MDG Monitoring to 2015 & beyond HUNGER INDCATOR – 1.9 by Seeva RAMASAWMY

Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations

MDG Monitoring to 2015 &

beyondHUNGER INDCATOR – 1.9

bySeeva RAMASAWMY

FAO RAP, Bangkok, Thailand([email protected])


HUNGER INDICATOR

OUTLINEDefinition of the hunger indicatorPurposeComponents Methodology of estimation Data sourcesEstimation Conclusions


Target 1C - Halve, between 1990 and 2015, the proportion of people who suffer from hunger

MDG Hunger indicator 1.9:

Reduce the proportion of population below minimum level of dietary energy consumption (MDER) by half by 2015.

World Food Summit Target:

Reduce the number of undernourished people by half by 2015.

HUNGER INDICATOR


Halve the proportion of people who suffer from

hunger by 2015

Number of undernourished

people

Halve the number of people who suffer from hunger by

2015

Prevalence of undernourishment

Global Monitoring hunger : MDG 1.9 & WFS Target

Population


1. Indicators of Food Insecurity.

2. Assess the food insecurity at global, national and sub-national levels.

3. Food policies aiming at more focused interventions and programmes.

PURPOSE


METHODOLOGY OF ESTIMATIONTo characterize the distribution we need to

estimate (at least) three parameters (“moments”):Location (measured by the mean),

Indicates the average level of food consumption

Dispersion (measured by the coefficient of variation)

Indicates the degree of inequality in food consumption

Asymmetry (measured by the coefficient of skewness)

As opposed to monetary income, food consumption cannot increase indefinitely, therefore, as the mean level increases, we expect the asymmetry to be reduced.


Prevalence of Undernourishment hunger indicator – MDG 1.9The indicator is conceptually very simple. If we

know: a) How much food is available in the

country, (DES/DEC) – Food Availability

b) What are the population food requirements, (MDER) - Food Utilization

c) How food consumption is distributed across households (CV of DEC) - Food Access

we may estimate how many people are likely to be having insufficient access to food.


Based on three key parameters:

1. Energy consumption per person (DES) as derived from

- Food Balance Sheet (FBS)

2. Inequality in access to food (CV of DEC)

- National household income and expenditure survey (NHS)

3. The minimum dietary energy requirement (MDER)

- Based on International Dietary Energy Requirement Norms using country age/sex structure of the population and height data.

The FAO approach for estimating Hunger Indicator


FAO Estimates of Hunger Indicator (Prevalence of Undernourishment or Food Deprivation)

MDG Indicator 1.9 (National)(FAO SOFI)

Proxy of MDG 1.9National

and Regional levels

Dietary Energy Supply (DES)

Dietary Energy Consumption(DEC)

Food Balance Sheet(FBS)

National household survey(NHS/HIES)

Coefficient of Variation (CV) of the distribution of Dietary Energy Consumption (DEC)

Minimum Dietary Energy Requirement (MDER)


x per caput DES

1. Estimation of the mean x (Dietary Energy Supply)

source providing estimates

every year for all countries

FAO’s /Country Food Balance Sheets


Food Available for Human Consumption (DES) from Food Balance Sheet

Gross Production - Harvest Loss

= Net Production+ Beginning Stocks+ Imports

= Gross Food Availability- Exports- Feed- Seed- Post-Harvest Loss

= Net Food Availability

Net Food Availability - Ending Stocks - Non-food uses

= Household Consumption - Intra-House Waste - Non-Human Consumption

= = Human Food Consumption


Total Variation

Other sources Seasonal

variationVariation due to income

7.2

Variation due to biological factors

The FAO approach for estimating Hunger

2. Sources of variation of inequality (CV )in access to food (DEC)


)|()|()( 22 rxCVvxCVxCV

variation of energy consumption

Variation due to requirement approx.

20%

variation according to levels of income


2. Estimation of the inequality in access to food as given by the CV (Coefficient of Variation) of DEC



3. The minimum dietary energy requirement (MDER)

- Based on International Dietary Energy Requirement Norms using country age/sex structure of the population and height data.

Recommended Energy Requirement by Age and Sex -Joint FAO/WHO/UNU Expert Consultation on human energy requirements (FAO/WHO/UNU, 2004).


To produce good estimates, we need reliable and timely data.

The minimum set of data we need are:A measure of total food availability in the

countryThe size and structure of the population

(including heights)Data from surveys recording food

consumption (i.e. budget and expenditure surveys, living standard measurement surveys, etc.)

The Data Problem


Global Monitoring of MDG Hunger Indicator (1.9)State of Food Insecurity in the World – SOFI 2010

Technical Assistance at Country level – 95 countries Use of Food Security Statistics Module -

(FSSM/ADePT)

Process - Analysis – Report

Macro and Micro nutrient Analysis - Protein Quality – Quality of the Diet

ESTIMATION OF HUNGER INDICATOR ANALYTICAL TOOL FSSM/ADePT


CONCLUSIONS

Coordination among National institutions collecting agricultural and food data:

NSO,Ministry of Agriculture, fisheries, livestock;Ministry of Trade and Commerce;Ministry of Health;Ministry of Industry; etc.


Country collaboration is essential in providing the needed data

FAO ESS is committed to provide technical assistance to:

Data collectionData processing

Analysis


THANK YOU

MDG Monitoring to 2015 & beyond HUNGER INDCATOR – 1.9 by Seeva RAMASAWMY

Documents

Transcript of MDG Monitoring to 2015 & beyond HUNGER INDCATOR – 1.9 by Seeva RAMASAWMY