Monetary Policy of Malaysia (2)

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    Monetary Policy

    The bigger question that we need to answer before analyzing the

    monetary policy is: What is Monetary Policy? What are the instruments

    used to monitor the monetary policy of any country? What are the

    objectives of the monetary policy? et!s try to answer these questions"rst#

    $e"ning Monetary Policy % Monetary Policy can be de"ned as the actions

    ta&en by the monetary authorities '(enerally a )entral *an&+ of the

    country to use control of the supply of the money in the economy as a

    measure, instrument to achieve the objectives of general economic policy#

    The -bjectives of Monetary Policy % The various general objectives of the

    monetary policy of any economy are stated below:

    .# /ull 0mployment % /ull 0mployment is regarded as one of the mostimportant objective of the monetary policy of a country as lac& of

    employment leads to loss of potential and social inequality#1# Price 2tability % The stability of prices in an economy is of vital

    importance especially in a developing country# The in3ation4 if rises

    sharply might a5ect the buying behavior of the citizen of the

    country and therefore the business e6pansion rate also slows down

    due to loss of revenues#7# 0conomic (rowth % 0conomic (rowth of a country means that the

    real per capita income of the country rises over a long period of

    time# 8t is therefore4 a major objective of any monetary authority ofthe country to achieve#

    9# *alance of Payments % ast but certainly not the least4 each country

    wants to maintain its balance of payments in an equilibrium and be

    selfsu;cient# The Monetary Policy of the economy also strives to

    achieve this target by implementing various changes from time to

    time#

    The 8nstruments of Monetary Policy % There are two types of monetary

    policy instruments % /irst4

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    7# )hanges in =eserve =atios % =eserve =atios are the ratios governed

    by the )entral Money >uthority of the country under which every

    ban& or "nancial institution is mandatorily as&ed to &eep certain

    portion of its deposits in its vaults for liquidity and certain portion

    with the )entral Money >uthority of the country#

    9# 2elective )redit )ontrols % >ll the above mentioned instrumentsa5ect the economy indirectly4 but this instrument is used to directly

    &eep a chec& on a particular sector if it is showing signs of in3ation4

    recession or any other speculative activities in that particular sector#

    >ll the above instruments can be used selectively for that particular

    sector to &eep a chec& on the growth of that sector#

    Monetary Policy of Malaysia

    ow4 as we have learnt a bit about the terminology and meaning of

    Monetary Policy4 we are in a position to analyze the Monetary Policy ofMalaysia4 the country we have chosen for our project# The )entral

    Monetary >uthority of Malaysia is resided in the hands of *an& egara

    Malaysia4 which is the )entral *an& of Malaysia governed by the )entral

    *an& of Malaysia >ct4 1@@A# 8t is headed by (overnor and )hairman $r#

    Beti >&htar >ziz#

    The *an& egara Malaysia formulated a signi"cant development in the

    monetary policy mechanisms and transmission mechanisms by

    introducing the -vernight Policy =ate '-P=+ to monitor the overall

    monetary policy functioning in the economy# The new framewor& included

    the introduction of new policy rate and improvements to the conduct of

    monetary operations4 as well as the removal of ceiling on base lending

    rates '*=s+ and prescribed lending rates# *an&ing institutions now set

    their *=s based on their respective cost structures and business

    strategies# The new framewor& also serves as a catalyst for the e;cient

    pricing of "nancial products and services by ban&ing institutions# The

    deregulation of pricing is a &ey initiative under the /inancial 2ector

    Masterplan to ensure greater e;ciency in the allocation and distribution of

    resources in the "nancial system#

    The ew Monetary -perating Procedures:

    a+ The -vernight Policy =ate % -P= will be an indicator of the monetary

    policy stance# The -P= will have a dual role % as a signaling device

    to indicate the monetary policy stance and as a target rate for the

    daytoday liquidity operations of the )entral *an >ny change in

    monetary policy stance will be signaled by a change in -P=#b+ -vernight =ate as the 2ole -perating Target % Monetary operations

    of *M will target the overnight interban& rate# iquidity

    management will aim at ensuring the appropriate level of liquidity

    that would in3uence the overnight interban& rate to move close to

    -P=#

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    c+ 8ntroduction of -vernight -perating )orridor and 2tanding /acilities

    % To minimize e6cessive volatility in the overnight rate4 *M will

    specify a corridor around the -P=# The corridor was set at C1D basis

    points around the -P=# $aytoday liquidity operations will aim to

    hold the overnight rate close to the announced -P=#

    With the introduction of -P=4 *M didn!t just let the rates 'lending and

    deposit+ to be mar&et driven but were regulated in the initial phase of the

    introduction of -P=# The lending rates for 2M0s were monitored by the

    )entral *an& while also allowing the 2M0s with special needs to ta&e

    redress# >lso the deposit rates for /i6ed $eposits were also regulated by

    the )entral *an

    Monetary Policy and =esults for the year [email protected]

