2-2 Garrett Johnson 4-41-10.3-0 Kent St Lamar Jackson 18-22-299-2-2 Malik Williams 9-47-5.2-2 Seth Dawkins 4-75-18.8-1 Florida Stephen Johnson 17-25-196-3-0 Sihiem King 5-64-12.8-0 Garrett Johnson 4-56-14.0-1 Murray St Lamar Jackson 18-26-249-3-0 Lamar Jackson 7-100-14.3-1 Corey Reed 4-94-23.5-0 Eastern Michigan Stephen Johnson 18-27-175-2-0 Benny Snell 21-75-3.6-1 Garrett Johnson 8-61-7.6-0at NC State Lamar Jackson 26-47-354-1-1 Lamar Jackson 19-73-3.8-2 Dez Fitzpatrick 10-134-13.4-0 vs. Missouri Stephen Johnson 22-36-298-2-1 Benny Snell 20-117-5.9-2 Garrett Johnson 7-111-15.9-1 Boston College Lamar Jackson 19-39-332-2-1 Lamar Jackson 22-180-8.2-3 Dez Fitzpatrick 7-127-18.1-1 Byeat Florida St Lamar Jackson 13-21-156-1-0 Lamar Jackson 23-178-7.7-1 Jaylen Smith 5-49-9.8-0 at Miss St Stephen Johnson 13-28-117-0-2 Stephen Johnson 6-54-9.0-0 Lynn Bowden Jr. 3-38-12.7-0at Wake Forest Lamar Jackson 27-44-330-1-1 Lamar Jackson 27-161-6.0-3 Jaylen Smith 6-73-12.2-0 vs. Tennessee Stephen Johnson 6-15-46-0-0 Benny Snell 27-180-6.7-3 Tavin Richardson 3-52-17.3-0 Bye Mississippi Stephen Johnson 19-24-204-1-0 Benny Snell 28-176-6.3-3 C.J Conrad 5-75-15.0-1 Virginia Lamar Jackson 15-26-195-3-0 Lamar Jackson 15-147-9.8-1 Jaylen Smith 5-84-16.8-2 at Vanderbilt Stephen Johnson 13-17-195-0-0 Benny Snell 17-116-6.8-3 Lynn Bowden Jr. 3-79-26.3-0 Syracuse Lamar Jackson 14-26-270-2-0 Malik Williams 9-180-20.0-2 Jaylen Smith 3-95-31.7-1 vs. at Georgia Stephen Johnson 12-22-138-0-0 Benny Snell 22-94-4.3-1 Blake Bone 1-45-45.0-0at Kentucky Louisville

vs.

Lamar Jackson 226-378-3273-23-6 Lamar Jackson 190-1287-6.8-17 Jay Smith 47-798-17.0-5 Stephen Johnson 162-261-1938-10-4 Benny Snell 227-1107-4.9-16 Garrett Johnson 46-500-10.9-2Jawon Pass 23-33-238-2-0 Malik Williams 60-509-8.5-4 Dez Fitzpatrick 43-662-15.4-8 vs. Lynn Bowden Jr 3-4-92-0-1 Stephen Johnson 87-352-4.0-3 C.J Conrad 16-286-17.9-4Reggie Bonnafon 0-1-0-0-0 Reggie Bonnafon 77-383-5.0-5 Seth Dawkins 37-577-15.6-4 Drew Barker 2-4-33-0-0 Sihiem King 70-333-4.8-2 Tavin Richardson 19-241-12.7-1

Category

2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Louisville 11 -27 38 26 46-280

Kentucky - 73 41 24 43-229 22015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Louisville - -5.5 38 20 40-314

Kentucky - 51.5 24 14 37-92 12014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Louisville 24 -13 44 22 39-83

Kentucky - 52 40 14 41-151 22013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Louisville 7 -14 27 22 41-242

Kentucky - 60.5 13 17 31-162 -22012 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's

Louisville 25 -14 32 26 46-219

Kentucky - 43 14 24 19-93 -2

Game Grade

0.63

Louisville LB'S

Kentucky RB's

35-51-280

22-26-247 Kentucky 60By 4.13 Points

Louisville by 17

POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:Team Schedule Strength Louisville Phil Steele

52 Louisville

Computer PointsLouisville 39-29

Kentucky Pts

Kentucky 20

3.29

Experience RankingsLouisville

39 points Louisville

1.86Las Vegas Line

Louisville By 10

Phil's Forecast:

Louisville had won 5 in a row in the series and last year were a 4 td favorite at home, but Kentucky upset them 41-38 with 7 lead changes and no team leading by more than 7 during the game. Tied 38-38 UK forced a fumble at the UK10 (UL 1st&G w/1:45 left) & 7pl later nailed a 47 yd GW FG w/:12. In ‘15 here, it was tied 24-24 4Q, but UL won 38-24. Kentucky has been outgained in every FBS game this year with the exception of Vanderbilt and are -61 ypg despite being 7-4. Louisville is +169 ypg with the same 7-4 record. When Louisville wins, they tend to win big as Petrino likes to press when he has an advantage. In the Cards 16 wins the last two years, 13 are by double-digits.

Kentucky ST's

68 Points0.73Las Vegas Total

+/- Ratings

Kentucky LeadersLouisville DB's

0.69

Kentucky QB/WR

Team & Margin

Louisville By 8.5

Louisville By 14.9

Louisville 558-374

Louisville DL

at South CarolinaRush Off FloridaPass Off

Kentucky Wildcats7-4 7-4OVERALL:

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

Ken

tuck

y W

ildca

ts

Net Offense

2017 TEAM RANKINGS at Southern Miss

Kentucky OL0.35

1.15

Louisville RB's

Total TO's

Receiving

Louisville KentuckyRushing

2.38

4-4TM REC

Ypg Diff

Offense Defense

Lou

isvi

lle C

ard

inal

s

Eastern Michiganat NC State Total Off

† Purdueat North Carolina

Louisville Kentucky

Kentucky LB's

1.61

Louisville OL

Kentucky DL

Louisville QB/WR

Kentucky DB's

Defense

Score Score

Eastern Kentucky Clemson

Net

Score Def at GeorgiaSks By Louisville

Kent St Murray St

Missouri Boston College

Virginia Total Def at Vanderbilt

FOE FOE

AP TEAMFOE TM CONF

FOE CONF

FOE

Wildcats LogsAP TEAM --PS RANK-- --PS RANK--

vs. SEC

OVERALL:Louisville CardinalsCardinals Logs vs. ACC

FOE RECNCAA RANKINGS

at Kentucky

TM CONF

FOE CONF TM +/- FOE +/-

Louisville Leaders

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

16-28-250

Comp-Att-Yds

Projected Passing

Projected Yardage Total

Syracuse

558 yards Louisville

TM REC FOE REC

17-29-352

Comp-Att-Yds

10-26-175

9-26-199

Comp-Att-Yds

16-25-281

Comp-Att-Yds

22-35-389

14-29-176

17-37-214

Comp-Att-Yds

Kentucky 374 yards Kentucky Coaches

Louisville ST's

Kentucky K

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders

Score Off Byeat Florida St Sks Allowed at Miss Stat Wake Forest Rush Def Tennessee Bye Pass Def Mississippi

Ret

urn

to

Tab

le o

f C

onte

nts

Projected Box Score

315 yards Louisville Coaches

Projected Rushing Louisville K

243 yards Louisville Kentucky 163 yards

Louisville Pts

Passing

TM +/- FOE +/-4-4

Louisville Kentucky 211 yards

Projected Final Score

1.30

Computer YardsKentucky 29 points 7.42

Louisville 44 Kentucky 27

63

Page 32: Phil Steele’s Inside the Pressboxplus.philsteele.com/inside_the_pressbox/2017/College/...Phil Steele’s Inside the Pressbox WK 13 UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK *this is a Best Bet H Utah

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 125 113 15 9/2 31-10 W 9 7 58 49 61 85 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 123 122 25 9/4 41-42 L 57 56 105 45 23 51-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 126 134 15 24 9/9 20-19 W 11 16 58 7 24 49 0-1 0-0 123 9/9 37-10 W 38 56 1052-0 0-0 129 13 9/16 42-14 W 16 7 32 1-1 0-0 123 9/16 32 54 1183-0 3-0 0-0 1-0 127 130 11 17 9/23 31-3 W 19 7 58 20 19 69 #10 #4 1-1 1-2 0-0 0-0 123 116 9/23 35-17 W 26 55 125 55 68 394-0 3-1 1-0 0-1 131 119 7 9/30 41-0 W 16 4 41 37 43 3 #113 #129 2-1 1-3 1-0 0-2 124 118 9/30 33-7 W 26 47 129 52 40 425-0 3-2 2-0 0-2 135 120 5 10/7 45-14 W 17 4 45 86 31 96 #40 #58 3-1 2-0 127 10/7 28 40 1236-0 1-4 3-0 0-3 139 106 4 10/14 53-28 W 18 4 22 22 83 36 #23 #54 3-1 4-0 2-0 2-0 127 136 11 10/14 24-25 L 25 36 129 7 15 157-0 4-0 137 3 10/21 8 8 14 #21 #32 3-2 4-2 2-1 1-2 129 125 10/21 38-24 W 34 36 119 71 43 697-0 3-3 4-0 3-2 137 122 3 10/28 42-7 W 8 8 10 46 26 34 #6 #41 4-2 6-1 3-1 4-1 130 136 7 10/28 10-24 L 33 37 102 15 2 1128-0 6-2 5-0 4-2 140 121 2 11/4 24-10 W 7 6 14 61 25 48 #10 #33 4-3 5-3 3-2 2-2 129 112 11/4 36-40 L 41 39 79 89 35 889-0 7-2 6-0 5-1 139 134 2 10 11/11 17-40 L 6 7 14 13 9 60 #5 #29 4-4 7-2 3-3 3-2 125 129 17 11/11 28-22 W 52 35 97 41 13 69-1 7-3 6-1 4-3 134 116 7 11/18 42-13 W 9 14 13 64 50 18 #4 #53 5-4 4-6 4-3 1-5 127 116 11/18 20-43 L 52 34 108 82 31 11910-1 5-5 7-1 4-4 135 122 7 11/25 7 14 11 49 46 105 #61 #96 5-5 10-1 4-4 7-1 122 135 7 11/25 49 46 105 7 14 11

#9 #38+2 -4

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

Appalachian St 31-10 84 6 -2 18 44-221 5.0 11-20 147 1 12 32-136 4.3 21-32 148 1 † Tennessee 41-42 286 15 -2 33 86-535 6.2 5-10 120 0 18 22-148 6.7 20-37 221 0at Notre Dame 20-19 61 -2 0 16 43-185 4.3 16-29 141 2 18 37-55 1.5 20-40 210 3 Jacksonville St 37-10 133 3 3 17 49-210 4.3 5-7 112 2 14 38-116 3.1 8-14 73 5 Samford 42-14 210 6 0 22 54-284 5.3 9-15 175 0 16 23-22 1.0 26-35 227 3 Bye Miss St 31-3 124 0 1 15 42-203 4.8 9-12 201 0 15 37-177 4.8 15-33 103 0 Pittsburgh 35-17 249 14 -3 25 67-436 6.5 4-7 48 0 11 20-37 1.9 22-35 198 3at Tennessee 41-0 236 13 3 20 55-294 5.3 7-17 84 2 7 29-62 2.1 11-23 80 3 North Carolina 33-7 209 11 0 22 66-403 6.1 5-10 53 3 11 26-106 4.1 18-32 141 2at Vanderbilt 45-14 313 16 -1 27 54-423 7.8 10-14 126 2 11 22-64 2.9 17-31 172 0 Bye Missouri 53-28 384 14 0 24 51-370 7.3 18-26 326 1 10 24-59 2.5 15-25 253 0 at Miami, Fl 24-25 -200 -8 -1 16 53-226 4.3 3-8 55 2 24 36-184 5.1 23-38 297 3 Bye Wake Forest 38-24 133 9 1 29 66-427 6.5 5-11 68 3 20 31-110 3.5 17-30 252 1† Florida 42-7 144 -1 1 14 35-292 8.3 4-7 101 0 15 41-183 4.5 10-25 66 5 at Clemson 10-24 -198 -11 0 10 43-198 4.6 3-13 32 1 21 45-221 4.9 22-33 207 0 South Carolina 24-10 168 12 1 26 53-242 4.6 16-22 196 1 14 17-43 2.5 21-36 227 2 at Virginia 36-40 42 1 0 16 52-220 4.2 6-22 179 5 15 25-97 3.9 21-43 260 0at Auburn 17-40 -258 -12 -1 13 32-46 1.4 13-29 184 4 25 46-237 5.2 17-25 251 2 Virginia Tech 28-22 143 5 -1 19 57-261 4.6 2-8 140 0 14 36-105 2.9 14-26 153 2 Kentucky 42-13 242 8 0 25 44-381 8.7 9-14 123 1 17 37-124 3.4 12-23 138 3 at Duke 20-43 -141 -15 -1 15 47-277 5.9 3-14 82 0 30 51-319 6.3 19-28 181 1at Georgia Tech Georgia

Average 35-14 155.3 5.5 0.2 20 46-267 5.8 59.5% 164 6.8% 15 31-106 3.4 56.4% 170 6.7% Average 30-25 65.6 2.4 -0.4 20 59-319 5.4 37.3% 89 14.5% 18 33-144 4.4 58.2% 198 5.4% Conference 37-14 169.1 6.3 0.5 21 46-281 6.2 61.0% 168 7.8% 14 32-119 3.8 53.4% 161 6.8% Conference 28-25 29.6 0.8 -0.6 19 56-306 5.4 33.3% 82 15.1% 18 34-147 4.4 58.9% 211 4.5% Away 33-16 99.2 2.8 0.4 18 44-248 5.7 52.1% 127 10.4% 15 35-120 3.4 52.1% 156 9.0% Home 34-16 154.5 7.0 0.8 22 60-325 5.5 47.2% 93 22.2% 15 33-109 3.3 55.9% 155 9.8%

Appalachian St Jake Fromm 10-15-143-1-0 Nick Chubb 15-96-6.4-2 Javon Wims 3-81-27.0-1 † Tennessee TaQuan Marshall 5-9-120-0-0 TaQuan Marshall 44-249-5.7-5 Ricky Jeune 2-55-27.5-0at Notre Dame Jake Fromm 16-29-141-1-1 Sony Michel 13-73-5.6-1 Terry Godwin 2-36-18.0-1 Jacksonville St TaQuan Marshall 5-7-112-3-0 Jerry Howard 6-82-13.7-1 Ricky Jeune 2-50-25.0-2 Samford Jake Fromm 8-13-165-3-0 Nick Chubb 16-131-8.2-2 Terry Godwin 4-98-24.5-2 vs. Bye Team 0-0-0-0-0 Team 0-0-0.0-0 Ricky Jeune 0-0-0.0-0 Miss St Jake Fromm 9-12-201-2-0 Nick Chubb 15-81-5.4-2 Terry Godwin 2-80-40.0-1 Pittsburgh TaQuan Marshall 4-7-48-0-0 KirVante Benson 29-196-6.8-2 Ricky Jeune 2-29-14.5-0at Tennessee Jake Fromm 7-15-84-1-1 Nick Chubb 16-109-6.8-0 Terry Godwin 2-43-21.5-0 North Carolina TaQuan Marshall 5-10-53-1-0 TaQuan Marshall 27-137-5.1-1 Ricky Jeune 4-37-9.3-1at Vanderbilt Jake Fromm 7-11-102-2-0 Sony Michel 12-150-12.5-1 Terry Godwin 2-70-35.0-1 vs. Bye Missouri Jake Fromm 18-26-326-2-1 D'Andre Swift 6-94-15.7-0 Javon Wims 5-95-19.0-0 at Miami, Fl TaQuan Marshall 3-7-55-1-0 Clinton Lynch 5-71-14.2-0 Ricky Jeune 2-52-26.0-0 Bye Wake Forest TaQuan Marshall 5-11-68-0-0 TaQuan Marshall 23-163-7.1-2 Ricky Jeune 3-44-14.7-0† Florida Jake Fromm 4-7-101-1-1 Sony Michel 6-137-22.8-2 D'Andre Swift 3-84-28.0-0 vs. at Clemson TaQuan Marshall 3-13-32-0-0 KirVante Benson 16-129-8.1-0 Ricky Jeune 2-17-8.5-0 South Carolina Jake Fromm 16-22-196-2-0 Nick Chubb 20-102-5.1-0 Terry Godwin 3-53-17.7-0 at Virginia TaQuan Marshall 6-22-179-1-2 TaQuan Marshall 29-143-4.9-2 Ricky Jeune 3-96-32.0-1at Auburn Jake Fromm 13-28-184-1-0 Nick Chubb 11-27-2.5-1 Javon Wims 3-96-32.0-0 Virginia Tech TaQuan Marshall 2-8-140-2-1 KirVante Benson 22-86-3.9-0 Ricky Jeune 1-80-80.0-1 Kentucky Jake Fromm 9-14-123-1-1 Nick Chubb 15-151-10.1-2 Javon Wims 6-83-13.8-1 vs. at Duke TaQuan Marshall 3-13-82-1-1 TaQuan Marshall 20-140-7.0-1 Ricky Jeune 2-47-23.5-0at Georgia Tech Georgia

vs.

Jake Fromm 117-192-1766-17-5 Nick Chubb 166-1045-6.3-12 Javon Wims 33-554-16.8-5 TaQuan Marshall 41-107-889-9-4 TaQuan Marshall 230-1074-4.7-17 Ricky Jeune 23-507-22.0-5Jacob Eason 4-7-28-0-0 Sony Michel 111-818-7.4-12 Terry Godwin 24-492-20.5-5 vs. Matthew Jordan 0-1-0.1-0-0 KirVante Benson 192-1009-5.3-6 Qua Searcy 4-130-32.5-1Brice Ramsey 1-4-10-0-2 D'Andre Swift 62-472-7.6-1 Mecole Hardman 15-205-13.7-3 Pressley Harvin III 0-1-0.01-0-0 Nathan Cottrell 28-228-8.1-0 Brad Stewart 4-99-24.8-1

Category

2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.

Georgia - -4.5 27 22 42-263

Georgia Tech - 50 28 15 42-226 0

2015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.

Georgia - -4 13 16 34-178

Georgia Tech - 48 7 17 41-194 -3

2014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.

Georgia 8 -11 24 21 39-194

Georgia Tech 16 66.5 30 32 70-399 1

2013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.

Georgia - -3 41 25 37-138

Georgia Tech - 58 34 25 58-263 -1

2012 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's

Georgia 3 -15 42 18 31-164

Georgia Tech - 63.5 10 26 67-306 -2

Phil SteeleGeorgia by 18

Georgia 34 Georgia Tech16By 8.55 Points

Georgia

Georgia 366-349

POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: Georgia 32-21

51.5 Points1.01

Georgia Tech K+/- Ratings

Georgia Coaches

1.30

Georgia By 9.0

Georgia By 4.1Game Grade

Georgia Tech Coaches

10-21-120

14-18-215

Phil's Forecast:

Las Vegas Line Georgia is on their 3rd road game in 4 weeks and does not lose to GT often, but are 3-0 the next season after losing their rival since 2001. Last year was a tough loss for the Bulldogs as Georgia led 27-14 with 9:51 left, but gave up a TD with :30 left and lost 28-27. The last 4 meetings in this rivalry have been decided by 1, 6, and twice in OT so at the end of regulation the difference has been 2 ppg. The visitor is 16-2-1 ATS vs the Vegas line. Georgia has a huge SEC Title game on deck, but still hold playoff hopes as well, but might not get to the playoffs if they lose a second game. Duke just ran the ball for 319 yards and 6.3 ypc vs Georgia Tech and Georgia has a deep backfield that averages 267 ypg rush and 5.8 ypc. GT has taken on two playoff contenders this year and while they only lost to Miami Florida by 1 they were outgained by 200 yds and Clemson dominated leading 24-3 and pulling their QB and GT got a garbage TD at the end to only lose by 14. This is "Good Old Fashioned Hate" this week and Georgia is playing with legitimate revenge. That Clemson game was at home for GT and they had a banged-up QB so Georgia is capable of coming in here and getting a solid road win as they are just as good as Clemson.

Georgia Tech ST's Georgia By 11

Georgia K

Georgia ST's

Las Vegas Total

Georgia Tech Leaders

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) Team & Margin

0.82

Georgia DB's

Georgia Tech QB/WR

Ret

urn

to

Tab

le o

f C

onte

nts

Projected Box Score2.43

Projected Yardage Total366 yards Georgia Georgia Tech 349 yards

Projected Final Score

Georgia Tech Pts

9.85

Georgia Pts

1.30Computer Yards

Computer Points

TEAM --PS RANK--

Georgia LB'S

Georgia Tech RB's

2.22

Georgia RB's

Georgia Tech LB's

1.27

Georgia OL

Georgia Tech DL

Receiving

Georgia Georgia TechRushing

0.76

Georgia QB/WR

Georgia Tech DB's

0.54

Georgia DL

Georgia Tech OL

0.80

Bye

at ClemsonPass Def at Virginia

Total Def Virginia Tech

vs. ACC Yellow Jackets Logs

Defense

Score Score

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing

FOE

FOE FOENCAA RANKINGSTEAM --PS RANK--APTM

CONFFOE

CONF TM +/-TM CONF

FOE CONF TM +/- FOE +/- FOE +/-

7-1 4-4TM REC FOE

RECAP

5-5Bulldogs Logs

Georgia Bulldogs OVERALL:

Georgia Tech 14

Team Schedule Strength47 Georgia

75 yards

32 points Georgia Georgia Tech 21 points

Experience Rankings12 Georgia Georgia Tech

Georgia Tech 274 yards

Projected Passing132 yards Georgia Georgia Tech

65

234 yards Georgia

Projected Rushing

at Notre Dame

14-28-139

6-10-164

TM REC FOE REC

Appalachian St 2017 TEAM RANKINGS † Tennessee

vs. SEC

Rush Off Pittsburghat Tennessee Pass Off North Carolinaat Vanderbilt Total Off Bye Missouri Score Off at Miami, Fl Bye Sks Allowed Wake Forest

OVERALL: Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets10-1

Georgia Georgia Tech Jacksonville St

Samford

South Carolina

Score Def at Dukeat Georgia Tech Sks By Georgia Kentucky

Geo

rgia

Tec

h Y

ello

w J

acke

ts

Net Offense

Total TO'sYpg Diff

at Auburn

† Florida Rush Def

Offense Defense

Geo

rgia

Bu

lldog

s

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

Net

Comp-Att-Yds

18-25-224

6-18-82

Comp-Att-Yds

FOE

Georgia Leaders

18-28-194

6-16-64

11-24-232

Comp-Att-Yds

Comp-Att-Yds

22-36-299

Miss St

Comp-Att-Yds

Page 33: Phil Steele’s Inside the Pressboxplus.philsteele.com/inside_the_pressbox/2017/College/...Phil Steele’s Inside the Pressbox WK 13 UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK *this is a Best Bet H Utah

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 137 101 6 9/2 52-0 W 4 18 8 89 83 94 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 106 118 23 9/2 51-41 W 58 39 35 12 13 201-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 139 120 4 9/9 33-14 W 4 12 8 37 71 28 1-0 0-0 112 9/9 63-17 W 45 40 352-0 0-1 0-0 0-0 139 93 5 9/16 56-0 W 6 9 3 126 118 104 2-0 0-0 116 9/16 25 44 693-0 3-0 0-0 0-0 140 122 4 9/23 21-19 W 8 8 7 58 29 13 #75 #63 2-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 116 113 9/23 10-38 L 15 48 57 46 67 444-0 2-1 1-0 0-1 138 119 4 9/30 45-14 W 9 10 8 92 48 12 #24 #115 2-1 3-0 0-0 0-0 111 125 9/30 31-24 W 43 49 50 74 32 65-0 2-2 2-0 0-1 139 125 4 10/7 31-7 W 15 9 12 47 34 85 #31 #119 3-1 4-1 1-0 2-0 116 136 10 10/7 14-62 L 40 53 48 3 6 306-0 3-0 141 3 10/14 16 7 2 #11 #84 3-2 2-3 1-1 0-2 112 123 10/14 21-37 L 57 58 66 52 29 746-0 5-1 3-0 2-1 141 127 2 19 10/21 42-13 W 16 4 5 41 2 22 #97 #101 3-3 6-0 1-2 3-0 111 134 10/21 13-38 L 68 61 76 20 10 667-0 6-1 4-0 4-0 143 144 2 6 10/28 38-39 L 14 4 4 2 5 47 #18 #83 3-4 3-4 1-3 0-4 111 119 10/28 42-39 W 84 72 54 97 38 157-1 6-2 4-1 4-1 143 123 7 24 11/4 24-27 L 17 11 9 39 19 110 #52 #77 4-4 3-5 2-3 2-3 113 111 11/4 24-31 L 82 74 36 99 77 547-2 4-5 4-2 3-3 138 112 16 11/11 35-6 W 18 12 10 98 76 44 #24 #75 4-5 7-2 2-4 4-2 112 127 21 11/11 10-35 L 89 75 40 36 2 618-2 4-6 5-2 3-4 138 111 13 11/18 56-44 W 20 13 22 69 73 40 #8 #108 4-6 7-3 2-5 5-2 110 124 22 11/18 7-17 L 91 76 66 51 19 1009-2 4-7 6-2 2-6 135 111 12 11/25 17 16 26 98 74 79 #10 #108 4-7 9-2 2-6 6-2 111 135 12 11/25 98 74 79 17 16 26

#18 #111+12 +4

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

Akron 52-0 410 12 0 24 34-247 7.3 21-31 322 0 12 34-73 2.1 14-29 86 3 at Texas 51-41 9 -8 1 18 43-263 6.1 12-15 219 1 26 31-98 3.2 34-53 375 5 Pittsburgh 33-14 -30 -10 2 14 24-148 6.2 15-28 164 1 24 45-155 3.4 24-41 187 5 Towson 63-17 225 6 2 23 36-367 10.2 14-18 167 2 17 36-99 2.8 21-36 210 4 Georgia St 56-0 206 -2 5 19 24-166 6.9 21-29 360 1 21 49-150 3.1 18-32 170 3 Byeat Iowa 21-19 306 18 -1 29 51-295 5.8 31-48 284 4 11 23-82 3.6 13-22 191 1 UCF 10-38 -231 0 -2 18 37-42 1.1 17-28 155 5 18 39-250 6.4 18-30 178 0 Indiana 45-14 18 1 3 20 37-39 1.1 24-37 331 5 19 47-177 3.8 15-32 175 1 at Minnesota 31-24 107 5 2 23 47-262 5.6 18-28 154 0 18 31-80 2.6 13-26 229 0at Northwestern 31-7 116 8 3 23 38-95 2.5 29-41 286 5 15 30-67 2.2 23-43 198 4 at Ohio St 14-62 -518 -27 0 6 42-50 1.2 3-13 16 5 33 50-281 5.6 23-36 303 0 Bye Northwestern 21-37 -191 -11 2 19 31-85 2.7 17-38 255 2 30 44-238 5.4 27-49 293 1 Michigan 42-13 237 9 0 25 35-224 6.4 17-26 282 2 16 42-103 2.5 16-28 166 7 at Wisconsin 13-38 -172 -5 0 18 35-143 4.1 13-30 125 2 23 41-215 5.2 16-24 225 0at Ohio St 38-39 -246 -10 2 17 35-91 2.6 17-29 192 2 27 39-201 5.2 33-39 328 2 Indiana 42-39 -138 -17 0 18 40-174 4.4 10-16 171 3 35 35-73 2.1 43-62 410 5at Michigan St 24-27 -8 -3 -2 22 21-65 3.1 27-48 401 3 25 24-74 3.1 33-56 400 2 at Rutgers 24-31 39 -1 1 20 37-167 4.5 19-32 218 4 21 46-239 5.2 8-18 107 0 Rutgers 35-6 104 8 1 18 31-90 2.9 16-21 214 2 10 39-157 4.0 7-20 43 1 Michigan 10-35 35 -1 -2 15 32-180 5.6 18-38 160 1 16 38-160 4.2 9-18 145 0 Nebraska 56-44 143 11 -1 32 35-263 7.5 26-39 346 2 21 26-67 2.6 26-41 399 4 at Michigan St 7-17 -87 -7 0 12 31-83 2.7 13-25 121 3 19 51-271 5.3 2-14 20 0at Maryland Penn St

Average 39-17 114.2 3.8 1.1 22 33-157 4.7 64.7% 289 7.2% 18 36-119 3.3 58.0% 213 8.6% Average 26-34 -83.8 -6.0 0.4 17 37-165 4.4 54.8% 160 10.0% 23 40-182 4.5 58.5% 227 4.1% Conference 37-21 83.8 5.3 0.6 23 35-145 4.1 64.7% 292 8.7% 18 34-116 3.4 59.1% 238 7.8% Conference 20-35 -115.6 -8.0 0.4 16 37-143 3.9 50.5% 153 9.1% 24 42-195 4.6 57.1% 217 2.4% Away 29-23 42.0 3.3 0.5 23 36-137 3.8 62.7% 291 8.4% 20 29-106 3.7 63.8% 279 5.6% Home 29-33 -60.0 -4.6 0.0 19 35-170 4.8 55.1% 182 9.4% 23 38-164 4.3 60.5% 247 5.1%

Akron Trace McSorley 18-25-280-2-1 Saquon Barkley 14-172-12.3-2 Juwan Johnson 4-84-21.0-0 at Texas Tyrrell Pigrome 9-12-175-2-1 Ty Johnson 12-132-11.0-1 DJ Moore 7-133-19.0-1 Pittsburgh Trace McSorley 15-28-164-3-1 Saquon Barkley 14-88-6.3-1 Saquon Barkley 4-45-11.3-1 Towson Kasim Hill 13-16-163-2-0 Ty Johnson 5-124-24.8-2 DJ Moore 7-97-13.9-2 Georgia St Trace McSorley 18-23-309-4-0 Saquon Barkley 10-47-4.7-0 Saquon Barkley 4-142-35.5-1 vs. Byeat Iowa Trace McSorley 31-48-284-1-1 Saquon Barkley 28-211-7.5-1 Saquon Barkley 12-94-7.8-0 UCF Max Bortenschlager 15-26-132-1-2 Lorenzo Harrison 10-48-4.8-0 DJ Moore 8-83-10.4-1 Indiana Trace McSorley 23-36-315-2-1 Saquon Barkley 20-56-2.8-0 DaeSean Hamilton 9-122-13.6-3 at Minnesota Max Bortenschlager 18-28-154-2-0 Ty Johnson 18-130-7.2-1 DJ Moore 8-90-11.3-1at Northwestern Trace McSorley 25-34-245-1-0 Saquon Barkley 16-75-4.7-2 Saeed Blacknall 4-74-18.5-0 vs. at Ohio St Max Bortenschlager 3-12-16-0-0 Ty Johnson 12-57-4.8-0 DJ Moore 2-11-5.5-0 Bye Northwestern Max Bortenschlager 17-38-255-3-0 Max Bortenschlager 12-34-2.8-0 DJ Moore 12-210-17.5-2 Michigan Trace McSorley 17-26-282-1-1 Saquon Barkley 15-108-7.2-2 DaeSean Hamilton 6-115-19.2-0 at Wisconsin Max Bortenschlager 13-30-125-1-1 Ty Johnson 16-83-5.2-0 Taivon Jacobs 5-45-9.0-1at Ohio St Trace McSorley 17-29-192-2-0 Trace McSorley 13-49-3.8-1 Mike Gesicki 6-57-9.5-0 vs. Indiana Max Bortenschlager 10-16-171-2-1 Ty Johnson 13-91-7.0-0 DJ Moore 4-77-19.3-1at Michigan St Trace McSorley 26-47-381-3-3 Saquon Barkley 14-63-4.5-0 DaeSean Hamilton 7-112-16.0-1 at Rutgers Max Bortenschlager 11-20-150-1-1 Lorenzo Harrison 15-61-4.1-1 Taivon Jacobs 7-97-13.9-0 Rutgers Trace McSorley 16-21-214-2-0 Trace McSorley 13-44-3.4-1 Juwan Johnson 5-78-15.6-0 Michigan Ryan Brand 16-35-136-1-2 Lorenzo Harrison 12-81-6.8-0 Taivon Jacobs 8-92-11.5-1 Nebraska Trace McSorley 24-36-325-3-0 Saquon Barkley 17-158-9.3-3 Juwan Johnson 5-105-21.0-0 vs. at Michigan St Max Bortenschlager 13-25-121-0-0 Lorenzo Harrison 13-50-3.8-1 DJ Moore 8-76-9.5-0at Maryland Penn St

vs.

Trace McSorley 230-353-2991-24-8 Saquon Barkley 183-1057-5.8-14 DaeSean Hamilton 43-688-16.0-7 Max Bortenschlager101-197-1128-10-5 Ty Johnson 129-805-6.2-5 DJ Moore 72-933-13.0-8Tommy Stevens 11-20-147-2-0 Trace McSorley 125-395-3.2-10 Saquon Barkley 46-590-12.8-3 vs. Kasim Hill 18-21-230-2-0 Lorenzo Harrison 130-562-4.3-3 Taivon Jacobs 43-520-12.1-5Saquon Barkley 2-2-36-1-0 Miles Sanders 18-134-7.4-1 Juwan Johnson 42-572-13.6-1 Ryan Brand 24-47-204-1-2 Jake Funk 26-145-5.6-4 Jahrvis Davenport 9-102-11.3-0

Category

2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.

Penn St - 55.5 38 28 62-372

Maryland - E 14 11 38-170 -1

2015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.

Penn St - -5 31 16 31-48

Maryland - 47 30 21 48-241 -2

2014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.

Penn St - -3.5 19 16 41-42

Maryland - 47.5 20 15 30-33 2

vs.

Ret

urn

to

Tab

le o

f C

onte

nts

Comp-Att-Yds

10-19-152

10-16-100

Comp-Att-Yds

13-30-315

19-28-225

Comp-Att-Yds

18-42-177

Penn St Phil SteelePenn St by 31

By 11.27 Points Penn St 48 Maryland 17

Computer YardsPenn St 458-33311.64

Penn St Pts

0.38

Maryland PtsComputer Points

POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: Penn St 45-21

Maryland K+/- Ratings

Penn St Coaches

1.65Game Grade

Maryland Coaches

Las Vegas Total

Maryland Leaders

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)2.13

Penn St ST's Team & Margin

Penn St LeadersMaryland QB/WR

Projected Box Score

1.09

Experience Rankings

287 yards Penn St

458 yards Penn St Maryland 333 yards

Maryland

171 yards Penn St Maryland

Penn St By 20.8

Penn St By 18.2

TM CONF

at Iowa Rush Off UCF

1.19

Penn St DL

Maryland OL

1.52

Penn St LB'S

Maryland RB'sPenn St DB's

1.05

Penn St RB's

Maryland LB's

1.30

Penn St OL

Maryland DL

Pass Def at RutgersTotal Def Michigan

Nebraska Score Def at Michigan Stat Maryland Sks By Penn St

Net

4-7OVERALL: OVERALL:

vs. BIG 10

Passing Receiving

Penn St MarylandRushing

1.71

Penn St QB/WR

Maryland DB's

FOE CONF

Defense

Score

Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders

TM +/-FOE

FOE

AP TEAM --PS RANK--

NCAA RANKINGSFOE REC

Nittany Lions Logs6-2 2-6

TM RECTM CONF

FOE CONF TM +/- FOE +/- FOE +/-

Terrapins LogsAP TEAM --PS RANK--

Penn St Nittany Lionsvs. BIG 10

Maryland Terrapins9-2

Maryland 2

11 Penn St

Team Schedule Strength

Projected Yardage Total188 yards

Projected Passing

Projected Rushing

FOE

FOE

Maryland

Projected Final Score45 points Penn St Maryland 21 points

96

Score

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving

145 yards

32 Penn St

Phil's Forecast:

Las Vegas LinePenn St is 37-2-1 in the series with their only losses in 1961 and 2014. Last year Penn St only led 17-14, but got a TD with :15 left in the half and won at home 38-14. This is Penn State's first trip to College Park since 1993 as they had a neutral site game in ‘15. Penn St is just a few points away from contending for the playoffs as they lost by 1 to Ohio St and by 3 to Mich St both times blowing late leads. Penn St is +84 ypg in B10 play and Maryland is -84 ypg. Maryalnd's offense is geared to a mobile running QB as both Tyrrell Pigrome and Kasim Hill were before being OFY. The Terps averaged 508 ypg and 57 ppg in the first two including a trip to Texas. Since both were lost they have averaged just 284 ypg and 19.1 ppg! Their defense is not bad allowing foes 27 ypg above their season average, but has allowed six teams 200 or more on the ground and in B10 play allow 195 (4.6) rush. With no Big Ten Title game on deck look for Saquon Barkley to try and impress Heisman voters and for that Penn St defense not to allow 21 garbage points at the end of the game like they did vs Nebraska. I also expect a decent amount of Penn St fans to make the trip here.

Maryland ST's Penn St By 22

Penn St K

58 Points0.38

Offense

Total TO'sYpg Diff

Indiana Pass Off at Minnesotaat Northwestern Total Off at Ohio St Bye Score Off Northwestern Michigan Sks Allowed at Wisconsinat Ohio St Rush Def Indianaat Michigan St

Akron

Net Offense Defense

Pen

n S

t N

itta

ny

Lion

s

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

Mar

ylan

d T

erra

pin

s

TM REC FOE REC

2017 TEAM RANKINGS at Texas Pittsburgh

Penn St Maryland Towson

Georgia St Bye

18-38-161

Rutgers

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TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 124 108 9/2 31-20 W 24 26 115 90 108 109 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 104 101 9/2 24-21 W 88 107 99 105 128 591-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 123 123 9/9 17-41 L 26 28 115 51 51 110 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 104 121 9/9 20-7 W 96 93 99 78 74 21-1 0-2 0-0 0-0 119 100 9/16 49-7 W 39 31 74 105 121 43 2-0 2-0 0-0 0-0 109 121 22 9/15 23-47 L 102 65 68 44 37 862-1 0-0 123 9/23 35 35 82 #86 #122 2-1 0-0 107 9/23 104 77 842-1 3-0 0-0 0-0 123 138 10 9/30 24-33 L 35 34 77 17 13 55 #46 #105 2-1 2-2 0-0 1-0 107 113 9/29 6-28 L 112 78 74 79 39 302-2 5-0 0-1 2-0 125 139 4 10/7 7-31 L 47 34 85 15 9 12 #65 #126 2-2 3-2 0-1 0-2 104 121 10/7 16-45 L 115 83 91 77 32 182-3 3-2 0-2 1-1 123 112 10/14 37-21 W 52 29 74 57 58 66 #68 #125 2-3 1-4 0-2 0-2 103 104 10/14 24-35 L 113 84 54 98 67 493-3 4-2 1-2 1-2 124 122 10/21 17-10 W 46 31 60 79 37 20 #97 #127 2-4 3-3 0-3 0-3 100 118 10/21 17-24 L 111 91 59 105 49 244-3 6-1 2-2 4-0 124 124 16 10/28 39-31 W 58 27 97 48 16 124 #10 #113 2-5 7-0 0-4 4-0 102 134 5 10/28 10-24 L 113 86 110 20 11 675-3 4-4 3-2 3-2 125 115 11/4 31-24 W 49 31 46 54 61 27 #109 #40 2-6 3-5 0-5 1-4 105 116 11/4 10-29 L 117 83 58 77 63 816-3 4-5 4-2 2-4 125 117 11/11 23-13 W 49 29 59 70 54 71 #46 #84 2-7 3-6 0-6 0-6 104 114 11/11 14-24 L 121 85 63 103 45 497-3 5-5 5-2 2-5 125 118 11/18 39-0 W 45 30 48 111 58 44 #30 #88 2-8 8-2 0-7 6-1 104 143 8 11/18 14-52 L 121 82 59 1 9 478-3 2-9 6-2 0-8 129 104 23 11/25 44 25 39 123 81 67 #34 #96 2-9 8-3 0-8 6-2 104 129 23 11/25 123 81 67 44 25 39

#56 #125+3 -5

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

Nevada 31-20 167 8 0 27 50-156 3.1 28-38 352 1 19 26-142 5.5 16-37 199 0 Ball St 24-21 -159 -7 1 14 30-71 2.4 10-19 145 4 21 51-171 3.4 21-34 204 3at Duke 17-41 -347 -19 -1 15 21-22 1.0 14-33 169 4 34 59-233 3.9 29-45 305 1 WKU 20-7 56 5 1 19 50-193 3.9 14-25 107 1 14 16-6 0.4 28-43 238 2 Bowling Green 49-7 326 9 -1 30 43-303 7.0 24-31 375 2 21 30-96 3.2 27-44 256 3 at USF 23-47 -326 -23 -2 15 15-67 4.5 20-40 287 2 38 66-376 5.7 17-32 304 3 Bye Byeat Wisconsin 24-33 -62 7 1 20 34-25 0.7 29-45 219 8 13 37-109 2.9 11-20 197 2 Nebraska 6-28 -212 -8 0 15 37-93 2.5 10-16 106 5 23 38-165 4.3 17-24 246 2 Penn St 7-31 -116 -8 -3 15 30-67 2.2 23-43 198 4 23 38-95 2.5 29-41 286 5 at Iowa 16-45 5 0 -2 20 30-200 6.7 22-45 246 1 20 38-191 5.0 18-34 250 1at Maryland 37-21 191 11 -2 30 44-238 5.4 27-49 293 1 19 31-85 2.7 17-38 255 2 Rutgers 24-35 18 1 0 18 29-86 3.0 20-38 308 2 17 47-274 5.8 6-12 102 1 Iowa 17-10 27 7 1 21 46-147 3.2 21-36 192 3 14 33-89 2.7 19-33 223 2 at Minnesota 17-24 -57 -7 1 15 36-121 3.4 20-27 161 3 22 55-292 5.3 5-15 47 0 Michigan St 39-31 -108 0 1 28 28-64 2.3 34-50 368 1 28 30-95 3.2 39-57 445 1 Wisconsin 10-24 -17 -2 -2 17 33-134 4.1 9-31 152 5 19 45-168 3.7 10-19 135 1at Nebraska 31-24 138 5 1 26 45-232 5.2 19-35 243 0 21 31-112 3.6 21-38 225 1 at Purdue 10-29 -185 -10 0 15 35-80 2.3 12-27 170 5 25 44-209 4.8 18-28 226 1 Purdue 23-13 -48 0 1 22 38-94 2.5 26-46 296 1 22 22-40 1.8 38-61 398 3 Indiana 14-24 -134 -12 -2 10 30-33 1.1 13-26 261 8 22 42-139 3.3 32-48 289 2 Minnesota 39-0 181 15 5 22 55-277 5.0 9-13 86 2 7 38-139 3.7 2-11 43 6 at Ohio St 14-52 -438 -22 0 5 28-89 3.2 4-14 16 2 27 59-325 5.5 16-29 218 1at Illinois Northwestern

Average 29-21 31.7 3.2 0.3 23 39-148 3.7 60.6% 254 6.4% 20 34-112 3.3 58.4% 257 6.1% Average 16-31 -131.7 -7.7 -0.5 15 32-106 3.3 50.0% 178 12.3% 23 46-211 4.6 59.1% 205 5.3% Conference 27-20 25.4 4.6 0.6 23 40-143 3.6 59.3% 237 6.3% 18 33-96 2.9 58.9% 259 7.4% Conference 14-33 -127.5 -7.5 -0.6 14 32-105 3.2 49.1% 178 13.8% 22 46-220 4.8 58.4% 189 4.3% Away 27-30 -20.0 1.0 -0.3 23 36-129 3.6 54.9% 231 8.0% 22 40-135 3.4 55.3% 246 4.3% Home 16-23 -74.7 -3.8 -0.3 16 35-102 2.9 49.0% 180 16.1% 19 40-154 3.9 63.3% 202 6.1%

Nevada Clayton Thorson 28-38-352-2-1 Justin Jackson 30-109-3.6-0 Bennett Skowronek 8-123-15.4-0 Ball St Chayce Crouch 10-19-145-1-1 Mike Epstein 11-54-4.9-2 Malik Turner 4-48-12.0-0at Duke Clayton Thorson 11-29-120-0-2 Justin Jackson 7-18-2.6-1 Riley Lees 2-31-15.5-1 WKU Chayce Crouch 14-25-107-0-1 Mike Epstein 21-111-5.3-0 Mike Dudek 6-46-7.7-0 Bowling Green Clayton Thorson 23-30-370-2-0 Justin Jackson 18-121-6.7-3 Garrett Dickerson 9-150-16.7-0 vs. at USF Jeff George Jr 12-22-211-1-2 Mike Epstein 8-56-7.0-1 Ricky Smalling 3-99-33.0-0 Bye Byeat Wisconsin Clayton Thorson 29-45-219-3-2 Jeremy Larkin 7-37-5.3-0 Flynn Nagel 5-52-10.4-0 Nebraska Chayce Crouch 9-15-99-0-1 Mike Epstein 10-42-4.2-0 Mike Dudek 2-37-18.5-0 Penn St Clayton Thorson 19-36-142-0-2 Justin Jackson 16-66-4.1-0 Macan Wilson 4-39-9.8-0 vs. at Iowa Jeff George Jr 22-45-246-0-3 Mike Epstein 7-83-11.9-0 Louis Dorsey 3-75-25.0-0at Maryland Clayton Thorson 27-49-293-1-2 Justin Jackson 28-171-6.1-2 Macan Wilson 5-74-14.8-0 Rutgers Jeff George Jr 20-38-308-2-2 RaVon Bonner 19-62-3.3-1 Ricky Smalling 5-111-22.2-1 Iowa Clayton Thorson 21-36-192-0-0 Justin Jackson 25-93-3.7-0 Macan Wilson 5-47-9.4-0 at Minnesota Jeff George Jr 18-23-128-1-0 Cam Thomas 10-79-7.9-0 Ricky Smalling 8-71-8.9-1 Michigan St Clayton Thorson 33-48-356-2-0 Justin Jackson 17-41-2.4-1 Flynn Nagel 8-87-10.9-1 vs. Wisconsin Jeff George Jr 7-20-108-0-0 Cam Thomas 10-78-7.8-0 Malik Turner 2-58-29.0-0at Nebraska Clayton Thorson 19-35-243-0-2 Justin Jackson 31-154-5.0-1 Macan Wilson 5-107-21.4-0 at Purdue Cam Thomas 10-20-159-0-0 Kendrick Foster 17-73-4.3-0 Ricky Smalling 2-46-23.0-0 Purdue Clayton Thorson 26-46-296-1-0 Justin Jackson 25-46-1.8-0 Bennett Skowronek 7-117-16.7-1 Indiana Jeff George Jr 13-26-261-2-2 Kendrick Foster 22-83-3.8-0 Louis Dorsey 3-107-35.7-1 Minnesota Clayton Thorson 9-13-86-3-0 Justin Jackson 31-166-5.4-0 Garrett Dickerson 2-26-13.0-2 vs. at Ohio St Chayce Crouch 4-14-16-0-0 Dre Brown 15-76-5.1-0 Reggie Corbin 2-8-4.0-0at Illinois Northwestern

vs.

Clayton Thorson 245-405-2669-14-11 Justin Jackson 237-1010-4.3-8 Bennett Skowronek 41-567-13.8-5 Jeff George Jr 94-181-1273-7-10 Mike Epstein 57-346-6.1-3 Ricky Smalling 29-495-17.1-2Matt Alviti 7-11-105-1-0 Jeremy Larkin 66-320-4.8-4 Macan Wilson 32-446-13.9-1 vs. Chayce Crouch 45-91-443-1-4 Kendrick Foster 71-262-3.7-1 Louis Dorsey 18-332-18.4-3Justin Jackson 1-1-12-1-0 Corey Acker 4-88-22.0-1 Flynn Nagel 41-442-10.8-2 Cam Thomas 14-35-236-0-3 RaVon Bonner 67-202-3.0-4 Malik Turner 27-289-10.7-0

Category

2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Northwestern - -17 42 22 49-278

Illinois - 46 21 25 26-57 -32015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Northwestern 17 -3.5 24 18 54-204

Illinois - 42 14 16 31-78 12014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Northwestern - -8 33 19 38-154

Illinois - 52 47 23 47-291 42013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Northwestern - -3.5 37 31 51-146

Illinois - 59.5 34 29 32-185 -12012 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's

Northwestern - -20 50 29 67-338

Illinois - 50.5 14 12 27-126 -2

Northwestern by 21 Northwestern 30 Illinois 9By 8.62 Points

Northwestern 29-9

Phil Steele

Computer PointsPOSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:17 Northwestern Illinois 124

Team Schedule Strength Northwestern33 Northwestern Illinois 35

Northwestern 406-299Projected Final Score

8.62

Northwestern Pts

0.00

Illinois Pts29 points Northwestern Illinois

Experience Rankings

406 yards Northwestern Illinois 299 yards Illinois Coaches

Computer Yards9 points

Illinois 228 yards Northwestern Coaches Northwestern By 22.0+/- Ratings

0.70

Northwestern By 14.0Projected Yardage Total

Game Grade

216 yards Northwestern

46 PointsLas Vegas Total

Illinois 72 yards 0.07

Projected Passing Illinois K

Phil's Forecast:

Comp-Att-Yds Las Vegas Line

Projected Rushing Northwestern K

Northwestern is 4-1 the last 5 meetings in this rivalry and their 4 wins have been by an average of 17.5 ppg. LY Illinois trailed 21-0 early 2Q, but w/4:33 in the 3Q cut the deficit to 28-21. The Illini’s L/5 poss ended in 2 TO’s, 2 punts & downs at the NU8 w/2:38 left and NW won at home 42-21. Illinois has struggled on rush D allowing B10 foes 220 ypg rush (4.8) and NW is at its best when it can get Justin Jackson going at RB (1010, 4.3) giving Clayton Thorson a more effective play action pass. Illinois has rushed for 67.3 ypg their last 3 B10 games and 2.1 ypc with 15 sacks allowed and complete 50% of their passes with an 8-17 ratio. Illinois has scored 11 TD’s in 8 B10 games and 5 of those were in the 4Q with 3 in the last 1:11 of a game. They run into a NW rush D that yields just 96 (2.9) rush in B10 play and the Wildcats are on quite a roll beating the Vegas number in 6 straight games. The Wildcats should grab a New Year's Day bowl while the true frosh laden Illinois team is the worst in the Big Ten.

Illinois ST's Northwestern By 16.5

190 yards

13-20-121

Illinois Leaders

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

Ret

urn

to

Tab

le o

f C

onte

nts

Projected Box Score 0.60

Northwestern ST's Team & Margin

Northwestern

Northwestern DB's

Illinois QB/WR

Comp-Att-Yds

12-25-146

20-41-241

Comp-Att-Yds

28-54-377

Northwestern Leaders

24-42-218

17-28-147

12-18-116

Comp-Att-Yds

1.84

Northwestern LB'S

Illinois RB's

0.53

0.40

Northwestern OL

Illinois DL

2.16

Northwestern DL

Illinois OL

1.60

Northwestern QB/WR

Illinois DB's

0.72

Northwestern RB's

Illinois LB's

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Receiving

Northwestern IllinoisRushing

NCAA RANKINGSTEAM

Defense

Score Score

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Position by Position Edges

TEAM --PS RANK--

Rush Off Byeat Wisconsin Pass Off Nebraska Bye

Total Off at Iowaat Maryland Score Off Rutgers Penn St

Sks Allowed at Minnesota

--PS RANK--0-8TM REC FOE

RECTM

CONFFOE FOEFOE +/-

vs. BIG 10 vs. BIG 10 Fighting Illini Logs6-2 FOEAPFOE

CONF TM +/- FOE +/-

2-9OVERALL: OVERALL: Illinois Fighting Illini8-3

at DukeNorthwestern Illinois

WKU Bowling Green at USF

Nevada 2017 TEAM RANKINGS Ball St

Indianaat Nebraska

Score Def at Ohio Stat Illinois Sks By Northwestern

Total TO'sYpg Diff

Net Offense Defense

Nor

thw

este

rn W

ildca

ts

LEA

DER

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M A

VER

AG

ES

Illin

ois

Fig

hti

ng

Illi

ni

Net Offense

Michigan St Rush Def WisconsinPass Def at Purdue

Purdue Total Def

11-16-112

Comp-Att-Yds

31-45-414

31-45-307

TM CONF

FOE CONF TM +/-

AP

Northwestern WildcatsWildcats Logs

FOETM REC FOE REC

Minnesota

Iowa

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TM FOE DATE SCORE

W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 98 9/2 59-14 W 125 97 81 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 102 127 14 8/26 7-62 L 113 103 85 21 8 431-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 101 112 9/9 32-54 L 102 98 81 31 101 127 0-1 0-0 98 9/2 121 107 851-1 2-0 0-0 0-0 100 123 9/16 14-31 L 85 89 58 64 24 34 0-1 0-1 0-0 0-0 101 94 9/9 31-14 W 116 103 95 126 125 1171-2 2-1 0-0 0-0 101 96 9/23 46-43 W 81 89 89 115 92 112 #51 #46 1-1 1-0 1-0 0-0 99 119 9/16 3-38 L 110 106 95 48 58 302-2 2-1 1-0 0-0 100 110 9/30 43-28 W 62 88 46 71 70 92 #18 #119 1-2 1-1 1-0 0-0 97 100 9/23 7-13 L 117 100 104 116 115 1073-2 2-0 105 10/7 61 81 52 #16 #113 1-3 1-3 1-1 0-1 95 115 9/30 10-42 L 122 101 99 67 79 403-2 3-1 2-0 0-1 105 111 10/14 29-26 W 54 80 16 67 50 42 #15 #124 1-4 3-2 1-1 0-0 91 109 10/7 12-49 L 116 104 108 82 109 874-2 3-3 3-0 2-0 107 110 10/21 31-69 L 54 80 27 56 95 38 #45 #90 1-5 1-1 91 10/14 118 106 1084-3 2-5 3-1 0-3 103 95 10/28 45-38 W 56 97 14 128 106 113 #109 #93 1-5 3-2 1-1 0-2 92 109 10/21 7-20 L 121 105 105 73 50 395-3 4-4 4-1 2-2 103 107 11/4 24-23 W 52 103 12 75 89 85 #70 #85 1-6 3-4 1-2 1-2 92 107 10/28 28-42 L 121 107 103 78 84 756-3 0-9 5-1 0-5 105 88 11/11 45-10 W 54 101 20 130 119 91 #92 #96 1-7 5-3 1-3 3-2 89 103 11/4 21-52 L 114 117 108 86 80 1287-3 8-2 6-1 1-0 107 117 11/18 52-49 W 50 97 10 67 95 24 #110 #118 1-8 5-4 1-4 3-2 89 100 11/11 34-43 L 117 119 113 65 62 808-3 1-10 6-1 1-6 110 91 11/25 51 107 12 116 116 110 #103 #47 1-9 4-6 1-5 2-4 91 100 11/18 21-24 L 116 116 110 127 106 101

#46 #114 8-3 6-1 110 11/25 51 107 12-7 -23

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

Lamar 59-14 402 16 1 31 60-436 7.3 17-24 232 2 15 33-86 2.6 20-41 180 2 † Stanford 7-62 -415 -13 -2 14 38-146 3.8 10-24 95 2 27 36-287 8.0 21-37 369 2at SMU 32-54 0 2 -2 22 27-69 2.6 32-47 424 5 20 34-99 2.9 22-41 394 3 Byeat Iowa 14-31 -130 -11 0 17 17-112 6.6 18-29 193 1 28 59-238 4.0 16-27 197 1 at UTEP 31-14 208 10 0 22 49-306 6.2 10-18 131 2 12 24-26 1.1 18-33 203 4 UAB 46-43 153 12 0 28 44-287 6.5 15-29 261 1 16 36-74 2.1 17-36 321 4 at Houston 3-38 -242 -8 -3 14 35-129 3.7 11-25 113 3 22 37-130 3.5 34-38 354 2at Southern Miss 43-28 125 6 -2 24 46-174 3.8 24-41 366 1 18 29-145 5.0 19-42 270 2 FIU 7-13 -23 1 0 19 41-100 2.4 16-27 148 2 18 33-99 3.0 17-28 172 5 Bye at Pittsburgh 10-42 -202 -10 -2 14 23-55 2.4 15-32 222 3 24 33-69 2.1 28-34 410 3 UTSA 29-26 52 0 -1 19 32-87 2.7 20-35 354 3 19 41-174 4.2 13-25 215 1 Army West Point 12-49 -81 -4 -5 17 37-200 5.4 9-21 146 2 21 65-418 6.4 1-3 9 0at Florida Atlantic 31-69 -384 -12 -3 25 33-137 4.2 31-47 283 1 37 48-447 9.3 24-35 357 0 Bye Old Dominion 45-38 74 3 1 24 41-151 3.7 25-36 309 1 21 48-205 4.3 21-36 181 1 at UTSA 7-20 -148 -6 -2 13 41-155 3.8 6-14 145 4 19 40-314 7.9 12-22 134 4at Louisiana Tech 24-23 100 7 -1 26 42-212 5.0 22-36 203 2 19 41-147 3.6 16-28 168 2 Louisiana Tech 28-42 17 -5 -4 19 46-247 5.4 7-17 187 1 24 39-180 4.6 21-32 237 2 UTEP 45-10 241 12 0 27 39-259 6.6 23-35 213 0 15 32-100 3.1 16-32 131 0 at UAB 21-52 24 -4 -3 17 35-236 6.7 14-24 227 1 21 36-242 6.7 20-21 197 0 Army West Point 52-49 -72 0 0 25 33-103 3.1 24-36 386 2 25 67-534 8.0 1-3 27 0 Southern Miss 34-43 -136 -2 0 26 49-254 5.2 10-16 127 4 28 36-186 5.2 22-31 331 0at Rice at Old Dominion 21-24 -29 -3 -2 18 50-241 4.8 8-12 90 2 21 39-172 4.4 20-29 188 2

North Texas

Average 38-35 51.0 3.2 -0.6 24 38-184 4.9 63.5% 293 4.8% 21 43-204 4.8 53.5% 222 4.6% Average 16-36 -93.4 -4.0 -2.1 18 40-188 4.7 50.4% 148 11.3% 22 38-193 5.1 69.5% 237 7.8% Conference 38-34 51.6 4.0 -0.9 25 40-187 4.7 61.8% 284 3.5% 21 39-185 4.7 53.8% 235 4.3% Conference 21-30 -12.4 -1.3 -1.6 19 44-220 4.9 55.5% 151 12.5% 20 35-174 4.9 66.3% 209 8.7% Away 29-41 -57.8 -1.6 -1.6 23 33-141 4.3 63.5% 294 5.0% 24 42-215 5.1 56.1% 277 4.6% Home 20-37 -55.8 -2.5 -2.3 20 43-200 4.6 51.9% 152 11.1% 23 43-221 5.1 64.9% 187 7.4%

Lamar Mason Fine 15-21-224-3-0 Jeffery Wilson 12-176-14.7-3 Michael Lawrence 3-70-23.3-1 † Stanford Sam Glaesmann 7-18-69-0-1 Samuel Stewart 15-71-4.7-0 Samuel Stewart 3-41-13.7-0at SMU Mason Fine 32-47-424-3-2 Jeffery Wilson 13-36-2.8-1 Jalen Guyton 3-109-36.3-2 Byeat Iowa Mason Fine 16-26-167-0-1 Jeffery Wilson 12-95-7.9-1 Turner Smiley 4-74-18.5-0 vs. at UTEP Sam Glaesmann 10-18-131-1-0 Samuel Stewart 16-89-5.6-0 Aaron Cephus 1-52-52.0-1 UAB Mason Fine 15-29-261-3-0 Jeffery Wilson 26-211-8.1-1 Kelvin Smith 4-82-20.5-0 at Houston Jackson Tyner 6-16-84-0-0 Nahshon Ellerbe 6-35-5.8-0 Jordan Myers 2-30-15.0-0at Southern Miss Mason Fine 24-40-366-2-1 Jeffery Wilson 30-148-4.9-3 Jalen Guyton 14-211-15.1-1 FIU Jackson Tyner 15-26-131-0-1 Samuel Stewart 11-35-3.2-0 Aaron Cephus 5-54-10.8-0 Bye vs. at Pittsburgh Jackson Tyner 15-32-222-1-3 Austin Walter 6-39-6.5-0 Austin Walter 2-73-36.5-1 UTSA Mason Fine 20-34-354-3-1 Jeffery Wilson 16-83-5.2-0 Jalen Guyton 8-182-22.8-2 Army West Point Jackson Tyner 7-16-135-1-0 Jordan Myers 15-76-5.1-0 Aaron Cephus 3-87-29.0-1at Florida Atlantic Mason Fine 31-47-283-2-2 Jeffery Wilson 11-49-4.5-1 Michael Lawrence 11-112-10.2-0 Bye Old Dominion Mason Fine 25-36-309-1-1 Nic Smith 18-71-3.9-2 Rico Bussey 7-111-15.9-1 vs. at UTSA Sam Glaesmann 3-9-84-1-1 Sam Glaesmann 10-69-6.9-0 Aaron Cephus 2-105-52.5-1at Louisiana Tech Mason Fine 22-36-203-1-1 Jeffery Wilson 20-165-8.3-2 Michael Lawrence 4-47-11.8-0 Louisiana Tech Sam Glaesmann 7-16-187-1-2 Sam Glaesmann 13-68-5.2-2 Aaron Cephus 2-75-37.5-1 UTEP Mason Fine 23-35-213-4-0 Jeffery Wilson 20-144-7.2-1 Rico Bussey 3-65-21.7-1 at UAB Miklo Smalls 14-22-227-1-1 Miklo Smalls 10-99-9.9-1 Aaron Cephus 4-100-25.0-1 Army West Point Mason Fine 24-36-386-4-1 Jeffery Wilson 19-72-3.8-2 Turner Smiley 3-123-41.0-2 vs. Southern Miss Miklo Smalls 10-15-127-0-0 Nahshon Ellerbe 22-153-7.0-4 Aaron Cephus 4-68-17.0-0at Rice at Old Dominion Miklo Smalls 8-12-90-0-1 Miklo Smalls 16-84-5.3-1 Austin Trammell 2-27-13.5-0

North Texasvs.

