Oil & Gas – Strategic Positioning...** 2002: Including Clyde as published in Wintershall report...
Transcript of Oil & Gas – Strategic Positioning...** 2002: Including Clyde as published in Wintershall report...
Oil & Gas – Strategic PositioningDr. John FeldmannMember of the Board of Executive Directors
1 | Oil & Gas in the BASF portfolio
2 | Strategic partnership with Gazprom
3 | Outlook
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ChemicalActivities
Agriculture &Nutrition
Oil & Gas
*Including other activities 2005: 2.0 billion Euro (5%)
BASF’s balanced portfolio
2005 total sales*: 42.7 billion Euro
PerformanceProducts
Plastics 18%
Chemicals
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Oil & Gas
BASF benefits from Oil & Gas business
BASF
Long term security of gas supplyin Europe
Significant cash flow
Hydrocarbonhedge
Sustainable profitability
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0
1000
2000
3000
1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
Million Euro EBIT* Gas Trading
* Before special items; 2004 figures based on IFRS
Earnings from Oil & Gas
EBIT* E&PEBIT* Total
Q1-Q3
6
190287
3813931 36
59
243
630
329259410
200
0
200
400
600
800
1000
2001 2002** 2003 2004 2005 2006E
* Investment into property, plant, and equipment and intangible assets IFRS accounting since 2005. 2004 figures adjusted to IFRSs.** 2002: Including Clyde as published in Wintershall report 2002
Investments for the future 2001 – 2006
Million Euro* E&PGas Acquisition Clyde
229
920
323388
624 610
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BASF
Oil & Gas business benefitsfrom BASF Group
Wintershall
Chemical downstream opportunities
Strongfinancial
background
BASF is a reliable
partner
BASF is the largest gas consumerin Europe
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Wintershall is a midsize E&P-company with
• Focus on world class operational excellence
• Focus on projects which require specific technological experience
• Focus on strategic partnerships
• Focus on profitable growth
Exploration and production –Success through focusing
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Wintershall –Global E&P activities
OPCO
Core region
Production and / or Exploration
RussiaGermany
Netherlands
Argentina
Libya
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• WINGAS – Competition begins in the German gas market
• Excellence in gas distribution, trading, transport and storage
• Linked to major resources to supply the European gas market
• Well structured pipeline system in Germany
• Leading position in gas storage
• Strategic partnership with Gazprom
Gas trading –Well positioned in a liberalized market
1 | Oil & Gas in the BASF portfolio
2 | Strategic partnership with Gazprom
3 | Outlook
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Partnership Gazprom – BASF
1990: Basic Agreement to cooperate, Foundation of WIEH and signature of first major Russian gas supply contract
1993: Gazprom and BASF form WINGAS –Competition starts in the German gas market
2003: Gazprom and BASF develop the Gas for Europe – Concept :– WINGAS preferred trader for Russian gas in Europe– Wintershall and Gazprom cooperate in E&P-projects
2003: Foundation of ZAO Achimgaz
2005: Agreement on Nord Stream partnership and on first gas supplies through Nord Stream (2010 – 2035; 9 bn m³/a)
2006: Participation in Yuzhno Russkoye Field
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“Gas for Europe” strategyIncreasing demand for imported natural gas in Europe
NordStre
am
EU 25in billion m³
ImportsLocal production
2005 2015
600-700
530
43% 25%
75%57%
(1) Interconnector(2) Europipe I(3) Europipe II(4) Jamal
(5) Transgas(6) BBL(7) Nord Stream
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WINGAS activities in Europe
WINGAS growth:• Sales 1995:
3.8 billion m³• Sales 2005:
21 billion m³• Sales 2006E:
24 billion m³• CAGR 2000 – 2006:
13 %Strategic target• Using market
liberalization• Expanding in Europe• Significant volume
growth
D
F
UKDK
CZAU
RO*
BUL*
B
* WIEE
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Nord Stream –Northern European Gas Pipeline
Northern European Gas Pipeline (Nord Stream)
• Major infrastructure project to supply Western Europe with Russian gas (55 bn m³/ 2 pipelines)
• BASF with up to 24.5% share closing the link between production and selling of natural gas
