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    PANCHABUTARENEWABLE ENERGY AND CLEANTECH IN INDIA

    3 22Page 10Page Page

    Wind REC Solar

    Indian Renewable

    Energy

    Outlook on

    2013

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    Panchabuta-Renewable Energy & Cleantech in India www.panchabuta.com

    Dear Colleagues,

    The Indian renewable sector today can be compared

    to an animal that is crouching but is about to spring.

    Things have not been good for wind in the recent

    past, but there is good newsgeneration-based

    incentive (GBI) is coming back. The fifty paise a

    unit and t he increase in quantum of GBI to one

    crore is a whiff of fresh air and could be the

    turning point that the industr y is waiting for.

    After all, accelerated depreciation has not been

    ruled out. Since there is support within the govern-

    ment, there is hope. Competitive bidding seems not

    imminent, and the central regulator is likely to show

    some leniency if the industry is able to show financial

    injury due to scheduling and forecasting.

    The wind industry is in a consolidation mode.

    Non energy companies are exiting wind busi-

    ness and the industry is getting more into the

    hands of IPPs as we had predicted in our last

    years edition.

    Coming to solar, there is no news of the Phase

    II of JNNSM, but one sees some action, in some

    states, particularly in Tamil Nadu. If the Courts

    uphold the states right to bring in the solar pur-

    chase obligation, Tamil Nadu is sure to become

    the preferred destination for solar in India. Even

    without waiting for SPO, many industries are

    putting up solar plants. It is practically a given

    that other states will follow Tamil Nadu.

    There is good news on the REC front. The reg-

    ulators of Punjab, Delhi and Maharashtra havetold their discoms that they shall meet the RPO

    targets this year.

    The end of the tunnel is getting closer by the day.

    Best Wishes,

    Vineeth Vijayaraghavan

    Founding Editor

    Panchabuta

    TABLE OF CONTENTS

    WIND ENERGY ....................................................................... 3

    Outlook on Indian Wind Sector .............................................................. 3

    RENEWABLE ENERGY CERTIFICATES ................... 10

    Outlook on Indian REC Market .............................................................10

    Interview with Vishal Pandya (REConnect Energy) .................. 14

    GUJARAT SOLAR PV PLANTS - ANALYSIS OF

    ONE YEAR PERFORMANCE DATA ........................... 15

    SOLAR ENERGY ................................................................. 22

    Outlook on Indian Solar Sector ........................................................... 22

    Evaluating the performance of Solar PV plants in India using

    Performance Ratio (PR) ......................................................................... 29

    Interview with Pashupathy Gopalan (SunEdison) ...................... 32

    Interview with Bikesh Ogra (Sterling & Wilson) ...........................34

    Solar Showcase State - Tamil Nadu ..................................................... 38

    This publication is a sole property of Panchabuta and its contents should not be reproduced without the prior consent of Panchabuta. Email us at [email protected]

    for feedback, queries, features and advertising with Panchabuta.

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    Gamesa 15.3 230.3 312 89.5

    Vestas 121.95 175.5 260 N.A

    Others 259.7 334.23 259 83.65*

    Total 1563.9 2320.28 3163 1700

    * Including Vesta s

    Potential

    The total potential for wind power in India

    was first est imated by the Centre for Wind

    Energy Technology (C-WET) at 45 GW, and

    was recently increased to 48.5 GW. This

    figure was also adopted by the Govern-

    ment as the official estimate.

    At heights of 55 - 65 metres, the

    Indian Wind Turbine Manufacturers

    Association (IWTMA) estimates that the

    potential for wind development in India

    is around 65 - 70 GW. According to the

    Ministry of New and Renewable Energy

    (MNRE), it is estimated that by 2030, in-

    sta lled capacity could reach 191 GW.

    In the future, a considerable portion of

    the capacity addition is also expected

    Panchabuta-Renewable Energy & Cleantech in India www.panchabuta.com

    OUTLOOK ON INDIAN WIND SECTORIndias renewable energy sector is dominated by the wind segment. As of 31st March 2013, India had a renew-

    able energy installed capacity of 28 GW out of which 68% or 19.05 GW was contributed by the wind segment.

    In the overall energy mix of 223 GW, winds contribution is 8.5%.

    The dominance of wind energy in the overall Indian renewable energy mix is obvious and a number of factors

    have contributed to the same. Indias foray into wind energy began in the early 1990s and has shown remark-

    able growth over the past two decades to become the largest contributor of renewable power generation in thecountry.

    The tremendous growth witnessed in the wind energy sector is seen in the results achieved so far India cur-

    rently ranks 5th in the globa l list of top countries in terms of installed wind energy generation capacity.

    After four years of continuous high

    growth, Indias wind sector saw instal-

    lations reduce to half from the previous

    year. From a peak of about 3 GW annual

    capacity additions in 2011-12, the annual

    addition was only 1.7 GW in 2012-13. The

    major factor that contributed to the drop ininstallations was the withdrawal of the Ac-

    celerated Depreciation (AD) benefit. The

    ambiguity over the Generation Based Incen-

    tive (GBI) also added to the challenges.

    Not surprisingly, Indias ranking in the

    Ernst & Young (E&Y) report for the w ind

    sector dropped from three to six in the

    Annual Renewable Energy Country At-

    tractiveness Index released in May 2013.

    Market share of wind

    turbine m anufacturers

    The year 2013-14 saw some major changes in

    the market share of wind turbine manu-

    facturers. Suzlon and Gamesa lost sig-

    nificant market share in the year 2012-

    13 over the previous year. Enercon and

    ReGen Powertech improved their market

    shares marginal ly in 2012-13 compared to

    previous year.

    Manu-

    facturer

    Installed Capacity in MW year-wise

    2009-

    10

    2010-

    11

    2011-

    12

    2012-

    13

    Ener-

    con

    348.8 504 767 453.6

    Suzlon 762.65 954.6 1149 414.75

    ReGen

    Pow-

    ertech

    55.5 55.5 416 273

    Inox N.A N.A N.A 264

    GE

    Wind

    N.A N.A N.A 121.5

    Source: Indian Wind Energy Association, MNRE

    to come from repowering of existing

    wind farms. This is due to the fact that

    most high wind energy density sites are

    already exploited and are occupied (in

    most ca ses) by older, low capacity windturbines. Upgrading these wind farms

    with latest design as well as promoting

    the use of more efficient turbines would

    result in the wind farms seeing higher

    PLF, thereby aiding in the realization of

    higher revenue.

    Off-shore Wind Segment in India

    In addition to the on-shore and repow-

    ering segments, significant potential ex-

    ists in the off-shore wind energy sector.According to the Ministry of New and

    Renewable Energy (MNRE), India is es-

    timated to have 350 GW of off-shore

    wind energy capacity. Recognizing the

    importance of off-shore wind energy,

    MNRE released a draft National Off-

    shore Wind Policy in May 2013. The

    policy draft says that there is a potential

    of 1 GW, each along the Rameshwaram

    and Kanyakumari coas ts in Tamil Nadu.

    The policy aims to facilitate off-shore

    3

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    Policy Framework

    Feed-in-Tariff

    The wind energy capacity additions hasbeen driven primarily through a feed-in-

    tariff (FiT) mechanism. The FiT for each

    state is determined by its respective

    State Electricity Regulatory Commission

    (SERC). The various SERCs thus far have

    adopted a cost-plus approach wherein,

    the costs associated with setting up a

    wind power plant such as capital ex-

    penses and operational expenses are

    considered based on discussions with

    various stakeholders. The FiT is then cal-

    culated based on the levelized cost anda fixed profit margin determined by the

    regulators.

    One other important aspect consid-

    ered while setting the wind energy tariff is

    the capacity utilization factor (CUF). CUF

    is a function of the site at which the wind

    turbine is located and as such various re-

    gions across a state might have different

    wind profiles thereby affecting the elec-

    tricity generated and hence revenues. This

    has led to some states such as Maharash-

    tra opting for a tariff scheme which is tied

    to the prevailing wind regime across the

    various parts of the state leading to what

    is known as a zone based tariff. In this

    mechanism, the projects in regions with

    the lowest wind energy density are offered

    a higher tariff while the highest wind en-

    ergy density region is given a lower tariff.

    This ensures that the returns from all proj-

    ects remain the same and the variance due

    to wind energy regimes is minimized to a

    very large extent.

    Panchabuta-Renewable Energy & Cleantech in India www.panchabuta.com

    wind farms upto 12 nautical miles f rom

    the coast. The policy offers several fisca l

    incentives in the form of a 10 year tax

    holiday, concessional import duties and

    certain duty waivers.

    In August 2013, it was announced that a

    National Offshore Wind Energy Authori-

    ty (NOWA) under the aegis of the MNREwould be constituted, that will act as the

    nodal agency for Off-shore Wind Proj-

    ects in the country. NOWA will carry out

    resource assessment and surveys in the

    Exclusive Economic Zones (EEZ) of the

    country and simultaneously enter into

    contracts with project developers for

    development of off-shore wind energy

    projects in the territorial waters (12 nm).

    NOWA will be the single window agency

    and will coordinate with concerned Min-

    istries/Departments for necessary clear-ances. However, NOWA will only act as

    a facilitator for getting clearance and ap-

    plication for clearance will be dealt in en-

    tirety by the concerned Ministry/Depart-

    ment.In

    Installed Capacity

    The geographic dist ribution of wind en-

    ergy generation capacity is diverse. It can

    be argued that the geographic distribu-

    tion of wind power in the country fol-lows the available wind energy potential

    in the states. For instance, some of the

    regions with the highest wind energy

    density (Class 1/Class 2) sites can be

    found in Tamil Nadu, Gujarat, Rajasthan,

    Maharashtra and Karnataka. Of these

    states, almost all available high wind

    energy sites have been utilized in Tamil

    Nadu. The state where there is a signifi-

    cant divide between the available poten-

    tial and installed capacity is Karnataka.

    Tamil Nadu is the clear leader when it

    comes to the total wind capacity in-

    stalled in India accounting for about

    38% of the overall installed wind ener-

    gy capacity as of 31st March 2013. Tamil

    Nadu is followed by Gujarat, Maharash-

    tra and Rajasthan three states which

    have taken significant effort in bolster-

    ing their wind capacity.

