New Satellite Capabilities Impacting NWS Operations Mike Johnson, NWS/OST Nov 9, 2010.
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Transcript of New Satellite Capabilities Impacting NWS Operations Mike Johnson, NWS/OST Nov 9, 2010.
New Satellite Capabilities Impacting NWS OperationsNew Satellite Capabilities
Impacting NWS Operations
Mike Johnson, NWS/OST
Nov 9, 2010
Mike Johnson, NWS/OST
Nov 9, 2010
OverviewOverview
• Transformational Change within 5-10 yrs
– Factors driving change
• User Readiness
• Projected Timelines for Selected* New Satellite Capabilities
* selected in consideration of other NWS-enterprise changes
• Transformational Change within 5-10 yrs
– Factors driving change
• User Readiness
• Projected Timelines for Selected* New Satellite Capabilities
* selected in consideration of other NWS-enterprise changes
Factors Driving ChangeFactors Driving Change• Operational Replacement of our GEO (GOES-R) & LEO
(NPP/JPSS/MetOP/GCOM) observing systems to begin within next 5 years
• International and Research Missions will become increasingly part of our satellite observing capabilities due to national budget limitations and a rapidly expanding global satellite capability
• This + other development drives huge increase in data volume & satellite observing capabilities
• NWS Strategic Vision has been redefined: Focused on Services and helping forecaster “manage” observations and model data with objective to:
– Warn-on-Forecast, Targeted Service Improvement (eg: aviation, huricane intensity, tornado lead time, etc.)
• IT Infrastructure redesign is underway, but is bandwidth constrained…data fusion, push-pull, cloud computing, will become a central theme to our transformed capabilities
• Operational Replacement of our GEO (GOES-R) & LEO (NPP/JPSS/MetOP/GCOM) observing systems to begin within next 5 years
• International and Research Missions will become increasingly part of our satellite observing capabilities due to national budget limitations and a rapidly expanding global satellite capability
• This + other development drives huge increase in data volume & satellite observing capabilities
• NWS Strategic Vision has been redefined: Focused on Services and helping forecaster “manage” observations and model data with objective to:
– Warn-on-Forecast, Targeted Service Improvement (eg: aviation, huricane intensity, tornado lead time, etc.)
• IT Infrastructure redesign is underway, but is bandwidth constrained…data fusion, push-pull, cloud computing, will become a central theme to our transformed capabilities
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2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Calendar Year
Dail
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Data
Rate
(M
bp
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Other
Satellite
Radar
Model
Factors Driving ChangeData Rate Projections!
w/NPP
w/JPSS 1
w/GOES-R
w/JPSS 2
w/GOES-S
w/MPAR
Satellite User ReadinessNear-Term Challenges
Satellite User ReadinessNear-Term Challenges
• Bandwidth – How and what satellite products will be available to Users?
– Data Fusion – what & where are the data integration nodes?
– AWIPS II development
– How do requirements differ between WFO’s, Centers
– How do requirements differ regionally, seasonally, how to handle localized products
• Training – How do we prepare users for this explosion of data and implications to warning processes near term (Day-1)
• How do we systematically progress towards our strategic goal?
• Bandwidth – How and what satellite products will be available to Users?
– Data Fusion – what & where are the data integration nodes?
– AWIPS II development
– How do requirements differ between WFO’s, Centers
– How do requirements differ regionally, seasonally, how to handle localized products
• Training – How do we prepare users for this explosion of data and implications to warning processes near term (Day-1)
• How do we systematically progress towards our strategic goal?
Projected Timelines / Impact for New Satellite Capabilities
(Selected Cross-Section)
Projected Timelines / Impact for New Satellite Capabilities
(Selected Cross-Section)
1. 2011 Merged Soil Moisture Product using JAXA GCOM / AMSR-E; EUMETSAT/ MetOP / ASCAT, and CNES / SMOS
– Impacts: Will be used as input into NWP at NCEP
– Improvements expected to Land Surface Model >> improved boundary layer temperature and moisture analysis and prediction.