    The 8n3ation rate was above its long run average in the year [email protected] for

    Malaysia# 2o the )entral *an& followed a contractionary monetary policy

    by increasing the overnight policy rate '-P=+ by 1D basis points to 7#1DE4

    e6pecting the growth to continue and in3ation prices to remain at higher

    than long run average# The monetary policy stance was last changed by

    *M in 1@.. and since then4 the economic growth of Malaysia had shown

    steady growth amid e6ternal imbalanced environment# This was majorlydue to domestic demand and the monetary authority felt a need to

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    monitor the policy rate stance to stabilize the ris&s of broader "nancial

    imbalances given the e6tended period of relatively low and unchanged

    interest rates#

    The two major concerns for the increase in -P= were as follows:

    .# *alance of =is&s to the -utloo& for (rowth % 8n early [email protected] the

    Malaysian (overnment projected a steady growth of the Malaysian

    economy# 8n line with the positive outloo& of the global growth4 the

    Malaysian e6ports were e6pected to rise# $omestic demand was

    e6pected to be the main driver of growth with robust investmentfrom the private sector# *y May [email protected] the government e6pected the

    growth in [email protected] to be the upper end of the initial forecast of 9#DE

    D#DE# *ut the Monetary Policy )ommittee 'MP)+ recognized that

    the downside ris&s to growth remained4 particularly in relation to the

    ris& of moderation in private consumption growth and wea&er

    e6ternal demand#1# 8n3ation % The MP) e6pected greater upside ris&s to in3ation which

    was e6pected to trend above its longrun average of 7E in [email protected]

    and [email protected]# This was e6pected because of the domestic cost factors

    li&e upward adjustments in retail fuel prices4 electricity tari5s andintroduction of (2T in [email protected]#

    Therefore4 the MP) considered the rise in -P= to normalize the upside

    ris&s of in3ation in the economy and lower the downside ris&s of

    /inancial 8mbalances# The adjustment in the policy rate occurred

    smoothly without major disruptions to the "nancial system and the

    overall economy# =etail lending rates adjusted quic&ly to the change in

    -P=#

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    Monetary -perations

    The average overnight interban& rate remained stable around the -P=

    with an average deviation of 1 basis points#

    Managing iquidity

    Total interban& money mar&et transactions4 which comprised deposits

    and acceptances4 ban&er!s acceptance '*>+4 and negotiable instrument

    of deposits '8$+ in both the conventional and 8slamic money mar&ets4recorded a marginal increase in volume to =M7#1 trillion '[email protected]: =M7#.

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    trillion+# >mong the instruments4 conventional deposits4 which were

    unsecured borrowing and lending4 was the main instrument traded and

    contributed FG#7E of the total volume# >ggregate surplus liquidity in

    the system declined from =M77F#G billion as at [email protected] to =M1FA#A

    billion at the end of the year due to capital out3ows4 particularly in the

    fourth quarter following e6pectations for interest rate normalization by

    the /ederal =eserve amid the recovery in the H2 economy and

    heightened concerns over the impact of the sharp fall in oil prices on

    the Malaysian economy#

    $espite the decline in aggregate surplus liquidity4 liquidity conditions

    remained ample at the systemwide level to support e;cient

    intermediation and orderly mar&et adjustments# The variety of

    monetary instruments available for the liquidity management of the

    ban&ing system accorded 3e6ibility to the *an& in meeting mar&et

    e6pectations and liquidity needs# >mid rising yields on mar&ete6pectations for an increase in the -P=4 higher issuances of *an&

    egara Monetary otes '*Ms+4 especially from Iuly [email protected] to -ctober

    [email protected] were underta&en to meet the strong mar&et demand4 including

    that of the nonresident portfolio investors# )onsequently4 total

    outstanding *Ms rose from =M.@F#J billion as at [email protected] to

    =M.11#9 billion by ovember [email protected] in which nonresident holdings

    accounted for more than half of the total outstanding *Ms# 8n

    $ecember [email protected] in response to the wea& demand for *Ms amid

    capital out3ows4 the issuances of *Ms were adjusted accordingly

    and total outstanding *Ms fell to =M.@J#. billion at the end of theyear# (iven the volatility in the global "nancial mar&ets during the

    year4 *Ms have been an e5ective tool in managing domestic

    liquidity arising from shortterm capital 3ows#

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    Major 8ndicators of /inancial 8mbalances