Navios South American Logistics Inc. South American Logistics Inc. (Marshall Islands) Peers Business...
Transcript of Navios South American Logistics Inc. South American Logistics Inc. (Marshall Islands) Peers Business...
Company Presentation
March 2017
Navios South American Logistics Inc.
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This presentation contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Reform Act of 1995. All statements herein other than statements of historical fact, including statements regarding business and industry prospects or future results of operations or financial position, and future dividends or distributions, should be considered forward-looking. Words such as “may,” “expects,” “intends,” “plans,” “believes,” “anticipates,” “hopes,” “estimates,” and variations of such words and similar expressions are intended to identify forward-looking statements. These forward looking statements are based on the information available to, and the expectations and assumptions deemed reasonable by, Navios Logistics at the time this presentation was made. Although Navios Logistics believes that the expectations reflected in such forward-looking statements are reasonable, no assurance can be given that such expectations will prove to have been correct. These statements involve known and unknown risks and are based upon a number of assumptions and estimates which are inherently subject to significant uncertainties and contingencies, many of which are beyond the control of Navios Logistics. Actual results may differ materially from those expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Included among the factors that, in management’s view, could cause actual results to differ materially from the forward-looking statements contained in this report are changes in any of the following: (i) demand and/or charter and contract rates for our vessels and port facilities; (ii) production or demand for the types of dry and liquid products that are transported by our vessels or stored in our ports; (iii) operating costs including, but not limited to, changes in crew salaries, insurance, provisions, repairs, maintenance and overhead expenses; (iv) changes in interest rates; and other factors listed from time to time in the Navios Logistics’ filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including its Form 20Fs and Form 6Ks. Navios Logistics expressly disclaims any obligations or undertaking to release publicly any updates or revisions to any forward-looking statements contained herein to reflect any change in Navios Logistics’ expectations with respect thereto or any change in events, conditions or circumstances on which any statement is based.
EBITDA represents Net Income/(Loss) attributable to Navios Logistics’ stockholders before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization. Adjusted EBITDA represents EBITDA excluding certain items as described under “Earnings Highlights”. EBITDA is presented because it is used by certain investors to measure a company's operating performance. EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA are “non-GAAP financial measures” and should not be considered a substitute for net income, cash flow from operating activities and other operations or cash flow statement data prepared in accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States or as a measure of profitability or liquidity. While EBITDA is frequently used as a measure of operating performance, the definition of EBITDA used here may not be comparable to that used by other companies due to differences in methods of calculation.
Forward Looking Statements
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Navios Logistics Overview
Navios Maritime Holdings Inc. (NYSE: NM)
• Controls 66-vessel dry bulk fleet; 40 owned and 26 long term chartered-in vessels
• Global brand; Flexible business model
• Stable cash flow from charter out contracts and distributions from subsidiaries
• 2016 EBITDA: $165.2 million
• Share price: $1.90; per share value of investment in public subsidiaries = $1.65(1)
Navios Maritime Acquisition
Corporation (NYSE: NNA)
• 36 vessels - 26 product tankers, 8 VLCCs, 2
chemical tankers
• leading company in tanker sector
• 2016 EBITDA: $194.6 million
• 2016 Net Income: $62.9 million
• NM ownership: $137.2 million market value
• Annual dividend: $0.20; 10.6% yield
Navios South American
Logistics Inc. • Logistics operator in Hidrovia
• Core operations: Port Terminal
facilities, barging & cabotage
• 2016 EBITDA: $68.1 million
• 2016 Net Income: $10.2 million
20-year contract with Vale for port
services – expected $35 million
annual minimum EBITDA
Navios Maritime Partners L.P. (NYSE: NMM)
• MLP - 31 vessels
• 9 Capesize, 12 Panamax, 3 Ultra
Handymax & 7 Containers
• 2016 Adj. EBITDA:$123.5 million
• 2016 Adj. Net Income: $14.6 million
• NM ownership: $56.5 million market
value(1)
Navios Maritime Midstream Partners L.P. (NYSE: NAP)
• MLP - 6 VLCCs
• Long-term charters in tanker midstream sector
• Options on 3 VLCC dropdowns provide built-in fleet & distribution growth
• 2016 EBITDA: $66.2 million
• 2016 Net Income: $24.9 million
• Market value of NNA ownership: $137.2 million
• Annual dividend: $1.69; 15.5% yield
30.9%(1) 63.8% 46.1%
59.0%
Navios Group Structure
4 Note: All stock prices and yields as of February 17, 2017
(1) Pro-forma as of February 14, 2017 for the issuance of units to Navios Holdings in connection with the recently announced transaction
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Navios Maritime Holdings Inc.
