Monetary Policy of Malaysia (2)
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Transcript of Monetary Policy of Malaysia (2)
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Monetary Policy
The bigger question that we need to answer before analyzing the
monetary policy is: What is Monetary Policy? What are the instruments
used to monitor the monetary policy of any country? What are the
objectives of the monetary policy? et!s try to answer these questions"rst#
$e"ning Monetary Policy % Monetary Policy can be de"ned as the actions
ta&en by the monetary authorities '(enerally a )entral *an&+ of the
country to use control of the supply of the money in the economy as a
measure, instrument to achieve the objectives of general economic policy#
The -bjectives of Monetary Policy % The various general objectives of the
monetary policy of any economy are stated below:
.# /ull 0mployment % /ull 0mployment is regarded as one of the mostimportant objective of the monetary policy of a country as lac& of
employment leads to loss of potential and social inequality#1# Price 2tability % The stability of prices in an economy is of vital
importance especially in a developing country# The in3ation4 if rises
sharply might a5ect the buying behavior of the citizen of the
country and therefore the business e6pansion rate also slows down
due to loss of revenues#7# 0conomic (rowth % 0conomic (rowth of a country means that the
real per capita income of the country rises over a long period of
time# 8t is therefore4 a major objective of any monetary authority ofthe country to achieve#
9# *alance of Payments % ast but certainly not the least4 each country
wants to maintain its balance of payments in an equilibrium and be
selfsu;cient# The Monetary Policy of the economy also strives to
achieve this target by implementing various changes from time to
time#
The 8nstruments of Monetary Policy % There are two types of monetary
policy instruments % /irst4
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7# )hanges in =eserve =atios % =eserve =atios are the ratios governed
by the )entral Money >uthority of the country under which every
ban& or "nancial institution is mandatorily as&ed to &eep certain
portion of its deposits in its vaults for liquidity and certain portion
with the )entral Money >uthority of the country#
9# 2elective )redit )ontrols % >ll the above mentioned instrumentsa5ect the economy indirectly4 but this instrument is used to directly
&eep a chec& on a particular sector if it is showing signs of in3ation4
recession or any other speculative activities in that particular sector#
>ll the above instruments can be used selectively for that particular
sector to &eep a chec& on the growth of that sector#
Monetary Policy of Malaysia
ow4 as we have learnt a bit about the terminology and meaning of
Monetary Policy4 we are in a position to analyze the Monetary Policy ofMalaysia4 the country we have chosen for our project# The )entral
Monetary >uthority of Malaysia is resided in the hands of *an& egara
Malaysia4 which is the )entral *an& of Malaysia governed by the )entral
*an& of Malaysia >ct4 1@@A# 8t is headed by (overnor and )hairman $r#
Beti >&htar >ziz#
The *an& egara Malaysia formulated a signi"cant development in the
monetary policy mechanisms and transmission mechanisms by
introducing the -vernight Policy =ate '-P=+ to monitor the overall
monetary policy functioning in the economy# The new framewor& included
the introduction of new policy rate and improvements to the conduct of
monetary operations4 as well as the removal of ceiling on base lending
rates '*=s+ and prescribed lending rates# *an&ing institutions now set
their *=s based on their respective cost structures and business
strategies# The new framewor& also serves as a catalyst for the e;cient
pricing of "nancial products and services by ban&ing institutions# The
deregulation of pricing is a &ey initiative under the /inancial 2ector
Masterplan to ensure greater e;ciency in the allocation and distribution of
resources in the "nancial system#
The ew Monetary -perating Procedures:
a+ The -vernight Policy =ate % -P= will be an indicator of the monetary
policy stance# The -P= will have a dual role % as a signaling device
to indicate the monetary policy stance and as a target rate for the
daytoday liquidity operations of the )entral *an >ny change in
monetary policy stance will be signaled by a change in -P=#b+ -vernight =ate as the 2ole -perating Target % Monetary operations
of *M will target the overnight interban& rate# iquidity
management will aim at ensuring the appropriate level of liquidity
that would in3uence the overnight interban& rate to move close to
-P=#
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c+ 8ntroduction of -vernight -perating )orridor and 2tanding /acilities
% To minimize e6cessive volatility in the overnight rate4 *M will
specify a corridor around the -P=# The corridor was set at C1D basis
points around the -P=# $aytoday liquidity operations will aim to
hold the overnight rate close to the announced -P=#
