OPAG Update to the Planetary Science Advisory Commi9ee (PAC) · Scienfic Goals for Exploraon of...

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? OPAG Update to the Planetary Science Advisory Commi9ee (PAC) Jeff Moore, OPAG Chair, NASA ARC, PAC Mee5ng, 10 March 2020

Transcript of OPAG Update to the Planetary Science Advisory Commi9ee (PAC) · Scienfic Goals for Exploraon of...

Page 1: OPAG Update to the Planetary Science Advisory Commi9ee (PAC) · Scienfic Goals for Exploraon of the Outer Solar System Explore Outer Planet Systems and Ocean Worlds EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

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OPAGUpdatetothePlanetaryScienceAdvisoryCommi9ee(PAC)JeffMoore,OPAGChair,NASAARC,PACMee5ng,10March2020

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Outer Planets Assessment Group (OPAG) Charter

https://www.lpi.usra.edu/opag/ •  NASA'scommunity-basedforumtoprovidescience

inputforplanningandpriori5zingouterplanetexplora5onac5vi5esforthenextseveraldecades

•  Evaluatesoutersolarsystemexplora5ongoals,objec5ves,inves5ga5onsandrequiredmeasurementsonthebasisofthewidestpossiblecommunityoutreach

•  Meetstwiceperyear,summerandwinter–  Nextmee5ng:tenta5vely1-3Sept2020inSeaQle,WA

•  OPAGdocumentsareinputstotheDecadalSurveys•  OPAGandSmallBodiesAssessmentGroup(SBAG)haveJointcustodyofPlutosystemandotherplanetsamongKuiperBeltObjects

KBOplanets

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OPAG Steering Committee

JeffMooreOPAGChair

AmesResearchCenter

LindaSpilkerOPAGVice-ChairJetPropulsionLab

KathleenMandt*AppliedPhysicsLaboratory

AlfredMcEwenUniversityofArizona

LynnaeQuick*NASAGoddard

*=NewMember

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KunioSayanagiHamptonUniversity

TomSpilker*Consultant

BritneySchmidtGeorgiaIns5tuteofTechnology

AbigailRymer*AppliedPhysicsLab

OPAG Steering Committee

MorganCable*JetPropulsionLab

*=NewMember

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AmandaHendrixPlanetaryScienceIns5tute

ScoQEdgingtonJetPropulsionLab

MarkHofstadterJetPropulsionLab

TerryHurfordGoddardSpaceFlightCenter

OPAG Steering Committee

CarolPatyGeorgiaIns5tuteofTechnology

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RecentandUpcomingOPAG-relatedMee@ngs•  OPAGMee@ng(3-4February2020)LunarandPlanetaryIns5tute,Universi5es

SpaceResearchAssocia5on(USRA)3600BayAreaBlvd,Houston,TX•  JointVEXAG/OPAG/ExoPAGmee2ng(4-7February2020),LunarandPlanetary

Ins5tute,Houston,TX

UpcomingMee2ngs:•  OuterPlanetsAssessmentGroup(OPAG)TownHall,LunarandPlanetaryScience

Conf.noon,18March2020,The.Woodlands,Houston,TX:CANCELED(possibleremotebroadcastTBD)

•  OPAGMee@ng(tenta5vely1-3September2020)SeaQle,WA,possiblyheldatUniversityofWashington

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SomeKeyAc@vi@essinceLastPACMee@ng•  IoVolcanoObserver(IVO)selectedforfurtherDiscoveryMissionstudy.AlfredMcEwen(PI)

•  TRIDENTselectedforfurtherDiscoveryMissionstudy.LouiseProckter(PI)

•  JunoProbeCompleted25thOrbitofJupiter•  EuropaClippercompletedPDRprogressingtowardslaunchNLT2025

•  JUICEprogressingtowards2022launch•  3OuterPlanetmissionstudiesfortheDecadalSurveyselectedviaROSES

•  OPAGCommi9eeWhitePaperposted

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NewFron@ershasbeengoodforexplora@onofOuterPlanets•  Missionsfromthe1stDecadalsurvey:

–  NewHorizons–  Juno

•  Approvedcandidatemissionsin2ndDecadal(V&V)tooutersolarsystem:–  SaturnProbe–  OceanWorlds:EnceladusandTitan–  DragonflytoTitanselectedforNF-4

•  OPAGsupportskeepingIoObserverandOceanWorldsinNF-5,alongwithSaturnProbe

•  IfIVOisselectedforDiscovery,thentheremightbenoIoObserverproposalssubmiQedtoNF-5,similartowhathappenedwiththeTrojanmissionakerLucywasselected.

