Opportunities in the Oil Field John Roby December 9, 2008.
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Transcript of Opportunities in the Oil Field John Roby December 9, 2008.
Opportunities in the Opportunities in the Oil FieldOil Field
John RobyJohn Roby
December 9, 2008December 9, 2008
OverviewOverview
Personnel BackgroundPersonnel Background
Occidental Petroleum Occidental Petroleum
Fall of the Oil Price – What now?Fall of the Oil Price – What now?
Outlook for Young ProfessionalsOutlook for Young Professionals
Career InsightCareer Insight
QuestionsQuestions
Personnel BackgroundPersonnel Background
Graduate from the University of Texas at Graduate from the University of Texas at AustinAustin– Graduated spring 2006Graduated spring 2006– Mechanical Engineer by degreeMechanical Engineer by degree
Career DevelopmentCareer Development11stst year year– Participated in Oxy’s Engineering Training ProgramParticipated in Oxy’s Engineering Training Program
3 month rotations in drilling, production, reservoir and 3 month rotations in drilling, production, reservoir and facilities engineeringfacilities engineeringIntroduction to upstream engineering disciplinesIntroduction to upstream engineering disciplinesField timeField time
22ndnd year+ year+– Completions engineerCompletions engineer
Hydraulic fracture stimulationsHydraulic fracture stimulationsSand control designSand control design
– Production engineerProduction engineerBase production managementBase production management
– WorkoversWorkovers
Primary recovery and secondary recoveryPrimary recovery and secondary recoveryVoidage and subsidenceVoidage and subsidence
Occidental Petroleum Corporation
Occidental Oil & Gas Occidental Chemical
• A world leader in oil & gas production • A major North American chemical manufacturer
8,000 Employees (3500 Oil & Gas)$15+ billion revenue (2005)$26+ billion in assets (12/31/05)
WHAT IS OXY? WHAT IS OXY?
91%
9%
Oil & Gas Chemicals
2005 Earnings Contribution
12 14 17 24 25 27 3045
112136
251
387
KMG AHC EOG APA APC DVN MRO OXY COP CVX BP XOM
HOW BIG IS OXY?HOW BIG IS OXY?
Market Capitalization 5/1/06 ($b)
L.A. Basin
Salt LakeSan VicenteBeverly Hills
Sawtelle
Cheviot Hills
Los Angeles
Las Cienegas
Inglewood
Playa Del ReyPotrero
El SegundoRosecrans
Dominguez
Bandini
Montebello
Santa Fe Springs
WhittierSansinena
Brea Olinda
Yorba Linda
Kraemer
Coyote
RichfieldTorrance Long Beach
Seal Beach
Belmont Offshore
Huntington BeachNewportWilmington Oil Field
0 4 8 12
Pacific
Ocean
Scale in Miles
NN
California
Long Beach Unit
LA BASIN OIL FIELDSLA BASIN OIL FIELDS
L.A. Basin
Salt LakeSan VicenteBeverly Hills
Sawtelle
Cheviot Hills
Los Angeles
Las Cienegas
Inglewood
Playa Del ReyPotrero
El SegundoRosecrans
Dominguez
Bandini
Montebello
Santa Fe Springs
WhittierSansinena
Brea Olinda
Yorba Linda
Kraemer
Coyote
RichfieldTorrance Long Beach
Seal Beach
Belmont Offshore
Huntington BeachNewportWilmington Oil Field
0 4 8 12
Pacific
Ocean
Scale in Miles
NN
California
Long Beach Unit
LA BASIN OIL FIELDSLA BASIN OIL FIELDSOIL FIELD LOCATION
CUMULATIVE PRODUCTION
EST. REMAINING RESERVES
EST. RECOV. RESOURCES OXY
1 Prudhoe Bay Alaska 9.7 3.3 13
2 East Texas Texas 5.3 < 0.1 5.4
3 Wilmington California 2.5 0.3 2.8 THUMS
4 Midway-Sunset California 2.4 0.3 2.7
5 Kuparuk River Alaska 1.6 1 2.6
6 Wasson Texas 2 0.1 2.1 Permian
7 Kern River California 1.7 0.4 2.1
8 Yates Texas 1.4 0.6 2
9 Panhandle Texas 1.5 <0.1 1.5
10 Elk Hills California 1.1 0.3 1.4 Elk Hills
(billion bbls)
Top 10 oil fields in the US (based on recoverable volume)
THUMSTHUMSWorld Class Drilling
The Price RiseThe Price Rise
Contributing FactorsContributing Factors– Strong demand growth 2004 + Strong demand growth 2004 + – Non-OPEC resource Non-OPEC resource
access/growthaccess/growth– OPEC behaviour post 1999OPEC behaviour post 1999– Deference to efficiency Deference to efficiency
opportunitiesopportunities– Low spare capacityLow spare capacity– GeopoliticsGeopolitics– Falling value of US DollarFalling value of US Dollar– Energy as a financial Energy as a financial
commoditycommodityBP Statistical Review of World Energy June 2007
The FallThe Fall
Why the fallWhy the fall– Price adjustingPrice adjusting– Slowing economySlowing economy
Less demandLess demand
– Increase value of the Increase value of the US DollarUS Dollar
– Divisions between Divisions between OPEC membersOPEC members
– Energy as financial Energy as financial commoditycommodity
Forecasting future Forecasting future demanddemand
US Oil Price
30405060708090
100110120130140150
Oct 05,2007
Nov 24,2007
Jan 13,2008