    The top 5 states (Tamil Nadu, Gujarat,

    Maharashtra, Rajasthan and Karnataka)

    constitute 95% of the total capacity in-stalled in the country.

    Maharashtra is slowly gaining ground

    on Tamil Nadu as most developers ob-

    serve that the states wind zone-based

    tariff system is conducive for financial-

    ly viable development of power plants.

    Furthermore, with payment security

    sighted as one of the major concerns in

    Tamil Nadu, developers are moving away

    from the once home of wind energy to

    new pastures. However, Tamil Nadu hascleared most of the pending payments,

    and is once again gaining the confidence

    of investors.

    Capacity additions were down by a sig-

    nificant percentage this financial year in

    some of the leading states such as Tamil

    Nadu, Gujarat and Maharashtra. But

    states such as Rajasthan and Karnataka

    have either seen an increase or stable ca-

    pacity additions.

    Source: MNRE as of 31st March 2013

    % of Total Installed Capacity

    Tamil Nadu Gujarat Maharashtra

    Rajasthan Karnataka Madhya Pradesh

    Andhra Pradesh Kerala Others

    The year-wise capacity additions since 2006-07 (in MW)

    State2006-07(Cumulative)

    2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13

    Tamil Nadu 3,492.7 3,873.4 4,304.5 4,907.0 5,904.4 6,987.6 7,162.18

    Gujarat 636.6 1,252.9 1,566.5 1,864.0 2,175.5 2,966.3 3,174.58

    Maharashtra 1,487.7 1,755.9 1,938.9 2,078.0 2,310.8 2,733.3 3,021.85

    Rajasthan 469.8 538.8 738.4 1,088.0 1,524.8 2,070.7 2,684.65

    Karnataka 821.1 1,011.4 1,327.4 1,473.0 1,730.0 1,933.5 2,135.15

    Madhya Pradesh 57.3 187.7 212.8 229.0 275.5 376.4 386.00

    Andhra Pradesh 122.5 122.5 122.5 236.0 200.2 245.5 447.65

    Kerala 2.0 10.5 27.0 28.0 32.8 35.1 35.10

    Others 1.1 1.1 1.1 4.0 - 3.2 4.30

    Total (MW) 7,090.8 8,754.2 10,239.1 11,907 14,154 17,351.6 19,051.46

    4

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    6

    State Tariff

    rates per

    KWh

    Annual

    tariff

    escalation

    Notes

    AndhraPradesh

    Rs. 4.70 Constant for10 years forthe PPAs tobe signedduring01-05-09 to31-03-14

    Order

    on

    15/11/12

    Gujarat Rs. 4.15 No escala-

    tion for 25

    years of

    project life

    Order

    on

    07/01/13

    Karna-taka

    Rs. 3.70 No esca la-

    tion for 10

    years

    Kerala Rs. 4.77 No escala-

    tion for 20

    years of

    project life

    Madhya

    Pradesh

    Rs. 5.92 No esca la-

    tion for 25years of

    project life

    Order

    on26/03/13

    Maha-rashtra

    Wind

    Zone I -

    Rs. 4.86

    No escala-

    tion for 13

    years

    Net

    tariff

    includ-

    ing AD

    benefitWind

    Zone II -

    RS. 4.23

    Wind

    Zone III -

    Rs. 3.60

    WindZone IV -

    Rs. 3.24

    Maha-rashtra

    Wind

    Zone I -

    Rs. 5.67

    No escala-

    tion for 13

    years

    TariffwithoutADbenefits

    Wind

    Zone II -

    Rs. 4.93

    Wind

    Zone III -

    Rs. 4.20

    Wind

    Zone IV -

    Rs. 3.78

    Orissa Rs. 5.31 No escala-

    tion for 13

    years

    Punjab Rs. 5.96

    (without

    AD)

    WindZone I

    Rs. 5.36

    (with

    AD)

    Rajast-

    han

    Rs. 5.18

    (without

    AD)

    Rs. 4.89

    (with

    AD)

    No escala-

    tion for 25

    years. Ap-

    plicable to

    wind Power

    Plants

    located in

    Jaisalmer,

    Jodhpur

    & Barmerdistricts

    Rs. 5.44

    (without

    AD)

    Rs. 5.13

    (with

    AD)

    No escala-

    tion for 25

    years. Ap-

    plicable to

    wind Power

    Plants

    located in

    districts

    other than

    Jaisalmer,

    Jodhpur

    & Barmer

    districts.

    TamilNadu

    Rs. 3.51 No esca la-

    tion for 20

    years of

    project life

    WestBengal

    Rs. 4.87 No esca la-

    tion for 10

    years

    2013

    Accelerated Depreciation

    Wind capacity additions reached their

    zenith under the Accelerated Deprecia-

    tion (AD) regime where wind farm de-

    velopers were offered fiscal incentives

    (tax benefits). The incentive offered, al-

    lowed for wind farm developers to opt

    for 80% AD on their assets. This led to

    a tremendous growth in wind capacity

    additions. The AD benefit can be cred-

    ited for single-handedly driving I ndia to

    the top of the leader boards in the wind

    sector.

    Earlier it was suggested that the AD ben-

    efit for setting up wind farms would bewithdrawn with the introduction of the

    new direct tax code. However, the AD

    benefits enjoyed by developers thus far

    were withdrawn from the financial year

    2012-13 i.e. from 1st April 2012 onwards.

    The impact of the removal of AD is ev-

    ident as seen from the drastic drop in

    installations in every major state, except

    Rajasthan.

    State 2011-12 2012-13 Change

    Year

    -over-

    Year

    Tamil Nadu 1,083.20 174.58 -84%

    Gujarat 790.80 208.28 -74%

    Maharash-tra

    422.50 288.55 --32%

    Rajasthan 545.90 613.95 12%

    Karnataka 203.50 201.65 -1%

    MadhyaPradesh

    100.90 9.60 -90%

    AndhraPradesh

    45.30 202.15 346%

    Kerala 2.30 - -100%

    Others 3.20 1.10 -66%

    Total

    (MW)

    3,197.60 1,699.86 -47%

    (Source: MNRE)

    Generation Based Incentive

    The Generation Based Incentive (GBI)

    scheme was introduced in 2009. The

    reason behind the introduction of the

    GBI mechanism was to persuade de-

    velopers to install wind capacity which

    would focus on the quantum of electric-

    ity generated rather than mere installa-

    tion of wind turbines to gain the acceler-

    ated depreciation benefit i.e. using wind

    as a financial instrument as opposed to

    a power source. Thus, the GBI mecha-nism favoured developers whose wind

    farms were more efficient. Furthermore,

    the introduction of the GBI was one

    of the first steps which indicated that

    there would be a shift in market dynam-

    ics towards a more IPP driven model as

    the GBI model favoured IPPs who were

    likely to have higher installed capacities

    thereby producing a larger quantum of

    electricity.

    The scheme offered a GBI of Rs. 0.50 perkWh with a predefined cap of Rs. 62.5

    lakhs per MW of the capacity installed.

    The GBI offered is over and above the

    tariff offered by each SERC. This howev-

    er is exclusive of the AD benefit that the

    wind farm developer would get. Thus,

    the developer has to make a choice as to

    whether to go for the AD benef it or avail

    the GBI. The GBI incentive scheme was

    available till the end of the financial year

    2011-12, i.e. all projects commissioned

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    7

    before 31st March 2012 were eligible for

    GBI provided the developer chose to go

    through this route.

    The expir y of the GBI in March 2012 and

    the consequent non-availability of the

    incentive also contributed to the huge

    slump in the sector in 2012-13. The Gov-

    ernment of India, acknowledging theimportance of the GBI in the growth of

    the sector, especially after the phasing

    out of AD benefits, reinstated the GBI

    from 1st April 2013 and allocated Rs. 800

    Crore towards the same. On 1st August

    2013, the Union Cabinet of Ministers for-

    mally approved the reinstatement of the

    scheme.

    The incentive of 50 paise per kWh of

    electricity generated by wind projects

    registered under the scheme will contin-

    ue. The cap of Rs. 62 lakhs per MW has

    been increased to Rs. 1 Crore per MW,

    which can be drawn in not fewer than 4

    years and not more than 10.

    Renewable PurchaseObligations (RPO)

    In the absence of the AD benefits and

    GBI, the wind industr ys reliance on the

    RPO regulations have increased mani-

    fold. However, due to t he lack of enforce-

    ment of RPO in many states, the demand

    for wind power and for the Renewable

    Energy Certificates (REC) has not tak-

    en off as planned. The prices at which

    RECs have been traded are at the floor

    for some time, and the number of un-

    sold RECs has been increasing. In order

    to provide relief to the renewable energy

    power producers whose RECs were in

    the process of expiring due to lack of de-

    mand, the Central Electricity Regulatory

    Commission (CERC) extended the valid-

    ity of the RECs by 12 months meaning

    that the RECs are now valid for a period

    of two years as opposed to the init ial pe-

    riod of one year.

    The status of RPO and REC trading are

    explained in detail in a separate section.

    Paradigm Shift

    There is no doubt that the market until

    a couple of years ago has been driven

    by the existence of the AD mechanism.

    With AD being phased out, wind power

    developers can no longer use installa-

    tion of WTGs as a financial instrument.

    Furthermore, the most f inancially viable

    wind projects are those under the REC

    mechanism which favour a higher quan-

    tum of energy generation. Such projects

    typically have capacity additions of alarger scale (on a per project basis). In

    this scenario, capacity additions are like-

    ly to be driven by large scale IPPs as op-

    posed to several small scale developers.

    The updates from some of the leading

    developers are given below.