•  AlthoughDragonflywasselectedforNF-4,OPAGsupportskeepingEnceladusasanop5onforNF-5

Dragonfly

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OPAGGoalsDocument:2019(consistentwithourjust-postedWhitePaper)

•  FirstdrakwriQenin2006,recentlypostedupdate:August2019•  RevisedIntroduc5on

–  OceanWorldsemphasis,butnottheonlyemphasis•  Recentsec5ons:

–  PlanetsintheKuiperBelt–  OceanWorldsandtheSearchforLife–  OPAGRelevancetoWorldsnotintheOuterSolarSystem–  TelescopicObserva5ons– WorkforceIssues–  SummaryRecommenda5onsforNextDecadalSurvey

•  OPAGsciencepriori5esaddresstherelevantsubset(8/10)ofthekeyques5onsfromVisionandVoyages

•  Documentposted:hQps://www.lpi.usra.edu/opag/goals-08-28-19.pdf

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Scien@ficGoalsforExplora@onoftheOuterSolarSystemExploreOuterPlanetSystemsandOceanWorlds

EXECUTIVESUMMARY1.0INTRODUCTION1.1TheOuterSolarSysteminVision

andVoyages1.2NewEmphasissincetheDecadal

Survey:ExploringOceanWorlds2.0GIANTPLANETSINOURSOLARSYSTEM2.1JupiterandSaturn2.2UranusandNeptune3.0GIANTPLANETMAGNETOSPHERES4.0GIANTPLANETRINGSYSTEMS5.0GIANTPLANETS’MOONS5.1Pris5ne/Primi5ve(LessEvolved?)

Satellites’Objec5ves5.2GanymedeScienceObjec5ves5.3EuropaScienceObjec5ves

5.4IoScienceObjec5ves5.5EnceladusScienceObjec5ves5.6TitanScienceObjec5ves5.7TritonScienceObjec5ves6.0PLANETSINTHEKUIPERBELT7.0OCEANWORLDSANDTHESEARCHFOR

LIFE7.1OceanWorlds:Understanding

OceansandHabitabilityWorlds8.0OPAGRELEVANCETOWORLDSNOTIN

THEOUTERSOLARSYSTEM9.0TECHNOLOGY10.0TELESCOPICOBSERVATIONS11.0WORKFORCEISSUES12.0SUMMARYRECOMMENDATIONSFOR

NEXTDECADALSURVEYKeyReferences

NewSec5onsinGreen

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PurposesofOPAGGoalsDocument•  Describesthescienceobjec5vesforexplora5onofoutersolarsystem•  Consistentwiththe2013DecadalSurvey“VisionandVoyages”butkeptup-to-dateasnewmissionsareapproved,newdiscoveriesaremade,modelsevolve,ourunderstandingofsolarsystemprocesseschanges,andnewques5onsareposed.

•  Willbeusedasaresourcefordefiningtechnologydevelopmentdirec5onsandneededlaboratoryexperiments,modeling,andotherresearch

•  Resourceformissionandinstrumentscienceobjec5ves•  Guidesourprepara5onfortheoutersolarsystempor5onofthenextdecadalsurvey–  Includingmissionstudiesbeingdoneinprepara5onforthatsurvey.