Mason Fine 247-387-3190-26-10 Jeffery Wilson 188-1215-6.5-16 Jalen Guyton 47-758-16.1-9 Jackson Tyner 46-97-598-2-5 Nahshon Ellerbe 83-405-4.9-6 Aaron Cephus 23-572-24.9-5Quinn Shanbour 4-5-34-1-0 Nic Smith 91-431-4.7-5 Michael Lawrence 49-671-13.7-3 vs. Miklo Smalls 37-59-516-1-4 Austin Walter 56-381-6.8-4 Kylen Granson 18-241-13.4-0TEAM 0-3-0-0-0 Evan Johnson 27-171-6.3-2 Rico Bussey 32-433-13.5-5 Sam Glaesmann 32-72-500-3-6 Samuel Stewart 57-229-4.0-0 Austin Walter 18-219-12.2-1

Category

2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.

North Texas - 54 42 19 42-215

Rice - -7 35 28 60-255 -2

2015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.

North Texas - 55 24 20 27-175

Rice - -7.5 38 28 51-189 3

2014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.

North Texas - 57 21 16 33-26

Rice - -14.5 41 20 46-188 2

2013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.

North Texas - -3.5 28 13 43-149

Rice - 53 16 20 42-133 -2

7-13-104

18-28-222

Comp-Att-Yds

Position by Position Edges

Rice QB/WR

0.97

North Texas RB's

Louisiana Techat UAB Southern Missat Old Dominion North Texas

† Stanford Byeat UTEPat Houston FIUat Pittsburgh Army West Point Byeat UTSA

at Louisiana Tech UTEP Army West Pointat Rice

UABat Southern Miss

N Texas By 11.1

N Texas 485-442

+/- Ratings

Las Vegas Line

Las Vegas Total

N Texas By 11

63.5 Points

N Texas By 15.5

Game Grade

Computer Yards

Defense

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

RushingPassing

Net

Score

By Game Yardage Leaders Receiving

North Texas Leaders

Ret

urn

to

Tab

le o

f C

onte

nts

2.96

1.95

Rice DLNorth Texas DL

North Texas ST's

Rice ST's

Rice OL

North Texas QB/WR

Rice DB's

13-26-233

Best Bet: ★ Rice 34 North Texas 31

N Texas 44-29

Rice by 3

1.69

North Texas LB'S

By 4.91 Points

Rice RB's

North Texas

FOE REC--PS RANK--

TM +/-TEAM

FOE +/-AP

FOE

17-29-224

24-40-236

Comp-Att-Yds

FOE

16-34-190

313 yardsComp-Att-Yds

29-39-373

19-35-303

Score Off

Total DefPass Def

FOE

North Texas

Rice Leaders

North Texas Mean Green Rice OwlsOwls LogsMean Green Logs

OVERALL: OVERALL:

TM REC FOE REC TM CONF

FOE CONF

Comp-Att-Yds

Offense

Lamarat SMUat Iowa

NCAA RANKINGS2017 TEAM RANKINGS

North Texas

Rush Off

Rice

Pass OffTotal Off

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

Nor

th T

exas

Mea

n G

reen

Ric

e O

wls

Ypg DiffTotal TO's

Score DefSks By

Sks AllowedRush Def

1-10vs. CUSA

1-66-1

8-3vs. CUSA

Score

Projected Yardage Total

Projected Passing173 yards

Team & Margin

196 yards

By Game Yardage Leaders

North Texas DB's

Rice

0.46

--PS RANK--TM REC

FOETM +/- FOE +/-

AP TEAMTM CONF

FOE CONF

OffenseNet

Passing Rushing

Defense

Receiving

Phil's Forecast:

It’s Sr day in Houston. HC Bailiff has led the Owls to 9 straight wins by 13 ppg in home finales with the only loss coming in his 1st ssn and they are 4-2 vs North Texas. North Texas won here in OT last year as a td dog. This is most likely Bailiff's final game at Rice so they should try to win yet another home finale. It is a solid situation as North Texas just playede Army to the wire taking on the option and cut blocks and has a huge game against Florida Atlantic on deck in the CUSA Title game. NT does have massive edges on offense (#51 vs #116) and special teams (#12 vs #110). Rice has played closer than most scores indicate and last week gave up the game winning TD with :37 left in their 3 pt loss at ODU. North Texas was outgained by Army 561-489, but a clock error forced a re-punt and Army fumbled the punt and NT got a cheap TD. NT has 7 FBS wins with 5 of those by 7 points or less and have the CUSA Title game on deck. Rice has taken on the tougher schedule (#80 vs #113) and I will go out on a limb and call for the upset.

0.87

North Texas OL

1.33

Rice LB's

Computer PointsPOSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

North Texas Coaches

Rice Coaches

North Texas Pts

Rice Pts

70

Experience Rankings

North Texas 245 yards

North Texas Rice

Phil Steele80

8.87

North Texas K

Rice K

1.20

North Texas

Rice

3.96

1.39

Team Schedule StrengthNorth Texas Rice

Rice

113

74

44 points

485 yards

Projected Final Score

Projected Rushing

Projected Box Score

Rice

North Texas Rice 442 yards

North Texas 29 points

Bye UTSAat Florida Atlantic Old Dominion

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TM FOE DATE SCORE

W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 97 117 9/1 19-42 L 64 113 93 84 101 41 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 90 106 9/1 7-24 L 122 120 123 95 78 510-1 1-0 0-0 0-0 96 139 9 9/9 14-31 L 76 119 93 41 11 38 0-1 1-0 0-0 0-0 91 133 19 9/9 7-55 L 120 118 123 33 68 10-2 0-0 100 9/16 45-0 W 91 120 101 0-2 0-0 91 9/16 31-35 L 122 119 871-2 1-2 0-0 0-0 104 106 9/23 31-34 L 78 113 55 108 109 128 #7 #58 0-3 0-2 0-0 0-0 91 92 9/23 0-28 L 122 120 104 127 122 1291-3 2-2 0-0 0-0 104 102 9/30 38-20 W 75 114 49 108 77 73 #91 #122 0-4 2-1 0-0 1-0 86 102 9/30 29-30 L 124 121 84 119 106 952-3 2-2 1-0 0-0 106 100 10/7 58-28 W 63 108 58 124 87 100 #19 #124 0-5 3-1 0-1 0-0 89 110 10/7 3-14 L 114 121 114 93 51 383-3 2-0 110 10/14 64 105 35 #8 #128 0-6 3-2 0-2 1-1 90 109 10/14 14-45 L 117 121 81 120 76 203-3 4-2 2-0 3-0 110 107 10/21 69-31 W 56 95 38 54 80 27 #17 #52 0-7 4-2 0-3 2-1 89 100 10/21 25-24 W 113 122 98 97 85 1284-3 5-2 3-0 3-1 114 108 10/28 42-28 W 43 89 30 107 92 25 #81 #100 1-7 1-3 91 10/28 110 122 775-3 6-2 4-0 3-1 116 111 11/3 30-25 W 43 85 17 66 38 30 #86 #99 1-7 2-6 1-3 0-4 91 95 11/4 0-6 L 110 117 74 128 109 1066-3 4-5 5-0 2-3 116 105 11/11 48-23 W 47 79 18 81 86 73 #88 #109 1-8 4-5 1-4 2-3 91 101 11/11 21-35 L 109 113 74 113 80 417-3 6-3 6-0 4-2 119 102 11/18 52-24 W 43 80 20 81 112 78 #60 #103 1-9 6-4 1-5 4-2 90 100 11/18 21-66 L 115 115 79 57 68 568-3 1-10 7-0 1-6 120 86 11/25 39 72 18 115 120 72 #76 #121 1-10 8-3 1-6 7-0 86 120 11/25 115 120 72 39 72 18

#44 #126+14 -9

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

Navy 19-42 -200 -7 0 16 24-40 1.7 21-33 286 2 23 68-416 6.1 3-10 110 0 at Eastern Michigan 7-24 -113 -6 -1 13 35-166 4.7 12-29 114 2 19 41-126 3.1 22-31 267 1at Wisconsin 14-31 -316 -20 2 9 35-106 3.0 9-19 142 5 29 54-357 6.6 17-30 207 0 at Kansas St 7-55 -325 -18 -2 10 28-110 3.9 10-25 58 0 28 51-304 6.0 17-23 189 1 Bethune-Cookman 45-0 502 25 0 32 58-439 7.6 19-32 180 2 7 33-61 1.8 9-22 56 4 North Carolina A&T 31-35 16 8 -2 27 46-266 5.8 13-29 170 7 19 40-161 4.0 16-26 259 2at Buffalo 31-34 -46 -6 -1 22 37-262 7.1 17-29 150 1 28 57-204 3.6 18-27 254 2 Georgia St 0-28 -96 -8 -2 14 34-94 2.8 16-29 179 3 22 40-119 3.0 26-37 250 0 Middle Tennessee 38-20 -15 6 3 29 50-252 5.0 22-29 187 0 23 24-69 2.9 32-52 385 2 at FIU 29-30 29 3 1 23 49-349 7.1 16-28 155 1 20 41-234 5.7 15-27 241 0at Old Dominion 58-28 139 9 2 29 69-453 6.6 13-22 97 2 20 36-248 6.9 16-39 163 2 Marshall 3-14 -192 -14 1 9 26-80 3.1 10-26 132 2 23 42-212 5.0 19-28 192 0 Bye at WKU 14-45 -318 -25 0 9 34-248 7.3 9-19 61 2 34 34-121 3.6 43-58 506 2 North Texas 69-31 384 12 3 37 48-447 9.3 24-35 357 0 25 33-137 4.2 31-47 283 1 UAB 25-24 32 -3 0 15 49-222 4.5 14-28 154 0 18 33-162 4.9 21-29 182 0at WKU 42-28 -9 -11 3 21 55-368 6.7 10-24 93 0 32 33-99 3.0 32-56 371 2 Bye Marshall 30-25 -28 -4 4 17 45-189 4.2 12-18 164 0 21 41-128 3.1 20-39 253 1 at Old Dominion 0-6 -95 -12 -1 8 27-136 5.0 9-22 95 1 20 49-148 3.0 20-30 178 3at Louisiana Tech 48-23 -97 -13 -1 19 33-194 5.9 14-17 221 0 32 45-186 4.1 30-51 326 2 Middle Tennessee 21-35 -101 -5 -1 16 32-98 3.1 18-30 258 2 21 41-202 4.9 18-31 255 2 FIU 52-24 269 9 -1 27 46-333 7.2 18-25 239 1 18 31-85 2.7 20-33 218 4 at Southern Miss 21-66 -346 -13 -2 14 38-142 3.7 9-25 96 0 27 42-363 8.6 20-27 221 0at Charlotte Florida Atlantic

Average 41-26 53.0 0.0 1.3 23 45-280 6.2 63.3% 192 4.6% 23 41-181 4.4 56.2% 239 4.9% Average 14-33 -137.2 -8.5 -0.8 14 36-174 4.8 46.9% 134 6.9% 23 41-196 4.7 68.3% 249 3.2% Conference 48-26 91.9 1.1 1.9 26 49-319 6.5 66.5% 194 1.8% 24 35-136 3.9 57.1% 286 4.4% Conference 16-31 -141.6 -9.9 -0.3 13 36-182 5.0 47.8% 136 4.5% 23 40-206 5.1 67.8% 254 3.0% Away 39-29 -65.8 -8.2 1.0 20 46-277 6.0 56.8% 141 7.2% 28 45-219 4.9 55.7% 264 3.9% Home 16-27 -68.2 -4.4 -0.8 16 37-152 4.1 50.0% 179 9.9% 21 39-171 4.4 66.2% 228 2.6%

Navy Daniel Parr 19-30-281-2-1 Kerrith Whyte 6-36-6.0-0 Willie Wright 3-92-30.7-1 at Eastern Michigan Hasaan Klugh 12-28-114-1-2 Hasaan Klugh 14-101-7.2-0 Trent Bostick 3-34-11.3-1at Wisconsin Daniel Parr 9-19-142-1-0 Devin Singletary 17-68-4.0-1 De'Andre McNeal 3-103-34.3-1 at Kansas St Hasaan Klugh 8-19-33-0-1 Hasaan Klugh 10-33-3.3-1 Uriah Lemay 2-25-12.5-0 Bethune-Cookman Daniel Parr 15-26-165-1-1 Gregory Howell Jr 13-175-13.5-1 De'Andre McNeal 4-70-17.5-0 vs. North Carolina A&T Hasaan Klugh 13-29-170-3-2 Benny Lemay 19-158-8.3-0 Workpeh Kofa 6-110-18.3-1at Buffalo Jason Driskel 17-29-150-0-1 Devin Singletary 22-156-7.1-3 Willie Wright 4-43-10.8-0 Georgia St Hasaan Klugh 16-29-179-0-2 Benny Lemay 20-79-4.0-0 Mark Quattlebaum 6-91-15.2-0 Middle Tennessee Jason Driskel 22-29-187-1-0 Devin Singletary 24-133-5.5-4 Harrison Bryant 7-93-13.3-1 at FIU Hasaan Klugh 16-28-155-1-0 Benny Lemay 22-178-8.1-0 Trent Bostick 3-36-12.0-0at Old Dominion Jason Driskel 13-22-97-0-1 Devin Singletary 26-194-7.5-2 Harrison Bryant 3-41-13.7-0 vs. Marshall Hasaan Klugh 10-26-132-0-1 Benny Lemay 9-38-4.2-0 Trent Bostick 2-51-25.5-0 Bye at WKU Brooks Barden 9-18-61-0-1 Aaron McAllister 22-157-7.1-2 Mark Quattlebaum 5-34-6.8-0 North Texas Jason Driskel 24-35-357-2-0 Devin Singletary 17-123-7.2-3 Willie Wright 8-141-17.6-1 UAB Hasaan Klugh 14-28-154-1-2 Hasaan Klugh 25-140-5.6-2 Trent Bostick 2-70-35.0-1at WKU Jason Driskel 10-24-93-1-1 Devin Singletary 36-244-6.8-4 Willie Wright 4-63-15.8-1 vs. Bye Marshall Jason Driskel 11-17-104-0-0 Devin Singletary 28-203-7.3-1 Devin Singletary 2-72-36.0-1 at Old Dominion Hasaan Klugh 7-16-62-0-0 Benny Lemay 12-68-5.7-0 Mark Quattlebaum 4-46-11.5-0at Louisiana Tech Jason Driskel 14-17-221-2-0 Devin Singletary 18-104-5.8-3 Kalib Woods 3-118-39.3-1 Middle Tennessee Hasaan Klugh 18-30-258-2-1 Benny Lemay 14-57-4.1-1 Mark Quattlebaum 7-94-13.4-1 FIU Jason Driskel 18-25-239-4-1 Devin Singletary 25-164-6.6-2 Kalib Woods 7-172-24.6-2 vs. at Southern Miss Hasaan Klugh 9-25-96-1-2 Hasaan Klugh 7-56-8.0-1 T.L Ford II 3-50-16.7-1at Charlotte Florida Atlantic

vs.

Jason Driskel 133-204-1463-10-4 Devin Singletary 230-1524-6.6-24 Willie Wright 36-456-12.7-3 Hasaan Klugh 123-258-1353-9-13 Benny Lemay 127-687-5.4-2 Mark Quattlebaum 31-343-11.1-1Daniel Parr 43-75-588-4-2 Gregory Howell Jr. 92-627-6.8-5 Harrison Bryant 32-408-12.8-5 vs. Brooks Barden 13-30-119-0-2 Hasaan Klugh 126-513-4.1-8 Trent Bostick 22-323-14.7-3Kamrin Solomon 1-1-60-1-0 Jason Driskel 56-307-5.5-6 Kalib Woods 12-327-27.3-3 Joe Thompson 0-1-0.1-0-0 Aaron McAllister 85-456-5.4-2 Workpeh Kofa 23-315-13.7-1

Category

2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Florida Atlantic - -13 23 26 41-174

Charlotte - 62 28 22 48-219 -12015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Florida Atlantic - -10 17 13 48-40

Charlotte - 65 7 16 49-111 -2

vs.

vs.

Comp-Att-Yds

22-42-212

14-17-223

Comp-Att-Yds

14-25-144

11-34-89

FAU DL

Charlotte OL

FAU Charlotte

Projected Rushing

350 yards

Charlotte 161 yards

Charlotte 188 yards319 yards FAU

OVERALL:

8-3 1-10FAU Owls OVERALL:

Fau By 31.8

Game GradeFau By 24.3

Phil's Forecast:

64 Points

+/- Ratings

0.85

Fau 533-350

2.60

FAU K

Charlotte K

0.75

FAU Coaches

It’sSrdayinCharlotte.LYCharlotterecordedtheir1steverCUSAwin,beatingFAU28-28(+13)ontheroadinagmthatwasmovedduetoHurricaneMatthew.TherearealotofjobopeningsoutthereandLaneKiffinistrendingupasasolidreplacement.SMissjustranfor363yardsand8.6ypconthisCharlottedefenseandFAUisaveraging319(6.5)rushinCUSAplay.Charlotteis-68ypgathome,butFAUis-66ypgaway.FAUhoststheCUSATitlegamenextweekwhichisbig.FAUhaswontheirCUSAroadgamesby31,14,and25points.CharlottehasdonewellinCUSAplayathomelosingby11toMarshall,14toMTandupsettingUAB.HasaanKlughdoeshavejusta9-13ratioandCharlotteisallowingopp’s85ypgabovetheirseasonaverage.InCUSAplayCharlotteis-142ypgandFAUis+92.FAUis8-2-1vstheVegasnumberthisyear.ThenumberssayFAU48-15,butthesituationcallsforaclosergame.

FAU QB/WR

Charlotte LB's

Charlotte DL2.59

FAU OL

FAU PtsCharlotte Coaches

FAU RB's

Total TO's

Rushing Receiving

48 points CharlotteExperience Rankings

92 FAU Charlotte 112Team Schedule Strength

2.19

Charlotte PtsFAU 15 points

POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

Projected Final Score11.00

FAU

Computer Points

Computer Yards

1 Fau 48-15

FAU 48 Charlotte 24By 8.81 Points

Charlotte DB's1.73

ReceivingPassing Rushing

FAU Leaders

Ret

urn

to

Tab

le o

f C

onte

nts

Las Vegas Total

Phil SteeleFAU by 24

Team & Margin

Projected Passing214 yards FAU

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) Projected Box ScoreFAU ST's

0.98

Charlotte ST's

Charlotte QB/WR

0.79

FAU DB's

Charlotte Leaders

Projected Yardage Total533 yards

FAU 93

Defense

Score Score

Ypg Diff

Net Offense

FOE CONF TM +/- FOE +/-

APFOE REC

7-0 1-6

Navy 2017 TEAM RANKINGS at Eastern Michiganat Wisconsin

FAU Charlotteat Kansas St

Bethune-Cookman North Carolina A&Tat Buffalo Rush Off Georgia St Middle Tennessee Pass Off at FIUat Old Dominion Total Off Marshall

FOETM CONF

TM CONF

--PS RANK--FOE CONF TM +/- FOE +/-

AP

FOE FOE

TEAM

Charlotte 49ersOwls Logs vs. CUSA vs. CUSA 49ers Logs

TEAM --PS RANK--TM REC FOE REC

FOETM REC

NCAA RANKINGS

Bye Score Off at WKU North Texas Sks Allowed UABat WKU Rush Def Bye Marshall Pass Def at Old Dominionat Louisiana Tech Total Def Middle Tennessee FIU Score Def at Southern Missat Charlotte Sks By Florida Atlantic

Net Defense

FAU

Ow

ls

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

By Game Yardage Leaders

Ch

arlo

tte

49

ers

0.36

Offense

Passing

Las Vegas LineFau By 21.5

FAU CharlottePosition by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders

Charlotte RB's

FAU LB'S

2.53

Charlotte

Page 37: Phil Steele’s Inside the Pressboxplus.philsteele.com/inside_the_pressbox/2017/College/...Phil Steele’s Inside the Pressbox WK 13 UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK *this is a Best Bet H Utah

TM FOE DATE SCORE

W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 104 137 9 9/1 10-59 L 118 109 101 46 10 38 0-0 0-0 105 9/2 62-0 W 76 123 130-1 0-0 103 9/7 51-13 W 119 120 101 1-0 0-0 110 9/9 54 116 131-1 2-0 0-0 1-0 105 124 9/16 10-46 L 111 116 55 86 61 36 1-0 2-0 0-0 0-0 110 130 7 9/16 13-29 L 40 106 26 42 6 831-2 1-3 0-0 0-0 103 92 9/23 61-10 W 118 117 54 123 118 54 #65 #5 1-1 3-0 0-0 0-0 112 120 22 9/23 24-28 L 57 107 62 83 51 92-2 1-3 1-0 0-3 107 107 9/29 40-24 W 100 108 29 113 60 47 #74 #126 1-2 2-2 0-1 0-1 112 107 9/30 38-56 L 72 111 32 85 94 353-2 3-2 1-0 1-0 111 122 10/7 14-27 L 104 104 29 38 87 59 #83 #50 1-3 4-0 0-2 3-0 107 118 10/7 45-48 L 89 123 19 34 90 1013-3 3-2 1-1 1-0 110 106 10/14 23-28 L 108 103 4 123 92 62 #51 #47 1-4 2-3 0-2 1-1 109 98 10/14 34-30 W 75 124 40 48 128 953-4 2-4 1-2 1-2 107 100 10/21 52-28 W 112 94 4 55 128 110 #79 #60 2-4 1-6 1-2 1-2 107 104 10/20 45-42 W 63 125 16 101 115 1214-4 5-2 2-2 3-0 111 119 10/28 14-41 L 101 94 3 94 51 7 #106 #118 3-4 6-2 2-2 4-0 108 112 10/28 45-28 W 53 125 40 30 99 474-5 3-5 2-3 1-4 107 104 11/4 24-10 W 102 96 2 87 97 38 #27 #5 4-4 6-2 3-2 0-0 113 111 11/4 0-21 L 45 125 42 76 108 355-5 3-3 109 11/11 108 96 2 #71 #58 4-5 6-3 3-2 4-1 108 113 11/11 14-28 L 62 128 66 124 64 485-5 3-7 3-3 1-6 109 91 11/18 38-0 W 108 98 3 81 126 126 #60 #98 4-6 8-2 3-3 6-0 106 124 11/18 19-44 L 63 124 68 59 60 16-5 4-7 4-3 3-4 113 106 11/25 105 94 2 75 123 55 #61 #129 4-7 6-5 3-4 4-3 106 113 11/25 75 123 55 105 94 2

#80 #57+4 -10

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

at Wisconsin 10-59 -174 -9 -2 16 27-85 3.1 25-41 219 1 25 45-234 5.2 15-23 244 3 VMI 62-0 552 26 1 32 67-457 6.8 10-14 190 2 6 28-55 2.0 10-19 40 1 Idaho St 51-13 293 15 0 30 49-255 5.2 27-32 341 2 15 38-113 3.0 17-31 190 2 Byeat Wake Forest 10-46 -321 -15 -1 11 31-42 1.4 15-37 225 2 26 59-291 4.9 16-27 297 1 at Michigan 13-29 -127 -2 0 15 49-168 3.4 1-9 64 3 17 42-190 4.5 14-23 169 2at San Jose St 61-10 427 19 2 29 57-318 5.6 28-41 271 4 10 37-108 2.9 8-22 54 3 San Diego St 24-28 -114 -5 0 14 60-220 3.7 2-6 33 0 19 41-187 4.6 10-16 180 1 BYU 40-24 -108 -6 6 14 44-112 2.5 16-30 176 4 20 46-210 4.6 12-29 186 0 at New Mexico 38-56 -113 10 -2 26 63-238 3.8 9-18 158 4 16 41-363 8.9 4-9 146 0 Colorado St 14-27 -297 -15 0 14 29-63 2.2 18-34 149 7 29 52-216 4.2 22-31 293 0 at Navy 45-48 64 5 -2 27 55-340 6.2 10-17 281 2 22 57-471 8.3 4-12 86 0 Wyoming 23-28 70 9 -4 23 37-131 3.5 20-39 232 3 14 36-85 2.4 18-26 208 3 UNLV 34-30 62 15 -2 30 78-401 5.1 4-8 72 0 15 39-266 6.8 12-27 145 1at UNLV 52-28 128 0 1 25 47-265 5.6 20-29 323 1 25 53-375 7.1 13-30 85 2 at Nevada 45-42 167 15 -2 36 91-550 6.0 4-7 41 2 21 20-157 7.9 18-35 267 0 Boise St 14-41 -254 -14 0 13 27-93 3.4 18-34 186 0 27 45-163 3.6 24-34 370 3 at Colorado St 45-28 42 8 2 30 74-413 5.6 2-4 64 0 22 23-166 7.2 17-31 269 1at New Mexico 24-10 -97 -9 2 12 24-129 5.4 13-24 114 0 21 57-265 4.6 12-22 75 1 Army West Point 0-21 -202 -8 0 12 34-95 2.8 6-13 95 2 20 59-392 6.6 0-0 0 0 Bye Wyoming 14-28 149 6 -2 22 61-203 3.3 10-22 175 2 16 43-100 2.3 11-15 129 3 Hawaii 38-0 157 0 0 20 39-311 8.0 12-20 164 0 20 47-172 3.7 19-35 146 4 at Boise St 19-44 -132 -1 -3 18 51-181 3.5 7-13 115 4 19 29-90 3.1 18-26 338 0at Air Force Utah St

Average 31-26 -16.0 -2.3 0.4 19 37-164 4.4 58.7% 218 6.6% 21 47-203 4.3 56.8% 195 7.1% Average 31-32 31.6 6.3 -0.9 24 62-297 4.8 49.6% 117 16.0% 18 38-222 5.8 55.4% 161 4.2% Conference 32-21 19.1 -1.4 0.1 19 37-187 5.0 58.4% 206 6.8% 21 47-198 4.2 58.0% 176 8.0% Conference 31-37 8.7 6.9 -1.3 25 68-315 4.6 48.7% 94 15.4% 18 34-190 5.6 56.6% 211 3.8% Away 31-31 -7.4 -2.8 0.4 19 37-168 4.5 58.7% 230 4.7% 21 50-255 5.1 51.6% 151 8.1% Home 27-21 89.4 6.8 -0.6 22 60-275 4.6 50.8% 113 9.5% 15 42-200 4.8 55.8% 99 7.8%

at Wisconsin Kent Myers 25-41-219-0-3 Tonny Lindsey 6-28-4.7-0 Jaren Colston-Green 1-40-40.0-0 VMI Arion Worthman 8-12-172-2-0 Tim McVey 10-98-9.8-1 Tim McVey 3-77-25.7-0 Idaho St Kent Myers 24-26-323-2-1 Eltoro Allen 19-103-5.4-1 Ron'Quavion Tarver 7-75-10.7-1 Byeat Wake Forest Jordan Love 6-13-171-1-0 Eltoro Allen 13-20-1.5-0 Zach Van Leeuwen 2-77-38.5-0 vs. at Michigan Arion Worthman 1-7-64-1-0 Tim McVey 11-62-5.6-0 Ronald Cleveland 1-64-64.0-1at San Jose St Kent Myers 18-24-181-2-1 Eltoro Allen 18-89-4.9-0 Dax Raymond 3-47-15.7-0 San Diego St Tyler Williams 1-1-31-0-0 Parker Wilson 20-99-5.0-0 Geraud Sanders 1-31-31.0-0 BYU Kent Myers 16-27-176-2-1 LaJuan Hunt 18-65-3.6-0 Ron'Quavion Tarver 6-76-12.7-1 at New Mexico Arion Worthman 9-17-158-3-0 Arion Worthman 30-90-3.0-1 Geraud Sanders 4-54-13.5-1 Colorado St Kent Myers 17-29-152-1-0 LaJuan Hunt 8-19-2.4-0 Eltoro Allen 5-45-9.0-0 vs. at Navy Arion Worthman 9-16-257-2-0 Arion Worthman 20-139-7.0-2 Marcus Bennett 5-161-32.2-2 Wyoming Jordan Love 8-18-109-0-3 LaJuan Hunt 18-73-4.1-0 Dax Raymond 5-72-14.4-0 UNLV Arion Worthman 4-8-72-0-0 Arion Worthman 30-166-5.5-5 Ryan Reffitt 2-38-19.0-0at UNLV Jordan Love 19-27-316-2-0 LaJuan Hunt 16-101-6.3-3 Jordan Nathan 3-92-30.7-1 at Nevada Arion Worthman 4-7-41-0-1 Tim McVey 18-139-7.7-1 Marcus Bennett 2-28-14.0-0 Boise St Jordan Love 17-32-168-1-0 Tre Miller 7-40-5.7-0 Ron'Quavion Tarver 3-77-25.7-1 vs. at Colorado St Arion Worthman 2-4-64-1-1 Arion Worthman 25-117-4.7-1 Ryan Reffitt 1-56-56.0-1at New Mexico Jordan Love 13-24-114-0-1 LaJuan Hunt 14-117-8.4-2 Ron'Quavion Tarver 2-40-20.0-0 Army West Point Arion Worthman 6-11-95-0-0 Tim McVey 10-39-3.9-0 Ronald Cleveland 2-33-16.5-0 Bye Wyoming Arion Worthman 10-22-175-1-1 Taven Birdow 19-82-4.3-1 Marcus Bennett 3-52-17.3-1 Hawaii Jordan Love 9-14-113-1-1 LaJuan Hunt 13-111-8.5-1 Braelon Roberts 2-55-27.5-1 vs. at Boise St Nate Romine 7-10-115-0-0 Nate Romine 16-54-3.4-1 Marcus Bennett 3-63-21.0-0at Air Force Utah St

vs.

Kent Myers 125-199-1275-8-7 LaJuan Hunt 138-663-4.8-9 Dax Raymond 34-387-11.4-1 Arion Worthman 54-109-1100-10-4 Arion Worthman 217-821-3.8-13 Marcus Bennett 18-389-21.6-3Jordan Love 86-159-1096-6-6 Kent Myers 80-291-3.6-5 Ron'Quavion Tarver 36-386-10.7-5 vs. Nate Romine 9-16-133-0-1 Tim McVey 121-714-5.9-6 Ronald Cleveland 10-245-24.5-2Aaren Vaughns 1-2-29-1-0 Eltoro Allen 68-284-4.2-1 Jordan Nathan 24-309-12.9-2 Tyler Williams 1-1-31-0-0 Ronald Cleveland 43-397-9.2-3 Geraud Sanders 9-194-21.6-3

Category

2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Utah St - 53 20 22 32-42

Air Force - -4.5 27 17 52-213 22015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Utah St - -3 28 19 23-75

Air Force - 51 35 27 64-309 12014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Utah St - -7.5 34 14 28-77

Air Force - 50.5 16 18 51-155 -32013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Utah St - -9.5 52 32 46-217

Air Force - 58.5 20 16 49-162 1

Comp-Att-Yds

22-31-311

15-29-224

Comp-Att-Yds

By Game Yardage Leaders

Utah StReceiving

Phil's Forecast:

Air Force Leaders

Utah St ST's Team & Margin

Air Force ST's

Utah St DB's0.49

Utah St OL

Utah St DL1.13

Air Force OL

0.87

Air Force LB's

Utah St RB's

Utah St QB/WR2.12

Air Force 452-335

Computer Points

Computer Yards

Air Force By 7.2

3.66

Tie 31-31POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

123 yards183 yards

Game Grade

Utah St Coaches0.70

Air Force

Ret

urn

to

Tab

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f C

onte

nts

Projected Box ScoreComp-Att-Yds

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

Utah St

Air Force Coaches

32-40-360

6-18-108

7.47

Utah St Pts

Experience RankingsAir Force

Air Force Pts

Projected Final Score

Air Force K

Utah St K5-13-113

Comp-Att-Yds

Air Force 452 yards

329 yards

Projected Yardage Total

Air Force

31 points

107 Utah St

25-47-364

11-17-271 Utah St

Utah St by 8 Upset POW: ★ Utah St 35 (+) Air Force 27

335 yards Utah St

Utah St

5th straight season they are meeting, AF won last year 27-20, but was outgained 414-326. AF was a 10 win team last year and Utah St was 3-9. The Aggies are much stronger this year and have already clinched bowl eligibility. Their only losses this year are to Wisconsin, Wake Forest, Colo St, Boise St and they gave away the Wyoming game late. In their 3 MW road games, they have won by 51, 24 and 14. Air Force was averaging 38.2 ppg, but their offense has only scored a combined 33 points the last 3 games (11.0) and their QB Arion Worthman was injured last week. Utah St just faced the option two weeks ago in their 24-10 win over New Mexico. Utah St inserted Jordan Love as the starter at QB 4 weeks ago and average 32 ppg with him and they have the edge on defense and special teams.

Projected Passing

1.34

Air Force RB's

Utah St LB'S

152 yards Utah StProjected Rushing

Air Force QB/WR

2.12

1.04

By 3.82 Points105 Utah St Air Force 79

Team Schedule Strength99

Score

3-4TM REC FOE REC

Score

TM CONF

FOE CONF TM +/-

at Wake Forest

BYU

Defense

TM CONF

--PS RANK--

Pass Off at New Mexico Colorado St Total Off at Navy Wyoming Score Off UNLVat UNLV Sks Allowed at Nevada Boise St Rush Def at Colorado Stat New Mexico Pass Def Army West Point Bye Total Def

FOETEAM

at Michigan San Diego St

Bye

FOE +/-FOE CONFFOE NCAA RANKINGS FOE

TEAM --PS RANK-- APTM +/-

FOE 4-3

Utah St Aggies

at Wisconsin 2017 TEAM RANKINGS VMI Idaho St

Utah St

at San Jose St Rush Off

Air Force

Falcons LogsAggies Logs

Air Force Falcons6-5 4-7OVERALL:OVERALL:

TM REC FOE REC

vs. MTW vs. MTW

Wyoming Hawaii Score Def at Boise Stat Air Force Sks By Utah St

Ypg Diff

Net OffenseDefense

Total TO's

Uta

h S

t A

gg

ies

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

Air

For

ce F

alco

ns

Rushing Receiving

Air Force DB's

1.32

Air Force DL

Air ForcePassing RushingPosition by Position Edges

Air Force

Phil Steele

Air Force By 1.5Las Vegas Line

Las Vegas Total57 Points

+/- RatingsUtah St By 2.8

31 points

30-48-372

FOE +/-AP

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing

Utah St Leaders

OffenseNet

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TM FOE DATE SCORE

W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 104 121 9/2 17-24 L 82 93 66 51 35 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 99 116 9/2 31-26 W 86 44 55 97 79 920-1 0-0 106 9/9 45-0 W 91 85 66 1-0 0-1 0-0 0-0 104 122 9/9 20-37 L 93 43 55 29 19 361-1 0-1 0-0 0-0 109 100 9/16 28-17 W 84 74 50 120 105 130 1-1 1-1 0-0 0-0 104 101 9/16 21-0 W 92 46 12 129 122 462-1 0-0 110 9/23 73 72 93 #47 #97 2-1 0-0 106 9/23 91 47 222-1 2-2 0-0 1-0 110 100 9/30 28-43 L 71 70 92 62 88 46 #43 #64 2-1 2-2 0-0 0-1 106 111 9/30 38-21 W 95 54 17 111 89 912-2 3-0 0-1 0-0 105 115 10/7 31-29 W 79 76 108 62 37 53 #33 #97 3-1 0-5 0-0 0-1 110 89 10/7 14-3 W 93 51 38 114 121 1143-2 0-6 1-1 0-2 108 92 10/14 24-0 W 61 75 114 129 127 119 #48 #82 4-1 2-3 1-0 0-1 109 96 10/14 35-3 W 86 44 32 126 99 894-2 3-3 2-1 1-1 109 110 10/21 34-27 W 49 68 114 69 90 93 #21 #3 5-1 3-4 2-0 1-2 112 102 10/20 38-10 W 77 34 40 104 77 555-2 4-3 3-1 2-2 105 98 10/28 12-30 L 45 59 92 89 82 127 #34 #17 6-1 4-2 3-0 2-1 116 101 10/28 30-41 L 74 28 29 96 111 625-3 3-5 3-2 0-5 100 115 11/4 10-24 L 48 68 83 79 50 20 #16 #58 6-2 5-3 3-1 4-0 111 116 11/3 25-30 L 66 38 30 43 85 175-4 1-8 3-2 1-4 100 89 11/11 43-34 W 65 62 80 117 119 113 #17 #26 6-3 5-4 3-2 3-2 111 105 11/11 30-23 W 67 36 34 112 100 766-4 1-9 4-2 1-5 100 90 11/18 66-21 W 57 68 56 115 115 79 #37 #16 7-3 5-4 4-2 2-4 111 105 11/18 7-9 L 72 37 19 85 49 307-4 7-4 5-2 4-3 104 109 11/25 45 67 62 77 35 15 #61 #28 7-4 7-4 4-3 5-2 109 104 11/25 77 35 15 45 67 62

#14 #54-2 -4

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

Kentucky 17-24 110 7 -2 19 38-55 1.4 22-40 309 2 12 35-78 2.2 11-20 176 1 Miami, OH 31-26 -162 -10 0 15 25-59 2.4 20-30 208 1 25 42-131 3.1 23-44 298 2 Southern 45-0 337 20 1 27 44-197 4.5 20-32 280 2 7 26-62 2.4 10-26 78 3 at NC State 20-37 -34 -5 -2 18 25-101 4.0 26-43 350 1 23 33-144 4.4 29-36 341 2at ULM 28-17 204 8 0 23 48-284 5.9 17-32 250 3 15 37-218 5.9 11-27 112 1 Kent St 21-0 122 9 0 23 33-158 4.8 23-43 223 0 14 44-142 3.2 7-17 117 7 Bye Bye North Texas 28-43 -125 -6 2 18 29-145 5.0 19-42 270 2 24 46-174 3.8 24-41 366 1 at Cincinnati 38-21 17 1 2 22 44-133 3.0 21-34 233 0 21 26-138 5.3 22-45 211 0at UTSA 31-29 -11 -9 -1 18 30-246 8.2 15-21 212 1 27 33-102 3.1 27-43 367 3 at Charlotte 14-3 192 14 -1 23 42-212 5.0 19-28 192 0 9 26-80 3.1 10-26 132 2 UTEP 24-0 276 14 0 20 45-202 4.5 16-27 221 0 6 22-17 0.8 14-28 130 2 Old Dominion 35-3 174 5 2 18 40-195 4.9 12-23 176 1 13 36-81 2.3 14-27 116 3at Louisiana Tech 34-27 136 15 -1 30 45-190 4.2 32-53 301 0 15 34-161 4.7 11-28 194 2 at Middle Tennessee 38-10 93 6 2 21 45-198 4.4 16-24 168 0 15 31-53 1.7 14-33 220 6 UAB 12-30 -70 -7 -1 14 26-81 3.1 19-38 266 0 21 49-209 4.3 16-29 208 3 FIU 30-41 104 8 -3 29 29-142 4.9 33-52 363 0 21 48-224 4.7 14-18 177 1at Tennessee 10-24 69 4 -2 18 42-118 2.8 13-34 161 4 14 38-95 2.5 10-21 115 2 at Florida Atlantic 25-30 28 4 -4 21 41-128 3.1 20-39 253 1 17 45-189 4.2 12-18 164 0at Rice 43-34 136 2 0 28 36-186 5.2 22-31 331 0 26 49-254 5.2 10-16 127 4 WKU 30-23 -34 1 1 22 49-144 2.9 17-28 190 2 21 19-34 1.8 28-42 334 3 Charlotte 66-21 346 13 2 27 42-363 8.6 20-27 221 0 14 38-142 3.7 9-25 96 0 at UTSA 7-9 -126 -11 -1 12 23-40 1.7 16-23 189 1 23 39-88 2.3 26-39 267 1at Marshall Southern Miss

Average 31-23 128.0 5.5 -0.2 22 39-188 4.9 57.0% 257 3.7% 16 37-137 3.7 50.3% 179 7.2% Average 26-18 34.0 2.0 -0.4 20 36-137 3.8 60.8% 231 1.9% 18 35-119 3.4 57.7% 216 7.8% Conference 34-26 98.3 3.1 0.1 22 36-202 5.6 59.8% 260 1.3% 19 39-151 3.9 52.9% 213 7.1% Conference 26-17 61.6 3.9 -0.6 21 38-151 3.9 61.3% 219 2.3% 17 35-107 3.1 58.1% 201 7.9% Away 29-26 106.8 4.0 -0.8 23 40-205 5.1 57.9% 251 4.7% 19 38-166 4.3 51.1% 183 8.9% Home 29-19 40.8 2.6 0.0 21 35-140 4.0 59.7% 232 2.3% 19 38-122 3.2 58.1% 208 10.8%

Kentucky Kwadra Griggs 15-26-222-2-0 Ito Smith 16-37-2.3-0 Korey Robertson 7-111-15.9-2 Miami, OH Chase Litton 20-30-208-1-1 Trey Rodriguez 18-54-3.0-0 Willie Johnson 7-88-12.6-0 Southern Kwadra Griggs 15-23-209-2-0 T-Rod Daniels 10-83-8.3-1 Allenzae Staggers 5-62-12.4-1 at NC State Chase Litton 26-43-350-2-1 Keion Davis 8-74-9.3-0 Tyre Brady 11-248-22.5-1at ULM Kwadra Griggs 17-32-250-3-1 Ito Smith 27-219-8.1-1 Allenzae Staggers 4-75-18.8-1 vs. Kent St Chase Litton 23-43-223-1-1 Tyler King 14-101-7.2-1 Marcel Williams 8-79-9.9-1 Bye Bye North Texas Kwadra Griggs 19-42-270-1-0 Ito Smith 13-102-7.8-2 Allenzae Staggers 5-112-22.4-1 at Cincinnati Chase Litton 21-34-233-4-0 Keion Davis 20-93-4.7-1 Ryan Yurachek 6-77-12.8-3at UTSA Keon Howard 15-20-212-3-0 Ito Smith 17-178-10.5-1 Quez Watkins 5-78-15.6-1 vs. at Charlotte Chase Litton 19-28-192-2-0 Keion Davis 23-122-5.3-0 Tyre Brady 6-88-14.7-2 UTEP Keon Howard 16-27-221-1-2 Ito Smith 28-120-4.3-2 Jaylond Adams 2-104-52.0-1 Old Dominion Chase Litton 12-23-176-3-0 Tyler King 13-77-5.9-1 Tyre Brady 5-76-15.2-2at Louisiana Tech Keon Howard 32-53-301-3-2 Tez Parks 15-77-5.1-0 Korey Robertson 9-127-14.1-2 at Middle Tennessee Chase Litton 16-24-168-0-0 Tyler King 23-129-5.6-2 Willie Johnson 3-55-18.3-0 UAB Keon Howard 14-25-207-1-0 Ito Smith 12-36-3.0-0 Ito Smith 3-93-31.0-1 vs. FIU Chase Litton 33-52-363-3-2 Keion Davis 11-85-7.7-0 Tyre Brady 9-101-11.2-1at Tennessee Keon Howard 7-22-100-0-1 Ito Smith 20-51-2.6-0 Korey Robertson 8-122-15.3-0 at Florida Atlantic Chase Litton 20-39-253-2-4 Tyler King 22-72-3.3-0 Marcel Williams 4-122-30.5-0at Rice Kwadra Griggs 22-31-331-3-0 Ito Smith 24-150-6.3-2 Korey Robertson 8-159-19.9-2 WKU Chase Litton 17-28-190-0-1 Tyler King 22-102-4.6-1 Willie Johnson 4-48-12.0-0 Charlotte Kwadra Griggs 20-27-221-1-0 Ito Smith 15-153-10.2-3 Korey Robertson 6-91-15.2-1 vs. at UTSA Chase Litton 16-23-189-1-1 Keion Davis 12-41-3.4-0 Obi Obialo 6-80-13.3-0at Marshall Southern Miss

vs.

Kwadra Griggs 119-205-1623-12-2 Ito Smith 203-1171-5.8-12 Korey Robertson 65-952-14.6-10 Chase Litton 223-367-2545-19-11 Tyler King 143-666-4.7-6 Tyre Brady 56-777-13.9-7Keon Howard 96-170-1199-8-5 Tez Parks 51-278-5.5-1 Allenzae Staggers 39-442-11.3-3 vs. Keion Davis 146-640-4.4-5 Marcel Williams 40-496-12.4-2Tez Parks 0-1-0.1-0-0 Keon Howard 54-181-3.4-0 Ito Smith 33-358-10.8-2 Anthony Anderson 30-123-4.1-0 Ryan Yurachek 40-374-9.4-6

Category

2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Southern Miss - -16 24 26 45-174

Marshall - 66.5 14 11 25-60 12015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Southern Miss - 56 10 26 35-125

Marshall - -3 31 14 35-114 42014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Southern Miss - 62.5 17 23 54-186

Marshall 23 -25.5 63 25 38-335 32013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Southern Miss - 57 13 19 33-74

Marshall - -31.5 61 29 27-304 02012 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's

Southern Miss - -4 24 25 45-214

Marshall - 65 59 32 42-275 2

24-48-323

Marshall ST's

0.15

Marshall RB'sSouthern Miss DB's

0.69

Marshall QB/WR

3.48

Southern Miss ST's

Southern Miss LB'S

Marshall

Southern Miss Marshall 91

27 pointsExperience Rankings

Projected Final Score

POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

Marshall 27 Southern Miss 20By 3.69 Points

Marshall

The Herd are 16-4 in home finale’s., but will be looking for redemption after being embarrassed on Senior day last year 60-6 vs WKU. Marshall is 5-1 in the series with the lone loss being last year so they have revenge. Marshall has won their last 3 at home vs SMiss by 25 ppg. Last week Marshall gave up a FG with :02 left and lost to UTSA on the road. In their last home game, they led WKU 30-10, but gave up a couple of late scores and only won by 7. Marshall is 8-3 against the Vegas number. Marshall has played the tougher schedule (#91 vs #125) and their defense holds foes to 82 ypg below their season average in CUSA play and SMiss is allowing foes exactly what they average. Marshall has a solid home (Holiday is 36-12 in HG’s) and ST advantage.

Marshall K

Computer YardsMarshall 356-342

Marshall by 7

Computer Points

20 points Southern Miss Marshall

1.60

6.29

Southern Miss Coaches

Marshall Coaches

2.60

Southern Miss Pts

Marshall Pts

342 yards Southern Miss Marshall 356 yards

226 yards Southern MissProjected Yardage Total

Marshall

0.27

Southern Miss DL

Marshall OL

Las Vegas Line

Southern Miss OL

0.30

Marshall DL

Southern Miss RB's

0.08

Marshall LB's

Defense

ReceivingPosition by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing

Phil's Forecast:

Marshall By 2.5

Marshall Leaders

Team & Margin

0.45

Southern Miss QB/WR

Marshall DB's

Southern MissRushing

Net

FOE

FOEFOE

CONF TM +/- FOE +/-AP TEAM --PS RANK--TM

CONFFOE NCAA RANKINGS5-2 4-3

TM REC FOE RECTEAM --PS RANK-- FOEAP

Kentucky 2017 TEAM RANKINGS Miami, OH

at UTSA at Charlotte Old Dominionat Middle Tennessee

UAB Rush Def FIUat Tennessee

Score Score

Total Off UTEP Score Offat Louisiana Tech Sks Allowed

7-4OVERALL:Southern Miss Golden Eagles

Golden Eagles Logs

TM REC FOE REC TM CONF

FOE CONF TM +/-

Thundering Herd Logs7-4 Marshall Thundering HerdOVERALL:

vs. CUSA vs. CUSA

SouthernSouthern Miss Marshall

at NC Stateat ULM Kent St Bye Rush Off Bye North Texas Pass Off at Cincinnati

Pass Def at Florida Atlanticat Rice Total Def WKU Charlotte Score Def at UTSAat Marshall Sks By Southern Miss

Ypg DiffTotal TO's

Offense Defense

Sou

ther

n M

iss

Gol

den

Eag

les

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

Mar

shal

l Th

un

der

ing

Her

d

Net Offense

By Game Yardage Leaders

28-37-332

Passing

Southern Miss Leaders

Comp-Att-Yds

22-40-300

20-34-166

Comp-Att-Yds

29-58-314

234 yards

122 yards

Receiving

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

Ret

urn

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Tab

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Projected Box Score

Comp-Att-Yds

85 Southern Miss Marshall

115 yards Southern MissProjected Passing

Projected Rushing

Comp-Att-Yds

17-33-115

32-43-354

11-21-163

Comp-Att-Yds

11-20-114

13-19-186

1.88

Southern Miss K

Marshall

Marshall By 9.0

Marshall By 4.6

+/- Ratings

Game Grade

47.5 PointsLas Vegas Total

61 Marshall 27-20

Team Schedule StrengthPhil Steele

125

FOE +/-

Page 39: Phil Steele’s Inside the Pressboxplus.philsteele.com/inside_the_pressbox/2017/College/...Phil Steele’s Inside the Pressbox WK 13 UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK *this is a Best Bet H Utah

TM FOE DATE SCORE

W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 98 9/2 40-43 L 73 130 102 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 108 124 9/2 20-31 L 90 108 109 24 26 1150-1 1-0 0-0 0-0 94 105 9/9 44-16 W 57 130 102 114 123 107 0-1 1-0 0-0 0-0 110 114 9/9 24-37 L 112 113 109 49 73 561-1 0-0 95 9/16 46 129 33 0-2 0-0 108 9/16 28-30 L 109 108 1221-1 2-1 0-0 1-0 95 134 10 9/23 21-54 L 31 128 73 6 6 28 #16 #107 0-3 3-0 0-0 1-0 103 123 18 9/23 7-45 L 102 103 75 28 57 811-2 1-4 0-0 0-1 97 88 9/30 41-13 W 49 129 99 119 116 62 #95 #35 0-4 1-2 0-0 0-0 100 105 9/30 21-41 L 118 101 79 93 113 622-2 5-0 1-0 1-0 101 120 19 10/7 10-41 L 38 127 113 90 58 17 #38 #71 0-5 2-3 0-1 0-2 98 96 10/7 35-21 W 117 105 97 49 125 1282-3 1-4 1-1 0-2 98 109 10/14 30-34 L 48 128 95 75 124 40 #55 #66 1-5 4-2 1-1 2-0 100 118 10/14 42-44 L 107 106 109 31 86 452-4 3-4 1-2 1-2 100 107 10/21 28-52 L 55 128 110 112 94 4 #60 #32 1-6 2-4 1-2 1-2 104 107 10/20 42-45 L 101 115 121 63 125 162-5 5-2 1-3 4-0 96 117 10/28 26-16 W 55 129 122 66 77 57 #125 #114 1-7 1-3 104 10/28 90 121 1113-5 3-5 2-3 1-4 101 95 11/4 31-23 W 64 127 119 61 127 128 #50 #118 1-7 6-2 1-3 4-0 104 123 11/4 14-41 L 88 119 111 83 44 64-5 2-8 3-3 0-4 101 103 11/10 21-31 L 64 125 121 114 72 93 #118 #122 1-8 1-9 1-4 0-5 103 79 11/11 59-14 W 92 120 110 123 128 364-6 3-7 3-3 1-5 98 99 11/17 38-35 W 60 127 123 103 101 43 #99 #115 2-8 8-2 2-4 4-2 107 117 11/18 23-42 L 84 116 96 78 42 675-6 2-9 4-3 2-5 100 106 11/25 59 129 117 84 118 115 #121 #76 2-9 5-6 2-5 4-3 106 100 11/25 84 118 115 59 129 117

#90 #113+3 -1

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

Howard 40-43 115 4 -2 25 46-344 7.5 11-21 220 0 21 61-309 5.1 15-26 140 0 at Northwestern 20-31 -167 -8 0 19 26-142 5.5 16-37 199 0 27 50-156 3.1 28-38 352 1at Idaho 44-16 166 4 0 22 50-357 7.1 10-16 193 1 18 36-123 3.4 22-34 261 1 Toledo 24-37 -40 -6 -2 22 24-109 4.5 19-37 277 1 28 60-194 3.2 19-27 232 0 Bye Idaho St 28-30 40 7 -3 25 56-218 3.9 19-33 205 4 18 35-114 3.3 19-38 269 2at Ohio St 21-54 -400 -17 1 17 41-176 4.3 11-20 88 4 34 40-190 4.8 31-44 474 3 at Washington St 7-45 -409 -18 -1 13 24-46 1.9 14-30 105 5 31 34-55 1.6 38-50 505 4 San Jose St 41-13 86 -5 3 25 52-345 6.6 11-16 203 2 30 33-147 4.5 30-49 315 0 at Fresno St 21-41 -190 -6 0 16 23-61 2.7 31-49 253 3 22 38-192 5.1 25-33 312 1 San Diego St 10-41 -244 -17 1 10 30-104 3.5 9-22 126 3 27 45-302 6.7 14-24 172 1 Hawaii 35-21 89 6 1 26 38-268 7.1 26-34 298 0 20 35-248 7.1 18-27 229 4at Air Force 30-34 -62 -15 2 15 39-266 6.8 12-27 145 1 30 78-401 5.1 4-8 72 0 at Colorado St 42-44 -44 0 1 23 31-56 1.8 25-42 508 1 23 34-224 6.6 26-37 384 0 Utah St 28-52 -128 0 -1 25 53-375 7.1 13-30 85 2 25 47-265 5.6 20-29 323 1 Air Force 42-45 -167 -15 2 21 20-157 7.9 18-35 267 0 36 91-550 6.0 4-7 41 2at Fresno St 26-16 36 3 1 22 44-173 3.9 17-29 155 0 19 34-140 4.1 16-27 152 1 Bye Hawaii 31-23 12 0 -1 23 42-131 3.1 20-31 281 2 23 28-131 4.7 24-47 269 2 at Boise St 14-41 -177 -7 -3 17 29-142 4.9 24-37 160 1 24 35-140 4.0 25-34 339 0 BYU 21-31 22 -3 -2 21 34-122 3.6 20-33 325 1 24 42-265 6.3 14-22 160 1 San Jose St 59-14 139 -3 5 20 44-176 4.0 20-28 265 0 23 55-173 3.1 11-22 129 6at New Mexico 38-35 52 6 1 25 46-323 7.0 13-25 211 5 19 56-482 8.6 0-4 0 1 at San Diego St 23-42 -46 -7 -1 18 18-34 1.9 33-55 414 1 25 48-289 6.0 15-23 205 0at Nevada UNLV

Average 30-33 -31.4 -3.6 0.3 21 43-247 5.7 54.4% 185 7.8% 25 45-250 5.5 60.5% 213 3.5% Average 29-36 -88.4 -5.2 -0.1 20 30-128 4.2 58.8% 268 3.8% 25 47-212 4.5 67.9% 272 6.0% Conference 29-31 -35.4 -4.0 0.9 21 44-245 5.6 52.8% 172 8.3% 25 46-267 5.8 57.4% 186 3.2% Conference 34-35 -56.6 -4.6 0.7 20 29-128 4.4 63.2% 309 2.1% 25 48-259 5.4 67.8% 234 7.1% Away 32-31 -41.6 -3.8 1.0 20 44-259 5.9 53.8% 158 9.4% 24 49-267 5.5 62.4% 192 5.1% Home 38-29 12.2 -2.2 0.6 23 36-186 5.1 61.1% 262 3.0% 25 55-256 4.6 58.7% 180 11.6%

Howard Armani Rogers 11-19-220-1-0 Lexington Thomas 21-151-7.2-2 Devonte Boyd 4-105-26.3-1 at Northwestern Ty Gangi 16-37-199-2-1 Jaxson Kincaide 15-86-5.7-0 McLane Mannix 2-76-38.0-1at Idaho Armani Rogers 10-16-193-1-1 Lexington Thomas 17-190-11.2-3 Devonte Boyd 2-103-51.5-1 Toledo Ty Gangi 19-37-277-2-1 Jaxson Kincaide 12-63-5.3-0 McLane Mannix 6-139-23.2-1 Bye vs. Idaho St Kaymen Cureton 19-33-205-3-1 Kelton Moore 21-96-4.6-0 McLane Mannix 7-82-11.7-1at Ohio St Armani Rogers 11-19-88-0-2 Lexington Thomas 12-84-7.0-2 Devonte Boyd 3-48-16.0-0 at Washington St David Cornwell 13-25-97-0-3 Blake Wright 5-37-7.4-0 Wyatt Demps 6-39-6.5-0 San Jose St Armani Rogers 11-16-203-2-0 Lexington Thomas 18-146-8.1-2 Devonte Boyd 5-105-21.0-0 at Fresno St Ty Gangi 31-48-253-2-3 Kelton Moore 5-26-5.2-0 Wyatt Demps 10-96-9.6-1 San Diego St Armani Rogers 9-21-126-1-0 Lexington Thomas 14-54-3.9-0 Brandon Presley 3-77-25.7-0 vs. Hawaii Ty Gangi 25-32-278-4-1 Kelton Moore 19-216-11.4-0 Wyatt Demps 7-111-15.9-2at Air Force Armani Rogers 12-27-145-0-1 Armani Rogers 16-148-9.3-1 Lexington Thomas 1-47-47.0-0 at Colorado St Ty Gangi 23-40-428-4-0 Kelton Moore 14-29-2.1-1 McLane Mannix 7-150-21.4-1 Utah St Kurt Palandech 8-18-48-0-2 Lexington Thomas 19-161-8.5-2 Darren Woods Jr 4-35-8.8-0 Air Force Ty Gangi 17-33-239-2-0 Kelton Moore 14-101-7.2-1 Brendan O'Leary-Orange 3-90-30.0-0at Fresno St Johnny Stanton 17-29-155-0-0 Lexington Thomas 20-88-4.4-1 Devonte Boyd 5-62-12.4-0 vs. Bye Hawaii Johnny Stanton 18-26-244-2-0 Lexington Thomas 24-98-4.1-1 Brandon Presley 4-95-23.8-1 at Boise St Ty Gangi 24-37-160-1-3 Kelton Moore 17-106-6.2-1 Wyatt Demps 6-61-10.2-0 BYU Johnny Stanton 20-33-325-2-2 Lexington Thomas 16-83-5.2-1 Brandon Presley 4-88-22.0-1 San Jose St Ty Gangi 16-23-232-3-0 Kelton Moore 20-79-4.0-0 Wyatt Demps 7-115-16.4-2at New Mexico Armani Rogers 13-25-211-1-0 Armani Rogers 25-193-7.7-1 Darren Woods Jr 4-114-28.5-0 vs. at San Diego St Ty Gangi 33-54-414-3-1 Kelton Moore 13-18-1.4-0 Brendan O'Leary-Orange 11-214-19.5-3at Nevada UNLV

vs.

