Paddy Power Italy - KNIME · Paddy Power, who we are 3 Founded in 1988 in Dublin Merge of 3 Irish...

22
1 Paddy Power at the KNIME UGM Bet Responsibly. On your CRM too Walter Bonifazi - Berlin, 25 February 2015

Transcript of Paddy Power Italy - KNIME · Paddy Power, who we are 3 Founded in 1988 in Dublin Merge of 3 Irish...

Page 1: Paddy Power Italy - KNIME · Paddy Power, who we are 3 Founded in 1988 in Dublin Merge of 3 Irish bookmakers More than 4,000 employees 2013 Net Revenues: €745M The Beginning Now

1

Paddy Power at the KNIME UGM

Bet Responsibly. On your CRM too

Walter Bonifazi - Berlin, 25 February 2015

Page 2: Paddy Power Italy - KNIME · Paddy Power, who we are 3 Founded in 1988 in Dublin Merge of 3 Irish bookmakers More than 4,000 employees 2013 Net Revenues: €745M The Beginning Now

Paddy Power

Agenda 2

KNIME in Paddy Power Italia

Use case: Bet Responsibly. On you CRM too

Page 3: Paddy Power Italy - KNIME · Paddy Power, who we are 3 Founded in 1988 in Dublin Merge of 3 Irish bookmakers More than 4,000 employees 2013 Net Revenues: €745M The Beginning Now

Paddy Power, who we are 3

Founded in 1988 in Dublin

Merge of 3 Irish bookmakers

More than 4,000 employees

2013 Net Revenues: €745M

The Beginning Now

Page 4: Paddy Power Italy - KNIME · Paddy Power, who we are 3 Founded in 1988 in Dublin Merge of 3 Irish bookmakers More than 4,000 employees 2013 Net Revenues: €745M The Beginning Now

Paddy Power: International 4

Page 5: Paddy Power Italy - KNIME · Paddy Power, who we are 3 Founded in 1988 in Dublin Merge of 3 Irish bookmakers More than 4,000 employees 2013 Net Revenues: €745M The Beginning Now

Paddy Power: Innovative 5

Page 6: Paddy Power Italy - KNIME · Paddy Power, who we are 3 Founded in 1988 in Dublin Merge of 3 Irish bookmakers More than 4,000 employees 2013 Net Revenues: €745M The Beginning Now

Paddy Power: Mischief 6

Page 7: Paddy Power Italy - KNIME · Paddy Power, who we are 3 Founded in 1988 in Dublin Merge of 3 Irish bookmakers More than 4,000 employees 2013 Net Revenues: €745M The Beginning Now

Paddy Power: Strong performance 7

Page 8: Paddy Power Italy - KNIME · Paddy Power, who we are 3 Founded in 1988 in Dublin Merge of 3 Irish bookmakers More than 4,000 employees 2013 Net Revenues: €745M The Beginning Now

Paddy Power: Data driven 8

I think that…Data say…

Page 9: Paddy Power Italy - KNIME · Paddy Power, who we are 3 Founded in 1988 in Dublin Merge of 3 Irish bookmakers More than 4,000 employees 2013 Net Revenues: €745M The Beginning Now

Paddy Power Italia – Sports Betting

May 2012 – Website launched in Italy: only sports betting

9

Page 10: Paddy Power Italy - KNIME · Paddy Power, who we are 3 Founded in 1988 in Dublin Merge of 3 Irish bookmakers More than 4,000 employees 2013 Net Revenues: €745M The Beginning Now

Paddy Power Italia - Casino

December 2012 – Casino

10

Page 11: Paddy Power Italy - KNIME · Paddy Power, who we are 3 Founded in 1988 in Dublin Merge of 3 Irish bookmakers More than 4,000 employees 2013 Net Revenues: €745M The Beginning Now

Paddy Power Italia - Poker

June 2014 – Poker

11

Page 12: Paddy Power Italy - KNIME · Paddy Power, who we are 3 Founded in 1988 in Dublin Merge of 3 Irish bookmakers More than 4,000 employees 2013 Net Revenues: €745M The Beginning Now

Paddy Power Italia - Bingo

November 2014 – Bingo

12

Page 13: Paddy Power Italy - KNIME · Paddy Power, who we are 3 Founded in 1988 in Dublin Merge of 3 Irish bookmakers More than 4,000 employees 2013 Net Revenues: €745M The Beginning Now