Mar 03,2008
Apr 22,2008
Jun 11,2008
Jul 31,2008
Sep 19,2008
Nov 08,2008
$/B
BL
US Oil Price
Energy Information Administration
The Future of Oil PriceThe Future of Oil Price
Current WTI price – $44.61Current WTI price – $44.61– temporary phasetemporary phase
Price will reboundPrice will rebound– Barclays Survey estimates oil Barclays Survey estimates oil
will average between $75 to will average between $75 to $100/bbl range over next 5 $100/bbl range over next 5 yearsyears
Demand will increaseDemand will increase– Increase in Asian Increase in Asian
developmentdevelopment– World economy will reboundWorld economy will rebound
……Opportunities will continue to Opportunities will continue to grow for young engineersgrow for young engineers
A Barrel of Crude Oil A Barrel of Crude Oil Provides:Provides:
Gasoline - 19.5 gallonsGasoline - 19.5 gallons
Fuel Oil - 9.2 gallonsFuel Oil - 9.2 gallons
Jet Fuel - 4.1 gallonsJet Fuel - 4.1 gallons
Asphalt - 2.3 gallonsAsphalt - 2.3 gallons
Kerosene - 0.2 gallonsKerosene - 0.2 gallons
Lubricants - 0.5 gallonsLubricants - 0.5 gallons
Petrochemicals,Petrochemicals,other products - 6.2 gallonsother products - 6.2 gallons
One Barrel =One Barrel =42 gallons42 gallons
American American Petroleum Petroleum
Institute, 1999Institute, 1999
Setting The Stage : Oil Setting The Stage : Oil Supply RequirementsSupply Requirements
Existing FieldProduction
IEA & NPC
• Exploration 38%• Reserves Growth 38%• EOR 18%• Unconventional 6%
100 MMBD
We Need More Trained People, Improved Efficiency, and Better Technology
Our industry challenge…U.S. Our industry challenge…U.S. human resourceshuman resources
% O
F U
.S.
WO
RK
FO
RC
E
AGE DISTRIBUTION
Source: U.S. Dept of Labor
0
5
10
15
20
25
20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70
OVER HALF OF THE WORKFORCE ELIGIBLE TO RETIRE IN NEXT 10 YEARS
AGE
“Facing The Hard Truths About Energy”A Comprehensive View To 2030 Of Global Oil And Natural Gas, National Petroleum Council Study
Bottom line: You are well positioned
Imbalances at Regional levelImbalances at Regional level
Major excess
Major deficit
Source: SBC analysis, 5 years average
Career OpportunitiesCareer Opportunities
EngineeringEngineering– Petroleum, Chemical, Mechanical, OthersPetroleum, Chemical, Mechanical, Others
GeoscienceGeoscience– Geology, GeophysicsGeology, Geophysics
SciencesSciences– All basic sciences - researchAll basic sciences - research
BusinessBusiness– Finance, HR, ManagementFinance, HR, Management
SPE 2008 Salary SurveySPE 2008 Salary Survey
Great financial Great financial compensation early in compensation early in careercareer
Engineers and Engineers and Geologist earn more Geologist earn more early in careerearly in career
Continue increase Continue increase over past few yearsover past few years
SPE International and Western Management Group
Keys to Obtaining a Job Keys to Obtaining a Job 5 pieces of advice5 pieces of advice
1.1. ExperienceExperienceInternships, externship, class projectsInternships, externship, class projects
2.2. Keep an updated resumeKeep an updated resume
3.3. Know the industryKnow the industryRead news articles, talk with industry professionalsRead news articles, talk with industry professionals
4.4. Be openBe openLook at both service companies and operatorsLook at both service companies and operators
5.5. Take advantage of SPETake advantage of SPENetworkingNetworking
Keys to Success in Early Career Keys to Success in Early Career 5 pieces of advice5 pieces of advice
1.1. Ask questions, and learnAsk questions, and learnNot just in your discipline but all areasNot just in your discipline but all areas
2.2. Field exposureField exposure
3.3. Build a technical base Build a technical base Don’t get in a hurry for the next promotion Don’t get in a hurry for the next promotion
4.4. Work well with othersWork well with others
5.5. Being a manager is not the only measure Being a manager is not the only measure of successof success
Bottom LineBottom Line
Our industry has many challenges….that’s part of what Our industry has many challenges….that’s part of what makes it fun and a great place to workmakes it fun and a great place to work
The world is counting on us to solve energy challenges The world is counting on us to solve energy challenges and provide energy….energy is vital to our worldand provide energy….energy is vital to our world
Your professional development is in your hands – Your professional development is in your hands – pursue excellencepursue excellence
You have chosen a noble careerYou have chosen a noble career
QUESTIONS?