Maine Polling - Orlando Political Observer (Orlando...

Maine Polling

Executive Summary

Gravis Marketing, a nonpartisan research firm, conducted a random survey of 767 individuals across the state of Maine. The poll was conducted on June 24th and has a margin of error of 3.5%. The survey was conducted using interactive voice responses and an online panel of cell phone users. The results are weighted by the voting demographics. The poll was paid for by Gravis Marketing.

3) If the Maine 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary were held today, who would you vote for?

Contact: Doug Kaplan, 407-242-1870

Race Age group Gender

African-American Hispanic Other White/Caucasian 18-29 30-49 50-64 65 and over Female Male

Q3MAINEDEMOCRATICPRIMARY Amy Klobuchar 0.0% 0.0% 5.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.2% 0.1% 0.5%

Andrew Yang 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 5.2% 30.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 10.9%

Bernie Sanders 34.9% 27.3% 21.7% 13.7% 23.0% 24.3% 6.6% 9.2% 18.9% 9.3%

Beto O'Rourke 10.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.9% 0.0% 0.8% 1.9% 1.1% 2.0% 0.0%

Bill de Blasio 0.0% 7.4% 0.0% 0.0% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.3% 0.0%

Cory Booker 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 3.6% 0.0% 10.3% 1.6% 0.6% 2.9% 4.0%

Elizabeth Warren 0.0% 3.6% 19.3% 17.6% 0.0% 9.2% 28.4% 20.9% 20.1% 13.2%

Eric Swalwell 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 1.6% 1.5% 1.2% 0.5%

Jay Inslee 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.7% 0.3% 0.5%

Joe Biden 0.0% 22.6% 0.0% 25.8% 8.1% 20.9% 29.0% 35.6% 27.9% 21.5%

John Hickenlooper 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%

Julian Castro 0.0% 7.8% 0.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.7% 0.0% 1.2% 0.0% 1.0%

Kamala Harris 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2.4% 0.0% 4.5% 1.9% 2.1% 3.8% 0.5%

Kirsten Gillibrand 34.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 4.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.4%

Marianne Williamson 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 3.5% 0.0% 9.0% 2.1% 1.2% 0.0% 7.4%

Michael Bennett 0.0% 19.4% 0.0% 2.0% 2.8% 6.9% 0.0% 0.5% 0.2% 5.0%

Pete Buttigieg 0.0% 9.6% 36.2% 7.8% 1.1% 8.6% 11.4% 7.0% 11.5% 3.7%

Steve Bullock 0.0% 0.7% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0%

Tim Ryan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 4.0% 23.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 8.3%

Tulsi Gabbard 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.5% 0.2% 0.5%

Uncertain 19.3% 1.7% 17.1% 10.8% 6.5% 4.9% 15.7% 13.3% 10.0% 11.8%

4) Do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of President Trump’s job performance?

Party Race Age group

Democrat

Independent Or

In Another

Party Republican

African-

American Asian Hispanic Other White/Caucasian 18-29 30-49 50-64

65 and

over

Q4:

TRUMPPERFORMANCE

Somewhat

Approve 4.8% 13.4% 10.7% 0.0% 32.2% 7.9% 9.7% 9.8% 5.8% 14.4% 7.7% 11.0%

Somewhat

Disapprove 7.4% 11.9% 9.0% 0.0% 0.0% 4.2% 12.7% 9.9% 18.5% 10.4% 7.1% 5.6%

Strongly

Approve 8.9% 27.8% 72.3% 59.9% 67.8% 56.4% 55.9% 33.8% 26.6% 33.7% 40.1% 36.5%

Strongly

Disapprove 73.5% 41.7% 5.8% 20.0% 0.0% 27.2% 19.4% 42.2% 42.6% 33.7% 42.9% 44.9%

Uncertain 5.4% 5.3% 2.2% 20.0% 0.0% 4.4% 2.3% 4.3% 6.6% 7.7% 2.2% 2.0%

5) Do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s job performance?