Armani Rogers 84-160-1260-6-5 Lexington Thomas 196-1273-6.5-17 Devonte Boyd 31-571-18.4-3 Ty Gangi 204-341-2480-23-10 Kelton Moore 141-746-5.3-3 Wyatt Demps 63-844-13.4-10Johnny Stanton 55-88-724-4-2 Armani Rogers 122-729-6.0-7 Brandon Presley 30-493-16.4-3 vs. Kaymen Cureton 20-38-213-3-1 Jaxson Kincaide 62-299-4.8-0 McLane Mannix 50-669-13.4-6Kurt Palandech 8-19-48-0-2 Xzaviar Campbell 63-302-4.8-1 Darren Woods Jr 26-311-12.0-0 David Cornwell 13-25-97-0-3 Ty Gangi 50-165-3.3-4 Brendan O'Leary-Orange 34-579-17.0-4

Category

2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.UNLV - -10 10 14 34-182

Nevada - 62 45 27 49-318 12015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.UNLV - 57.5 23 18 44-167

Nevada - -5.5 17 24 35-141 02014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.UNLV - 63.5 27 25 36-205

Nevada - -9.5 49 21 53-408 32013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.UNLV - 69 27 29 42-149

Nevada - -6.5 22 18 36-130 -12012 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's

UNLV - 37 26 32-193

Nevada - -11 42 33 64-329 -1

24-40-357

Comp-Att-Yds

TM REC FOE REC

15-23-193

Comp-Att-Yds

13-19-134

20-44-202

UNLV RebelsRebels Logs

Projected Yardage Total

6.16

201 yards

UNLV Nevada 40 pointsExperience Rankings

Projected Final Score

Nevada LB's

1.31

UNLV OL

Nevada DL

vs. MTW vs. MTW

Nevada 41 UNLV 34By 0.82 Points

Nevada 40-34

Phil SteeleUNLV

Computer PointsPOSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

Nevada Pts

The visitor has now won 5 in a row in the battle for the Fremont Cannon. Last year RB James Butler ran for a career high 196 yds. The Wolf Pack led 17-0 & 27-7 late 2Q in Nevada’s 45-10 road win. The teams are close statistically with UNLV -35 ypg in MW play and Nevada is -57 ypg. UNLV got the return of QB Armani Rogers from injury and got a late rally and win at New Mexico. Nevada has covered all 3 MW home games by 18 ppg. Nevada is +12 ypg at home and -172 ypg on the road. While UNLV has stronger numbers in most areas, they have faced just my #110 rated schedule and Nevada has faced my #84 rated sked. I will call for the home team to grab the win here.

Nevada 520-467

75 57

Nevada by 784Team Schedule Strength

110 UNLV Nevada

NevadaUNLV

UNLV Nevada

Nevada

520 yards

UNLV K

0.60

Nevada

UNLV Coaches

266 yards

467 yards UNLV

Nevada K

Comp-Att-Yds

21-39-171

5-13-46

Comp-Att-Yds

29-42-335

21-36-243

14-19-167

Comp-Att-Yds

Phil's Forecast:

Game Grade

0.86

Team & Margin

Nevada By 3

67.5 PointsLas Vegas Total

0.64

Nevada RB's

UNLV LB'S

Projected Passing

Nevada Coaches

0.86

Nevada By 3.6

+/- RatingsNevada By 9.0309 yardsUNLV

Computer Yards6.97

UNLV Pts

35 points

Receiving

TEAM4-3

Defense

Score Score

TM +/- FOE +/-APFOE

CONFTM

CONF FOE

FOEFOE +/-

TEAM --PS RANK-- APTM REC FOE REC

at Ohio St Rush Off at Washington St San Jose St Pass Off at Fresno St San Diego St Total Off Hawaiiat Air Force Score Off at Colorado St Utah St

Wolf Pack Logs--PS RANK--TM

CONFNCAA RANKINGSFOE

CONF TM +/-2-5 FOE

OVERALL: OVERALL: Nevada Wolf Pack5-6 2-9

FOE

2017 TEAM RANKINGS at Northwesternat Idaho

UNLV Nevada Toledo

Bye Idaho St

Howard

Sks Allowed Air Forceat Fresno St Rush Def Bye Hawaii Pass Def at Boise St BYU Total Def San Jose Stat New Mexico Score Def at San Diego Stat Nevada Sks By UNLV

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

Nev

ada

Wol

f P

ack

Net Offense

Ypg DiffTotal TO's

Net Offense Defense

UN

LV R

ebel

s

Nevada Leaders

UNLV ST's

Nevada ST's

UNLV DB's

Nevada QB/WR

Las Vegas Line

211 yards

UNLV NevadaPosition by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Rushing

2.24

UNLV QB/WR

Nevada DB's

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Passing

9-22-121

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

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Projected Box Score

2.78

UNLV DL1.87

Nevada OL

UNLV Leaders

Projected Rushing

1.97

UNLV RB's

Page 40: Phil Steele’s Inside the Pressboxplus.philsteele.com/inside_the_pressbox/2017/College/...Phil Steele’s Inside the Pressbox WK 13 UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK *this is a Best Bet H Utah

TM FOE DATE SCORE

W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 124 24 9/2 31-0 W 15 46 73 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 138 102 8 9/1 30-14 W 6 16 73 104 84 691-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 124 108 20 9/9 47-44 W 18 50 73 66 62 113 1-0 0-0 136 7 9/9 63-7 W 15 21 732-0 1-2 0-0 0-0 121 106 21 9/16 52-23 W 26 52 75 74 94 101 2-0 1-1 0-0 0-0 138 105 6 9/16 48-16 W 17 18 53 88 107 373-0 0-3 1-0 0-0 123 103 18 9/23 45-7 W 28 57 81 102 103 75 #129 #55 3-0 3-0 0-0 0-0 138 118 7 9/23 37-10 W 21 17 38 51 42 474-0 4-0 1-0 2-0 125 134 16 5 9/29 30-27 W 27 41 67 13 8 33 #3 #58 4-0 1-3 1-0 0-1 140 106 6 9/30 42-7 W 20 14 38 83 102 895-0 4-1 2-0 1-1 127 128 11 10/7 33-10 W 27 38 61 6 19 50 #28 #55 5-0 3-2 2-0 0-2 140 117 6 10/7 38-7 W 16 15 66 98 56 886-0 3-3 3-0 0-3 132 116 8 10/13 3-37 L 31 31 52 111 52 96 #37 #21 6-0 2-3 3-0 1-1 141 118 5 10/14 7-13 L 19 11 45 51 69 1176-1 4-3 3-1 1-3 127 114 15 10/21 28-0 W 36 27 70 47 71 47 #128 #25 6-1 3-1 136 12 10/21 28 6 627-1 5-2 4-1 3-1 129 122 15 10/28 37-58 L 36 19 66 9 57 101 #25 #4 6-1 4-3 3-1 2-2 136 119 12 10/28 44-23 W 29 6 60 16 52 717-2 6-2 4-2 5-1 124 127 25 18 11/4 24-21 W 35 24 72 11 23 3 #13 #8 7-1 5-4 4-1 2-4 136 120 12 11/4 38-3 W 28 4 37 16 20 848-2 5-4 5-2 2-4 125 119 19 11/11 33-25 W 37 22 72 42 31 12 #12 #4 8-1 6-3 5-1 5-2 139 131 9 11/10 22-30 L 24 6 33 13 23 59-2 6-2 126 15 11/18 40 18 80 #40 #5 8-2 5-5 5-2 2-5 135 118 16 11/18 33-30 W 23 11 38 47 28 169-2 9-2 6-2 6-2 126 132 14 15 11/25 41 17 83 21 12 42 #8 #14 9-2 9-2 6-2 6-2 132 126 15 14 11/25 21 12 42 41 17 83

#11 #13+2 +7

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

Montana St 31-0 368 20 0 27 25-150 6.0 40-48 361 2 7 32-115 3.6 5-12 28 3 at Rutgers 30-14 59 -2 2 17 24-84 3.5 17-30 284 1 19 42-131 3.1 24-35 178 1 Boise St 47-44 54 6 1 25 27-22 0.8 49-67 433 5 19 44-164 3.7 19-28 237 4 Montana 63-7 343 15 3 25 37-213 5.8 24-28 293 0 10 33-31 0.9 19-31 132 5 Oregon St 52-23 137 6 2 27 16-60 3.8 42-58 431 3 21 33-155 4.7 24-37 199 3 Fresno St 48-16 107 3 -1 21 30-92 3.1 25-28 328 1 18 31-119 3.8 21-36 194 1 Nevada 45-7 409 18 1 31 34-55 1.6 38-50 505 4 13 24-46 1.9 14-30 105 5 at Colorado 37-10 103 0 2 20 39-254 6.5 11-21 160 0 20 43-120 2.8 22-30 191 5 USC 30-27 135 8 1 23 30-122 4.1 34-51 340 5 15 29-163 5.6 15-29 164 2 at Oregon St 42-7 325 24 1 32 41-216 5.3 26-34 293 3 8 28-110 3.9 11-22 74 0at Oregon 33-10 92 7 1 20 25-87 3.5 24-42 282 4 13 45-132 2.9 15-27 145 4 California 38-7 284 13 0 22 38-162 4.3 27-42 215 1 9 26--40 -1.5 16-26 133 8at California 3-37 -28 -2 -7 16 26-23 0.9 32-48 314 9 18 32-106 3.3 21-38 259 2 at Arizona St 7-13 -55 -3 0 14 31-91 2.9 17-30 139 5 17 32-40 1.3 29-41 245 2 Colorado 28-0 232 8 -1 21 35-194 5.5 20-43 212 2 13 40-80 2.0 13-34 94 3 Byeat Arizona 37-58 61 19 -1 32 17-44 2.6 58-84 602 1 13 34-310 9.1 10-17 275 0 UCLA 44-23 210 9 -1 24 58-333 5.7 9-12 109 0 15 28-62 2.2 19-33 170 4 Stanford 24-21 232 16 0 25 29-93 3.2 34-48 337 3 9 27-93 3.4 9-20 105 2 Oregon 38-3 173 3 1 19 39-247 6.3 11-19 204 0 16 55-247 4.5 7-13 31 2at Utah 33-25 -29 -7 5 20 17-27 1.6 40-69 311 1 27 36-62 1.7 21-40 305 7 at Stanford 22-30 -81 -1 -1 20 33-135 4.1 17-23 190 2 21 44-195 4.4 16-27 211 1 Bye Utah 33-30 67 1 1 23 32-123 3.8 26-35 354 2 22 45-117 2.6 19-27 293 3at Washington Washington St

Average 33-23 151.2 9.0 0.2 24 26-80 3.1 67.6% 375 6.4% 15 34-130 3.8 53.2% 174 11.2% Average 37-15 139.5 5.6 0.6 22 37-177 4.9 69.5% 234 5.0% 16 37-103 2.8 63.2% 168 10.0% Conference 30-25 104.0 6.9 0.0 23 24-81 3.3 64.1% 354 6.3% 16 35-138 4.0 52.9% 193 9.5% Conference 33-15 128.3 5.8 0.4 22 39-195 5.0 66.7% 208 6.0% 16 38-106 2.8 63.5% 169 11.4% Away 27-33 24.0 4.3 -0.5 22 21-45 2.1 63.4% 377 6.2% 18 37-153 4.1 54.9% 246 10.7% Home 44-14 197.3 7.3 0.5 22 39-195 5.0 74.4% 251 2.4% 15 36-89 2.5 60.8% 159 13.9%

Montana St Luke Falk 33-39-311-3-0 Jamal Morrow 10-89-8.9-1 James Williams 13-163-12.5-2 at Rutgers Jake Browning 17-30-284-2-0 Myles Gaskin 7-59-8.4-0 Dante Pettis 3-85-28.3-0 Boise St Tyler Hilinski 25-33-240-3-1 James Williams 14-31-2.2-0 Renard Bell 7-107-15.3-0 Montana Jake Browning 22-26-259-2-1 Salvon Ahmed 9-54-6.0-1 Will Dissly 5-79-15.8-2 Oregon St Luke Falk 37-49-396-6-0 James Williams 5-46-9.2-0 Tavares Martin Jr. 10-194-19.4-3 vs. Fresno St Jake Browning 19-22-255-4-0 Myles Gaskin 8-56-7.0-2 Hunter Bryant 3-99-33.0-0 Nevada Luke Falk 36-47-478-5-0 Jamal Morrow 11-73-6.6-0 Tavares Martin Jr. 4-114-28.5-2 at Colorado Jake Browning 11-21-160-1-1 Myles Gaskin 27-202-7.5-2 Dante Pettis 3-54-18.0-0 USC Luke Falk 34-51-340-2-1 Jamal Morrow 6-91-15.2-1 Renard Bell 3-101-33.7-0 at Oregon St Jake Browning 26-34-293-3-1 Myles Gaskin 15-113-7.5-1 Dante Pettis 12-105-8.8-3at Oregon Luke Falk 24-42-282-3-0 Gerard Wicks 7-58-8.3-0 Kyle Sweet 7-86-12.3-0 vs. California Jake Browning 27-40-215-2-0 Myles Gaskin 24-91-3.8-2 Hunter Bryant 9-121-13.4-1at California Luke Falk 28-43-286-0-5 Jamal Morrow 8-51-6.4-0 Isaiah Johnson-Mack 6-59-9.8-0 at Arizona St Jake Browning 17-30-139-0-0 Myles Gaskin 14-67-4.8-0 Dante Pettis 7-56-8.0-0 Colorado Luke Falk 17-34-197-3-0 Jamal Morrow 11-73-6.6-1 Tay Martin 4-78-19.5-1 Byeat Arizona Tyler Hilinski 45-61-509-2-4 James Williams 6-28-4.7-0 Tavares Martin Jr. 11-136-12.4-0 vs. UCLA Jake Browning 8-11-98-0-1 Myles Gaskin 27-169-6.3-1 Lavon Coleman 2-46-23.0-0 Stanford Luke Falk 34-48-337-3-1 Jamal Morrow 16-66-4.1-0 Tavares Martin Jr. 7-67-9.6-1 Oregon Jake Browning 11-19-204-2-1 Myles Gaskin 17-123-7.2-1 Dante Pettis 4-87-21.8-1at Utah Luke Falk 40-69-311-3-2 Jamal Morrow 7-32-4.6-0 Tavares Martin Jr. 10-64-6.4-1 at Stanford Jake Browning 17-23-190-0-0 Myles Gaskin 18-120-6.7-3 Aaron Fuller 4-53-13.3-0 Bye vs. Utah Jake Browning 26-35-354-2-0 Myles Gaskin 17-52-3.1-2 Myles Gaskin 6-114-19.0-1at Washington Washington St

vs.

Luke Falk 320-479-3224-29-10 Jamal Morrow 81-511-6.3-3 Tavares Martin Jr. 65-769-11.8-9 Jake Browning 201-291-2451-18-5 Myles Gaskin 183-1090-6.0-15 Dante Pettis 60-706-11.8-7Tyler Hilinski 91-129-904-5-6 James Williams 89-381-4.3-1 Isaiah Johnson-Mack 57-530-9.3-5 vs. KJ Carta-Samuels 8-10-82-0-0 Lavon Coleman 83-378-4.6-4 Hunter Bryant 22-331-15.0-1

Gerard Wicks 32-156-4.9-1 Renard Bell 33-504-15.3-3 Dante Pettis 1-1-36-0-0 Salvon Ahmed 51-305-6.0-3 Will Dissly 18-229-12.7-2Category

2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Washington St 23 63.5 17 18 24-65

Washington 6 -6 45 22 35-168 32015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Washington St 20 53 10 19 12-31

Washington - -8 45 22 55-240 62014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Washington St - 63.5 13 20 18-21

Washington - -3 31 22 37-188 22013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Washington St - 65.5 17 25 23-44

Washington - -16.5 27 21 53-224 02012 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's

Washington St - 51 31 25 24-19

Washington - -14 28 17 33-75 2

Comp-Att-Yds

33-50-269

AP

22-31-342

25-41-249

Comp-Att-Yds

32-59-282

15-20-181

Comp-Att-Yds

20-34-194

33-53-350 Washington by 12

Computer Points

Computer Yards

Comp-Att-Yds

36-58-288

14-20-203

Comp-Att-Yds

27-49-355 Washington Coaches

0.90

8.90

Washington Pts

13

Wash St Coaches

Projected Final Score3.88

Wash St Pts

Wash St Washington15

Washington 30 Washington St 18By 5.02 Points

POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

Last year the Apple Cup was the battle for first place in the Pac 12 North and a berth in the title game, but Washington went on the road and led 35-10 at half and won 45-17. UW is 7-1 in home finales and won 4 straight Apple Cup's by 23 ppg. This year Wash St wins the Pac 12 North with a win, but if Washington wins, Stanford wins the North. Washington has the stronger team and their defense is holding foes to 125 ypg below their season average which is 7th best in the country. The offense has benefitted from a lot of defensive and special teams TD’s, but QB Jake Browning hit 26-35 for 354 yards last week in their narrow win vs Utah, his best effort of the season. Wash St also has solid defensive numbers holding foes to 109 ypg below their season average (#9 FBS) and DC Alex Grinch's group has 35 sacks. The Huskies have a large edge on ST’s (#42 vs #83). My computer is calling for a 12 point win and I will agree.

66

Washington 30-18

Team Schedule Strength Washington

-3 yards Wash St Washington

307 yards

Experience Rankings18 points Wash St Washington 30 points

Las Vegas Total48 Points

+/- RatingsWashington By 10.8

Game GradeWashington By 7.5

Phil Steele

Washington 347-303

53 Wash St Washington

Wash St Washington

347 yards

ReceivingRushing

Wash St WashingtonPosition by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders

Washington Leaders

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

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Projected Box ScoreWash St ST's

3.68

Team & Margin

Wash St Leaders 0.04

Wash St DB's

Washington QB/WR

0.53

Wash St LB'S

Washington RB's

Phil's Forecast:

Las Vegas LineWashington ST's Washington By 10.5

Projected Rushing2.24

Wash St K

125 yardsWashington K

TEAM --PS RANK--

Defense

Score Score

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Passing

TM CONF

FOE CONF

FOE

FOE FOETM +/- FOE +/-

AP

NCAA RANKINGSTEAMTM

CONFFOE

CONF TM +/- FOE +/-FOE --PS RANK--6-2 6-2

TM REC FOE REC

Montana St 2017 TEAM RANKINGS

Cougars Logs vs. PAC 12 vs. PAC 12 Huskies Logs

Wash St Cougars OVERALL: OVERALL: Washington Huskies9-2 9-2

TM REC FOE REC

at Rutgers Boise St

Wash St Washington Montana

Oregon St Fresno St Nevada Rush Off at Colorado USC Pass Off at Oregon Stat Oregon Total Off Californiaat California Score Off at Arizona St Colorado Sks Allowed Byeat Arizona Rush Def UCLA Stanford Pass Def Oregonat Utah Total Def at Stanford Bye Score Def Utah at Washington Sks By Washington St

LEA

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Net Offense

Total TO'sYpg Diff

Net Offense Defense

Was

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ars

Wash St OL2.06

Washington DL

0.21

Wash St DL

Washington OL

0.86

Wash St QB/WR

Washington DB's

Wash St RB's2.25

Washington LB's

Projected Passing223 yards

Projected Yardage Total303 yards Wash St Washington

Page 41: Phil Steele’s Inside the Pressboxplus.philsteele.com/inside_the_pressbox/2017/College/...Phil Steele’s Inside the Pressbox WK 13 UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK *this is a Best Bet H Utah

TM FOE DATE SCORE

W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 109 120 9/2 3-24 L 98 85 119 69 30 40 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 103 120 19 8/26 22-42 L 115 111 52 38 36 480-1 0-0 108 9/9 27-0 W 111 91 119 0-1 0-0 103 9/2 34-13 W 105 112 521-1 2-0 0-0 0-0 107 127 9/16 13-49 L 114 102 123 1 34 19 1-1 0-1 0-0 0-0 99 114 9/9 0-56 L 110 113 40 16 29 201-2 2-1 0-0 0-0 104 101 9/23 28-21 W 124 100 94 66 115 130 #126 #113 1-2 2-0 0-0 0-0 96 119 9/16 16-54 L 120 111 43 56 25 602-2 1-3 1-0 0-1 104 86 9/30 45-10 W 121 104 96 127 119 120 #101 #85 1-3 1-2 0-0 0-0 92 103 9/23 10-61 L 123 118 54 118 117 543-2 1-0 106 10/7 121 93 93 #127 #122 1-4 1-2 0-1 0-0 88 97 9/30 13-41 L 119 116 62 49 129 993-2 3-3 1-0 1-1 106 110 10/14 28-23 W 123 92 62 108 103 4 #107 #127 1-5 2-2 0-2 1-0 88 107 10/7 10-27 L 121 118 56 81 106 724-2 4-2 2-0 2-0 109 116 10/21 14-24 L 122 88 72 93 48 7 #60 #124 1-6 2-4 0-3 0-3 88 96 10/14 26-37 L 120 120 50 45 127 1294-3 3-4 2-1 1-3 109 108 10/28 42-3 W 125 81 68 70 95 58 #75 #130 1-7 0-4 88 10/21 119 117 485-3 6-3 3-1 4-1 113 112 11/4 16-13 W 124 69 64 33 102 46 #4 #63 1-7 1-7 0-4 0-4 87 98 10/28 20-41 L 120 123 31 116 73 1056-3 4-5 4-1 3-2 113 108 11/11 28-14 W 124 64 48 62 128 66 #25 #126 1-8 7-2 0-4 3-2 83 113 11/4 7-52 L 123 126 26 93 47 567-3 7-3 5-1 5-1 115 110 11/18 7-13 L 124 64 50 71 71 55 #14 #130 1-9 1-8 0-5 1-4 79 103 11/11 14-59 L 123 128 36 92 120 1107-4 1-11 5-2 0-7 112 80 11/25 122 66 49 121 128 45 #34 #125 1-10 6-5 0-6 4-3 80 111 11/18 14-42 L 121 128 45 26 97 54

#100 #129 7-4 5-2 112 11/25 122 66 49+16 -26

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

at Iowa 3-24 -30 -1 2 15 30-59 2.0 23-40 174 3 16 41-138 3.4 8-15 125 2 USF 22-42 -161 -11 -3 18 38-109 2.9 25-50 278 1 29 74-315 4.3 13-26 233 1 Gardner-Webb 27-0 198 7 1 19 28-65 2.3 22-32 328 0 12 52-173 3.3 2-7 22 3 Cal Poly 34-13 249 10 1 23 52-271 5.2 15-26 211 2 13 61-196 3.2 4-10 37 0 Oregon 13-49 -375 -22 1 10 32-117 3.7 10-25 66 2 32 65-307 4.7 18-30 251 2 at Texas 0-56 -452 -24 -2 8 23-42 1.8 15-29 129 1 32 59-406 6.9 16-29 217 0 Hawaii 28-21 -181 -12 2 11 29-177 6.1 9-19 92 2 23 38-170 4.5 29-40 280 2 at Utah 16-54 -238 -13 -2 16 37-30 0.8 17-35 233 5 29 40-160 4.0 30-44 341 1 Texas St 45-10 71 2 1 18 35-84 2.4 15-26 249 2 16 52-135 2.6 11-26 127 4 Utah St 10-61 -427 -19 -2 10 37-108 2.9 8-22 54 4 29 57-318 5.6 28-41 271 4 Bye at UNLV 13-41 -86 5 -3 30 33-147 4.5 30-49 315 0 25 52-345 6.6 11-16 203 2at Utah St 28-23 -70 -9 4 14 36-85 2.4 18-26 208 3 23 37-131 3.5 20-39 232 3 Fresno St 10-27 -143 -5 -4 12 33-108 3.3 15-26 97 4 17 51-212 4.2 15-26 136 0at Boise St 14-24 -100 -6 -2 15 34-111 3.3 12-27 131 4 21 44-165 3.8 18-24 177 3 at Hawaii 26-37 53 0 -1 23 37-123 3.3 21-33 381 4 23 50-274 5.5 13-24 177 1 New Mexico 42-3 125 5 7 18 32-75 2.3 16-28 234 0 13 40-115 2.9 10-25 69 2 Bye Colorado St 16-13 -51 0 -1 18 34-156 4.6 10-20 138 1 18 55-235 4.3 8-14 110 2 at BYU 20-41 -260 1 -3 23 41-140 3.4 25-39 198 3 22 39-266 6.8 21-38 332 0at Air Force 28-14 -149 -6 2 16 43-100 2.3 11-15 129 3 22 61-203 3.3 10-22 175 2 San Diego St 7-52 -448 -23 -2 8 21-33 1.6 12-22 167 2 31 71-554 7.8 6-7 94 1 Fresno St 7-13 -25 -3 -1 12 28-77 2.8 20-33 231 1 15 45-147 3.3 14-23 186 1 at Nevada 14-59 -139 3 -5 23 55-173 3.1 11-22 129 6 20 44-176 4.0 20-28 265 0at San Jose St at Colorado St 14-42 -267 -10 0 16 33-131 4.0 17-33 208 3 26 45-301 6.7 26-32 305 0

Wyoming

Average 23-18 -53.4 -4.1 1.5 15 33-101 3.1 57.0% 180 7.2% 19 48-174 3.6 55.8% 159 9.8% Average 16-44 -193.3 -7.2 -2.2 18 37-118 3.2 54.7% 200 9.1% 25 54-294 5.5 63.2% 218 3.1% Conference 23-16 -64.4 -4.4 1.6 15 34-112 3.3 57.1% 166 8.3% 19 46-167 3.6 58.3% 176 8.0% Conference 13-46 -208.1 -7.0 -2.4 17 36-118 3.3 55.1% 193 11.1% 24 53-311 5.9 68.4% 207 4.6% Away 18-21 -87.3 -5.5 1.5 15 36-89 2.5 59.3% 161 12.0% 21 46-159 3.5 56.0% 177 10.0% Home 17-39 -186.0 -9.6 -2.0 14 36-126 3.5 51.4% 161 8.9% 24 63-319 5.1 60.0% 154 5.5%

at Iowa Josh Allen 23-40-174-0-2 Milo Hall 9-30-3.3-0 Austin Conway 7-47-6.7-0 USF Josh Love 18-36-192-2-3 Malike Roberson 19-52-2.7-0 Bailey Gaither 6-100-16.7-2 Gardner-Webb Josh Allen 22-32-328-2-0 Kellen Overstreet 14-33-2.4-1 Austin Conway 11-135-12.3-1 Cal Poly Montel Aaron 11-17-183-3-0 Zamore Zigler 12-121-10.1-1 JaQuan Blackwell 4-84-21.0-1 Oregon Josh Allen 9-24-64-0-1 Milo Hall 11-43-3.9-0 Austin Conway 4-27-6.8-0 vs. at Texas Montel Aaron 12-23-104-0-1 DeJon Packer 5-22-4.4-0 Josh Oliver 3-21-7.0-0 Hawaii Josh Allen 9-19-92-1-0 Trey Woods 15-135-9.0-1 Tyree Mayfield 2-27-13.5-0 at Utah Josh Love 13-25-183-1-0 DeJon Packer 6-28-4.7-0 Bailey Gaither 8-125-15.6-1 Texas St Josh Allen 14-24-219-3-0 Trey Woods 21-53-2.5-0 CJ Johnson 4-57-14.3-2 Utah St Josh Love 8-20-54-0-1 Zamore Zigler 8-46-5.8-0 Bailey Gaither 3-24-8.0-0 Bye vs. at UNLV Josh Love 30-48-315-1-2 Tyler Nevens 17-94-5.5-0 Tre Walker 8-104-13.0-0at Utah St Josh Allen 18-26-208-1-1 Trey Woods 15-40-2.7-0 James Price 4-72-18.0-0 Fresno St Josh Love 15-25-97-1-1 Tyler Nevens 21-99-4.7-0 JaQuan Blackwell 5-41-8.2-0at Boise St Josh Allen 12-27-131-1-2 Josh Allen 18-62-3.4-1 Austin Conway 5-33-6.6-0 at Hawaii Montel Aaron 17-27-322-2-1 Tyler Nevens 22-84-3.8-0 JaQuan Blackwell 2-99-49.5-0 New Mexico Josh Allen 16-28-234-4-0 Trey Woods 11-25-2.3-0 James Price 4-68-17.0-0 vs. Bye Colorado St Josh Allen 10-20-138-0-0 Josh Allen 12-60-5.0-0 CJ Johnson 2-35-17.5-0 at BYU Montel Aaron 25-39-198-2-1 Tyler Nevens 26-112-4.3-0 Tre Walker 6-58-9.7-1at Air Force Josh Allen 8-11-70-1-0 Trey Woods 11-47-4.3-1 Trey Woods 1-38-38.0-0 San Diego St Montel Aaron 11-21-113-0-2 Tyler Nevens 15-46-3.1-0 Justin Holmes 3-80-26.7-1 Fresno St Nick Smith 20-32-231-1-0 Kellen Overstreet 10-31-3.1-0 Austin Conway 7-105-15.0-0 vs. at Nevada Montel Aaron 9-18-108-0-3 Tyler Nevens 21-118-5.6-1 Tre Hartley 2-50-25.0-0at San Jose St at Colorado St Montel Aaron 17-33-208-0-1 Malike Roberson 10-72-7.2-1 Tre Hartley 5-109-21.8-0

Wyomingvs.

Josh Allen 141-251-1658-13-6 Trey Woods 118-438-3.7-2 Austin Conway 50-493-9.9-2Nick Smith 23-37-300-1-0 Kellen Overstreet 71-247-3.5-3 CJ Johnson 22-353-16.0-5 vs.Austin Conway 2-2-22-0-0 Josh Allen 84-207-2.5-5 James Price 15-244-16.3-1

Category

2014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Wyoming - 46.5 20 11 30-158

San Jose St - -2.5 27 31 41-149 -22013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Wyoming - 71 44 24 43-332

San Jose St - -8.5 51 28 44-160 1

vs.

vs.

Comp-Att-Yds

San Jose St Wyoming 37-9Experience Rankings

WyomingSan Jose St Pts

Computer Points

Computer Yards

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Projected Box Score

45

Wyoming by 28 Wyoming 37 San Jose St 9By 6.68 Points

50 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

Phil's Forecast:

These two last met in ‘14 and SJSt is 2-0 in their MW meetings. Wyoming had actually beaten the Las Vegas number 7 straight weeks, but without QB Josh Allen (NFL prospect) they lost last week to Fresno 13-7, but were only -25 yards. Despite their 5-2 mark in MW play Wyoming is actually -64 ypg with their offense avg 119 ypg less than their opponents usually allow. The Cowboy D is holding foes to 74 ypg below their season avg. San Jose is at the bottom in most numbers being outgained by 208 ypg in conference play and losing those games by 33 ppg. Don’t discount Wyoming if Allen is unable to play as backup Nick Smith hit 20-31 for 231 yards last week which was the 3rd best passing game for the Pokes this year and they gained 2 yards less than Fresno normally allows and that was their best mark of the year in that category! My computer calls it 37-9 and I will agree with that.

Wyoming By 20

Wyoming By 29.0

Wyoming By 15.2

48.5 Points0.75

Game Grade

+/- Ratings

Projected Yardage Total

0.74

362 yards Wyoming San Jose St 304 yards

San Jose St Leaders

Team & Margin

0.11

Wyoming KLas Vegas Total

San Jose St QB/WR

Wyoming DB's

Wyoming ST's

Wyoming San Jose St

2.00

Wyoming Coaches

San Jose St 9 points

FOE RECNCAA RANKINGS

Gardner-WebbWyoming San Jose St

Cal Poly Oregon at Texas

1.46

Wyoming OL

San Jose St DL

Wyoming San Jose St

Wyoming Leaders

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

0.88

at Iowa

at Utah Texas St Pass Off Utah St Hawaii Rush Off

at UNLVat Utah St Score Off Fresno St Bye Total Off

at Boise St Sks Allowed

Defense

Score Score

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Passing ReceivingRushing

FOE

FOE FOEFOE

CONF TM +/- FOE +/-APTM

CONFTEAM --PS RANK--FOE 5-2 0-7

TM REC

1-11Cowboys Logs Spartans Logs

TM CONF

FOE CONF TM +/- FOE +/-

AP TEAM --PS RANK--

USF

San Jose St Spartans

2017 TEAM RANKINGS

vs. MTW vs. MTW

Wyoming Cowboys OVERALL: OVERALL:

7-4

TM REC FOE REC

at Hawaii New Mexico Rush Def Bye Colorado St Pass Def at BYUat Air Force Total Def San Diego St Fresno St Score Def at Nevadaat San Jose St Sks By at Colorado St

LEA

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Net Offense

WyomingTotal TO's

Ypg Diff

Net Offense Defense

Wyo

min

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owb

oys

Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders

1.30

Wyoming QB/WR

San Jose St DB's

0.71

Wyoming DL

San Jose St OLWyoming LB'S

San Jose St RB's

0.45

Wyoming RB's

San Jose St LB's

27-37-482

11-28-119

33-45-322

Comp-Att-Yds

22-34-267

San Jose St ST'sLas Vegas Line

San Jose St K

190 yards

203 yardsProjected Passing

Team Schedule Strength Wyoming Phil Steele99 Wyoming San Jose St 85

San Jose St Coaches

Projected Final Score37 points Wyoming

159 yards Wyoming

113 yards

San Jose St

Projected Rushing

Wyoming 362-3047.55

Wyoming Pts0.87

Page 42: Phil Steele’s Inside the Pressboxplus.philsteele.com/inside_the_pressbox/2017/College/...Phil Steele’s Inside the Pressbox WK 13 UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK *this is a Best Bet H Utah

TM FOE DATE SCORE

W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 118 123 9/1 17-3 W 32 71 94 52 96 47 0-0 0-0 117 8/31 37-16 W 81 24 271-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 122 82 9/9 37-3 W 46 52 94 129 127 120 1-0 1-1 0-0 0-1 117 116 9/9 19-13 W 59 25 27 83 40 312-0 0-0 121 9/16 41-21 W 58 49 51 2-0 1-2 0-0 0-0 119 96 9/16 54-16 W 56 25 60 120 111 433-0 3-0 0-0 0-0 118 138 7 9/23 10-37 L 51 42 47 21 17 38 #71 #86 3-0 2-1 0-0 0-0 121 119 23 9/22 30-24 W 48 18 8 16 80 773-1 2-2 0-1 0-1 116 118 9/30 23-27 L 57 53 53 14 37 82 #36 #40 4-0 1-0 123 20 9/30 47 20 53-2 2-2 0-2 0-1 116 117 10/7 42-45 L 59 48 44 18 70 105 #42 #54 4-0 3-2 1-0 2-1 123 128 20 10/7 20-23 L 43 23 3 5 28 83-3 1-5 0-3 0-3 114 106 10/14 36-33 W 50 60 33 81 102 84 #72 #64 4-1 5-1 1-1 3-1 123 132 13 10/14 27-28 L 46 24 6 13 6 304-3 6-1 1-3 3-1 114 127 15 10/21 0-28 L 47 71 47 36 27 70 #118 #110 4-2 3-3 1-2 2-1 125 123 10/21 10-30 L 43 29 12 58 56 1074-4 4-4 1-4 1-4 112 120 10/28 44-28 W 65 68 36 116 48 69 #103 #37 4-3 4-4 1-3 1-4 120 115 10/28 20-41 L 50 29 13 19 22 765-4 4-4 2-4 3-2 117 123 11/4 30-41 L 51 64 26 62 53 77 #97 #57 4-4 4-4 1-4 2-3 115 119 11/3 48-17 W 50 33 18 22 59 765-5 8-2 2-5 6-1 117 132 15 11/11 24-38 L 56 72 16 9 10 32 #110 #34 5-4 8-2 2-4 5-2 119 125 19 11/11 25-33 L 42 31 12 37 22 725-6 2-6 117 11/18 56 74 25 #72 #46 5-5 8-2 2-5 5-2 118 135 16 11/18 30-33 L 47 28 16 23 11 385-6 5-6 2-6 2-6 117 121 11/25 60 73 25 53 29 13 #96 #88 5-6 5-6 2-6 2-6 121 117 11/25 53 29 13 60 73 25

#83 #43+1 -2

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

† Colorado St 17-3 -52 -4 1 19 38-143 3.8 21-29 202 5 23 33-88 2.7 24-47 309 2 North Dakota 37-16 261 15 0 27 47-272 5.8 23-32 227 3 12 28-51 1.8 14-31 187 1 Texas St 37-3 147 9 2 21 41-91 2.2 23-36 339 3 12 47-156 3.3 8-18 127 6 at BYU 19-13 197 5 1 18 36-116 3.2 28-37 314 0 13 24-63 2.6 21-39 170 3 Northern Colorado 41-21 296 12 -1 30 39-212 5.4 29-41 357 1 18 31-71 2.3 20-37 202 1 San Jose St 54-16 238 13 2 29 40-160 4.0 30-44 341 1 16 37-30 0.8 17-35 233 5 Washington 10-37 -103 0 -2 20 43-120 2.8 22-30 191 5 20 39-254 6.5 11-21 160 0 at Arizona 30-24 -107 -3 3 21 38-112 2.9 17-28 229 2 24 42-200 4.8 24-42 248 2at UCLA 23-27 -33 -1 1 24 38-191 5.0 17-38 243 0 25 35-95 2.7 28-45 372 1 Bye Arizona 42-45 -16 4 1 29 58-300 5.2 19-32 251 4 25 43-425 9.9 11-13 142 0 Stanford 20-23 -2 11 -2 25 33-144 4.4 20-40 238 2 14 31-196 6.3 13-24 188 0at Oregon St 36-33 -184 -5 1 25 41-206 5.0 15-25 179 2 30 46-280 6.1 20-37 289 0 at USC 27-28 -96 -10 2 20 41-169 4.1 17-28 267 4 30 33-174 5.3 27-50 358 0at Washington St 0-28 -232 -8 1 13 40-80 2.0 13-34 94 3 21 35-194 5.5 20-43 212 2 Arizona St 10-30 -80 -3 -3 18 25-110 4.4 19-35 155 2 21 46-205 4.5 19-29 140 1 California 44-28 118 1 0 27 53-200 3.8 21-27 353 3 26 25-61 2.4 30-53 374 4 at Oregon 20-41 -32 1 0 20 30-91 3.0 25-43 293 4 19 49-347 7.1 10-13 69 2at Arizona St 30-41 -129 -4 -1 23 39-109 2.8 23-41 345 5 27 54-381 7.1 18-34 202 0 UCLA 48-17 257 12 1 24 50-272 5.4 15-22 234 2 12 32-134 4.2 11-16 115 1 USC 24-38 -36 0 -2 23 34-110 3.2 27-49 376 2 23 38-193 5.1 21-34 329 1 Washington St 25-33 29 7 -5 27 36-62 1.7 21-40 305 7 20 17-27 1.6 40-69 311 1 Bye at Washington 30-33 -67 -1 -1 22 45-117 2.6 19-27 293 3 23 32-123 3.8 26-35 354 2at Utah Colorado

Average 28-28 -20.4 0.4 0.1 23 42-160 3.8 60.2% 266 8.6% 23 39-200 5.2 55.2% 247 4.5% Average 29-25 54.4 4.3 -0.2 23 38-148 3.9 62.2% 263 8.0% 19 34-141 4.2 58.0% 216 4.7% Conference 26-35 -76.9 -1.6 -0.1 23 43-165 3.8 56.9% 254 8.7% 25 39-235 6.0 56.8% 260 2.9% Conference 26-29 -12.3 1.8 -0.6 22 37-135 3.6 58.2% 252 9.9% 20 35-176 5.0 61.2% 223 3.2% Away 21-26 -126.0 -4.4 0.6 21 39-146 3.7 53.3% 213 9.0% 25 41-208 5.1 53.4% 277 2.4% Home 32-23 117.2 9.2 -1.2 25 39-170 4.4 60.1% 250 8.0% 16 32-107 3.4 55.9% 196 4.4%

† Colorado St Steven Montez 21-29-202-1-2 Phillip Lindsay 19-140-7.4-1 Shay Fields 6-78-13.0-1 North Dakota Tyler Huntley 23-32-227-1-1 Zack Moss 22-128-5.8-1 Darren Carrington 10-127-12.7-1 Texas St Steven Montez 19-31-299-1-0 Phillip Lindsay 26-87-3.3-1 Shay Fields 5-110-22.0-0 at BYU Tyler Huntley 27-36-300-0-0 Tyler Huntley 19-89-4.7-1 Darren Carrington 7-129-18.4-0 Northern Colorado Steven Montez 29-41-357-4-1 Phillip Lindsay 26-151-5.8-1 Devin Ross 8-143-17.9-1 vs. San Jose St Tyler Huntley 30-43-341-4-1 Tyler Huntley 14-53-3.8-0 Darren Carrington 9-153-17.0-3 Washington Steven Montez 21-27-171-0-3 Phillip Lindsay 19-68-3.6-1 Devin Ross 4-41-10.3-0 at Arizona Troy Williams 9-18-131-0-0 Zack Moss 14-73-5.2-0 Darren Carrington 4-76-19.0-0at UCLA Steven Montez 17-36-243-1-0 Steven Montez 15-108-7.2-0 Jay MacIntyre 4-71-17.8-0 Bye Arizona Steven Montez 19-32-251-3-0 Phillip Lindsay 41-281-6.9-3 Jay MacIntyre 3-57-19.0-0 vs. Stanford Troy Williams 20-39-238-1-2 Zack Moss 15-79-5.3-1 Darren Carrington 7-99-14.1-1at Oregon St Steven Montez 14-24-168-2-0 Phillip Lindsay 28-185-6.6-2 Bryce Bobo 9-126-14.0-2 at USC Troy Williams 16-27-262-1-1 Zack Moss 20-141-7.1-0 Demari Simpkins 4-58-14.5-1at Washington St Sam Noyer 7-18-53-0-0 Phillip Lindsay 29-98-3.4-0 Devin Ross 4-27-6.8-0 Arizona St Tyler Huntley 19-35-155-0-4 Zack Moss 12-49-4.1-0 Darren Carrington 6-56-9.3-0 California Steven Montez 20-26-347-3-0 Phillip Lindsay 33-161-4.9-0 Shay Fields 4-101-25.3-1 vs. at Oregon Tyler Huntley 25-43-293-2-0 Zack Moss 10-53-5.3-0 Darren Carrington 9-130-14.4-0at Arizona St Steven Montez 23-41-345-1-1 Phillip Lindsay 23-80-3.5-2 Shay Fields 6-128-21.3-1 UCLA Tyler Huntley 15-22-234-4-0 Zack Moss 23-153-6.7-2 Troy McCormick 2-88-44.0-2 USC Steven Montez 27-49-376-2-2 Phillip Lindsay 20-68-3.4-1 Juwann Winfree 5-163-32.6-2 Washington St Tyler Huntley 21-39-305-1-3 Tyler Huntley 20-51-2.6-0 Demari Simpkins 4-99-24.8-0 Bye vs. at Washington Tyler Huntley 19-27-293-2-1 Zack Moss 17-55-3.2-0 Raelon Singleton 5-81-16.2-2at Utah Colorado

vs.

Steven Montez 214-349-2780-18-9 Phillip Lindsay 283-1402-5.0-13 Bryce Bobo 58-640-11.0-5 Tyler Huntley 187-286-2246-15-10 Zack Moss 168-827-4.9-7 Darren Carrington 60-854-14.2-6Sam Noyer 13-27-119-0-0 Steven Montez 118-307-2.6-2 Shay Fields 46-623-13.5-4 vs. Troy Williams 45-86-631-2-4 Tyler Huntley 143-480-3.4-4 Raelon Singleton 32-425-13.3-4Cas Marksberry 2-3-20-0-0 Beau Bisharat 21-61-2.9-0 Devin Ross 43-508-11.8-2 Demari Simpkins 2-3-19-1-0 Devonta'e Henry-Cole 44-187-4.3-2 Siaosi Wilson 20-393-19.7-1

Category

2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Colorado 9 -9.5 27 18 38-108

Utah 21 53.5 22 15 41-179 -22015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Colorado - 49 14 19 33-49

Utah - -16.5 20 18 50-216 12014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Colorado - 54.5 34 18 32-116

Utah - -9 38 21 35-128 12013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Colorado - 56 17 20 25-48

Utah - -15 24 21 44-155 02012 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's

Colorado - 52 35 25 35-112

Utah - -23.5 42 18 36-208 4

23-44-270

13-40-160

Comp-Att-Yds

19-38-258

20-31-317

Comp-Att-Yds

Comp-Att-Yds

10-26-108

107 yards

Colorado Utah 88

50

Computer PointsPOSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

1.17Utah 33 points

Comp-Att-Yds

13-25-128

30-52-306Team Schedule Strength

64 Colorado Utah

25-37-311

Comp-Att-Yds

24-47-273

19-33-233

0.70

234 yards Colorado Utah By 8.3

Phil SteeleUtah

22 points

Utah by 10 Utah 34 Colorado 24

The Utes are 6-2 vs the Buffaloes. Last year Utah’s only lead was 7-0 w/9:17 1Q. The gm was tied 13-13 w/2:58 3Q. After a 4Q FG w/13:53 cut the deficit to 4, Utah all’d a huge 10 yd FR TD and Utah’s last TD was w/1:34, last poss. Colorado is fresh off a late season bye while Utah is playing an 8th straight week. Utah does rate the defensive edge as their defense holds foes to 56 ypg below their season average and Colorado’s D allows foes 67 ypg above. Phillip Lindsay is the best skill player on the field with 1,402 (5.0) and they have a dynamic WR corps. Both are solid on ST’s.

Utah By 10.5

Las Vegas Total56 Points

+/- Ratings

Colorado OL1.20

Utah DL

122

By 3.42 Points

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nts

Projected Box Score 0.18

Colorado ST's

Utah 499-341

201 yardsProjected Passing

Colorado LeadersColorado DB's

0.81

Utah QB/WR

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

Utah ST's

Team & Margin

Colorado Pts4.59

Utah Pts

Computer Yards

Utah 33-22

Utah 298 yards

ColoradoProjected Final Score

Experience Rankings

at Oregon St Score Off at USC

Utah K

Projected Yardage TotalGame Grade

341 yards Colorado Utah 499 yards Utah Coaches

Northern Colorado San Jose St

† Colorado St 2017 TEAM RANKINGS

at Arizonaat UCLA Pass Off

Colorado DL1.60

Utah OL

Utah Leaders

0.92

Colorado LB'S

Utah RB's

Colorado RB's0.29

Utah LB's

Passing ReceivingRushing

APTM CONF

TEAM2-6

Defense

Score Score

2-6TM REC FOE REC

NCAA RANKINGSFOE

FOE FOEFOE

CONF TM +/- FOE +/-

North Dakota Texas St

Colorado Utah at BYU

Bye Washington Rush Off

Stanford

Utes LogsTM

CONFFOE

CONF TM +/- FOE +/-AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE --PS RANK--

Buffalos Logs vs. PAC 12 vs. PAC 12

Colorado Buffalos OVERALL: OVERALL: Utah Utes5-6 5-6

TM REC FOE REC

Arizona Total Off

at Washington St Sks Allowed Arizona St California Rush Def at Oregonat Arizona St Pass Def UCLA USC Total Def Washington St Bye Score Def at Washingtonat Utah Sks By Colorado

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

Uta

h U

tes

Net Offense

Total TO'sYpg Diff

Net Offense Defense

Col

orad

o B

uff

alos

Colorado Utah Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders

0.07

Colorado QB/WR

Utah DB's

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving

Phil's Forecast:

Las Vegas Line

Colorado Coaches

Colorado K

Utah By 11.2

Projected RushingColorado Utah

Page 43: Phil Steele’s Inside the Pressboxplus.philsteele.com/inside_the_pressbox/2017/College/...Phil Steele’s Inside the Pressbox WK 13 UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK *this is a Best Bet H Utah

TM FOE DATE SCORE

W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 112 115 9/2 36-43 L 101 49 63 55 33 42 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 96 122 8/31 29-37 L 120 119 106 30 74 170-1 0-0 112 9/9 84 55 63 0-1 0-0 100 9/9 122 106 1060-1 0-0 112 9/16 48-3 W 75 64 96 0-1 1-1 0-0 0-0 100 109 9/16 17-28 L 120 105 130 84 74 501-1 2-1 0-0 0-0 111 113 9/23 21-44 L 65 69 66 40 104 124 #90 #49 0-2 1-2 0-0 0-0 99 99 9/23 56-50 W 111 112 109 93 118 741-2 0-0 108 9/30 61 73 68 #14 #26 1-2 1-0 101 91 9/30 51-43 W 91 112 112 125 125 901-2 0-3 0-0 0-0 108 92 10/4 43-25 W 58 75 57 128 120 78 #28 #21 2-2 1-4 2-0 0-1 100 84 10/7 45-27 W 85 115 90 127 118 1252-2 1-0 109 92 10/14 51-17 W 65 79 46 125 123 112 #18 #29 3-2 2-2 3-0 1-0 101 97 10/14 37-47 L 83 110 83 124 115 1223-2 3-3 2-0 2-1 111 100 10/19 47-3 W 51 89 13 94 117 82 #75 #45 3-3 2-4 3-1 1-1 97 103 10/21 23-33 L 80 119 51 125 74 484-2 3-4 3-0 1-2 115 104 10/28 37-21 W 39 75 16 40 96 130 #46 #119 3-4 2-5 3-2 1-2 97 96 10/28 23-31 L 75 120 53 112 114 935-2 4-0 116 11/4 42 55 21 #66 #126 3-5 5-3 3-3 4-0 96 107 11/4 52-45 W 71 121 49 58 60 1015-2 3-6 4-0 2-3 116 97 11/11 19-24 L 40 51 22 122 89 47 #44 #125 4-5 4-3 99 11/11 55 121 455-3 2-8 4-1 1-5 111 89 11/18 30-12 W 55 44 9 119 114 122 #33 #122 4-5 8-2 4-3 6-1 99 139 6 11/18 14-42 L 54 122 45 11 7 576-3 4-6 5-1 4-3 110 102 11/25 57 40 9 67 122 43 #18 #96 4-6 6-3 4-3 5-1 102 110 11/25 67 122 43 57 40 9

8-2 1-0 107 12/2 66 47 76 #25 #93 4-6 3-5 123 12/2 50 13 29-2 -4

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

at Nebraska 36-43 34 7 -2 32 21-82 3.9 46-68 415 1 25 38-225 5.9 19-32 238 1 at Memphis 29-37 9 9 -2 25 49-146 3.0 21-37 279 2 16 39-319 8.2 10-25 97 1 Bye at Bye Ark Pine Bluff 48-3 213 14 5 26 37-137 3.7 26-34 356 3 12 39-56 1.4 15-26 224 4 Southern Miss 17-28 -98 -8 -1 15 37-218 5.9 11-27 218 3 23 48-284 5.9 17-32 250 1at SMU 21-44 -153 -11 -2 20 29-143 4.9 23-43 284 3 31 54-314 5.8 16-32 266 1 at Louisiana 56-50 67 -5 0 27 45-250 5.6 28-34 343 0 32 47-231 4.9 24-43 295 5 Bye Coastal Carolina 51-43 -97 -5 3 16 40-243 6.1 12-20 101 1 21 38-112 2.9 18-32 329 3at GA Southern 43-25 -112 -5 -1 19 35-65 1.9 12-26 316 2 24 63-333 5.3 10-18 160 4 at Texas St 45-27 203 6 1 24 41-156 3.8 24-37 433 1 18 39-181 4.6 14-25 205 2 Coastal Carolina 51-17 47 3 1 27 37-189 5.1 24-37 286 1 24 38-197 5.2 13-29 231 3 Georgia St 37-47 -239 -12 -1 19 37-117 3.2 23-37 314 7 31 41-224 5.5 26-35 446 1 Louisiana 47-3 301 13 1 30 43-262 6.1 24-40 309 1 17 41-91 2.2 15-36 179 5 at South Alabama 23-33 -63 -6 -1 20 41-307 7.5 14-23 179 0 26 35-232 6.6 20-33 317 0at New Mexico St 37-21 161 14 0 27 40-120 3.0 25-40 297 7 13 32-35 1.1 20-40 221 7 at Idaho 23-31 -5 -2 -2 25 29-98 3.4 24-37 415 2 27 39-158 4.1 28-42 360 1 Bye Appalachian St 52-45 61 3 0 28 38-213 5.6 24-32 356 1 25 36-169 4.7 20-29 339 3at South Alabama 19-24 25 5 -5 23 33-66 2.0 28-45 299 4 18 32--3 -0.1 25-46 343 3 at Bye Texas St 30-12 269 14 1 25 61-240 3.9 20-33 229 1 11 29-97 3.3 8-25 103 2 at Auburn 14-42 -219 -9 -1 16 41-116 2.8 16-36 217 2 25 48-317 6.6 18-24 235 0at ULM Arkansas St Troy at Florida St

Average 37-21 87.2 6.0 -0.2 25 37-145 3.9 62.3% 310 6.3% 19 41-149 3.7 49.6% 218 10.6% Average 35-38 -38.1 -2.9 -0.4 22 40-186 4.7 61.6% 286 5.9% 24 41-223 5.4 60.9% 287 5.3% Conference 38-17 115.2 7.3 -0.5 25 42-157 3.8 60.2% 289 7.2% 18 39-125 3.2 46.9% 206 12.4% Conference 41-39 -10.4 -3.0 0.0 23 39-198 5.1 67.7% 306 5.5% 26 39-187 4.8 62.8% 327 6.3% Away 31-31 -9.0 2.0 -2.0 24 32-95 3.0 60.4% 322 7.7% 22 44-181 4.1 53.6% 246 9.5% Home 39-41 -93.3 -5.5 0.3 20 38-198 5.2 60.3% 247 10.3% 25 41-197 4.8 63.3% 341 6.3%

at Nebraska Justice Hansen 46-68-415-3-2 Warren Wand 12-69-5.8-0 Kendrick Edwards 8-100-12.5-1 at Memphis Garrett Smith 10-17-171-1-1 Garrett Smith 12-48-4.0-0 Markis McCray 3-69-23.0-0 Bye at Bye Ark Pine Bluff Justice Hansen 24-31-336-5-0 Warren Wand 9-62-6.9-1 Justin McInnis 2-84-42.0-1 vs. Southern Miss Garrett Smith 4-9-60-0-0 Derrick Gore 18-96-5.3-0 Josh Pederson 3-42-14.0-0at SMU Justice Hansen 16-26-234-2-0 Warren Wand 13-75-5.8-1 Blake Mack 5-102-20.4-1 at Louisiana Caleb Evans 28-34-343-1-0 Caleb Evans 16-129-8.1-5 Marcus Green 8-117-14.6-0 Bye Coastal Carolina Caleb Evans 12-20-101-1-0 Ben Luckett 7-127-18.1-2 Marcus Green 2-23-11.5-0at GA Southern Justice Hansen 12-26-316-4-4 Warren Wand 11-61-5.5-2 Chris Murray 5-188-37.6-2 vs. at Texas St Caleb Evans 24-37-433-3-0 Ben Luckett 17-62-3.6-1 Marcus Green 4-100-25.0-1 Coastal Carolina Justice Hansen 24-37-286-5-0 Justice Hansen 9-68-7.6-0 Justin McInnis 4-63-15.8-0 Georgia St Garrett Smith 14-23-225-3-0 Derrick Gore 10-32-3.2-0 Marcus Green 2-98-49.0-1 Louisiana Justice Hansen 23-37-275-2-0 Justice Hansen 13-121-9.3-1 Blake Mack 5-65-13.0-0 at South Alabama Caleb Evans 14-23-179-0-1 Ben Luckett 11-91-8.3-2 RJ Turner 4-79-19.8-0at New Mexico St Justice Hansen 25-40-297-4-1 Jamal Jones 7-38-5.4-0 Justin McInnis 7-68-9.7-0 vs. at Idaho Caleb Evans 24-37-415-3-1 Caleb Evans 16-47-2.9-0 Brian Williams 8-145-18.1-1 Bye Appalachian St Caleb Evans 24-32-356-3-1 Derrick Gore 18-103-5.7-1 RJ Turner 6-134-22.3-2at South Alabama Justice Hansen 27-44-285-2-4 Justice Hansen 18-37-2.1-0 Blake Mack 5-94-18.8-0 at Bye Texas St Justice Hansen 20-33-229-1-0 Warren Wand 29-145-5.0-1 Omar Bayless 3-45-15.0-0 vs. at Auburn Garrett Smith 7-11-131-1-2 Derrick Gore 14-46-3.3-0 Brian Williams 3-85-28.3-1at ULM Arkansas St Troy at Florida St

vs.

