Mexican Manufacturing Exports: The micro and macro ... · 3363 Fabricación de partes para...
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Mexican Manufacturing Exports: The micro and macro perspectives September, 2014
Transcript of Mexican Manufacturing Exports: The micro and macro ... · 3363 Fabricación de partes para...
Mexican Manufacturing Exports: The micro and macro perspectives
September, 2014
The micro perspective:
Linkage between administrative records of foreign trade and annual manufacturing
surveys
Objective
• Provide figures on exports and imports of goods distinguishing the characteristics of manufacturing enterprises that perform international trade in order to contribute to the analysis of Mexican external sector
Specific goals
• Strengthen the statistical infrastructure with a deep view of manufacturing activities related to external sector
• Give information on the export and import proclivity of enterprises
• Assess the effects of international merchandise trade in domestic production and employment
Specific goals
• Support to policy makers with more robust information on Mexican foreign trade by manufacturing enterprise characteristics
• Provide basic statistics for the measurement on Value Added of Global Manufacturing Export in the framework of national accounts
Methodology: Consolidation of enterprises
International trade Custom records
Manufacturing surveys
Economic Census
-Name of observation unit -Tax ID in the case of
IMMEX
Consolidation of enterprises based in establishments
Unit of observation:
Establishment
Analysis of key fields
Grouping establishments
through economic census data
Enterprise Enterprise
Analysis and cleaning of key fields:
- Registered name -Tax ID
Enterprise level data
Annual Manufacturing Surveys and IMMEX Statistics • Identifying
establishments
2009 Economic Census • Enterprises
Methodology: Identification of outward oriented enterprises
Consolidation of enterprises Orientation of enterprises Linkage
Info
rmat
ion
by e
nter
pris
e
Search in foreign trade data base (custom records)
Outward-oriented enterprises
No outward-oriented enterprises
Enterprises with outward orientation 1. Sales of products abroad 2. Purchases of raw materials and other from
abroad 3. All manufacturing enterprises with IMMEX
Program
Enterprises accomplishing at least one of these three conditions are part of the subset with outward
orientation
Share of manufacturing outward-oriented enterprises, 2007-2012
78%
22%
Outward-oriented enterprises
No outward-oriented enterprises
Manufacturing enterprises by exporting and importing status, 2007-2012
7,193 Enterprises Importing:
1,129
Exporting and importing:
5,582
Exporting: 482
465.6 490.1 394.2
506.0 571.9
616.7
84% 86%
83% 85%
84% 84%
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Bill
ion
US
dolla
rs
Share of trade of linked enterprises in total manufactured goods’ trade
Value of trade of linked enterprises (imports plus exports)
Total trade of manufactured goods (imports plus exports)
Main results: Profile of Manufacturing Export Enterprises
Distribution of manufacturing enterprises and their value of trade by size according to
number of employees, 2009-2012
26%
42%
15%
17%
Number of enterprises 1%
8%
9%
82%
Total trade
1 to 50 51 to 250 251 to 500 More than 500
Average value of export and import by size of manufacturing enterprises, 2012
Size of enterprise (Number of employees)
Million US dollars
Exports Imports
1 to 50 1.4 2
51 to 250 7 7.3
251 to 500 20.0 21.8
More than 500 187.4 157.4
Share of exports in the production of manufacturing enterprises, according to
number of employees, 2012
Pequeñas Medianas Grandes MacroEmpresas
42% 42% 41%
58%
1 to 50 51 to 250 251 to 500 More than 500
Participation of top manufacturing enterprises in the exports of manufactured goods, 2012
16% 24% 32% 41% 50% 72% 81% 88%
5primeras
10primeras
20primeras
50primeras
100primeras
500primeras
1000primeras
Todas laempresas
(5,946)Number of enterprises
All enterprises
(5,946)
5
10
20
50
100
500 1,000
Distribution of exports according to destination regions by size of manufacturing
enterprises, 2012
5% 9% 8% 9% 7% 7%
11% 6% 7% 9%
87% 79% 85% 83% 83%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
América delNorte
Resto deAmérica
UniónEuropea
Asia Resto delMundo
Note: Share of enterprises with 1 to 50 employees is 1% in all regions
%
1 to 50 51 to 250 251 to 500 More than 500
North America
Rest of World
Latin America
European Union Asia
Distribution of exports according to number of destination countries by size of manufacturing
enterprises, 2012
10% 7% 12% 10% 8% 6% 2%
11% 8%
15% 13% 9% 9% 3%
77% 83% 71% 77% 82% 85% 95%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
1país
2países
3 a 5 países
6 a 9países
10 a 14países
15 a 19países
20 y máspaíses
Note: Share of firms with 1 to 50 employees is 2%, except 10-14 countries with 1%. The cases of 6-9, 15 -19, 20 and more is less than 1%.