NYSE: NM
Navios Logistics Ownership Structure
63.8% Ownership 36.2% Ownership
Port Terminals
Storage and Transshipment
• Bulk Terminal – Nueva
Palmira, Uruguay (tax free
zone) with 460,000 mt storage
capacity
• Fuel Terminal – San Antonio,
Paraguay with 45,660 m3
storage capacity
20-year contract with Vale for port
services – expected $35 million annual
minimum EBITDA
Barge Business
• 340(1) barges and pushboats
transporting dry and liquid
cargoes across the river system
– Push boats
– Dry barges
– Oil barges
– LPG barges
• 1 floating dry dock
Cabotage Business
• Refined product transportation
along the Argentinean coast
• Six ocean going product
tankers, one river tanker(2), and
one bunker vessel
• Strategy to secure cash flows
with long term contracts
• Awarded Brazilian Cabotage
contracts for six new building
vessels
Navios South American Logistics Inc.
(Marshall Islands)
Peers Business Inc.
(1) Including three new building push boats expected to be delivered in Q3 2017
(2) Including one new building river tanker expected to be deliver in Q1 2018
Navios Logistics Highlights
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Leading Logistics Provider
in the Hidrovia Region of
South America
Largest independent grain terminal in Hidrovia
Largest independent mineral terminal in Hidrovia
One of the largest independent liquid terminals in Paraguay
One of the largest, most versatile river barge fleets serving a diverse set of industries
One of the largest Argentinean product cabotage fleet with an average age of 8 years
Favorable Market
Fundamental
Robust growth in exports of commodities
Hidrovia system and coastal cabotage are critical infrastructure for region
Scale and Strong Asset
Base Provide Operating
Efficiency
Economies of scale provide low costs per ton transported
Integrated terminal, barge and cabotage network offers substantial operating leverage
Strong
Counterparties
Diverse group of large, high-quality counterparties
ADM, Bunge, Cargill, Dreyfus, Vale, Vitol, YPF among others
Focus on Contracted Cash
Flow
Strategic positioning with fixed rate contracts and CoAs with minimum volume
guarantees
Long-term relationships with high contract renewal rates
Seasoned Management
Team with Strong Track
Record and Established
Brand
Strategic relationships
Experienced management team
Long operating history in region
Integrated Transportation and Storage Services
Port Terminals Barge Business Cabotage Business
Asset Base
Bulk transfer and storage port
terminal in Nueva Palmira,
Uruguay
Liquid port in San Antonio,
Paraguay
272 dry barges
38 tank barges
27 pushboats(1)
3 LPG barges
1 floating dry dock
6 Product tankers
(8,974 – 17,508 dwt)
1 Bunker Vessel (1,693 dwt)
1 River tanker (5,000 dwt)(2)
Commodities Transported
or Stored
Dry cargo (cereals, soybeans,
iron ore, etc)
Liquid cargo (primarily diesel
fuel and naphtha)
Dry cargo
Liquid cargo
Liquefied Petroleum Gas (LPG)
Refined oil products
Typical Customer Contracts
Long-term storage and
transshipment contracts
New 20-year storage and
transshipment contract with
Vale for mineral commodities
Time charters and CoAs (1-6
years)
Spot market contracts
Time charters
(1-3 years average duration)
Spot market contracts
Geographic
Region
Strategic locations along the
Hidrovia river system
Hidrovia river system
Argentinean coastal trade
Opportunity to expand into
Brazilian cabotage market
7 (1) Including three new building push boats expected to be delivered in Q3 2017
(2) Including one new building river tanker expected to be deliver in Q1 2018
Barge Business Ports Cabotage
# Barges &
Pushboats
Largest Independent Dry Port
in the Hidrovia
One of the Largest
Independent Liquid Ports in
Paraguay
Key Benefits of
Large Scale
• Lower operating costs
• Greater market presence
• Higher quality charterers
• Strong strategic relationships (shipyards, commercial banks, etc.)
