Nashville Industrial_2Q11
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Transcript of Nashville Industrial_2Q11
1Q
2011
2Q
2011
VACANCY
NET ABSORPTION
CONSTRUCTION
RENTAL RATE
MARKET REPORTNASHVILLE
www.colliers.com/Nashville
Industrial Market Stabilizes
As the economy strengthens, the industrial market is starting to stabilize. The past year was a difficult one, with little growth in any area of the commercial real estate market. With the second quarter of 2011, we’re seeing some improvement. The length of time required to complete transactions continues to remain long as tenants maintain a cautious approach. Many of the transaction posted during this quarter originated in August of 2010. Despite this cautious approach, transactions are being completed and tenants are more receptive to investing in larger spaces.
Absorption posted negative 115,000 SF despite several 100,000+ SF leases being signed during the quarter, a dramatic change from last quarter’s positive absorption of 479,828 square feet. Vacancy rates remained stable since the first quarter at 12.3%, an increase from the second quarter of last year. The highest rates were recorded in the Southwest Corridor with an average of $7.86.
MARKET INDICATORS
2Q 2011 | INDUSTRIAL
Nashville Industrial MarketSummary of Statistics, Q2 2011
Vacancy Rate: 12.3%
Absorption: -111,324 SF
Under Construction: 589,000 SF
Asking Rents Per Square Feet: Overall Rental Rates: $5.44Warehouse - Distribution: $3.95Light Industrial: $6.99Heavy - Mfg: $0.00Bulk Warehouse: $4.10Flex/R&D: $4.81
Quarterly Comparisons and Totals
QUARTER BUILDINGSTOTAL
INVENTORY SF
DIRECT
VACANT
DIRECT
VACANCY
RATE
SUBLEASE
VACANCY
RATE
NET
ABSORPTION
CURRENT QTR
NET
ABSORPTION
YTD SF
UNDER
CONSTRUCTION
SF
AVG
ASKING
RATE
Q2.11 1,944 159,138,430 19,577,486 12.3% 1.4% (115,610) (111,324) 589,000 $5.44
Q1.11 1,946 158,970,444 19,153,453 12.3% 1.6% 479,828 479,828 2,032,000 $4.27
Q4.10 1,950 158,292,862 19,349,141 12.2% 1.7% (478,523) (1,450,577) 2,032,000 $4.18
Q3.10 1,950 158,329,421 19,201,016 12.1% 1.6% (1,231,090) (1,448,503) 186,809 $4.27
Q2.10 1,950 158,328,561 17,328,561 11.3% 1.6% (683,239) (217,387) 186,809 $4.31
By Property Type
BUILDING TYPE BUILDINGS
TOTAL
INVENTORY
SF
DIRECT
VACANT
DIRECT
VACANCY
RATE
SUBLEASE
VACANCY
RATE
NET
ABSORPTION
CURRENT QTR
NET
ABSORPTION
YTD SF
AVG
ASKING
RATE
Warehouse - Distribution 1,054 49,142,084 5,529,285 11.3% 0.4% 137,937 269,157 $3.95
Light Industrial 560 58,154,049 2,480,244 4.3% 0.8% (70,745) 161,771 $6.99
Heavy - Mfg 6 779,289 0 0.0% 0.0% 0 0 $0.00
Bulk Warehouse 99 39,050,101 9,364,133 25.0% 3.5% (97,090) 455,578 $4.10
Flex/R&D 225 12,012,907 2,203,824 18.3% 1.4% (85,712) 135,974 $4.81
-
-
Updated 7-2011
The automotive supplier industry has begun further development in the area the relocations of Valeo, Carlex, and Tottser-Iroquois Industries. In addition to these companies, GM is planning on producing two midsize cars and adding over 1,000 jobs to the Williamson County area. Nissan has also decided to relocate their North American headquarters to Nashville. Both of these moves predict positive growth in the automotive industry for the Nashville MSA.