1 2 3 to 5 6 to 9 10 to 14 15 to 19 20 and more
%
1 to 50 51 to 250 251 to 500 More than 500
Countries
Distribution of exports of manufacturing enterprises with more than 500 employees
by main industries, 2012
21%
5%
6%
27%
41%
Resto de actividades
Industrias metálicas básicas
Aparatos y accesorios eléctricos
Equipo de computación ycomunicación
Equipo de transporte
Other industries
Computer equipment and communication
Transport equipment
Electrical appliances and accessories
Basic metal
Distribution of exports of manufacturing enterprises with more than 500 employees
by main destination countries, 2012
13%
2%
2%
3%
80%
Resto de países
Colombia
Brasil
Canadá
Estado UnidosUnited States
Rest of countries
Brazil
Canada
Colombia
The macro perspective: Measurement on Value Added of
Global Manufacturing Export
Conceptual-Methodological Framework
Enterprises which inputs are of a foreign origin (2/3) and with production destined to exports.
Enterprises with high foreign capital participation
Not considered in the previous criteria, exporting intermediate goods.
Applied Criteria
Global Manufacturing
Production (GMP)
Corresponds to the production of a good generated in more than one country. Includes foreign and
domestic inputs and gross value added.
Value Added of Global
Manufacturing Export (VAEMG by its stands in
Spanish)
It is a part of GMP. Excludes the value of Foreign Intermediate Consumption, so there is no double
counting (performed in other countries).
It is the part that contributes in global value chains.
Value Chain: Basic Concepts
NICGM GVAGM
XGM MGM XGM = Global Manufacturing Exports MGM = Global Manufacturing Imports
2,478 1,450
1,028
492 536
Measuring VAEMG 2012 (Billion Pesos)
NICGM = National Intermediate Consumption of Global Manufacturing
GVAGM = Gross Value Added of
Global Manufacturing
Main results
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Promedio
76.7 75.3 75.7 75.7 75.1 71.2 67.7 67.0 63.4 63.5 69.8
27.9 27.8 27.5 28.2 28.2 26.6 27.2 28.3 27.0 27.9 27.6
%
In Manufacturing Exports In Total Manufacturing
Average
Share of Global Manufacturing in Exports and Total Manufacturing
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 20121.7 1.6 2.8 3.0 3.2 3.2 2.4 1.5 1.3 1.4 3.7 3.7 3.6 3.0 3.0 2.8 3.3 2.9 2.3 2.7
11.2 11.4 10.7 10.1 9.7 8.7 10.9 9.1 7.7 8.0
13.2 14.5 14.6 13.8 13.8 14.2 13.2 14.4 16.6 18.0
25.1 23.7 22.8 25.0 25.2 25.1 25.1 33.5 32.3 31.3
45.1 45.0 45.5 45.2 45.2 46.0 45.0 38.7 39.8 38.5
Resto 3361 Fabricación de automóviles y camiones
3363 Fabricación de partes para vehículos automotores 3344 Fabricación de componentes electrónicos
3343 Fabricación de equipo de audio y de video 3341 Fabricación de computadoras y equipo periférico
%
Share of main Manufacturing industries in VAEMG
Rest
3363 Motor Vehicle Parts
Audio and Video Equipment
3361 Motor Vehicle
3344 Semiconductor and other Electronic Component
3341 Computer and Pheriperal Equipment
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Promedio
37.0 36.9 35.5 35.6 36.1 36.8 36.5
47.5
39.4 37.8 38.5
67.4 67.3 65.8 65.3 65.6 65.8 65.1
73.4 66.0 64.4 66.6
%
NAICS industry 3361: Motor Vehicle Share of VAEMG in Total Manufacturing
Intermediate Comsuption Domestic Origin VAEMG
Average
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Promedio
22.4 20.2
23.1 20.3
18.3 18.1 19.8 20.7 17.5
21.7 20.1
32.4 29.4
33.5 30.1
27.0 26.9 29.3 30.5
27.9
32.2 29.8
%
NAICS industry 3344: Semiconductor and Other Electronic Component
Share of VAEMG in Total Manufacturing
Intermediate Comsuption Domestic Origin VAEMG
Average
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Promedio
1,138 1,182
1,233 1,261 1,229 1,134
940
1,049 1,052 1,115 1,133
22.7% 23.4% 24.0% 24.1% 23.6% 22.6% 20.5% 22.2% 21.9% 22.8% 22.8%
Job Posts of Global Manufacturing (Thousands)
Average
Dissemination
Dissemination
Enlarge linkage of foreign trade records with Census and Economic Surveys to other activity sectors in order to increase coverage of exports and imports
Next steps
Analyze value chains with other countries in relevant activities for the Mexican economy
Take advantage of the information that will give the 2014 Economic Census in this field, to perform new statistical studies for providing further details on the participation of Mexico in the Global Economy
Thank you! Contacts:
Gerardo Durand Alcántara Deputy Director General of Economic Surveys
and Administrative Records [email protected]
Francisco Guillén Martín Deputy Director General of National Accounts