    Month Devel-

    oper

    Ca-

    pacity

    (MW)

    Esti-

    mated

    Project

    Cost

    (Rs.Crore

    Project

    Status

    August

    '13

    ITC Not

    Avail-

    able

    300 An-

    nounced

    July'13 Reli-

    ance

    Power

    45 300 Com-

    mis-

    sioned

    July'13 GAIL 100 Not

    Avail-

    able

    An-

    nounced

    July'13 Gre-enco

    250 Not

    Avail-able

    An-

    nounced

    July'13 Jawa-

    harlal

    Nehru

    Port

    Trust

    (JNPT)

    7 50 An-

    nounced

    July'13 Surat

    Mu-

    nicipal

    Corpo-

    ration

    (SMC)

    6.3 Not

    Avail-

    able

    An-

    nounced

    June'13 Nalco 47.6 283 Com-

    mis-

    sioned

    June'13 SJVNL 47.6 Not

    Avail-

    able

    An-

    nounced

    May'13 NLC 50 Not

    Avail-

    able

    An-

    nounced

    May'13 CESC 40 Not

    Avail-

    able

    Com-

    mis-

    sioned

    May'13 Mytrah 100 Not

    Avail-

    able

    An-

    nounced

    May'13 Tata

    Power

    21 Not

    Avail-

    able

    Com-

    mis-

    sioned

    April'13 Oil

    India

    limited

    54 Not

    Avail-

    able

    Com-

    mis-

    sioned

    Decem-

    ber'12

    Nalco 50.4 274 Com-

    mis-

    sioned

    Novem-

    ber'12

    Bho-rukaPowerCorpo-ration

    25.5 180 Com-

    mis-

    sioned

    The shift towards an IPP driven market

    has also had an impact on the business

    models of the turbine manufacturers.

    Initially, all turbine manufacturers in

    the country offered to undertake EPC

    services for wind power plants, in addi-

    tion to providing turbines, as customers

    expected the turbine manufacturers to

    install the turbines and connect it to the

    grid. This is in stark contrast with what is

    witnessed in the Western markets where

    the turbine manufacturers merely pro-

    vide the turbine and support services.

    With the emergence of large scale wind

    IPPs in the country, the turbine manu-

    facturers might no longer need to pro-

    vide the EPC services. IPPs, as opposed

    to small scale developers, are building

    in-house expertise for developing as well

    as installing wind turbines. Further, IPPs

    would prefer to keep all sourcing/instal-

    lation tasks under their control as this

    would help them cut cost s significantly.

    In the future, we are likely to see a tran-

    sition to the Western model wherein the

    turbine manufacturers merely provide

    the turbines and assist in the mainte-

    nance of the power plants. The initial

    phases of such a transition are already

    evident as the model is evolving.

    Consolidation

    The wind sector has already set in mo-

    tion the inevitable consolidation, which

    has resulted in two categories of entities.

    On one side, there are several business

    entities that are exiting the wind busi-

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    ness. Some of the major companies in

    this category include TVS Energy, Ashok

    Leyland, DLF, among others. On the oth-

    er side, there are IPPs like Green Infra,

    BLP and Mytrah Energy that are growing

    or looking to grow through green field

    projects and through acquisitions of ex-

    isting wind assets.

    In August 2013, IDFC backed Green In-

    fra announced the acquisition of 59.75

    MW wind assets of TVS Energy. With

    this sale, TVS Energy exited the sector

    citing the high capital intensity of the

    sector. Similarly, DLF sold off a total of

    228.7 MW in 4 different states to differ-

    ent buyers. The details are as follows

    a. Karnataka 11.2 MW sold to Goyal

    MG Gases for Rs. 30 Crore

    b. Gujarat 150 MW sold to BharatLight and Power for Rs. 325 Crore

    c. Tamil Nadu 34.5 MW sold to Tulip

    Renewable Power Tech for Rs. 188.7

    Crore

    d. Rajast han 33 MW sold to Violet

    Green Power for Rs. 52.2 Crore

    e. Wind assets of VRL Logistics total-

    ling 42.5 MW were purchased by

    Amplus Infrastructure

    f. Madhya Pradesh - 180 MW sold to

    Continuum Wind Energy for an un-

    disclosed value

    Apart from these, Mytrah Energy and

    Ushdev International have announced

    intentions to procure operational wind

    assets.

    Way Forward

    EvacuationThe increased capacity addition ofwind in the country is unfortunatelynot matched by an equivalent additionof power evacuation infrastructure. Thelack of grid availability during the peakwind seasons is a major problem for thewind power producers, mostly in TamilNadu, where technical challenges result ingrid congestion. According to the leadingIPP Orient Green Power Ltd. (OGPL), thegeneration of wind power dropped by 15%or more for most companies in November2012 due to the lack of grid availability.

    The fact that the Southern Grid, of whichTamil Nadu is part of, is not synchronisedwith the rest of the grids compounds the

    problem.

    According to the Indian Wind Turbine

    Manufacturers Association (IWTMA),

    during the peak wind season from May

    to September 2013, about 500 MW ca-

    pacities would be forced to shut downin the Tirunelveli region of Tamil Nadu.

    Green Corridor

    The Government of India, acknowledg-

    ing the importance of evacua tion infra-

    str ucture for renewables, has announced

    the setting up of Green Energy Corridors

    for transmission of power. The aim is

    to supply 30 GW of renewable power

    (solar and wind) to the national grid by

    2020. Germany has announced that it

    will provide financial assistance of EuroOne Billion for this project and the Joint

    Declaration of Intent on Establishment

    of Green Energy Corridors was signed by

    the Prime Minister of India and Chancel-

    lor of Germany in April 2013.

    Forecasting Wind Power Gen-eration

    In July 2013, the Central Electr icity Reg-

    ulatory Commission (CERC) issued an

    order to all wind power generators with

    a capacity of 10 MW or more to forecast

    their generation for the next day, for ev-

    ery 15 minute interval. The scheduling

    and forecasting order was conceptu-

    alised in order to make the grid opera-

    tions better and reduce instability that

    may arise out of the fluctuation of power

    from wind turbines to the grid. If the

    actual generation is 30 per cent more or

    less over the submitted forecast, penal-

    ties would be imposed. The order is ap-

    plicable for all wind turbines installed

    after May 2010.

    Wind power producers like Tata Power

    have mentioned that this ruling will se-

    verely affect the profitability of the wind

    farms. On the other side, CERC has men-

    tioned that the order was released after a

    two year delay following objections from

    the wind power producers.

    The Wind Independent Power Produc-

    ers Association (WIPPA) filed a petition

    with the Delhi High Court over the CERC

    scheduling and forecasting order.

    Conclusion

    The shift from a turbine manufacturer

    driven-market to an Independent Power

    Producer (IPP) driven-market accelerated

    over the past year. The reinstatement of

    the GBI mechanism not only provides

    relief to the industry, but also stands to

    benefit the IPP more than from AD. TheRPO/REC mechanism seems to be holding

    the wind industr y up at the moment. As to

    whether the industry can depend solely on

    this mechanism remains to be seen.

    It should be noted that in signif icant con-

    trast with the solar industry, the wind

    industry is heavily indigenized. It is es-

    timated that anywhere between 40%

    to 75% of all components used for the

    development of a wind turbine/farm are

    manufactured within the country. The

    success of the wind industr y would thenhave a direct impact on the economy as

    the sector has created many jobs along

    with fostering the growth of various

    other associated businesses. The sector

    would continue to do so depending on

    the growth of the wind market in India.

    The wind indust ry is now grappling with

    some old challenges that are becoming

    bigger and some new challenges. The in-

    creasing power evacuation problem falls

    in the former category and the need for

    scheduling and forecasting falls in thelatter. While forecasting is very impor-

    tant for the industry, a higher level of

    accurate forecasting might take some

    more time.

    Overall, the wind industry is at cross-

    roads. The restoration of the GBI is a

    boon but it is likely to take a few years

    for the industry to touch the peak capac-

    ity ins tal lation in 2011-12. The lacklustre

    RPO enforcement is also hurting the

    growth of the sector. The consolidation

    caused by the downturn in the sectorwill continue, with many firms exiting

    the wind business and some entering

    due to attractive valuations.

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    OUTLOOK ON INDIAN REC MARKET

    Financial year 2012-13 (April 2012 - March 2013) was a lacklustre year for the Renewable Purchase Obligation

    (RPO) mechanism and for the REC markets. With no enforcement of the RPO in sight by most states, the

    demand for RECs was quite limited. On the other hand, the number of projects registered under the REC mech-

    anism and the number of RECs issued (supply of RECs) has been increasing at a fast pace, mainly Non-Solar

    RECs. For Solar RECs, the demand was more than the supply till April 2013. But, the situation has reversed

    from May 2013.

    Since the number of RECs were far in excess of the demand, many of the RECs were in danger of expiry. The

    Central Electricity Regulatory Commission (CERC) stepped in to help the REC generators and

    extended the validity of RECs from one year to two years in February 2013.

    Background

    Renewable PurchaseObligation

    As per the Electricity Act of 2003, it ismandatory for Obligated Entities (OEs)to buy a certain percentage of the to-tal energy requirement from renewableenergy sources. The RPO targets are setfor each state and it is the responsibilityof the State Electricity Regulatory Com-mission (SERC) to enforce the targets.The targets for 2013-14 for each state are

    given below.

    States 2013-14

    RPO

    Obligation

    (Non-Solar)

    2013-14 RPO

    Obligation

    (Solar)

    Andhra

    Pradesh

    4.75 % 0.25 %

    Assam 5.40 % 0.20 %

    Arunachal

    Pradesh

    5.45 % 0.15 %

    Bihar 3.50 % 1.00 %

    Chhattis-

    garh

    5.75 % 0.50 %

    Delhi 4.60 % 0.20 %

    Gujarat 6.00 %** 1.00 %**

    Haryana 2.90 % 0.10 %

    Himachal

    Pradesh

    10.00 % 0.25 %

    J&K 4.75 % 0.25 %

    Jharkhand 3.00 % 1.00 %

    Karnataka 10.00 % * 0.25 % *

    Kerala 3.65 % 0.25 %

    Madhya

    Pradesh

    4.70 % 0.80 %

    Maharash-

    tra8.50 % 0.50 %

    Meghalaya 0.60 % 0.40 %

    Orissa 5.80 % 0.20 %

    Punjab 3.37 % 0.13 %

    Rajasthan 7.20 % 1.00 %

    Tamil Nadu 8.95 %** 0.05 %**

    Tripura 0.90 % 0.10 %

    Uttara-

    khand

    5.00 %** 0.05 %**

    Uttar

    Pradesh5.00 %** 1.00 %**

    West

    Bengal

    3.90% 0.10 %

    Goa & UTs 2.60 % 0.40 %

    Manipur 4.75 % 0.25 %

    Mizoram 6.75 % 0.25 %

    Nagaland 7.75 % 0.25 %

    ** RPO targets are not determined for FY14 and areassumed to continue FY13 target levels.* 10% + 0.25% (BESCOM, MESCOM, CESC), 7% +0.25% for others.