Justice Hansen 217-342-2673-28-11 Warren Wand 84-442-5.3-5 Blake Mack 38-476-12.5-6 Caleb Evans 162-260-2162-12-3 Derrick Gore 143-540-3.8-6 Brian Williams 40-554-13.9-3Logan Bonner 9-21-70-1-1 Justice Hansen 92-298-3.2-3 Chris Murray 35-473-13.5-7 vs. Garrett Smith 35-60-587-5-3 Caleb Evans 111-487-4.4-11 RJ Turner 31-552-17.8-4Chauncey Mason 1-1-34-0-0 Johnston White 65-278-4.3-2 Justin McInnis 27-391-14.5-3 Ben Luckett 47-330-7.0-5 Marcus Green 38-513-13.5-4

Category

2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.

Arkansas St - -20.5 51 24 31-118

ULM - 55 10 17 42-174 -2

2015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.

Arkansas St - -14.5 59 19 50-148

ULM - 57 21 10 44-152 -4

2014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.

Arkansas St - -12 28 29 51-288

ULM - 51.5 14 16 25-72 1

2013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.

Arkansas St - 57 42 24 58-259

ULM - -3.5 14 17 28-137 -1

2012 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's

Arkansas St - -7.5 45 22 34-200

ULM - 59.5 23 24 27-76 -1

Arkansas St39 points 9.47ULM

468 yards

ULM

ULM

Projected Box Score

280 yards329 yards

POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

30 points

97

17-37-191

10-31-100

Comp-Att-Yds

Arkansas St

Computer YardsArkansas St 504-468

Projected Final ScoreComp-Att-Yds

TM CONF

FOE CONF TM +/-

at GA Southern Total Off

ByeArkansas St ULM

Arkansas St by 12Arkansas St 42 ULM 30By 8.83 Points

Arkansas St 39-30

Comp-Att-Yds Team Schedule StrengthArkansas St Phil Steele

130 Arkansas St ULM

Computer PointsExperience Rankings

26-34-334

97 Arkansas St ULM 23

69 Points

vs. SUN

5-1 4-3TM REC

Arkansas St Pts

0.63

27-47-276

Ret

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ULM Coaches

ULM DL

0.76

Arkansas St RB's

Red Wolves Logs

Projected Passing+/- Ratings

Projected Yardage Total

Arkansas St DB's

ULM LB's

0.63

0.84

ULM K

FOE +/-AP TEAM

Louisiana Sks Allowed

FOE

at New Mexico St Rush Def

FOE

Game Grade21-36-284

ULMComp-Att-Yds

37-53-357

Arkansas St

ULM Pts16-23-235

504 yards

Las Vegas Total175 yards 188 yardsArkansas St

1.11

0.16

Arkansas St K

1.45

Arkansas St Coaches

ULM Leaders

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)1.02

Arkansas St ST's Team & Margin

Arkansas St LeadersULM QB/WR

Arkansas St By 5.3

Arkansas St By 5.3

at South Alabama

ReceivingRushing

Arkansas St ULMPosition by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders

TEAM --PS RANK--

Defense

Score Score

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Passing

FOE RECNCAA RANKINGS

at Bye Ark Pine Bluff Southern Miss

at Nebraska

at Louisiana Bye Pass Off Coastal Carolinaat SMU Rush Off

at Texas St Coastal Carolina Score Off Georgia St

FOE CONF TM +/- FOE +/-

APTM CONF

--PS RANK-- FOE

at Memphis

vs. SUN

OVERALL: OVERALL:

6-3 4-6Warhawks Logs

ULM Warhawks

2017 TEAM RANKINGS

FOE

Arkansas St Red Wolves

TM REC FOE REC

at Idaho Bye Pass Def Appalachian Stat South Alabama Total Def at Bye Texas St Score Def at Auburnat ULM Sks By Arkansas St

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

ULM

War

haw

ks

Net Offense

at Florida StTotal TO's

Ypg Diff Troy

Net Offense Defense

Ark

ansa

s S

t R

ed W

olve

sArkansas St DL

ULM OL

0.72

Arkansas St LB'S

ULM RB's

3.41

Arkansas St QB/WR

ULM DB's

Arkansas St OL

Phil's Forecast:

Comp-Att-Yds Las Vegas Line Last time here it was tied 21-21 w/3:44 2Q. From that point, the A-St def took over

all’g just 7 yds on ULM’s L/12 drives, A-St scored L/38. Ark St has now won 7 in a row in the series by 23 ppg. Ark St is +135 ypg in Sun Belt games while ULM is -10 ypg. Ark St has a huge edge on defense allowing just 331 ypg in SBC play and holding foes to 40 ypg below their season average, while ULM is 514 ypg and allow SBC foes 159 yards above their season average. Ark St is 5-1 in SBC play with their closest win being by 16 points. ULM delivered for me last week as they caught Auburn in one of the biggest sandwiches ever off a big win vs a #1 team with a #1 team on deck and in the playoff mix. While ULM was fresh off a bye and they delivered only trailing 14-7 at the half in the 28 point loss as a 37 point dog. They have a reschedule game vs Florida St on deck, but are playing their FHG. The offenses are close, but ASt has a huge edge on defense and the ST edge (#9 vs #43) and ULM is actually -93 ypg in home games and -1 ypg on the road.

ULM ST's Arkansas St By 8

Projected Rushing24-41-316

14-29-162

15-32-300

Page 44: Phil Steele’s Inside the Pressboxplus.philsteele.com/inside_the_pressbox/2017/College/...Phil Steele’s Inside the Pressbox WK 13 UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK *this is a Best Bet H Utah

TM FOE DATE SCORE

W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 107 9/2 31-17 W 78 104 54 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 98 119 9/2 6-28 L 56 88 50 65 54 701-0 0-2 0-0 0-0 105 95 9/9 17-7 W 90 105 54 104 112 91 0-1 1-0 0-0 0-0 98 114 9/9 30-23 W 92 90 50 67 58 682-0 0-2 0-0 0-1 105 115 9/16 23-53 L 93 85 23 62 48 15 1-1 2-0 0-0 0-0 103 124 9/16 3-34 L 101 78 41 82 38 102-1 3-0 0-0 0-0 101 128 13 9/23 0-38 L 101 82 92 54 13 19 #70 #106 1-2 0-3 0-0 0-0 102 96 9/23 24-13 W 121 86 63 112 126 312-2 0-0 100 9/30 116 87 110 #107 #47 2-2 1-3 0-0 0-0 102 104 9/30 20-38 L 108 77 73 75 114 492-2 2-3 0-0 1-0 100 106 10/7 28-58 L 124 87 100 63 108 58 #114 #86 2-3 3-1 0-1 2-0 100 99 10/7 37-17 W 108 78 73 103 111 802-3 4-1 0-1 1-0 96 109 10/14 3-35 L 126 99 89 86 44 32 #112 #101 3-3 3-2 1-1 1-1 103 100 10/14 23-25 L 102 77 72 110 93 1272-4 4-2 0-2 2-1 93 110 10/20 31-35 L 127 104 113 108 81 19 #45 #71 3-4 5-1 1-2 2-0 102 112 10/20 10-38 L 104 77 55 77 34 402-5 4-3 0-3 3-1 95 103 10/28 38-45 L 128 106 113 56 97 14 #95 #28 3-5 1-3 98 10/28 114 85 462-6 1-7 0-4 1-3 95 91 11/4 6-0 W 128 109 106 110 117 74 #67 #69 3-5 0-8 1-3 0-4 98 91 11/4 30-3 W 115 87 45 130 120 1073-6 6-2 1-4 4-1 95 107 11/11 37-30 W 128 107 117 93 104 77 #80 #31 4-5 1-8 2-3 1-4 101 91 11/11 35-21 W 113 80 41 109 113 744-6 1-9 2-4 1-5 100 91 11/18 24-21 W 127 106 101 116 116 110 #90 #54 5-5 5-5 3-3 3-3 102 105 11/17 38-41 L 107 83 53 112 93 835-6 5-6 3-4 3-4 98 103 11/25 128 104 113 102 79 52 #19 #40 5-6 5-6 3-4 3-4 103 98 11/25 102 79 52 128 104 113

#107 #63-5 -10

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

Albany 31-17 10 -3 -2 15 31-98 3.2 18-26 187 1 18 41-115 2.8 13-31 160 7 Vanderbilt 6-28 -152 -1 -1 14 26-49 1.9 18-31 166 5 15 35-71 2.0 20-28 296 1at UMass 17-7 34 -1 0 19 48-197 4.1 13-29 169 1 20 36-79 2.2 22-37 253 8 at Syracuse 30-23 55 -5 -1 20 33-94 2.8 22-36 269 1 25 49-126 2.6 27-44 182 6 North Carolina 23-53 -195 -10 -1 14 33-102 3.1 14-32 214 2 24 49-254 5.2 16-26 257 1 at Minnesota 3-34 -113 -7 -2 11 15-46 3.1 25-42 184 1 18 47-221 4.7 11-18 122 1at Virginia Tech 0-38 -433 -25 0 7 24-64 2.7 8-26 85 1 32 57-271 4.8 21-32 311 1 Bowling Green 24-13 249 13 -3 27 43-243 5.7 24-32 290 1 14 29-1 0.0 21-35 283 3 Bye at Florida Atlantic 20-38 15 -6 -3 23 24-69 2.9 32-52 385 2 29 50-252 5.0 22-29 187 0 Florida Atlantic 28-58 -139 -9 -2 20 36-248 6.9 16-39 163 2 29 69-453 6.6 13-22 97 2 FIU 37-17 120 4 2 25 34-176 5.2 25-31 250 0 21 36-85 2.4 22-34 221 4at Marshall 3-35 -174 -5 -2 13 36-81 2.3 14-27 116 3 18 40-195 4.9 12-23 176 1 at UAB 23-25 -40 5 -1 26 32-131 4.1 24-44 263 2 21 44-260 5.9 16-31 174 0 WKU 31-35 32 -3 -2 20 48-268 5.6 17-25 180 0 23 33-73 2.2 25-35 343 3 Marshall 10-38 -93 -6 -2 15 31-53 1.7 14-33 220 6 21 45-198 4.4 16-24 168 0at North Texas 38-45 -74 -3 -1 21 48-205 4.3 21-36 181 1 24 41-151 3.7 25-36 309 1 Bye Charlotte 6-0 95 12 1 20 49-148 3.0 20-30 178 3 8 27-136 5.0 9-22 95 1 UTEP 30-3 263 12 -1 18 36-210 5.8 13-30 190 1 6 32-89 2.8 10-23 48 3at FIU 37-30 -48 -6 2 21 36-199 5.5 17-24 240 3 27 35-164 4.7 35-50 323 2 at Charlotte 35-21 101 5 1 21 41-202 4.9 18-31 255 2 16 32-98 3.1 18-30 258 2 Rice 24-21 29 3 2 21 39-172 4.4 20-29 188 2 18 50-241 4.8 8-12 90 2 at WKU 38-41 -107 2 1 27 33-137 4.2 27-46 294 1 25 33-53 1.6 39-54 485 5at Middle Tennessee Old Dominion

Average 22-31 -78.5 -4.5 -0.5 17 39-162 4.2 55.1% 173 5.9% 22 43-194 4.5 61.0% 219 8.9% Average 23-26 27.1 1.5 -0.9 21 32-128 4.1 59.3% 251 5.4% 19 39-132 3.4 63.4% 220 7.1% Conference 24-32 -39.9 -1.6 -0.3 19 42-189 4.5 59.5% 178 6.7% 21 42-202 4.8 63.5% 205 6.0% Conference 28-26 37.0 2.3 -0.4 22 33-140 4.2 57.3% 265 5.2% 20 39-148 3.8 63.6% 220 6.2% Away 19-31 -139.0 -8.0 -0.2 16 38-149 3.9 51.4% 158 6.3% 24 42-172 4.1 64.6% 274 7.3% Home 21-20 77.4 4.4 -1.0 20 34-146 4.3 59.9% 223 8.3% 15 35-89 2.5 61.8% 203 7.6%

Albany Blake LaRussa 14-20-161-1-2 Ray Lawry 5-44-8.8-1 Jonathan Duhart 5-97-19.4-1 Vanderbilt Brent Stockstill 18-31-166-1-1 Maurice Gordon 7-26-3.7-0 Richie James 10-112-11.2-1at UMass Blake LaRussa 10-22-129-1-0 Jeremy Cox 25-97-3.9-0 Travis Fulgham 4-81-20.3-0 at Syracuse Brent Stockstill 22-36-269-3-1 Ty Lee 18-50-2.8-1 Richie James 8-96-12.0-1 North Carolina Steven Williams 9-20-139-2-0 Jeremy Cox 14-39-2.8-0 Travis Fulgham 6-102-17.0-1 vs. at Minnesota John Urzua 19-34-135-0-2 Richie James 2-25-12.5-0 Patrick Smith 6-46-7.7-0at Virginia Tech Steven Williams 8-26-85-0-1 Steven Williams 6-24-4.0-0 Isaiah Harper 4-32-8.0-0 Bowling Green John Urzua 24-32-290-2-1 Jocquez Bruce 16-115-7.2-1 Brad Anderson 6-98-16.3-1 Bye at Florida Atlantic John Urzua 31-51-359-2-3 Brad Anderson 13-44-3.4-0 Ty Lee 8-136-17.0-1 Florida Atlantic Steven Williams 16-39-163-2-4 Jeremy Cox 22-202-9.2-2 Melvin Vaughn 3-54-18.0-2 vs. FIU John Urzua 25-31-250-1-0 Brad Anderson 11-112-10.2-0 Ty Lee 7-67-9.6-0at Marshall Steven Williams 14-27-116-0-1 Jeremy Cox 15-52-3.5-0 Melvin Vaughn 5-55-11.0-0 at UAB John Urzua 23-42-268-1-2 Brad Anderson 15-81-5.4-0 Brad Anderson 9-137-15.2-1 WKU Steven Williams 17-25-180-0-3 Ray Lawry 27-166-6.1-3 Isaiah Harper 4-55-13.8-0 Marshall John Urzua 14-30-220-1-1 Brad Anderson 13-51-3.9-0 Ty Lee 4-95-23.8-0at North Texas Steven Williams 21-35-181-0-2 Jeremy Cox 24-109-4.5-1 Melvin Vaughn 6-69-11.5-0 vs. Bye Charlotte Steven Williams 15-25-153-0-0 Ray Lawry 25-98-3.9-0 Travis Fulgham 4-47-11.8-0 UTEP Brent Stockstill 13-30-190-3-1 Tavares Thomas 9-68-7.6-1 Ty Lee 6-80-13.3-1at FIU Steven Williams 17-24-240-2-0 Ray Lawry 19-168-8.8-2 Isaiah Harper 3-108-36.0-0 at Charlotte Brent Stockstill 18-31-255-3-0 Tavares Thomas 29-195-6.7-2 Ty Lee 6-121-20.2-1 Rice Steven Williams 20-29-188-0-0 Ray Lawry 18-110-6.1-1 Marques Little 5-53-10.6-0 vs. at WKU Brent Stockstill 27-46-294-1-0 Tavares Thomas 18-92-5.1-2 Ty Lee 11-114-10.4-0at Middle Tennessee Old Dominion

vs.

Steven Williams 137-250-1445-6-11 Ray Lawry 117-645-5.5-7 Travis Fulgham 29-394-13.6-1 John Urzua 136-220-1522-7-9 Brad Anderson 89-491-5.5-0 Ty Lee 66-846-12.8-5Blake LaRussa 33-53-383-2-3 Jeremy Cox 147-621-4.2-4 Isaiah Harper 31-379-12.2-0 vs. Brent Stockstill 98-174-1174-11-3 Tavares Thomas 77-458-5.9-8 Brad Anderson 33-338-10.2-3Jordan Hoy 8-19-73-0-0 Steven Williams 87-250-2.9-3 Melvin Vaughn 31-338-10.9-3 Kyle Banks 6-11-49-0-0 Jocquez Bruce 35-161-4.6-1 Patrick Smith 29-329-11.3-2

Category

2014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Old Dominion - -3.5 28 24 19-41

Middle Tenn - 69 41 29 57-280 2

vs.

vs.

vs.

Projected Yardage Total

Old Dominion

Old Dominion

Ret

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Projected Box ScoreComp-Att-Yds

29-44-362

25-30-259

158 yards Old Dominion

POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:91

Projected Rushing

19 points Old Dominion

Middle Tenn 69

Projected Passing267 yards Old Dominion Coaches

Old Dominion K

Middle Tenn K

Middle Tenn Coaches

156 yards

Total Off

Team Schedule Strength Middle Tenn108 Old Dominion Middle Tenn Middle Tenn by 10 Middle Tennessee 30 Old Dominion 20By 5.73 Points

Middle Tenn

Middle Tenn

Middle Tenn

ReceivingRushing

It’s Sr day in Murfreesboro and MT has won their last 5 home finales by 18 ppg. MT won the only prior mtg in ‘14, 41-28. Since returning from injury Brent Stockstill has a 7-1 ratio for the Blue Raiders. Versus 5 common opp’s MT is -3 ppg and +7 ypg with ODU -11 ppg and -72 ypg and most of those for MT were without QB Stockstill. ODU was without RB Ray Lawry for basically 6 games and he has topped 100 yds in 3 of the last 5 with ODU’s 17 year old QB Steven Williams getting better by the week and he has hit 70% the last 2 games and he had a 4-11 ratio his first 6 games, but 2-0 the last 3. MT is +37 ypg in CUSA play and ODU is -40 ypg.

Middle Tenn ST's

Game GradeMiddle Tenn By 11.0

Middle Tenn 424-292

FIUat Marshall Score Off at UAB WKU

0.36

Old Dominion Pts

28 pointsExperience Rankings

Projected Final Score

Monarchs Logs

Old Dominion Monarchs

Old Dominion RB's

0.94

Middle Tenn LB's

Passing Rushing Receiving

2017 TEAM RANKINGS

vs. CUSA vs. CUSA

Bye Charlotte Pass Def UTEPat FIU Total Def at Charlotte Rice Score Def at WKUat Middle Tennessee Sks By

Middle Tenn By 8.8

Middle Tenn 28-19Computer Points

Phil's Forecast:

Computer Yards

Team & Margin

1.00Las Vegas Total

1.12Las Vegas Line

Middle Tenn By 11.5

48.5 Points

+/- Ratings

Middle Tenn Leaders

6.08

Middle Tenn Pts

Old Dominion ST's

Old Dominion DB's

1.67Middle Tenn QB/WR

FOE

FOE FOENCAA RANKINGSTEAM --PS RANK--3-4TM

CONFFOE

CONF TM +/- FOE +/-APAP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE TM

CONF3-4

TM REC FOE REC

Defense

Score Score

FOE CONF TM +/- FOE +/-

Albany Vanderbiltat UMass

Old Dominion Middle Tenn North Carolina

at Syracuseat Minnesota

at Virginia Tech Rush Off Bowling Green Bye Pass Off at Florida Atlantic Florida Atlantic

Sks Allowed Marshallat North Texas Rush Def

Blue Raiders Logs

OVERALL: OVERALL: Middle Tenn Blue Raiders5-6 5-6

TM REC FOE REC

Old Dominion

Total TO'sYpg Diff

Net Offense Defense

Old

Dom

inio

n M

onar

chs

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

Mid

dle

Ten

n B

lue

Rai

der

s

Net Offense

By Game Yardage Leaders

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

Old Dominion Leaders

Old Dominion LB'S

0.93

Middle Tenn RB's

Passing

424 yards

Old Dominion DL

0.01

Middle Tenn OL

Phil Steele

Old Dominion OL

0.42

Middle Tenn DL

Old Dominion Middle TennPosition by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders

0.36

Old Dominion QB/WR

Middle Tenn DB's

111

Middle Tenn

133 yards

292 yards Old Dominion

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TM FOE DATE SCORE

W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 137 104 9 9/1 59-10 W 46 10 38 118 109 101 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 123 99 8/31 17-7 W 85 57 4 123 110 1251-0 0-1 0-0 0-0 139 96 9 9/9 31-14 W 41 11 38 76 119 93 1-0 1-1 0-0 0-0 120 108 9/9 48-14 W 86 46 4 66 95 1122-0 1-2 0-0 0-2 135 111 10 9/16 40-6 W 30 11 57 105 58 35 2-0 1-1 0-0 0-0 124 103 9/16 34-3 W 82 38 10 101 78 413-0 0-0 138 9 9/23 23 11 56 #21 #41 3-0 0-0 125 9/23 80 36 53-0 2-1 0-0 0-0 138 123 10 9/30 33-24 W 17 13 55 35 34 77 #98 #121 3-0 2-1 0-0 0-0 125 111 9/30 24-31 L 74 32 6 43 49 504-0 3-2 1-0 2-0 136 116 9 10/7 38-17 W 21 11 64 70 36 41 #44 #121 3-1 2-2 0-1 0-1 120 119 10/7 17-31 L 87 39 7 84 59 1065-0 3-2 2-0 1-1 136 121 7 10/14 17-9 W 21 12 65 80 62 103 #25 #95 3-2 4-1 0-2 2-0 118 124 21 10/14 27-30 L 99 42 25 39 18 1216-0 3-3 3-0 1-2 134 111 5 10/21 38-13 W 20 10 66 68 61 76 #37 #45 3-3 2-4 0-3 0-3 118 100 10/21 24-17 W 105 49 24 111 91 597-0 2-5 4-0 0-4 134 102 5 10/28 24-10 W 20 11 67 113 86 110 #1 #62 4-3 4-3 1-3 1-3 116 123 10/28 10-17 L 100 53 81 85 35 618-0 3-5 5-0 0-5 131 117 4 11/4 45-17 W 26 12 62 97 41 43 #7 #14 4-4 6-2 1-4 3-2 116 125 11/4 10-33 L 108 52 55 38 3 329-0 6-3 6-0 3-3 134 128 6 25 11/11 38-14 W 26 8 55 78 24 29 #2 #28 4-5 4-5 1-5 3-3 114 115 11/11 54-21 W 115 60 64 66 59 1710-0 8-2 7-0 5-2 136 129 5 19 11/18 24-10 W 26 4 49 37 3 39 #2 #36 5-5 7-3 2-5 5-2 118 125 11/18 0-39 L 111 58 44 45 30 4811-0 5-6 8-0 2-6 136 114 5 11/25 29 3 34 113 65 58 #4 #54 5-6 11-0 2-6 8-0 114 136 5 11/25 113 65 58 29 3 34

9-2 7-1 143 12/2 1 7 48 #4 #78+4 -1

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

Utah St 59-10 174 9 2 25 45-234 5.2 15-23 244 3 16 27-85 3.1 25-41 219 1 Buffalo 17-7 146 8 0 21 51-169 3.3 19-32 239 0 13 22-51 2.3 22-42 211 1 Florida Atlantic 31-14 316 20 -2 29 54-357 6.6 17-30 207 0 9 35-106 3.0 9-19 142 5 at Oregon St 48-14 186 7 2 21 58-253 4.4 7-8 158 0 14 26-80 3.1 17-29 145 3at BYU 40-6 299 17 2 28 49-235 4.8 18-19 256 1 11 26-81 3.1 11-20 111 2 Middle Tennessee 34-3 113 7 2 18 47-221 4.7 11-18 122 1 11 15-46 3.1 25-42 184 1 Bye Bye Northwestern 33-24 62 -7 -1 13 37-109 2.9 11-20 197 2 20 34-25 0.7 29-45 219 8 Maryland 24-31 -107 -5 -2 18 31-80 2.6 13-26 229 0 23 47-262 5.6 18-28 154 0at Nebraska 38-17 85 3 1 19 49-353 7.2 9-17 113 1 16 26-110 4.2 18-35 271 1 at Purdue 17-31 -111 -6 2 16 47-227 4.8 11-25 101 0 22 29-132 4.6 25-36 307 4 Purdue 17-9 273 10 -2 24 53-295 5.6 13-18 199 1 14 26-66 2.5 13-29 155 3 Michigan St 27-30 -75 -5 1 14 27-74 2.7 16-32 216 2 19 50-245 4.9 9-18 120 0 Maryland 38-13 172 5 0 23 41-215 5.2 16-24 225 0 18 35-143 4.1 13-30 125 2 Illinois 24-17 57 7 -1 22 55-292 5.3 5-15 47 0 15 36-121 3.4 20-27 161 3at Illinois 24-10 17 2 2 19 45-168 3.7 10-19 135 1 17 33-134 4.1 9-31 152 5 at Iowa 10-17 -34 0 1 15 43-142 3.3 9-29 139 4 15 33-125 3.8 15-27 190 0at Indiana 45-17 141 8 2 24 52-237 4.6 15-22 170 3 16 21-40 1.9 20-34 226 4 at Michigan 10-33 -263 -1 -1 13 44-90 2.0 5-12 74 5 14 37-371 10.0 8-13 56 3 Iowa 38-14 316 13 -1 18 49-247 5.0 11-18 135 2 5 26-25 1.0 8-24 41 4 Nebraska 54-21 134 4 0 24 45-409 9.1 9-16 105 1 20 33-69 2.1 25-36 311 6 Michigan 24-10 91 1 1 14 40-182 4.6 9-19 143 3 13 37-58 1.6 11-26 176 2 at Northwestern 0-39 -181 -15 -5 7 38-139 3.7 2-11 43 6 22 55-277 5.0 9-13 86 2at Minnesota Wisconsin† Ohio St

Average 35-13 176.9 7.4 0.4 21 47-239 5.1 62.9% 184 7.4% 14 30-79 2.7 49.7% 167 11.1% Average 24-22 -12.3 0.1 -0.1 17 44-191 4.3 47.8% 134 8.5% 17 35-162 4.6 62.1% 175 7.4% Conference 32-14 144.6 4.4 0.3 19 46-226 4.9 59.9% 165 8.3% 15 30-75 2.5 47.6% 171 11.4% Conference 21-27 -72.5 -2.6 -0.6 16 41-182 4.4 42.2% 119 10.8% 19 40-200 5.0 65.2% 173 9.1% Away 37-13 135.5 7.5 1.8 23 49-248 5.1 67.5% 169 7.8% 15 27-91 3.4 48.3% 190 10.0% Home 30-18 44.7 2.7 0.0 20 43-208 4.9 52.5% 160 2.9% 17 34-132 3.9 61.7% 190 5.7%

Utah St Alex Hornibrook 15-23-244-3-0 Jonathan Taylor 9-87-9.7-1 Troy Fumagalli 5-105-21.0-1 Buffalo Conor Rhoda 12-21-176-1-1 Rodney Smith 23-76-3.3-0 Tyler Johnson 6-141-23.5-1 Florida Atlantic Alex Hornibrook 16-28-201-1-1 Jonathan Taylor 26-223-8.6-3 Troy Fumagalli 8-92-11.5-1 at Oregon St Conor Rhoda 7-8-158-1-0 Rodney Smith 30-92-3.1-1 Tyler Johnson 4-127-31.8-1at BYU Alex Hornibrook 18-19-256-4-0 Jonathan Taylor 18-128-7.1-1 Danny Davis 2-67-33.5-0 vs. Middle Tennessee Conor Rhoda 11-18-122-0-0 Rodney Smith 16-107-6.7-0 Nate Wozniak 2-52-26.0-0 Bye Bye Northwestern Alex Hornibrook 11-20-197-1-2 Jonathan Taylor 19-80-4.2-2 Quintez Cephus 4-99-24.8-0 Maryland Conor Rhoda 13-26-229-1-2 Shannon Brooks 12-39-3.3-1 Tyler Johnson 3-69-23.0-0at Nebraska Alex Hornibrook 9-17-113-1-1 Jonathan Taylor 25-249-10.0-2 Quintez Cephus 4-68-17.0-1 vs. at Purdue Conor Rhoda 11-25-101-2-1 Shannon Brooks 18-116-6.4-0 Rashad Still 1-32-32.0-0 Purdue Alex Hornibrook 13-18-199-1-2 Jonathan Taylor 30-219-7.3-1 Quintez Cephus 5-100-20.0-1 Michigan St Demry Croft 11-20-163-3-1 Rodney Smith 11-44-4.0-0 Tyler Johnson 8-106-13.3-3 Maryland Alex Hornibrook 16-24-225-2-1 Jonathan Taylor 22-126-5.7-1 Troy Fumagalli 7-83-11.9-0 Illinois Demry Croft 5-15-47-1-2 Kobe McCrary 24-153-6.4-1 Tyler Johnson 2-27-13.5-1at Illinois Alex Hornibrook 10-19-135-0-1 Jonathan Taylor 12-73-6.1-0 Kendric Pryor 2-37-18.5-0 vs. at Iowa Demry Croft 9-29-139-0-1 Rodney Smith 15-82-5.5-0 Tyler Johnson 4-92-23.0-0at Indiana Alex Hornibrook 13-20-158-2-1 Jonathan Taylor 29-183-6.3-1 AJ Taylor 3-63-21.0-0 at Michigan Demry Croft 5-12-74-0-0 Rodney Smith 18-38-2.1-1 Phillip Howard 2-41-20.5-0 Iowa Alex Hornibrook 11-18-135-2-3 Jonathan Taylor 29-157-5.4-0 Danny Davis 4-74-18.5-0 Nebraska Demry Croft 9-15-105-0-0 Demry Croft 10-183-18.3-3 Tyler Johnson 3-57-19.0-0 Michigan Alex Hornibrook 9-19-143-1-1 Jonathan Taylor 19-132-6.9-0 AJ Taylor 3-79-26.3-1 vs. at Northwestern Demry Croft 2-11-43-0-3 Rodney Smith 18-96-5.3-0 Rashad Still 1-36-36.0-0at Minnesota Wisconsin† Ohio St

vs.

Alex Hornibrook 141-225-2006-18-13 Jonathan Taylor 238-1657-7.0-12 Quintez Cephus 30-501-16.7-6 Conor Rhoda 59-110-839-5-4 Rodney Smith 213-895-4.2-3 Tyler Johnson 35-677-19.3-7Jack Coan 3-3-18-0-0 Bradrick Shaw 93-359-3.9-4 Troy Fumagalli 36-460-12.8-3 vs. Demry Croft 48-113-634-4-7 Kobe McCrary 82-476-5.8-8 Phillip Howard 11-132-12.0-0Team 0-1-0-0-0 Garrett Groshek 51-257-5.0-2 AJ Taylor 18-315-17.5-4 TEAM 0-1-0-0-0 Shannon Brooks 80-362-4.5-5 Nate Wozniak 7-104-14.9-0

Category

2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.

Wisconsin 5 -14 31 19 47-210

Minnesota - 43.5 17 18 38-128 -3

2015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.

Wisconsin - -2.5 31 20 62-257

Minnesota - 43.5 21 11 18-53 -4

2014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.

Wisconsin 14 -14 34 20 46-233

Minnesota 22 50 24 12 44-177 0

2013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.

Wisconsin 16 -16.5 20 18 45-197

Minnesota - 50 7 11 32-102 -2

2012 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's

Wisconsin - -16.5 38 24 54-337

Minnesota - 45 13 12 30-96 -2

16-37-223

Minnesota

13-24-149

33 points Wisconsin 13 points

Experience Rankings7-23-83

Comp-Att-Yds

11-18-215

5-18-95

Minnesota

Wisconsin 35 Minnesota 13By 11.41 Points

Wisconsin

Wisconsin 33-13

Comp-Att-Yds

7-15-106

Computer PointsPOSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

Phil SteeleWisconsin by 22

116

16-26-127

33 Wisconsin Minnesota

Team Schedule Strength55 Wisconsin Minnesota

Wisconsin Coaches

Wisconsin 368-222

Projected Final Score11.41

Computer YardsWisconsin Pts

0.00

Minnesota Pts

127 yards

Wisconsin By 15.4

Las Vegas Total

368 yards Wisconsin Minnesota Coaches

Wisconsin

Projected Yardage TotalMinnesota 101 yards

1.30

9-17-79

Comp-Att-Yds 241 yards Wisconsin

Projected Passing

Ret

urn

to

Tab

le o

f C

onte

nts

1.52

Wisconsin DL

Minnesota OL

Minnesota

Comp-Att-Yds

Wisconsin Badgers

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

Wisconsin Leaders

121 yards

Projected Rushing

Projected Box ScoreComp-Att-Yds

13-22-152

9-26-158

Receiving

Minnesota DB's

Rushing Receiving

Middle Tennessee

Minnesota DL

Wisconsin MinnesotaPosition by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders

0.59

1.42

Wisconsin RB's

Minnesota LB's

1.50

Wisconsin OL

Purdue Score Off Michigan Stat Nebraska

Maryland Sks Allowed Illinois

Rush Off Bye Northwestern Pass Off Maryland Bye

Total Off at Purdue

2.47

Wisconsin LB'S

Minnesota RB's

56

Florida AtlanticWisconsin Minnesota

at Oregon Stat BYU

Passing Rushing

Defense

Score

vs. BIG 10Badgers LogsTM

CONF--PS RANK-- FOE

TM REC FOE REC FOE CONF TM +/- FOE +/-

vs. BIG 10

OVERALL: OVERALL: Minnesota Golden Gophers11-0 5-6

AP TEAM

Golden Gophers Logs

FOE FOENCAA RANKINGSTEAM --PS RANK-- FOE

2017 TEAM RANKINGS Buffalo Utah St

APTM CONF

FOE CONF TM +/- FOE +/-

8-0 2-6TM REC FOE REC

Minnesota K

Game Grade

at Illinois Rush Def at Iowaat Indiana Pass Def at Michigan Iowa Total Def Nebraska Michigan Score Def at Northwesternat Minnesota Sks By Wisconsin

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

Min

nes

ota

Gol

den

Gop

her

s

Net Offense

Total TO'sYpg Diff† Ohio St

Wisconsin QB/WR

Wisconsin ST's

Net Offense Defense

Wis

con

sin

Bad

ger

s

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing

Score

Phil's Forecast:

Las Vegas Line The Badgers have now won Paul Bunyan’s Axe 13 years in a row and have won each of the last 7 by double-digits (17.1 ppg). Last year UM led 17-7 at HT, but in the 2H were shutout & outgained 229-100. UM tossed three 2H int’s including a key interception on their opening half poss in the EZ up by a TD and UW won 31-17 at home. Minny has a common denominator in their 5 wins as they outrushed their foes by an average of 269-73 and those were the only games that they held their opp’s to under 125 yards rush. The last two times they faced a physical team at the line of scrimmage they lost to Michigan by 23 and Northwestern by 39. Wisconsin is more physical on both sides of the ball and held NW and Michigan to 41 ypg and 1.2 ypc. Wisconsin is averaging 239 rush (5.1) and allows just 79 ypg rush 2.7. Minnesota QB’s are hitting 47.8% with a 9-11 ratio. The situation favors Minny as this is their FHG and Wisconsin is off big games vs Iowa and Michigan and have Ohio State on deck, but there is too much of a talent edge here.

Minnesota ST's Wisconsin By 17

43 Points

1.95

Wisconsin DB's

Minnesota QB/WR

Minnesota Leaders

0.23

0.42

Wisconsin K

Team & Margin

Wisconsin By 18.3

222 yards

+/- Ratings

Page 46: Phil Steele’s Inside the Pressboxplus.philsteele.com/inside_the_pressbox/2017/College/...Phil Steele’s Inside the Pressbox WK 13 UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK *this is a Best Bet H Utah

TM FOE DATE SCORE

W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 130 116 9/2 49-16 W 14 27 49 93 68 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 127 102 14 8/26 62-7 W 21 8 43 113 103 851-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 134 126 24 15 9/9 19-20 L 7 24 49 11 16 58 1-0 0-0 131 14 9/2 13 6 431-1 1-1 0-1 0-1 131 112 9/16 49-20 W 11 22 70 81 33 63 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 130 137 14 6 9/9 24-42 L 8 19 38 8 13 252-1 2-0 1-1 0-0 133 118 9/23 38-18 W 7 22 70 41 16 127 #6 #26 1-1 2-0 0-1 0-0 127 117 19 9/16 17-20 L 12 28 16 73 50 63-1 2-2 2-1 1-0 134 111 22 9/30 52-17 W 8 23 70 109 75 98 #109 #100 1-2 2-1 0-1 0-0 129 121 9/23 58-34 W 10 31 11 17 31 714-1 1-4 2-1 0-3 135 115 21 10/7 33-10 W 4 24 75 54 52 60 #25 #70 2-2 2-2 1-1 1-0 128 117 9/30 34-24 W 8 30 9 55 64 1065-1 3-1 136 16 10/14 4 21 84 #19 #42 3-2 4-0 2-1 1-0 128 123 20 10/7 23-20 W 5 28 8 43 23 35-1 6-1 3-1 4-1 136 130 13 11 10/21 49-14 W 6 18 88 12 7 30 #45 #13 4-2 4-2 3-1 1-2 132 123 23 10/14 49-7 W 5 32 6 8 17 436-1 6-1 4-1 4-0 140 129 9 14 10/28 35-14 W 5 17 91 26 25 98 #52 #71 5-2 4-1 132 22 10/21 4 33 57-1 5-3 5-1 2-3 141 125 5 11/4 48-37 W 5 15 116 63 49 69 #61 #59 5-2 1-6 4-1 0-4 128 110 20 10/26 15-14 W 8 29 4 85 92 928-1 8-0 6-1 6-0 140 133 3 7 11/11 8-41 L 4 17 114 17 14 38 #47 #61 6-2 7-2 5-1 4-2 127 124 18 25 11/4 21-24 L 11 23 3 35 24 728-2 6-3 6-2 4-3 135 113 9 11/18 24-17 W 4 17 118 32 109 63 #25 #29 6-3 8-1 5-2 5-1 131 139 9 11/10 30-22 W 13 23 5 24 6 339-2 8-3 6-2 7-2 132 128 9 11/25 5 19 111 13 22 5 #76 #40 7-3 5-5 6-2 2-5 128 116 20 11/18 17-14 W 13 22 5 109 54 62

#24 #71 9-2 6-2 132 20 9 11/25 5 19 111+6 +11

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

Temple 49-16 276 8 0 26 44-422 9.6 17-30 184 2 18 37-85 2.3 19-35 245 3 † Rice 62-7 415 13 2 27 36-287 8.0 21-37 369 2 14 38-146 3.8 10-24 95 2 Georgia 19-20 -61 2 0 18 37-55 1.5 20-40 210 3 16 43-185 4.3 16-29 141 2 Byeat Boston College 49-20 211 -3 1 19 51-515 10.1 11-27 96 0 22 44-185 4.2 24-41 215 1 at USC 24-42 -281 -12 2 16 26-170 6.5 15-28 172 2 28 48-307 6.4 21-26 316 1at Michigan St 38-18 -141 -5 3 21 40-182 4.6 14-20 173 1 26 32-151 4.7 32-53 345 2 at San Diego St 17-20 -120 -12 -3 9 22-174 7.9 9-20 64 4 21 49-171 3.5 21-29 187 6 Miami, OH 52-17 126 2 2 21 39-333 8.5 10-23 170 2 19 33-115 3.5 19-37 262 3 UCLA 58-34 -42 -4 3 23 45-405 9.0 16-24 148 0 27 15-115 7.7 40-60 480 1at North Carolina 33-10 222 14 1 27 57-341 6.0 17-31 146 1 13 28-86 3.1 19-42 179 2 Arizona St 34-24 92 -5 1 17 33-328 9.9 15-24 173 0 22 46-214 4.7 16-25 195 3 Bye at Utah 23-20 2 -11 2 14 31-196 6.3 13-24 188 0 25 33-144 4.4 20-40 238 2 USC 49-14 161 5 1 23 47-377 8.0 9-22 120 1 18 31-76 2.5 25-36 260 5 Oregon 49-7 195 13 1 25 41-248 6.0 21-28 256 0 12 43-276 6.4 5-13 33 2 NC State 35-14 159 11 1 25 54-318 5.9 10-19 104 2 14 24-50 2.1 17-37 213 1 Bye Wake Forest 48-37 123 -4 1 30 46-380 8.3 23-38 330 1 34 40-239 6.0 30-48 348 1 at Oregon St 15-14 -42 -8 2 12 27-81 3.0 16-33 141 1 20 41-138 3.4 13-22 126 2at Miami, Fl 8-41 -113 -5 -4 13 36-109 3.0 13-27 152 5 18 42-237 5.6 15-24 137 0 at Washington St 21-24 -232 -16 0 9 27-93 3.4 9-20 105 2 25 29-93 3.2 24-48 337 3 Navy 24-17 9 -7 0 16 31-163 5.3 9-18 164 1 23 72-277 3.8 3-8 41 0 Washington 30-22 81 1 1 21 44-195 4.4 16-27 211 1 20 33-135 4.1 17-23 190 2at Stanford California 17-14 41 2 0 21 38-193 5.1 17-26 185 0 19 28-155 5.5 20-29 182 1

Notre Dame

Average 37-20 88.4 1.6 0.5 22 44-290 6.6 51.9% 168 6.4% 20 39-153 4.0 56.2% 217 5.1% Average 32-21 9.9 -3.5 1.0 18 34-215 6.4 57.7% 183 4.1% 21 37-172 4.7 61.1% 216 7.4% Conference 35-22 70.1 1.9 0.5 22 46-285 6.2 52.2% 166 6.3% 20 36-151 4.3 57.4% 230 4.5% Conference 30-22 -20.7 -4.4 1.3 18 35-212 6.1 59.0% 175 2.6% 22 35-175 5.0 61.5% 233 5.9% Away 32-22 44.8 0.3 0.3 20 46-287 6.2 52.4% 142 6.7% 20 37-165 4.5 56.3% 219 3.1% Home 38-20 73.4 1.4 1.2 21 40-274 6.8 65.9% 195 0.8% 20 33-179 5.4 65.3% 216 6.0%

Temple Brandon Wimbush 17-30-184-2-1 Josh Adams 19-161-8.5-2 Equanimeous St. Brown 4-80-20.0-1 † Rice Keller Chryst 14-24-253-2-0 Bryce Love 13-180-13.8-1 Connor Wedington 6-82-13.7-0 Georgia Brandon Wimbush 20-40-210-0-0 Josh Adams 19-53-2.8-0 Josh Adams 6-60-10.0-0 Byeat Boston College Brandon Wimbush 11-24-96-0-1 Josh Adams 18-229-12.7-0 Alize Mack 5-43-8.6-0 vs. at USC Keller Chryst 15-28-172-2-0 Bryce Love 17-160-9.4-1 JJ Arcega-Whiteside 4-67-16.8-1at Michigan St Brandon Wimbush 14-20-173-1-0 Josh Adams 9-56-6.2-0 Equanimeous St. Brown 4-61-15.3-0 at San Diego St Keller Chryst 8-19-56-0-2 Bryce Love 13-184-14.2-2 Trenton Irwin 6-49-8.2-0 Miami, OH Brandon Wimbush 7-18-119-3-0 Josh Adams 8-159-19.9-2 Miles Boykin 1-54-54.0-1 UCLA KJ Costello 13-19-123-2-0 Bryce Love 30-263-8.8-1 JJ Arcega-Whiteside 5-62-12.4-0at North Carolina Ian Book 17-31-146-1-2 Deon McIntosh 12-124-10.3-2 Alize Mack 6-38-6.3-0 vs. Arizona St KJ Costello 15-24-173-1-0 Bryce Love 25-301-12.0-3 JJ Arcega-Whiteside 4-63-15.8-1 Bye at Utah Keller Chryst 7-14-106-0-0 Bryce Love 20-152-7.6-1 Kaden Smth 2-57-28.5-0 USC Brandon Wimbush 9-19-120-2-0 Josh Adams 19-191-10.1-3 Kevin Stepherson 3-58-19.3-1 Oregon Keller Chryst 15-21-181-3-1 Bryce Love 17-147-8.6-2 JJ Arcega-Whiteside 6-112-18.7-2 NC State Brandon Wimbush 10-19-104-2-0 Josh Adams 27-202-7.5-1 Durham Smythe 3-52-17.3-1 vs. Bye Wake Forest Brandon Wimbush 15-30-280-1-0 Brandon Wimbush 12-110-9.2-2 Chase Claypool 9-180-20.0-1 at Oregon St Keller Chryst 16-33-141-1-1 Cameron Scarlett 17-72-4.2-0 Kaden Smth 2-37-18.5-0at Miami, Fl Brandon Wimbush 10-21-119-1-2 Josh Adams 16-40-2.5-0 Equanimeous St. Brown 4-68-17.0-0 at Washington St KJ Costello 9-20-105-0-1 Bryce Love 16-69-4.3-1 JJ Arcega-Whiteside 3-52-17.3-0 Navy Brandon Wimbush 9-18-164-2-0 Josh Adams 18-106-5.9-0 Kevin Stepherson 5-103-20.6-2 vs. Washington KJ Costello 16-27-211-0-0 Bryce Love 30-166-5.5-3 JJ Arcega-Whiteside 5-130-26.0-0at Stanford California KJ Costello 17-26-185-1-1 Bryce Love 14-101-7.2-1 JJ Arcega-Whiteside 7-79-11.3-0

Notre Damevs.

Brandon Wimbush 122-239-1569-14-4 Josh Adams 171-1337-7.8-9 Chase Claypool 28-391-14.0-2 KJ Costello 86-141-1018-5-2 Bryce Love 195-1723-8.8-16 JJ Arcega-Whiteside 37-595-16.1-5Ian Book 31-55-280-2-3 Brandon Wimbush 120-704-5.9-14 Equanimeous St. Brown 26-357-13.7-3 vs. Keller Chryst 76-142-921-8-4 Cameron Scarlett 73-352-4.8-6 Trenton Irwin 37-402-10.9-1TEAM 0-1-0-0-0 Deon McIntosh 65-368-5.7-5 Kevin Stepherson 16-247-15.4-4 Ryan Burns 5-7-57-1-0 Trevor Speights 28-107-3.8-0 Kaden Smth 16-269-16.8-2

Category

2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.

Notre Dame - -3 10 16 35-153

Stanford - 55.5 17 18 40-176 -1

2015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.

Notre Dame 4 56.5 36 24 35-299

Stanford 13 -3.5 38 22 43-153 1

2014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.

Notre Dame 9 46.5 17 21 32-129

Stanford 14 -3 14 14 32-47 0

2013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.

Notre Dame 25 49.5 20 19 24-64

Stanford 8 -15.5 27 21 51-261 0

2012 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's

Notre Dame 7 -7 20 19 44-150

Stanford 17 43 13 13 40-147 1

12-18-158

18-36-158

Comp-Att-Yds

12-25-125

16-28-184

128 yards StanfordNotre Dame

Projected Yardage Total

16-34-199

20-43-241

Navy

Comp-Att-Yds

14-29-154

Comp-Att-Yds

17-21-269

at Stanford

Stanford

Notre Dame Fighting IrishFighting Irish Logs

Computer PointsPOSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: Notre Dame 26-25

Notre Dame Stanford 399 yards

203 yards

Ret

urn

to

Tab

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onte

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Projected Box Score

Team Schedule StrengthStanford

404 yards

Stanford By 0.8

Notre Dame By 5.2

84 Notre Dame 49

Notre Dame by 8Best Bet: ★ Notre Dame 31 Stanford 23By 2.38 Points

Phil Steele5 Notre Dame Stanford 18

AP

Projected RushingComp-Att-Yds 277 yards Notre Dame 196 yards

Projected Passing

26 points

Projected Final Score3.08

Notre Dame Pts

5.46

Experience Rankings Stanford Pts

TM CONF

FOE CONF TM +/- FOE +/-

0.88

Rush Def

vs. PAC 12

Sks By

Stanford Coaches

Computer Yards

Notre Dame Coaches

Notre Dame K

13-25-234

10-20-120

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

Stanford

Stanford QB/WR

Las Vegas Line

Stanford K

0.42Las Vegas Total

--PS RANK--

Cardinal LogsTM

CONFFOE

CONF TM +/- FOE +/-

California

Pass Def

Notre Dame By 2

Notre Dame Leaders

Comp-Att-Yds

25 points

Game Grade0.20

Notre Dame Stanford Notre Dame 404-399

+/- Ratings

Defense

Score Score

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Receiving

Notre Dame LB'S

0.67

Stanford RB's

Stanford Leaders

Notre Dame ST's

3.17

0.10

Stanford OL

Phil's Forecast:

Stanford is 6-2 the last 8 years and the home team is 7-2. Last year was the tale of 2 halves as Notre Dame led 10-0 at HT. The Cardinal went up 17-10 with 10:38 4Q (ND just 100 2H yds). Notre Dame just faced the option and cut blocking of Navy, but Stanford is off the “Big Game”. Last year's game was tight and while Stanford now has the home field edge, they are a weaker team especially on defense where they are allowing an unStanfordlike 5.0 ypc rush in Pac 12 play. Their biggest area of improvement is the offensive line which allowed 34 sacks LY and just 12 this year. Notre Dame is improved everywhere! The defense is stronger vs the run gets more pressure on the QB and their pass D went from #79 last year to #34. They averaged 163 (4.5) rush last year and now are at 290 (6.6). ND has taken on the tougher schedule #5 vs #18 yet are +88 ypg and Stanford is +10 ypg. While ND is playing their season finale Stanford can win the Pac 12 if Washington defeats Wash St and the Apple Cup is going on at the same time. RB Bryce Love is not 100% healthy and the Cardinal are averaging 141 ypg rush (4.1) the last 4 games after averaging 258 (7.7) the first 7 games.

Stanford ST's

57 Points

Team & Margin

Notre Dame DB's

2.11

Notre Dame OL

Stanford DLNotre Dame DL

Bye USC

FOE

FOE NCAA RANKINGSFOE 6-2 7-2

TM REC FOE RECTEAM --PS RANK--AP TEAM

FOE

2017 TEAM RANKINGS † Rice Georgia

Notre Dame Stanford Bye

at Boston College at USC

Temple

at Oregon St

OVERALL: OVERALL: Stanford Cardinal9-2 8-3

TM REC FOE REC

vs. IND

at Miami, Fl Total Def at Washington St

Sta

nfo

rd C

ard

inal

Net Offense

Notre DameTotal TO's

Ypg Diff

Rush Off at San Diego St Miami, OH Pass Off UCLAat Michigan St

Total Off Arizona St Bye Score Off at Utah at North Carolina

Washington

Wake Forest

Sks Allowed Oregon NC State

Score Def

Net Offense Defense

Not

re D

ame

Fig

hti

ng

Iri

sh

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

Notre Dame QB/WR

0.12

Stanford DB's

0.86

Notre Dame RB's

Stanford LB's

Notre Dame StanfordRushingPosition by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing

Page 47: Phil Steele’s Inside the Pressboxplus.philsteele.com/inside_the_pressbox/2017/College/...Phil Steele’s Inside the Pressbox WK 13 UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK *this is a Best Bet H Utah

TM FOE DATE SCORE

W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 138 102 5 9/2 56-3 W 27 3 83 127 92 114 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 113 127 9/2 35-28 W 22 32 126 26 20 361-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 141 129 3 13 9/9 14-6 W 14 4 83 6 7 7 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 118 117 9/9 31-13 W 32 26 126 12 64 772-0 2-0 0-0 1-0 140 124 3 14 9/16 47-21 W 12 2 86 15 12 90 2-0 2-0 1-0 0-0 123 116 9/16 13-23 L 37 23 65 67 32 253-0 1-2 1-0 0-1 142 110 2 9/23 34-7 W 4 2 103 84 50 32 #25 #104 2-1 2-1 1-1 1-0 118 112 9/23 17-16 W 52 23 119 79 101 654-0 4-0 2-0 0-0 141 129 2 12 9/30 31-17 W 7 2 102 41 11 10 #57 #71 3-1 3-1 1-1 1-0 117 120 9/30 17-24 L 53 26 113 30 17 45-0 4-1 3-0 1-1 142 124 2 10/7 28-14 W 11 3 107 64 46 34 #26 #104 3-2 2-2 1-2 0-1 117 115 10/7 48-22 W 60 28 120 24 54 1266-0 3-3 4-0 1-1 141 115 2 10/13 24-27 L 10 3 111 63 71 28 #23 #88 4-2 3-2 2-2 0-2 121 115 10/14 15-9 W 62 25 78 59 47 106-1 4-1 136 7 10/21 13 3 111 #60 #85 5-2 3-2 122 10/21 64 23 796-1 4-2 4-1 3-1 136 130 7 10/28 24-10 W 15 2 112 33 37 102 #14 #40 5-2 3-4 3-2 0-4 122 111 10/28 34-27 W 69 24 65 102 55 1207-1 6-2 5-1 4-0 137 128 6 20 11/4 38-31 W 14 2 112 32 30 87 #12 #72 6-2 8-0 4-2 5-0 121 140 2 11/4 10-24 L 61 25 48 7 6 148-1 3-5 6-1 3-4 137 121 4 11/11 31-14 W 14 3 116 53 16 54 #7 #43 6-3 3-5 4-3 3-4 122 114 11/11 28-20 W 63 30 51 58 41 569-1 7-1 137 4 11/18 61-3 W 16 2 107 #3 #21 7-3 5-3 121 11/18 31-10 W 58 27 6010-1 8-3 7-1 5-3 137 123 4 11/25 11 2 106 56 28 59 #2 #54 8-3 10-1 5-3 7-1 123 137 4 11/25 56 28 59 11 2 106

#8 #79+3 +9

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

Kent St 56-3 545 29 -1 34 43-353 8.2 25-35 312 0 5 44-119 2.7 1-5 1 0 † NC State 35-28 -258 -17 1 12 21-31 1.5 17-29 215 2 29 35-89 2.5 45-64 415 4 Auburn 14-6 164 5 -2 18 36-96 2.7 20-31 185 4 13 42-38 0.9 13-24 79 11 at Missouri 31-13 -64 -1 3 20 40-172 4.3 18-28 187 1 21 37-178 4.8 14-32 245 1at Louisville 47-21 180 4 1 25 48-297 6.2 23-33 316 4 21 27-116 4.3 21-42 317 5 Kentucky 13-23 5 -6 0 14 20-54 2.7 24-37 304 2 20 47-184 3.9 16-26 169 1 Boston College 34-7 244 15 0 27 58-342 5.9 17-26 140 2 12 34-97 2.9 15-32 141 1 Louisiana Tech 17-16 77 6 -1 23 32-143 4.5 22-35 295 3 17 28-80 2.9 23-33 281 1at Virginia Tech 31-17 -10 -3 3 14 43-146 3.4 12-21 186 3 17 28-90 3.2 30-45 252 2 at Texas A&M 17-24 -117 -6 0 14 26-23 0.9 17-30 256 7 20 49-237 4.8 19-27 159 1 Wake Forest 28-14 117 9 -2 25 48-190 4.0 29-41 263 1 16 35-133 3.8 14-30 203 3 Arkansas 48-22 28 0 4 19 36-159 4.4 16-31 199 1 19 32-106 3.3 20-37 224 2at Syracuse 24-27 -123 -12 1 16 25-113 4.5 22-32 204 4 28 50-162 3.2 20-33 278 6 at Tennessee 15-9 70 3 0 19 40-194 4.9 15-24 129 1 16 39-120 3.1 11-19 133 7 Bye Bye Georgia Tech 24-10 198 11 0 21 45-221 4.9 22-33 207 0 10 43-198 4.6 3-13 32 4 Vanderbilt 34-27 -54 -1 1 26 37-212 5.7 19-29 174 1 27 23-107 4.7 27-49 333 0at NC State 38-31 -76 -8 1 19 35-224 6.4 20-38 191 0 27 34-153 4.5 31-50 338 1 at Georgia 10-24 -168 -12 -1 14 17-43 2.5 21-36 227 2 26 53-242 4.6 16-22 196 1 Florida St 31-14 149 12 0 24 52-227 4.4 20-30 151 2 12 24-21 0.9 13-32 208 5 Florida 28-20 168 12 -1 24 47-220 4.7 19-29 249 3 12 22-78 3.5 17-39 223 4 The Citadel 61-3 446 17 2 27 26-183 7.0 31-41 479 1 10 54-155 2.9 1-8 61 1 Wofford 31-10 162 9 3 23 38-195 5.1 22-28 194 2 14 41-155 3.8 5-9 72 1at South Carolina Clemson

Average 35-14 166.7 7.2 0.3 23 42-217 5.2 66.8% 239 5.8% 16 38-117 3.1 51.6% 174 12.4% Average 25-20 -13.7 -1.2 0.8 19 32-131 4.1 62.5% 221 7.4% 20 37-143 3.9 59.7% 223 6.4% Conference 32-18 84.9 3.5 0.5 21 44-220 5.0 65.0% 207 6.3% 18 34-121 3.5 53.1% 221 9.7% Conference 25-20 -16.5 -1.4 0.8 19 33-135 4.1 61.1% 216 7.4% 20 38-157 4.1 55.8% 210 6.8% Away 35-24 -7.3 -4.8 1.5 19 38-195 5.2 62.1% 224 8.9% 23 35-130 3.7 60.0% 296 8.2% Home 29-20 64.3 3.3 1.0 22 35-164 4.7 64.6% 236 6.3% 18 32-118 3.7 56.0% 217 4.7%

Kent St Kelly Bryant 16-22-236-1-1 Travis Etienne 8-81-10.1-1 Milan Richard 2-70-35.0-0 † NC State Jake Bentley 17-29-215-3-1 Rico Dowdle 12-27-2.3-1 Deebo Samuel 5-83-16.6-2 Auburn Kelly Bryant 19-29-181-0-0 Kelly Bryant 19-59-3.1-2 Ray-Ray McCloud 6-81-13.5-0 at Missouri Jake Bentley 18-28-187-1-0 Ty'Son Williams 14-78-5.6-0 Hayden Hurst 3-69-23.0-1at Louisville Kelly Bryant 22-32-316-1-0 Travis Etienne 6-98-16.3-1 Ray-Ray McCloud 7-115-16.4-1 vs. Kentucky Jake Bentley 24-36-304-2-2 Rico Dowdle 8-23-2.9-0 Deebo Samuel 5-122-24.4-1 Boston College Kelly Bryant 17-26-140-0-2 Travis Etienne 9-113-12.6-2 Hunter Renfrow 6-53-8.8-0 Louisiana Tech Jake Bentley 22-34-295-1-1 Ty'Son Williams 13-95-7.3-1 Bryan Edwards 6-122-20.3-0at Virginia Tech Kelly Bryant 12-21-186-1-0 Kelly Bryant 19-94-4.9-0 Tavien Feaster 2-63-31.5-1 at Texas A&M Jake Bentley 17-30-256-2-0 Ty'Son Williams 14-73-5.2-0 Shi Smith 3-86-28.7-1 Wake Forest Kelly Bryant 21-29-200-1-1 Travis Etienne 15-67-4.5-1 Hunter Renfrow 6-61-10.2-0 vs. Arkansas Jake Bentley 16-31-199-3-0 Rico Dowdle 11-61-5.5-0 Hayden Hurst 2-76-38.0-1at Syracuse Kelly Bryant 12-17-116-0-0 Travis Etienne 5-68-13.6-1 Hunter Renfrow 5-64-12.8-0 at Tennessee Jake Bentley 15-24-129-0-0 AJ Turner 14-86-6.1-1 Bryan Edwards 6-63-10.5-0 Bye Bye Georgia Tech Kelly Bryant 22-33-207-2-0 Kelly Bryant 12-67-5.6-0 Deon Cain 4-57-14.3-1 vs. Vanderbilt Jake Bentley 19-29-174-1-0 AJ Turner 15-121-8.1-1 Shi Smith 5-76-15.2-1at NC State Kelly Bryant 20-38-191-1-1 Tavien Feaster 7-105-15.0-1 Deon Cain 9-84-9.3-1 at Georgia Jake Bentley 21-35-227-1-2 AJ Turner 8-35-4.4-0 Hayden Hurst 7-93-13.3-0 Florida St Kelly Bryant 20-30-151-0-0 Travis Etienne 14-97-6.9-2 Hunter Renfrow 4-35-8.8-0 Florida Jake Bentley 19-29-249-0-3 AJ Turner 22-136-6.2-0 OrTre Smith 5-60-12.0-0 The Citadel Kelly Bryant 17-22-230-3-0 Tavien Feaster 4-69-17.3-1 Tee Higgins 6-178-29.7-2 vs. Wofford Jake Bentley 22-28-194-1-0 AJ Turner 11-69-6.3-1 Bryan Edwards 8-90-11.3-1at South Carolina Clemson

vs.

