National Income Accout. System

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    National Accounting System

    Financial institutions are medium betweenhousehold savings and investment for industry.

    Government imposes taxes and collects revenue

    and provides services for public. Transaction of goods, services and financial assets

    within the countries as well as with the foreignersare also considered in National Accounting System(NAS).

    NAS provides a picture of economic transactions.

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    Account System: Production Account

    Debit Credit

    Factor Income

    Retained Profit

    Corporate Profit TaxIndirect Taxes

    Imports

    Depreciation

    Sales to Household

    Sales to Government

    Domestic InvestmentExports

    Subsidies from

    Government

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    Account System: Household SectorAccount

    Debit Credit

    Consumption

    Personal Income Taxes

    Transfer to foreignersPersonal Savings

    Income from domesticsavings

    Income from AbroadTransfer from Government

    Transfer from Foreigners

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    Account System: Government Account

    Debit Credit

    Wages and Salaries

    Purchase of goods and

    servicesTransfer to foreigners

    Subsidies to producers

    Surplus

    Corporate profit Tax

    Indirect taxes

    Personal Income Tax

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    Account System: External Account

    Debit Credit

    Exports

    Transfer from foreigners

    Income from AbroadDeficit on CurrentAccount

    Imports

    Transfer to foreigners

    Income paid to foreigners

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    Account System: Investment Account

    Debit Credit

    Personal Savings

    Business Savings

    Government SavingsDeficit on CurrentAccount

    Fixed Investment

    Net Change in stocks

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    Consumption Saving and

    Investment

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    Consumption Saving and Investment

    John Maynard Keynes : British economist (1883-1946) who offered an explanation of the GreatDepression of the 1930s.

    The General Theory of Employment Interestand Money

    Keynes - The economy could tend towards aless than full employment equilibrium.

    Classical economist (Prior to the 1930s) - Theeconomy is always tending toward a fullemployment equilibrium

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    Consumption Saving and Investment

    J. B. Say (Says law) : Supply creates its owndemand.

    Keynes believed that Demand can be foreverinadequate for an economy to achieve full

    employment. What determines demand for goods and services -

    Disposable income

    Consumption Function: shows the householdspending for goods and services at different levelsof disposable income.

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    Consumption Saving and Investment

    Consumption function Relationship between consumption and disposable

    income

    Positive slope Autonomous consumption spending

    Part of consumption spending

    Independent of income

    Vertical intercept - consumption function Saving: Money earned but not spent.

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    Consumption Saving and Investment

    Dis-saving - The amount personal spendingexceeds disposable income.

    By taking money from personal savings.

    Autonomous Consumption: Consumption that is

    independent of the level of disposable income What happens when disposable income is zero?

    Spending will be equal to autonomous consumption

    because households will dissave for basic needs.

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    Consumption Spending

    Consumption spending increases when:

    Disposable income rises

    Wealth rises

    Interest rate falls

    Optimistic about the future

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    Consumption and DisposableIncome

    Marginal propensity to consume (MPC)

    Slope of the consumption function

    Amount by which consumption spending riseswhen disposable income rises.

    1MPC0incomeeDisposabl

    onConsumptiMPC

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    Consumption and DisposableIncome

    Representing the consumption with anequation

    C = consumption spending

    a = autonomous consumption spending

    b = MPC

    Income)e(DisposablbaC+=

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    The Consumption Function

    Consumption

    Function

    1,000

    600

    The consumption function shows the (linear)relationship between consumption spendingand disposable income

    and the slope of the line(0.6) is the marginal

    propensity to consume.

    Consumptio

    nS

    pending

    1,000

    2,000

    3,000

    4,000

    5,000

    6,000

    7,000

    8,000

    Disposable Income

    1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,000

    The vertical intercept (2,000)

    is autonomous consumptionspending

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    Consumption and Income

    Consumptionincome line

    Aggregate consumption spending at eachlevel of income or GDP

    Slope = MPC

    If Tax is fixed, it shifts downward by

    MPCTax

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    The Consumption-Income Line

    1. To draw the consumption-

    income line, we measurereal income (instead of realdisposable income) on thehorizontal axis.

    Consumption-Income Line

    600

    A

    B

    Real ConsumptionSpending

    1,000

    2,000

    3,000

    4,000

    5,0005,600

    Real Income

    2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000

    1,000

    2. The slope of theconsumption function

    3. but a differentvertical intercept.

