1

N6 Way Ahead – Brief to GMU C4I Forum

22 2

Our “Self-Talk”

We promise to accelerate the lives of today’s youth, but…

NAVYIT’S NOT JUST A JOB. IT’S AN ADVENTURE.

2

33 3

Generation X

• Age: 25 - 45

• Attributes:- Lower birth rate- Relationships matter the most- Individualism is valued- Racially diverse- Self-sufficient and do not trust- Skeptical of institutions- Wary of commitment- Pessimistic about the future- More jobs created by this generation than any in history

• Also referred to as “13th Generation” • Also referred to as “Generation Y”

N6 Focus

Millennium Generation

• Age: 6 - 24

• Attributes:- Much higher birth-rate than Gen X- Optimistic- Team players- Accept authority- Follow the rules- Believe it’s “cool to be smart”- Collaborative- Believe in future – cutting edge- Technology savvy

-- Grew up with Internet

… whose lives are we accelerating?

Demographic Trends

44 4

Navy Connectivity TrendsToday

Connectivity Trends

3

55 5

DDG current bandwidth is the same as home users had in 2000

Home users are predicted to have 250 times more bandwidth than DDG and 100 times

more than CVN by 2014

Connectivity Trends (Future)

Navy has not kept pace with technology growth

66 6

Commercial Trends

• Networking– Moore’s law – Computer processing power

doubles every 18 months– Metcalf’s Law (network value ~ f(n2)

• Connect peers (e.g. – e-mail)– Reed’s Law (network value ~ f(2n))

• Join / create groups (e.g. – “MySpace.com”)

• Technology – where industry is investing– Web services (e.g. – Online banking, travel)– Collaboration tools (e.g. - YouTube, MySpace)– IP Stack– Data Strategy– Security– Nanocomputing, Grid Computing– Wireless Technologies

4

77 7

Commercial Trends – YouTube Example

Traditional Navy Online Video Navy Online Video

88 8

Com

plex

ity a

nd E

xpec

tatio

ns

FY90FY92

FY94FY96

FY98FY00

FY02FY04

FY12FY06

FY08FY10

IT demand and complexity increases at expanded rate

Funding vs Complexity Trends

5

99 9

Trend Summary

Five Years2 YearsToday

Funding

Connectivity

Technology

Manpower

• Failure to address these trends early will compound impact 5 years from now

• LNR continues• N6 does not have insight into all Navy funding

• Legacy Network reduction (LNR)

• Connectivity to Navy users levels out

• Commercial continues to increase

• Connectivity to Navy tactical users improves

• Not keeping pace

• Small Combatant lags typical home user

• Begin to field technology that’s available today

• Insignificant change from current capabilities

• Navy has fallen off pace of network technology

• Acquisition not agile

• LCS manning requires “Hybrid sailor”

• Connectivity will be key

• Downward trend continues

• Downward manpower trend

?? ?? ??

1010 10

Com

b at

Cap

abil i

ty

Time

GWOTPersistence and Agility Speed & Time

Major ConflictPower and Speed

10 30D-Day~30 yrs

C2 moves Blue Force posture left

Impact of These Trends on the Warfighter

IO moves Red Force posture right

RISK

U.S. FORCES TODAY

ADVERSARY FORCES

6

1111 11

Missions• MCO

- AAW- ASW- ASUW- Strike

• GWOT• MDA• Homeland Defense• TBMD• Stability Operations

• Humanitarian Assistance

• Disaster Relief• Non-Combatant Evac Ops

• Sanctions Enforcement

Commander’s Intent

Joint Task Force/Joint Force Maritime Component Commander

Battlespace Prep• Shaping• IO• Intelligence• Weather

Operational Planning & Guidance

• CONOPS• OPTASK

SituationalAwareness

• COP• TFCC• Tactical Decision Aids

Assessment• Task satisfaction• BDA

These trends can greatly speed up this cycle – for us and our adversaries

Impact of These Trends on Warfighter

Execution• Kinetic• Non-kinetic

1212 12

• Navy end-strength and next-generation ship crew sizes are decreasing

– At the same time the mission scope is increasing

• More will be expected out of each individual crew member:– Increase in required reach-back support (e.g. linguists, repair

support, supply, )– Increase in required crew skill levels (i.e. education, disbursing,

connectivity with home for the hybrid sailor)

Impact of These Trends on Manpower

The “Hybrid Sailor” is the key to this glide slope

7

1313 13

Impact of These Trends on Business

Lessons from industry:• Transformation calls for consolidation of applications and data centers

