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NASSCOM GIC Conclave 2014 - Mega change: Tomorrow is here - Ross Dawson, Advanced Human Technologies...
Transcript of NASSCOM GIC Conclave 2014 - Mega change: Tomorrow is here - Ross Dawson, Advanced Human Technologies...
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Ross Dawson: The New World of Business
NASSCOM GIC Conclave – April 16, 2014
© 2014 Ross Dawson
www.rossdawson.com
1
Mega Change Tomorrow is Here
Futurist
Strategy advisor
Author
@rossdawson
it’s just
u ne ve n ly
d is tr ib u te d
The future is already here
- William Gibson, author
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Ross Dawson: The New World of Business
NASSCOM GIC Conclave – April 16, 2014
© 2014 Ross Dawson
www.rossdawson.com
2
Information
Work
Interfaces
Machines
Leadership
Bio
Capital
Organisations
Structure
Information
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Ross Dawson: The New World of Business
NASSCOM GIC Conclave – April 16, 2014
© 2014 Ross Dawson
www.rossdawson.com
3
Source: Internet World Stats, as of 30 June 2012
More of us connected
%
million
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90
Oceania
Middle East
Africa
Latin America
North America
Europe
Asia
0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200
Internet users
Penetration
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Ross Dawson: The New World of Business
NASSCOM GIC Conclave – April 16, 2014
© 2014 Ross Dawson
www.rossdawson.com
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Gigabit for all
Fast mobile everywhere
Source: GSMA/ A.T. Kearney
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Ross Dawson: The New World of Business
NASSCOM GIC Conclave – April 16, 2014
© 2014 Ross Dawson
www.rossdawson.com
5
Machines overtaking man
Translation anywhere
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Ross Dawson: The New World of Business
NASSCOM GIC Conclave – April 16, 2014
© 2014 Ross Dawson
www.rossdawson.com
6
Soaring data
Source:
IDC/ EMC
Data from everywhere
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Ross Dawson: The New World of Business
NASSCOM GIC Conclave – April 16, 2014
© 2014 Ross Dawson
www.rossdawson.com
7
DNA storage
Interfaces
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Ross Dawson: The New World of Business
NASSCOM GIC Conclave – April 16, 2014
© 2014 Ross Dawson
www.rossdawson.com
8
At your command
Seeing more
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Ross Dawson: The New World of Business
NASSCOM GIC Conclave – April 16, 2014
© 2014 Ross Dawson
www.rossdawson.com
9
Immersed in virtual reality
Thought interfaces
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Ross Dawson: The New World of Business
NASSCOM GIC Conclave – April 16, 2014
© 2014 Ross Dawson
www.rossdawson.com
10
Beyond videoconferencing
Interpreting emotions
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Ross Dawson: The New World of Business
NASSCOM GIC Conclave – April 16, 2014
© 2014 Ross Dawson
www.rossdawson.com
11
Wearable computers
Machines
Flickr credit: switchstyle
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Ross Dawson: The New World of Business
NASSCOM GIC Conclave – April 16, 2014
© 2014 Ross Dawson
www.rossdawson.com
12
Cognitively challenging tasks
A new generation of robots
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Ross Dawson: The New World of Business
NASSCOM GIC Conclave – April 16, 2014
© 2014 Ross Dawson
www.rossdawson.com
13
Emotional robots
Delivery anywhere
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Ross Dawson: The New World of Business
NASSCOM GIC Conclave – April 16, 2014
© 2014 Ross Dawson
www.rossdawson.com
14
Computers as journalists
Bio
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Ross Dawson: The New World of Business
NASSCOM GIC Conclave – April 16, 2014
© 2014 Ross Dawson
www.rossdawson.com
15
The potential of bio-informatics
Aggregating genetic data
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Ross Dawson: The New World of Business
NASSCOM GIC Conclave – April 16, 2014
© 2014 Ross Dawson
www.rossdawson.com
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Life extension
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
Men
Women
Age expectancy at birth - Sweden
Capital
Flickr credit: rednuht
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Ross Dawson: The New World of Business
NASSCOM GIC Conclave – April 16, 2014
© 2014 Ross Dawson
www.rossdawson.com
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The rise of crowdfunding
Peer-to-peer lending
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Ross Dawson: The New World of Business
NASSCOM GIC Conclave – April 16, 2014
© 2014 Ross Dawson
www.rossdawson.com
18
The rise of digital currencies
Flickr credit: Grietje Haitsma
Structure
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Ross Dawson: The New World of Business
NASSCOM GIC Conclave – April 16, 2014
© 2014 Ross Dawson
www.rossdawson.com
19
Transaction costs slide
Matching demand and availability
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Ross Dawson: The New World of Business
NASSCOM GIC Conclave – April 16, 2014
© 2014 Ross Dawson
www.rossdawson.com
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Customers as designers
Distributed energy
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Ross Dawson: The New World of Business
NASSCOM GIC Conclave – April 16, 2014
© 2014 Ross Dawson
www.rossdawson.com
21
3D printed clothes
3D printing houses
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Ross Dawson: The New World of Business
NASSCOM GIC Conclave – April 16, 2014
© 2014 Ross Dawson
www.rossdawson.com
22
Work
Work can be done anywhere
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Ross Dawson: The New World of Business
NASSCOM GIC Conclave – April 16, 2014
© 2014 Ross Dawson
www.rossdawson.com
23
Merging human and algorithmic tasks
Predictive modelling on demand
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Ross Dawson: The New World of Business
NASSCOM GIC Conclave – April 16, 2014
© 2014 Ross Dawson
www.rossdawson.com
24
Free learning for all
Organisations
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Ross Dawson: The New World of Business
NASSCOM GIC Conclave – April 16, 2014
© 2014 Ross Dawson
www.rossdawson.com
25
Value creation by the crowd
Fluid markets for talent
Flickr credit: Lars Ploughman
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Ross Dawson: The New World of Business
NASSCOM GIC Conclave – April 16, 2014
© 2014 Ross Dawson
www.rossdawson.com
26
Complete transparency
No managers
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Ross Dawson: The New World of Business
NASSCOM GIC Conclave – April 16, 2014
© 2014 Ross Dawson
www.rossdawson.com
27
Leadership
The only way
you can control your destiny
is to be more flexible
than your environment
- The Law of Requisite Variety
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Ross Dawson: The New World of Business
NASSCOM GIC Conclave – April 16, 2014
© 2014 Ross Dawson
www.rossdawson.com
28
Experiment and learn
Governance for transformation
Benefits Risks/ Concerns Risks of NOT
taking action
Productivity and
efficiency
Productivity loss Reduced
competitiveness
Staff satisfaction and
engagement
Loss of control Harder to attract
talented staff
Access to information
and processes
Information reliability Fragmentation of
information
Flexibility in work Systems security Unauthorized use of
technology
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Ross Dawson: The New World of Business
NASSCOM GIC Conclave – April 16, 2014
© 2014 Ross Dawson
www.rossdawson.com
29
The journey of creating the future
Information
Work
Interfaces
Machines
Leadership
Bio
Capital
Organisations
Structure
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Ross Dawson: The New World of Business
NASSCOM GIC Conclave – April 16, 2014
© 2014 Ross Dawson
www.rossdawson.com
30