NOAA / NESDIS Research and Operations: I-5: Operational Impact of SVW at Coastal WFO
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Transcript of NOAA / NESDIS Research and Operations: I-5: Operational Impact of SVW at Coastal WFO
NOAA / NESDIS Research and Operations:I-5: Operational Impact of SVW at Coastal WFOI-5: Operational Impact of SVW at Coastal WFO
Peter A. Stamus and Ralph F. Milliff
NWRA / Colorado Research Associates (CoRA) Division
Presentation to NOAA/NESDIS Operational Satellite SVW Requirements Workshop, 5 - 8 June 2006, TPC, Miami
“Expanding the Impact of Satellite Surface Vector WindMeasurements on Coastal Operational ForecastsProduced by National Weather Service Forecast
Offices”
Miami
San Juan
Seattle
Portland
Medford
Eureka
Honolulu
Anchorage
JuneauYakutat
Mt. Holly
UptonTaunton
Brownsville
Corpus Christi
Wakefield
WFO Response (SOO Surveys) ............................. 22 + 2 (73%)Total Forecaster Survey Responses ....................... 108 + 17Average No. Surveys per WFO ............................... ~ 5
WFO Site Visits
WFO Surveys20 multiple choice questions, regarding SVW familiarity and utility in Marine Forecasts and Warnings, Short (days 1,2) and Long (days 3+) term forecasts. Distinguish QuikSCATand WindSat impacts. Rank possible improvements in SVW data. Sent to 33 WFO.
2-day visits to 16 selected WFO. Observe Marine Desk forecast preparation (several shifts).Brief WFO staff on SVW retrievals, accuracies, rain-flags, etc.
● Cumulative responses to 5 questions● Suggests that satellite SVW data are secondary tools in marine forecast prep● QuikSCAT is used, WindSat is not
• Supports suggestion that SVW data (QuikSCAT) is a useful, secondary tool for the short range
• SVW data (QuikSCAT) is less useful for long range than it was for short range
• SVW data (QuikSCAT) is a useful secondary tool for Marine Warnings
• Tandem, wide-swath scatterometer missions would provide a 40% to 60% timeliness improvement
• SVW data close to shore more important than abundant SVW data
Summary
● SVW data are used as a “supplementary” data source in operations (forecasts,warnings, etc.) at coastal WFO
➢ Utility comparable to other ancillary satellite datasets (e.g. cloud vector wind, soundings, etc.)
➢ WindSat is unknown to forecasters; rarely used (as of Winter 2005-2006)
● Most Desired Improvements (Critical Limitations) include SVW retrievals near shore and the data update cycle (time between overflights)
➢ Largest concentrations of marine users are near shore
➢ Every site visit revealed a desire for more frequent data
● Survey and Site Visits of US Coastal WFO completed as of April 2006
➢ 73% survey response rate
➢ WFO staff professional, cooperative, receptive; person-to-person contact is valuable➢ Survey and site visit write-ups to be synthesized and published
Impact of QuikSCAT in LAPS and MM5: a pilot study (Snook et al. 2002)
QSCAT R1 Low Pressure System in NE Pacific
● AVN Initialization● AVN into LAPS ● QSCAT into LAPS
Three Forecast Experiments (0.25° MM5)
12hr Forecast 24hr Forecast
AVN AVN in LAPS
QSCAT in LAPS QSCAT in LAPS
AVN in LAPSAVN
White contours: SLPBlack contours: 3hr accumulated rainfall
36hr Forecast 48hr Forecast
AVN AVN in LAPS
QSCAT in LAPS QSCAT in LAPS
AVN in LAPSAVN
White contours: SLPBlack contours: 3hr accumulated rainfall