•  Theemphasisforfutureexplora1onoftheoutersolarsystemistounderstandgiantplanetsystemsandoceanworlds

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PriorityTechnologiesforOPAG•  Currentorrecentprogramsareadvancinginstrumenta5on:

–  InstrumentConceptsforEuropaExplora5on(ICEE),Homesteader,ColdTech,ICEE-2(forEuropaLander),inaddi5ontoPICASSOandMatISSE

•  TechnologydevelopmentforelectricpowerisahighprioritytoOPAG–  NASAhassuspendeddevelopmentoftheeMMRTG,thepowersourcebaselinedinmul5plerecentstudiesof

outersolarsystemmissionconcepts;developmentcon5nuesontheNextGenRTG–  InV&VDecadalSurvey,thehighestpriorityformul5-missiontechnologyinvestmentwasamoreefficient

radioisotopepower(wasASRGs,theneMMRTG;nowNextGenRTG)–  HighefficiencyLILTsolarcellscandecreaseareaandmassforallsolarmissions.–  LightweightsolararraystructureshelpatJupiter(andpoten5allySaturn)

•  Roll-OutSolarArrays(ROSA)recentlydemonstratedonSpaceSta5on•  Technologydevelopmentisurgentlyneededforpoten2alOceanWorldsMissionssuchasEuropaLander

–  Includingminiaturiza2onandnewlifedetec2oninstrumenta2on•  Con2nuedevelopingthetechnologiesneededforIceGiantmission–HEEET;lowpower,highdatarateKa-band

Telecommunica5onsystems;andNextGenRTG,onascheduleconsistentwithpublishedlaunchopportuni5estoNeptuneviaaJupitergravityassist

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OPAGFindingsFebruary3-4,2020Mee@ng1.EuropaClipper.OPAGapplaudstheprogresstheEuropaClipperteamismakingtowarditsCri5calDesignReview(CDR)thiscomingAugust,andthetransparencyshownbytheteamthatmissiondevelopment’scostreservesarerunningverylow.Thereserve,quan5fiedasUnallocatedFutureExpenses,reached12%inNovember2019eventhoughitmettheJPL-required25%asofJune2019.Theprojectteamhasbeenabletorecons5tutesomeofthereserveamountrequiredaheadofitsCDR,butthereisdangerthatthissavingseffortwillfallshort,threateningthemission’sscience.NASAshouldrecognizethescien5ficimportanceoftheen5reEuropaClipperpayload,andstrivetoflythefullscienceinstrumentsuitetobestachievethemissionobjec5ves.Finding1.OPAGisconcernedaboutthefastdrainonthecostreserves.OPAGrecognizesthescien5ficimportanceofflyingtheen5reEuropaClippersciencepayloads,andurgesNASAtominimizetheimpactofthelowcostreservesonthescienceinves5ga5ons.

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OPAGFindingsFebruary3-4,2020Mee@ng2.IcySatelliteTechnologysupport.OPAGstronglysupportstechnologydevelopmentprogramsthatinvestinfutureOceanWorldsinsituexplora5on(similarinscopetotheICEEprogram).OPAGunderstandsthattheFY2020congressionalbudgetincludesfundingforIcySatellitetechnologydevelopment.OPAGwouldliketoknowtheopera5ngplanforthisbudgetlineitem.Finding2.OPAGsupportsinvestmentinfutureOceanWorldsinsitutechnologydevelopment.OPAGwouldlikeareportontheopera5ngplanfortheIcySatellitetechnologydevelopmentlineitemlistedintheFY2020congressionalbudget.

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OPAGFindingsFebruary3-4,2020Mee@ng3.ExpandingRCNtootherareasofplanetaryscience.OPAGcommendsNASAfortheoutstandingimpactthatprogramsliketheNASAAstrobiologyIns5tuteandthenewResearchCoordina5onNetworks(RCN)haveforbuildingupastrongastrobiologycommunitythatisac5velyadvancingthesearchforlifeinthesolarsystemandbeyond.TheseeffortshaveledtothedevelopmentofgroundbreakingmissionconceptsandhavebenefiQedadiversecommunityofresearcherseagertoanswertheques5onofwhetherwearealoneintheuniverse.OPAGencouragesNASAtobuildonthissuccessbyexpandingRCNopportuni5estootherplanetarysciencecommuni5es.Inpar5cular,aGiantPlanetSystemScienceRCNwouldprovideopportuni5esforinterdisciplinarycoordina5onamongmembersoftheOPAGcommunitywhohaveexploredtheJupiterandSaturnsystemsonmissionslikeGalileo,Cassini,andJuno,andwhoareeagertoconductresearch(Voyagerdataanalysis,theore5calresearch,andlaboratorystudies)relevanttofutureexplora5onoftheIceGiantsystems.Finding3.OPAGcommendstheoutstandingsuccessofNASAAstrobiologyprogramsforbuildingastronginterdisciplinarycommunityadvancingthesearchforlifeintheuniverse.OPAGencouragesNASAtoexpandonthismodelbycrea5nganewRCNforGiantPlanetSystemScience.