Kelly Bryant 198-299-2154-10-5 Travis Etienne 88-671-7.6-10 Deon Cain 46-597-13.0-5 Jake Bentley 210-333-2429-15-9 AJ Turner 90-507-5.6-3 Bryan Edwards 53-635-12.0-3Zerrick Cooper 24-39-250-2-0 Tavien Feaster 93-627-6.7-6 Hunter Renfrow 46-451-9.8-1 vs. Hayden Hurst 0-1-0.1-0-0 Ty'Son Williams 79-407-5.2-1 Hayden Hurst 38-490-12.9-2Hunter Johnson 18-20-225-2-0 Kelly Bryant 154-613-4.0-10 Ray-Ray McCloud 37-386-10.4-1 Team 0-2-0-0-0 Rico Dowdle 60-206-3.4-1 Shi Smith 26-350-13.5-2

Category

2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.

Clemson 4 -25.5 56 40 53-250

South Carolina - 50 7 14 29-111 0

2015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.

Clemson 1 -20.5 37 25 47-236

South Carolina - 55 32 17 38-181 2

2014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.

Clemson 23 -6.5 35 20 40-225

South Carolina - 54.5 17 18 33-63 0

2013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.

Clemson 6 58.5 17 18 29-127

South Carolina 10 -3.5 31 21 50-140 6

2012 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's

Clemson 12 -3.5 17 18 35-145

South Carolina 13 61.5 27 26 45-134 1

11-24-183

Clemson Tigers

FOE

14-30-221

15-28-178

Team Schedule Strength24 Clemson South Carolina 59

Clemson

Ret

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Tab

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Projected Box Score

South Carolina

Projected Rushing

108 Clemson South Carolina

Clemson 424-2811.79Computer Yards

Computer Points

South Carolina

Projected Final ScoreComp-Att-Yds

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

247 yards

63 yards

Clemson

Bye

at NC State

The Citadel

Comp-Att-Yds

20-27-279

Phil's Forecast:

South Carolina had won 5 in a row in the series, but Clemson has won the last 3 and last year rolled to a 56-7 win despite having the ACC Title game on deck. LTH in ‘15 CU got off to a slow start (ACC Title on deck), but still led 14-3 at HT. CU all’d a 26/4pl TD after a fumble & only led 28-25 w/12:19 left. CU put the gm away with a TD, SOD at SC10 & a FG (SC’s L/td w/:01) in a 37-32 win. Clemson was avg 471 ypg vs FBS foes prior to QB Bryant's injury and 384 since, but the D has not been as dominant as of late either allowing 279 ypg their first 6 vs FBS and 347 ypg the last 4 and Clemson is just +37 ypg in those 4 despite being +167 ypg on the season. South Carolina is actually -14 ypg, but have been a dog 6 times this year and beat the Vegas spread in all 6 with 4 outright wins and their biggest loss by 14 at Georgia. In Clemson’s last road game, they were -76 yds at NCST and are -7 ypg in their 4 road games. South Carolina is +64 ypg at home and -107 on the road. SC had a banged-up Oline mid-year, but have returned to health. This is a rivalry game and Clemson has a huge game vs Miami Florida on deck in the ACC Title game so SC keeps it closer than expected and has covered 7 in a row as an underdog and the home team has covered 4 in a row in the series.

176 yards Clemson

Projected Passing South Carolina K

0.02

South Carolina ST's

Clemson By 15.6

Projected Yardage Total

46.5 Points

Team & Margin

Las Vegas Total

Las Vegas LineClemson By 13.5

+/- RatingsClemson By 9.5

1.79

Clemson Leaders 0.47

Clemson DB's

South Carolina QB/WR

30-36-372

South Carolina Pts

Clemson 27-13

TM CONF

FOE CONF

Receiving

Clemson South CarolinaRushingPosition by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders

1.78

Clemson LB'S

South Carolina RB's

23-41-276

Comp-Att-Yds

15-21-266

Comp-Att-Yds

South Carolina

0.37

Clemson OL

South Carolina DL

2.11

Clemson DL

South Carolina OL

7.72

Clemson Pts

27 points Clemson

Game Grade424 yards South Carolina Coaches

Defense

Score Score

AP TEAM

FOETM REC FOE REC

FOE--PS RANK--

vs. ACC

TM REC TM +/- FOE +/-FOE NCAA RANKINGS

7-1 5-3Tigers Logs

TM CONF

FOE CONF TM +/- FOE +/-

TEAM --PS RANK--AP

Gamecocks Logs

Wake Forest

Rush Off Louisiana Techat Texas A&M

Boston College

OVERALL: OVERALL: South Carolina Gamecocks10-1 8-3vs. SEC

FOE REC

2017 TEAM RANKINGS † NC State Auburn

Clemson South Carolinaat Missouri

at Louisville Kentucky

Kent St

Sks Allowed Bye Georgia Tech Rush Def Vanderbilt

Total Off Arkansasat Syracuse Score Off at Tennessee

Score Def Woffordat South Carolina Sks By Clemson

Pass Def at Georgia Florida St Total Def Florida

at Virginia Tech Pass Off

Passing

1.28

Clemson QB/WR

South Carolina DB's

0.39

Clemson RB's

South Carolina LB's

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving

23-41-310

Comp-Att-Yds

1.30

South Carolina 219 yards Clemson Coaches

Clemson 281 yards

South Carolina Leaders

14-29-107 Clemson K

Clemson ST's

19-28-225

13 points

Total TO'sYpg Diff

Net Offense Defense

Cle

mso

n T

iger

s

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

Sou

th C

arol

ina

Gam

ecoc

ks

Net Offense

Experience Rankings

Clemson by 9Clemson 27 South Carolina 18By 5.93 Points

Phil Steele

26 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

Page 48: Phil Steele’s Inside the Pressboxplus.philsteele.com/inside_the_pressbox/2017/College/...Phil Steele’s Inside the Pressbox WK 13 UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK *this is a Best Bet H Utah

TM FOE DATE SCORE

W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 119 118 9/3 44-45 L 31 21 6 17 25 85 0-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 130 118 13 9/2 27-0 W 18 11 9 73 33 150-1 0-0 120 9/9 24-14 W 36 17 6 1-0 0-0 132 12 9/9 45-10 W 19 5 91-1 1-1 0-0 0-0 116 100 9/16 45-21 W 35 17 11 78 111 44 2-0 2-0 0-0 0-0 132 125 12 9/16 7-37 L 21 3 18 27 28 722-1 1-1 0-0 0-0 117 117 9/23 50-43 W 36 15 3 34 39 122 #61 #30 2-1 2-1 0-1 0-0 127 113 25 9/23 35-26 W 27 4 14 63 52 363-1 3-1 1-0 1-1 120 117 9/30 24-17 W 30 17 4 53 26 113 #66 #93 3-1 3-1 0-1 1-0 126 104 25 9/30 21-24 L 29 5 37 69 55 1054-1 5-0 2-0 2-0 120 149 1 10/7 12-27 L 22 17 4 1 1 11 #68 #74 3-2 3-1 0-1 3-0 121 127 21 10/7 17-16 W 25 8 20 48 25 84-2 3-2 2-1 3-1 123 124 10/14 19-17 W 30 19 5 41 30 19 #40 #78 4-2 5-1 1-1 3-0 124 133 10 10/14 27-23 W 29 10 71 17 8 275-2 3-1 125 10/21 33 21 3 #85 #79 5-2 3-3 2-1 1-2 127 116 24 10/21 40-24 W 30 12 49 23 66 755-2 5-2 3-1 2-2 125 125 10/28 14-35 L 34 23 2 21 30 21 #57 #30 6-2 3-1 128 23 10/28 27 10 595-3 6-2 3-2 4-1 120 133 16 11/4 27-42 L 40 23 3 12 8 50 #47 #18 6-2 8-0 3-1 5-0 128 144 19 1 11/4 10-24 L 24 10 73 1 1 295-4 3-6 3-3 1-5 119 101 11/11 55-14 W 44 27 4 94 98 42 #45 #15 6-3 4-5 3-2 1-4 129 108 11/11 33-10 W 31 5 90 35 88 886-4 5-5 3-3 2-4 121 116 11/18 31-24 W 39 24 4 15 77 33 #68 #17 7-3 4-6 4-2 0-6 129 111 21 11/18 30-10 W 27 5 84 96 41 267-4 8-3 4-3 5-2 122 130 19 11/25 36 24 3 31 6 81 #6 #10 8-3 7-4 5-2 4-3 130 122 19 11/25 31 6 81 36 24 3

#58 #26+7 +3

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

at UCLA 44-45 -83 -6 3 23 63-382 6.1 9-30 89 6 29 25-63 2.5 35-59 491 3 † BYU 27-0 382 20 1 26 57-296 5.2 15-18 183 0 6 14--5 -0.4 12-24 102 3 Nicholls 24-14 55 14 2 27 47-195 4.1 24-36 198 4 13 31-74 2.4 13-25 264 2 Chattanooga 45-10 212 10 2 22 46-222 4.8 9-18 232 2 12 27-68 2.5 15-32 174 5 Louisiana 45-21 171 10 3 27 40-179 4.5 21-34 301 1 17 29-93 3.2 28-44 216 2 at Miss St 7-37 -195 -12 0 13 29-133 4.6 13-29 137 2 25 48-285 5.9 15-23 180 1† Arkansas 50-43 44 -1 0 20 42-285 6.8 14-27 216 1 21 45-226 5.0 13-27 231 6 Syracuse 35-26 30 -6 -2 18 38-151 4.0 14-23 263 2 24 27-76 2.8 34-55 308 3 South Carolina 24-17 117 6 0 20 49-237 4.8 19-27 159 1 14 26-23 0.9 17-30 256 7 Troy 21-24 65 5 -2 21 29-162 5.6 21-32 266 0 16 42-206 4.9 16-28 157 3 Alabama 19-27 -47 0 -2 16 40-71 1.8 19-29 237 4 16 44-232 5.3 13-22 123 3 at Florida 17-16 39 2 0 18 48-216 4.5 9-16 125 2 16 38-194 5.1 10-16 108 5at Florida 19-17 -108 -7 1 10 38-83 2.2 8-24 180 2 17 42-242 5.8 17-26 129 5 Auburn 27-23 9 -3 -1 14 39-157 4.0 13-25 206 4 17 44-189 4.3 9-26 165 3 Bye at Mississippi 40-24 246 5 3 26 55-393 7.1 9-13 200 3 21 28-153 5.5 17-34 194 3 Miss St 14-35 -84 -4 -2 15 28-96 3.4 16-41 189 3 19 52-228 4.4 12-21 141 2 Bye Auburn 27-42 -153 -10 0 13 34-143 4.2 16-33 200 1 23 52-228 4.4 20-27 268 2 at Alabama 10-24 7 2 -1 16 42-151 3.6 15-31 155 6 14 36-116 3.2 11-24 183 4 New Mexico 55-14 418 14 1 25 23-63 2.7 30-43 499 1 11 42-120 2.9 7-17 24 1 Arkansas 33-10 97 4 1 21 39-198 5.1 11-16 217 2 17 34-142 4.2 16-33 176 1at Mississippi 31-24 0 -1 1 18 44-119 2.7 19-32 272 1 19 39-202 5.2 19-34 189 3 at Tennessee 30-10 -6 5 2 17 43-200 4.7 11-15 81 1 12 34-38 1.1 14-25 249 2at LSU Texas A&M

Average 32-27 30.0 1.4 0.6 19 41-168 4.1 54.8% 231 7.0% 18 39-157 4.1 58.4% 212 10.8% Average 27-19 80.5 2.9 0.3 19 42-207 4.9 59.3% 188 10.2% 16 34-133 3.9 52.8% 181 10.3% Conference 26-29 -33.0 -2.4 -0.3 16 39-148 3.8 52.1% 208 6.1% 18 43-197 4.6 59.4% 191 15.0% Conference 23-21 28.1 0.4 0.6 18 42-207 4.9 55.9% 160 13.8% 17 37-160 4.3 50.8% 179 10.5% Away 36-32 -36.8 -3.8 1.3 18 47-217 4.6 44.2% 189 8.8% 22 38-183 4.9 57.5% 260 11.6% Home 32-19 82.6 2.0 -0.4 19 38-178 4.7 59.6% 237 8.8% 17 35-136 3.9 51.7% 196 8.6%

at UCLA Nick Starkel 6-13-62-0-0 Trayveon Williams 22-203-9.2-2 Christian Kirk 5-60-12.0-0 † BYU Danny Etling 14-17-173-0-0 Derrius Guice 27-120-4.4-2 DJ Chark 4-77-19.3-0 Nicholls Kellen Mond 12-21-105-1-0 Kendall Bussey 15-97-6.5-1 Christian Kirk 6-47-7.8-1 Chattanooga Danny Etling 8-14-227-1-0 Derrius Guice 15-102-6.8-2 DJ Chark 3-103-34.3-0 Louisiana Kellen Mond 21-34-301-3-1 Jacob Kibodi 4-101-25.3-1 Damion Ratley 2-86-43.0-0 vs. at Miss St Danny Etling 13-29-137-0-0 Derrius Guice 15-76-5.1-0 Darrel Williams 2-37-18.5-0† Arkansas Kellen Mond 14-27-216-2-1 Kellen Mond 10-109-10.9-0 Christian Kirk 5-110-22.0-2 Syracuse Danny Etling 10-17-188-2-0 Darrel Williams 16-92-5.8-1 Drake Davis 2-98-49.0-1 South Carolina Kellen Mond 19-27-159-0-0 Kellen Mond 16-95-5.9-0 Jhamon Ausbon 3-43-14.3-0 Troy Danny Etling 17-25-198-2-1 Darrel Williams 17-69-4.1-0 DJ Chark 4-105-26.3-0 Alabama Kellen Mond 19-29-237-1-1 Trayveon Williams 15-38-2.5-0 Trayveon Williams 4-60-15.0-0 vs. at Florida Danny Etling 9-16-125-1-0 Russell Gage 6-52-8.7-1 DJ Chark 1-47-47.0-0at Florida Kellen Mond 8-24-180-0-1 Kellen Mond 15-52-3.5-1 Damion Ratley 2-72-36.0-0 Auburn Danny Etling 13-24-206-1-0 Russell Gage 2-71-35.5-0 DJ Chark 5-150-30.0-0 Bye at Mississippi Danny Etling 9-13-200-2-0 Derrius Guice 22-276-12.5-1 Darrel Williams 4-105-26.3-0 Miss St Nick Starkel 8-15-133-1-1 Trayveon Williams 10-32-3.2-0 Camron Buckley 2-88-44.0-1 vs. Bye Auburn Nick Starkel 11-22-184-2-0 Trayveon Williams 15-103-6.9-0 Damion Ratley 4-82-20.5-2 at Alabama Danny Etling 12-26-137-0-1 Darrel Williams 7-83-11.9-1 DJ Chark 3-53-17.7-0 New Mexico Nick Starkel 21-30-416-4-0 Trayveon Williams 7-28-4.0-1 Roshauud Paul 7-129-18.4-0 Arkansas Danny Etling 11-16-217-2-0 Derrius Guice 21-147-7.0-3 DJ Chark 4-130-32.5-2at Mississippi Nick Starkel 19-32-272-1-1 Trayveon Williams 26-75-2.9-0 Damion Ratley 5-111-22.2-1 vs. at Tennessee Danny Etling 11-15-81-0-0 Derrius Guice 24-97-4.0-1 Darrel Williams 3-30-10.0-0at LSU Texas A&M

vs.

Kellen Mond 117-227-1375-8-6 Trayveon Williams 149-678-4.6-6 Christian Kirk 51-652-12.8-6 Danny Etling 127-212-1889-11-2 Derrius Guice 188-1024-5.4-10 DJ Chark 30-725-24.2-2Nick Starkel 65-112-1067-8-2 Keith Ford 115-486-4.2-11 Damion Ratley 25-558-22.3-5 vs. Myles Brennan 13-23-178-1-2 Darrel Williams 124-670-5.4-8 Darrel Williams 21-271-12.9-0Jake Hubenak 13-17-98-0-0 Kellen Mond 89-340-3.8-3 Jhamon Ausbon 36-429-11.9-2 Russell Gage 0-1-0-0-0 Russell Gage 27-217-8.0-1 Foster Moreau 18-195-10.8-3

Category

2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Texas A&M 22 48.5 39 19 33-188

LSU 25 -6.5 54 28 46-298 12015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Texas A&M - 55 7 15 33-89

LSU - -5.5 19 17 47-244 22014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Texas A&M - 52 17 12 21-84

LSU - -3 23 25 57-384 12013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Texas A&M 9 73.5 10 17 18-75

LSU 18 -5 34 23 55-324 22012 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's

Texas A&M 20 53 19 26 38-134

LSU 6 -3.5 24 18 45-219 511-29-97

Comp-Att-Yds

29-56-276

12-21-107

Comp-Att-Yds

17-27-144

Comp-Att-Yds

16-41-224

11-20-193

Aggies Logs

85 yards Texas A&MProjected Rushing

17-38-284

TEAM --PS RANK--

20-28-324

Comp-Att-Yds

Comp-Att-Yds

15-31-161

7-21-83

50.5 Points

Lsu By 13.3

LSU

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

Texas A&M LeadersLSU QB/WR

LSU by 9 LSU 26 Texas A&M 17By 0.50 Points

Texas A&M Phil SteeleTexas A&M LSU 44

121 LSU 95Texas A&MTeam Schedule Strength

Texas A&M

Ret

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onte

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Projected Box Score 2.21

Texas A&M ST's

54

Texas A&M Pts3.90

0.30

Computer YardsLSU 28 points

Projected Final Score4.39

Projected Passing

Game Grade

191 yards Texas A&M

LSU Pts

Projected Yardage Total276 yards Texas A&M LSU 407 yards

204 yardsLSU K

1.50

Texas A&M K

+/- RatingsLSU 203 yards

19 points

--PS RANK--TM +/-

Defense

Score Score

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Receiving

TEAM

FOE

FOE

NCAA RANKINGS4-3 5-2

TM REC FOE REC TM CONF

FOE CONF

FOEFOE +/-

AP

FOEFOE +/-

AP

2017 TEAM RANKINGS † BYUat UCLA

TM REC FOE REC TM CONF

vs. SEC vs. SEC

Texas A&M Aggies

at Florida Score Off Auburn Alabama

Tigers Logs

OVERALL: OVERALL: LSU Tigers7-4 8-3

Bye Sks Allowed at Mississippi Miss St Rush Def Bye

Score Def at Tennesseeat LSU Sks By Texas A&M

Auburn Pass Def at Alabama New Mexico Total Def

FOE CONF TM +/-

NichollsTexas A&M LSU

Chattanooga Louisiana at Miss St

Rush Off Syracuse South Carolina Pass Off Troy† Arkansas

Total Off at Florida

RushingPosition by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing

Texas A&M OL0.67

LSU DL

0.38

Texas A&M DL

Arkansas

LSU OL

Texas A&M QB/WR

0.80

LSU DB'sTexas A&M RB's

1.72

LSU LB's

Texas A&M LSU

Lsu 407-276

Lsu 28-19

Las Vegas Total

Phil's Forecast:

LSU Leaders

Team & Margin

Lsu By 11.0

POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

Texas A&M LB'S0.32

LSU RB'sTexas A&M DB's

0.37

Las Vegas Line

LSU has won 6 in a row in the series and last year Darius Guice ran for a school record 285 yds (7.7). LSU never trailed and after taking a 34-10 lead w/7:45 3Q traded scores w/A&M the rest of the way. LSU is 6-2 in home finale, but don’t play up to the level of expectations as they are 4-17 vs the Vegas number in Death Valley home finales. LSU started out the year slow and their average game grade was just 86.9 the first 5 games, but they have played to a 99.3 level the last 6 and have beaten the Vegas number in all 6 since that loss to Troy. A&M held Bama to just 355 total yards, but in the first 5 games allowed just 95.8 ypg rush and in the last 6 have given up 208.5 ypg.

LSU ST's Lsu By 10

Texas A&M Coaches

LSU Coaches

Experience RankingsComputer Points

Total TO'sYpg Diff

Net Offense Defense

Texa

s A

&M

Ag

gie

s

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

LSU

Tig

ers

Net

at Mississippi

Offense

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TM FOE DATE SCORE

W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 108 105 9/2 24-13 W 53 86 113 66 63 85 0-0 0-0 99 9/2 66-0 W 110 121 391-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 108 124 20 9/9 44-47 L 66 62 113 18 50 73 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 103 144 1 9/9 10-41 L 88 103 39 9 1 241-1 1-1 0-0 0-0 111 103 9/14 28-14 W 69 45 71 65 104 13 1-1 2-0 0-0 0-0 105 138 6 9/16 16-48 L 88 107 37 17 18 532-1 2-1 1-0 0-0 111 108 9/22 23-42 L 76 45 49 90 60 105 #77 #65 1-2 0-0 105 9/23 92 110 502-2 1-0 106 9/30 88 61 47 #48 #77 1-2 0-4 0-0 0-0 105 100 9/30 41-21 W 93 113 62 118 101 792-2 1-4 1-0 0-3 106 102 10/6 24-7 W 88 62 54 119 61 91 #63 #84 2-2 1-5 1-0 0-2 107 88 10/7 27-10 W 81 106 72 121 118 563-2 6-0 1-0 2-0 111 122 19 10/14 31-14 W 94 59 14 85 53 34 #28 #71 3-2 3-2 2-0 1-1 107 112 10/14 38-0 W 84 100 69 73 91 484-2 4-2 2-0 2-0 116 109 10/21 24-14 W 93 48 7 122 88 72 #60 #2 4-2 6-1 3-0 2-1 112 117 10/21 27-3 W 72 84 77 87 55 445-2 4-4 3-0 2-2 119 111 10/28 41-14 W 94 51 7 101 94 3 #23 #19 5-2 2-5 4-0 1-3 117 96 10/28 16-26 L 66 77 57 55 129 1226-2 1-7 4-0 1-3 123 104 11/4 41-14 W 83 44 6 88 119 111 #37 #23 5-3 2-7 4-1 0-4 112 100 11/4 20-13 W 73 79 60 119 71 1027-2 6-4 5-0 4-2 124 112 11/11 59-52 W 75 52 5 31 105 46 #23 #13 6-3 3-6 4-1 1-5 110 95 11/11 31-21 W 72 78 43 75 126 1258-2 4-6 6-0 3-3 124 106 11/18 44-19 W 59 60 1 63 124 68 #39 #12 7-3 7-3 5-1 5-1 110 115 11/18 13-7 W 71 71 55 124 64 509-2 8-3 7-0 6-1 124 113 25 11/25 58 60 7 76 70 47 #28 #40 8-3 9-2 6-1 7-0 113 124 25 11/25 76 70 47 58 60 7

#31 #33+11 +9

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

Troy 24-13 142 8 1 19 44-147 3.3 19-32 210 4 11 29-76 2.6 17-34 139 4 Incarnate Word 66-0 465 18 2 26 40-199 5.0 23-37 414 0 8 26--7 -0.3 15-31 155 2at Washington St 44-47 -54 -6 -1 19 44-164 3.7 19-28 237 4 25 27-22 0.8 49-67 433 5 at Alabama 10-41 -223 -10 -1 18 22-58 2.6 26-41 216 1 28 39-305 7.8 20-27 192 1 New Mexico 28-14 -13 -6 2 12 32-127 4.0 15-19 137 1 18 51-198 3.9 8-16 79 1 at Washington 16-48 -207 -3 1 18 31-119 3.8 21-36 94 1 21 30-92 3.1 25-28 328 1 Virginia 23-42 -57 1 -1 22 24-30 1.3 28-53 353 4 21 40-167 4.2 19-29 273 1 Bye Bye Nevada 41-21 190 6 0 22 38-192 5.1 25-33 312 1 16 23-61 2.7 31-49 253 3at BYU 24-7 62 7 1 19 47-158 3.4 13-20 142 0 12 23-66 2.9 20-37 172 1 at San Jose St 27-10 143 5 4 17 51-212 4.2 15-26 136 0 12 33-108 3.3 15-26 97 4at San Diego St 31-14 -12 -1 1 15 34-186 5.5 14-23 125 0 16 39-83 2.1 12-27 240 4 New Mexico 38-0 204 3 1 17 36-227 6.3 13-23 299 1 14 37-109 2.9 15-30 213 2 Wyoming 24-14 100 6 2 21 44-165 3.8 18-24 177 3 15 34-111 3.3 12-27 131 4 at San Diego St 27-3 120 1 1 15 38-199 5.2 10-16 176 0 14 39-165 4.2 11-23 90 4at Utah St 41-14 254 14 0 27 45-163 3.6 24-34 370 3 13 27-93 3.4 18-34 186 0 UNLV 16-26 -36 -3 -1 19 34-140 4.1 16-27 152 1 22 44-173 3.9 17-29 155 0 Nevada 41-14 177 7 3 24 35-140 4.0 25-34 339 0 17 29-142 4.9 34-37 160 1 BYU 20-13 -26 -5 1 16 40-136 3.4 14-20 174 0 21 27-122 4.5 23-43 214 2at Colorado St 59-52 71 0 0 33 39-310 7.9 23-45 331 2 33 52-261 5.0 29-43 309 2 at Hawaii 31-21 129 8 0 24 36-175 4.9 19-36 226 0 16 37-118 3.2 18-31 154 5 Air Force 44-19 132 1 3 19 29-90 3.1 18-26 338 0 18 51-181 3.5 7-13 115 4 at Wyoming 13-7 25 3 1 15 45-147 3.3 14-23 186 1 12 28-77 2.8 20-33 231 1at Fresno St Boise St

Average 35-23 72.9 2.8 1.0 21 38-153 4.0 63.9% 251 6.2% 18 37-127 3.5 61.8% 203 7.4% Average 28-17 71.3 2.1 0.8 19 37-164 4.4 61.6% 217 1.9% 17 33-120 3.6 60.0% 189 7.1% Conference 38-20 101.3 3.0 1.6 22 37-169 4.6 66.8% 260 4.4% 19 40-153 3.8 60.9% 174 8.1% Conference 28-13 110.7 3.3 0.9 18 40-185 4.6 60.9% 212 2.2% 15 34-116 3.4 57.5% 170 8.6% Away 40-27 64.2 2.8 0.2 23 42-196 4.7 62.0% 241 6.0% 20 34-105 3.1 61.5% 268 5.8% Home 36-12 159.4 3.8 0.6 20 38-179 4.8 65.0% 270 2.1% 16 31-92 2.9 55.5% 198 4.9%

Troy Brett Rypien 13-23-160-0-1 Alex Mattison 13-82-6.3-1 Cedrick Wilson 4-65-16.3-0 Incarnate Word Chason Virgil 16-29-246-1-0 Ronnie Rivers 9-60-6.7-1 KeeSean Johnson 7-120-17.1-0at Washington St Montell Cozart 12-20-161-2-1 Montell Cozart 14-72-5.1-1 Cedrick Wilson 9-147-16.3-2 at Alabama Chason Virgil 21-34-180-1-1 Ronnie Rivers 9-29-3.2-0 Da'Mari Scott 7-67-9.6-0 New Mexico Montell Cozart 15-19-137-2-0 Montell Cozart 9-71-7.9-1 Cedrick Wilson 3-64-21.3-0 vs. at Washington Chason Virgil 11-20-98-1-1 Ronnie Rivers 10-29-2.9-0 KeeSean Johnson 4-51-12.8-0 Virginia Brett Rypien 24-42-285-0-1 Robert Mahone 3-21-7.0-0 Cedrick Wilson 13-209-16.1-1 Bye Bye Nevada Marcus McMaryion 24-32-296-2-1 Ronnie Rivers 12-82-6.8-1 KeeSean Johnson 7-104-14.9-3at BYU Brett Rypien 12-19-125-1-1 Alex Mattison 29-118-4.1-2 Cedrick Wilson 3-43-14.3-0 vs. at San Jose St Marcus McMaryion 15-26-136-0-0 Ronnie Rivers 19-105-5.5-2 KeeSean Johnson 2-52-26.0-0at San Diego St Brett Rypien 11-19-72-1-0 Alex Mattison 23-128-5.6-1 Cedrick Wilson 2-60-30.0-0 New Mexico Marcus McMaryion 13-23-299-3-0 Josh Hokit 14-70-5.0-1 Jamire Jordan 3-108-36.0-2 Wyoming Brett Rypien 12-17-104-0-0 Alex Mattison 17-91-5.4-0 Cedrick Wilson 5-66-13.2-1 at San Diego St Marcus McMaryion 10-16-176-0-0 Jordan Mims 21-112-5.3-0 Da'Mari Scott 3-57-19.0-0at Utah St Brett Rypien 19-27-260-3-0 Alex Mattison 19-110-5.8-0 Cedrick Wilson 6-94-15.7-1 vs. UNLV Marcus McMaryion 16-27-152-0-0 Jordan Mims 12-68-5.7-2 Derrion Grim 4-68-17.0-0 Nevada Brett Rypien 20-27-258-2-0 Alex Mattison 12-64-5.3-2 Cedrick Wilson 5-80-16.0-1 BYU Marcus McMaryion 14-20-174-0-0 Josh Hokit 13-59-4.5-0 Da'Mari Scott 4-61-15.3-0at Colorado St Brett Rypien 23-43-331-4-1 Alex Mattison 23-242-10.5-3 Cedrick Wilson 3-73-24.3-0 at Hawaii Marcus McMaryion 19-36-226-4-2 Jordan Mims 12-55-4.6-0 KeeSean Johnson 6-91-15.2-2 Air Force Brett Rypien 16-22-300-3-0 Alex Mattison 17-42-2.5-0 AJ Richardson 3-123-41.0-1 vs. at Wyoming Marcus McMaryion 14-23-186-1-0 Josh Hokit 21-69-3.3-0 KeeSean Johnson 6-48-8.0-0at Fresno St Boise St

vs.

Brett Rypien 157-247-1971-14-4 Alex Mattison 180-961-5.3-10 Cedrick Wilson 58-1008-17.4-6 Marcus McMaryion 146-233-1880-12-3 Jordan Mims 125-547-4.4-5 KeeSean Johnson 58-741-12.8-6Montell Cozart 57-88-742-9-1 Montell Cozart 81-335-4.1-4 AJ Richardson 27-416-15.4-1 vs. Chason Virgil 48-83-524-3-2 Josh Hokit 103-464-4.5-7 Da'Mari Scott 48-505-10.5-1Cedrick Wilson 2-2-46-0-0 Ryan Wolpin 82-310-3.8-3 Jake Roh 39-410-10.5-9 Josh Hokit 2-2-81-2-0 Ronnie Rivers 86-444-5.2-5 Jamire Jordan 15-373-24.9-3

Category

2014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Boise St - -17 37 24 51-264

Fresno St - 62.5 27 12 34-186 02014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Boise St 22 -23 28 11 33-149

Fresno St - 69 14 21 41-70 -32013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Boise St - 68 40 32 53-200

Fresno St - -3.5 41 27 24-62 22012 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Boise St 24 -7 20 22 42-215

Fresno St - 57.5 10 19 30-56 -1

13-24-120

29-43-266

Comp-Att-Yds

23-32-228

13-25-127

Fresno St

Ret

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to

Tab

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Projected Box ScoreComp-Att-Yds

Projected RushingComp-Att-Yds

39-60-460

Broncos Logs

Projected Passing105 yards

30-46-332

Boise St Fresno St 348 yards

at Utah St

9-16-155Boise St

FOE +/-AP

FOE

Boise St Broncos

Boise St by 4 Boise St 27 Fresno St 23By 3.72 Points

Boise St 26-23

Phil Steele

Computer PointsPOSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

Boise St is 13-2 s/’01, but the L/3 losses have come in Fresno including a 41-40 defeat LTH (‘13). The last meeting was the ‘14 MW Title gm, the Bulldogs lost 28-14. Fresno St trailed 28-0. This is Boise’s 6th road game in the last 9 weeks, but they have done well going a perfect 5-0 vs the Vegas number on the road and they are +13 ppg on the road and only +12 ppg at home. Fresno looked like the best team in the MW after they knocked off San Diego St 27-3 on the road at that point their average game grade was 90.5, but over the last 4 games their AGG is just 75.9. Boise has been the opposite as in the first 7 games they played to an AGG of 86.1, but over the last 4 games it is 95.3. Boise is use to big games and a win here means they host the MW title game next week. Fresno is +111 in MW play and Boise is just +101. While Boise has played a lot better the last 4 weeks I will still take the points with a solid team that is a TD home dog.

Fresno St ST's

Boise St Coaches

Boise St Fresno St 28Team Schedule Strength Boise St

81 Boise St Fresno St 103

119

23 points Fresno St 348-347Projected Final Score

5.60

Boise St Pts1.89

Experience Rankings Fresno St Pts26 points Boise St

Game Grade347 yards

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)2.16

Boise St ST's

Boise St LeadersFresno St QB/WR

Boise St DB's

Fresno St Coaches

1.00Boise St Fresno St 216 yards

Comp-Att-Yds Projected Yardage Total242 yards

33-47-361

0.25

Fresno St KFresno St 132 yards

Boise St K

Las Vegas Line

Phil's Forecast:Team & Margin

Computer Yards

48.5 PointsLas Vegas Total

Boise St By 7.3

Boise St By 0.6

Boise St By 7

+/- Ratings

BYU

at San Jose St New Mexicoat San Diego St

Total TO'sYpg Diff

Total Offat San Diego St Score Offat BYU

Sks Allowed Wyoming

Passing

Boise St RB's0.52

Fresno St LB's

at Washington

2017 TEAM RANKINGS Incarnate Word

Boise St Fresno St

2.01

Boise St QB/WR

0.12

Fresno St RB's

0.88

Boise St LB'S

Fresno St Leaders

Boise St OL0.13

Fresno St DL

0.43

Boise St DL

Fresno St OL

Position by Position Edges

Pass Def

--PS RANK--

Fresno St DB's

Defense

Score

RushingBy Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Receiving

AP TEAM

FOE

By Game Yardage Leaders

FOE

NCAA RANKINGS7-0 6-1

TM REC FOE RECFOE

TM +/- FOE +/-TM CONF

FOE CONF

Boise St Fresno Stat Alabama

New Mexico

vs. MTW vs. MTW Bulldogs Logs

Fresno St Bulldogs9-2 8-3OVERALL: OVERALL:

TM REC FOE REC TM CONF

FOE CONF TM +/-

TEAM

Troy

Rush Off Bye Bye Pass Off Nevada Virginia

--PS RANK--

Net Offense Defense

Boi

se S

t B

ron

cos

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

Fres

no

St

Bu

lldog

s

Net Offense

Score

at Washington St

Rush Def UNLV

at Colorado St Total Def at Hawaii Nevada

Score Def at Wyomingat Fresno St Sks By Boise St Air Force

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TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 107 9/2 43-14 W 107 82 77 0-0 0-0 110 9/2 58-14 W 43 115 1271-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 109 119 9/9 21-23 L 80 81 77 70 84 41 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 112 101 9/9 54-32 W 31 101 127 102 98 811-1 2-0 0-1 0-0 111 142 2 9/16 14-56 L 90 87 82 5 13 67 2-0 2-0 0-0 0-0 113 129 20 9/16 36-56 L 36 91 124 13 10 391-2 2-1 0-1 0-0 110 112 9/23 21-17 W 94 96 68 88 105 98 #22 #37 2-1 1-1 0-0 0-0 113 111 9/23 44-21 W 40 104 124 65 69 662-2 0-1 110 9/30 97 92 76 #118 #15 3-1 1-2 0-0 0-1 116 92 9/30 49-28 W 28 103 125 82 96 1172-2 1-4 0-1 0-1 110 111 10/7 62-28 W 101 100 65 46 129 43 #81 #10 4-1 3-1 1-0 1-0 115 123 10/7 22-35 L 23 97 122 51 45 633-2 3-2 1-1 2-1 114 96 10/14 10-23 L 88 101 79 105 112 80 #78 #10 4-2 1-1 115 10/14 27 95 1013-3 6-0 1-1 3-0 109 125 16 10/21 28-34 L 88 110 92 30 20 51 #60 #32 4-2 2-5 1-1 0-3 115 103 10/21 31-28 W 29 96 103 109 101 13-4 6-1 1-2 3-1 110 120 10/28 26-56 L 88 108 106 37 88 45 #116 #115 5-2 2-6 2-1 1-3 114 107 10/27 38-34 W 32 100 95 59 128 643-5 2-6 1-3 0-4 107 104 11/4 16-17 L 95 113 115 101 100 108 #49 #117 6-2 7-0 3-1 4-0 113 127 15 11/4 24-31 L 27 98 90 10 45 233-6 2-7 1-4 1-4 105 96 11/11 31-24 W 97 116 118 107 130 100 #102 #123 6-3 5-3 3-2 3-3 113 113 11/11 40-43 L 27 99 89 32 109 704-6 6-3 2-4 4-2 105 120 11/18 20-17 W 92 111 115 42 46 61 #77 #114 6-4 8-1 3-3 5-1 113 126 18 11/18 45-66 L 28 108 97 29 84 125-6 6-5 3-4 3-4 108 112 11/25 90 112 101 27 117 104 #121 #28 6-5 5-6 3-4 3-4 112 108 11/25 27 117 104 90 112 101

#96 #72+7 +12

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

Grambling St 43-14 256 16 1 26 51-296 5.8 10-15 185 1 10 22-77 3.5 15-27 148 3 SF Austin 58-14 246 10 2 25 48-243 5.1 12-23 222 0 15 35-75 2.1 16-31 144 2at Navy 21-23 -64 -4 2 11 46-191 4.2 8-13 71 1 15 52-194 3.7 4-12 132 3 North Texas 54-32 0 -2 2 20 34-99 2.9 22-41 394 3 22 27-69 2.6 32-47 424 5at Oklahoma 14-56 -340 -4 0 20 62-237 3.8 6-12 54 3 24 32-197 6.2 20-30 434 1 at TCU 36-56 -156 -11 1 19 30-124 4.1 18-38 339 0 30 49-254 5.2 24-30 365 3 Army West Point 21-17 -15 -7 3 15 30-253 8.4 10-22 103 2 22 69-371 5.4 0-5 0 0 Arkansas St 44-21 153 11 2 31 54-314 5.8 16-32 266 1 20 29-143 4.9 23-43 284 3 Bye Connecticut 49-28 98 10 1 28 41-218 5.3 27-39 280 3 18 36--8 -0.2 22-28 408 8 Tulsa 62-28 241 15 2 31 70-488 7.0 9-13 165 0 16 28-139 5.0 12-20 273 3 at Houston 22-35 81 3 0 30 26-147 5.7 41-59 397 2 27 40-265 6.6 20-28 198 0at FIU 10-23 -199 -5 0 18 40-203 5.1 5-16 36 3 23 44-218 5.0 17-31 220 0 Bye USF 28-34 -90 -4 0 21 47-194 4.1 9-19 221 2 25 52-378 7.3 10-24 127 0 at Cincinnati 31-28 -3 0 1 26 44-140 3.2 26-37 295 3 26 42-249 5.9 22-35 189 2at Memphis 26-56 -232 0 0 18 52-122 2.3 15-31 203 7 18 32-259 8.1 18-31 298 0 Tulsa 38-34 123 -3 1 19 30-215 7.2 20-34 366 1 22 53-246 4.6 9-25 212 1 Cincinnati 16-17 -98 -3 0 16 35-132 3.8 18-25 226 0 19 35-208 5.9 18-27 248 0 UCF 24-31 -126 -2 2 21 37-206 5.6 27-52 283 0 23 36-203 5.6 23-40 412 2at East Carolina 31-24 57 -2 -2 22 52-325 6.3 12-20 121 0 24 32-161 5.0 25-53 228 1 at Navy 40-43 -133 -3 0 21 31-165 5.3 16-30 261 2 24 72-559 7.8 0-1 0 0 Houston 20-17 -28 1 1 23 47-166 3.5 17-25 251 2 22 33-220 6.7 18-26 225 0 at Memphis 45-66 -187 -4 0 28 37-259 7.0 15-35 218 1 32 46-333 7.2 22-28 331 1at SMU Tulane

Average 27-28 -46.5 0.3 0.6 20 48-237 4.9 56.4% 149 10.0% 20 39-220 5.6 54.9% 212 3.8% Average 40-35 8.7 0.8 1.1 24 37-194 5.2 57.1% 302 3.8% 24 42-217 5.1 63.4% 270 8.0% Conference 29-28 -30.6 0.4 0.4 20 50-231 4.6 60.3% 180 8.2% 20 38-223 5.9 54.4% 219 3.6% Conference 36-38 -21.0 0.1 0.7 25 35-193 5.5 60.1% 300 4.2% 25 46-264 5.7 63.8% 250 7.6% Away 20-36 -155.6 -3.0 0.0 18 50-216 4.3 50.0% 97 15.2% 21 38-206 5.4 53.5% 262 3.2% Home 45-27 82.3 4.0 1.7 24 41-216 5.3 56.1% 302 3.6% 20 36-121 3.4 58.4% 314 9.8%

Grambling St Jonathan Banks 10-15-185-3-0 Jonathan Banks 16-69-4.3-1 Dontrell Hilliard 2-77-38.5-1 SF Austin Ben Hicks 9-19-112-2-0 Braeden West 6-86-14.3-0 Brandon Benson 1-72-72.0-1at Navy Johnathan Brantley 5-8-58-0-0 Johnathan Brantley 9-73-8.1-1 Terren Encalade 5-39-7.8-0 North Texas Ben Hicks 20-39-312-4-1 Xavier Jones 13-74-5.7-2 Courtland Sutton 8-163-20.4-4at Oklahoma Johnathan Brantley 5-9-43-0-1 Dontrell Hilliard 19-104-5.5-1 Terren Encalade 1-22-22.0-0 vs. at TCU Ben Hicks 17-37-305-2-2 Ke'Mon Freeman 12-57-4.8-2 Trey Quinn 7-116-16.6-1 Army West Point Jonathan Banks 10-22-103-0-0 Dontrell Hilliard 14-134-9.6-1 Terren Encalade 4-38-9.5-0 Arkansas St Ben Hicks 16-32-266-2-0 Xavier Jones 19-146-7.7-0 James Proche 3-131-43.7-2 Bye Connecticut Ben Hicks 27-37-280-4-0 Xavier Jones 13-72-5.5-1 Trey Quinn 15-116-7.7-2 Tulsa Jonathan Banks 9-13-165-1-0 Dontrell Hilliard 19-175-9.2-4 Terren Encalade 2-69-34.5-1 vs. at Houston Ben Hicks 41-58-397-1-2 Xavier Jones 13-99-7.6-0 Courtland Sutton 11-160-14.5-0at FIU Jonathan Banks 5-16-36-0-1 Dontrell Hilliard 12-90-7.5-1 Jabril Clewis 1-25-25.0-0 Bye USF Jonathan Banks 9-19-221-2-1 Dontrell Hilliard 24-94-3.9-1 Terren Encalade 2-93-46.5-1 at Cincinnati Ben Hicks 26-37-295-2-1 Xavier Jones 15-80-5.3-1 Trey Quinn 17-186-10.9-0at Memphis Jonathan Banks 15-30-203-3-0 Dontrell Hilliard 19-67-3.5-0 Darnell Mooney 4-70-17.5-1 vs. Tulsa Ben Hicks 19-32-338-2-0 Braeden West 2-89-44.5-1 Courtland Sutton 6-136-22.7-0 Cincinnati Jonathan Banks 18-25-226-0-0 Jonathan Banks 10-75-7.5-1 Darnell Mooney 8-145-18.1-0 UCF Ben Hicks 27-51-283-1-0 Xavier Jones 19-84-4.4-1 James Proche 7-173-24.7-1at East Carolina Jonathan Banks 11-19-110-0-2 Dontrell Hilliard 28-189-6.8-2 Darnell Mooney 6-67-11.2-0 at Navy Ben Hicks 16-29-261-4-1 Xavier Jones 18-106-5.9-1 Courtland Sutton 7-123-17.6-2 Houston Jonathan Banks 17-25-251-1-1 Jonathan Banks 16-68-4.3-0 Terren Encalade 8-186-23.3-1 vs. at Memphis Ben Hicks 15-34-218-4-0 Xavier Jones 20-175-8.8-2 James Proche 4-70-17.5-0at SMU Tulane

vs.

Jonathan Banks 107-189-1513-10-5 Dontrell Hilliard 198-1049-5.3-11 Terren Encalade 32-619-19.3-4 Ben Hicks 233-405-3067-28-7 Xavier Jones 161-981-6.1-9 Trey Quinn 100-1052-10.5-10Johnathan Brantley 10-17-101-0-1 Jonathan Banks 129-544-4.2-7 Darnell Mooney 29-461-15.9-2 vs. Rafe Peavey 4-4-116-1-0 Braeden West 63-505-8.0-2 Courtland Sutton 56-910-16.3-12Khalil McClain 1-3-11-0-0 Sherman Badie 59-348-5.9-3 Jabril Clewis 16-174-10.9-0 DJ Gillins 1-4-76-1-0 Ke'Mon Freeman 111-486-4.4-9 James Proche 37-760-20.5-5

Category

2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Tulane - -2 31 18 46-227

SMU - 51 35 22 43-137 -12015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Tulane - 56 21 17 33-200

SMU - -3 49 21 44-323 02012 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Tulane - 50.5 27 13 16-40

SMU - -18 26 29 38-196 0

vs.

Comp-Att-Yds

13-33-128

18-25-195

17-32-302

25-51-275515 yards

9

Smu By 8.2

By 1.34 Points74

38 points

SMU by 7

Tulane RB's

SMU LB's

SMU DL

Tulane OL

SMU RB's

Tulane LB'S

Projected Yardage TotalTulane SMU

427 yards Tulane

Team Schedule StrengthTulane SMU

Projected Rushing

Projected Box Score

SMU

Comp-Att-Yds

71

58

Projected Passing146 yards

4.57 5.91

POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

SMU CoachesTulane Pts

SMU Pts

0.20

SMU

Tulane Coaches

SMU

29 points

Ret

urn

to

Tab

le o

f C

onte

nts

1.67

1.64

1.06

226 yards16-31-302

Passing

SMU just faced the option of Navy 2 weeks ago and this game features two polar opposite offenses so these types of games are usually high scoring as it is tough for each teams' scout team to prepare for the other. LY SMU led 21-10 at HT w/a 253-80 yd & 13-5 FD edge. Tulane opened the 2H w/21 unanswered incl B2B 24 yd 3Q TD passes, SMU trailed 31-21 w/10:37 left. SMU went 73 & 78 yds for TDs, last w/1:16 int’g TU at their 2 on the final play. Tulane upset Houston last week to get to 5 wins and a win here gets them to a bowl. SMU opened the year at 6-2 and were +68 ypg, but since clinching the bowl they are 0-3 being outgained by 149 ypg. SMU allows 264 ypg rush and 5.7 ypc in AAC play. Tulane is just as bad at 223 ypg and 5.9 ypc. SMU is -21 ypg in AAC play and Tulane is -31. This should be a high scoring game.

Smu By 6.8

Defense

Game Grade

Computer Yards

Phil Steele

Computer Points

SMU Leaders

By Game Yardage Leaders

FOETM +/- FOE +/-

AP TEAM --PS RANK--

at Navyat Memphis

TM RECFOE

TM CONF

FOE CONF

FOE REC

Tulane

Receiving

Score

Offense

Team & Margin

SMU 40 Tulane 33

Smu 38-29

SF AustinNCAA RANKINGS

2017 TEAM RANKINGS

Tulsa UCF

Sks AllowedRush Def

Score Off

Tulane SMU

281 yards

Total Def

1.86

SMU OL

SMU ST's

Tulane DL

Tulane ST's

SMU DB's

Pass OffTotal Off

0.01

1.88

Pass Def

at Cincinnati

Las Vegas LineSmu By 8

Net

SMURushing

5-6

Tulane Leaders

TM REC FOE REC TM CONF

FOE CONF

Score

By Game Yardage Leaders

Rush Off

3-4TM +/-

TEAM

Tulane Green Wave SMU MustangsMustangs LogsGreen Wave Logs

OVERALL: OVERALL:

vs. AAC

Sks By

at Navy

6-5vs. AAC

FOE +/-AP

FOE

--PS RANK-- FOE 3-4

North Texas

SMU K

288 yards

Smu 515-427

0.09

Tulane KLas Vegas Total

67.5 Points

+/- Ratings

Comp-Att-Yds

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

Grambling St

Position by Position Edges

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

Tula

ne

Gre

en W

ave

SM

U M

ust

ang

s

Ypg DiffTotal TO's

Score Def

Net Offense Defense

Receiving

13-26-164

TulanePassing Rushing

Tulane QB/WR

2.08

Tulane DB's

SMU QB/WR

Projected Final Score

Tulane

Experience Rankings

Phil's Forecast:

SMUTulane

Tulane SMU

at Oklahoma Army West Point Bye Tulsa

at East Carolina Houstonat SMU

at FIU USFat Memphis Cincinnati

at TCU Arkansas St Connecticutat Houston Bye

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TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 108 9/2 38-16 W 83 102 100 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 133 116 10 9/2 59-24 W 10 43 98 48 73 531-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 108 103 9/9 27-45 L 89 94 100 71 89 110 1-0 0-1 0-0 0-0 137 97 11 9/9 44-7 W 5 41 98 118 109 961-1 1-1 0-0 0-0 103 110 9/16 30-42 L 87 98 97 89 59 17 2-0 1-1 0-0 0-0 137 120 9 9/16 59-21 W 2 35 106 49 60 481-2 2-1 0-0 0-0 103 119 9/23 34-56 L 85 102 91 14 62 88 #123 #50 3-0 3-0 0-0 0-0 141 129 6 16 9/23 31-44 L 2 34 83 11 12 411-3 0-1 102 9/30 70 109 93 #64 #1 3-1 3-0 0-1 0-0 136 124 15 9/30 41-34 W 6 35 97 23 63 691-3 3-1 0-1 0-1 102 124 10/7 19-65 L 69 112 82 32 63 81 #111 #2 4-1 1-1 136 15 10/7 7 33 831-4 3-2 0-2 1-1 98 122 10/14 0-45 L 74 117 63 56 65 44 #122 #2 4-1 0-5 1-1 0-2 136 116 14 10/14 59-16 W 6 27 85 43 82 411-5 6-0 0-3 3-0 95 135 4 10/21 0-43 L 89 118 64 18 13 23 #90 #37 5-1 3-3 2-1 2-1 140 128 10 10/21 13-10 W 4 28 83 22 16 541-6 3-4 0-4 1-3 95 124 10/28 20-30 L 104 115 86 44 42 1 #74 #34 6-1 5-2 3-1 3-1 139 124 11 22 10/28 50-39 W 7 21 107 10 67 891-7 0-8 0-5 0-5 98 110 11/4 9-38 L 104 115 109 65 101 16 #122 #121 7-1 7-1 4-1 4-1 139 134 11 8 11/4 52-62 L 9 18 102 3 32 971-8 4-5 0-6 3-3 94 131 11/11 27-42 L 111 114 95 34 11 35 #112 #82 7-2 6-3 4-2 4-2 135 130 12 24 11/11 49-42 W 7 19 104 76 39 571-9 9-1 0-7 6-1 98 140 3 11/18 3-41 L 113 110 94 2 33 87 #128 #93 8-2 5-5 5-2 3-4 136 121 10 11/18 40-45 L 7 21 88 53 38 21-10 8-3 0-8 5-3 98 131 18 11/25 117 105 94 8 31 91 #96 #47 8-3 1-10 5-3 0-8 131 98 18 11/25 8 31 91 117 105 94

#121 #10-16 0

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

SE Missouri St 38-16 173 4 -2 17 25-73 2.9 23-37 364 1 13 33-94 2.8 25-44 170 0 Tulsa 59-24 208 -1 0 25 37-332 9.0 21-26 308 1 26 60-244 4.1 20-38 188 1 Central Michigan 27-45 -120 3 -1 29 34-147 4.3 36-62 323 2 26 35-123 3.5 28-37 467 0 at South Alabama 44-7 330 17 2 29 37-163 4.4 26-41 342 1 12 27-41 1.5 14-24 134 4at Ohio 30-42 1 1 0 23 32-108 3.4 30-47 343 5 22 42-196 4.7 16-22 254 1 at Pittsburgh 59-21 285 10 0 27 35-104 3.0 26-37 572 1 17 34-103 3.0 20-35 288 2 West Virginia 34-56 -71 -7 -2 24 50-367 7.3 17-34 197 1 31 43-288 6.7 25-39 347 1 TCU 31-44 33 -6 -3 26 31-101 3.3 22-42 398 3 32 52-238 4.6 22-33 228 1 Bye at Texas Tech 41-34 213 7 0 32 44-221 5.0 27-38 376 1 25 26-54 2.1 29-46 330 1 Texas Tech 19-65 -235 -13 -2 17 33-112 3.4 23-43 256 1 30 52-313 6.0 22-27 290 3 Byeat Iowa St 0-45 -212 -10 -2 5 33-62 1.9 11-26 44 0 15 43-106 2.5 18-30 212 3 Baylor 59-16 360 7 1 29 38-276 7.3 20-33 471 0 22 46-219 4.8 14-36 168 1at TCU 0-43 -454 -18 0 4 31--25 -0.8 8-18 46 4 22 42-191 4.5 20-28 284 1 at Texas 13-10 145 13 0 26 51-146 2.9 25-38 282 2 13 33-42 1.3 22-36 241 3 Kansas St 20-30 142 5 -1 20 28-64 2.3 23-48 418 4 15 43-202 4.7 8-13 138 2 at West Virginia 50-39 115 8 1 27 56-246 4.4 20-34 216 0 19 30-62 2.1 20-42 285 1 Baylor 9-38 -166 -5 -2 15 33-126 3.8 19-36 163 3 20 39-120 3.1 24-30 335 2 Oklahoma 52-62 -124 2 -1 32 34-213 6.3 28-54 448 2 30 40-187 4.7 24-36 598 5at Texas 27-42 -7 1 -2 19 35-96 2.7 27-43 268 4 18 40-113 2.8 24-34 258 3 at Iowa St 49-42 31 -7 1 23 37-146 3.9 25-31 376 2 30 29-105 3.6 30-47 386 2 Oklahoma 3-41 -314 -14 -2 10 27-32 1.2 19-34 123 1 24 36-157 4.4 23-35 312 1 Kansas St 40-45 89 12 -1 30 31-85 2.7 32-53 425 4 18 49-217 4.4 10-13 204 3at Oklahoma St Kansas

Average 19-42 -114.8 -4.8 -1.5 17 33-106 3.2 55.1% 231 6.1% 21 41-173 4.2 68.7% 279 5.0% Average 45-31 153.2 5.6 0.0 28 39-185 4.7 63.7% 383 4.0% 22 39-137 3.5 58.3% 277 6.2% Conference 14-45 -164.6 -7.6 -1.6 14 34-104 3.1 52.1% 189 6.4% 22 42-186 4.4 69.5% 272 6.8% Conference 42-37 107.8 4.5 -0.3 28 40-179 4.5 61.6% 374 4.3% 24 38-141 3.7 59.2% 305 5.9% Away 14-43 -168.0 -6.5 -1.0 13 33-60 1.8 56.7% 175 9.7% 19 42-152 3.6 68.4% 252 7.0% Home 48-38 113.2 2.8 -0.8 28 34-201 5.9 59.1% 410 4.8% 26 49-221 4.5 57.7% 277 7.1%

SE Missouri St Peyton Bender 23-37-364-4-2 Dom Williams 10-41-4.1-1 Steven Sims Jr. 4-142-35.5-2 Tulsa Mason Rudolph 20-24-303-3-0 Justice Hill 15-132-8.8-1 James Washington 6-145-24.2-2 Central Michigan Peyton Bender 32-62-323-0-2 Dom Williams 18-64-3.6-2 Quan Hampton 6-67-11.2-0 at South Alabama Mason Rudolph 25-38-335-3-0 JD King 8-64-8.0-0 James Washington 2-98-49.0-1at Ohio Peyton Bender 30-47-343-2-1 Khalil Herbert 19-137-7.2-2 Evan Fairs 3-77-25.7-0 vs. at Pittsburgh Mason Rudolph 23-32-497-5-1 Justice Hill 11-91-8.3-2 Jalen McCleskey 7-162-23.1-3 West Virginia Peyton Bender 17-32-197-1-2 Khalil Herbert 36-291-8.1-2 Steven Sims Jr. 6-96-16.0-1 TCU Mason Rudolph 22-41-398-2-2 Justice Hill 25-102-4.1-1 James Washington 6-153-25.5-1 Bye at Texas Tech Mason Rudolph 27-38-376-3-1 Justice Hill 30-164-5.5-0 James Washington 9-127-14.1-1 Texas Tech Peyton Bender 12-24-146-1-1 Khalil Herbert 10-65-6.5-0 Steven Sims Jr. 5-102-20.4-0 vs. Byeat Iowa St Carter Stanley 3-7-26-0-0 Taylor Martin 17-53-3.1-0 Ryan Schadler 3-16-5.3-0 Baylor Mason Rudolph 19-31-459-3-0 Justice Hill 14-117-8.4-1 James Washington 6-235-39.2-1at TCU Peyton Bender 7-16-38-0-0 Deron Thompson 5-10-2.0-0 Ben Johnson 4-35-8.8-0 at Texas Mason Rudolph 25-38-282-0-0 Justice Hill 33-117-3.5-0 Marcell Ateman 4-87-21.8-0 Kansas St Carter Stanley 23-48-418-1-1 Khalil Herbert 12-33-2.8-0 Steven Sims Jr. 9-233-25.9-1 vs. at West Virginia Mason Rudolph 20-34-216-3-1 JD King 36-142-3.9-1 James Washington 7-91-13.0-2 Baylor Carter Stanley 17-33-155-0-1 Khalil Herbert 10-71-7.1-0 Steven Sims Jr. 7-42-6.0-0 Oklahoma Mason Rudolph 28-54-448-5-2 Justice Hill 30-228-7.6-2 James Washington 7-128-18.3-1at Texas Carter Stanley 27-43-268-3-3 Carter Stanley 11-43-3.9-0 Evan Fairs 7-104-14.9-0 at Iowa St Mason Rudolph 25-31-376-3-0 Justice Hill 25-134-5.4-3 Jalen McCleskey 5-109-21.8-0 Oklahoma Carter Stanley 19-33-123-0-1 Khalil Herbert 13-38-2.9-0 Steven Sims Jr. 2-38-19.0-0 vs. Kansas St Mason Rudolph 32-53-425-3-2 Justice Hill 23-91-4.0-1 James Washington 8-159-19.9-2at Oklahoma St Kansas

vs.