    (Source: REConnect as of July 2013)

    Renewable Energy Certificate(REC) Mechanism

    REC mechanism is a way by which theobligated entities under RPO can meettheir targets. The Renewable Energy gen-erators are issued one Renewable EnergyCertificate (REC) for every 1 MWh ofpower generated. The certificates canthen be sold in the exchanges to the ob-ligated entities.

    The REC trading mechanism was launchedin November 2010 and got off to a goodstart. The RECs were classified into twocategories Solar and Non-Solar RECs,and the trading takes place on the lastWednesday of every month. The tradingis done in the power exchanges - IndianEnergy Exchange (IEX) and PowerExchange India (PXIL). The price band forthe RECs as set by the CERC is given be-

    low. This price band is valid till March 2017.

    Non-Solar

    REC

    Solar REC

    Floor Price

    (Rs./REC)

    1,500 9,300

    Forbear-ance Price

    (Rs./REC)

    3,300 13,400

    The table below gives the details of theprojects accredited and registered underthe REC Mechanism for different renew-able energy sources.

    Source Accreditation Registration

    Capacity

    (MW)

    Unit Capacity

    (MW)

    Unit

    Wind 2253.18 566 2038.29 534

    Urban orMuncipalWaste

    16 2 0 0

    Solar

    Thermal

    3 1 0 0

    Solar PV 171.68 83 162.68 78

    Small

    Hydro

    218 25 197.5 23

    Others 1.67 1 1.67 1

    Geother-

    mal

    0 0 0 0

    Biomass 639.9 65 582.85 60

    Bio-fuel

    cogenera-

    tion

    777.87 79 669.3 70

    Total 4081.29 822 3652.28 766

    (Source: REC Registry of India, as of 23rd August 2013)

    The statewise projects accredited underthe REC mechanism as of 23rd August2013 are given below.

    The trading dynamics of solar and non-

    solar RECs are quite different owing to

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    the demand and supply differences and

    the price of RECs.

    Statewise Accredited Status (Number of

    Units & Capacity) 23-08-2013

    S.No. Type/ State Total

    Unit Capacity

    (MW)

    1 Tamil Nadu 210 986.56

    2 Maharashtra 336 918.8

    3 Uttar Pradesh 53 678.13

    4 Gujarat 52 418.6

    5 Karnataka 29 234.79

    6 Rajasthan 46 224

    7 Andhra Pradesh 15 130.55

    8 Madhya Pradesh 41 110.4

    9 Chhattisgarh 9 88.5

    10 Punjab 4 66.78

    11 Himachal Pradesh 6 47.5

    12 Odisha 4 33.9

    13 Bihar 5 26.6

    14 Nagaland 1 24

    15 Uttarakhand 1 24

    16 Kerala 2 23.2

    17 Jammu and Kash-

    mir (JKSPDCL)

    2 17.5

    18 Delhi 2 16

    19 Haryana 4 11.5

    Total 822 4081.31

    (Source: REC Registr y of India)

    Non-Solar REC trading

    One of the major challenges for non-

    solar renewable power generators is the

    ever increasing gap between demand

    and supply. Till July 2012, the supply and

    demand were fairly balanced, but sincethen the number of RECs generated (sup-

    ply) has been growing at a rapid pace.

    However, the demand has either fallen

    or stagnated during the same period.

    For example, the difference between sell

    bids (supply) and buy bids (demand) in

    July 2012 was 306,514. But one year later,

    in July 2013, the difference between sell

    bids and buy bids increased by about

    8.5 times to 2,610,796. The graph below

    clearly indicates this trend.

    The reason for the low demand can be directly attributed to the lack of RPO

    enforcement by most of the states.

    Non-Solar REC Traded Volumes

    The number of non-solar RECs traded from April 2012 to July 2013 is given below.The traded volume as a whole has remained fairly constant, despite the increase in

    the number of RECs available for sale. The only exception was March 2013, when the

    REC sales touched an all-time peak. This can be attributed to the fact that March is

    the end of the f inancial year and many companies bought RECs to meet with their

    RPO compliance.

    However, this spike in March is an anomaly and the next month, April 2013, saw the

    number of RECs sold crashing.

    Non-Solar REC Price Realisation

    Since supply of RECs outstripped their demand significantly, the price of RECs

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    Buy B ids vs Sell Bids (Non-Solar RECs)

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    touched the floor price and has remained there for the last 12 months. This situation

    is unlikely to change in the near future.

    Solar REC Trading

    Unlike non-solar RECs, the supply of solar RECs was less than the demand till April

    2013. But from May 2013, the trend appears to have reversed. With more and more

    solar projects coming up under the REC mechanism, the supply of solar RECs is

    expected to see a dramatic increase as witnessed in the non-solar REC segment.

    If the RPO is not enforced properly, solar REC trading will face a situation similar to

    that faced by non-solar RECs.

    Solar REC Traded Volumes

    The traded volume of solar RECs has followed a path similar to that of non-solar

    since there was not enough supply of

    RECs. But once that situation reversed,

    the price of solar RECs started to fall.

    After hitting a high (Rs. 13,200/REC)

    in March 2013, the price of solar RECs

    dramatically dropped to the floor price

    (Rs. 9,300/REC) within 3 trading ses-

    sions by June 2013. For the last three

    months (June to August 2013), the pricehas remained at the floor price and it is

    unlikely to increase any further unless

    demand for RECs is stimulated by the

    enforcement of RPO at the st ate-level.

    Conclusion

    The RECs (non-solar and solar) have

    been trading at the floor price over the

    last few trading sessions on increasing

    supply leading to a huge supply side fa-

    tigue. The key challenge remains the lack

    of regulatory will to enforce the obliga-

    tions. With an ever increasing demand-

    supply spread, the market requires short

    term and long term interventions to

    boost the confidence of participants on

    the supply side. The spot market trad-

    ing of the REC has not provided enough

    market liquidity and stakeholders have

    recommended that bilateral and multi-

    lateral trading be permitted. A critical

    reassessment and repricing of solar REC

    must be done at the earliest. As regu-

    lators enforce compliance and steps are

    taken to deepen the market mechanism,

    the REC market should witness renewed

    interest.

    RECs. The number of RECs sold touched an all-time high in March 2013, but dropped

    again in the subsequent months.

    Solar REC Price Realisation

    Solar REC prices stayed close to the upper limit (forbearance price) till May 2013

    12

    Demand Vs Supply (Solar RECs)

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    INDIAN REC MARKET: LOOKING BACK AND

    LOOKING FORWARD

    REConnect is as old as the REC market in

    India. How has your experience been so far?

    We were the first company in the mar-ket to trade both solar and non-solar

    RECs. The changed market dynamics

    explosive growth in REC supply and

    lack of regulatory will to drive demand

    has moved REC sellers from the posi-

    tion of priv ilege to peril. Non-solar RECs

    are trading at floor price for 12 consecu-

    tive months, and now solar RECs are

    also joining the beleaguered league.

    Every stakeholder including REConnect

    on the supply side of REC has been under

    a lot of stress and fatigue. As a stake-holder, I think we and our clients are just

    completing a cycle of REC market evo-

    lution.

    Do you foresee any reprieve for the

    troubled REC Market?

    Without any prejudice to our existing

    stake in the REC market, we firmly be-

    lieve that it would still be premature to

    write-off REC market completely as the

    market is yet to see its best. In our un-

    derstanding, FY 2013-14 would be the

    first year where we would see as many

    as 5-6 state DISCOMs meeting their RPO

    compliance. Delhi, Maharashtra, Pun-

    jab, Karnataka and Chhatt isgarh state

    regulators have already summoned state

    DISCOMs and captive/open access con-

    sumers to meet their past RPOs includ-

    ing current year RPO by this FY. Even

    if these five states only are to comply

    with their past and current RPO by FY14,

    we are looking at a demand of about 38

    Lakh non-solar RECs and 4 Lakh solar

    RECs. This demand alone will be sub-

    stantial enough to give a big relief to the

    REC market.

    What are the key issues that need to be

    addressed to sustain the REC market?

    The larger issue is regulatory will, which

    is largely driven by political motives.

    Apart from this, there are other softer is-

    sues which have made a few regulators

    jitter y about the REC mechanism. For

    example, in non-solar, REC represents

    three types of asset classes projects

    which will need REC revenue for theirabsolute viability, projects that need

    RECs for increased ROI and projects

    needing RECs for windfall gains. Some

    rationalist regulators would naturally ob-

    ject agains t creat ion of windfall gains at

    the cost of the consumer. This lack of depth

    in the framework has created negative senti-

    ments among few regulators.

    What are the key changes that stakehold-

    ers are expecting from the regulators?

    The framework needs significant chang-es for its own sustainability. For exam-

    ple, different treatment of different asset

    classes call for differential REC prices

    or differential REC multipliers to ensure

    every project under REC mechanism

    has been provided a level playing field.

    The framework shall not create scope

    for windfall gains. This is absolutely

    essential for increasing stakeholders

    confidence. Likewise, the liquidity issue

    needs to be sorted out. The current spot

    Vishal Pandya is co-founder of REConnect Energy Indias largest REC

    Trading company. Today, REConnect manages about 46% market

    share in Non - Solar RECs and about 80% market share in Solar REC

    trading. Further, REConnect has also gained significant market share

    in wind/solar forecasting/scheduling as required under RRF mech-

    anism and is managing such requirements of wind farms across 5

    states in India.

    market based trading is not sufficient as

    it has failed miserably to attract liquidity.

    If only spot market needs to function,

    then we must have a multilateral market.

    Otherwise, bilateral trades of RECs must

    be introduced along with multilateral

    trades to ensure better debt structuring

    and project financing.

    Do you think failure of RECs will affect

    Indias growth story in renewables?