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OPAGFindingsFebruary3-4,[email protected]’sexplora5onofthedual-anonymousreviewprocesstoaddressdiversity/biasissues.OPAGnotesthattechnologyprograms,par5cularlyinstrumentdevelopmentopportuni5es,areapar5cularchallengeforPrincipalInves5gatorsfromdiverseandintersec5onalbackgrounds.Forexample,allofthePI’sselectedfortheICEE-2instrumentdevelopmentprogramweremalewithlimitedrepresenta5onalongotheraxesofdiversity,whichgivesanappearanceofbias.OPAGencouragesNASAtotestthedual-anonymousreviewprocessonaninstrumentprogramasthenexttestprogramtoprovideastrongerdatasettoevaluatetheeffec5venessofthisreviewstrategy.Asexamplesofprogramsthatreceivealargenumberofproposalsandrepresentgoodtes5nggroundsofdual-anonymousreviewprocess,wepointtothePICASSOandAppliedInforma5onSystemsResearchprograms.Finding4.OPAGcommendsNASA’seffortstotestdual-anonymousreviewforR&Aprograms.OPAGencouragesNASAtotestdual-anonymousreviewonaninstrumentdevelopmentprograminthenearfuturebecausethisisaclassofprogramsthatcanbeperceivedaslackingindiversityofselectedPIs.

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OPAGFindingsFebruary3-4,2020Mee@ng5.EDIDemographicandClimateSurveys.OPAGapplaudsthevolunteerworkbeingdonebytheEquity,DiversityandInclusion(EDI)WorkingGroupwithpar5cipa5onfromallplanetaryAGs.WefullysupporttheleQersentbytheEDIWorkingGrouptoNASAHQon28January2020whichisalsoavailableontheOPAGwebsite.Finding5.Weencourageimplementa5onofthetworecommenda5onsintheleQerin5metoinformtheDecadalSurvey,namely:1)ThecommunityhasaneedforasurveyacrossallofSMDthatwillenableanalysisofmul5-dimensionaldemographicsdatatounderstandthediversityaspectsofourpopula5on,includingdatathatgoesbeyondgenderra5osandincludesdisciplines;and2)NASAshouldcommissionregular(yearly),professionally-designedclimatesurveyssothatwecanfullyiden5fytheequityandinclusionissueswithinourcommunity,andensurethoseclimatesurveysconsiderrelevantaxesofpowerandcareerstructures.

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OPAGFindingsFebruary3-4,[email protected](RPS)ProgramAvailabilitySchedule.OPAGthanksJuneZakrajsekoftheNASARPSProgramforherbriefing.WeunderstandthatthedevelopmentoftheeMMRTGhasbeensuspended,andthattheNextGenRTGisscheduledtobeflightqualifiedin2028,withflightunitproduc5onstar5ngonlyakerqualifica5oniscompleted.PreviousstudiesofoutersolarsystemmissionsthatbaselinedtheeMMRTG,suchastherecenticegiantmissionsstudies[1],arenowobsolete.SincetheMMRTGisnotaviableop5onformostlong-dura5onmissions[2],theNextGenRTGistheonlyremainingRPSop5oncurrentlyunderdevelopment.AlengthyschedulefortheNextGenRTG'sflightavailabilitycouldhavesignificantnega5veimpactsontheschedulesforsomeDiscovery,NewFron5ers,andicegiantflagshipmissionconceptsalreadystudiedbyNASAandotherins5tu5ons.Finding6.OPAGrequestsafurtherpresenta5onbyNASAregardingtheschedulefortheNextGenRTGdevelopment,qualifica5on,flightunitfabrica5on,tes5nganddeliveryforlaunch,toenableamoredetaileddiscussionatthenextOPAGpublicmee5ng.1.Hofstadter,M.D.,Simon,A.,IceGiantsPre-DecadalSurveyMissionStudyReport,JPLD-100520,p.2-2,2017June;availableathQps://www.lpi.usra.edu/icegiants/mission_study/Full-Report.pdf2.ibid,p1-8,2-8.