With the introduction of -P=4 *M didn!t just let the rates 'lending and
deposit+ to be mar&et driven but were regulated in the initial phase of the
introduction of -P=# The lending rates for 2M0s were monitored by the
)entral *an& while also allowing the 2M0s with special needs to ta&e
redress# >lso the deposit rates for /i6ed $eposits were also regulated by
the )entral *an
Monetary Policy and =esults for the year [email protected]
The 8n3ation rate was above its long run average in the year [email protected] for
Malaysia# 2o the )entral *an& followed a contractionary monetary policy
by increasing the overnight policy rate '-P=+ by 1D basis points to 7#1DE4
e6pecting the growth to continue and in3ation prices to remain at higher
than long run average# The monetary policy stance was last changed by
*M in 1@.. and since then4 the economic growth of Malaysia had shown
steady growth amid e6ternal imbalanced environment# This was majorlydue to domestic demand and the monetary authority felt a need to
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monitor the policy rate stance to stabilize the ris&s of broader "nancial
imbalances given the e6tended period of relatively low and unchanged
interest rates#
The two major concerns for the increase in -P= were as follows:
.# *alance of =is&s to the -utloo& for (rowth % 8n early [email protected] the
Malaysian (overnment projected a steady growth of the Malaysian
economy# 8n line with the positive outloo& of the global growth4 the
Malaysian e6ports were e6pected to rise# $omestic demand was
e6pected to be the main driver of growth with robust investmentfrom the private sector# *y May [email protected] the government e6pected the
growth in [email protected] to be the upper end of the initial forecast of 9#DE
D#DE# *ut the Monetary Policy )ommittee 'MP)+ recognized that
the downside ris&s to growth remained4 particularly in relation to the
ris& of moderation in private consumption growth and wea&er
e6ternal demand#1# 8n3ation % The MP) e6pected greater upside ris&s to in3ation which
was e6pected to trend above its longrun average of 7E in [email protected]
and [email protected]# This was e6pected because of the domestic cost factors
li&e upward adjustments in retail fuel prices4 electricity tari5s andintroduction of (2T in [email protected]#
Therefore4 the MP) considered the rise in -P= to normalize the upside
ris&s of in3ation in the economy and lower the downside ris&s of
/inancial 8mbalances# The adjustment in the policy rate occurred
smoothly without major disruptions to the "nancial system and the
overall economy# =etail lending rates adjusted quic&ly to the change in
-P=#
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Monetary -perations
The average overnight interban& rate remained stable around the -P=
with an average deviation of 1 basis points#
Managing iquidity
Total interban& money mar&et transactions4 which comprised deposits
and acceptances4 ban&er!s acceptance '*>+4 and negotiable instrument
of deposits '8$+ in both the conventional and 8slamic money mar&ets4recorded a marginal increase in volume to =M7#1 trillion '[email protected]: =M7#.
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trillion+# >mong the instruments4 conventional deposits4 which were
unsecured borrowing and lending4 was the main instrument traded and
contributed FG#7E of the total volume# >ggregate surplus liquidity in
the system declined from =M77F#G billion as at [email protected] to =M1FA#A
billion at the end of the year due to capital out3ows4 particularly in the
fourth quarter following e6pectations for interest rate normalization by
the /ederal =eserve amid the recovery in the H2 economy and
heightened concerns over the impact of the sharp fall in oil prices on
the Malaysian economy#
$espite the decline in aggregate surplus liquidity4 liquidity conditions
remained ample at the systemwide level to support e;cient
intermediation and orderly mar&et adjustments# The variety of
monetary instruments available for the liquidity management of the
ban&ing system accorded 3e6ibility to the *an& in meeting mar&et
e6pectations and liquidity needs# >mid rising yields on mar&ete6pectations for an increase in the -P=4 higher issuances of *an&
egara Monetary otes '*Ms+4 especially from Iuly [email protected] to -ctober
[email protected] were underta&en to meet the strong mar&et demand4 including
that of the nonresident portfolio investors# )onsequently4 total
outstanding *Ms rose from =M.@F#J billion as at [email protected] to
=M.11#9 billion by ovember [email protected] in which nonresident holdings
accounted for more than half of the total outstanding *Ms# 8n
$ecember [email protected] in response to the wea& demand for *Ms amid
capital out3ows4 the issuances of *Ms were adjusted accordingly
and total outstanding *Ms fell to =M.@J#. billion at the end of theyear# (iven the volatility in the global "nancial mar&ets during the
year4 *Ms have been an e5ective tool in managing domestic
liquidity arising from shortterm capital 3ows#
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Major 8ndicators of /inancial 8mbalances