Though this quarter showed little improvement, experts feel positive about growth for the industrial market as the national and local economies strengthen.
Flex/R&D
Bulk Warehouse
Heavy - Mfg
Light Industrial
Warehouse - Distribution
2Q 2011 | Vacancy Space By Type
-400000
-350000
-300000
-250000
-200000
-150000
-100000
-50000
0
50000
100000
150000
Nort
h
Airp
ort S
outh
wes
t
Wes
t
Sout
heas
t
East
IBD
2Q 2011 | Net Absorption By Submarket
RECENT SALES TRANSACTIONSSALES ACTIVITY
PROPERTY BUYER/SELLER SALE PRICE SIZE SF SUBMARKET
7200 Centennial Blvd Carlex/Zeledyne $7,500,000 1,607,630 West
2225 Madison St Space for Lease/NCP 2007 Clarksville, LLC $2,600,000 303,899 North
Beckwith Farms Building 4A Jupiter Band/Panattoni $6,200,000 100,000 East
186 First St North TBA Investments/Noland Co $1,122,000 54,474 IBD
118 Wheeler Tottser-Iroquois Industries/KHS America $1,129,000 28,105 Southeast
RECENT LEASING TRANSACTIONSLEASING ACTIVITY
PROPERTY ADDRESS TENANT SIZE SF TYPE SUBMARKET
Midsouth Logistic IV HP 300,000 Renewal Southeast
Midsouth Logistic IV Sims Recycling Group 200,000 Renewal Southeast
211 Nesbitt Ln US Lumber 150,926 New North
611 Enon Springs Rd East Valeo 129,493 New Southeast
Interstate 24 Distribution Ctr #1 Xpedx 117,000 New Southeast
DEFINITIONS
Absorption - The net change in occupied space between the current quarter and the previous quarter, calculated by summing all the positive changes in occupancy and subtracting all the negative changes in occupancy.
Available SF - Space currently being marketed for lease or sublease.
Total Building SF - All single & multi tenant office buildings above 20,000 SF excluding medical, government and owner occupied.
Vacancy Rate - Percentage rate of the total amount of physically vacant space divided by the total amount of existing inventory.
P. 2 | COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL
MARKET REPORT | Q2 2011 | INDUSTRIAL | NASHVILLE
UPDATE Market Comparisons
INDUSTRIAL MARKET
SUBMARKET BLDGSTOTAL
INVENTORY SF
DIRECT VACANT
SF
DIRECT VACANCY
RATE
DIRECT VACANCY
RATE PRIOR QTR
SUBLEASE VACANCY
RATE
NETABSORPTION CURRENT QTR
ST
NET ABSORPTION
YTD SF
AVG ASKING RATE
EAST 306 26,285,394 5,147,120 19.6% 20.1% 0.4% 142,893 (109,778) $5.09
Bulk Warehouses 29 12,852,289 4,293,167 33.4% 33.8% 0.0% 56,500 122,558 $3.07
Flex/R&D 42 1,846,006 232,460 12.6% 12.4% 0.9% (2,539) (43,569) $7.71
Light Industrial 88 5,305,384 82,000 1.5% 1.5% 0.0% 0 (62,000) $5.36
Warehouse - Distribution 147 6,281,715 539,493 8.6% 10.0% 1.3% 88,932 (126,767) $5.48
NORTH 451 39,891,696 3,294,849 8.3% 8.2% 1.5% (38,789) 124,207 $4.06
Bulk Warehouses 19 6,995,658 712,790 10.2% 10.2% 5.5% 0 (27,790) $3.10
Flex/R&D 40 1,580,142 311,939 19.7% 15.7% 0.0% (63,839) (10,965) $4.83
Heavy - Mfg 1 314,125 0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0 0 $0.00
Light Industrial 140 17,076,001 441,524 2.6% 2.6% 1.3% 0 46,897 $3.43
Warehouse - Distribution 251 13,925,770 1,828,596 13.1% 13.3% 0.0% 25,050 116,065 $3.92