- Content is king

• Move to portal “thin client” wherever possible (use web browser to interact with applications)

• Strongly leverage DoD solutions- Defense Knowledge Online

• Security

1414 14

N6 PR09: Leverage commercial and joint efforts to reduce cost and increase capability

• DoD “costs for capability” are increasing exponentially

– e.g., AEGIS baseline

• Hardware-centric systems

– Few vendors

• Highly integrated applications

• Redundant services & databases

Military trend: Costs increase as technology matures

Trends and Transformation – Why and How

Military trend from analyzing the past 20 years of DoD programs

Commercial trend: Costs decrease as technology matures

Capability

Cos

t

Pivot onto commercial trend through:

- Service Oriented Architecture (SOA)- Data strategy- Governance- Rapid Capability Development

Pivot onto commercial trend through:

- Service Oriented Architecture (SOA)- Data strategy- Governance- Rapid Capability Development

Time

N6 Investment: Leverage commercial and joint efforts to reduce cost

N6 C4I Infrastructure

• Commercial Industry has consistently realized savings

• This illustrates the commercial trend from analyzing completed industry projects over the past 5 years

• Observed implementations included:

– Open Architecture

– COTS

Numerous vendors

– Standardized infrastructure

8

1515 15

N6 Approach

Warfighting Manpower

Business

Architecture with Data Strategy, Governance, and Rapid Capability Development are the forcing functions

Systems Systems

Systems

Applications

Applications ApplicationsCommon

Infrastructure&

SharedData

1616 16

IMAFISC

SPAWAR

TRNG CEN

MHQ/MOC

NCDOC

Desired End State

Architecture: Provides common services & infrastructure• Consolidated Afloat Network Enterprise Services (CANES)• Next Generation Enterprise Network (NGEN)• Network Security

Data Strategy: Ensures interoperability• Common Net-centric Data Environment (CNDE) – MDA COI

Rapid Capability Development:• MHQ-MOC capabilities• MDA capabilities• Coalition connectivity• Bandwidth / throughput• Information Ops

Governance:• Enables all of the above• Generates liquidity for greater agility

Architecture:

CANESCANESCANES

Data StrategyNGEN

BASE

Increased bandwidth / throughput + CANES enables Sea Warrior / Distance Support

Increased bandwidth / throughput + CANES enables Sea Warrior / Distance Support

“… suspect cargo”

9

1717 17

Questions?

1818 18

Trend Summary

Five Years2 YearsToday

Funding

Connectivity

Technology

Manpower

• Failure to address these trends early will compound impact 5 years from now

• LNR continues• N6 does not have insight into all Navy funding

• Legacy Network reduction (LNR)

• Connectivity to Navy users levels out

• Commercial continues to increase

• Connectivity to Navy tactical users improves

• Not keeping pace

• Small Combatant lags typical home user

• Begin to field technology that’s available today

• Insignificant change from current capabilities

• Navy has fallen off pace

• Acquisition not agile

• LCS manning requires “Hybrid sailor”

• Connectivity will be key

• Downward trend continues

• Downward manpower trend

?? ?? ??

Five Years2 YearsToday

Funding

Connectivity

Technology

Manpower

• Navy funding keeps pace with commercial world

• LNR funding captured

• Warfighting Network Sustainment

• Data throughput to Navy users keeping pace with commercial world

• Reliable Satellite Communication

• Coalition and Multinational C4 Interoperability

• Navy technology keeping pace with industry

• Robust network security

• Service Oriented Architecture

• Standards based on industry best practices

• Unclass COP / MDA

• LCS “Hybrid sailor”• Improved C4 Training

• Streamlined administrative C4 processes

Optimized investments, Rapid Capability Development and more effective policy / governance will flip these arrows in our favor

10

1919 19

1. Coalition And Multinational C4 Interoperability

2. Reliable Satellite Communication

3. Data Throughput

4. Computer Network Defense

5. Common Operational Picture (COP) / Maritime Domain Awareness (MDA)

6. Real-time Collaboration

7. Standards Based On Industry Best Practices

8. Streamlined Administrative C4 Processes

9. C4 Training

10. Warfighting Network Sustainment and Life Cycle Management

Combination of numerous trends

Connectivity

Connectivity

Security

Combination of numerous trends

Web Services

Data Strategy, IP Stack

ComplexityManpower

Unit Cost

NCC Top 10 Commercial Trend

Naval Component Commander (NCC) Top 10 C4I IssuesCompared to commercial investment trends

Fleet priorities mirror commercial trends