    Whether RECs remain or not, we as a

    country have a huge RE potential to

    tap. Today, corporates have become

    more cost conscious when it comes toenergy. With the kind of energy tariffs

    currently prevailing in the country, in

    many consumer types, renewable energy

    is cheaper than the price being offered

    by distribution companies. Hence, even

    without RECs, we have a very long term

    future in renewable sector. However, the

    key motive behind REC mechanism was

    to trigger high growth in capacity addi-

    tion which could have driven down the

    cost of renewable further. However, the

    shortsightedness of containing the im-

    pact on tariff for near-term is failing the

    long-term objective of securing low cost

    future energy supply. Given the current

    circumstances, we are not far away from

    seeing every Indian corporate adopting

    a complete energy portfolio manage-

    ment approach like optimally mixing up

    energy supply from renewable, energy

    exchanges and f rom dist ribution compa-

    nies to gain better energy cost economics.

    We have already got a few clients who have

    started working in this direction.

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    Gujarat Solar PV Plants

    Analysis of one year performance data

    In this white paper, a total of 50 plants totalling 665.64 MW have been ranked based on their annual yield (MWh/MW). All these plants have been operational for at least 1

    year. Of these 50 plants, 15 plants are located in Charanka Solar Park and 35 plants outside Charanka. There is an overall ranking of the 50 plants and a separate ranking

    each, for plants in Charanka and outside Charanka.The module, inverters, tilt mechanism and EPC details are also available for several plants. But we would like to point out that knowing the module, inverter and EPCdetails is still not enough to benchmark the plants, because there are other variables that inuence the performance of the plant. Some of them include quality of balanceof system components (cables, connectors, etc) and build quality.

    Gujarat signed Power Purchase Agreements (PPAs) towards a total 968.5 MW of installed capacity towards end of 2010 and early 2011. As of 31st March 2013, 77 projectstotalling 852.31 MW were commissioned and operational.

    Charanka Solar Park

    The Charanka Solar park is spread over about 2000 Hectares in the wastelands of the Rann of Kutch. The Rann of Kutch is a salt marsh at the edge of Thar Desert, andit borders Pakistan. The total area available can be used to set up solar plants of a total 500 MW capacity. Of this, 214 MW has been installed by 21 developers. (As of19th April 2012 Source: GPCL)

    Solar Plant performance

    The sections below aim to quantify the performance of the solar power plants set up in the state of Gujarat. For the purpose of evaluation, the generation data availablefrom the Gujarat State Load Dispatch Centre (SLDC) has been used. Ranking of the power plants has been done on the basis of the Plant Load Factor (PLF) or CapacityUtilisation Factor (CUF). PLF or CUF is calculated as the ratio of actual energy generated (for a given period of time) to the maximum (theoretical) possible generation of

    a power system. The formula for CUF is given below.

    Capacity Utilisation Factor (CUF) = Energy measured (kWh) / (365*24*installed capacity of the plant).

    While the Gujarat Energy Development Agency (GEDA) has shared a list of 77 commissioned projects totalling 852 MW as of March 31st,2013, the SLDC data is availableonly for 62 projects totalling 832 MW.

    Since some of the plants have been in operation for less than a year, only those 50 plants that have been operational for at least 1 year have been ranked.

    Ranking of Plants operational for at least 1 Year (Overall) :

    The energy yield of a plant will depend on several factors, including type of modules, inverters and other components, usage of tracking systems, design optimization and build

    quality. The ranking given below is based only on the energy yield and does not consider the input parameters like design optimisation, components used or build quality.

    Rank Developer Capac-

    ity

    (MW)

    Total

    Generaon

    (MWh)

    Normalized

    (MWh per

    MW per

    Year)

    CUF Module Type Module Manu-

    facturer

    Inverter Manu-

    facturer

    Tilt EPC

    1 Konark Gujarat PV Pvt. Ltd. 5 9361.009 1872.2018 21.3% Crystalline Si Vikram Solar AEG Seasonal Tilt Vikram Solar

    2 Unity Power 5 9328.561 1865.7122 21.2% Thin Film Solar Froner Power One Fixed Tilt Ennity

    3 Mono Steel (india) Ltd 10 18644.292 1864.4292 21.2% Crystalline Si Waaree Power One Seasonal Tilt Waaree

    4 WAA Solar Pvt.Ltd 10.22 18461.595 1806.418297 20.6% Thin Film First Solar SMA Not Available Madhav Power

    5 Palace Solar Energy Pvt. Ltd. 15 26173.722 1744.9148 19.9% Crystalline Si Candian Solar Power One Seasonal Tilt Etain - immodo / Lourex Group

    6 TATA Power Renewable Energy Ltd. 25 43393.098 1735.72392 19.8% Crystalline Si Tata, Canadian Solar ABB Not Available Tata

    7 NKG infrastructure Ltd. 10 17310.26 1731.026 19.7% Crystalline Si Solar World Delta (String) PPS Enviro Power

    8 Sun Clean Renewable Pvt. Ltd. 6 10341.53 1723.588333 19.6% Thin Film Sharp Power-one Fixed Tilt L&T

    9 ZF Steering Gear (India) Pvt. Ltd. 5 8598.95 1719.79 19.6% Thin Film N/A

    10 Roha Dyechem Pvt. Ltd 25 42898.65 1715.946 19.5% Thin Film Nex Power Satoon Fixed Tilt Wipro Eco Energy

    11 Gppc Pipavav Power Company Ltd. 5 8570.004 1714.0008 19.5% Crystalline Si Suntech Bonglioli Fixed Tilt Lanco

    12 AZURE (Hariyana) 10.2 17401.797 1706.058529 19.4% Crystalline Si Suntech Self

    13 Alex Astral Power Pvt. Ltd 25 42530.899 1701.23596 19.4% Thin Film First Solar SMA Cirus Solar

    14 Green Infra Solar Energy Ltd. 10 17012.341 1701.2341 19.4% Thin Film First Solar SMA Fixed Tilt Juwi

    15 Solareld Energy Pvt. Ltd. 20 33948.276 1697.4138 19.3% Thin Film Sharp Sharp Fixed Tilt L&T

    16 Welspun Urja Gujarat Pvt. Ltd. 15 25458.575 1697.238333 19.3% Thin Film First Solar SMA Fixed Tilt Conergy (Sun Technics)

    17 SEI Solar Power Gujarat Pvt. Ltd. 25 42415.609 1696.62436 19.3% Crystalline Si Chin/Trina Power One Fixed Tilt L&T

    18 BACKBONE Enterprises Ltd. 5 8452.757 1690.5514 19.2% Thin Film Nexpower Siemens Not Available Self

    19 Millenium Synergy (Gujarat) Pvt. Ltd. 10 16870.807 1687.0807 19.2% Crystalline Si Trina SMA Single Axis L&T

    20 ACME Solar Technology 15 25180.906 1678.727067 19.1% Thin Film First Solar ABB Fixed Tilt M+W

    21 ESP Urja Pvt. Ltd. 5 8345.851 1669.1702 19.0% Thin Film Sharp SMA

    22 PLG Photovolc Ltd. 20 33140.469 1657.02345 18.9% Crystalline Si PLG / Kyocera Power One Fixed Tilt Zamil Group

    23 ICML 9 14802.466 1644.718444 18.7% Crystalline Si LDK IDS

    24 GMR Gujarat Solar Power Pvt. Ltd. 25 40983.17 1639.35268 18.7% C-Si Canadian Solar SMA Fixed Tilt Indu Project (Cirus)

    25 GHI Energy Pvt. Ltd. 10 16336.161 1633.6161 18.6% Crystalline Si Suntech

    26 Emami Cement Ltd 10 16310.494 1631.0494 18.6% C-Si TATA BP ABB Fixed Tilt Tata BP

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    27 Moser Baer Energy & Development Ltd. 15 24456.697 1630.446467 18.6% Thin Film First Solar,Moserbaer, Oupont

    SMA Not Available Moser Baer

    28 Precious Energy Services Pvt. Ltd. 15.2 24719.672 1626.294211 18.5% Thin Film First Solar,

    Moserbaer, Oupont

    SMA Not Available Moser Baer

    29 Azure Power (Gujarat) Pvt. Ltd. 5 8078.944 1615.7888 18.4% Thin Film First Solar SMA/Poweron Not Available

    30 AEL(Solar) - Adani 40 64331.765 1608.294125 18.3% Thin Film Sunwell / Sunner Well SMA Fixed Tilt Aries Waaree

    31 Solitaire Energies Pvt. Ltd. 15 24100.389 1606.6926 18.3% Thin Film First Solar, Moserbaer N/A Not Available Moser Baer

    32 Sand Land Real Estate Pvt. Ltd. 25 40061.177 1602.44708 18.2% Thin Film First Solar SMA Fixed Tilt Moser Baer

    33 GPCL 5 7947.638 1589.5276 18.1% c-Si C-Sun

    34 GMDC 5 7930.4 1586.08 18.1% Crystalline Si Tata BP Power One Fixed Tilt Tata BP

    35 Surana Telecom & Power Ltd. 5 7914.732 1582.9464 18.0% c-Si Surana AEG Fixed Tilt Self

    36 LANCO (BHRD) 5 7821.247 1564.2494 17.8% Crystalline Si N/A Hellos Systems Lanco

    37 EMCO Ltd 5 7787.114 1557.4228 17.7% Crystalline Si Trina Ingeteam

    38 Visual Percept Solar Projects Pvt. Ltd. 25 38359.028 1534.36112 17.5% Crystalline Si Hanwha Solarone Power One Fixed Tilt Sterling and Wilson

    39 GIPCL 5 7626.817 1525.3634 17.4% Crystalline Si Titan ABB

    40 Louroux Bio Energies Ltd. 25 37676.577 1507.06308 17.2% Thin Film Tianwel and Sungen Siemens Fixed Tilt Inspira Marfer

    41 Hiraco Renewable Energy Pvt. Ltd. 20 29567.821 1478.39105 16.8% Crystalline Si Hanwha Solarone SMA Fixed Tilt Moser Baer

    42 Ganeshvani Merchandise Pvt. Ltd. 5 7241.912 1448.3824 16.5% Crystalline Si Trina Bonglioli Fixed Tilt Insolare Energy Pvt. Ltd.