• Gazprom holding 51%, BASF 24.5%, E.ON 24.5% in JV (entry of Gasunie under negotiation)
• Projected start-up 2010
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BASF and Gazprom –E&P – cooperations
Achimgaz Yuzhno Russkoye
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Achimgaz –Pilot drillings confirm expectations
Achimgaz (50% BASF, 50% Gazprom)
• First production joint venture with Gazprom
• One of the largest German investments in Russia
• Securing production volumes
• Joint venture started drilling production wells
• First results confirm expectations
• Risk minimizing through two phased approach
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Yuzhno Russkoye deal – Deepening our long-term partnership with Gazprom
• Expanding partnership with Gazprom through joint development of Yuzhno Russkoye gas field
• BASF with 35% less one share significantly improves its reserve basis and long term production volumes
• Gazprom extends its WINGAS participation (50% less one share in Germany, 50/50 in Europe)
• Gazprom will participate with 49% share in a Wintershall subsidiary for onshore E&P in Libya
• Gazprom and BASF both increase their earnings potentials
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0
10
20
30
40
50
60
2005 2010 2015
Give C96/97 Libya• 49% Gazprom
participation in holding company
• C96/97 BASF's main oil producing assets
Get Yuzhno Russkoye• 2008: Field start-up• 2011: Plateau production• BASF’s long term most
significant gas assets
Start-up at Achimgaz• 2007: Phase I production• 2008/9: Start up Phase II • 2015: Plateau production
Yuzhno Russkoye –A crucial building block
ProductionMMBOE
Yuzhno Russkoye(Wintershall share)
C96/97 Libya(Wintershall share)
Achimgaz*(Wintershall share )
* Not part of Yuzhno Russkoye deal
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• Earnings dilution one time issue in 2007
• Significantly positive net effect of asset swap after 2008 with upward trend
• Further upside potential through:
- earlier YuzhnoRusskoye start-up
- faster ramp-up of production
- gas trading partnership in Europe
Euro/Share*
* Based on number of BASF shares on 30.09.2006 (501,550,000) BASF EPS 2005 5.73 Euro; EPS Q1-3 2006 4.91 Euro
0.14
-0.22
[balanced]
0.22
-0,3
-0,2
-0,1
0,0
0,1
0,2
0,3
2007 2008 2009 2010
trend
Estimated net effect of swap deal on BASF earnings per share
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100%
E & P partnerships with Gazprom
BASF Group
Wintershall Holding
* As of closing** Economic share
50%50% 50%*
Yuzhno Russkoye Achimgaz
(51% / 49%)* 35%**
Libya onshore
Wintershall Achimgaz SNGP
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50% 50% 35% (50+1%/ 50-1%)*65%
100% 50% 50%100%
Strategic partnership with Gazprom
BASF Group
Wintershall Holding
*As of closing
1 | Oil & Gas in the BASF portfolio
2 | Strategic partnership with Gazprom
3 | Outlook
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Wintershall major investments
Major projectsin billion Euro
Total* BASF share**
Investment period
BASF Investment 2006 – 2010
BASF Investment 2011 – 2015
0.20.1
Libya 0.5 0.3 ongoing 0.3 tbd
Netherlands 1.5 0.4 ongoing 0.3 0.1
Storages Haidach & Saltfleetby
0.6 0.2 2005 – 2011 0.2 0.0
0.8
0.30.5
1.9
E&P
Gas
2005 – 20462005 – 2046
2006 – 2017
Achimgaz 1.1 0.6Yuzhno Russkoye 1.9 0.7
Nord Stream offshore*** & Germany onshorecontinuation
9.0 2.8
* BASF current estimate** Achimgaz 50%, WINGAS 50%; Yusshno Russkoye 35%, Nord Stream offshore 24.5%;
entities with less than 50% BASF ownership will be equity consolidated*** Published investment by Nord Stream AG is at least 5 billion Euro.
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Oil & Gas key strategic targets 2010
• Wintershall is positioned to be a net cash contributor to the BASF Group
• Strategic partnerships with Gazprom and others will be further developed
• E&P :- Midsize leading E&P – company- Production ~140 million boe/a- EPS range 1.2 – 1.8 Euro*
• Gas trading :- Sales volume ~40 billion m³/a- EPS range: 0.35 – 0.40 Euro**
* Based on number of BASF shares on 30.09.2006 (501,550,000); Brent range of 35 – 55 USD, USD/Euro 1.25
** Based on number of BASF shares on 30.09.2006 (501,550,000); subject to contract prolongation, no major changes in market framework, minor Nord Stream volumes only
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