OWT Presentation FINAL

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    AABSTRACTBSTRACT

    Key points of article Reaping the benefits

    Application of course theory to policy document

    Conclusion

    Discussion

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    WWHATHAT AARERE TTHEHE IISSUESSSUES??

    Food scarcity and poverty

    Accessibility and un-even distribution

    Population has grown disproportionably to world foodproduction

    Sustainable food production: context of science, social

    and economic and the environment

    Increase land usage vs. intensification

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    WWHATHATSS A SA SUSTAINABLEUSTAINABLE

    SSYSTEMYSTEM?? The crops used must provide a high yield

    Avoid unnecessary inputs

    They must utilise human capital well

    Negative environmental impacts must be minimised ormanaged

    Must use agro ecological processes

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    AAGRICULTUREGRICULTURE & E& ECONOMICSCONOMICS

    World Agriculture makes up:

    29% of Global GDP

    65% of workforce

    Multifunctionality Required.

    Social

    Economic

    Political

    Incremental better than radical- Unique.

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    PPREVIOUSREVIOUS & F& FUTUREUTURE RREPORTSEPORTS

    Differences in analysis, recommendations and

    Different emphasis in the areas of:

    Science

    Technology

    Markets

    Trade

    Social & Political

    2008World Bank Report.

    Overall aim of this report is to provide evidence base for UK GovernmentsForesight Group report (completed in 2010).

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    CROP NUTRIENTS,CROP NUTRIENTS,

    PESTS AND DISEASESPESTS AND DISEASES Nitrogen Phosphorus and Potassium are crucial

    determinants of global sustainable crops.

    Nitrogen fertiliser application increases the economic

    and energy costs of agriculture

    Agriculture amounts for the majority N20 emissions in

    the UK

    Crop genetic diversity has declined in recent decades.

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    FOOD CROP PRODUCTIONFOOD CROP PRODUCTION

    Potential to raise food crop production in sustainable

    way.

    Has been successful with certain crops already.

    Popular in; USA, Brazil, India, Argentina, Canada.

    Not popular in; Europe, Africa.

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    RESEARCH, DEVELOPMENTSRESEARCH, DEVELOPMENTS

    AND POTENTIAL BENEFITSAND POTENTIAL BENEFITS

    Improving research leads to better knowledge of food crop

    allowing:

    Better understanding of crops cells (imaging) allows better

    crop management and agricultural environment.

    Changing the genetics of the crop and modifying of certain

    traits.

    Applications of research Improve yield potential

    Reduce effects of abiotic stress and Biotic stress

    Mineral nutrition of crops

    Nutritional quality

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    NNATURALATURAL EENVIRONMENTNVIRONMENT

    The Natural Environment of externalities

    4 key factors

    Negative Externalities

    Ecosystem Services

    Agriculture effects

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    BIODIVERSITYBIODIVERSITY

    Biodiversity in agricultural systems

    Intensification Problems

    Reasons for increased impact

    Gene flow

    Possible environmental impacts

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    SSOCIALOCIAL IIMPACTSMPACTS

    HumanHealth

    Crop Modifications e.g. plant produced insulin

    Social & Economic systems

    Consideration needed e.g. African farms

    Rich/poor divide

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    TTECHNOLOGICALECHNOLOGICAL IIMPACTSMPACTS

    Extension & Technology transfer

    Extension service decline Public -> Private

    Knowledge exchange

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    Innovation towardsInnovation towards

    sustainable intensificationsustainable intensification Aim for sustainable intensification is needed

    Under 6% cultivated area 300 years ago

    About 32% cultivated area today (klein, 2001)

    Over half of the agriculturally usable land has been

    converted into land for growing crops (Green et al,2005)

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    Global food insecurityGlobal food insecurity

    Countries must maintain and build their capacity to

    innovate. Science and, in particular, the biology of

    crop plants and their management, is a necessary partof addressing this challenge

    Technology and biological sciences are vital !

    Nevertheless !!