    43 CBC Solar Technologies Pvt. Ltd 10 14225.313 1422.5313 16.2% Crystalline Si Trina Bonglioli Not Available Moser Baer

    44 AES Solar Energy Gujarat Pvt. Ltd 14.92 20896.17 1400.544035 15.9% Thin Film First Solar Power Oner Fixed Tilt Ennity

    45 Jaihind Project 5 6878.733 1375.7466 15.7% Crystalline Si Nantong Helofax Fixed Tilt Self

    46 Lanco infratech ltd. 15.01 20432.741 1361.275217 15.5% Crystalline Si C-Sun Bonglioli Fixed Tilt Self

    47 Solar Semiconductor Power Company 20 26205.372 1310.2686 14.9% Thin Film Sunwell Santerno Fixed Tilt Self

    48 Lanco (Chandiyana) 15.01 19096.039 1272.221119 14.5% Crystalline Si and

    Thin Film

    Trina/Dupont/ CSUN Bonglioli, Elt ek,

    REFUSol

    Fixed Tilt Self

    49 Arvali Infapower ltd. 5 5529.347 1105.8694 12.6% Crystalline Si LDK Eltek Fixed Tilt Moser Baer

    50 Gangesh Green Energy Pvt. Ltd. 25.08 26947.408 1074.458054 12.2% Thin Film First Solar SMA Fixed Tilt Not Available

    Total 665.64

    (Note : Plants operational in the Charanka Solar Park are highlighted in yellow)

    From the above list, it can be seen that Konark Gujarat PV Pvt Limited comes rst overall, and it narrowly edges its nearest rival, possibly due to its seasonal tilt mecha-nism. Among plants with xed tilt mounting structures, Unity Power (Welspun) is the number one, with a CUF of 21.2%.

    A word of caution here the ranking above is not an indicator of how good or bad a component or EPC is. The CUF will depend on some more factors like build quality,

    Balance of Systems used (cables, structures, etc) and design optimization.

    Ranking of Plants operational for at least 1 Year (Charanka Solar Park)

    Rank Developer Capacity

    (MW)

    Total Genera-

    on (MWh)

    Normalized

    (MWh per

    MW per

    Year)

    CUF Module

    Type

    Module

    Manufacturer

    Inverter

    Manufac-

    turer

    Tilt EPC

    1 Palace Solar Energy Pvt. Ltd 15 26173.72 1744.9148 19.9% Crystalline Si Candian Solar Power One Seasonal

    Tilt

    Etain - Immodo / Lourex Group

    2 NKG Infrastructure Ltd 10 17310.26 1731.026 19.7% Crystalline Si Solarworld Delta

    (String)

    PPS Enviro Power

    3 Sun Clean Renewable Pvt. Ltd. 6 10341.53 1723.588333 19.6% Thin Film Sharp Power - One Fixed Tilt L&T

    4 ZF Steering Gear (india) Pvt. Ltd. 5 8598.95 1719.79 19.6% Thin Film N/A

    5 Roha Dyechem Pvt. Ltd. 25 42898.65 1715.946 19.5% Thin Film Nex Power Satcon Fixed Tilt Wipro Eco Energy

    6 GPPC Pipavav Power Company Ltd. 5 8570.004 1714.0008 19.5% Crystalline Si Suntech Bonglioli Fixed Tilt Lanco

    7 Alex Astral Power Pvt. Lt.d 25 42530.899 1701.23596 19.4% Thin Film First Solar SMA Cirus Solar

    8 Solareld Energy Pvt. Ltd. 20 33948.276 1697.4138 19.3% Thin Film Sharp Sharp Fixed Tilt L&T

    9 SEI Solar Power Gujarat Pvt. Ltd. 25 42415.609 1696.62436 19.3% Crystalline Si Chint/Trina Power One Fixed Tilt L&T

    10 GMR Gujarat Solar Power Pvt. Ltd. 25 40983.817 1639.35268 18.7% c-Si Canadian

    Solar

    SMA Fixed Tilt Indu Project (Cirus)

    11 Emami Cement Ltd 10 16310.494 1631.0494 18.6% c-Si TATA BP ABB Fixed Tilt TATA BP

    12 GPCL 5 7947.638 1589.5276 18.1% c-Si C-Sun

    13 Surana Telecom & Power Ltd 5 7914.732 1582.9464 18.0% c-Si Surana AEG Fixed Tilt Self

    14 AES Solar Energy Gujarat Pvt. Ltd. 14.92 20896.117 1400.544035 15.9% Thin Slim First Solar Power One Fixed Tilt Ennity

    15 Lanco Infratech Ltd. 15.01 20432. 1448.3824 16.5% Crystalline Si C-Sun Bonglioli Fixed Tilt Self

    Total 210.93

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    In case of Charanka, Palace Solar has the highest CUF, very closely followed by NKG Infrastructure and Sun Clean Renewables.

    Ranking of Plants operational for at least 1 Year (Outsid e Charanka Solar Park)

    Rank Developer Capacity

    (MW)

    Total Genera-

    ton (MWh)

    Normalized (MWh per

    MW per Year)

    CUF Module Type Module Manu-

    facturer

    Inverter

    Manufac-

    turer

    Tilt EPC

    1 Konark Gujarat PV Pvt. Ltd. 5 9361.009 1872.2018 21.3% Crystalline Si Vikram Solar AEG Seasonal Tilt Vikram Solar

    2 Unity Power 5 9328.561 1865.7122 21.2% Thin Film Solar Froner Power One Fixed Ti lt Ennity

    3 Mono Steel (india) Ltd. 10 18644.292 1864.4292 21.2% Crystalline Si Waaree Power One Seasonal Tilt Waaree

    4 WAA Solar Pvt. Ltd. 10.22 18461.595 1806.418297 20.6% Thin Film First Solar SMA Not Available Madhav Power

    5 TATA Power Renewable Energy Ltd. 25 43393.098 1735.72392 19.8% Crystalline Si Tata, Canadian Solar ABB Not Avaliable Tata

    6 Azure (Hariyana) 10.2 17401.797 1706.058529 19.4% Crystalline Si Suntech Self

    7 Green Infra Solar Energy Ltd. 10 17012.341 1701.2341 19.4% Thin Film First Solar SMA Fixed Tilt Juwi

    8 Welspun Urja Gujarat Pvt. Ltd. 15 25458.575 1697.238333 19.3% Thin Film First Solar SMA Fixed Tilt Conergy (Sun

    Technics)

    9 BACKBONE Enterprises Ltd. 5 8452.757 1690.5514 19.2% Thin Film Nex Power Siemens Not Available Self

    10 Millenium Synergy (Gujarat) pvt.Ltd. 10 16870.807 1687.0807 19.2% Crystalline Si Trina SMA Single Axis L&T

    11 ACME Solar Technology 15 25180.906 1678.727067 19.1% Thin Film First Solar ABB Fixed Tilt M+W

    12 ESP Urja Pvt. Ltd. 5 8345.851 1669.1702 19.0% Thin Film Sharp SMA

    13 PLG Photovolc Ltd. 20 33140.469 1657.02345 18.9% Crystalline Si PLG / Kyocera Power One Fixed Tilt Zamil Group

    14 ICML 9 14802.466 1644.718444 18.7% Crystalline Si LDK IDS

    15 GHI Energy Pvt. Ltd. 10 16336.161 1633.6161 18.6% Crystalline Si Suntech

    16 Moser Baer Energy & Development Ltd 15 24456.697 1630.446467 18.6% Thin Film First Solar, Mose-

    baer, Dupont

    SMA Not Available Moser Bear

    17 Precious Energy Services Pvt. Ltd. 15.2 24719.672 1626.294211 18.5% Thin Film First Solar, Mose-

    baer, Dupont

    SMA Not Available Moser Bear

    18 Azure Power (Gujarat) Pvt. Ltd. 5 8078.944 1615.7888 18.4% Thin Film First Solar SMA/PowerOn Not Available

    19 AEL (Solar) - Adani 40 64331.765 1608.294125 18.3% Thin Film Sunwell/ Sunner Wel SMA Fixed Tilt Aries Waaree

    20 Solitarire Energy Pvt. Ltd. 15 24100.389 1606.6926 18.3% Thin Film First Solar, Moserbaer N/A Not Available Moser Baer

    21 Sand Land Real Estate Pvt. Ltd. 25 40061.177 1602.44708 18.2% Thin Film First Solar SMA Fixed Tilt Moser Baer

    22 GMDC 5 7930.4 1586.08 18.1% Crystalline Si Tata BP Power One Fixed Tilt Tata BP

    23 LANCO(BHRD) 5 7821.247 1564.2494 17.8% Crystalline Si N/A Hellios

    System

    Lanco

    24 EMCO Ltd. 5 7787.114 1557.4228 17.7% Crystalline Si Trina Ingeteam

    25 Visual Percept Solar Projects Pvt. Ltd. 25 38359.028 1534.36112 17.5% Crystalline Si Hanwha Solarone Power One Fixed Tilt Sterling and

    Wilson

    26 GIPCL 5 7626.817 1525.3634 17.4% Crystalline Si Titan ABB

    27 Louroux Bio Energies Ltd. 25 37676.577 1507.06308 17.2% Thin Film Tianwei and Sungen Siemens Fixed Tilt Inspira Martifier

    28 Hiraco Renewable Energy Pvt. Ltd. 20 29567.821 1478.39105 16.8% Crystalline Si Hanwha Solarone SMA Fixed Tilt Moser Baer

    29 Ganeshvani Merchandise Pvt. Ltd. 5 7241.912 1448.3824 16.5% Crystalline Si Trina Bonglioli Fixed Tilt Insolare En-

    ergy Pvt. Ltd.

