P ARTIES AND ELECTIONS J ĀNIS I KSTENS. Audit of Democracy 2005-2014 How democratic is Latvia?...

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PARTIES AND ELECTIONS JĀNIS IKSTENS

Transcript of P ARTIES AND ELECTIONS J ĀNIS I KSTENS. Audit of Democracy 2005-2014 How democratic is Latvia?...

Page 1: P ARTIES AND ELECTIONS J ĀNIS I KSTENS. Audit of Democracy 2005-2014 How democratic is Latvia? Political parties – ever more inclusive?

PARTIES AND ELECTIONSJĀNIS IKSTENS

Page 2: P ARTIES AND ELECTIONS J ĀNIS I KSTENS. Audit of Democracy 2005-2014 How democratic is Latvia? Political parties – ever more inclusive?

Audit of Democracy 2005-2014

How democratic is Latvia?

Political parties – ever more inclusive?

Page 3: P ARTIES AND ELECTIONS J ĀNIS I KSTENS. Audit of Democracy 2005-2014 How democratic is Latvia? Political parties – ever more inclusive?

Audit of Democracy 2005-2014

How democratic is Latvia?

• Growing party penetration since 2007– Number of parties doubled– Number of party members grew by 70%– Low formal hurdles– Numerous local (!) parties

Page 4: P ARTIES AND ELECTIONS J ĀNIS I KSTENS. Audit of Democracy 2005-2014 How democratic is Latvia? Political parties – ever more inclusive?

Audit of Democracy 2005-2014

How democratic is Latvia?

• Growing regulation and enforcement– Registry of party members– Minimum structure of decision making– Party/campaign finance restrictions

Page 5: P ARTIES AND ELECTIONS J ĀNIS I KSTENS. Audit of Democracy 2005-2014 How democratic is Latvia? Political parties – ever more inclusive?

Audit of Democracy 2005-2014

How democratic is Latvia?

• High salience of election campaigns• Party finance– Private donations– Insignificant membership fees– Direct state funding since 2012

5.2

0.49

0.63

DonationsMembership feesState subsidy

Page 6: P ARTIES AND ELECTIONS J ĀNIS I KSTENS. Audit of Democracy 2005-2014 How democratic is Latvia? Political parties – ever more inclusive?

Audit of Democracy 2005-2014

How democratic is Latvia?

• Internal party democracy– Leader-centered war machines in hostile

circumstances

Page 7: P ARTIES AND ELECTIONS J ĀNIS I KSTENS. Audit of Democracy 2005-2014 How democratic is Latvia? Political parties – ever more inclusive?

Audit of Democracy 2005-2014

How democratic is Latvia?

• Low public trust in political parties– Government efficiency– Corruption – Issues of representation

• Main issue – limitation of undue (external) influence

Page 8: P ARTIES AND ELECTIONS J ĀNIS I KSTENS. Audit of Democracy 2005-2014 How democratic is Latvia? Political parties – ever more inclusive?

Audit of Democracy 2005-2014

How democratic is Latvia?

Elections – accountability at work?

Page 9: P ARTIES AND ELECTIONS J ĀNIS I KSTENS. Audit of Democracy 2005-2014 How democratic is Latvia? Political parties – ever more inclusive?

Audit of Democracy 2005-2014

How democratic is Latvia?

• Decrease in voter turnout– Low trust in political efficacy– Socio-economic factors– Peculiarities of statistics

1993. 1995. 1998. 2002. 2006. 2010. 2011. 2014.0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

89.9

71.9 71.9 71.5

61 63.159.4 58.8

Page 10: P ARTIES AND ELECTIONS J ĀNIS I KSTENS. Audit of Democracy 2005-2014 How democratic is Latvia? Political parties – ever more inclusive?

Audit of Democracy 2005-2014

How democratic is Latvia?

• Above-average voter volatility– Dissatisfaction with social/economic

development– Low entrace thresholds for newcomers– Party finance and low institutionalization of

parties

Page 11: P ARTIES AND ELECTIONS J ĀNIS I KSTENS. Audit of Democracy 2005-2014 How democratic is Latvia? Political parties – ever more inclusive?

Audit of Democracy 2005-2014

How democratic is Latvia?

• Growing use of preference votes– Political sophistication– Age – Ethnic minorities

2002. 2006. 2010. 2011. 2014.55

56

57

58

59

60

61

62

63

64

65

58.6

60.3

63.6

58

62.4

Page 12: P ARTIES AND ELECTIONS J ĀNIS I KSTENS. Audit of Democracy 2005-2014 How democratic is Latvia? Political parties – ever more inclusive?

Audit of Democracy 2005-2014

How democratic is Latvia?

• Elections results accepted domestically and internationally– Wider participation opportunities– Good administration of elections– Measures against electoral fraud– Election observation (domestic/international)

Page 13: P ARTIES AND ELECTIONS J ĀNIS I KSTENS. Audit of Democracy 2005-2014 How democratic is Latvia? Political parties – ever more inclusive?

Audit of Democracy 2005-2014

How democratic is Latvia?

• Avenues for further exploration– i-voting– Citizen associations eligible to field candidates– Wider access of candidates to media– Restrictions on KGB officers– NGOs and campaigning

• Main issue – falling turnout

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Audit of Democracy 2005-2014

How democratic is Latvia?

Thank you!