DWT
(‘000) Top 5 Players Top 5 Argentinean Coastal Cabotage
Players by Tonnage(1)
Largest Independent Logistics Provider in Hidrovia
8 (1) Includes vessels 5,000 – 29,000 DWT
(2) Including three new building push boats expected to be delivered in Q3 2017
Sources: Drewry
720
340
271 258 243
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
Ultrapetrol NSAL Interbarge Fluvialba ADM
(2)
87
81
63
41 38
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
NationalShipping
NSAL Antares Ultrapetrol Maruba
Navios Logistics Presence Throughout Supply Chain
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Argentina
Paraguay
Brazil
Bolivia
Iron ore
Grains
Liquid cargo
Dry Port
Liquid Port
Paraguay Fuel Port Terminal • Loading / Unloading
• 45,660 m3 storage capacity
Uruguay Bulk Port Terminal • Loading / Unloading
• 460,000 mt storage capacity
• Drying & conditioning facility
Uruguay
Cabotage Transportation • 6 ocean going tankers
• 1 bunker vessel
• 1 river tanker(2)
• Distribution of oil products
Barge Transportation • 340(1) barges and push boats
• Dry and liquid cargos
Exports
(1) Including three new building push boats expected to be delivered in Q3 2017
(2) Including one new building river tanker expected to be deliver in Q1 2018
Navios Logistics Recent Developments
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London arbitration tribunal ruled Vale 20-year port services contract in full force
• 4 million tons guaranteed per year by Vale
– $35.0 million estimated annual EBITDA(1)
– $1.0 billion estimated 20-year aggregate EBITDA(1)
• 6 million tons additional available annual capacity (10 million tons total design capacity)
– Vale has an option for additional 2 million tons
– 4 million tons available to third parties
– $50.0 million estimated additional annual EBITDA(1)
• Construction expected to be completed in March 2017
New York arbitration tribunal ruled for Navios Logistics re: barge COA dispute with Vale
• Vale must pay Navios Logistics $21.5 million
• Navios compensated for unpaid invoices, late payments and legal fees
$25.0 million term loan facility signed and drawn in December 2016
• Term: approximately 5 years
• Interest: 6M Libor + 3.25%
• Security: assignment of certain receivables
• Purpose: general corporate purposes
$13.1 million new building tanker vessel with 5 year employment
• Average annual expected EBITDA = $3.5 million(2), cumulative expected EBITDA = $17.2 million(2)
• Option for seller’s credit: 2 years, 50% of purchase price, 6.75% fixed interest rate p.a.