Peyton Bender 131-240-1437-8-9 Khalil Herbert 118-658-5.6-4 Steven Sims Jr. 50-770-15.4-5 Mason Rudolph 266-414-4115-33-9 Justice Hill 229-1289-5.6-13 James Washington 61-1317-21.6-11Carter Stanley 101-185-1108-4-7 Taylor Martin 73-226-3.1-3 Ben Johnson 30-363-12.1-1 vs. Taylor Cornelius 5-9-92-0-0 JD King 97-466-4.8-4 Marcell Ateman 50-942-18.8-8Steven Sims 0-1-0.1-0-0 Dom Williams 51-176-3.5-3 Evan Fairs 22-291-13.2-0 Keondre Wudtee 1-3-7-0-0 LD Brown 25-163-6.5-1 Jalen McCleskey 42-566-13.5-5

Category

2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Kansas - 61 20 20 33-204

Oklahoma St - -24 44 23 46-230 22015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Kansas - 58.5 10 9 27-30

Oklahoma St 14 -34.5 58 33 47-202 22014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Kansas - 49 20 18 41-91

Oklahoma St 16 -21 27 15 37-114 -12013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Kansas - 52.5 6 15 49-202

Oklahoma St 15 -30.5 42 21 31-85 12012 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's

Kansas - 70 14 22 49-187

Oklahoma St - -27.5 20 17 44-116 -1

24-40-250

Comp-Att-Yds

17-31-161

Kansas JayhawksJayhawks Logs

TM REC FOE REC TM CONF

FOE CONF

27-36-381

20-37-288

Oklahoma

Texas Tech

TEAM

Kansas Leaders

Comp-Att-Yds

18-27-252

Ret

urn

to

Tab

le o

f C

onte

nts

279 yards Kansas Oklahoma St 621 yards

Comp-Att-Yds

15-32-211

18-29-255

Comp-Att-Yds

12-31-191

Net

TM +/- FOE +/-AP

Comp-Att-Yds

10-25-114

20-39-274

at Texas Kansas St Rush Def at West Virginia

Phil's Forecast:

Oklahoma St is 12-1 and has won the last 7 in a row and the Cowboys have won the last 3 in Stillwater by 42 ppg. LTH the Jayhawks trailed 28-0 w/10:31 2Q and the closest they got the rest of the way was 25 pts.LY w/4:27 in the 2Q the Cowboys actually trailed 13-10 & only led 24-20 w/6:24 3Q after KU went 75/10pl (td). From that pt OSU scored 20 unanswered as KU was int’d twice, SOD twice & punted to end its L/5 drives. Oklahoma St was upset by crafty Bill Snyder last week and has no shot at the Big 12 Title game so this is just a FHG in Stillwater for Mason Rudolph and James Washington. OSU is +108 ypg in Big 12 play and naturally Kansas is -165 ypg. OSU surprisingly is beating foes on the road by 17 ppg, but only outscoring foes at home by 10 ppg while KU is -29 ppg on the road. Kansas was shutout in B2B road trips by Iowa St 45-0 and TCU 43-0 mid-season and last week lost their home finale to Oklahoma 41-3. My computer likes the Over 70 in this one.

Oklahoma St Cowboysvs. BIG 12 vs. BIG 12

OVERALL: OVERALL:

1-10 8-3

TM REC FOE REC

Cowboys Logs

Bye

TEAM --PS RANK-- FOEFOE +/-

AP

ReceivingPassing Rushing

Projected Passing

12.83

Oklahoma St Pts

POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

at Texas Tech

SE Missouri St 2017 TEAM RANKINGS Tulsa Central Michigan

Kansas Oklahoma Stat South Alabama

at Ohio at Pittsburgh

1.80

Oklahoma St RB's

Kansas LB'S

Total Off

FOE CONF

TM CONF

0.90

1.58

By Game Yardage Leaders

FOE

FOE 0-8--PS RANK--

Defense

5-3

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

Okl

ahom

a S

t C

owb

oys

Net Offense

TM +/-FOE

at TCU Sks Allowedat Iowa St Score Off Baylor

West Virginia Rush Off TCU Bye

Offense Defense

Score

Kan

sas

Jayh

awks

Score Def Kansas Stat Oklahoma St Sks By Kansas

Baylor Pass Def Oklahomaat Texas Total Def at Iowa St

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Receiving

Total TO's

Rushing Position by Position Edges

Oklahoma St LB's

Kansas Oklahoma StKansas QB/WR

NCAA RANKINGS

Score

Ypg Diff

Pass Off

1.73

0.22

Oklahoma St DB's

Kansas RB's

Kansas Oklahoma St 418 yards

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) Projected Box Score

Oklahoma St 203 yards61 yards KansasProjected Rushing

218 yardsProjected Yardage Total

Kansas OL

Oklahoma St DL

Oklahoma St OL

Kansas DL

Oklahoma St By 37.5

Team & Margin

Oklahoma St 621-279

Oklahoma St By 40.5

70 Points

Oklahoma St By 37.8

Computer Yards

Computer Points

Kansas DB's4.28

Kansas ST's

Oklahoma St ST's

Oklahoma St Leaders

Oklahoma St K

0.42

Oklahoma St QB/WR

Las Vegas Line

Las Vegas TotalKansas K

Projected Final Score20 points

Game Grade1.90

Kansas Coaches

Oklahoma St Coaches

+/- Ratings

0.29

Experience Rankings25

Oklahoma StKansas 59 points

83 Oklahoma St 59-20Kansas Oklahoma St

29 Kansas Oklahoma St

0.29

Kansas Pts

Oklahoma St by 40 Oklahoma St 60 Kansas 20By 12.54 Points

Phil Steele4

Team Schedule Strength Oklahoma St

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TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 113 9/2 62-24 W 40 106 97 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 113 102 8/31 37-31 W 33 48 90 60 94 1101-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 115 119 9/9 16-19 L 22 102 97 43 54 71 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 112 116 9/9 20-30 L 47 48 90 79 49 101-1 0-2 0-0 0-1 115 91 9/15 63-16 W 23 92 76 127 128 107 1-1 1-0 0-0 0-0 111 125 9/16 45-52 L 61 57 121 31 66 1292-1 3-0 0-0 0-0 119 121 23 9/22 24-30 L 16 80 77 48 18 8 #3 #56 1-2 3-0 0-0 0-0 113 130 24 9/23 37-35 W 60 61 106 3 32 592-2 0-1 117 9/30 19 69 100 #111 #45 2-2 2-2 1-0 1-1 117 128 9/30 24-34 L 55 64 106 8 30 92-2 3-2 0-1 0-2 117 116 10/7 45-42 W 18 70 105 59 48 44 #9 #41 2-3 1-1 118 10/7 55 66 863-2 3-2 1-1 1-1 119 118 10/14 47-30 W 15 72 92 14 40 76 #6 #45 2-3 6-0 1-1 3-0 118 141 5 10/14 13-7 W 51 69 117 19 11 454-2 4-3 2-1 1-3 121 121 10/21 45-44 W 9 67 102 115 40 87 #9 #114 3-3 4-2 2-1 1-2 123 125 10/21 30-10 W 58 56 107 43 29 125-2 7-1 3-1 4-1 122 129 15 10/28 58-37 W 9 57 101 36 19 66 #84 #72 4-3 6-2 3-1 4-1 128 126 21 10/28 17-48 L 57 44 83 17 14 436-2 7-2 4-1 5-1 127 131 23 17 11/4 35-49 L 4 57 71 11 14 40 #125 #120 4-4 5-4 3-2 2-4 123 117 11/4 41-30 W 62 53 77 51 64 266-3 1-8 4-2 0-6 126 109 11/11 49-28 W 8 68 79 87 99 85 #120 #111 5-4 4-5 4-2 2-4 123 116 11/11 37-44 L 48 47 82 22 63 787-3 5-5 5-2 2-5 126 117 11/18 28-48 L 6 67 75 19 25 103 #104 #95 5-5 1-9 4-3 0-7 120 108 11/18 40-24 W 38 47 71 88 99 887-4 6-5 5-3 5-3 121 121 11/25 6 77 82 34 41 60 #54 #14 6-5 7-4 5-3 5-3 121 121 11/25 34 41 60 6 77 82

#59 #81+3 +6

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

Northern Arizona 62-24 33 -6 3 23 47-506 10.8 7-14 89 0 29 42-185 4.4 27-50 377 2 New Mexico St 37-31 -149 -8 2 19 40-79 2.0 24-30 321 7 27 30-151 5.0 40-58 398 6 Houston 16-19 -12 3 0 21 39-152 3.9 22-37 219 1 18 37-158 4.3 25-32 225 0 San Diego St 20-30 -10 1 -1 15 31-44 1.4 20-33 298 5 14 43-279 6.5 9-18 73 4at UTEP 63-16 283 17 1 29 65-326 5.0 20-23 175 1 12 14-17 1.2 18-39 201 2 at Texas Tech 45-52 -121 -6 0 27 44-168 3.8 27-41 326 3 33 29-72 2.5 37-50 543 3 Utah 24-30 107 3 -3 24 42-200 4.8 24-42 248 2 21 38-112 2.9 17-28 229 2 Oregon 37-35 88 3 0 23 53-142 2.7 24-39 347 4 20 30-120 4.0 19-35 281 2 Bye at Stanford 24-34 -92 5 -1 22 46-214 4.7 16-25 195 3 17 33-328 9.9 15-24 173 0at Colorado 45-42 16 -4 -1 25 43-425 9.9 11-13 142 0 29 58-300 5.2 19-32 251 4 Bye UCLA 47-30 196 -1 4 27 61-457 7.5 9-13 148 0 28 38-190 5.0 20-34 219 5 Washington 13-7 55 3 0 17 32-40 1.3 29-41 245 2 14 31-91 2.9 17-30 139 5at California 45-44 38 -7 1 24 46-345 7.5 10-15 166 0 31 47-172 3.7 29-49 301 1 at Utah 30-10 80 3 3 21 46-205 4.5 19-29 140 1 18 25-110 4.4 19-35 155 2 Washington St 58-37 -61 -19 1 13 34-310 9.1 10-17 275 0 32 17-44 2.6 58-84 602 1 USC 17-48 -250 -14 0 15 30-79 2.6 18-31 278 6 29 46-341 7.4 19-35 266 3at USC 35-49 -262 -5 -2 25 43-234 5.4 14-31 146 5 30 52-331 6.4 20-26 311 1 Colorado 41-30 129 4 1 27 54-381 7.1 18-34 202 0 23 39-109 2.8 23-41 345 5 Oregon St 49-28 242 4 0 26 55-534 9.7 5-7 68 0 22 40-151 3.8 16-28 209 4 at UCLA 37-44 11 4 0 29 61-294 4.8 21-37 290 0 25 33-192 5.8 25-45 381 0at Oregon 28-48 -258 3 -1 27 45-171 3.8 18-35 159 2 24 50-353 7.1 14-21 235 1 at Oregon St 40-24 78 1 2 24 49-286 5.8 12-19 167 1 23 33-106 3.2 26-37 269 2at Arizona St Arizona

Average 43-33 29.3 -1.1 0.3 24 47-333 7.0 60.7% 167 4.5% 25 39-183 4.6 62.2% 287 5.4% Average 31-31 -16.5 -0.4 0.5 22 44-176 4.0 63.5% 255 8.9% 22 34-173 5.1 61.0% 275 7.8% Conference 41-39 2.3 -3.3 -0.1 24 46-335 7.3 58.4% 169 5.2% 27 43-207 4.9 63.9% 295 6.3% Conference 30-29 12.4 1.1 0.6 22 46-205 4.4 61.6% 233 6.7% 21 34-175 5.2 57.8% 251 6.7% Away 43-40 -36.6 0.8 -0.4 26 48-300 6.2 62.4% 158 6.8% 25 44-235 5.3 59.9% 260 5.4% Home 28-30 -22.8 -1.8 0.3 19 40-128 3.2 63.9% 282 11.5% 21 37-182 5.0 58.5% 250 11.5%

Northern Arizona Brandon Dawkins 7-13-89-1-0 Brandon Dawkins 7-92-13.1-2 Tony Ellison 5-79-15.8-1 New Mexico St Manny Wilkins 22-27-300-2-0 Kalen Ballage 18-79-4.4-2 John Humphrey 7-123-17.6-1 Houston Brandon Dawkins 17-29-178-0-0 JJ Taylor 17-87-5.1-0 Shun Brown 4-79-19.8-0 San Diego St Manny Wilkins 20-33-298-2-0 Kalen Ballage 15-44-2.9-1 Frank Darby 3-111-37.0-1at UTEP Brandon Dawkins 18-21-155-3-0 Brandon Dawkins 14-133-9.5-3 Tyrell Johnson 4-45-11.3-0 vs. at Texas Tech Manny Wilkins 27-41-326-3-0 Kalen Ballage 16-56-3.5-1 N'Keal Harry 13-148-11.4-1 Utah Brandon Dawkins 24-42-248-1-3 Brandon Dawkins 18-90-5.0-1 Tony Ellison 6-78-13.0-1 Oregon Manny Wilkins 24-39-347-1-0 Demario Richard 21-64-3.0-1 N'Keal Harry 7-170-24.3-1 Bye at Stanford Manny Wilkins 15-24-181-0-2 Demario Richard 22-80-3.6-2 Demario Richard 3-57-19.0-0at Colorado Khalil Tate 11-12-142-1-0 Khalil Tate 14-327-23.4-4 Tony Ellison 1-60-60.0-0 vs. Bye UCLA Khalil Tate 9-13-148-1-0 Khalil Tate 15-230-15.3-2 Shun Brown 3-61-20.3-0 Washington Manny Wilkins 29-41-245-0-0 Demario Richard 8-23-2.9-0 N'Keal Harry 9-79-8.8-0at California Khalil Tate 10-15-166-2-1 Khalil Tate 17-137-8.1-1 Shun Brown 2-57-28.5-1 at Utah Manny Wilkins 19-29-140-0-1 Demario Richard 18-93-5.2-1 N'Keal Harry 8-72-9.0-0 Washington St Khalil Tate 10-17-275-2-1 JJ Taylor 13-152-11.7-2 Jamie Nunley 2-116-58.0-1 vs. USC Manny Wilkins 17-29-259-1-0 Demario Richard 15-70-4.7-0 Kyle Williams 7-121-17.3-1at USC Khalil Tate 14-31-146-2-2 Khalil Tate 26-161-6.2-1 Shun Brown 8-78-9.8-1 Colorado Manny Wilkins 18-34-202-2-0 Demario Richard 25-189-7.6-1 N'Keal Harry 6-81-13.5-1 Oregon St Khalil Tate 5-7-68-0-1 Khalil Tate 16-206-12.9-2 Tyrell Johnson 3-44-14.7-0 at UCLA Manny Wilkins 21-37-290-1-1 Demario Richard 21-125-6.0-1 N'Keal Harry 6-95-15.8-1at Oregon Khalil Tate 18-35-159-1-2 Nick Wilson 17-73-4.3-2 Tony Ellison 6-52-8.7-1 vs. at Oregon St Manny Wilkins 12-19-167-2-0 Demario Richard 17-119-7.0-3 N'Keal Harry 3-68-22.7-0at Arizona St Arizona

vs.

Khalil Tate 82-139-1145-9-8 Khalil Tate 125-1325-10.6-11 Tony Ellison 31-483-15.6-3 Manny Wilkins 224-353-2755-14-4 Demario Richard 163-812-5.0-10 N'Keal Harry 69-957-13.9-5Brandon Dawkins 66-106-670-5-3 JJ Taylor 123-753-6.1-4 Shun Brown 36-467-13.0-5 vs. Blake Barnett 3-5-40-0-1 Kalen Ballage 142-621-4.4-5 Kyle Williams 55-636-11.6-5Rhett Rodriguez 1-1-10.1-0-0 Nick Wilson 105-534-5.1-6 Bryce Wolma 26-228-8.8-2 N'Keal Harry 1-1-14-1-0 Manny Wilkins 116-241-2.1-6 Jalen Harvey 32-537-16.8-1

Category

2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Arizona - 67.5 56 19 48-511

Arizona St - -1.5 35 31 38-120 -12015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Arizona - 68.5 37 19 35-113

Arizona St - -7 52 24 48-250 12014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Arizona 12 -2 42 13 37-125

Arizona St 13 62 35 27 43-113 02013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Arizona - 60.5 21 20 49-249

Arizona St 13 -11 58 22 52-204 32012 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's

Arizona - -2.5 34 36 57-292

Arizona St - 69.5 41 24 55-269 2

at Oregon

at USC Oregon St

Ret

urn

to

Tab

le o

f C

onte

nts

Projected Box Score

43-60-372

Comp-Att-Yds

Comp-Att-Yds

3-8-77

Projected Rushing295 yards Arizona St 232 yards

Projected Passing

538 yards

13-25-274

Comp-Att-Yds

19-39-230

16-29-191

27-44-267Arizona St

182 yards Arizona Arizona St

Arizona St

Offense

Passing Rushing

Defense

Receiving

Bye

FOE REC TM CONF

FOE CONF TM +/-

Score

FOE +/-

By Game Yardage Leaders

Comp-Att-Yds

Comp-Att-Yds

15-30-175

Sks By ArizonaYpg Diff

Total TO's

at Arizona St

Net

477 yards Arizona

Arizona St 538-477

Computer Points

Computer Yards

Arizona St 40-39

3.56

Ari

zon

a W

ildca

ts

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

Ari

zon

a S

t S

un

Dev

ils

Net Offense

Score

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

Arizona LeadersArizona St QB/WR

Arizona St ST's

Arizona DB's

Game Grade

Arizona Coaches

Arizona

21-32-316

15-21-208

20-43-336

1.17

0.48

Arizona St Coaches Arizona St By 1.9

Las Vegas Line

Las Vegas Total74 Points

+/- Ratings

Arizona By 2.5

Pass Def ColoradoTotal Def at UCLAScore Def at Oregon St

UCLA Score Off WashingtonSks Allowed at Utah

Washington St Rush Def USCat California

Pass Off at Stanfordat Colorado Total Off Bye

Arizona St San Diego St

at UTEP at Texas Tech Utah Rush Off Oregon

New Mexico St

FOE CONF

OVERALL:

--PS RANK--

Arizona WildcatsWildcats Logs

TM RECTEAMAPFOE

OVERALL: Arizona St Sun Devils

AP

Northern Arizona 2017 TEAM RANKINGS

HoustonArizona

FOE

FOE NCAA RANKINGS FOE

TEAM TM CONF

5-3 5-3TM REC FOE

REC

vs. PAC 12vs. PAC 12 Sun Devils Logs7-4 6-5

Receiving

Arizona Arizona StPosition by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing

2.33

Arizona St DL

0.47

Arizona St LB's

Arizona RB's

Arizona OL

0.60

Arizona St RB's

Arizona DL1.06

Arizona St OLArizona LB'S

Team & Margin

Arizona St Pts

Arizona St Leaders

Arizona K0.24

Arizona St KArizona St By 4.5

Arizona ST's

Arizona57

306 yardsProjected Yardage Total

21

40 points

Team Schedule Strength

Experience Rankings42 Arizona

Arizona St

Arizona St

39 points Arizona

54 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

3.82

Arizona PtsProjected Final Score

Arizona St by 5 Best Bet: ★ Arizona St 43 Arizona 38By 0.26 Points

Phil SteeleArizona

Defense

--PS RANK--

Arizona QB/WR1.02

Arizona St DB's

TM +/- FOE +/-

Phil's Forecast:

LY Arizona St came in needing a win for bowl eligibility and gave up big play after big play in front of an enthused Arizona home crowd (surprising since they were 2-9 coming in) and lost 56-35. The home team has now won 4 straight Territorial Cups and have done so by 20 ppg. Khalil Tate has been a sensation since taking over the starting job, but after his 327 yards rush vs Colorado his weekly rush numbers have been 230, 137, 146, 161, 206 (vs Ore St) and just 32 last week vs Oregon. Arizona is +2 ypg in Pac 12 play and Ariz St is +12. The Sun Devils D allows 426 ypg in Pac 12 play and Arizona is 501. Arizona St is on a nice 6-2 ATS run delivering my selections a 5-1 record during that stretch. Arizona was outgained 591-326 at Oregon LW while Ariz St led 30-0 in their win. Ariz St has taken on the tougher schedule (#21 vs #57) This game is pick'em and Arizona St is the stronger team and at home and should win a shootout.

Page 53: Phil Steele’s Inside the Pressboxplus.philsteele.com/inside_the_pressbox/2017/College/...Phil Steele’s Inside the Pressbox WK 13 UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK *this is a Best Bet H Utah

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 118 127 22 21 9/2 24-31 L 35 58 75 91 9 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 139 93 7 9/2 56-7 W 2 19 12 119 116 1170-1 0-1 0-0 0-0 118 99 9/9 56-20 W 27 65 75 110 129 129 1-0 1-0 0-0 1-0 140 137 5 2 9/9 31-16 W 2 20 12 3 2 461-1 0-0 120 9/16 59-16 W 22 53 88 2-0 1-1 0-0 0-1 142 111 2 9/16 56-14 W 5 13 67 90 87 822-1 1-2 0-0 0-0 119 103 9/23 56-34 W 14 62 88 85 102 91 #78 #31 3-0 0-3 0-0 0-0 143 112 3 9/23 49-41 W 5 14 42 39 76 203-1 1-0 120 23 9/30 11 65 88 #5 #2 4-0 1-0 139 3 9/30 2 16 563-1 4-0 1-0 1-0 120 134 23 8 10/7 24-31 L 10 64 95 12 14 15 #12 #1 4-0 2-2 1-0 0-1 139 117 3 10/7 31-38 L 2 18 46 56 65 553-2 4-1 1-1 1-1 122 128 24 10/14 46-35 W 9 64 100 26 57 82 #19 #5 4-1 3-2 1-1 2-0 134 127 12 10/14 29-24 W 2 23 88 20 14 614-2 0-6 2-1 0-3 125 112 23 10/21 38-3 W 11 69 96 52 93 35 #37 #52 5-1 3-3 2-1 1-2 133 124 9 10/21 42-35 W 3 22 78 44 38 25-2 6-1 3-1 3-1 124 139 22 12 10/28 39-50 L 10 67 89 7 21 107 #98 #36 6-1 4-3 3-1 1-3 133 120 10 10/28 49-27 W 3 32 80 25 58 905-3 6-2 3-2 4-1 124 132 14 11/4 20-16 W 13 62 93 74 34 78 #87 #101 7-1 7-1 4-1 4-1 134 139 8 11 11/4 62-52 W 3 32 97 9 18 1026-3 5-4 4-2 3-3 126 123 23 11/11 28-23 W 10 56 103 43 37 1 #103 #64 8-1 8-1 5-1 5-1 138 135 5 8 11/11 38-20 W 3 32 93 19 4 287-3 5-5 5-2 4-3 127 127 24 11/18 14-28 L 12 48 121 35 12 35 #85 #51 9-1 1-9 6-1 0-7 140 98 3 11/18 41-3 W 2 33 87 113 110 947-4 10-1 5-3 7-1 123 140 3 11/25 16 56 114 3 26 89 #83 #70 10-1 7-4 7-1 5-3 140 123 3 11/25 3 26 89 16 56 114

#39 #3-3 +1

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

† Virginia Tech 24-31 123 8 -1 29 35-221 6.3 31-54 371 2 21 45-234 5.2 15-27 235 1 UTEP 56-7 509 24 1 35 38-180 4.7 32-36 496 1 11 21-73 3.5 16-27 94 1 East Carolina 56-20 149 10 2 31 47-216 4.6 24-34 403 1 21 32-142 4.4 23-47 328 0 at Ohio St 31-16 140 6 -1 27 37-104 2.8 27-35 386 2 21 34-167 4.9 19-35 183 3 Delaware St 59-16 237 11 0 23 35-204 5.8 24-34 334 1 12 44-161 3.7 10-16 140 3 Tulane 56-14 340 4 0 24 32-197 6.2 20-30 434 1 20 62-237 3.8 6-12 54 3at Kansas 56-34 71 7 2 31 43-288 6.7 25-39 347 1 24 50-367 7.3 17-34 197 1 at Baylor 49-41 102 -2 0 20 40-342 8.6 13-19 283 2 22 35-60 1.7 33-50 463 3 Bye Byeat TCU 24-31 102 12 -2 28 39-142 3.6 25-45 366 2 16 36-170 4.7 16-29 236 0 Iowa St 31-38 64 7 -1 28 35-190 5.4 25-34 323 2 21 32-81 2.5 20-27 368 1 Texas Tech 46-35 -117 1 0 28 29-44 1.5 32-41 352 4 27 33-190 5.8 24-39 323 2 † Texas 29-24 90 -3 -1 20 39-174 4.5 18-28 344 2 23 39-139 3.6 21-43 289 3at Baylor 38-36 -4 -7 0 23 29-118 4.1 26-37 375 1 30 42-127 3.0 24-40 370 6 at Kansas St 42-35 207 10 0 28 38-209 5.5 32-41 410 2 18 42-268 6.4 12-14 144 0 Oklahoma St 39-50 -115 -8 -1 19 30-62 2.1 20-42 285 1 27 56-246 4.4 20-34 216 0 Texas Tech 49-27 180 7 0 31 47-336 7.1 22-34 281 1 24 34-115 3.4 22-36 322 2 Iowa St 20-16 174 0 0 23 47-208 4.4 20-25 316 0 23 29-101 3.5 27-40 249 2 at Oklahoma St 62-52 124 -2 1 30 40-187 4.7 24-36 598 5 32 34-213 6.3 28-54 448 2at Kansas St 28-23 160 6 -2 20 26-120 4.6 27-46 372 2 14 42-173 4.1 13-26 159 4 TCU 38-20 109 2 0 21 41-200 4.9 18-27 333 1 19 32-155 4.8 14-29 269 2 Texas 14-28 -125 -1 -1 17 29-56 1.9 20-34 239 2 18 42-233 5.5 17-27 187 0 at Kansas 41-3 314 14 2 24 36-157 4.4 23-35 312 1 10 27-32 1.2 19-34 123 1at Oklahoma West Virginia

Average 37-29 59.5 3.5 -0.3 25 35-153 4.3 63.6% 342 3.9% 21 41-195 4.8 57.4% 240 5.3% Average 44-25 198.1 6.1 0.1 26 38-207 5.4 71.5% 382 5.6% 20 36-140 3.9 58.2% 251 5.8% Conference 33-32 18.3 1.3 -0.5 24 34-130 3.8 63.1% 332 4.2% 22 41-201 4.9 58.7% 242 5.6% Conference 43-30 148.8 4.1 0.1 25 40-224 5.7 68.9% 361 6.3% 21 34-133 3.9 58.9% 303 4.9% Away 34-31 90.4 5.2 -0.6 26 34-178 5.2 60.6% 366 3.6% 21 43-214 5.0 54.5% 239 7.7% Home 46-21 240.4 8.8 0.0 28 39-221 5.7 72.7% 373 3.7% 19 36-132 3.7 59.5% 221 6.9%

† Virginia Tech Will Grier 31-53-371-3-1 Justin Crawford 13-106-8.2-0 Gary Jennings 13-189-14.5-1 UTEP Baker Mayfield 19-20-329-3-0 Abdul Adams 7-53-7.6-0 Mark Andrews 7-134-19.1-1 East Carolina Will Grier 19-25-352-5-0 Justin Crawford 15-118-7.9-2 David Sills 7-153-21.9-3 at Ohio St Baker Mayfield 27-35-386-3-0 Trey Sermon 17-62-3.6-0 Dimitri Flowers 7-98-14.0-1 Delaware St Will Grier 19-27-304-3-1 Justin Crawford 15-102-6.8-3 Gary Jennings 6-128-21.3-0 vs. Tulane Baker Mayfield 17-27-331-4-0 Abdul Adams 8-93-11.6-0 Marquise Brown 6-155-25.8-1at Kansas Will Grier 25-39-347-2-1 Justin Crawford 18-125-6.9-1 David Sills 8-130-16.3-2 at Baylor Baker Mayfield 13-19-283-3-0 Abdul Adams 11-164-14.9-1 Mark Andrews 3-72-24.0-1 Bye Byeat TCU Will Grier 25-45-366-3-1 Justin Crawford 19-111-5.8-0 Ka'Raun White 6-138-23.0-1 vs. Iowa St Baker Mayfield 24-33-306-2-0 Trey Sermon 18-90-5.0-0 Dimitri Flowers 7-95-13.6-0 Texas Tech Will Grier 32-41-352-5-1 Justin Crawford 14-47-3.4-1 Ka'Raun White 8-114-14.3-2 † Texas Baker Mayfield 17-27-302-2-1 Trey Sermon 20-96-4.8-0 Mark Andrews 4-104-26.0-1at Baylor Will Grier 26-37-375-5-0 Kennedy McKoy 7-55-7.9-0 David Sills 7-136-19.4-3 at Kansas St Baker Mayfield 32-41-410-2-1 Rodney Anderson 19-147-7.7-1 Marquise Brown 6-126-21.0-0 Oklahoma St Will Grier 20-42-285-2-4 Justin Crawford 13-45-3.5-0 Marcus Simms 3-80-26.7-1 vs. Texas Tech Baker Mayfield 22-34-281-4-1 Rodney Anderson 24-181-7.5-1 CeeDee Lamb 9-147-16.3-2 Iowa St Will Grier 20-25-316-2-1 Justin Crawford 25-102-4.1-0 Ka'Raun White 4-167-41.8-1 at Oklahoma St Baker Mayfield 24-36-598-5-2 Rodney Anderson 21-111-5.3-1 Marquise Brown 9-265-29.4-2at Kansas St Will Grier 27-46-372-4-2 Justin Crawford 17-113-6.6-0 Ka'Raun White 8-168-21.0-2 TCU Baker Mayfield 18-27-333-3-0 Rodney Anderson 23-151-6.6-2 Rodney Anderson 5-139-27.8-2 Texas Chris Chugunov 14-26-189-1-0 Justin Crawford 15-64-4.3-0 Gary Jennings 10-78-7.8-0 vs. at Kansas Baker Mayfield 20-30-257-3-0 Rodney Anderson 16-77-4.8-0 Grant Calcaterra 4-67-16.8-0at Oklahoma West Virginia

vs.

Will Grier 250-388-3490-34-12 Justin Crawford 174-963-5.5-7 Gary Jennings 92-1016-11.0-1 Baker Mayfield 233-329-3816-34-5 Rodney Anderson 125-749-6.0-7 Marquise Brown 44-830-18.9-5Chris Chugunov 24-42-270-2-0 Kennedy McKoy 86-433-5.0-4 Ka'Raun White 57-970-17.0-11 vs. Kyler Murray 16-19-307-2-0 Trey Sermon 103-597-5.8-5 Mark Andrews 47-787-16.7-5Team 0-1-0-0-0 Martell Pettaway 34-126-3.7-1 David Sills 57-903-15.8-18 Trey Sermon 1-1-42-0-0 Abdul Adams 51-480-9.4-1 CeeDee Lamb 36-649-18.0-6

Category

2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.West Virginia 10 65.5 28 22 38-388

Oklahoma 8 -3.5 56 27 64-316 32015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.West Virginia 23 59.5 24 27 53-196

Oklahoma 15 -6.5 44 16 33-107 32014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.West Virginia - 65 33 26 40-137

Oklahoma 4 -7.5 45 24 46-301 22013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.West Virginia - 57 7 19 24-169

Oklahoma 16 -21 16 21 57-316 02012 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's

West Virginia - 73 49 32 47-458

Oklahoma 13 -11.5 50 30 31-108 0

21-41-218

10-21-119

Comp-Att-Yds

25-41-376

17-30-209

Ret

urn

to

Tab

le o

f C

onte

nts

17-32-173

Projected RushingOklahoma 274 yards

Comp-Att-Yds

Comp-Att-Yds 99 yards West VirginiaProjected Passing

West Virginia Oklahoma

Comp-Att-Yds

12-27-191

9-15-169

Projected Yardage Total

TM REC FOE REC TM CONF

FOE CONF

Oklahoma 666 yards

125

Projected Final Score

Wes

t V

irg

inia

Mou

nta

iner

s

West Virginia DL

14-25-320 310 yards

Score

Passing Rushing

West Virginia Coaches

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

Okl

ahom

a S

oon

ers

Net Offense

Ypg DiffTotal TO's

Sks By West Virginia

Score

Mountainers Logs--PS RANK--

Iowa St

at Kansas

TM +/- FOE +/-AP TEAM

Oklahomaat Ohio St

Delaware St Tulane

Iowa St Texas Tech Score Off † Texas

† Virginia Tech

at Oklahoma

Net Offense Defense

392 yards

Bye

East Carolina

By Game Yardage Leaders Receiving

West Virginia Leaders

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

West Virginia Mountainers

1.07

Oklahoma LB's

Oklahoma Leaders

Team & Margin

0.93

West Virginia LB'S

at Kansas St Total Def

at Baylor

1.81

Oklahoma OL

ReceivingPosition by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders

TM CONFFOE NCAA RANKINGS

FOE

FOE

TEAM --PS RANK--7-1FOE 5-3TM REC FOE

REC

TCU

Sks Allowed at Kansas St Oklahoma St Rush Def Texas Tech

at TCU Total Off

Texas

Passing Rushing

Oklahoma

Defense

West Virginia OL

0.15

Oklahoma DL

West Virginia RB's

10-1 Oklahoma Sooners7-4OVERALL: OVERALL:

Sooners Logs

Rush Off at Baylor

Pass Def at Oklahoma St

Score Def at Kansas

Pass Off Bye

2017 TEAM RANKINGS UTEP

West Virginia

Phil's Forecast:

Las Vegas Line

Oklahoma is 5-0 as B12 rivals winning the last 3 meetings by 20 ppg. LY OU led 34-0 w/2:26 2Q outgaining WV 406-179 in a snow storm in WV. OU is 17-2 in home finales s/’98 (both losses vs Okla St). WV will be without QB Will Grier this week and soph Chris Chugunov will get his first start and QB Baker Mayfield will not start for OU after his gesture last week. Oklahoma is +240 ypg at home and +149 in Big 12 play while WV is just +18 ypg in Big 12 play and that was with QB Grier. Oklahoma’s defense is holding foes to 25 ypg below their season average and their much-maligned defense has allowed just 11.5 ppg the last 2 weeks and now take on a backup QB.

7.29Computer Yards

Oklahoma by 31 Oklahoma 48 West Virginia 17By 3.53 Points

Oklahoma Pts

Phil SteeleOklahoma

Computer PointsOklahoma 48-28

3.77

West Virginia Pts

Oklahoma By 22.3

Oklahoma By 21.1

+/- Ratings

West Virginia K0.95

Oklahoma K

1.80Game Grade

Oklahoma By 23

68.5 PointsLas Vegas Total

Oklahoma 666-409Comp-Att-Yds West Virginia Oklahoma 48 pointsExperience Rankings

28 points

20-35-320

38-51-554

FOE +/-APFOE

CONF TM +/-

2.38

Oklahoma QB/WR

vs. BIG 12 vs. BIG 12

1.77

West Virginia QB/WR

Oklahoma DB's

West Virginia

West Virginia Oklahoma 11

Oklahoma RB'sWest Virginia DB's

West Virginia Oklahoma 29 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

0.20

West Virginia ST's

Oklahoma ST's

Projected Box Score

Team Schedule Strength46

Oklahoma Coaches409 yards West Virginia

Page 54: Phil Steele’s Inside the Pressboxplus.philsteele.com/inside_the_pressbox/2017/College/...Phil Steele’s Inside the Pressbox WK 13 UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK *this is a Best Bet H Utah

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 120 119 8/26 27-58 L 59 64 104 42 95 47 0-0 0-0 123 9/2 77-21 W 8 42 190-1 0-0 112 9/2 35-32 W 60 82 104 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 128 115 9/9 42-35 W 1 37 19 50 32 421-1 1-0 0-0 0-0 108 120 9/9 14-48 L 66 95 112 86 46 4 2-0 1-1 0-0 0-0 127 107 9/16 49-13 W 1 34 19 114 102 1231-2 2-0 0-0 0-0 106 121 21 9/16 23-52 L 74 94 101 26 52 75 #95 #11 3-0 1-2 0-0 0-0 130 113 24 9/23 35-37 L 3 32 59 60 61 1061-3 0-1 106 9/23 73 99 107 #84 #103 3-1 3-1 0-1 0-1 126 119 9/30 45-24 W 5 25 59 83 46 831-3 4-0 0-1 1-0 106 140 6 9/30 7-42 L 83 102 89 20 14 38 #106 #34 4-1 5-0 1-1 2-0 128 127 11 10/7 10-38 L 6 19 50 27 38 611-4 4-1 0-2 2-1 106 132 14 10/7 10-38 L 89 102 97 14 7 10 #112 #33 4-2 4-2 1-2 3-1 123 132 23 10/14 7-49 L 8 17 43 5 32 61-5 3-3 0-3 0-3 106 114 10/14 33-36 L 81 102 84 50 60 33 #41 #52 4-3 3-3 1-3 1-2 119 116 10/21 14-31 L 14 20 68 15 58 861-6 0-4 106 10/21 79 102 74 #121 #29 4-4 4-3 1-4 1-3 115 120 10/28 41-20 W 19 22 76 50 29 131-6 5-2 0-4 4-1 110 128 20 10/26 14-15 L 85 92 92 8 29 4 #81 #88 5-4 7-1 2-4 4-1 120 136 12 11/4 3-38 L 16 20 84 28 4 371-7 4-5 0-5 1-5 109 115 11/4 23-37 L 87 93 81 113 54 75 #119 #50 5-5 2-5 117 11/11 20 25 981-8 6-3 0-6 4-2 109 126 11/11 28-49 L 87 99 85 8 68 79 #126 #87 5-5 7-3 2-5 5-2 117 126 11/18 48-28 W 19 25 103 6 67 751-9 5-5 0-7 4-3 108 120 11/18 24-40 L 88 99 88 38 47 71 #118 #10 6-5 1-10 3-5 0-8 122 108 11/25 18 21 93 88 99 88

6-5 3-5 122 11/25 18 21 93 #122 #34-11 -2

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

at Colorado St 27-58 -69 -8 -3 23 29-152 5.2 27-47 304 1 31 43-191 4.4 26-39 334 0 Southern Utah 77-21 338 12 0 37 52-348 6.7 23-27 355 1 25 38-99 2.6 25-48 266 5 Portland St 35-32 -126 -10 1 18 32-154 4.8 18-25 235 0 28 54-291 5.4 16-28 224 0 Nebraska 42-35 205 3 2 22 44-201 4.6 25-33 365 0 19 29-109 3.8 19-41 252 3 Minnesota 14-48 -186 -7 -2 14 26-80 3.1 17-29 145 3 21 58-253 4.4 7-8 158 0 at Wyoming 49-13 375 22 -1 32 65-307 4.7 18-30 251 2 10 32-117 3.7 10-25 66 2at Washington St 23-52 -137 -6 -2 21 33-155 4.7 24-37 199 3 27 16-60 3.8 42-58 431 3 at Arizona St 35-37 -88 -3 0 20 30-120 4.0 19-35 281 2 23 53-142 2.7 24-39 347 4 Bye California 45-24 196 7 1 24 56-328 5.9 17-22 131 0 17 29-8 0.3 23-43 255 7 Washington 7-42 -325 -24 -1 8 28-110 3.9 11-22 74 0 32 41-216 5.3 26-34 293 3 Washington St 10-33 -92 -7 -1 13 45-132 2.9 15-27 145 4 20 25-87 3.5 24-42 282 4at USC 10-38 -193 -10 0 16 36-122 3.4 16-29 197 2 26 37-184 5.0 24-36 328 1 at Stanford 7-49 -195 -13 -1 12 43-276 6.4 5-13 33 2 25 41-248 6.0 21-28 256 0 Colorado 33-36 184 5 -1 30 46-280 6.1 20-37 289 0 25 41-206 5.0 15-25 179 2 at UCLA 14-31 -88 2 -2 24 62-246 4.0 8-15 74 4 22 37-142 3.8 21-36 266 2 Bye Utah 41-20 32 -1 0 19 49-347 7.1 10-13 69 2 20 30-91 3.0 25-43 293 4 Stanford 14-15 42 8 -2 20 41-138 3.4 13-22 126 2 12 27-81 3.0 16-33 141 1 at Washington 3-38 -173 -3 -1 16 55-247 4.5 7-13 31 2 19 39-247 6.3 11-19 204 0at California 23-37 -176 -16 1 18 31-104 3.4 14-26 195 1 34 45-216 4.8 24-31 259 2 Byeat Arizona 28-49 -242 -4 0 22 40-151 3.8 16-28 209 4 26 55-534 9.7 5-7 68 0 Arizona 48-28 258 -3 1 24 50-353 7.1 14-21 235 1 27 45-171 3.8 18-35 159 2 Arizona St 24-40 -78 -1 -2 23 33-106 3.2 26-37 269 2 24 49-286 5.8 12-19 167 1 Oregon Stat Oregon

Average 22-41 -118.7 -6.6 -1.0 19 34-141 4.1 59.6% 204 5.3% 26 42-229 5.4 67.0% 235 4.1% Average 34-30 69.8 1.5 -0.2 22 50-264 5.3 64.7% 179 8.0% 21 36-133 3.7 55.4% 241 8.3% Conference 20-39 -115.6 -6.0 -0.9 20 36-146 4.0 58.8% 195 5.9% 26 39-223 5.7 67.5% 233 5.3% Conference 25-33 -18.8 -2.6 -0.4 19 49-256 5.3 59.7% 125 10.7% 22 37-142 3.8 58.6% 258 8.1% Away 22-47 -163.4 -8.8 -0.8 20 34-137 4.0 58.1% 221 6.6% 29 39-237 6.0 70.8% 284 3.5% Home 44-27 156.2 1.8 0.5 23 49-285 5.8 72.7% 217 5.6% 21 33-94 2.9 53.2% 251 9.9%

at Colorado St Jake Luton 27-47-304-2-3 Ryan Nall 15-115-7.7-1 Jordan Villamin 7-77-11.0-0 Southern Utah Justin Herbert 17-21-281-1-0 Royce Freeman 23-150-6.5-4 Charles Nelson 5-99-19.8-0 Portland St Jake Luton 18-25-235-1-1 Ryan Nall 16-59-3.7-1 Noah Togiai 5-95-19.0-0 Nebraska Justin Herbert 25-33-365-3-1 Royce Freeman 29-153-5.3-2 Charles Nelson 8-117-14.6-1 Minnesota Jake Luton 16-28-135-1-0 Artavis Pierce 8-35-4.4-0 Jordan Villamin 3-55-18.3-1 vs. at Wyoming Justin Herbert 18-29-251-1-1 Royce Freeman 30-157-5.2-3 Dillon Mitchell 6-65-10.8-0at Washington St Jake Luton 22-35-179-0-0 Ryan Nall 15-118-7.9-2 Jordan Villamin 6-55-9.2-0 at Arizona St Justin Herbert 19-35-281-3-0 Royce Freeman 15-81-5.4-1 Jacob Breeland 4-95-23.8-0 Bye California Justin Herbert 7-8-86-1-0 Kani Benoit 18-138-7.7-2 Brenden Schooler 1-37-37.0-1 Washington Darrell Garretson 11-22-74-0-0 Thomas Tyner 9-54-6.0-1 Ryan Nall 5-44-8.8-0 vs. Washington St Braxton Burmeister 15-27-145-1-2 Royce Freeman 12-62-5.2-0 Brenden Schooler 5-61-12.2-0at USC Darrell Garretson 16-29-197-0-1 Artavis Pierce 12-60-5.0-1 Seth Collins 5-91-18.2-0 at Stanford Braxton Burmeister 3-8-23-0-2 Royce Freeman 18-143-7.9-0 Brenden Schooler 2-15-7.5-0 Colorado Darrell Garretson 20-37-289-0-1 Ryan Nall 24-172-7.2-3 Timmy Hernandez 7-65-9.3-0 at UCLA Braxton Burmeister 8-15-74-0-1 Royce Freeman 29-160-5.5-0 Charles Nelson 4-40-10.0-0 Bye vs. Utah Braxton Burmeister 9-12-47-1-0 Royce Freeman 20-139-7.0-0 Jacob Breeland 1-22-22.0-1 Stanford Darrell Garretson 13-21-126-0-1 Ryan Nall 19-84-4.4-0 Noah Togiai 2-38-19.0-0 at Washington Braxton Burmeister 7-13-31-0-1 Royce Freeman 24-122-5.1-0 Charles Nelson 4-18-4.5-0at California Darrell Garretson 13-25-169-0-0 Thomas Tyner 8-41-5.1-1 Ryan Nall 4-54-13.5-1 Byeat Arizona Darrell Garretson 16-28-209-4-1 Ryan Nall 22-95-4.3-0 Noah Togiai 3-56-18.7-1 vs. Arizona Justin Herbert 14-21-235-1-1 Royce Freeman 19-135-7.1-4 Charles Nelson 4-74-18.5-0 Arizona St Darrell Garretson 26-37-269-0-2 Ryan Nall 12-42-3.5-1 Noah Togiai 5-88-17.6-0 Oregon Stat Oregon

vs.

Darrell Garretson 117-201-1353-5-6 Ryan Nall 151-769-5.1-8 Noah Togiai 34-461-13.6-2 Justin Herbert 100-147-1499-10-3 Royce Freeman 225-1353-6.0-14 Charles Nelson 29-384-13.2-1Jake Luton 83-135-853-4-4 Artavis Pierce 62-284-4.6-1 Jordan Villamin 30-356-11.9-1 vs. Braxton Burmeister 43-76-324-2-6 Tony Brooks-James 83-478-5.8-2 Johnny Johnson III 19-284-14.9-1Tuli Wily-Matagi 1-1-26-1-0 Thomas Tyner 56-274-4.9-3 Timmy Hernandez 26-294-11.3-2 Taylor Alie 17-25-125-0-1 Kani Benoit 69-451-6.5-9 Jacob Breeland 14-278-19.9-4

Category

2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Oregon St - 71 34 25 53-310

Oregon - -3 24 21 30-171 02015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Oregon St - 70.5 42 23 38-228

Oregon 18 -35 52 37 51-308 02014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Oregon St - 67 19 21 32-146

Oregon 3 -18.5 47 26 40-198 02013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Oregon St - 68.5 35 26 39-231

Oregon 12 -23 36 29 45-283 02012 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's

Oregon St 16 66 24 22 25-82

Oregon 5 -9.5 48 25 64-430 6

Oregon St

17-29-213

Beavers Logs

Projected Rushing

Projected Box Score

FOE +/-AP TEAM --PS RANK--

FOE

Oregon St Leaders

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving

Oregon

Oregon St

Comp-Att-Yds

44 pointsExperience Rankings

13-25-199

28-38-366

31

Bye

Net Offense Defense

Ore

gon

St

Bea

vers

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

Ore

gon

Du

cks

Net Offense

2.39

Oregon St OL0.67

Oregon DLOregon St DL

Oregon OL

Total TO'sat Oregon

Score Def Arizona Arizona St Sks By Oregon Stat Arizona

Pass Def at Washingtonat California Total Def Bye Stanford

Washington Stat USC Score Off at Stanford Washington

Rush Off at Arizona St Bye Pass Off Californiaat Washington St

vs. PAC 12 vs. PAC 12 Ducks Logs--PS RANK--TM

CONFFOE

CONF TM +/- FOE +/-FOE

FOE

OVERALL: Oregon Ducks6-5OVERALL:

1-10

Portland St

TEAM

Defense

Score Score

TM REC FOE REC TM CONF

FOE CONF TM +/- FOE

REC

Southern Utah

Oregon Nebraska

Minnesota at Wyoming

at Colorado St 2017 TEAM RANKINGS

Sks Allowed at UCLA

Oregon St Beavers

Rush Def Utah Colorado

Total Off

Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders

Oregon St RB's1.13

Oregon LB's

Oregon St OregonOregon St QB/WR

0.86

Oregon DB's

NCAA RANKINGSFOE 0-8 3-5

TM REC

Oregon St

Ypg Diff

Oregon St DB's

Oregon QB/WR

Oregon St LB'S

Oregon RB's

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)0.23

Oregon St ST'sComp-Att-Yds

13-20-101

Ret

urn

to

Tab

le o

f C

onte

nts

Oregon ST's

0.16

Oregon St K

2.89

Oregon

270 yards Oregon St19-25-367

Comp-Att-Yds

Oregon 21

179 yards

Projected Final Score

Comp-Att-Yds

OregonProjected Yardage Total

23-47-216

Team Schedule Strength34

Oregon Leaders

Las Vegas Line

Las Vegas Total62.5 Points

1.76

Team & Margin

Oregon By 25

+/- Ratings

11.20

334 yardsProjected Passing

98 yards Oregon St Oregon

513 yards

Phil's Forecast:

Oregon By 18.5Oregon St Coaches

Oregon K

The Ducks are 8-1, but lost last year and the home team is 15-5. Last year the Ducks led 24-14 mid 3Q but the Beavers scored the final 20 pts eventually putting their rivalry away after a 68/9pl TD drive w/1:56 left. The Ducks are off a bye and a home game vs Arizona while Ore St is on a 3rd road game in 4 weeks. With Justin Herbert at QB the Ducks are averaging 49 ppg with him and just 15 ppg without him!! Oregon is +156 ypg at home and OSU is -163 ypg on the road. Oregon St was +113 ypg in the first two games for interim HC Cory Hall, but are just -165 ypg the last 3. Oregon St trailed Ariz St 30-0 last week. The Beavers are a large rivalry dog, but I will side with the Herbert led Ducks here.

Oregon St Pts

Oregon Pts

Oregon Coaches1.50

0.39

172 yards Oregon St Oregon

19 points Oregon St

Oregon 49 Oregon St 20By 10.81 Points

Oregon 44-19

Phil SteeleOregon

POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

Oregon by 29

Computer Points

48

29-47-314

17-34-285

Comp-Att-Yds

31-49-311

17-24-140

Game GradeOregon By 25.4

Computer YardsOregon 513-270

ReceivingPassing Rushing

AP

Page 55: Phil Steele’s Inside the Pressboxplus.philsteele.com/inside_the_pressbox/2017/College/...Phil Steele’s Inside the Pressbox WK 13 UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK *this is a Best Bet H Utah

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 106 8/31 28-6 W 114 124 107 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 102 113 8/31 31-37 L 60 94 110 33 48 901-0 0-1 0-0 0-0 105 94 9/9 16-44 L 114 123 107 57 130 102 0-1 1-0 0-0 0-0 103 105 9/9 30-28 W 56 104 110 62 121 141-1 0-2 0-0 0-0 100 115 9/16 28-37 L 113 124 59 119 84 29 1-1 1-1 0-0 0-0 105 103 9/16 24-27 L 47 99 120 80 55 1021-2 1-2 0-0 0-0 101 100 9/23 29-23 W 98 123 117 123 97 90 #105 #125 1-2 0-3 0-1 0-1 103 87 9/23 41-14 W 49 95 116 129 129 852-2 1-0 103 9/30 102 120 114 #68 #4 2-2 1-2 0-1 0-1 104 114 9/30 24-42 L 40 85 119 31 56 1222-2 1-3 1-0 0-1 103 97 10/7 16-21 L 100 117 103 80 124 98 #101 #27 2-3 2-2 0-1 1-0 103 111 10/7 31-45 L 41 92 116 75 74 842-3 3-2 1-1 2-0 100 110 10/14 20-23 L 104 113 93 72 70 73 #111 #43 2-4 0-4 0-2 0-1 104 91 10/14 35-27 W 40 94 124 127 116 992-4 1-5 1-2 0-4 100 108 10/21 21-68 L 110 109 90 27 97 37 #124 #90 3-4 1-2 104 10/21 39 98 1302-5 3-4 1-2 3-2 96 97 10/28 31-23 W 112 114 93 75 120 53 #69 #91 3-4 4-2 1-2 3-0 104 115 10/28 21-37 L 40 96 130 39 75 163-5 6-2 2-2 3-1 97 107 11/2 21-24 L 107 114 91 68 46 113 #64 #79 3-5 2-6 1-3 1-3 103 88 11/4 45-35 W 55 93 129 123 106 1273-6 2-3 99 11/11 105 112 109 #59 #86 4-5 2-3 103 11/11 50 95 1303-6 2-3 99 89 11/18 7-13 L 110 113 111 125 121 105 #80 #106 4-5 4-5 2-3 3-2 103 98 11/18 34-47 L 44 96 129 98 104 693-7 4-6 2-4 2-4 95 99 11/25 111 110 118 48 98 123 #61 #28 4-6 3-7 2-4 2-4 99 95 11/25 48 98 123 111 110 118

6-3 5-1 99 12/2 112 102 119 #86 #51 4-7 3-4 97 12/2 124 92 57-1 -4

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

Sacramento St 28-6 170 7 -3 15 44-197 4.5 14-19 163 4 8 35-95 2.7 10-25 95 4 at Arizona St 31-37 149 8 -2 27 30-151 5.0 40-58 398 6 19 40-79 2.0 24-30 321 7 UNLV 16-44 -166 -4 0 18 36-123 3.4 22-34 261 1 22 50-357 7.1 10-16 193 1 at New Mexico 30-28 70 2 2 23 26-99 3.8 34-57 401 1 21 37-176 4.8 20-38 254 1at Western Michigan 28-37 52 -5 -2 15 34-170 5.0 16-26 229 4 20 42-135 3.2 21-31 212 2 Troy 24-27 -87 -8 0 18 17-51 3.0 32-45 331 0 26 37-183 4.9 25-41 286 1at South Alabama 29-23 69 7 -1 24 37-146 3.9 23-39 273 3 17 48-244 5.1 11-26 106 1 UTEP 41-14 235 6 3 21 29-179 6.2 26-43 283 0 15 36-135 3.8 10-34 92 3 Bye at Arkansas 24-42 -139 -11 -1 18 14-11 0.8 23-38 344 2 29 51-230 4.5 19-26 264 0 Louisiana 16-21 -18 -9 1 13 39-130 3.3 13-28 149 3 22 39-84 2.2 19-28 213 7 at Appalachian St 31-45 107 11 -3 28 42-176 4.2 27-50 356 4 17 38-350 9.2 11-22 75 0 Appalachian St 20-23 36 0 0 14 36-112 3.1 15-28 200 6 14 38-121 3.2 19-26 155 1 at GA Southern 35-27 240 12 -2 25 26-106 4.1 32-53 399 3 13 50-192 3.8 6-9 73 2at Missouri 21-68 -380 -13 0 15 38-81 2.1 22-36 197 5 28 30-183 6.1 24-34 475 1 Bye ULM 31-23 5 2 2 27 39-158 4.1 28-42 360 1 25 29-98 3.4 24-37 415 2 Arkansas St 21-37 -161 -14 0 13 32-35 1.1 20-40 221 7 27 40-120 3.0 25-40 297 7at Troy 21-24 -17 2 2 22 32-90 2.8 24-35 288 6 20 36-183 5.1 20-31 212 1 at Texas St 45-35 59 -4 2 26 33-119 3.6 31-49 503 1 30 36-163 4.5 33-53 400 5 Bye Bye Coastal Carolina 7-13 2 -6 0 14 33-100 3.0 18-26 177 2 20 40-175 4.4 11-24 100 2 at Louisiana 34-47 -103 -3 -3 26 19-89 4.7 32-44 313 2 29 47-279 5.9 21-35 226 1at New Mexico St Idahoat Georgia St South Alabama

Average 22-28 -24.7 -1.9 -0.1 18 37-131 3.6 62.3% 230 11.2% 20 39-168 4.3 60.8% 218 7.9% Average 32-34 37.0 -0.1 -0.4 23 27-102 3.8 62.3% 355 5.5% 23 41-191 4.6 59.1% 229 8.2% Conference 21-21 12.8 -0.7 0.7 19 36-123 3.4 61.1% 241 10.6% 20 38-151 3.9 60.5% 200 8.1% Conference 32-36 9.2 -1.0 -1.0 23 28-96 3.4 61.9% 354 6.0% 24 41-215 5.2 60.5% 226 8.0% Away 25-38 -69.0 -2.3 -0.3 19 35-122 3.5 62.5% 247 13.2% 21 39-186 4.8 62.3% 251 4.1% Home 29-26 -4.3 -5.3 1.0 17 26-88 3.4 60.9% 278 5.5% 23 38-146 3.9 52.2% 225 9.6%

Sacramento St Matt Linehan 14-19-163-2-2 Aaron Duckworth 19-142-7.5-1 Reuben Mwehla 7-63-9.0-1 at Arizona St Tyler Rogers 40-57-398-3-2 Jason Huntley 5-84-16.8-1 Jaleel Scott 8-149-18.6-2 UNLV Matt Linehan 22-34-261-1-1 Aaron Duckworth 18-80-4.4-0 Jacob Sannon 11-109-9.9-0 at New Mexico Tyler Rogers 34-57-401-4-1 Larry Rose III 21-99-4.7-0 Izaiah Lottie 2-98-49.0-2at Western Michigan Matt Linehan 16-26-229-3-1 Aaron Duckworth 13-97-7.5-0 Alfonso Onunwor 4-93-23.3-1 vs. Troy Tyler Rogers 32-45-331-3-0 Larry Rose III 12-69-5.8-0 Izaiah Lottie 4-93-23.3-2at South Alabama Matt Linehan 23-38-273-1-0 Isaiah Saunders 18-63-3.5-1 Alfonso Onunwor 8-119-14.9-1 UTEP Tyler Rogers 26-43-283-2-1 Larry Rose III 17-144-8.5-2 Jaleel Scott 4-74-18.5-0 Bye at Arkansas Tyler Rogers 23-38-344-2-1 Larry Rose III 8-25-3.1-0 Jaleel Scott 9-174-19.3-1 Louisiana Matt Linehan 13-28-149-0-0 Aaron Duckworth 14-62-4.4-0 Jacob Sannon 4-58-14.5-0 vs. at Appalachian St Tyler Rogers 27-50-356-2-6 Jason Huntley 10-96-9.6-0 Jason Huntley 3-111-37.0-1 Appalachian St Matt Linehan 15-28-200-2-0 Aaron Duckworth 21-113-5.4-0 Alfonso Onunwor 6-85-14.2-1 at GA Southern Tyler Rogers 31-51-382-3-2 Jason Huntley 16-99-6.2-0 Anthony Muse 5-106-21.2-0at Missouri Matt Linehan 19-32-139-2-0 Aaron Duckworth 13-74-5.7-0 Alfonso Onunwor 8-89-11.1-0 Bye ULM Matt Linehan 28-42-360-3-0 Aaron Duckworth 23-113-4.9-1 Alfonso Onunwor 7-79-11.3-1 vs. Arkansas St Tyler Rogers 20-40-221-1-2 Larry Rose III 18-55-3.1-1 OJ Clark 7-113-16.1-0at Troy Matt Linehan 23-34-282-2-0 Aaron Duckworth 13-64-4.9-0 Alfonso Onunwor 9-111-12.3-2 at Texas St Tyler Rogers 29-46-474-3-0 Larry Rose III 19-81-4.3-1 Jaleel Scott 7-130-18.6-1 Bye Bye Coastal Carolina Mason Petrino 18-26-177-1-1 Aaron Duckworth 18-70-3.9-0 David Ungerer 5-62-12.4-0 vs. at Louisiana Tyler Rogers 17-24-184-1-0 Jason Huntley 6-58-9.7-0 Larry Rose III 7-101-14.4-1at New Mexico St Idahoat Georgia St South Alabama

vs.