Paddy Power

Agenda 13

KNIME in Paddy Power Italia

Use case: Bet Responsibly. On you CRM too

Page 14: Paddy Power Italy - KNIME · Paddy Power, who we are 3 Founded in 1988 in Dublin Merge of 3 Irish bookmakers More than 4,000 employees 2013 Net Revenues: €745M The Beginning Now

KNIME applications in Paddy Power Italia

KNIME is our main data analytics platformComplex operations are managed automatically and efficientlywith KNIME

• CRM automation• «Real time» data management• Models and algorithms

(segmentations, campaigns)• Complex analysis• Reports• Weapon to innovate (fancy

Marketing ideas)

14

Page 15: Paddy Power Italy - KNIME · Paddy Power, who we are 3 Founded in 1988 in Dublin Merge of 3 Irish bookmakers More than 4,000 employees 2013 Net Revenues: €745M The Beginning Now

KNIME users Paddy Power Italia

• Insights Team• CRM Teams• Operations Teams

KNIME Analytics Platform

15

KNIME Server• Insights Team• Business Intelligence Team

KNIME Web Portal• Management• Marketing Managers• Online Marketing Team

Page 16: Paddy Power Italy - KNIME · Paddy Power, who we are 3 Founded in 1988 in Dublin Merge of 3 Irish bookmakers More than 4,000 employees 2013 Net Revenues: €745M The Beginning Now

Paddy Power

Agenda 16

KNIME in Paddy Power Italia

Use case: Bet Responsibly. On you CRM too

Page 17: Paddy Power Italy - KNIME · Paddy Power, who we are 3 Founded in 1988 in Dublin Merge of 3 Irish bookmakers More than 4,000 employees 2013 Net Revenues: €745M The Beginning Now

Bet Responsibly. On you CRM too 17

• Look for the CRM campaign data (.xls file)

• Analyze the campaign• Give the results

• Manual work• Few campaigns analysed• Need to wait some days

Before: ROI analysis

• Save each CRM campaign with a simple form

• Just look at the automateddashboard

• All automated• All the campaigns in the

dashboard• Data updated every day

Now: ROI Dashboard

Page 18: Paddy Power Italy - KNIME · Paddy Power, who we are 3 Founded in 1988 in Dublin Merge of 3 Irish bookmakers More than 4,000 employees 2013 Net Revenues: €745M The Beginning Now

18

CRM

ROI engineCRM

Business

The ROI dashboard – the engine

• Load

• Input

• Input

• Output

• Iteration

Page 19: Paddy Power Italy - KNIME · Paddy Power, who we are 3 Founded in 1988 in Dublin Merge of 3 Irish bookmakers More than 4,000 employees 2013 Net Revenues: €745M The Beginning Now

The ROI dashboard – the flow 19

• CRM Data: Campaign lists with Control Group

• Business Data: Customer activityRead Data

ROI machine• Outlier detection• Uplift calculation• Reliability Index

Dashboard • Data Mart

Page 20: Paddy Power Italy - KNIME · Paddy Power, who we are 3 Founded in 1988 in Dublin Merge of 3 Irish bookmakers More than 4,000 employees 2013 Net Revenues: €745M The Beginning Now

20Outlier detection with KNIME

When your data are too big?

• Objective: Identify outliers (with no assumption on

distribution)

• Solution: Identify a threshold based on the values of the

overall population

• Technique: Box-Whiskers statistics

o Smoothing of the values if too much over-spread

Logarithmic transformation

o Threshold based on the upper projection the inter-

quartile interval

If the value is over the threshold -> The value is

an outlier

Page 21: Paddy Power Italy - KNIME · Paddy Power, who we are 3 Founded in 1988 in Dublin Merge of 3 Irish bookmakers More than 4,000 employees 2013 Net Revenues: €745M The Beginning Now

21ROI reliability index with KNIME

• Objective: Identify if the ROI is reliable

• Solution: Simulation of a ROI distribution in order to analyse his dispersion

• Technique: Boostrap re-sampling

o Repeated simulation of Target and Control Group of given size

o ROI calculation for each simulation

o Standard deviation of ROI distribution

If the distribution is normally spread -> ROI is reliable

If the distribution is over-spread -> ROI is not reliable

How consistent is your ROI?

Page 22: Paddy Power Italy - KNIME · Paddy Power, who we are 3 Founded in 1988 in Dublin Merge of 3 Irish bookmakers More than 4,000 employees 2013 Net Revenues: €745M The Beginning Now

The ROI Dashboard – Output 22

How does the ROI Dashboard look like

Future: The ROI Dashboard in the KNIME Server web portal!