SOUTHEAST 421 50,873,515 8,177,911 16.1% 15.7% 2.2% (191,161) 168,659 $5.65
Bulk Warehouses 45 17,577,624 4,330,176 24.6% 23.8% 5.6% (153,590) 388,810 $3.67
Flex/R&D 79 4,292,998 1,153,269 26.9% 26.3% 1.0% (22,672) (85,553) $7.51
Heavy - Mfg 3 149,990 0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0 0 $0.00
Light Industrial 102 17,190,296 950,727 5.5% 5.5% 0.1% 0 0 $3.79
Warehouse - Distribution 192 11,662,607 1,743,739 15.0% 14.8% 0.6% (14,899) (134,598) $4.90
SOUTHWEST 235 13,590,828 897,640 6.6% 6.7% 2.0% 18,076 21,355 $7.86
Bulk Warehouses 4 918,130 28,00 3.0% 3.0% 0.0% 0 (28,000) $0.00
Flex/R&D 42 3,360,804 365,310 10.9% 11.0% 0.2% 3,638 8,229 $9.81
Heavy - Mfg 1 100,000 0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0 0 $0.00
Light Industrial 58 3,385,631 155,258 4.6% 4.6% 6.0% 0 0 $2.50
Warehouse - Distribution 130 5,826,263 349,072 6.0% 6.2% 1.0% 14,899 41,126 $5.63
WEST 125 10,583,035 776,363 7.3% 6.8% 0.0% (55,613) (144,803) $3.65
Bulk Warehouses 1 500,000 0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0 0 $0.00
Light Industrial 53 7,480,503 704,935 9.4% 8.5% 0.0% (70,745) (159,935) $3.63
Warehouse - Distribution 71 2,602,532 71,428 2.7% 3.3% 0.0% 15,132 15,132 $3.67
IBD 406 17,913,962 1,283,603 7.2% 7.2% 0.6% 8,984 (170,964) $5.36
Bulk Warehouses 1 206,400 0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0 0 $0.00
Flex/R&D 22 932,957 140,846 15.1% 15.1% 10.9% (300) (4,116) $5.09
Heavy - Mfg 1 215,174 0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0 0 $0.00
Light Industrial 119 7,716,234 145,800 1.9% 1.9% 0.0% 0 13,267 $5.88
Warehouse - Distribution 263 8,843,197 996,957 11.3% 11.4% 0.0% 9,284 (180,115) $5.26
GRAND TOTAL 1,944 159,138,430 19,577,486 12.3% 12.2% 1.4% (115,610) (111,324) $5.44
MARKET REPORT | Q2 2011 | INDUSTRIAL | NASHVILLE
COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL | P. 3
UNITED STATES:
NashvilleNate GreeneManaging Partner300 BroadwayNashville, TN, 37201TEL +1 615 850 2729FAX +1 615 850 3229
MARKETING DIRECTOR
NashvilleAllison Schepman300 BroadwayNashville, TN, 37201TEL +1 615 850 2748FAX +1 615 244 2957
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The information contained herein has been obtained from sources deemed reliable. While every reasonable effort has been made to ensure its accuracy, we cannot guarantee it.
www.colliers.com/Nashville
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Affiliate Broker
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Figure 1: Nashville Industrial Submarkets include North, East, Southest, Southwest, West and IBD.
Gallatin Rd.
Leba
non P
l.
West E
nd A
ve.
Harding Pl.
O ld Hickory Blvd.
Fran
klin
Moores Ln.
Murfreesboro Rd.
Nolensville Rd.
Done
lson
Pike
Briley
Pkwy.
Bell Rd
.
Woodmont Blvd.
Buena Vista
132
12
96
SOUTHWEST
WEST
SOUTHEAST
EAST
NORTH
IBD
Nate Greene, CCIMDIR +1 615 850 2729
Managing Partner
MARKET REPORT | Q2 2011 | INDUSTRIAL | NASHVILLE