Modification 0282 Action 002 Update
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Transcript of Modification 0282 Action 002 Update
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Modification 0282 Action 002 Update
Joanna Ferguson
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Assumptions Used
• NGN region has approx 6.7m inhabitants• NGN has approx 2.4m domestic customers• Assuming household occupancy of 2.28• Suggests 2.9m houses in NGN region• Therefore estimated connection level of 82%• Therefore of the 300k unoccupied homes quoted
in mod 282, approx 245k will have a gas connection
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Prices Assumed
• Weighted average UK unit rates as at 1 April 2010 prices:
LDZ Capacity (p/peak day kWh per day) 0.1362
LDZ Commodity (p/kWh) 0.0214
Customer Charge 0.0752
Average UK Load Factor 34.1%
Average domestic consumption 20,000KWh
Therefore average SOQ 161KWh
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Financial Impact
• Assume 100% take up nationally of 282 proposal for 12 months
LDZ Capacity per household £ 79.93
LDZ Commodity per household £ 4.28
Customer charge per household £ 44.13
Total per household £ 128.34
times 245k vacant homes £ 31,445k
2010/11 Allowed Revenue forecast £ 2,835,800k
% attributable to vacant homes 1.1%
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Questions?