    30 CBC Solar Technologies Pvt.Ltd. 10 14225.313 1422.5313 16.2% Crystalline Si Trina Bonglioli Not Available Moser Baer

    31 Jaihind Project 5 6878.733 1375.7466 15.7% Crystalline Si Nantong Helofax Fixed Tilt Self

    32 Solar Semiconductor Power Company 20 26205.372 1310.2686 14.9% Thin Film Sunwell Santerno Fixed Tilt Not Available

    33 Lanco (Chandiyana) 15.01 19096.039 1272.22119 14.5% Crystalline

    Si and Thin

    Film

    Trina/Dupont/CSUN Bonglioli,

    Eltek,

    REFUSOL

    Fixed Tilt Self

    34 Arvali infrapower Ltd. 5 5529.347 1105.8694 12.6% Crystalline Si LDK Eltek Fixed Tilt Moser Baer

    35 Gangesh Green Energy pvt. Ltd. 25.08 26947.408 1074.458054 12.2% Thin Film First Solar SMA Fixed Tilt Not Available

    Total 454.71

    Incidentally, the rst 4 top ranking plants in the entire state of Gujarat are outside Charanka Solar Park.

    Seasonal Characteristi cs

    The seasonal variation graph represented below has been rendered using data from power plants which have completed one year of operation. All numbers in the graphhave been normalized to the total MWh generated per MW of installed capacity.

    The plant with the best performance characteristics, M/s Konark Gujarat Pvt Ltd, had a peak monthly production of 189.95 MWh/MWp in May 2012. Though this is not

    a characteristic of all the plants in the sample set, a vast majority had peak production that fell in one of three months March, April or May. The highest individual peakgeneration recorded was 216.39 MWh/MWp by M/s Backbone Enterprises Ltd in the month of May 2012 but the annual production of this plant was lower than the topranking power plant.

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    The lowest generation is merely presented here to provide a representation of the lowest perfor-mance and should not be treated as the general performance of power plants in Gujarat. It can

    be clearly seen that the average performance closely follows the generation characteristic of thebest performing power plant in the sample set. The average annual performance is estimated tobe 1581.78 MWh/MWp.

    Seasonal Characteristi cs Charanka

    The seasonal variation for plants in Charanka is presented below.

    The performance of the highest rated power plant can be taken as representative of the perfor-mance of all the power plants in the Charanka Solar Park as the difference between the average

    value and the highest generation is minimal. Peak power output from the solar park was produced

    in the month of May as opposed to the three month spread seen in the above scenario. Addition-ally, a secondary peak is seen in the month of October which is slightly lower than the productionnumbers in May. The best performing power plant, M/s Palace Solar Energy Pvt. Ltd., had a peakgeneration of 172.63 MWh/MWp in the month of March 2013 while the highest recorded genera-

    tion for a given month is 179.76 MWh/MWp also generated in the same month by M/s ZF SteeringGear (India) pvt. ltd.

    Interestingly, though the plant with the lowest CUF (M/s Lanco Infratech Ltd) produced signi -

    cantly lower output in the rst few months of operation, the yield caught up during the latter part ofthe year indicating that the plant was experiencing teething issues. It is likely that when the data for

    the next year is compiled, the lowest performance numbers would be more in line with the averageand that the degree of variation between the highest and lowest numbers would be minimal. Theaverage yield per year is estimated to be about 1643.28 MWh/MWp, which is comparatively higher

    than the average yield seen across the state of Gujarat (non-Charanka average).

    Crystalli ne Silicon vs. Thin Film Technolo gies

    To identify the difference between the choice of the module makes, we looked at the performance of power plants within the same region (only plants in the Charanka

    Solar Park were chosen) so as to minimize the variations that may be attributed to external factors such as irradiation conditions, grid availability etc. In addition to this,

    the Charanka solar park has an almost even distribution between c-Si and TF installed capacity. While analysing the results, it can be seen that the TF modules performmarginally better than the c-Si modules with an average performance advantage of about 0.4%.

    Looking at the seasonal variation characteristics of the plants (refer image below), it is easy to spot the difference. Plants using TF modules have higher generation thanplants using c-Si modules in hotter months (April to July) while c-Si modules have higher generation in colder months (December to February) which can be attributed tothe lower temperature derating coefcient of TF modules compared to c-Si modules (which have a comparatively higher temperature coefcient).

    We would however like to emphasise that the data is not sufcient enough to say one technology is better than the other.

    String inverter vs. Central inverter

    Continuing in the similar vein of the TF vs c-Si discussion, we did a brief analysis of the performance ofstring inverters compared to central inverters. It should be noted that the sample set available for stringinverters is minimal and limited to just one in the Charanka solar park.

    With this in mind, the average performance of the top central inverter plants was compared to the perfor-

    mance of the solitary string inverter plant. The only real observation which can be made from this com-parison is that the string inverters offer better performance in the winter as opposed to central inverters

    which can be attributed to the fact that the solar park using string inverters has more MPPTs and hencea better MPPT window when compared to plants using central inverters.

    Conclusion

    Of the 50 plants for which performance data is available for at least one year, the annual Capacity Utilisation Factor (CUF) for 70% of the plants is above 18%. The top 3

    plants had CUFs of more than 21%. In case of Charanka Solar Park, most of the plants have an annual CUF of more than 18%.

    One very interesting insight that can be drawn from the performance ranking is that the right component selection is a necessary, but not sufcient condition for the optimalperformance of a plant. One inference that could be drawn is that a developer should pay equal attention to the selection of the balance of system components, ensure

    design optimisation and select the right EPC contractors who can ensure build quality and high plant uptimes. Another aspect that could have an impact on the plantCUFs is the Operation and Maintenance (O&M) of the plants. A plant that has a very good performance monitoring system (remote monitoring or local SCADA) and is well

    maintained will obviously lead to higher generation.

    In terms of PV module technology selection, the difference in plant performance of crystalline Silicon and Thin Film technologies has been found to be very minor. In order

    to draw any conclusion, we will have to wait for longer term performance of the plants and also get additional plant information like plant design, BOS components used,O&M pract ices, among others. The Central vs String Inverter debate is also inconclusive since we could compare the performance of only 2 plants, each using one of the inverter

    topologies (Central or string).

    To conclude, the plant performance data made available by the State of Gujarat has been providing some very valuable insights into the PV plant performance which willhelp increase the condence of the investor community on the technical aspects of the solar PV plant. I t also helps other states in the formulation and execution of theirpolicies and regulations.

    RESolve Energy Consultants would once again like to acknowledge the work done by

    Mr. Jigneshbhai Shah and M/s Movya Consultancy Pvt. Ltd, Ahmedabad, India, which have been used in this report.

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    OUTLOOK ON INDIAN SOLAR SECTOR

    After entering the 1 GW club in 2012, India is all set to join the countries with more than 2 GW capacity by

    the end of 2013. As of 31st July 2013, India had a total grid connected capacity of 1,839 MW (Source: MNRE).

    While the solar policy of Gujarat was the engine for the growth of the sector to reach the 1 GW stage, the

    JNNSM Phase I was inst rumental in reaching the 2 GW milestone. The JNNSM Phase II and the solar initia-

    tives by various states will drive the future growth of the sector.

    is expected to experience energy

    shortage of 6.7% and peak short-

    age of 2.3% for the year 2013-14

    The Solar Resource map which depicts

    the GHI data is given below.

    Policy and RegulatoryFramework

    In India, the growth of the solar sector

    is driven mainly by the policies at the

    central and the state government level.

    In addition to policies, regulations in the

    form of Renewable Purchase Obligation

    (RPO) also play a key role in the growth

    of the sector.

    Jawaharlal Nehru National SolarMission (JNNSM)

    The Ministry of New and Renewable

    Energy (MNRE)s flagship programme

    is the JNNSM. Since its launch in 2009,

    JNNSM has been the key driver of the

    growth of the Indian solar industr y. The

    mission stipulates insta llation targets of

    20 GW of grid-connected and 2 GW of

    offgrid solar power by 2022 (both PV and

    CSP) to be completed in three phases.

    Phase I - (2009-13) 1,000-2,000 MW

    Phase II - (2013-17) 4,000-10,000 MW

    Phase III - (2017-22) 20,000 MW

    Phase I

    In the f irst of its three phases, from 2010

    to 2013, the government incentivized

    the construction of 1,000 MW of grid-

    connected power plants. Both PV

    and CSP based solar installations are

    given equal precedence with 500 MW of

    capacity being allocated for each

    technology.

    The projects under Phase I fall into three

    categories

    Projects under migration scheme

    Projects allotted under the Rooftop

    PV & Small Solar power Generation

    Programme (RPSSGP)

    Projects allotted through NTPC

    Vidyut Vyapar Nigam (NVVN)

    For the first batch of projects allotted

    through the NVVN which commenced

    in late 2010, as many as 333 project

    developers had put forward bids worth

    1,815 MW for 150 MW of PV projects. As

    Solar Growth Drivers inIndia

    Even though the 2 GW capacity is min-

    iscule in the 100 GW installed capacity

    globally, India is considered a natural

    market for solar because

    i. India has one of the highest irradia-

    tion levels in the world

    ii. The peak power deficit in the country

    - according to the Central Electric-

    ity Authority (CEA), the country

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    the volume of developers interested in

    solar projects was much higher than an-

    ticipated, the government opted to go for

    a competitive reverse bidding process so

    that all developers were given an equal

    chance.

    Developers that offered the highest dis-

    count on the initial tariff of Rs. 17.91/kWhwould be given preference and allotted

    projects until the 150 MW of capacity

    (for solar PV) was filled. The competi-

    tive bidding process resulted in develop-

    ers placing highly competitive bids. The

    rates quoted by the winners were in the

    range Rs. 10.9 to 12.7/kWh for solar PV as a

    result of which tariffs fell by around 30%

    to an average of Rs. 11.8/kWh.

    Subsequently, the guidelines for Phase I

    Batch II of the solar PV allocations were

    announced in early Augus t 2011 with

    the bidding process coming to a close on

    3rd December 2011. The result of this

    round of bidding was even more star-

    tling than the first. The tariffs quoted

    in this round of bidding ranged between

    Rs. 7.49/kWh to Rs. 9.44/kWh. The

    bidding for Batch II clearly indicat-

    ed a sharp decline in the solar tariffs

    across the country. The lowest bid of

    Rs. 7.49/kWh by Solairedirect sent

    shockwaves across the indus-

    try. Though the industry expect-

    ed a drop in tariff, a fall of this

    magnitude was not foreseen. The aver-

    age tariff quoted fell by about 25% to

    Rs.8.88/kWh as developers and EPCs start-

    ed coming to grips with the nuances of the

    solar PV sector.