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    Global food insecuritiesGlobal food insecurities

    However, not enough contribution from universities !

    Recommendation

    Expertise within the private, charity and public sectors

    must work together

    And good communication between farmers andindustries is essential to achieve sustainable

    intensification.

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    Application of Course Theory to theApplication of Course Theory to the

    Policy documentPolicy document

    J. Diamond- Societal Collapse

    Policy Making (Stead & Stead)

    Further Policy Implications

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    Societal CollapseSocietal Collapse --

    insufficient food supplyinsufficient food supplyJ. Diamond (2004) talks about many different collapses of societal infrastructure - can

    apply this to the downfall of food supply

    Climate Change

    Hostile Neighbours

    Trade Partners

    Environmental Problems

    Societies Response to Environmental Problems

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    Responses toResponses to

    Environmental IssuesEnvironmental Issues Policy making based on:

    - Stead & Stead (1992)

    - Management for Sustainability

    - Strategic Choice Theory

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    Further Policy ImplicationsFurther Policy Implications

    Transparency of GM foods

    Further conflicts- e.g. ethical

    Further policy needs

    Karp & Gaulding (1995)- 3 approaches

    Command & Control approach

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    Speak Truth to PowerSpeak Truth to Power -- PolicyPolicy

    enforcementenforcement

    The policy report builds its scientific evidence to present a case

    for policy development

    The policy choice is the introduction of intensive agriculturalsystems

    Need to look at relative scientific supporting evidence toeliminate doubt and uncertainty

    Power

    (values)

    Knowledge Closure Policy Choice

    Truth

    Science

    (facts)

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    Overcoming UncertaintyOvercoming Uncertainty

    Ignorance

    Uncertainty

    Risk

    Decision Making

    Policy Making and Implementation

    Stuck in

    uncertain stage

    - insufficient

    scientific

    knowledge

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    Crop ProductionCrop Production -- aa

    complex system?complex system?Increased Population

    Increased demand for food

    Increased Production

    Further Environmental Damage

    Climate Change = inhospitable conditions for crop production

    uneven distribution

    environmental debates

    methods of production - debate

    insufficient supply

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    Crop ProductionCrop Production -- aa

    complex system?complex system?More resources used

    Environmental damageInhospitable

    environment for crop

    production

    Greater demand for crops

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    IntensificationIntensification -- break thebreak the

    cyclecycleIncreased Population

    Increased demand for food

    Intensified Crop Production

    Increased Yield

    Environmental Recovery

    scientific interference

    poverty alleviation

    policy implementation

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    Further thoughtsFurther thoughts

    Relation between policy document and Howards

    deadly thoughts

    I=PxAxT ( Barry Commoner, Paul R.

    Ehrlich and John Holdren)

    Reinforcing Management for Sustainability

    Corporate Responsibility and Leadership

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    Contradictions in theoryContradictions in theory

    Technology: cause or cure

    Food intensification vs limits

    Individual vs Collective Interests

    Humility vs Arrogance

    Democracy vs Decision Making

    Dovers & Handmer (1993)

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    Group ViewpointGroup Viewpoint

    Policy document was pro GM foods

    Served Royal Societys interests

    GM foods: future option or necessity?

    Local response over global?

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    ReferencesReferences

    Stead, J., G. and Stead,W., E. (2009)Management for a Small Planet, Greenleafpublishing

    Diamond, J., (2004) Collapse, Viking

    Dovers, S. R. &Handmar, J.W. (1993) Contradictions in Sustainability, EnvironmentalConservation 20(3) 217 - 222

    McNeel, J. R., (2004) Something New Under The Sun, Penguin

    Karp, D. & Gaulding, C. L. (1995) Motivational Underpinning of Command &Control,Human Relations, New York 48(5) p. 439

    Schmidheiny, S. (1992)Changing Course: Global Business Perspectives on Developmentand the Environment,MITPress

    Kahn,H. (1979)World Economic Development: 1979 and Beyond, Taylor & Francis