– Improved water resources (flooding/drought) – fire weather – BL forecasting
1. 2011 Merged Soil Moisture Product using JAXA GCOM / AMSR-E; EUMETSAT/ MetOP / ASCAT, and CNES / SMOS
– Impacts: Will be used as input into NWP at NCEP
– Improvements expected to Land Surface Model >> improved boundary layer temperature and moisture analysis and prediction.
– Improved water resources (flooding/drought) – fire weather – BL forecasting
Projected Timelines / Impact for New Satellite Capabilities
(Selected Cross-Section)
Projected Timelines / Impact for New Satellite Capabilities
(Selected Cross-Section)
2. NASA SAC-D-Aquarius (launch ~Jan 2011)
– Orbit: sun-synchronous LEO
– Instruments of Interest / Operational Use: ROSA GPS RO / global temperature / moisture sounding. Assimilated into Global NWP along with other GPS RO will improve mid-long range models.
3. ISRO / CNES Megha Tropiques (launch ~Jan 2011)
– Orbit : non-sun-synchronous LEO : low inclination Tropical 20S-20N
– Instruments of Interest / Operational Use: MADRAS- integrated water vapor, cloud liquid water, convective rain areas: SAPHIR- cloud free water vapor; ROSA- GPS RO (global temperature / moisture sounding) Improved NWP over tropics…tropical storm observations.
2. NASA SAC-D-Aquarius (launch ~Jan 2011)
– Orbit: sun-synchronous LEO
– Instruments of Interest / Operational Use: ROSA GPS RO / global temperature / moisture sounding. Assimilated into Global NWP along with other GPS RO will improve mid-long range models.
3. ISRO / CNES Megha Tropiques (launch ~Jan 2011)
– Orbit : non-sun-synchronous LEO : low inclination Tropical 20S-20N
– Instruments of Interest / Operational Use: MADRAS- integrated water vapor, cloud liquid water, convective rain areas: SAPHIR- cloud free water vapor; ROSA- GPS RO (global temperature / moisture sounding) Improved NWP over tropics…tropical storm observations.
Projected Timelines / Impact for New Satellite Capabilities
(Selected Cross-Section)
Projected Timelines / Impact for New Satellite Capabilities
(Selected Cross-Section)
4. NASA NPP (launch ~Oct 2011)
– Orbit: sun-synchronous LEO, 1330 LST equatorial crossing
– Instruments of Interest / Operational Use: CrIS, ATMS, VIIRS, OMPS. Higher resolution radiances (temp/moisture) assimilated into NWP. High resolution imagery MODIS-like available in AWIPS. Multitude of improved and new products.
5. EUMETSAT (ESA) MeTOP B (launch ~Apr 2012)
– Orbit: sun-synchronous LEO, 0930 LST equatorial crossing
– Instruments of Interest / Operational Use: AVHRR, MHS, HIRS, AMSU-A, ASCAT, GRAS / Assimilation into NWP…challenges with fully exploiting IASI. ASCAT provides Ocean Surface Vector Wind measurements + other capabilities. Use of AVHRR imagery in mid-morning possible if NWS IT bandwidth available.
4. NASA NPP (launch ~Oct 2011)
– Orbit: sun-synchronous LEO, 1330 LST equatorial crossing
– Instruments of Interest / Operational Use: CrIS, ATMS, VIIRS, OMPS. Higher resolution radiances (temp/moisture) assimilated into NWP. High resolution imagery MODIS-like available in AWIPS. Multitude of improved and new products.
5. EUMETSAT (ESA) MeTOP B (launch ~Apr 2012)
– Orbit: sun-synchronous LEO, 0930 LST equatorial crossing
– Instruments of Interest / Operational Use: AVHRR, MHS, HIRS, AMSU-A, ASCAT, GRAS / Assimilation into NWP…challenges with fully exploiting IASI. ASCAT provides Ocean Surface Vector Wind measurements + other capabilities. Use of AVHRR imagery in mid-morning possible if NWS IT bandwidth available.
Projected Timelines / Impact for New Satellite Capabilities
(Selected Cross-Section)
Projected Timelines / Impact for New Satellite Capabilities
(Selected Cross-Section)
6. JAXA GCOM-W1 (launch ~2012)
– Orbit: sun-synchronous LEO, 1330 LST equatorial crossing
– Instruments of Interest / Operational Use: AMSR-2 / Impacts to NWP. Part of the JPSS data stream.