    A tota l of 1,152 MW were allotted by t he

    MNRE in the Phase I of JNNSM. The

    details are given below.

    Phase I ProjectsAllotted (MW)

    Batch I PV Proj-

    ects through

    NVVN

    150

    Batch I CSP

    Projects

    through NVVN

    470

    PV projects

    under Migration

    scheme

    54

    CSP Projects

    through Migra-

    tion scheme

    30

    RPSSGP (PV) 98.05

    Total 802.05

    Batch II

    PV Projects

    through NVVN

    350

    Grand Total 1152.05

    Of these allotted projects, a majority of

    the PV plants have been commissioned.

    But under CSP, only 52.5 MW capacity

    has been commissioned.

    Phase II

    The MNRE released the draft guidelines

    for the JNNSM Phase II. Some of the sa-

    lient features are as follows

    a. Target for Phase II (2012-17) 10 GW

    cumulative capacity addition in utility

    scale and 1 GW in off-grid. Of this, 4

    GW will be under the central scheme

    and 6 GW under the various state initia-

    tives. The 6 GW under the state initia-

    tives will be met by the enforcement of

    Renewable Purchase Obligations (RPO).

    The breakup between PV and CSP for

    the states is as follows.

    Proposed share of Solar PV & Solar thermal

    and Central/State during Phase II

    Technology Ratio Central

    Schemes

    State

    Schemes

    Solar PV 70% 40% 60%

    Solar

    Thermal

    30% 40% 60%

    (Source: MNRE)

    Proposed share of target capacity mix

    Technology Capacity

    (MW)

    Central

    Schemes

    (MW)

    State

    Schemes

    (MW)

    Solar PV 6300 2520 3780

    Solar

    Thermal

    2700 1080 1620

    Total 9000 3600 5400

    (Source: MNRE)

    b. Financing Implementation of Phase

    II will have to rely upon a combination of

    various schemes like Generation Based

    Timeline for achieving the targets (in MW) under the central scheme

    2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015- 16 2016-17 Total

    Rooftop & Small

    Solar

    PV 100 100 200

    Bundling

    PV 800 800

    VGF

    PV 750 770 1520

    Thermal 1080 1080

    Total PV 1650 870 2520

    Total Thermal 1080 1080

    Grand Total 3600

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    Incentive (GBI), Viability Gap Funding

    (VGF) and Bundling schemes.

    i. Bundling The target under

    bundling will be finalised based on

    deliberations with Minis try of Power

    (MoP), but it is unlikely to be signifi-

    cant due to t he limited availability of

    conventional power from unallocatedcentral quota.

    ii. GBI Total target will be 60 MW.

    Only states that did not get allot-

    ment under the first phase of the

    GBI scheme will be eligible for this

    scheme. GBI assistance from the

    MNRE will be about Rs. 2-3/kWh.

    iii. VGF This will be the most preva-

    lent mechanism under Phase II. Un-

    der this option, bidders would bid for

    viability gap funding requirement inRs/MW and the bidder with mini-

    mum VGF requirement would be se-

    lected.

    c. Rooftop installations Target of 1 GW

    through both grid-connected and off-

    grid rooftop systems.

    d. Domestic content requirement

    Several options are explored, but a final

    decision has not been made yet.

    f. Off-grid systems - The upper limit foroff-grid systems eligible for subsidy has

    been increased to 500 kWp.

    Phase II allocation under Viability

    Gap Funding (VGF)

    With the unallocated electricity quota

    under Phase I of JNNSM no longer avail-

    able and the fact that NVVN (NTPC) is

    no longer the procurer of solar electric-

    ity under the JNNSM, MNRE has estab-

    lished the Solar Energy Corporation of

    India (SECI) for handling the power pro-

    curement from the second phase of the

    JNNSM.

    In this scenario however, SECIs role

    would be limited to providing an upfront

    subsidy known as Viability Gap Funding

    (VGF) which is basically a part payment

    made by SECI to the project developer

    in order to make the project viable. In

    this scenario, the developer opting for

    the lowest amount of funding to bridge

    the gap would be chosen first and so on.

    This is a new form of reverse bidding

    wherein the developer would no longer

    quote the electricity tariff but the quan-

    tum of money required to make the proj-

    ect viable. In view of this, MNRE has

    released the draft guidelines for the firs t

    phase of second batch under JNNSM for

    setting up of 750 MW of solar capacity.Some of the information presented in

    the draft document is highlighted below.

    Total capacity 750 MW

    - Min capacity 10 MW

    - Max capacity 50 MW

    - All projects to be allocated in

    multiples of 10 MW

    - Max allocation per bidder or com-

    pany 100 MW

    Tariff The tariff would be fixed

    at R s.5. 45/kWh for 25 years or

    Rs.4.95/kWh (with AD benefit)

    Upper limit of VGF 30% of project

    cost or Rs. 2.5 Crores/MW whichever

    is lower

    Equity contribution At least

    Rs. 1.5 Crores/MW

    Timeline for VGF disbursal

    - 25% at time of delivery of at least

    50% of major equipment (modules,

    inverters, mounting structures,

    switchgear and transformer) on site

    - 50% after full commissioning

    - 25% after one year of successful

    operation

    Domestic content requirement it

    has only been stated that 75% per-

    centage of the solar capacity would

    be reserved for projects with do-

    mestic content while the rest of the

    projects would be free to procure

    components from any country. DCR

    would mean that both the solar cells

    and modules would have to be man-

    ufactured in India.

    Financial closure within 180 days

    of signing PPA

    Payment security SECI would set

    up a payment security corpus from

    the encashment of bank guarantees,

    interest earned on this fund, incen-

    tives for early payment, the extra

    money coming from 10% lower tar-

    iff to developers claiming AD and

    grants from Government/National

    Clean Energy Fund (NCEF). This fundwould cover three months of pay-

    ment to the project developer.

    State Policy Scenario

    As per the JNNSM Phase II guidelines,

    60% of the targeted capacity will be

    through state policies. Each state has

    to meet its own Renewable Purchase

    Obligations (RPO) leading them to come

    up with solar initiatives.

    Two states had been pioneers in announcingand implementing their respective state

    policies - Gujarat and Karnataka. Of these,

    the Gujarat state policy is the one that is

    both aggressive and ambitious, with Gujarat

    looking to add close to 1 GW of solar PV

    in the coming years. On the other hand,

    even though Karnataka had announced its

    policy and also completed the first round

    of allocations, projects are yet to be com-

    missioned. In addition to these two states,

    several other states have announced solar

    policies that are either in draft stages orunder advanced stages of implementa-

    tion including Madhya Pradesh, Tamil

    Nadu, Uttar Pradesh, Punjab and AndhraPradesh.

    Gujarat State Policy

    The state of Gujarat was the first Indi-

    an state to launch its own solar policy

    in 2009, showing significant foresight

    with regards to the promise that solar

    holds for the future of energy generation

    in the country. The current policy is op-

    erative until 2014. The initial target wasto achieve an installed capacity of 500

    MW. However, given the interest from

    a large number of developers and a like-

    lihood that a significant number of the

    initial projects might not materialize, the

    government allocated projects totalling

    968.5 MW capacity.

    As of 31st July 2013, Gujarat had a solar

    installed capacity of 857 MW and con-

    tributed to almost half of all the insta lla-

    tions in the country.

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    The Gujarat Solar Policy is the only policy

    in the country, which has awarded projects

    with a fixed FiT, on a first-come first-

    serve basis. In view of this and the fact

    that there werent too many restrictions

    imposed on developers, the amount of

    interested parties who were allotted

    projects was significant. This laid the

    foundation for the meteoric rise of Gujaratas a hub for solar projects in the country.

    The tariff structure has been de-

    signed so that higher rates are offered

    during the first 12 years of the proj-

    ect, with lower rates from the 13th

    year onwards. This has a positive in-

    fluence on cash flows as debt repay-

    ment usually occurs within the first

    12 years of operation of the powerplant which helps alleviate some of

    the concerns that developers have

    with regards to debt repayment con-

    sidering the fact that solar was much

    more capital intensive compared to

    competing technologies.

    Other State Policies

    Following the success of the prevalent statepolicies, numerous other states followed

    suit, driven both by the need to bridge the

    demand-supply gap in power generation as

    well as the mandate to fulfil their Renew-

    able Purchase Obligation. A brief summary

    of these state policies is provided below.

    State Status of solar in state

    Gujarat Announced - 968.5 MW,

    Commissioned - 857 MW

    Maharashtra Announced - 205 MW,

    Commissioned - 40 MW(Setup in Rajasthan),

    (In addition, 125 MW com-

    missioned by Mahagenco)

    Kar nat aka Commis sion ed - 8 MW,

    Plans for 600 MW; Bids

    invited - 80 MW in Round 1

    and 130 MW in Round 2

    Raja sthan Announced 200 MW, Fi rs t

    round of allocation of

    75 MW complete

    Odisha Awarded - 25 MW,

    Announced - 50 MW

    Madhya

    Pradesh

    Awarded - 200 MW,

    130 MW expected to be

    commissioned by

    September 2013.

    Tami l Nadu Announced - 3000 MW

    (by 2015), first round of

    bidding for 1000 MW was

    done in January 2013. LOIs

    issued for 690 MW

    Andhra

    Pradesh

    Announced - 1000 MW,

    Bidding process complete.

    LOI issued.

    Kerala Announced 500 MW (by

    2017)

    Bihar Announced 150 MW

    Punjab Announced - 1000 MW (by

    2022) - Bids invited

    300 MW in 2013 and 251 MW

    of projects allotted

    Uttar Pradesh Announced - 500 MW

    target by 2017. 250 MW of

    projects allotted

    (Source: MNRE and other state policy

    documents)

    Geographical Distribution

    The nations flagship solar policy, the

    Jawaharlal Nehru National Solar Mission

    (JNNSM), and the policy of the state of

    Gujarat which was implemented in two

    phases have been instrumental in kick-

    starting the sector. About 1 GW of proj-

    ects were allotted under each of these

    two policies. Interestingly, a majority ofsolar projects under the JNNSM came up

    in the state of Rajasthan due to the high

    irradiation and availability of inexpen-

    sive arid land.

    Naturally, a vast m