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OPAGCommi9eeWhitePaper•  OrganizedaroundBigQues@ons

– Whatisthedistribu5onandhistoryoflifeinthesolarsystem?– Whatistheorigin,evolu5on,andstructureofplanetarysystems?– Whatpresent-dayprocessesshapeplanetarysystems,andhowdotheseprocessescreatediverseoutcomeswithinandacrossdifferentworlds?

WithafourthCross-Divisionaltheme:Howcansolarsystembodiesinformourunderstandingofbodiesinexoplanetarysystems?

•  StrategicApproach–  ResearchandAnalysis(R&A)–  Interna5onalPartnership

•  TechnologyandSuppor@ngStrategicInvestment(including)–  Orbitalvs.InsituinExplora5on–  Aerocapture–  Earth-basedAstronomy–  LaboratoryMeasurements

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OPAGCommi9eeWhitePaperConclusions•  Forlargedirectedmissions,ourtoprecommenda5onistocompleteEuropaClipper.Ourtoprecommenda5onforanewstartisanIceGiantSystemsmission.Flyingtoeithericegiantisscien5ficallycompelling,butNeptuneispreferredsinceTritonisahigher-priorityOceanWorldstargetthanArielortheotherUraniansatellites.Thisre-affirmstheimportancegiventosuchamissioninthejust-previousDecadalSurvey.Wenotethatnonewtechnologyefforts(asidefromfinishingeffortsalreadyunderway)areneededforthismissiontoproceed.

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OPAGCommi9eeWhitePaperConclusionscont’•  Ournextlargedirectedmissionpriorityisamissiontosearchforlifeorbiosignaturesonanoceanworld,mostlikelyEuropaorEnceladus.Webelievethatlifedetec5ontechnologydevelopmentcouldproveessen5altoeithermission,sowestronglysupporttheongoingtechnologydevelopmentefforts.Thedecadalmid-termreviewrecommendedthatEuropaLanderbeconsideredforanewstartinthenextfulldecadalsurvey,ratherthanbeginningsooner.However,aEuropaLanderpre-projecthasbeenfundedandcouldgetanewstart.IfaEuropaLandermissionisapproved,thenOPAGwillcertainlysupportthatmission.WerecommendthatNASAstudyanEnceladuslife-searchmission.Concurrently,westronglyrecommendthatthenextDecadalSurveyincludeaPriorityQues5onaboutactuallifeorbiosignaturedetec5onratherthanjustthestudyofhabitability.

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OPAGCommi9eeWhitePaperConclusionscont’•  ForNewFron@ersclassmissions,OPAGsupportsopeningcompe55ontoallsolarsystemdes5na5ons,asrecommendedbytheNa5onalAcademiesin2008.Inpar5cular,wesupporttheinclusionofEnceladusandTitanoceanworldsmissionsalongwithIoObserverandSaturnprobes.Otherconceptsdeserveconsidera5onaswell,suchasamissiontoKBOplanets.OPAGstronglyrecommendsthatthenextDecadalSurveybelessrestric5veinthenumberofalloweddes5na5onsforNewFron5ersmissionsthaninthepastSurveys.Theoutersolarsystemhasagreatabundanceofinteres5ngworldstoexplore,sosuchrestric5onsareapar5cularlyonerousrestric5ononfutureexplora5on.

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North Pole South Pole

• Lakes Hummocky

• Crater • Labyrinth

• Dunes • Plains

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