7. ESA ADM Aeolis (launch ~2012)
– Orbit: sun-synchronous LEO, 1800 LST equatorial crossing
– Instruments of Interest / Operational Use: ALADIN / 2-D Lidar Wind Profile. Impacts to NWP. Risk reduction for advanced 3-D Lidar.
8. ISRO ScatSAT (OSCAT-2) – Proposed (launch ~2012)
– Orbit: sun synchronous LEO, TBD equatorial crossing
– Instruments of interest: Ku-Band Scatterometer (Potential QuikSCAT-like)
6. JAXA GCOM-W1 (launch ~2012)
– Orbit: sun-synchronous LEO, 1330 LST equatorial crossing
– Instruments of Interest / Operational Use: AMSR-2 / Impacts to NWP. Part of the JPSS data stream.
7. ESA ADM Aeolis (launch ~2012)
– Orbit: sun-synchronous LEO, 1800 LST equatorial crossing
– Instruments of Interest / Operational Use: ALADIN / 2-D Lidar Wind Profile. Impacts to NWP. Risk reduction for advanced 3-D Lidar.
8. ISRO ScatSAT (OSCAT-2) – Proposed (launch ~2012)
– Orbit: sun synchronous LEO, TBD equatorial crossing
– Instruments of interest: Ku-Band Scatterometer (Potential QuikSCAT-like)
Projected Timelines / Impact for New Satellite Capabilities
(Selected Cross-Section)
Projected Timelines / Impact for New Satellite Capabilities
(Selected Cross-Section)
9. CMA FY-3C (launch ~2012)
– Orbit: sun-synchronous LEO; Morning equatorial crossing
– Instruments of interest / Operational Use: MERSI, MWTS, MWHS, MWRI, IRAS, VIRR, TOU / Impact to NWP. No current plans to use VIRR in NWS operations.
10. NASA / JAXA GPM-Core (launch ~Jul 2013)
– Orbit: non-sun-synchronous LEO; 65 deg inclination
– Instruments of interest / Operational Use: DPR, GMI / Global Precipitation Map available after about 3.5 hours after observation (for full constellation…up to 7 satellites). Related…Megha-Tropiques and GPM-constellation. Impacts to hurricane and flood forecasting .
9. CMA FY-3C (launch ~2012)
– Orbit: sun-synchronous LEO; Morning equatorial crossing
– Instruments of interest / Operational Use: MERSI, MWTS, MWHS, MWRI, IRAS, VIRR, TOU / Impact to NWP. No current plans to use VIRR in NWS operations.
10. NASA / JAXA GPM-Core (launch ~Jul 2013)
– Orbit: non-sun-synchronous LEO; 65 deg inclination
– Instruments of interest / Operational Use: DPR, GMI / Global Precipitation Map available after about 3.5 hours after observation (for full constellation…up to 7 satellites). Related…Megha-Tropiques and GPM-constellation. Impacts to hurricane and flood forecasting .
Projected Timelines / Impact for New Satellite Capabilities
(Selected Cross-Section)
Projected Timelines / Impact for New Satellite Capabilities
(Selected Cross-Section)
11. NOAA JPSS1 (launch ~Mar 2014)
– Orbit: sun synchronous LEO, 1330 LST equatorial crossing
– See NPP + host of new products and reduced data latency (~60 mins)
12. NASA / JAXA GPM-Constellation (launch ~Various 2014)
‒ Orbit: non-sun-synchronous LEO,
‒ Instruments of interest / Operational Use GMI / See GPM Core and Megha-Tropiques. Impacts to hurricane and flood forecasting .
11. NOAA JPSS1 (launch ~Mar 2014)
– Orbit: sun synchronous LEO, 1330 LST equatorial crossing
– See NPP + host of new products and reduced data latency (~60 mins)
12. NASA / JAXA GPM-Constellation (launch ~Various 2014)
‒ Orbit: non-sun-synchronous LEO,
‒ Instruments of interest / Operational Use GMI / See GPM Core and Megha-Tropiques. Impacts to hurricane and flood forecasting .