• Expected delivery January 2018
(1) Assuming operating costs similar to operating costs of Navios Logistics’ existing dry port terminal
(2) Assuming 360 revenue days, 365 cost days and operating costs similar to Navios Logistics’ existing fleet
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Market Overview
• Runs over 4,500 kilometers across the agricultural heartland of South America
– Comparable in length to the Mississippi system
Hidrovia Region Mississippi Region South America
Number of barges: ~ 3,000 Number of barges: ~ 29,000
Significant Capacity for Growth
Hidrovia: Agricultural Heartland of South America
12 Source: Drewry
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Favorable Market Fundamentals of Hidrovia
VENEZUELA
BOLIVIA
ARGENTINA
BRAZIL
FRENCH GUIANA
SURINAMEGUYANA
COLOMBIA
ECUADOR
PERU
PARAGUAY
URUGUAY
CHILE
VENEZUELA
BOLIVIA
ARGENTINA
BRAZIL
FRENCH GUIANA
SURINAMEGUYANA
COLOMBIA
ECUADOR
PERU
PARAGUAY
URUGUAY
CHILE
• Growing exports of grain and mineral commodities
- Region accounts for ~52% of global soybean
production
- Significant expansion in iron ore production
- Significant exporter to emerging market
economies, such as China
• Stable growth in oil demand
- 69% of Argentina’s refining capacity is located
near the Hidrovia and in the River Plate
- Paraguay does not produce any crude oil and
relies on imports from larger refineries in Argentina
• Reliance on waterborne transportation
- Shortage of highway or rail infrastructure
alternatives
- River system provides access to Atlantic Ocean
and global export markets
- River barges and coastal tankers are the most
cost-efficient method of transportation
Coastal
Cabotage
Trade
Navios
Oil
Products
Terminal
Navios
Dry Port
Terminal
Hidrovia
River
System
Source: Drewry, USDA February 2017
Strategically Positioned to Serve the Soybean
Production…
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Hidrovia accounts for ~52% of
world soybean production
Mill
ion M
etr
ic T
ons
Note: Crop years for Soybean Production according to USDA definition, P = Preliminary, E = Estimate
Source: Drewry, USDA February 2017
Regio
n %
of W
orld
Hidrovia Region Soybean Production Uruguay Soybean Production
40%
45%
50%
55%
60%
0.0
20.0
40.0
60.0
80.0
100.0
120.0
140.0
160.0
180.0
200.0
00
/01
01
/02
02
/03
03
/04
04
/05
05
/06
06
/07
07
/08
08
/09
09
/10
10
/11
11
/12
12
/13
13
/14
14
/15
15
/16
P
16
/17
E
Soybean Production Region % of World
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
01
/02
02
/03
03
/04
04
/05
05
/06
06
/07
07
/08
08
/09
09
/10
10
/11
11
/12
12
/13
13
/14
14
/15
15
/16
P
16
/17
E
Uruguay Soybean Production
Mill
ion M
etr
ic T
ons
Uruguay is the fastest growing soybean
producer in the region
…and the Corumba Region Minerals Production
15 Source: Drewry, Vale
1.1 1.9 2.2 2.3
2.7
4.5 4.7 4.9
3.7
6.2
7.4 8.2
7.4 6.4
5.2
3.0
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Million Metric Tons
Corumba Iron Ore and Manganese Ore Production
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016P
Argentina Bolivia Brazil Paraguay Uruguay
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(million barrels per day)
Argentina’s total oil demand was about 700,000 bpd in 2016
Argentina’s total oil refining capacity is about 627,000 bpd
69% of Argentina’s refining capacity is located near the
Hidrovia and in the River Plate Estuary
Paraguay does not produce any crude oil and relies on
imports from larger refineries in Argentina
2.6 2.6 2.5 2.5 2.6 2.7 2.7 2.9 3.1 3.2
CAGR
2000-2016
Argentina 2.9%
Bolivia 2.2%
Brazil 2.6%
Paraguay 0.7%
Uruguay 0.8%
Total 2.6%
Total
Hidrovia Region: Stable Growth in Oil Demand
3.6
Source: Drewry
3.6 3.4 3.9 4.0 4.0 3.9
New Jumbo Barges: Even More Efficient Design
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One Jumbo Barge:
2,875 Tons
One Mississippi Barge:
1,500 Tons
~2x
Jumbo Hopper Car:
112 Tons
~26x
Large Semi:
26 Tons
~111x
One 16-Mississippi Barge
Convoy = 24,000 dwt
~2.1x 100-Car unit Train ~920x Large Semis (Trucks)
Source: IOWA Department of Transportation
One 20-Mississippi Barge
Convoy = 30,000 dwt
~2.7x 100-Car unit Train ~1,150x Large Semis (Trucks)
One 12-Jumbo Barge
Convoy = 34,500 dwt
~3.1x 100-Car unit Train ~1,330x Large Semis (Trucks)
=
=
=
=
=
=
Source: Web site of the UNESCO/IHP Regional Office of Latin America and the Caribbean
Water requirement equivalent of main
food products
Global Virtual Water Imbalances Will Continue to be a Driver of Agricultural Trade
This table gives examples of water required per unit of
major food products, including livestock, which consume the
most water per unit. Cereals, oil crops, and pulses, roots
and tubers consume far less water.