Matt Linehan 173-281-2056-16-4 Aaron Duckworth 161-871-5.4-3 Alfonso Onunwor 54-693-12.8-7 Tyler Rogers 279-451-3374-24-15 Larry Rose III 136-640-4.7-7 Jaleel Scott 56-831-14.8-8

Mason Petrino 22-31-241-3-1 Isaiah Saunders 106-427-4.0-1 Jacob Sannon 54-559-10.4-1 vs. Nick Jeanty 17-23-158-1-3 Jason Huntley 55-393-7.1-1 OJ Clark 41-466-11.4-3Team 0-1-0-0-0 Reuben Mwehla 3-18-6.0-0 David Ungerer 28-330-11.8-5 Conner Cramer 1-1-17-1-0 Tyler Rogers 64-24-0.4-7 Anthony Muse 33-407-12.3-1

Category

2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Idaho - -4.5 55 34 42-169

New Mexico St - 66.5 23 17 29-62 -12015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Idaho - -7 48 30 50-262

New Mexico St - 63 55 24 41-315 02014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Idaho - -5.5 29 30 52-310

New Mexico St - 68 17 11 34-214 -22013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Idaho - 64 16 20 37-209

New Mexico St - -3 24 23 43-181 -12012 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's

Idaho - -9.5 26 20 28-77

New Mexico St - 56.5 18 23 28-98 -2

FOE +/-

New Mexico St 370 yards

26-48-304

28-46-309

33 points

100

121 Idaho New Mexico St

26 points

24-40-326

Comp-Att-Yds

23-37-226

9-16-100

236 yards Idaho

Louisiana

31-39-482

23-36-366

AP

Idaho VandalsVandals Logs

TM REC FOE RECTEAMTM

CONFFOE

CONF

Idaho Leaders

21-42-250

18-28-190

Comp-Att-Yds

at South Alabama

TM +/-

Net Offense Defense

Idah

o V

and

als

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

New

Mex

ico

St

Ag

gie

s

Total Off at Appalachian St Appalachian St Score Off at GA Southern

Net Offense

Score Def at Louisianaat New Mexico St Sks By Idaho

at Troy Pass Def at Texas St Bye Total Def Bye

at Missouri Sks Allowed Bye ULM Rush Def Arkansas St

Coastal Carolina

OVERALL: OVERALL: New Mexico St Aggies3-7 4-6vs. SUN vs. AAC Aggies Logs

TM REC FOE REC

TM CONF

FOE CONF

FOE--PS RANK--2-4TM +/-

FOE FOENCAA RANKINGSTEAM--PS RANK-- FOE

FOE +/-AP2-4

Defense

South Alabama

Score Score

Total TO'sYpg Diffat Georgia St

ReceivingBy Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing

Rush Off UTEP Bye Pass Off at Arkansas

Sacramento St

0.53

Idaho RB's

New Mexico St LB's

Idaho New Mexico St

1.52

Idaho QB/WR

New Mexico St DB's

Idaho DL0.22

New Mexico St OL

Idaho OL0.40

New Mexico St DL

2017 TEAM RANKINGS at Arizona St UNLV

Idaho New Mexico Stat New Mexico

at Western Michigan Troy

Idaho DB's2.94

New Mexico St QB/WR

Idaho LB'S1.16

New Mexico St RB's

New Mexico St Leaders

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

Ret

urn

to

Tab

le o

f C

onte

nts

Projected Box Score 0.53

Idaho ST's Team & Margin

0.02Las Vegas Total

Experience Rankings New Mexico St Pts

Projected Yardage Total

104

14 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:Team Schedule Strength New Mexico St

New Mexico St

Idaho New Mexico StComp-Att-Yds

N Mexico St 478-352Comp-Att-Yds

Phil's Forecast:

Las Vegas Line

The home team has won 7 straight in the series by an avg of 13 ppg and the home team has won by at least 7 each time. New Mexico St still has bowl hopes, but did lose QB Tyler Rogers to injury last week and he is ? here. Rogers has a 24-15 ratio. Nick Jeanty replaced him and hit 15-20, but also tossed 3 ints. Idaho is in their last year of FBS and after winning a bowl game last year they thought they could contend for the SBC crown. They just had their FHG this year in the Kibbie Dome and got upset which was loss number 7 so there will be no bowl. Idaho just gave Coastal Carolina their 2nd win of the season last week and their QB Matt Linehan DNP. This is only the 4th home game of the year for an Aggie squad that is playing at an average game grade of 77.4 and should be fired up at home so the AGG is calling for a double-digit win.

New Mexico St ST's N Mexico St By 10

56.5 Points

Idaho Coaches N Mexico St By 6.8

N Mexico St By 9.9

Idaho KComp-Att-Yds

New Mexico St K25-42-307

Projected Rushing117 yards Idaho New Mexico St 107 yards

Game Grade352 yards Idaho New Mexico St 478 yards New Mexico St Coaches

0.15

+/- RatingsProjected Passing

Idaho Pts4.74Idaho

Computer Yards

Computer PointsN Mexico St 33-26

Projected Final Score2.73

New Mexico St 37 Idaho 24By 2.00 Points

Phil SteeleN Mexico St by 13

Page 56: Phil Steele’s Inside the Pressboxplus.philsteele.com/inside_the_pressbox/2017/College/...Phil Steele’s Inside the Pressbox WK 13 UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK *this is a Best Bet H Utah

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 95 128 12 9/2 7-41 L 124 126 62 7 12 7 0-0 0-0 103 9/2 51-48 W 112 81 800-1 0-0 96 9/9 12-22 L 125 126 62 1-0 0-1 0-0 0-0 101 115 9/9 42-66 L 104 99 80 55 100 530-2 0-0 93 9/16 128 125 89 1-1 1-1 0-0 0-0 100 116 9/16 21-45 L 78 111 44 35 17 110-2 1-1 0-0 0-1 93 117 9/23 17-52 L 130 124 79 100 38 18 #29 #45 1-2 0-2 0-0 0-0 99 99 9/23 50-56 L 93 118 74 111 112 1090-3 0-0 92 9/30 128 123 87 #127 #79 1-3 0-1 97 9/30 89 124 810-3 1-2 0-0 0-0 92 108 10/4 25-43 L 128 120 78 58 75 57 #120 #64 1-3 2-2 0-1 1-0 97 103 10/7 21-16 W 80 124 98 100 117 1030-4 2-4 0-1 0-2 91 104 10/14 27-35 L 127 116 99 40 94 124 #118 #55 2-3 1-5 1-1 0-2 100 83 10/12 24-7 W 91 122 90 128 120 1250-5 0-6 0-2 0-1 91 105 10/21 20-55 L 126 107 71 73 101 129 #101 #97 3-3 3-2 2-1 2-0 100 111 10/19 3-47 L 94 117 82 51 89 130-6 5-2 0-2 2-1 87 107 10/28 16-38 L 126 119 35 76 43 114 #87 #112 3-4 2-2 96 10/28 105 116 720-7 4-3 0-3 3-1 87 101 11/4 17-21 L 127 122 39 118 102 118 #82 #119 3-4 3-5 2-2 2-2 96 100 11/4 19-14 W 103 116 70 122 81 410-8 5-4 0-4 4-1 88 103 11/9 6-27 L 127 118 37 51 67 92 #86 #121 4-4 4-5 3-2 2-4 99 114 11/11 22-50 L 100 106 67 15 83 360-9 4-6 0-5 3-3 88 102 11/18 52-0 W 128 118 29 122 75 65 #105 #122 4-5 4-5 3-2 2-3 98 103 11/18 47-34 W 98 104 69 44 96 1291-9 5-5 1-5 4-2 93 101 11/25 125 111 35 83 100 86 #108 #83 5-5 1-9 4-2 1-5 101 93 11/25 83 100 86 125 111 35

99 12/2 127 119 98 #115 #110 6-4 5-1 103 12/2 47 64 78-2 +5

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

at Auburn 7-41 -457 -17 2 8 47-70 1.5 4-9 8 6 25 53-351 6.6 15-26 184 3 SE Louisiana 51-48 -151 -9 2 15 36-201 5.6 12-23 162 1 24 54-343 6.4 15-25 171 1 New Hampshire 12-22 52 7 -2 21 57-233 4.1 11-22 93 5 14 32-145 4.5 13-22 129 2 at Tulsa 42-66 -71 -6 -1 27 41-287 7.0 21-34 309 1 33 72-424 5.9 14-20 243 0 Bye at Texas A&M 21-45 -171 -10 -3 17 29-93 3.2 28-44 216 2 27 40-179 4.5 21-34 301 1at Indiana 17-52 -92 -5 -3 15 54-242 4.5 7-16 133 3 20 47-282 6.0 11-22 185 0 ULM 50-56 -67 5 0 32 47-231 4.9 24-43 295 5 27 45-250 5.6 28-34 343 0 Bye Bye Arkansas St 25-43 112 5 1 24 63-333 5.3 10-18 160 4 19 35-65 1.9 12-26 316 2 at Idaho 21-16 18 9 -1 22 39-84 2.2 19-28 213 7 13 39-130 3.3 13-28 149 3 New Mexico St 27-35 -240 -12 2 13 50-192 3.8 6-9 73 2 25 26-106 4.1 32-53 399 3 Texas St 24-7 42 0 3 19 38-135 3.6 17-27 232 2 19 44-106 2.4 14-25 219 6at UMass 20-55 -379 -21 -2 12 41-136 3.3 5-18 155 3 33 44-320 7.3 21-28 350 0 at Arkansas St 3-47 -301 -13 -1 17 41-91 2.2 15-36 179 5 30 43-262 6.1 24-40 309 1at Troy 16-38 -74 3 -1 19 62-227 3.7 6-12 82 1 16 30-241 8.0 10-20 142 0 Bye Georgia St 17-21 -32 4 -2 19 50-189 3.8 22-28 147 0 15 24-49 2.0 22-37 319 4 at South Alabama 19-14 6 -7 2 16 50-264 5.3 8-15 110 0 23 28-87 3.1 23-42 281 3at Appalachian St 6-27 -226 -4 0 15 38-111 2.9 10-18 80 3 19 47-256 5.4 7-14 161 0 at Mississippi 22-50 -214 -9 1 21 31-228 7.4 18-35 199 3 30 43-223 5.2 28-36 418 2 South Alabama 52-0 388 16 3 26 68-356 5.2 11-17 227 1 10 16-29 1.8 16-37 166 1 New Mexico St 47-34 103 3 3 29 47-279 5.9 21-35 226 1 26 19-89 4.7 32-44 313 2at Louisiana GA Southernat Coastal Carolina at Appalachian St

Average 20-33 -94.8 -2.4 -0.2 17 53-209 3.9 55.1% 116 16.8% 20 35-184 5.2 55.8% 235 5.3% Average 30-38 -80.6 -3.7 0.5 22 40-189 4.7 57.2% 214 8.4% 25 43-209 4.9 64.6% 275 5.8% Conference 24-27 -12.0 2.0 0.5 19 55-235 4.3 63.7% 128 10.8% 17 30-124 4.2 52.9% 251 5.3% Conference 27-29 -33.2 -0.5 1.0 23 44-181 4.1 56.5% 209 10.9% 23 36-154 4.2 62.9% 269 7.0% Away 13-43 -245.6 -8.8 -0.8 14 48-157 3.2 43.8% 92 21.9% 23 44-290 6.6 58.2% 204 2.7% Home 43-36 -18.3 -0.3 2.0 24 42-212 5.0 57.8% 229 7.0% 24 41-197 4.9 69.5% 262 7.0%

at Auburn Shai Werts 4-8-8-0-1 L.A Ramsby 11-33-3.0-0 Obe Fortune 1-7-7.0-0 SE Louisiana Jordan Davis 12-23-162-1-0 Trey Ragas 4-61-15.3-1 Keenan Barnes 3-70-23.3-0 New Hampshire Shai Werts 11-22-93-0-1 Shai Werts 31-124-4.0-0 Mark Michaud 3-39-13.0-0 at Tulsa Jordan Davis 21-32-309-2-1 Trey Ragas 11-130-11.8-1 Ryheem Malone 8-119-14.9-0 Bye vs. at Texas A&M Jordan Davis 27-43-197-2-3 Trey Ragas 14-93-6.6-1 Keenan Barnes 12-118-9.8-0at Indiana Shai Werts 6-14-129-2-0 L.A Ramsby 18-108-6.0-0 D'Ondre Glenn 3-98-32.7-1 ULM Andre Nunez 22-37-287-2-0 Elijah Mitchell 13-107-8.2-2 Jarrod Jackson 7-113-16.1-1 Bye Bye Arkansas St Shai Werts 10-18-160-1-2 Shai Werts 29-112-3.9-0 Obe Fortune 3-70-23.3-1 vs. at Idaho Andre Nunez 18-24-213-1-1 Trey Ragas 17-78-4.6-1 Ja'Marcus Bradley 5-93-18.6-1 New Mexico St Shai Werts 6-9-73-0-0 Wesley Fields 13-103-7.9-1 Myles Campbell 3-41-13.7-0 Texas St Andre Nunez 17-27-232-1-0 Trey Ragas 19-72-3.8-2 Keenan Barnes 5-99-19.8-1at UMass Kado Brown 4-9-148-0-1 Wesley Fields 12-62-5.2-0 Mark Michaud 2-88-44.0-0 at Arkansas St Jordan Davis 11-24-128-0-0 Jordan Davis 9-33-3.7-0 Michael Jacquet 6-55-9.2-0at Troy Kado Brown 4-7-42-0-1 Wesley Fields 18-83-4.6-1 Obe Fortune 3-36-12.0-0 vs. Bye Georgia St Shai Werts 22-28-147-1-0 Shai Werts 15-63-4.2-1 Malik Henry 8-47-5.9-0 at South Alabama Levi Lewis 8-15-110-2-0 Levi Lewis 18-129-7.2-0 Michael Jacquet 2-58-29.0-1at Appalachian St Shai Werts 5-9-40-0-0 Wesley Fields 8-37-4.6-0 Malik Henry 4-45-11.3-0 at Mississippi Levi Lewis 14-26-166-0-0 Ryheem Malone 1-52-52.0-0 Ja'Marcus Bradley 7-105-15.0-0 South Alabama Kado Brown 4-4-120-1-0 Shai Werts 15-113-7.5-1 Darion Anderson 2-71-35.5-0 vs. New Mexico St Jordan Davis 18-31-203-2-0 Trey Ragas 23-132-5.7-2 Ryheem Malone 7-113-16.1-1at Louisiana GA Southernat Coastal Carolina at Appalachian St

vs.

Shai Werts 73-126-797-5-4 Shai Werts 169-602-3.6-2 Malik Henry 18-255-14.2-1 Jordan Davis 96-171-1040-7-4 Trey Ragas 130-758-5.8-9 Ryheem Malone 36-510-14.2-3Kado Brown 18-30-354-1-2 Wesley Fields 139-595-4.3-4 Obe Fortune 15-189-12.6-1 vs. Andre Nunez 61-99-783-4-2 Jordan Davis 54-259-4.8-5 Keenan Barnes 36-507-14.1-2LaBaron Anthony 1-9-7-0-0 L.A Ramsby 112-437-3.9-4 Mark Michaud 7-173-24.7-0 Levi Lewis 22-41-276-2-0 Elijah Mitchell 42-257-6.1-4 Ja'Marcus Bradley 34-404-11.9-2

Category

2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Georgia Southern - -7.5 26 16 28-52

Louisiana - 45.5 33 26 42-224 -1

vs.

vs.

vs.

Ret

urn

to

Tab

le o

f C

onte

nts

Projected Box Score

Ga Southern Leaders

Experience RankingsLouisiana 34 points

Louisiana

TM REC FOE REC TM CONF

FOE CONF TM +/- FOE +/-

AP

Ga Southern EaglesEagles Logs

0.54

Ga Southern RB's

Louisiana LB's

Total TO's

Louisiana DL

Ga Southern LB'S

1.16

Louisiana RB'sGa Southern DB's

1.06

Louisiana QB/WR

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) Ga Southern ST's Team & Margin

Las Vegas LineLouisiana ST's Louisiana By 6

0.55Comp-Att-Yds

22-37-254

Louisiana By 11.3

Louisiana Leaders

Ypg Diffat Coastal Carolina

Score Def New Mexico Stat Louisiana Sks By GA Southern South Alabama

Ga Southern Louisiana

0.48

Ga Southern QB/WR

Louisiana DB's

Ga Southern DL1.49

Louisiana OL

Ga Southern OL0.21

Bye

at Auburn New Hampshire

Bye Pass Offat Indiana

Total Off New Mexico St

Net

ULM Byeat Idaho

Offense Defense

Ga

Sou

ther

n E

agle

s

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

Lou

isia

na

Rag

in C

aju

ns

Net Offense

at Appalachian St

at Appalachian St Georgia St

Arkansas St

at Troyat UMass

OVERALL: OVERALL: Louisiana Ragin Cajuns1-9 5-5

TEAM --PS RANK-- --PS RANK--1-5 4-2TM REC

FOE FOE REC

TM CONF TM +/-

vs. SUN vs. SUN Ragin Cajuns LogsFOE

CONF FOE +/-AP TEAM FOE

NCAA RANKINGS FOEFOE

Defense

Score Score

at Tulsaat Texas A&M

2017 TEAM RANKINGS SE Louisiana

Ga Southern Louisiana

ReceivingBy Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing

Pass Def at South AlabamaTotal Def at Mississippi

Score Off Texas StSks Allowed at Arkansas St

Rush Def Bye

Rush Off

Las Vegas Total

Louisiana K57 Points

+/- RatingsGa Southern Coaches

18-27-258

Phil's Forecast:

Last year was the schools’ first meeting. Louisiana led 31-13 4Q and won 33-25 holding Georgia Southern to a season low in rush yards at 52 (1.9). GS just played their home finale and beat South Alabama 52-0 for their first win of the year. They were -92 ypg in SBC prior to their 583-195 yard edge vs the Jaguars. Louisiana still needs one win to get to a bowl and this is their home finale with App St on deck so this one is important. ULL has got its ground game going the last 3 weeks with 257 ypg rush and 5.6 ypc. GS has allowed 5 teams to rush for 240 plus this year and is allowing 5.2 ypc rush overall. Jordan Davis retook the QB job for ULL and RB Trey Ragas who sat out vs Ole Miss returned last week with 132 vs NMSt. GS is 0-5 on the road this year (1-4 ATS) and has been outgained by 246 ypg (+56 at home) losing by an average of 30 ppg.

Projected Rushing260 yards Ga Southern Louisiana 221 yards

Projected Passing

Ga Southern K

Ga Southern Louisiana 191 yards122 yards

0.82

Louisiana By 1.8Projected Yardage Total

Game Grade382 yards Ga Southern Louisiana 412 yards Louisiana Coaches

109 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:Team Schedule Strength

Projected Final Score

Louisiana PtsGa Southern 2.38

Ga Southern Pts

24 pointsComputer Yards

3.05

Louisiana 34-24

6.97 Louisiana 412-382

Computer Points128 Ga Southern Louisiana

117 Louisiana by 14 Best Bet: ★ Louisiana 37 Georgia Southern 23By 4.59 Points

Louisiana Phil Steele86 Ga Southern

Page 57: Phil Steele’s Inside the Pressboxplus.philsteele.com/inside_the_pressbox/2017/College/...Phil Steele’s Inside the Pressbox WK 13 UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK *this is a Best Bet H Utah

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 116 130 9/2 16-49 L 93 68 23 14 27 49 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 116 133 10 8/31 24-59 L 48 73 53 10 43 980-1 0-0 114 9/9 16-13 W 95 77 23 0-1 1-0 0-0 0-0 115 101 9/9 66-42 W 55 100 53 104 99 801-1 0-3 0-0 0-0 113 97 9/15 29-21 W 98 90 45 103 108 121 1-1 2-0 0-0 0-0 116 116 9/16 51-54 L 43 117 85 54 75 162-1 3-0 0-0 0-0 111 125 21 9/21 7-43 L 96 81 24 42 24 64 #100 #19 1-2 1-2 0-0 0-1 116 103 9/23 13-16 L 32 127 61 86 99 332-2 2-1 0-1 0-0 107 124 9/30 13-20 L 120 81 52 54 51 60 #53 #99 1-3 3-0 0-0 2-0 112 117 9/30 21-31 L 44 127 48 46 84 942-3 1-4 0-2 1-1 108 95 10/7 34-10 W 120 77 36 106 130 128 #88 #43 1-4 2-2 0-1 0-1 111 110 10/7 28-62 L 46 129 43 101 100 653-3 1-4 1-2 0-3 111 89 10/14 24-28 L 118 74 51 96 111 118 #103 #55 1-5 4-1 0-2 2-0 107 123 10/14 45-17 W 45 129 67 47 49 683-4 5-2 1-3 0-0 106 112 10/21 28-31 L 117 70 57 85 105 65 #75 #79 2-5 2-4 1-2 1-3 112 94 10/21 14-20 L 50 129 63 102 114 1183-5 1-3 108 10/28 111 70 82 #67 #128 2-6 5-2 1-3 2-1 107 114 10/27 34-38 L 59 128 64 32 100 953-5 5-2 1-3 3-2 108 116 11/2 34-26 W 111 75 100 21 104 95 #80 #114 2-7 7-1 1-4 4-1 108 123 22 11/4 14-41 L 53 129 61 34 88 134-5 3-6 2-3 1-4 111 106 11/10 35-24 W 110 82 107 95 97 111 #69 #130 2-8 1-5 105 11/11 60 129 585-5 9-0 3-3 6-0 113 125 14 11/18 19-45 L 105 85 102 10 51 21 #78 #119 2-8 8-1 1-5 5-1 105 118 23 11/16 20-27 L 61 129 58 25 23 305-6 2-9 3-4 1-6 110 108 11/25 107 87 96 72 127 70 #40 #125 2-9 5-6 1-6 3-4 108 110 11/25 72 127 70 107 87 96

#82 #120-9 +4

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

at Notre Dame 16-49 -276 -8 0 18 37-85 2.3 19-35 245 3 26 44-422 9.6 17-30 184 2 at Oklahoma St 24-59 -208 1 0 26 60-244 4.1 20-38 188 1 25 37-332 9.0 21-26 308 1 Villanova 16-13 -49 -2 1 17 27-79 2.9 20-34 274 1 19 30-20 0.7 27-41 382 3 Louisiana 66-42 71 6 1 33 72-424 5.9 14-20 243 0 27 41-287 7.0 21-34 309 1 UMass 29-21 -71 -5 1 20 34-119 3.5 24-39 268 2 25 33-81 2.5 23-39 377 9 at Toledo 51-54 -131 0 1 29 68-423 6.2 12-20 125 2 29 33-221 6.7 22-33 458 1at USF 7-43 -323 -15 -4 7 33--4 -0.1 7-25 89 5 22 63-312 5.0 8-20 96 1 New Mexico 13-16 -160 -10 2 15 31-155 5.0 13-27 131 2 25 59-338 5.7 9-14 108 1 Houston 13-20 -64 -1 -2 22 37-142 3.8 20-42 182 1 23 31-162 5.2 25-36 226 0 Navy 21-31 -167 -12 1 12 39-229 5.9 12-18 115 0 24 68-421 6.2 3-4 90 0at East Carolina 34-10 236 9 0 24 46-179 3.9 21-33 344 0 15 22-34 1.5 20-38 253 4 at Tulane 28-62 -241 -15 -2 16 28-139 5.0 12-20 273 3 31 70-488 7.0 9-13 165 0 Connecticut 24-28 229 13 0 28 29-117 4.0 33-55 356 2 15 38-139 3.7 18-28 105 2 Houston 45-17 12 -5 2 20 53-288 5.4 9-18 128 1 25 47-146 3.1 25-41 258 3at Army West Point 28-31 117 5 1 24 37-217 5.9 21-31 289 2 19 50-248 5.0 8-18 141 1 at Connecticut 14-20 12 4 -1 23 44-194 4.4 17-28 259 6 19 42-69 1.6 23-29 372 2 Bye at SMU 34-38 -123 3 -1 22 53-246 4.6 9-25 212 1 19 30-215 7.2 20-34 366 1 Navy 34-26 -31 0 0 20 52-136 2.6 13-19 226 5 20 28-104 3.7 22-30 289 0 Memphis 14-41 -222 -11 -1 17 35-145 4.1 18-31 157 3 28 37-191 5.2 28-40 333 0at Cincinnati 35-24 24 4 -1 25 43-205 4.8 19-30 224 1 21 35-184 5.3 21-37 221 1 Bye UCF 19-45 13 2 -5 19 35-196 5.6 17-42 201 1 17 40-130 3.3 18-28 254 2 at USF 20-27 -64 1 2 22 55-166 3.0 14-28 191 5 21 45-279 6.2 11-28 142 0at Tulsa Temple

Average 23-28 -17.7 0.2 -0.8 20 37-134 3.6 55.6% 245 6.0% 20 38-167 4.4 60.0% 230 7.2% Average 30-37 -111.0 -3.5 0.4 21 49-241 4.9 54.9% 184 8.8% 25 46-272 5.9 64.9% 264 3.4% Conference 24-28 12.0 1.7 -1.7 21 39-139 3.5 52.8% 232 6.1% 19 37-152 4.1 60.8% 206 4.6% Conference 25-34 -113.3 -5.0 0.0 19 44-201 4.6 54.2% 191 11.3% 24 48-258 5.3 63.0% 247 3.2% Away 24-31 -44.4 -1.0 -0.8 20 39-136 3.5 56.5% 238 7.1% 21 43-240 5.6 51.7% 179 6.3% Home 32-29 -93.2 -6.4 1.0 19 46-248 5.4 57.9% 155 5.3% 26 50-277 5.5 64.7% 220 3.8%

at Notre Dame Logan Marchi 19-35-245-2-0 Ryquell Armstead 19-67-3.5-0 Isaiah Wright 4-79-19.8-0 at Oklahoma St Chad President 18-35-178-0-0 Corey Taylor III 20-111-5.6-2 Justin Hobbs 6-71-11.8-0 Villanova Logan Marchi 20-34-274-0-0 David Hood 4-21-5.3-0 Ventell Bryant 7-79-11.3-0 Louisiana Chad President 14-20-243-1-0 D'Angelo Brewer 38-262-6.9-3 Justin Hobbs 5-103-20.6-1 UMass Logan Marchi 22-37-248-3-0 Ryquell Armstead 17-91-5.4-0 Isaiah Wright 4-69-17.3-1 vs. at Toledo Chad President 12-20-125-0-0 D'Angelo Brewer 38-152-4.0-1 Justin Hobbs 5-68-13.6-0at USF Frank Nutile 4-12-57-0-1 Rob Ritrovato 5-24-4.8-0 Adonis Jennings 2-33-16.5-0 New Mexico Chad President 13-27-131-0-1 D'Angelo Brewer 16-131-8.2-1 Justin Hobbs 7-93-13.3-0 Houston Logan Marchi 20-41-182-1-3 Ryquell Armstead 14-63-4.5-0 Isaiah Wright 5-53-10.6-0 Navy Chad President 12-18-115-1-0 Chad President 12-151-12.6-1 Justin Hobbs 4-55-13.8-0at East Carolina Logan Marchi 19-31-321-2-1 David Hood 20-106-5.3-1 Isaiah Wright 6-91-15.2-1 vs. at Tulane Luke Skipper 10-14-256-1-0 Shamari Brooks 12-104-8.7-2 Keenan Johnson 6-131-21.8-0 Connecticut Logan Marchi 33-54-356-1-1 Ryquell Armstead 9-31-3.4-1 David Hood 8-91-11.4-0 Houston Luke Skipper 9-18-128-1-1 D'Angelo Brewer 23-140-6.1-1 Keenan Johnson 5-91-18.2-1at Army West Point Frank Nutile 20-29-290-1-0 Ryquell Armstead 18-151-8.4-2 Isaiah Wright 3-79-26.3-0 at Connecticut Luke Skipper 17-27-259-0-1 Shamari Brooks 31-164-5.3-2 Justin Hobbs 9-96-10.7-0 Bye vs. at SMU Luke Skipper 9-23-212-1-1 D'Angelo Brewer 33-156-4.7-1 Justin Hobbs 3-141-47.0-0 Navy Frank Nutile 22-30-289-4-1 Isaiah Wright 4-40-10.0-0 Adonis Jennings 5-127-25.4-2 Memphis Luke Skipper 18-31-157-0-1 D'Angelo Brewer 21-119-5.7-0 Justin Hobbs 5-57-11.4-0at Cincinnati Frank Nutile 19-30-224-1-1 David Hood 23-108-4.7-1 Ventell Bryant 4-62-15.5-0 Bye UCF Frank Nutile 17-40-201-2-4 David Hood 12-81-6.8-0 Adonis Jennings 2-88-44.0-1 vs. at USF Luke Skipper 6-11-119-0-0 D'Angelo Brewer 34-163-4.8-0 Nigel Carter 3-83-27.7-0at Tulsa Temple

vs.

Logan Marchi 136-245-1658-9-8 Ryquell Armstead 129-500-3.9-3 Adonis Jennings 36-602-16.7-6 Luke Skipper 71-127-1141-3-4 D'Angelo Brewer 254-1262-5.0-8 Justin Hobbs 52-784-15.1-2Frank Nutile 84-143-1084-8-7 David Hood 102-478-4.7-3 Isaiah Wright 38-557-14.7-3 vs. Chad President 79-144-881-2-2 Shamari Brooks 119-687-5.8-10 Keenan Johnson 44-539-12.3-1Todd Centeio 2-2-20-0-0 Rob Ritrovato 35-171-4.9-1 Keith Kirkwood 35-504-14.4-5 Keenen Johnson 0-1-0.1-0-0 Chad President 64-394-6.2-9 Nigel Carter 22-287-13.0-1

Category

2014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Temple - -17 35 21 35-203

Tulsa - 58 24 24 50-178 2

vs.

vs.

vs.

Tulsa 94

Comp-Att-Yds

15-31-294

Owls Logs

Temple Leaders

at USF

193 yards

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

Bye

FOE REC

at Notre Dame

Temple Owls

TM CONF

Rush Def at SMUat Army West Point

Total Off at Tulane Connecticut Score Off Houstonat East Carolina

Net Offense Defense

Tem

ple

Ow

ls

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

Tuls

a G

old

en H

urr

ican

e

Net Offense

Total TO'sYpg Diff

Score Def at USFat Tulsa Sks By Temple

FOE CONF

1-6TM REC

at Connecticut

Rush Off New Mexico Houston Pass Off Navy

VillanovaTemple Tulsa

Louisiana UMass at Toledo

TM REC

at Cincinnati Navy

UCF

Tulsa Golden Hurricane5-6 2-9vs. AAC vs. AAC

OVERALL: OVERALL:

APTM CONFTM +/- FOE +/-

FOETEAM --PS RANK--3-4 FOE RECNCAA RANKINGS

Receiving Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing

Golden Hurricane Logs

FOE FOEFOE

CONF TM +/- FOE +/-

Receiving

Pass Def MemphisTotal Def Bye

Sks Allowed

2017 TEAM RANKINGS at Oklahoma St

AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE

Temple TulsaRushing

Defense

Score Score

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing

0.94

Temple RB's

Tulsa LB's

2.30

Temple QB/WR

Tulsa DB's

Temple DL0.26

Tulsa OL

1.72

Temple OL

Tulsa DL

Temple LB'S1.02

Tulsa RB'sTemple DB's

1.39

Tulsa QB/WRTemple ST's

0.63

Team & Margin

Ret

urn

to

Tab

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onte

nts

Projected Box ScoreLas Vegas Line

Tulsa ST's Temple By 3.521-36-260 Temple K

1.95

Tulsa By 1.5

Tulsa Leaders

0.36Las Vegas Total

Tulsa K59 Points

+/- RatingsTemple Coaches

Tulsa PtsTemple 4.95

Temple Pts

30 points TulsaComputer Yards

Temple 30-28

5.61 Temple 465-415

Computer Points111 Temple

Phil's Forecast:

This is just the 4th meeting & 1st s/’14. Tulsa is 3-6 ATS in home finales. Temple has been favored on the road twice this year and won both vs the Vegas number. Tulsa averaged 35 ppg when Chad President took the majority of the QB snaps the first 5 games. They went to Luke Skipper at QB and after 28 and 45 his first two games they have averaged just 23 ppg since. Skipper is questionable for this. Temple has a huge edge on defense as they allow just 358 ypg and hold foes to 93 ypg below their season average. Tulsa gives up 505 ypg and opp’s gain 52 ypg above their season average. While the offenses are close Temple turned to Frank Nutile the last 4 games and have averaged 499 ypg after avg just 311 ypg the first 7 games. They are off a misleading final as Temple had a 397-384 yard edge vs undefeated UCG, but were done in by -5 TO’s. They actually held UCF to a season low. Temple needs a win to become bowl eligible and I will call for them to get it.

Projected Rushing

Temple Tulsa 222 yardsProjected Passing

224 yards Temple Tulsa

242 yards

28 points

Temple By 0.3Projected Yardage Total

Game Grade465 yards Temple Tulsa 415 yards Tulsa Coaches

POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:Team Schedule Strength

Projected Final Score

Experience Rankings

62 Temple by 8 Temple 35 Tulsa 27By 0.65 Points

Tulsa Phil Steele75 Temple Tulsa

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TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 111 9/2 117 80 57 0-0 0-0 114 9/2 52-24 W 77 87 440-0 0-1 0-0 0-0 111 115 9/9 17-10 W 116 88 57 17 53 45 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 113 121 9/9 21-57 L 69 87 44 34 34 1071-0 0-0 114 9/16 51-17 W 117 101 84 1-1 1-1 0-0 0-0 109 116 9/16 23-22 W 74 100 42 96 79 242-0 1-2 0-0 0-1 114 87 9/23 44-14 W 97 63 67 126 116 123 #39 #59 2-1 2-1 1-0 1-1 112 118 9/23 16-17 L 79 101 65 52 23 1193-0 0-0 115 9/30 80 42 57 #80 #55 2-2 1-3 1-0 0-1 113 98 9/30 34-16 W 81 95 65 122 91 863-0 2-2 0-0 0-1 115 105 10/7 29-31 L 62 37 53 79 76 108 #60 #49 3-2 2-2 1-0 0-1 113 97 10/7 22-23 L 66 86 71 107 96 1153-1 3-2 0-1 2-0 111 105 10/14 26-29 L 67 50 42 54 80 16 #90 #61 3-3 1-1 110 10/14 68 88 873-2 1-5 0-2 1-1 109 92 10/21 20-7 W 73 50 39 121 105 105 #71 #71 3-3 4-2 1-1 2-1 110 109 10/21 27-34 L 69 90 93 49 68 1144-2 0-7 1-2 0-3 108 91 10/28 31-14 W 67 50 31 130 124 104 #20 #88 3-4 1-6 1-2 1-2 107 92 10/28 42-28 W 78 84 75 121 107 1035-2 5-2 2-2 3-1 108 106 11/4 7-14 L 70 43 28 90 110 68 #6 #78 4-4 5-3 2-2 4-1 107 103 11/4 23-24 L 75 89 85 52 103 125-3 6-3 2-3 4-2 107 106 11/11 19-24 L 79 46 39 80 84 129 #6 #79 4-5 6-3 2-3 5-0 105 116 11/11 23-48 L 81 86 73 47 79 185-4 7-3 2-4 4-2 105 111 11/18 9-7 W 85 49 30 72 37 19 #10 #83 4-6 0-10 2-4 0-6 102 85 11/18 42-21 W 73 92 99 130 120 1096-4 5-6 3-4 3-4 107 102 11/25 94 50 31 63 93 103 #70 #88 5-6 6-4 3-4 3-4 102 107 11/25 63 93 103 94 50 31

#16 #73+4 +7

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

Bye Northwestern St 52-24 108 0 0 22 37-221 6.0 18-35 276 1 22 33-133 4.0 20-40 256 3at Baylor 17-10 101 6 0 20 45-220 4.9 15-20 155 3 14 31-137 4.4 11-27 137 4 Miss St 21-57 -144 -1 -2 20 50-152 3.0 13-30 163 4 21 40-327 8.2 13-20 132 0 Southern 51-17 353 15 -1 25 39-167 4.3 24-30 335 2 10 33-84 2.5 9-26 65 5 at WKU 23-22 51 -3 -1 20 30-122 4.1 22-39 306 1 23 41-151 3.7 25-35 226 4at Texas St 44-14 371 8 0 25 45-357 7.9 17-25 212 2 17 32-37 1.2 10-27 161 1 at South Carolina 16-17 -77 -6 1 17 28-80 2.9 23-33 281 1 23 42-143 3.4 22-35 295 3 Bye South Alabama 34-16 146 10 1 26 33-162 4.9 24-39 317 3 16 22-98 4.5 21-45 235 1 Southern Miss 29-31 11 9 1 27 33-102 3.1 27-43 367 3 18 30-246 8.2 15-21 212 1 at UAB 22-23 -3 -1 0 21 34-154 4.5 17-29 209 2 22 36-178 4.9 21-32 188 1at North Texas 26-29 -52 0 1 19 41-174 4.2 13-25 215 1 19 32-87 2.7 20-35 354 3 Bye Rice 20-7 148 6 2 19 40-314 7.9 12-22 134 4 13 41-155 3.8 6-14 145 4 Southern Miss 27-34 -136 -15 1 15 34-161 4.7 11-28 194 2 30 45-190 4.2 32-53 301 0at UTEP 31-14 150 12 0 22 42-205 4.9 18-30 188 0 10 26-110 4.2 8-29 133 0 at Rice 42-28 -17 5 4 24 39-180 4.6 21-32 237 2 19 46-247 5.4 7-17 187 1at FIU 7-14 -54 1 1 19 40-156 3.9 13-22 105 4 18 37-100 2.7 18-25 215 0 North Texas 23-24 -100 -7 1 19 41-147 3.6 16-28 168 2 26 42-212 5.0 22-36 203 2 UAB 19-24 34 2 -1 18 36-137 3.8 17-37 162 2 16 53-216 4.1 8-13 49 2 Florida Atlantic 23-48 97 13 1 32 45-186 4.1 30-51 326 2 19 33-194 5.9 14-17 221 0 Marshall 9-7 126 11 1 23 39-88 2.3 26-39 267 1 12 23-40 1.7 16-23 189 1 at UTEP 42-21 122 9 1 28 49-343 7.0 15-28 203 2 19 36-163 4.5 12-26 261 3at Louisiana Tech UTSA

Average 25-17 118.8 7.0 0.4 22 40-192 4.8 62.1% 214 7.5% 15 34-121 3.6 50.4% 166 8.8% Average 30-29 4.3 0.4 0.6 22 38-173 4.5 56.5% 244 5.9% 22 38-185 4.9 58.7% 228 5.1% Conference 20-18 51.9 5.9 0.7 21 39-168 4.3 57.8% 205 6.9% 15 35-136 3.9 56.9% 185 6.9% Conference 29-29 2.0 0.1 1.0 23 39-185 4.8 56.2% 235 5.5% 23 40-191 4.8 61.6% 227 5.1% Away 25-16 103.2 5.4 0.4 21 43-222 5.2 62.3% 175 8.2% 16 32-94 3.0 46.9% 200 5.6% Home 30-34 -4.8 0.0 0.3 22 40-172 4.3 53.1% 241 6.6% 22 36-192 5.4 57.8% 225 2.8%

Bye Northwestern St J'Mar Smith 18-35-276-2-0 Jarred Craft 16-86-5.4-2 Boston Scott 4-55-13.8-0at Baylor Dalton Strum 15-20-155-2-0 Jalen Rhodes 20-103-5.2-0 Kerry Thomas 4-59-14.8-1 Miss St J'Mar Smith 10-23-140-0-1 Boston Scott 13-96-7.4-0 Marcus Gaines 3-104-34.7-0 Southern Dalton Strum 19-22-292-4-0 Jalen Rhodes 10-61-6.1-1 Kerry Thomas 5-75-15.0-1 vs. at WKU J'Mar Smith 22-39-306-1-1 Jarred Craft 14-81-5.8-0 Rhashid Bonnette 3-140-46.7-1at Texas St Dalton Strum 17-25-212-0-0 Jalen Rhodes 15-174-11.6-2 Brady Jones 3-75-25.0-0 at South Carolina J'Mar Smith 23-33-281-1-1 Jarred Craft 14-48-3.4-0 Teddy Veal 10-110-11.0-1 Bye South Alabama J'Mar Smith 24-39-317-3-0 Boston Scott 6-76-12.7-1 Teddy Veal 5-88-17.6-1 Southern Miss Dalton Strum 27-43-367-3-1 Tyrell Clay 9-59-6.6-0 Greg Campbell 10-108-10.8-0 vs. at UAB J'Mar Smith 17-29-209-2-0 Boston Scott 14-48-3.4-0 Teddy Veal 5-74-14.8-1at North Texas Dalton Strum 13-24-215-2-0 Jalen Rhodes 19-71-3.7-0 Josh Stewart 3-54-18.0-0 Bye Rice Dalton Strum 12-21-134-1-0 Tyrell Clay 11-153-13.9-0 Josh Stewart 5-66-13.2-0 Southern Miss J'Mar Smith 11-28-194-0-1 Boston Scott 11-106-9.6-1 Marlon Watts 5-121-24.2-0at UTEP Dalton Strum 18-30-188-1-1 Tyrell Clay 15-71-4.7-0 Kerry Thomas 2-49-24.5-1 vs. at Rice J'Mar Smith 21-32-237-1-0 Boston Scott 17-87-5.1-3 Teddy Veal 11-118-10.7-0at FIU Dalton Strum 13-21-105-1-0 Dalton Sturm 18-82-4.6-0 Josh Stewart 3-35-11.7-0 North Texas J'Mar Smith 16-28-168-0-0 Boston Scott 16-64-4.0-1 Rhashid Bonnette 6-77-12.8-0 UAB Dalton Strum 17-37-162-1-1 Dalton Sturm 14-35-2.5-1 Josh Stewart 4-40-10.0-0 Florida Atlantic J'Mar Smith 30-51-326-1-0 Boston Scott 19-87-4.6-1 Teddy Veal 6-112-18.7-1 Marshall Dalton Strum 25-38-264-0-0 Tyrell Clay 15-35-2.3-0 Kerry Thomas 10-106-10.6-0 vs. at UTEP J'Mar Smith 15-28-203-2-0 Jaqwis Dancy 15-135-9.0-1 Teddy Veal 6-66-11.0-1at Louisiana Tech UTSA

vs.

Dalton Strum 176-281-2094-15-3 Jalen Rhodes 124-628-5.1-5 Josh Stewart 37-496-13.4-3 J'Mar Smith 207-365-2657-13-4 Boston Scott 143-799-5.6-7 Teddy Veal 67-807-12.0-5Bryce Rivers 5-8-43-0-2 Tyrell Clay 118-558-4.7-2 Kerry Thomas 32-436-13.6-4 vs. Westin Elliott 3-6-23-1-0 Jarred Craft 110-501-4.6-3 Rhashid Bonnette 28-512-18.3-2Yannis Routsas 1-2-3-0-0 Dalton Sturm 108-524-4.9-2 Brady Jones 25-307-12.3-2 Team 0-1-0-0-0 J'Mar Smith 100-338-3.4-4 Marlon Watts 22-319-14.5-0

Category

2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.UTSA - 67.5 35 20 42-131

Louisiana Tech - -22 63 23 30-180 12015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.UTSA - 53.5 31 15 39-73

Louisiana Tech - -12 34 24 31-93 02014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.UTSA - 45.5 20 17 39-134

Louisiana Tech - -12.5 27 16 35-121 32013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.UTSA - -16 30 18 49-191

Louisiana Tech - 53 10 13 20-42 22012 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's

UTSA - 72.5 27 25 33-124

Louisiana Tech 22 -30.5 51 33 39-180 0

at Texas St

--PS RANK--

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

31-40-357

AP

Comp-Att-Yds

Comp-Att-Yds

20-33-190

14-33-157

Comp-Att-Yds

18-27-227

28-44-351

TM REC FOE REC TM CONF

FOE CONF TM +/- FOE +/-

16 UTSA LA Tech

LA Tech 22 points

120Team Schedule Strength

19-24-284

378 yards UTSA

Ret

urn

to

Tab

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onte

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Projected Box Score

Net Offense Defense

UTS

A R

oad

run

ner

s

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

LA T

ech

Bu

lldog

s

Net Offense

Total TO'sYpg Diff

Score Def at UTEPat Louisiana Tech Sks By UTSA Marshall

Pass Def North Texas UAB Total Def Florida Atlanticat FIU

Sks Allowed Southern Missat UTEP Rush Def at Rice Rice

Total Off at UABat North Texas Score Off Bye Southern Miss

Rush Off at South Carolina Bye Pass Off South Alabama

Bye 2017 TEAM RANKINGS Northwestern Stat Baylor

UTSA LA Tech Miss St

Southern at WKU

Projected Rushing172 yards UTSA LA Tech 145 yards

Projected Passing

LA Tech Bulldogs6-4 5-6UTSA Roadrunnersvs. CUSA vs. CUSA

OVERALL: OVERALL:

Roadrunners Logs--PS RANK--3-4 FOE

RECNCAA RANKINGS3-4

TM RECFOE TM

CONFFOETEAM

Bulldogs Logs

FOE FOEFOE

CONF TM +/- FOE +/-APTEAM

Defense

Score Score

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing

0.93

UTSA QB/WR

LA Tech DB's

Receiving

UTSA LA TechRushing

0.52

UTSA OL

LA Tech DL

0.25

UTSA RB's

LA Tech LB's

LA Tech RB's

UTSA DL0.31

LA Tech OL

0.37

UTSA LB'S

UTSA DB's

Comp-Att-Yds

UTSA Leaders

17-27-293

LA Tech Leaders

UTSA ST's Team & Margin

0.27

Las Vegas Total

LA Tech K

LA Tech QB/WR

22-42-179

UTSA LA Tech 115

LA Tech ST's La Tech By 1.5

20-37-151

206 yards UTSA LA Tech 216 yards

Utsa By 2.0Projected Yardage Total

Game Grade

Comp-Att-Yds

23-41-314

LA Tech 362 yards

Phil's Forecast:

Las Vegas Line

Projected Final Score4.48

UTSA Pts1.78

Experience Rankings LA Tech Pts22 points UTSA

Louisiana Tech 24 UTSA 21By 2.70 Points

POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:Computer Points

Tie 22-22

Phil Steele

+/- RatingsUTSA Coaches

1.20

LA Tech Coaches

50.5 Points

La Tech by 3

Utsa 378-362Computer Yards

UTSA127

1.97

UTSA K0.45

Utsa By 1.0

It’s Senior day in Ruston and LT hosts UTSA in the finale for the 2nd straight season. UTSA is 0-5 in this series losing all 3 trips here by 20 ppg. LT got win number 5 last week making this game even more important. UTSA has been overpriced in Vegas since their 3-0 start and have covered just 1 of the last 7 games. UTSA is +52 ypg in CUSA play and LT is just +2 ypg. LT has the offensive edge gaining 22 ypg above CUSA opp's avg’s and UTSA is -20, but UTSA has a large edge on defense. UTSA also has a large ST edge (#31 vs #103). I will call for LT to grab the home win and be bowl eligible.

Page 59: Phil Steele’s Inside the Pressboxplus.philsteele.com/inside_the_pressbox/2017/College/...Phil Steele’s Inside the Pressbox WK 13 UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK *this is a Best Bet H Utah

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 101 9/2 14-34 L 103 122 129 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 122 96 8/31 37-29 W 30 74 17 120 119 1060-1 0-1 0-0 0-0 99 118 9/9 20-56 L 110 129 129 27 65 75 1-0 0-0 120 9/9 30 69 170-2 2-0 0-0 0-0 97 124 16 9/16 17-64 L 106 130 128 79 16 8 1-0 2-0 0-0 0-0 120 121 25 9/16 48-45 W 33 73 7 20 27 810-3 1-1 0-0 0-0 93 94 9/24 41-38 W 119 130 130 89 90 120 #119 #44 2-0 0-0 120 9/23 44-31 W 33 73 101-3 4-0 1-0 1-0 95 125 18 9/30 31-61 L 105 130 127 31 20 40 #13 #9 3-0 2-0 0-0 0-0 118 118 9/30 13-40 L 39 71 7 38 52 711-4 2-3 1-1 0-2 95 108 10/7 10-34 L 106 130 128 120 77 36 #45 #6 3-1 1-3 0-1 0-2 114 93 10/6 70-31 W 49 82 6 96 98 1181-5 4-0 1-2 2-0 92 125 22 10/14 21-63 L 109 130 120 24 41 50 #84 #4 4-1 5-0 1-1 3-0 118 116 25 10/14 30-27 W 37 81 9 23 97 861-6 1-6 1-3 0-4 91 97 10/21 33-17 W 107 130 123 123 74 94 #17 #9 5-1 4-2 2-1 2-1 118 118 25 10/19 42-38 W 37 83 8 62 51 732-6 1-3 96 10/28 108 130 117 #122 #105 6-1 3-4 3-1 1-2 120 110 24 10/27 56-26 W 37 88 45 88 108 1062-6 5-3 1-3 3-2 96 120 11/4 27-52 L 109 130 114 47 42 63 #128 #102 7-1 2-7 4-1 1-4 123 108 22 11/3 41-14 W 34 88 13 53 129 612-7 3-6 1-4 1-4 96 105 11/11 24-31 L 107 130 100 97 116 118 #128 #113 8-1 5-1 126 20 11/11 30 81 92-8 3-7 1-5 1-5 96 105 11/18 48-20 W 104 130 95 93 100 116 #129 #101 8-1 6-4 5-1 3-3 126 113 18 11/18 66-45 W 29 84 12 28 108 973-8 9-1 2-5 6-1 101 127 17 11/25 100 130 95 23 85 8 #121 #76 9-1 3-8 6-1 2-5 127 101 17 11/25 23 85 8 100 130 95

#119 #36-7 +9

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

James Madison 14-34 -242 5 -2 28 30-80 2.7 28-53 292 1 23 44-422 9.6 15-22 192 1 ULM 37-29 -9 -9 2 16 39-319 8.2 10-25 97 1 25 49-146 3.0 21-37 279 2at West Virginia 20-56 -149 -10 -2 21 32-142 4.4 23-47 328 0 31 47-216 4.6 24-34 403 1 Bye Virginia Tech 17-64 -394 -22 -3 12 31-40 1.3 11-30 241 2 34 62-287 4.6 25-33 388 1 UCLA 48-45 -73 -5 0 26 37-162 4.4 23-39 398 2 31 35-170 4.9 34-56 463 1at Connecticut 41-38 0 3 1 30 47-170 3.6 30-39 426 1 27 38-190 5.0 24-39 406 1 Southern Illinois 44-31 71 1 1 24 36-176 4.9 22-36 288 0 23 37-103 2.8 30-49 290 0 USF 31-61 -161 -2 -1 23 36-108 3.0 21-46 306 1 25 50-390 7.8 13-21 185 1 at UCF 13-40 -207 -2 -3 25 24-75 3.1 27-49 321 2 27 49-350 7.1 19-31 253 0 Temple 10-34 -236 -9 0 15 22-34 1.5 20-38 253 4 24 46-179 3.9 21-33 344 0 at Connecticut 70-31 234 10 3 34 45-231 5.1 39-55 480 1 24 34-167 4.9 21-35 310 4at UCF 21-63 -253 -17 0 16 37-187 5.1 15-33 160 1 33 41-235 5.7 25-31 365 2 Navy 30-27 63 5 4 24 29-118 4.1 24-40 279 2 19 68-314 4.6 1-8 20 1 BYU 33-17 -8 0 0 22 35-115 3.3 20-30 298 1 22 31-102 3.3 26-41 319 3 at Houston 42-38 -53 3 1 28 23-30 1.3 33-53 471 2 25 54-239 4.4 29-41 315 1 Bye Tulane 56-26 232 0 0 18 32-259 8.1 18-31 298 0 18 2-122 61.0 15-31 203 7at Houston 27-52 32 17 -3 33 24-36 1.5 54-74 468 1 16 26-142 5.5 15-22 330 0 at Tulsa 41-14 222 11 1 28 37-191 5.2 28-40 333 0 17 35-145 4.1 18-31 157 3 Tulane 24-31 -57 2 2 24 32-161 5.0 25-53 228 1 22 52-325 6.3 12-20 121 0 Bye Cincinnati 48-20 252 11 1 28 33-114 3.5 32-46 464 0 17 31-139 4.5 15-28 187 1 SMU 66-45 187 4 0 32 46-333 7.2 22-28 331 1 28 37-259 7.0 15-35 218 1at Memphis East Carolina

Average 26-43 -110.5 -2.0 -0.6 23 33-108 3.3 57.1% 315 2.7% 25 43-239 5.6 66.4% 295 3.4% Average 45-33 66.7 1.8 0.9 26 35-189 5.4 62.1% 330 2.8% 24 40-202 5.0 57.3% 251 5.6% Conference 29-43 -60.4 0.7 0.0 24 33-116 3.5 59.9% 329 2.7% 23 41-229 5.6 64.4% 277 2.6% Conference 45-32 96.9 4.4 0.9 27 34-177 5.2 64.5% 359 2.7% 23 40-228 5.7 55.7% 211 8.0% Away 27-52 -92.5 -1.8 -1.0 25 35-134 3.8 63.2% 346 1.6% 27 38-196 5.2 69.8% 376 3.2% Home 47-34 78.5 -0.7 1.2 23 37-228 6.2 59.8% 282 3.0% 24 38-186 4.9 53.7% 246 5.6%

James Madison Thomas Sirk 21-35-210-0-2 Derrell Scott 12-45-3.8-1 Davon Grayson 7-86-12.3-0 ULM Riley Ferguson 10-25-97-0-1 Darrell Henderson 12-169-14.1-2 Anthony Miller 2-23-11.5-0at West Virginia Thomas Sirk 16-34-191-1-2 Tyshon Dye 14-71-5.1-0 Trevon Brown 2-103-51.5-1 Bye Virginia Tech Gardner Minshew 11-30-241-2-1 Tyshon Dye 11-31-2.8-0 Trevon Brown 4-107-26.8-1 vs. UCLA Riley Ferguson 23-38-398-6-1 Darrell Henderson 14-105-7.5-0 Anthony Miller 9-185-20.6-2at Connecticut Thomas Sirk 30-39-426-3-0 Derrell Scott 13-36-2.8-1 Davon Grayson 11-223-20.3-3 Southern Illinois Riley Ferguson 22-36-288-2-0 Patrick Taylor 16-77-4.8-1 John Williams 2-74-37.0-0 USF Thomas Sirk 20-43-302-2-2 Thomas Sirk 18-87-4.8-2 Davon Grayson 5-101-20.2-1 at UCF Riley Ferguson 27-49-321-1-3 Darrell Henderson 6-48-8.0-0 Tony Pollard 3-75-25.0-0 Temple Thomas Sirk 20-38-253-1-1 Darius Pinnix 7-30-4.3-0 Jimmy Williams 5-110-22.0-0 vs. at Connecticut Riley Ferguson 34-48-431-7-0 Doroland Dorceus 22-122-5.5-2 Anthony Miller 15-224-14.9-4at UCF Thomas Sirk 9-21-91-2-1 Darius Pinnix 13-93-7.2-0 Davon Grayson 6-96-16.0-1 Navy Riley Ferguson 24-40-279-3-0 Darrell Henderson 12-94-7.8-0 Anthony Miller 10-90-9.0-2 BYU Thomas Sirk 14-21-177-0-0 Devin Anderson 12-43-3.6-0 Davon Grayson 10-164-16.4-0 at Houston Riley Ferguson 33-53-471-1-1 Patrick Taylor 14-39-2.8-4 Anthony Miller 10-178-17.8-0 Bye vs. Tulane Riley Ferguson 18-31-298-3-1 Darrell Henderson 10-112-11.2-1 Anthony Miller 6-75-12.5-1at Houston Gardner Minshew 52-68-463-3-1 Darius Pinnix 8-18-2.3-0 Trevon Brown 11-141-12.8-2 at Tulsa Riley Ferguson 27-39-298-4-0 Darrell Henderson 14-123-8.8-0 Phil Mayhue 4-74-18.5-0 Tulane Gardner Minshew 25-52-228-1-1 Hussein Howe 14-108-7.7-1 Trevon Brown 7-72-10.3-0 Bye Cincinnati Gardner Minshew 31-45-444-4-0 Hussein Howe 16-47-2.9-1 Trevon Brown 9-270-30.0-2 vs. SMU Riley Ferguson 21-27-320-2-1 Darrell Henderson 10-147-14.7-2 Anthony Miller 8-163-20.4-2at Memphis East Carolina

vs.

Gardner Minshew 146-250-1789-14-4 Hussein Howe 82-371-4.5-3 Trevon Brown 53-941-17.8-7 Riley Ferguson 239-386-3201-29-8 Darrell Henderson 105-923-8.8-6 Anthony Miller 75-1068-14.2-13Thomas Sirk 132-238-1655-9-9 Darius Pinnix 67-226-3.4-2 Davon Grayson 57-876-15.4-6 vs. Riley Patterson 5-8-49-1-1 Patrick Taylor 115-564-4.9-10 Tony Pollard 27-415-15.4-3Reid Herring 1-1-20-1-0 Thomas Sirk 64-165-2.6-3 Quay Johnson 47-464-9.9-3 Anthony Miller 1-1-35-0-0 Tony Pollard 26-151-5.8-1 Phil Mayhue 28-387-13.8-1

Category

2012 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.East Carolina - -17 41 21 32-61

Memphis - 50.5 7 16 43-115 0

vs.

vs.

vs.

BYU

James Madison

East Carolina PiratesPirates Logs

TM REC

Bye

Net Offense Defense

East

Car

olin

a P

irat

es

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

Mem

ph

is T

iger

s

Net Offense

East Carolina Leaders

Projected Yardage Total

East Carolina DB's

4.35

Memphis QB/WR

112 yards East Carolina

East Carolina LB'S

2.69

Memphis RB's

East Carolina DL2.43

Memphis OL

Sks Allowed at Houston Bye Rush Def Tulane

Temple Total Off at Connecticutat UCF Score Off Navy

Total TO'sYpg Diff

Cincinnati Score Def SMUat Memphis Sks By East Carolina

at Houston Pass Def

FOE RECTEAM --PS RANK-- FOE

at Connecticut USF

Memphis 239 yards

at West Virginia Virginia Tech

Projected Rushing

OVERALL: Memphis Tigers3-8 9-1OVERALL:

vs. AAC

Projected Passing314 yards East Carolina Memphis 396 yards

0.95

TM +/- FOE +/-AP

vs. AAC Tigers Logs

East Carolina Memphis

East Carolina OL

Memphis DB'sEast Carolina RB's

0.60

Memphis LB's

East Carolina QB/WR

0.50

TM CONF

FOE CONF TM +/- FOE +/-

AP 2-5 6-1TM REC FOE

RECTM

CONFFOE

CONF

Receiving Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing

FOE

FOE FOENCAA RANKINGSTEAM --PS RANK--

ReceivingRushing

Defense

Score Score

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing

at Tulsa Tulane Total Def

Memphis DL

2017 TEAM RANKINGS ULM

East Carolina Memphis Bye UCLA

Rush Off Southern IllinoisPass Off at UCF

Phil's Forecast:

Comp-Att-Yds Las Vegas Line

Memphis is trying to complete their first ever unbeaten season at home in the Liberty Bowl and they have been playing there since 1965! Memphis has a very important AAC Title game on deck and a win there would likely give them the Group of 5 New Year's Day bowl bid. East Carolina is a perfect 11-0 vs the Vegas number in this series and figures to be in a good spot here getting 4 TD’s. EC has been much more competitive in conference play as they were -198 ypg vs non conf, but only -60 ypg vs AAC foes and Memphis is +97 ypg. In the first 7 games EC was -205 ypg and over the last 4 games they are +55 ypg. The situation, series history and recent results all say there is value on EC this week.