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    Shifts in the Consumption-Income Line

    Move along

    Change in income - changes consumptionspending

    Shift Change in anything else except income

    changes consumption spending

    lineincome-nconsumptiothealongrightward

    MovementspendingnConsumptio

    incomeDisposableIncome

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    Shifts in the Consumption-Income Line

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    Shift the Consumption-IncomeLine

    Consumption-Income Line WhenNet Taxes = 500 billion

    Consumption-Income Line WhenNet Taxes = 2,000 billion

    RealConsumption

    Spending

    1,000

    2,000

    3,000

    4,000

    5,000

    6,000

    7,000

    8,000

    Real Income

    2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000

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    Getting to Total Spending

    Investment Spending

    Given

    Government purchases

    Given

    Net exports = Total exports - Total imports

    Given

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    Income and AggregateExpenditure

    Aggregate expenditure=C+Ip +G+NX

    Income increases Aggregate expenditure increases

    GDPMPCAE =

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    Deriving the AggregateExpenditure Line

    C + IP + G

    C + IP + G + NX

    C + IP

    C

    2. then add planned investment (IP)

    1. Start with theconsumption-income line,

    5. to get the aggregate expenditure line.

    3. government purchases (G) . . .

    4. and net exports (NX)

    RealAggregate

    Expenditure

    1,000

    2,000

    3,000

    4,000

    5,000

    6,000

    7,000

    8,000

    Real GDP

    2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000

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    Finding Equilibrium GDP

    Equilibrium GDP in the short run

    Output = aggregate expenditure

    Change in inventory

    Inventories = GDP - AE

    GDPinchangeNo0sInventorieGDPAE

    GDP0sInventorieGDPAE

    GDP0sInventorieGDPAE

    ==

    > potential output

    Unusually low unemployment

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    AELOWAggregateProductionFunction

    45

    Equilibrium GDP and Full Employment

    8,000

    10,000

    10,000

    E

    F

    100

    10,000

    150

    A

    B

    8,000

    and equilibrium employmentis less than full employment.

    Full EmploymentPotential GDP

    cyclicalunemployment= 50

    AggregateExpenditure

    Real GDP

    Real GDP

    Number ofWorkers

    equilibrium output(8,000) is less thanpotential output,

    When the aggregateexpenditure line islow . . .

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    Equilibrium GDP andEmployment

    12,000

    12,000

    H

    10,000

    10,000

    10,000 B

    Potential GDP

    AggregateExpenditure

    Real GDP

    AEHIGH

    Real GDP

    Number ofWorkers

    AggregateProductionFunction

    150

    Full Employment200

    When the aggregateexpenditure line is high . . . and equilibrium employment is

    greater than full employment.

    equilibrium output (12,000) is

    greater than potential output,

    F

    E'

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    A Change in InvestmentSpending

    Increase investment spending

    Sales revenue increases

    Income/disposable income increases

    Consumption spending increases

    Expenditure multiplier

    Change in equilibrium real GDP

    For 1 change in C, IP, G, or NX

    MPC)(1

    1Multiplier

    =

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    A Change in InvestmentSpending

    1,600

    1,960

    2,1762,306

    2,500

    1,000

    InitialRise in

    IP

    AfterRound

    2

    AfterRound

    3

    AfterRound

    4

    AfterRound

    5

    Increase inAnnual GDP

    AfterAll

    Rounds

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    A Change in InvestmentSpending

    Increase investment spending

    GDP increases by morethan the initialincrease in investment

    Decrease investment spending GDP falls by more than the change in

    spending

    PIMPC)(1

    1GDP

    =

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    A Graphical View of theMultiplier

    An increase in C, IP, G, or NX

    Shift the AE line upward by the initial increasein spending

    Equilibrium GDP rises:

    SpendingMPC)(1

    1GDP

    =

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    A Graphical View of theMultiplier

    F

    E

    2,500

    4,000 8,000 12,000

    4,000

    8,000

    12,000

    Real GDP

    Real AggregateExpenditure

    45

    AE2

    AE1

    Increase inEquilibrium GDP

    $1,000

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    Automatic Stabilizers and theMultiplier

    Automatic stabilizers

    Reduce the size of the multiplier

    Diminish the impact of spending changes Taxes.

    Transfer payments

    Interest rates

    Imports Forward-looking behavior

    Long-run: Multiplier = 0

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    Appendix 1

    Finding Equilibrium GDP Algebraically

    b1

    NXGIbTaY

    AEY

    NXGICAE

    bY)bTa(C

    )TY(baCTYY

    bYaC

    PP

    D

    D

    +++=

    =

    +++=

    +=

    +=

    =

    +=

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    Appendix 2: Tax Multiplier

    Tax multiplier = -(Spending multiplier-1)

    TMPC-1

    MPC-GDP

    MPC-1

    MPC-MultiplierTax

    =

    =