Source: SIWI and IWMI, 2004
Product Unit Equivalent water
in m3 per unit
Fresh beef kg 15
Fresh lamb kg 10
Fresh poultry kg 6
Cereals kg 1.5
Citrus fruits kg 1
Palm oil kg 2
Puls, roots and tubers kg 1
North &
Central America
Africa
Asia
South
America
Europe
15% 8%
26%
6%
11% 13%
8% 13%
36%
60%
5% <1%
Australia
& Oceania
% of Global Water Supply % of Global Population
Fresh Water Availability vs. Population:
Grain Exports = Virtual Water Trade
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Q4 & FY 2016 Financial Highlights
Navios Logistics Q4 and FY 2016 Earnings Highlights
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(in $ ‘000)
Three months
ended
December 31,
2016
Three months
ended
December 31,
2015
Y-O-Y
Variance
Twelve months
ended
December 31,
2016
Twelve months
ended
December 31,
2015
Y-O-Y
Variance
Navios
Logistics
Revenue 42,976 52,419 (18%) 220,336 251,047 (12%)
EBITDA 7,119 15,942 (55%) 68,061 80,449 (15%)
Net income (5,685) 1,358 n/a 10,157 22,238 (54%)
Port
Terminals
Revenue 13,772 13,497 2% 66,386 81,729 (19%)
EBITDA 2,656 4,548 (42%) 23,773 29,907 (21%)
Barge
Business
Revenue 21,557 26,782 (20%) 101,313 105,973 (4%)
EBITDA 4,088 10,530 (61%) 31,971 38,186 (16%)
Cabotage
Business
Revenue 7,647 12,140 (37%) 52,637 63,345 (17%)
EBITDA 375 864 (57%) 12,317 12,356 0%
(1) EBITDA for the year ended December 31, 2014 has been adjusted to exclude $27.3 million loss on bond extinguishment
32.5 39.0 48.1
56.8 68.8
80.4 68.1
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
188.0 234.7 247.0 237.1
268.8 251.0
220.3
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
3%
CAGR 13%
CAGR
EBITDA ($ million) Revenue ($ million)
(1)
Navios Logistics Q4 2016 Balance Sheet
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(1) Notes payable relate to amounts drawn under the unsecured export financing line of credit for a total amount of $42.0 million, including all related costs, in connection with the
purchase of mechanical equipment for the expansion of Navios Logistics dry port terminal
(2) Pro-forma for the New York arbitration final award of $21.5 million
Selected Balance Sheet Data (in $'000)
December 31, 2016 December 31, 2015
Cash & cash equivalents (inc. restricted cash) 68,082 81,507
Accounts Receivable 32,913 26,097
Deposits for vessels, port terminals and other fixed assets, net 136,891 44,254
Vessels port terminal and other fixed assets, net 409,488 427,860
Total Assets 855,181 785,619
Senior notes, net of deferred financing costs 368,180 367,178
Current portion of long term debt 1,819 69
Long term debt, net of current portion 23,503 321
Notes payable, current(1) 4,532 -
Notes payable, noncurrent(1) 29,915 -
Current portion of capital lease obligations 2,639 2,929
Capital lease obligations, net of current portion 14,978 17,720
Stockholders Equity 346,171 336,013
Book Capitalization 791,737 724,230
Net Debt / Book Capitalization(2) 45% 42%
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