Memphis ST's Memphis By 28.5East Carolina K

East Carolina Memphis 635 yards

Las Vegas Total

Memphis K+/- Ratings

East Carolina Coaches

0.35

Memphis By 29.5

Memphis By 23.1

79 Points0.03

25-33-308

16-26-166

Memphis Pts

426 yards

57 points

5 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

Computer Yards30 points East Carolina

East Carolina

Memphis

98 Memphis Memphis 57-30

Memphis Leaders

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

Ret

urn

to

Tab

le o

f C

onte

nts

Projected Box Score East Carolina ST's

3.13

Team & Margin

Game GradeMemphis Coaches

Memphis

Computer Points

Team Schedule Strength68 East Carolina Memphis 83 Memphis 49 East Carolina 30By 12.14 Points

Phil SteeleMemphis by 19

1.44

East Carolina Pts

13.58

Experience RankingsMemphis 635-426

Projected Final Score

Page 60: Phil Steele’s Inside the Pressboxplus.philsteele.com/inside_the_pressbox/2017/College/...Phil Steele’s Inside the Pressbox WK 13 UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK *this is a Best Bet H Utah

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 93 139 7 9/2 7-56 L 119 116 117 2 19 12 0-0 0-0 95 9/2 38-7 W 128 114 1210-1 0-1 0-0 0-0 94 101 9/9 14-31 L 126 125 117 116 103 95 1-0 0-1 0-0 0-0 97 101 9/9 31-51 L 128 95 121 109 124 590-2 1-1 0-1 0-0 91 115 9/15 16-63 L 127 128 107 23 92 76 1-1 1-0 0-0 0-0 95 96 9/16 30-23 W 124 94 127 125 127 1000-3 1-2 0-1 0-1 87 103 9/23 14-41 L 129 129 85 49 95 116 #127 #40 2-1 1-2 0-0 0-0 96 101 9/23 43-46 L 115 92 112 81 89 890-4 2-2 0-1 0-0 86 112 9/30 21-35 L 129 128 89 101 110 72 #120 #106 2-2 0-1 97 9/30 110 98 1280-5 2-2 0-1 0-1 88 113 10/7 14-15 L 130 128 76 116 72 2 #130 #99 2-2 3-2 0-1 1-0 97 113 10/7 23-22 W 107 96 115 66 86 710-6 3-2 0-2 1-1 92 108 10/14 0-24 L 129 127 119 61 75 114 #130 #59 3-2 3-3 1-1 1-1 100 103 10/14 25-23 W 110 93 127 102 77 720-7 0-3 91 10/21 129 124 106 #52 #60 4-2 0-7 2-1 0-3 100 89 10/21 24-25 L 97 85 128 113 122 980-7 4-2 0-3 1-2 91 108 10/28 14-31 L 130 124 104 67 50 31 #123 #76 4-3 5-2 2-2 3-1 98 105 10/28 30-12 W 89 82 127 45 59 920-8 3-5 0-4 1-3 91 98 11/4 3-30 L 130 120 107 115 87 45 #62 #28 5-3 1-7 3-2 1-3 103 89 11/4 52-21 W 86 80 128 114 117 1080-9 6-3 0-5 5-1 88 105 11/11 10-45 L 130 119 91 54 101 20 #115 #49 6-3 5-3 4-2 2-3 106 107 11/11 24-19 W 80 84 129 79 46 390-10 4-6 0-6 2-4 85 102 11/18 21-42 L 130 120 109 73 92 99 #120 #58 7-3 3-6 5-2 3-5 108 115 11/18 7-36 L 88 79 124 62 40 540-11 7-4 0-7 5-2 84 105 11/25 130 121 107 97 80 125 #129 #112 7-4 0-11 5-2 0-7 105 84 11/25 97 80 125 130 121 107

#130 #76-4 +2

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

at Oklahoma 7-56 -509 -24 -1 11 21-73 3.5 16-27 94 1 35 38-180 4.7 32-36 496 1 Alabama A&M 38-7 241 14 0 23 58-259 4.5 12-22 165 3 9 33-45 1.4 13-29 138 3 Rice 14-31 -208 -10 0 12 24-26 1.1 18-33 203 4 22 49-306 6.2 10-18 131 2 at Ball St 31-51 127 0 -2 24 49-336 6.9 15-24 168 3 24 44-160 3.6 23-35 217 0 Arizona 16-63 -283 -17 -1 12 14-17 1.2 18-39 201 2 29 65-326 5.0 20-23 175 1 Coastal Carolina 30-23 -53 -5 2 18 47-169 3.6 8-15 105 2 23 49-227 4.6 9-23 100 1at New Mexico St 14-41 -235 -6 -3 15 36-135 3.8 10-34 92 3 21 29-179 6.2 26-43 283 0 at North Texas 43-46 -153 -12 0 16 36-74 2.1 17-36 321 4 28 44-287 6.5 15-29 261 1at Army West Point 21-35 -171 -6 1 16 37-152 4.1 9-18 110 2 22 50-353 7.1 3-7 80 0 Bye WKU 14-15 5 -3 0 15 36-163 4.5 12-22 124 0 18 33-74 2.2 24-37 208 2 Louisiana Tech 23-22 3 1 0 22 36-178 4.9 21-32 188 1 21 34-154 4.5 17-29 209 2at Southern Miss 0-24 -276 -14 0 6 22-17 0.8 14-28 130 2 20 45-202 4.5 16-27 221 0 Middle Tennessee 25-23 40 -5 1 21 44-260 5.9 16-31 174 0 26 32-131 4.1 24-44 263 2 Bye at Charlotte 24-25 -32 3 0 18 33-162 4.9 21-29 182 0 15 49-222 4.5 14-28 154 0 UTSA 14-31 -150 -12 0 10 26-110 4.2 8-29 133 0 22 42-205 4.9 18-30 188 0 at Southern Miss 30-12 70 7 1 21 49-209 4.3 16-29 208 3 14 26-81 3.1 19-38 266 0at Middle Tennessee 3-30 -263 -12 1 6 32-89 2.8 10-23 48 3 18 36-210 5.8 13-30 190 1 Rice 52-21 -24 4 3 21 36-242 6.7 20-21 197 0 17 35-236 6.7 14-24 227 1at North Texas 10-45 -241 -12 0 15 32-100 3.1 16-32 131 0 27 39-259 6.6 23-35 213 0 at UTSA 24-19 -34 -2 1 16 53-216 4.1 8-13 49 2 18 36-137 3.8 17-37 162 2 Louisiana Tech 21-42 -122 -9 -1 19 35-163 4.7 12-26 261 3 28 49-343 7.0 15-28 203 2 at Florida 7-36 -229 -17 -4 8 18-3 0.2 14-20 177 3 25 50-257 5.1 15-30 152 2at UAB UTEP

Average 12-38 -223.0 -11.4 -0.4 12 29-95 3.3 46.0% 139 6.4% 24 43-240 5.6 63.7% 217 2.9% Average 30-26 -4.0 -1.1 0.2 19 42-192 4.6 61.8% 176 7.7% 20 39-176 4.5 52.0% 195 4.0% Conference 11-31 -179.3 -10.3 0.0 12 30-95 3.2 46.6% 147 6.2% 22 42-228 5.5 58.0% 193 3.4% Conference 32-24 -18.6 -0.6 0.9 19 41-192 4.7 62.3% 188 5.2% 20 37-178 4.9 52.4% 220 3.5% Away 9-39 -282.5 -12.3 -0.3 12 30-94 3.1 46.3% 101 6.8% 24 40-231 5.8 63.5% 247 1.1% Home 34-19 41.4 1.8 1.2 21 44-222 5.0 63.6% 166 5.0% 19 37-159 4.3 51.7% 187 6.0%

at Oklahoma Ryan Metz 10-18-56-0-0 Walter Dawn Jr. 7-56-8.0-1 Eddie Sinegal 3-20-6.7-0 Alabama A&M AJ Erdely 11-20-152-2-0 Carlos Stephens 15-76-5.1-0 Collin Lisa 3-43-14.3-0 Rice Ryan Metz 18-33-203-1-0 Walter Dawn Jr. 9-24-2.7-0 Kavika Johnson 6-67-11.2-0 at Ball St AJ Erdely 15-24-168-0-0 Spencer Brown 17-151-8.9-0 Sederian Copeland 2-45-22.5-0 Arizona Zack Greenlee 11-17-104-1-1 Kevin Dove 5-17-3.4-0 Terry Juniel 4-82-20.5-0 vs. Coastal Carolina AJ Erdely 7-14-102-0-0 Spencer Brown 16-51-3.2-2 Collin Lisa 2-43-21.5-0at New Mexico St Ryan Metz 6-18-54-0-3 Quardraiz Wadley 19-77-4.1-0 David Lucero 2-29-14.5-0 at North Texas AJ Erdely 17-36-321-4-1 Spencer Brown 17-50-2.9-1 Andre Wilson 5-150-30.0-2at Army West Point Zack Greenlee 7-13-88-1-0 Quardraiz Wadley 28-156-5.6-1 Tyler Batson 5-80-16.0-0 Bye WKU Zack Greenlee 12-22-124-1-0 Kevin Dove 15-69-4.6-0 Erik Brown 2-32-16.0-0 vs. Louisiana Tech AJ Erdely 21-32-188-0-0 Spencer Brown 25-165-6.6-1 Andre Wilson 8-105-13.1-0at Southern Miss Ryan Metz 9-17-67-0-1 Joshua Fields 6-13-2.2-0 Terry Juniel 5-46-9.2-0 Middle Tennessee AJ Erdely 16-31-174-1-1 Spencer Brown 31-167-5.4-1 Ronnie Turner Jr. 6-54-9.0-0 Bye at Charlotte AJ Erdely 21-29-182-1-0 Spencer Brown 16-71-4.4-0 Sederian Copeland 2-47-23.5-0 UTSA Zack Greenlee 8-29-133-0-2 Kevin Dove 9-46-5.1-0 Erik Brown 3-52-17.3-0 vs. at Southern Miss AJ Erdely 16-29-208-1-0 Spencer Brown 33-209-6.3-1 Xavier Ubosi 1-60-60.0-0at Middle Tennessee Ryan Metz 10-23-48-0-0 Joshua Fields 17-87-5.1-0 Warren Redix 3-19-6.3-0 Rice AJ Erdely 20-21-197-3-0 Spencer Brown 17-140-8.2-3 Donnie Lee 5-84-16.8-1at North Texas Zack Greenlee 13-25-109-0-1 Joshua Fields 16-45-2.8-0 Terry Juniel 4-38-9.5-0 at UTSA AJ Erdely 8-13-49-1-1 Spencer Brown 27-128-4.7-0 Ronnie Turner Jr. 2-16-8.0-1 Louisiana Tech Ryan Metz 9-17-202-2-2 Joshua Fields 23-137-6.0-1 Tyler Batson 2-94-47.0-1 vs. at Florida AJ Erdely 14-19-177-1-1 Spencer Brown 8-17-2.1-0 Xavier Ubosi 1-74-74.0-1at UAB UTEP

vs.

Zack Greenlee 64-133-711-3-4 Joshua Fields 83-335-4.0-2 Tyler Batson 19-316-16.6-2 AJ Erdely 166-268-1918-14-4 Spencer Brown 214-1191-5.6-10 Andre Wilson 47-608-12.9-6Ryan Metz 64-131-652-3-6 Quardraiz Wadley 58-277-4.8-1 Terry Juniel 22-219-10.0-0 vs. Tyler Johnston III 1-2-13-0-0 AJ Erdely 105-268-2.6-12 Collin Lisa 22-308-14.0-0Mark Torrez 14-46-126-0-2 Kevin Dove 59-208-3.5-0 Kavika Johnson 14-177-12.6-2 Collin Lisa 1-1-3-0-0 James Noble III 43-240-5.6-0 Ronnie Turner Jr. 23-184-8.0-1

Category

None vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

--PS RANK--TM REC FOE REC TM

CONFFOE

CONF TM +/- FOE +/-

UTEP Miners

AP

Miners LogsFOE

at UAB

WKU

TEAM

Score

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing

UTEP RB's1.02

UAB LB's

UTEP QB/WR1.13

UAB DB's

UAB KUTEP Coaches

0.25

UTEP K1.16

Uab 34-11

Uab 391-231UAB Pts

at Middle Tennessee

Score Def at Florida

Bye Sks Allowed at Charlotte UTSA Rush Def at Southern Miss

Offense

UTEP Leaders

Net Offense Defense

UTE

P M

iner

s

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

UA

B B

laze

rs

0.10

UTEP OL

UAB DLUTEP DL

1.89

Total Off Louisiana Techat Southern Miss

130

391 yards

Projected Rushing

UTEP UAB 34 points

UAB

Experience Rankings59 UTEP UAB

UAB 233 yardsProjected Passing

120 yards UTEPProjected Yardage Total

231 yards UTEP UAB

UAB 158 yards

Projected Final Score11 points

111 yards UTEP

TM CONF

FOE CONF TM +/- FOE +/-

Receiving Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing

AP

OVERALL: OVERALL: UAB Blazers0-11 7-4vs. CUSA vs. CUSA Blazers Logs

FOE

Pass Def Rice

Net

Receiving

UTEP UABRushing

Defense

Score

Score Off Middle Tennessee

Rush Off at North TexasPass Off Bye

2017 TEAM RANKINGS Alabama A&M

UTEP

at North Texas Total Def

UAB Leaders

UTEP ST's

UTEP DB's0.99

UAB QB/WR

2.27

1.83

UAB RB's

UTEP LB'S

--PS RANK--0-7 5-2TM REC FOE

RECFOE FOENCAA RANKINGSTEAM

at New Mexico Stat Army West Point

at Oklahoma Rice

UABat Ball St

Arizona Coastal Carolina

at UTSA

2.37

UTEP Pts8.26

Computer Yards

Computer Points

Las Vegas Total

Phil SteeleUAB by 18 UAB 31 UTEP 13By 5.89 Points

Sks By UTEP Louisiana Tech

Total TO'sYpg Diff

UAB OL

47 Points

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) Team & Margin

Ret

urn

to

Tab

le o

f C

onte

nts

Projected Box Score

UAB Coaches

POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

Uab By 23.5

Uab By 17.2Game Grade

+/- Ratings

Phil's Forecast:

Las Vegas Line

UAB is just 2-8 in home finales and these two last met in 2010. UTEP is on its 3rd road game in 4 weeks. Bill Clark should be up for coach of the year as many opined that UAB should start back in FCS that the jump from two years off would be too hard. Clark has got them to 7-4 and a bowl game! UAB has taken on the tougher schedule (#73 vs #124). UAB is actually -19 ypg in CUSA play with UETP at -179 ypg. UTEP actually showed some signs of life last week with their offense putting up a season high 424 yards with true frosh RB Joshua Fields rushing for 137. The defenses are close and UTEP has a slight edge on ST’s.

UAB ST's Uab By 20.5

Team Schedule Strength UAB73 UTEP 124

Page 61: Phil Steele’s Inside the Pressboxplus.philsteele.com/inside_the_pressbox/2017/College/...Phil Steele’s Inside the Pressbox WK 13 UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK *this is a Best Bet H Utah

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 141 138 1 3 9/2 24-7 W 1 2 24 11 1 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 128 95 12 9/2 41-7 W 7 12 7 124 126 621-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 144 103 1 9/9 41-10 W 9 1 24 88 103 39 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 129 141 13 3 9/9 6-14 L 6 7 7 14 4 832-0 2-1 0-0 0-0 142 119 1 9/16 41-23 W 4 1 28 61 93 29 1-1 0-0 130 15 9/16 24-10 W 18 8 93-0 3-0 0-0 0-0 141 124 1 9/23 59-0 W 1 1 17 62 20 118 #9 #18 2-1 1-2 0-0 0-1 126 108 15 9/23 51-14 W 24 9 23 22 78 464-0 2-1 1-0 0-0 145 114 1 9/30 66-3 W 1 1 24 25 38 26 #82 #62 3-1 3-1 1-0 1-1 130 125 13 24 9/30 49-10 W 21 7 13 22 21 585-0 4-1 2-0 2-0 149 120 1 10/7 27-12 W 1 1 11 22 17 4 #15 #17 4-1 2-2 2-0 0-1 134 110 12 10/7 44-23 W 19 5 28 36 57 706-0 2-3 3-0 0-2 146 111 1 10/14 41-9 W 1 1 23 32 55 116 #7 #17 5-1 4-2 3-0 1-1 133 124 10 10/14 23-27 L 17 8 27 29 10 717-0 3-3 4-0 0-3 145 115 1 10/21 31-7 W 1 1 21 66 41 9 #52 #90 5-2 2-4 3-1 0-3 130 112 21 10/21 52-20 W 19 9 28 35 62 1098-0 5-0 144 1 10/28 1 1 24 #2 #16 6-2 4-1 133 19 10/28 13 7 338-0 6-2 5-0 3-1 144 128 1 19 11/4 24-10 W 1 1 29 24 10 73 #3 #20 6-2 5-3 4-1 3-2 133 120 16 11/4 42-27 W 12 8 50 40 23 39-0 7-2 6-0 3-2 143 127 1 18 11/11 31-24 W 2 1 21 23 20 23 #1 #10 7-2 9-0 5-1 6-0 134 139 10 2 11/11 40-17 W 13 9 60 6 7 1410-0 7-0 142 11/18 56-0 W 3 1 27 #1 #8 8-2 4-5 6-1 4-3 139 99 6 11/18 42-14 W 11 7 57 54 122 4511-0 9-2 7-0 6-1 143 137 1 6 11/25 2 1 27 9 4 66 #19 #14 9-2 11-0 6-1 7-0 137 143 6 1 11/25 9 4 66 2 1 27

#2 #5+12 +3

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

† Florida St 24-7 19 -2 3 13 42-173 4.1 10-18 96 2 15 27-40 1.5 19-33 210 3 GA Southern 41-7 457 17 -2 25 53-351 6.6 15-26 184 3 8 47-70 1.5 4-9 8 6 Fresno St 41-10 223 10 1 28 39-305 7.8 20-27 192 1 18 22-58 2.6 26-41 216 1 at Clemson 6-14 -164 -5 2 13 42-38 0.9 13-24 79 11 18 36-96 2.7 20-31 185 4 Colorado St 41-23 96 1 2 23 39-239 6.1 13-21 248 0 22 40-144 3.6 21-38 247 0 Mercer 24-10 264 14 -5 26 43-146 3.4 32-37 364 1 12 35-100 2.9 20-32 146 0at Vanderbilt 59-0 599 35 2 38 66-496 7.5 17-27 181 1 3 16-40 2.5 7-22 38 0 at Missouri 51-14 142 1 4 22 53-263 5.0 16-21 219 1 21 31-124 4.0 23-39 216 2 Mississippi 66-3 360 15 2 26 51-365 7.2 15-24 248 0 11 26-88 3.4 14-29 165 5 Miss St 49-10 160 -4 0 14 39-244 6.3 14-17 267 2 18 47-194 4.1 13-37 157 2at Texas A&M 27-19 47 0 2 16 44-232 5.3 13-22 123 3 16 40-71 1.8 19-29 237 4 Mississippi 44-23 132 2 0 25 51-326 6.4 14-21 235 1 23 30-83 2.8 34-51 346 1 Arkansas 41-9 269 8 -1 23 43-308 7.2 13-21 188 2 15 29-27 0.9 23-43 200 5 at LSU 23-27 -9 3 1 17 44-189 4.3 9-26 165 3 14 39-157 4.0 13-25 206 4 Tennessee 45-7 496 28 -1 35 53-272 5.1 22-33 332 2 7 30-64 2.1 9-16 44 4 at Arkansas 52-20 295 7 1 26 47-345 7.3 21-30 284 0 19 42-171 4.1 15-26 163 6 Bye Bye LSU 24-10 -7 -2 1 14 36-116 3.2 11-24 183 4 16 42-151 3.6 15-31 155 6 at Texas A&M 42-27 153 10 0 23 52-228 4.4 20-27 268 2 13 34-143 4.2 16-33 200 1at Miss St 31-24 114 -3 0 19 38-202 5.3 10-19 242 5 22 49-172 3.5 13-24 158 1 Georgia 40-17 258 12 1 25 46-237 5.2 17-25 251 2 13 32-46 1.4 13-29 184 4 Mercer 56-0 369 13 1 22 42-265 6.3 14-18 265 0 9 39-107 2.7 7-22 54 0 ULM 42-14 219 9 1 25 48-317 6.6 18-24 235 0 16 41-116 2.8 16-36 217 2at Auburn Alabama

Average 41-10 235.0 9.4 1.1 23 45-270 6.0 62.2% 209 7.9% 14 33-87 2.7 52.7% 157 8.8% Average 38-17 173.4 6.0 0.3 22 47-244 5.2 68.0% 232 9.4% 16 38-118 3.1 53.7% 184 9.2% Conference 42-10 268.3 11.6 0.7 24 47-284 6.0 59.4% 214 10.0% 13 33-88 2.6 51.5% 142 12.9% Conference 43-20 161.6 4.4 1.0 22 47-262 5.5 66.5% 241 6.6% 17 36-131 3.6 52.9% 210 8.3% Away 35-13 194.8 7.5 1.8 22 48-276 5.8 58.1% 161 12.8% 14 33-81 2.4 53.7% 161 7.4% Home 40-14 248.3 8.3 -0.8 23 47-270 5.8 73.3% 256 6.0% 15 39-102 2.6 51.5% 176 7.7%

† Florida St Jalen Hurts 10-18-96-1-0 Damien Harris 9-73-8.1-1 Calvin Ridley 7-82-11.7-1 GA Southern Jarrett Stidham 14-24-185-2-1 Kerryon Johnson 16-136-8.5-1 Will Hastings 4-68-17.0-1 Fresno St Jalen Hurts 14-18-128-1-0 Jalen Hurts 10-154-15.4-2 Calvin Ridley 5-45-9.0-0 at Clemson Jarrett Stidham 13-24-79-0-0 Kamryn Pettway 22-74-3.4-0 Ryan Davis 8-32-4.0-0 Colorado St Jalen Hurts 12-17-248-2-0 Jalen Hurts 11-103-9.4-1 Calvin Ridley 3-92-30.7-1 vs. Mercer Jarrett Stidham 32-37-364-0-1 Kamryn Pettway 34-128-3.8-3 Will Hastings 3-71-23.7-0at Vanderbilt Tua Tagovailoa 8-10-103-2-0 Damien Harris 12-151-12.6-3 Jerry Jeudy 3-68-22.7-1 at Missouri Jarrett Stidham 13-17-218-1-0 Kam Martin 9-74-8.2-0 Nate Craig-Myers 2-61-30.5-1 Mississippi Jalen Hurts 12-19-197-2-0 Jalen Hurts 10-101-10.1-1 Cam Sims 1-60-60.0-0 Miss St Jarrett Stidham 13-16-264-2-0 Kerryon Johnson 23-116-5.0-3 Eli Stove 2-75-37.5-0at Texas A&M Jalen Hurts 13-22-123-1-0 Damien Harris 14-124-8.9-1 Jalen Hurts 5-68-13.6-0 vs. Mississippi Jarrett Stidham 14-21-235-2-0 Kerryon Johnson 28-204-7.3-3 Ryan Davis 2-75-37.5-1 Arkansas Jalen Hurts 12-19-155-1-1 Damien Harris 9-125-13.9-2 Calvin Ridley 4-51-12.8-0 at LSU Jarrett Stidham 9-26-165-1-0 Kerryon Johnson 31-156-5.0-1 Ryan Davis 2-67-33.5-0 Tennessee Jalen Hurts 13-21-198-1-0 Damien Harris 13-72-5.5-1 Calvin Ridley 8-82-10.3-0 at Arkansas Jarrett Stidham 19-28-218-0-1 Kamryn Pettway 11-90-8.2-3 Darius Slayton 4-146-36.5-1 Bye vs. Bye LSU Jalen Hurts 11-24-183-1-0 Jalen Hurts 14-44-3.1-1 Calvin Ridley 3-61-20.3-0 at Texas A&M Jarrett Stidham 20-27-268-3-0 Kerryon Johnson 29-145-5.0-1 Darius Slayton 2-99-49.5-1at Miss St Jalen Hurts 10-19-242-1-0 Damien Harris 8-93-11.6-1 Calvin Ridley 5-171-34.2-0 Georgia Jarrett Stidham 16-23-214-3-0 Kerryon Johnson 32-167-5.2-0 Kerryon Johnson 2-66-33.0-1 Mercer Jalen Hurts 7-7-180-3-0 Bo Scarbrough 5-54-10.8-0 Calvin Ridley 3-103-34.3-1 vs. ULM Jarrett Stidham 18-24-235-2-1 Kerryon Johnson 22-137-6.2-1 Darius Slayton 4-89-22.3-1at Auburn Alabama

vs.

Jalen Hurts 123-201-1828-14-1 Damien Harris 104-855-8.2-11 Calvin Ridley 47-790-16.8-3 Jarrett Stidham 181-267-2445-16-4 Kerryon Johnson 220-1172-5.3-16 Ryan Davis 58-564-9.7-5Tua Tagovailoa 35-53-470-8-1 Jalen Hurts 119-686-5.8-8 Jerry Jeudy 12-208-17.3-1 vs. Ryan Davis 1-2-62-1-0 Kam Martin 60-400-6.7-2 Darius Slayton 19-533-28.1-5

Bo Scarbrough 102-503-4.9-7 Cam Sims 13-194-14.9-1 Malik Willis 6-7-45-1-0 Kamryn Pettway 76-305-4.0-6 Will Hastings 19-388-20.4-3Category

2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Alabama 1 -17.5 30 26 44-203

Auburn 16 47 12 7 26-66 12015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Alabama 2 -14 29 24 50-286

Auburn - 48.5 13 12 37-91 -12014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Alabama 2 -8.5 55 24 34-227

Auburn 15 54 44 28 47-174 12013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Alabama 1 -10.5 28 19 35-218

Auburn 4 55 34 22 52-296 -12012 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's

Alabama 2 -34.5 49 25 47-267

Auburn - 46.5 0 7 32-92 -2

Ret

urn

to

Tab

le o

f C

onte

nts

Projected Box ScoreComp-Att-Yds

28-37-298

27-43-456

11-16-97

Comp-Att-Yds

17-29-277

Comp-Att-Yds

7-19-116

Comp-Att-Yds

17-26-179

10-23-170

Comp-Att-Yds

20-27-312

Tennessee

† Florida St

5-15-71

15-22-216

FOE

Projected Yardage Total

Offense Defense

Ala

bam

a C

rim

son

Tid

e

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

Au

bu

rn T

iger

s

Net Offense

Receiving Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing

Alabama DL

0.93

Alabama LB'S

Auburn RB's

Auburn LeadersAlabama DB's

Auburn QB/WRTeam & Margin

0.69

Ypg Diff

Mercer Score Def ULMat Auburn Sks By Alabama

LSU Pass Def at Texas A&Mat Miss St Total Def Georgia

Alabama OL0.03

Auburn DL

0.46

Alabama QB/WR

Auburn DB's

Auburn 386-34827 points Alabama

67 Auburn 6

Auburn ST's

47.5 Points

Total Off Mississippi Arkansas Score Off at LSU

at Vanderbilt Rush Off at Missouri Mississippi Pass Off Miss St

TM REC FOE REC

2017 TEAM RANKINGS

Sks Allowed

Total TO's

Net

FOE +/-7-0 6-1

TM REC FOE RECNCAA RANKINGS

Auburn Tigers11-0 9-2OVERALL:

GA Southern Fresno St

Alabama

AP TEAM --PS RANK--

Alabama Leaders 0.84

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)1.77

Alabama ST's

Las Vegas LineAlabama By 4.5

Phil's Forecast:

Bama is now 5-1 the last 6 vs their rival with the only loss being the famed “Kick 6” game and their 5 wins have been by 24 ppg (not what you would expect in this type of rivalry). Last week Auburn was in one of the largest sandwich games ever facing a Sun Belt team between two home underdog games versus No. 1 teams. They only led 14-7 at half, but won by 28. RB Kerryon Johnson is making a push for the Heisman. He missed two games, but still has 1,172 (5.3). Alabama is allowing just 87 ypg on the ground (2.7), but now down 4 LB’s they allowed LSU 151 (3.6) and Miss St 172 (3.5). Auburn is one of the few teams that can stand toe to toe with Bama at the line of scrimmage and rates the edge at LB. Alabama’s biggest edges are with QB mobility, depth at RB and the receiving corps. Bama is +268 ypg in SEC play and Auburn just +162, but the Tigers are the healthier team and are 12-6 as a HD.

vs. SEC

OVERALL:Alabama Crimson TideCrimson Tide Logs vs. SEC Tigers Logs

FOE

FOE FOE

AP TEAM

Rushing

FOE CONF TM +/-

--PS RANK--TM CONF

0.39

1.06

Alabama RB's

Auburn LB's

Auburn OL

Receiving

Alabama AuburnRushing

Defense

Score Score

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing

Auburnat Clemson

Colorado St Mercer

at Arkansas Bye Rush Def Bye

at Texas A&M

TM CONF

FOE CONF TM +/- FOE +/-

Las Vegas Total

+/- RatingsAlabama Coaches Alabama By 1.5

Auburn By 1.1Auburn Coaches

Projected Rushing Alabama K

176 yards Alabama Auburn 189 yards

POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:Team Schedule Strength Alabama Phil Steele

65 Alabama

Computer PointsAlabama 27-25

Auburn Pts

Auburn 51

Projected Passing Auburn K

173 yards Alabama Auburn 197 yards

Game Grade348 yards Alabama Auburn 386 yards

Projected Final Score

0.70

Computer YardsAuburn 25 points 6.16

Alabama Pts0.72

Experience RankingsAlabama

Alabama 26 Auburn 23Alabama by 3

By 5.43 Points

Page 62: Phil Steele’s Inside the Pressboxplus.philsteele.com/inside_the_pressbox/2017/College/...Phil Steele’s Inside the Pressbox WK 13 UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK *this is a Best Bet H Utah

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 138 141 3 1 9/2 7-24 L 11 1 11 1 2 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 128 125 17 11 9/2 17-33 L 25 14 3 41 22 370-1 0-0 136 10 9/9 28 3 11 0-1 0-0 126 22 9/9 35 18 30-1 0-0 136 11 9/16 45 5 108 0-1 2-0 0-0 0-0 126 123 24 23 9/16 26-20 W 63 21 4 38 43 10-1 2-1 0-0 0-0 136 121 12 9/23 21-27 L 59 5 110 30 30 76 #94 #69 1-1 3-0 1-0 1-0 126 121 20 9/23 28-27 W 66 26 6 70 33 300-2 4-0 0-1 1-0 131 124 9/30 26-19 W 58 9 43 65 45 25 #86 #104 2-1 3-1 2-0 0-1 126 120 21 9/30 38-24 W 56 29 9 84 30 1151-2 3-0 1-1 1-0 131 136 13 10/7 20-24 L 65 12 14 5 13 27 #110 #109 3-1 3-2 3-0 0-1 127 121 21 10/7 16-17 L 48 25 8 25 8 201-3 4-2 1-2 1-2 131 120 10/14 17-10 W 58 9 29 60 20 106 #97 #109 3-2 4-2 3-1 2-1 124 123 10/14 17-19 L 41 30 19 30 19 52-3 4-3 2-2 1-3 131 118 10/21 28-31 L 48 11 58 7 45 67 #110 #114 3-3 3-2 122 10/21 42 30 322-4 4-4 2-3 2-3 126 121 10/27 3-35 L 47 13 37 72 36 78 #47 #61 3-3 7-0 3-2 4-0 122 137 3 10/28 7-42 L 46 26 34 8 8 102-5 4-4 2-4 2-2 121 121 11/4 24-21 W 59 16 59 60 71 11 #31 #36 3-4 3-5 3-3 0-4 119 116 11/4 16-45 L 67 36 53 19 82 243-5 8-1 3-4 6-1 121 137 11/11 14-31 L 53 16 54 14 3 116 #30 #39 3-5 6-3 3-4 4-3 114 122 11/11 20-28 L 58 41 56 63 30 513-6 3-5 121 11/18 77-6 W 66 16 42 #41 #63 3-6 7-3 3-5 5-2 115 108 11/18 36-7 W 62 40 54 88 79 1244-6 4-6 3-5 3-5 123 118 11/25 50 13 29 61 39 22 #61 #70 4-6 4-6 3-5 3-5 118 123 11/25 61 39 22 50 13 29

4-6 4-3 102 12/2 67 122 43 #77 #84-8 0

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

† Alabama 7-24 -19 2 -3 15 27-40 1.5 19-33 210 3 13 42-173 4.1 10-18 96 2 † Michigan 17-33 -241 -10 -1 9 27-11 0.4 14-26 181 6 19 49-215 4.4 12-26 218 5 Bye Bye Bye Tennessee 26-20 -62 -9 0 14 29-168 5.8 18-28 212 2 23 33-183 5.5 21-39 259 1 NC State 21-27 17 -6 -1 15 26-104 4.0 22-39 278 4 21 37-110 3.0 23-33 255 1 at Kentucky 28-27 55 -1 -1 20 36-186 5.2 17-27 209 1 21 32-120 3.8 18-27 220 4at Wake Forest 26-19 -97 -2 1 15 43-149 3.5 11-21 121 5 17 34-96 2.8 24-35 271 2 Vanderbilt 38-24 157 6 0 23 51-218 4.3 17-26 249 1 17 20-46 2.3 18-40 264 1 Miami, Fl 20-24 69 2 -1 22 43-203 4.7 17-28 203 4 20 29-83 2.9 19-44 254 3 LSU 16-17 -39 -2 0 16 38-194 5.1 10-16 108 5 18 48-216 4.5 9-16 125 2at Duke 17-10 110 6 -1 23 40-228 5.7 18-21 197 2 17 25-111 4.4 22-37 204 1 Texas A&M 17-19 108 7 -1 17 42-242 5.8 17-26 129 5 10 38-83 2.2 8-24 180 2 Louisville 28-31 -46 1 -2 23 38-155 4.1 16-28 248 2 22 44-293 6.7 13-21 156 2 Byeat Boston College 3-35 -116 -9 -3 10 29-64 2.2 12-27 149 2 19 55-241 4.4 7-21 88 0 † Georgia 7-42 -144 1 -1 15 41-183 4.5 10-25 66 5 14 35-292 8.3 4-7 101 0 Syracuse 27-24 -120 -8 0 13 37-207 5.6 12-19 136 3 21 40-149 3.7 31-55 314 3 at Missouri 16-45 -106 -9 -1 17 31-93 3.0 20-29 256 1 26 46-227 4.9 15-21 228 0at Clemson 14-31 -149 -12 0 12 24-21 0.9 13-32 208 5 24 52-227 4.4 20-30 151 2 at South Carolina 20-28 -168 -12 1 12 22-78 3.5 17-39 223 4 24 47-220 4.7 19-29 249 3 Delaware St 77-6 290 17 2 23 32-246 7.7 18-24 236 0 6 24-15 0.6 13-33 177 6 UAB 36-7 229 17 4 25 50-257 5.1 15-30 152 2 8 18-3 0.2 14-20 177 3at Florida Florida St ULM

Average 24-23 -6.1 -0.9 -0.8 17 34-142 4.2 58.1% 199 11.0% 18 38-150 3.9 55.7% 197 6.7% Average 22-26 -21.1 -1.2 0.0 17 37-163 4.4 57.0% 179 11.8% 18 37-161 4.4 55.4% 202 8.4% Conference 20-25 -41.5 -3.5 -0.9 17 35-141 4.0 56.3% 193 12.6% 20 40-164 4.1 57.6% 212 5.1% Conference 21-28 -24.9 -2.4 -0.4 17 36-170 4.7 58.3% 182 11.1% 19 37-173 4.6 55.2% 203 6.4% Away 13-24 -54.2 -3.0 -1.2 15 33-100 3.1 54.5% 177 12.7% 18 42-170 4.1 58.9% 162 5.0% Home 25-18 58.2 2.4 0.4 18 39-209 5.4 60.6% 162 11.8% 16 34-121 3.6 55.6% 192 9.5%

† Alabama Deondre Francois 19-33-210-1-2 Cam Akers 10-30-3.0-0 Keith Gavin 8-61-7.6-0 † Michigan Malik Zaire 9-17-106-0-0 Mark Thompson 5-13-2.6-0 Josh Hammond 3-71-23.7-0 Bye Bye Bye vs. Tennessee Feleipe Franks 18-28-212-2-1 Malik Davis 4-94-23.5-0 Tyrie Cleveland 5-93-18.6-1 NC State James Blackman 22-38-278-1-0 Cam Akers 12-56-4.7-0 Auden Tate 9-138-15.3-1 at Kentucky Feleipe Franks 7-12-85-1-0 Malik Davis 21-93-4.4-0 Tyrie Cleveland 4-110-27.5-1at Wake Forest James Blackman 11-21-121-1-0 Jacques Patrick 19-120-6.3-1 Auden Tate 2-47-23.5-1 Vanderbilt Feleipe Franks 10-14-185-0-0 Malik Davis 17-124-7.3-2 Tyrie Cleveland 2-67-33.5-0 Miami, Fl James Blackman 17-28-203-2-2 Cam Akers 20-121-6.1-0 Auden Tate 3-56-18.7-1 vs. LSU Feleipe Franks 10-16-108-0-0 Malik Davis 14-90-6.4-0 Josh Hammond 3-29-9.7-0at Duke James Blackman 18-21-197-1-2 Cam Akers 15-115-7.7-1 Nyqwan Murray 5-81-16.2-0 Texas A&M Feleipe Franks 17-26-129-0-2 Malik Davis 18-97-5.4-0 Brandon Powell 5-37-7.4-0 Louisville James Blackman 16-28-248-2-2 Cam Akers 16-75-4.7-0 Nyqwan Murray 4-95-23.8-1 Byeat Boston College James Blackman 11-26-102-0-1 Cam Akers 18-42-2.3-0 Nyqwan Murray 3-102-34.0-0 vs. † Georgia Malik Zaire 3-6-36-0-0 Lamical Perine 16-93-5.8-0 Mark Thompson 2-17-8.5-0 Syracuse James Blackman 12-19-136-1-0 Cam Akers 22-199-9.0-2 Nyqwan Murray 3-60-20.0-1 at Missouri Malik Zaire 13-19-158-0-1 Lamical Perine 19-66-3.5-0 Dre Massey 2-75-37.5-0at Clemson James Blackman 13-32-208-1-1 Cam Akers 12-40-3.3-0 Nyqwan Murray 4-73-18.3-0 at South Carolina Feleipe Franks 10-25-174-0-1 Mark Thompson 3-35-11.7-1 Moral Stephens 1-63-63.0-0 Delaware St James Blackman 11-15-179-3-0 Ryan Green 7-96-13.7-2 Keith Gavin 4-78-19.5-0 vs. UAB Feleipe Franks 15-30-152-2-0 Adarius Lemons 11-89-8.1-0 Brandon Powell 6-55-9.2-0at Florida Florida St ULM

vs.

James Blackman 131-228-1672-12-8 Cam Akers 148-780-5.3-4 Nyqwan Murray 36-563-15.6-3 Feleipe Franks 106-189-1248-6-5 Lamical Perine 124-541-4.4-8 Tyrie Cleveland 21-395-18.8-2Deondre Francois 19-33-210-1-2 Jacques Patrick 84-465-5.5-4 Auden Tate 31-422-13.6-6 vs. Malik Zaire 32-56-349-0-1 Malik Davis 79-526-6.7-2 Brandon Powell 33-331-10.0-1J.J Cosentino 6-7-51-1-0 Amir Rasul 24-123-5.1-0 Keith Gavin 25-265-10.6-0 Luke Del Rio 16-25-138-1-1 Mark Thompson 49-234-4.8-2 Josh Hammond 14-193-13.8-0

Category

2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.

Florida St 15 -7.5 31 18 40-249

Florida 13 47 13 14 29-58 1

2015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.

Florida St 14 -2.5 27 15 30-144

Florida 10 43 2 19 40-128 0

2014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.

Florida St - 51 24 17 41-181

Florida - -30.5 19 13 33-113 2

2013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.

Florida St 2 -28 37 20 32-129

Florida - 46.5 7 8 24-78 -1

2012 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's

Florida St 10 -7 26 20 25-117

Florida 6 44 37 21 47-249 4

15-26-138

Louisville

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) Team & Margin

1.32

Florida St DB's

Florida QB/WR

Ret

urn

to

Tab

le o

f C

onte

nts

Projected Box Score0.69

Florida St

Florida St K

Florida St ST's

19-31-327

Comp-Att-Yds

14-28-160

19-39-134

Comp-Att-Yds

12-24-125

13-32-169

19-35-149

Florida St Leaders

Game GradeFlorida Coaches

Comp-Att-Yds

20-25-115

Comp-Att-Yds

Comp-Att-Yds

Phil's Forecast:

Net Offense Defense

Flor

ida

St

Sem

inol

es

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

Flor

ida

Gat

ors

Net Offense

Florida St OL0.47

Florida DL

0.60

Florida St RB's

Florida LB's

0.36

0.93Las Vegas Total

Florida Leaders

Florida St By 0.5

Florida St By 2.3

Sks Allowed Byeat Boston College Rush Def † Georgia

Miami, Fl Total Off LSUat Duke Score Off Texas A&M

NC State Rush Off at Kentuckyat Wake Forest Pass Off Vanderbilt

ByeFlorida St Florida

Bye Bye Tennessee

† Alabama 2017 TEAM RANKINGS † Michigan

Projected Rushing128 yards Florida St Florida 144 yards

Projected Passing172 yards Florida St Florida

TM REC FOE REC

Total TO's

Projected Yardage Total300 yards Florida St Florida 320 yards

Projected Final Score

176 yards

23 points Florida St Florida 21 points

Experience Rankings44

Team Schedule Strength1 Florida St Florida 25

64Florida

Florida St Seminoles OVERALL:

TEAM --PS RANK--

OVERALL: Florida Gators4-6vs. ACC vs. SEC Gators Logs

4-6

FOE +/-3-5 3-5

TM REC FOE REC

TM CONF

FOE CONF TM +/- FOE +/-

AP FOE

FOE FOENCAA RANKINGSTEAM --PS RANK--APTM

CONFFOE

CONF TM +/-

Seminoles LogsFOE

Defense

Score Score

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing

0.08

Florida St QB/WR

Florida DB's

Receiving

Florida St FloridaRushing

Ypg Diff ULM

Score Def UABat Florida Sks By Florida St Delaware St

Pass Def at Missouriat Clemson

Florida St LB'S

Florida RB's

1.13

Florida St DL

Florida OL

Total Def at South Carolina Syracuse

Las Vegas Line The Gators have lost their last 3 when hosting the ‘Noles and are 1-6 in the series being held to 1 TD or less in 5 of the last 7 mtgs. Last year a banged-up Florida limped into Tallahassee with the SEC Title game on deck and off a road upset of LSU and lost 31-13. Florida St has won 4 in a row by 20.5 ppg. The Gators were down 25 of their 85 scholarship players two weeks ago and got destroyed by both Georgia and Missouri by 35 and 29. They were impressive at home last week vs a bowl bound UAB team winning 36-7. With Malik Davis OFY at RB, Mark Thompson had his biggest game of the year (13-78) and true frosh Adarius Lemons (PS#20) did as well (11-89). Florida St has taken on the toughest schedule in the country (UF #25 sked). Their defense is holding foes to 95 ypg below their season average (#12) and they can still get to a bowl as they added ULM next week. This is the Gators season finale with the only question being will Chip Kelly take the coaching job. UF’s defense is holding foes to 17 ypg below their season average which is decent, but far below last year (120 below).

Florida ST's Florida St By 5

1.40Computer Yards

Computer PointsPOSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: Florida St 23-21

44 Points

Florida K+/- Ratings

Florida St Coaches

Phil SteeleFlorida St by 7

Florida St 23 Florida 16By 4.55 Points

Florida St

1.75

Florida 320-300

Florida Pts

5.94

Florida St Pts

16-25-150

19-36-193

Page 63: Phil Steele’s Inside the Pressboxplus.philsteele.com/inside_the_pressbox/2017/College/...Phil Steele’s Inside the Pressbox WK 13 UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK *this is a Best Bet H Utah

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 121 8/26 20-6 W 54 28 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 103 98 8/26 38-35 W 87 117 122 109 98 721-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 118 130 13 9/2 0-27 L 73 33 15 18 11 9 1-0 0-0 104 9/2 41-18 W 82 115 1221-1 1-0 0-1 0-0 116 117 9/9 13-19 L 83 40 31 59 25 27 2-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 101 118 9/9 23-56 L 71 115 116 25 22 851-2 2-0 0-2 0-0 111 135 10 9/16 6-40 L 105 58 35 30 11 57 #114 #53 2-1 0-0 101 9/16 67 114 1261-3 0-3 111 9/23 115 67 51 #89 #60 2-1 1-2 0-0 0-0 101 104 9/23 21-28 L 66 115 130 124 100 941-3 2-2 0-3 1-0 107 107 9/29 24-40 L 113 60 47 100 108 29 #123 #51 2-2 2-2 0-1 0-0 98 121 9/30 21-51 L 57 119 130 44 94 391-4 2-2 0-3 1-0 102 106 10/6 7-24 L 119 61 91 88 62 54 #126 #105 2-3 0-5 0-2 0-1 96 98 10/7 21-35 L 49 125 128 117 105 971-5 3-2 0-3 1-2 102 121 10/14 10-35 L 124 73 91 34 33 24 #79 #101 2-4 1-6 0-3 0-3 96 88 10/14 37-26 W 45 127 129 120 120 501-6 1-6 0-4 1-3 97 91 10/21 17-33 L 123 74 94 107 130 123 #58 #107 3-4 1-3 96 10/21 42 126 1281-7 1-7 0-4 0-4 98 87 10/28 41-20 W 116 73 105 120 123 31 #71 #107 3-4 6-2 1-3 2-2 95 112 10/28 7-28 L 56 128 130 95 61 412-7 5-3 0-4 4-1 100 112 11/4 13-20 L 119 71 102 73 79 60 #56 #117 3-5 3-5 1-4 2-3 95 101 11/4 23-31 L 61 127 128 64 127 1192-8 4-5 0-4 3-3 103 101 11/10 31-21 W 114 72 93 64 125 121 #49 #107 3-6 6-3 1-5 4-1 95 110 11/11 21-31 L 75 126 125 72 78 433-8 3-7 0-4 0-2 103 108 11/18 10-16 L 114 62 85 80 82 128 #108 #61 3-7 5-5 1-6 3-3 91 109 11/18 0-38 L 81 126 126 108 98 3

3-8 1-7 91 11/25 81 126 126 #104 #95 3-9 0-4 103 11/25 114 62 85-9 0

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

Portland St 20-6 145 -1 1 13 35-171 4.9 16-27 194 1 14 36-86 2.4 16-36 134 3 at UMass 38-35 90 -2 1 18 35-112 3.2 25-38 391 4 20 41-115 2.8 22-34 298 5† LSU 0-27 -382 -20 -1 6 14--5 -0.4 12-24 102 3 26 57-296 5.2 15-18 183 0 Western Carolina 41-18 -29 -7 1 23 49-299 6.1 12-24 154 2 30 48-212 4.4 23-41 270 5 Utah 13-19 -197 -5 -1 13 24-63 2.6 21-39 170 3 18 36-116 3.2 28-37 314 0 at UCLA 23-56 10 0 -1 25 42-281 6.7 24-39 234 1 25 26-132 5.1 24-29 373 3 Wisconsin 6-40 -299 -17 -2 11 26-81 3.1 11-20 111 2 28 49-235 4.8 18-19 256 1 Bye Bye at Wyoming 21-28 181 12 -2 23 38-170 4.5 29-40 280 2 11 29-177 6.1 9-19 92 2at Utah St 24-40 108 6 -6 20 46-210 4.6 12-29 186 0 14 44-112 2.5 16-30 176 4 Colorado St 21-51 -98 -4 -1 21 21-150 7.1 31-47 362 1 25 37-259 7.0 18-22 351 0 Boise St 7-24 -62 -7 -1 12 23-66 2.9 20-37 172 1 19 47-158 3.4 13-20 142 0 at Nevada 21-35 -89 -6 -1 20 35-248 7.1 18-27 229 4 26 38-268 7.1 26-34 298 0at Miss St 10-35 -370 -27 1 8 17-29 1.7 17-29 147 1 35 53-306 5.8 20-31 240 0 San Jose St 37-26 -53 0 1 23 50-274 5.5 13-24 177 0 23 37-123 3.3 21-33 381 4at East Carolina 17-33 8 0 0 22 31-102 3.3 26-41 319 3 22 35-115 3.3 20-30 298 1 Bye San Jose St 41-20 260 -1 3 22 39-266 6.8 21-38 332 0 23 41-140 3.4 25-39 198 3 San Diego St 7-28 -222 -9 1 12 23-35 1.5 19-33 160 3 21 53-334 6.3 5-11 83 1at Fresno St 13-20 26 5 -1 21 27-122 4.5 23-43 214 2 16 40-136 3.4 14-20 174 0 at UNLV 23-31 -12 0 1 23 28-131 4.7 24-47 269 2 23 42-131 3.1 20-31 281 2at UNLV 31-21 -22 3 2 24 42-265 6.3 14-22 160 1 21 34-122 3.6 20-33 325 1 Fresno St 21-31 -129 -8 0 16 37-118 3.2 18-31 154 5 24 36-175 4.9 19-36 226 0 UMass 10-16 0 -1 -4 17 26-42 1.6 21-45 257 7 18 33-69 2.1 21-35 230 2 at Utah St 0-38 -157 0 0 20 47-172 3.7 19-35 146 4 20 39-311 8.0 12-20 164 0at Hawaii BYU

Average 16-25 -65.4 -5.4 -0.8 16 29-118 4.0 54.3% 197 6.1% 21 42-158 3.7 64.9% 223 4.3% Average 23-34 -46.2 -2.2 0.0 20 37-181 4.9 60.3% 232 7.3% 23 39-203 5.3 64.2% 256 7.1% Conference 9-24 -166.4 -11.1 -1.0 11 24-64 2.7 53.4% 165 8.1% 23 44-181 4.1 66.8% 214 3.1% Conference 19-34 -72.4 -1.9 -0.1 20 35-162 4.7 60.2% 222 7.4% 22 39-222 5.7 63.1% 235 4.4% Away 16-29 -105.3 -5.5 -0.8 17 30-121 4.1 55.3% 188 5.3% 22 44-181 4.1 64.8% 233 3.7% Home 25-31 -106.2 -5.6 0.4 19 36-175 4.9 58.5% 201 6.9% 25 42-221 5.2 60.1% 262 7.0%

Portland St Tanner Mangum 16-27-194-1-0 Squally Canada 16-98-6.1-1 Matt Bushman 3-56-18.7-0 at UMass Dru Brown 25-38-391-3-1 Diocemy St Juste 23-78-3.4-0 John Ursua 12-272-22.7-1† LSU Tanner Mangum 12-24-102-0-1 Squally Canada 5-8-1.6-0 Matt Bushman 4-43-10.8-0 Western Carolina Dru Brown 11-21-154-2-2 Diocemy St Juste 25-202-8.1-1 Dylan Collie 7-104-14.9-1 Utah Tanner Mangum 21-39-170-1-3 Ula Tolutau 5-25-5.0-1 Matt Bushman 6-50-8.3-0 vs. at UCLA Dru Brown 23-38-227-2-1 Diocemy St Juste 27-154-5.7-0 John Ursua 10-79-7.9-1 Wisconsin Beau Hoge 11-20-111-0-2 Ula Tolutau 13-58-4.5-0 Micah Simon 3-60-20.0-0 Bye Bye at Wyoming Dru Brown 29-40-280-1-2 Diocemy St Juste 26-120-4.6-1 John Ursua 8-102-12.8-1at Utah St Beau Hoge 5-9-95-2-1 Ula Tolutau 21-102-4.9-0 Beau Tanner 1-40-40.0-1 vs. Colorado St Dru Brown 31-47-362-2-0 Diocemy St Juste 18-97-5.4-1 Dylan Collie 5-100-20.0-0 Boise St Tanner Mangum 18-33-164-0-2 Ula Tolutau 9-38-4.2-1 Matt Bushman 7-65-9.3-0 at Nevada Dru Brown 18-27-229-2-1 Diocemy St Juste 25-241-9.6-1 John Ursua 9-126-14.0-1at Miss St Tanner Mangum 16-26-145-1-1 Brayden El-Bakri 5-20-4.0-0 Aleva Hifo 5-77-15.4-1 San Jose St Dru Brown 12-23-173-1-0 Diocemy St Juste 39-202-5.2-2 Keelan Ewaliko 3-82-27.3-0at East Carolina Tanner Mangum 26-41-319-2-1 Ula Tolutau 15-62-4.1-0 Aleva Hifo 9-148-16.4-0 vs. Bye San Jose St Tanner Mangum 18-34-283-3-1 KJ Hall 10-112-11.2-1 Micah Simon 3-67-22.3-2 San Diego St Dru Brown 19-33-160-0-0 Diocemy St Juste 17-40-2.4-0 Isaiah Bernard 1-47-47.0-0at Fresno St Tanner Mangum 20-33-163-0-0 Squally Canada 12-84-7.0-1 Matt Bushman 9-97-10.8-0 at UNLV Dru Brown 24-47-269-1-0 Diocemy St Juste 20-111-5.6-1 Dylan Collie 8-85-10.6-1at UNLV Joe Critchlow 14-22-160-1-0 Squally Canada 25-213-8.5-1 Aleva Hifo 6-58-9.7-1 vs. Fresno St Dru Brown 18-31-154-2-1 Diocemy St Juste 22-104-4.7-0 Dylan Collie 6-60-10.0-1 UMass Joe Critchlow 21-45-257-1-4 Squally Canada 11-51-4.6-0 Micah Simon 2-66-33.0-0 at Utah St Dru Brown 16-29-128-0-0 Diocemy St Juste 28-122-4.4-0 Dylan Collie 7-59-8.4-0at Hawaii BYU

vs.

Tanner Mangum 147-257-1540-8-9 Squally Canada 103-597-5.8-4 Matt Bushman 47-468-10.0-3 Dru Brown 226-374-2527-16-8 Diocemy St Juste 270-1471-5.4-7 John Ursua 47-667-14.2-5Joe Critchlow 41-78-476-2-4 Ula Tolutau 72-303-4.2-2 Aleva Hifo 37-437-11.8-2 vs. Cole McDonald 5-9-22-1-0 Ryan Tuiasoa 46-299-6.5-5 Dylan Collie 50-533-10.7-4Beau Hoge 19-39-257-2-3 KJ Hall 30-206-6.9-1 Micah Simon 23-340-14.8-3 Cole Brownholtz 1-1-7-0-0 Cole McDonald 16-138-8.6-1 Ammon Barker 36-357-9.9-0

Category

2012 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.BYU - -26.5 47 30 54-396

Hawaii - 49.5 0 9 27-41 -2

vs.

vs.

vs.

at Miss St

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

FOE

San Jose St Pass Def San Diego Stat Fresno St Total Def at UNLV

Net Offense Defense

BY

U C

oug

ars

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

Haw

aii R

ain

bow

War

rior

s

Net Offense

51Team Schedule Strength

Experience Rankings89

2.08

Bye Bye Pass Off at Wyoming

TM REC FOE REC

Portland St 2017 TEAM RANKINGS

Projected Rushing158 yards BYU Hawaii 133 yards

Projected Passing240 yards BYU Hawaii 243 yards

Projected Yardage Total398 yards BYU Hawaii 375 yards

vs. MTW

Hawaii Rainbow Warriors3-9 3-8OVERALL: OVERALL:

FOE REC

Cougars LogsTM

CONFFOE

CONF TM +/- FOE +/-

vs. IND

BYU Cougars

0-4 1-7TM REC TM +/- FOE +/-

Rainbow Warriors LogsAP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE

FOE

AP TEAMFOE --PS RANK--

NCAA RANKINGSTM

CONFFOE

CONF

Defense

Score Score

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing

at UMass† LSU

BYU Hawaii Western Carolina

Utah at UCLA

Sks Allowed San Jose Stat East Carolina Rush Def Bye

at Utah St Total Off Colorado St Boise St Score Off at Nevada

Wisconsin Rush Off

BYU QB/WR

Hawaii DB's

Receiving

BYU HawaiiRushing

BYUTotal TO's

Ypg Diffat Hawaii

at UNLV Score Def Fresno St UMass Sks By at Utah St

Hawaii DL

0.98

BYU RB's

Hawaii LB's

0.11

BYU DL

Hawaii OL

0.06

BYU LB'S

Hawaii RB'sBYU DB's

Hawaii Leaders

1.50

BYU OL

Phil's Forecast:

Las Vegas LineBYU is 9-1 in this series, but they last met in ‘12. Hawaii has won 5 straight regular season home finales with the last 4 by 7 or less. BYU has really struggled on offense this year as they gain 73 ypg below what their opponents usually allow. BYU does have large edges on defense (#62 vs #126). BYU is using their #3 QB and Joe Critchlow has a good debut in the win at UNLV, but was just 21-45-257-1-4 with those 4 int’s very costly in the home finale loss to UMass. Hawaii clearly has the QB with Dru Brown hitting 60% with a 16-8 ratio and at RB with Diocemy St Juste having 1,471 (5.4) rush. BYU has taken on the much tougher schedule (#77 vs #123). Tough to back either of these two, but BYU has beaten the Vegas number 3 of the last 4 weeks and my computer has them by 6.

Hawaii ST's Byu By 3BYU K

49 Points

Byu By 8.8

Byu By 2.0

1.07

Hawaii K+/- Ratings

BYU Coaches

Game GradeHawaii Coaches

Las Vegas Total

Computer YardsByu 398-3756.69

BYU Pts0.95

Ret

urn

to

Tab

le o

f C

onte

nts

Comp-Att-Yds

14-24-144

12-27-108

0.89

BYU ST's Team & Margin

BYU Leaders 0.95

Hawaii QB/WR

Projected Box Score

BYU

77 BYU Hawaii 123

Hawaii

Projected Final Score24 points BYU Hawaii 18 points

Hawaii PtsComputer Points

POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: Byu 24-18

BYU Phil SteeleBYU by 6

By 5.74 Points BYU 24 Hawaii 18