Democrat

Independent

Or In Another

Party Republican

African-


65 and

over

Q5:

PELOSIPERFORMANCE

Somewhat

Approve 39.0% 22.2% 6.5% 0.0% 0.0% 18.8% 5.0% 23.7% 17.7% 23.7% 23.0% 24.9%

Somewhat

Disapprove 9.3% 19.2% 7.2% 20.0% 0.0% 6.6% 10.9% 12.8% 8.4% 13.9% 13.8% 12.1%

Strongly

Approve 34.7% 8.3% 3.6% 0.0% 0.0% 17.3% 22.7% 15.2% 8.4% 9.0% 17.1% 24.5%

Strongly

Disapprove 11.9% 38.8% 79.7% 59.9% 100.0% 49.1% 57.3% 41.5% 42.3% 48.0% 43.1% 36.1%

Uncertain 5.1% 11.4% 3.0% 20.0% 0.0% 8.2% 4.1% 6.9% 23.3% 5.4% 3.0% 2.3%

6) Do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of Senator Susan Collins’ job performance?


Democrat

Independent

Or In Another

Party Republican

African-


65 and

over

Q6:

COLLINSPERFORMANCE

Somewhat

Approve 17.8% 35.0% 38.5% 26.0% 32.2% 29.0% 27.0% 30.9% 31.7% 35.9% 27.8% 28.1%

Somewhat

Disapprove 24.8% 24.6% 22.7% 61.7% 54.0% 23.0% 35.6% 23.2% 21.1% 18.1% 28.9% 26.5%

Strongly

Approve 20.1% 9.8% 23.1% 6.3% 0.0% 16.4% 16.7% 17.3% 28.7% 9.7% 15.4% 19.3%

Strongly

Disapprove 35.0% 23.1% 15.1% 6.0% 13.8% 18.4% 19.9% 24.9% 10.3% 32.8% 25.0% 23.9%

Uncertain 2.3% 7.5% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 13.1% 0.9% 3.7% 8.2% 3.5% 2.9% 2.1%

7) Assuming you had to vote today for Senate, would you vote for Republican Susan Collins or Democrat Sara Gideon?


Democrat

Independent Or In

Another Party Republican

African-


65 and

over

Q7:

COLLINSVSGIDEON

Collins 28.9% 48.4% 79.1% 42.6% 86.2% 53.1% 60.6% 51.1% 58.9% 49.4% 50.0% 51.0%

Gideon 63.6% 34.7% 10.3% 57.4% 0.0% 40.1% 27.1% 36.6% 18.4% 41.1% 39.4% 39.6%

Uncertain 7.6% 17.0% 10.5% 0.0% 13.8% 6.8% 12.3% 12.3% 22.8% 9.5% 10.6% 9.4%

8) If the election for the U.S. Senate were held today, which candidate would be your first choice?


Democrat

Independent Or In


African-


65 and

over

Q8:

FIRSTCHOICE

Collins 26.8% 35.2% 74.5% 42.6% 86.2% 37.7% 51.2% 44.0% 52.3% 36.4% 46.2% 45.3%

Gideon 59.2% 24.4% 7.3% 40.6% 0.0% 36.3% 8.0% 30.6% 14.5% 32.5% 33.3% 34.2%

Uncertain 11.7% 27.9% 13.4% 16.9% 13.8% 16.4% 17.9% 18.7% 30.7% 16.8% 15.6% 15.8%

Vanhelsing 2.3% 12.5% 4.7% 0.0% 0.0% 9.5% 22.9% 6.8% 2.5% 14.4% 4.9% 4.7%

9) If the election for the U.S. Senate were held today, which candidate would be your second choice?