Projected Timelines / Impact for New Satellite Capabilities
(Selected Cross-Section)
Projected Timelines / Impact for New Satellite Capabilities
(Selected Cross-Section)
13. NASA SMAP (launch ~Nov 2014)
– Orbit: sun-synchronous LEO; 1800 LST equatorial crossing
– Instruments of interest / Operational Use: L-Band Radar . Impact to land surface model…improving NWP. Improved boundary layer temperature and moisture analysis and prediction.
14. CMA FY3D (launch ~Dec 2014)
– Orbit: sun-synchronous LEO; Afternoon equatorial crossing
– Instruments of interest / Operational Use: MERSI, MWTS, MWHS, MWRI, IHSAS vs IRAS, GRO. Impacts to NWP.
13. NASA SMAP (launch ~Nov 2014)
– Orbit: sun-synchronous LEO; 1800 LST equatorial crossing
– Instruments of interest / Operational Use: L-Band Radar . Impact to land surface model…improving NWP. Improved boundary layer temperature and moisture analysis and prediction.
14. CMA FY3D (launch ~Dec 2014)
– Orbit: sun-synchronous LEO; Afternoon equatorial crossing
– Instruments of interest / Operational Use: MERSI, MWTS, MWHS, MWRI, IHSAS vs IRAS, GRO. Impacts to NWP.
Projected Timelines / Impact for New Satellite Capabilities
(Selected Cross-Section)
Projected Timelines / Impact for New Satellite Capabilities
(Selected Cross-Section)
15. NOAA GOES-R (launch ~Oct 2015)
– Orbit: GEO; TBD longitude (E or W)
– Instruments of interest / Operational Use: ABI, GLM / New ERA of high resolution low latency imagery…total lightning from space. Multitude of improved and new products.
16. JAXA GCOM / W2 (launch ~Dec 2016)
– Orbit: sun-synchronous LEO; 1330 LST equatorial crossing
– Instruments of interest / Operational Use: AMSR-2, Possible DFS / Impacts to NWP, used as part of the JPSS system. DFS is possible next-generation Ocean Surface Vector Winds capability.
15. NOAA GOES-R (launch ~Oct 2015)
– Orbit: GEO; TBD longitude (E or W)
– Instruments of interest / Operational Use: ABI, GLM / New ERA of high resolution low latency imagery…total lightning from space. Multitude of improved and new products.
16. JAXA GCOM / W2 (launch ~Dec 2016)
– Orbit: sun-synchronous LEO; 1330 LST equatorial crossing
– Instruments of interest / Operational Use: AMSR-2, Possible DFS / Impacts to NWP, used as part of the JPSS system. DFS is possible next-generation Ocean Surface Vector Winds capability.
Projected Timelines / Impact for New Satellite Capabilities
(Selected Cross-Section)
Projected Timelines / Impact for New Satellite Capabilities
(Selected Cross-Section)
17. CMA FY3E (launch ~2016)
– Orbit: sun-synchronous LEO; Morning equatorial crossing
– Instruments of interest / Operational Use: MERSI, MWTS, MWHS, SWMR, IHSAS, GRO, Impacts to NWP. Possible next generation Ocean Surface Vector Winds.
17. CMA FY3E (launch ~2016)
– Orbit: sun-synchronous LEO; Morning equatorial crossing
– Instruments of interest / Operational Use: MERSI, MWTS, MWHS, SWMR, IHSAS, GRO, Impacts to NWP. Possible next generation Ocean Surface Vector Winds.
SummarySummary• Transformational Change within 5-10 yrs
– Growing Bandwidth
– More and improved Sensors
• User Readiness
– Planning for IT-growth and impact to Forecast Office
– Strategic Vision: Data Integration, Decision Support Focus
– Training
• Selected New Satellite Capabilities
* selected in consideration of other NWS-enterprise changes
• Transformational Change within 5-10 yrs
– Growing Bandwidth
– More and improved Sensors
• User Readiness
– Planning for IT-growth and impact to Forecast Office
– Strategic Vision: Data Integration, Decision Support Focus
– Training
• Selected New Satellite Capabilities
* selected in consideration of other NWS-enterprise changes
Discussion / Questions?Discussion / Questions?