Democrat

Independent Or In


African-


65 and

over

Q9:

SECONDCHOICE

N/A 11.7% 27.9% 13.4% 16.9% 13.8% 16.4% 17.9% 18.7% 30.7% 16.8% 15.6% 15.8%

Collins 16.9% 19.9% 28.4% 20.8% 0.0% 12.6% 24.9% 21.8% 16.9% 26.8% 19.9% 21.1%

Gideon 14.9% 15.8% 7.5% 40.1% 0.0% 27.4% 13.3% 12.6% 13.4% 15.6% 11.2% 12.4%

Uncertain 24.7% 23.5% 29.8% 9.5% 32.2% 24.8% 25.3% 25.9% 10.1% 24.2% 30.1% 33.0%

Vanhelsing 31.9% 12.9% 20.9% 12.8% 54.0% 18.7% 18.7% 21.1% 28.9% 16.7% 23.2% 17.7%

10) Assuming you had to vote today for President, would you vote for Republican Donald Trump or Democrat Bernie Sanders?


Democrat

Independent Or In


African-


65 and

over

Q10:

TRUMPVSSANDERS

Sanders 89.1% 56.4% 12.7% 20.0% 0.0% 51.8% 35.8% 54.8% 59.9% 50.8% 51.3% 54.9%

Trump 10.9% 43.6% 87.3% 80.0% 100.0% 48.2% 64.2% 45.2% 40.1% 49.2% 48.7% 45.1%

11) Assuming you had to vote today for President, would you vote for Republican Donald Trump or Democrat Joe Biden?


Democrat

Independent Or In


African-


65 and

over

Q11:

TRUMPVSBIDEN

Biden 88.9% 55.8% 15.5% 20.0% 13.8% 48.1% 37.0% 55.3% 54.8% 53.7% 51.8% 57.1%

Trump 11.1% 44.2% 84.5% 80.0% 86.2% 51.9% 63.0% 44.7% 45.2% 46.3% 48.2% 42.9%

12) Assuming you had to vote today for President, would you vote for Republican Donald Trump or Democrat Elizabeth Warren?


Democrat

Independent Or In


African-


65 and

over

Q12:

TRUMPVSWARREN

Trump 14.1% 44.1% 88.3% 80.0% 100.0% 60.4% 66.0% 46.5% 40.6% 53.1% 49.4% 45.7%

Warren 85.9% 55.9% 11.7% 20.0% 0.0% 39.6% 34.0% 53.5% 59.4% 46.9% 50.6% 54.3%

13) Assuming you had to vote today for President, would you vote for Republican Donald Trump or Democrat Pete Buttigieg?


Democrat

Independent Or In


African-


65 and

over

Q13:

TRUMPVSBUTTIGIEG

Buttigieg 87.4% 52.8% 11.5% 40.1% 0.0% 40.9% 31.1% 52.4% 52.1% 49.9% 49.7% 54.1%

Trump 12.6% 47.2% 88.5% 59.9% 100.0% 59.1% 68.9% 47.6% 47.9% 50.1% 50.3% 45.9%

14) Assuming you had to vote today for President, would you vote for Republican Donald Trump or Democrat Kamala Harris?


Democrat

Independent Or In


African-


65 and

over

Q14:

TRUMPVSHARRIS

Harris 86.4% 56.3% 11.6% 20.0% 0.0% 44.0% 42.8% 53.5% 59.9% 47.9% 50.7% 53.9%

Trump 13.6% 43.7% 88.4% 80.0% 100.0% 56.0% 57.2% 46.5% 40.1% 52.1% 49.3% 46.1%

The following questions are for demographic purposes:

1) Are you registered to vote in Maine?

2) What is your party affiliation?

15) What is your political ideology ?

16) Are you or is a member of your immediate family from a Latino, Hispanic or Spanish speaking background?

19) What race do you identify yourself as?

20 ) Which of the following best represents your religious affiliation?

21) What is the highest level of education you have completed?

22) How old are you?

23) What is your gender?

Maine Polling - Orlando Political Observer (Orlando...

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