Magellan Financial Recommendation

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Page 1: Magellan Financial Recommendation

Magellan Financial Group (MFG)

BUYActive Investor’s Recommendation

Overview: Magellan Financial Group Ltd (MFG) is an Australian

specialist fund manager providing international investment funds to high

net worth and retail investors. MFG’s fund management is undertaken by

Magellan Asset Management and its four global investment funds are

the Magellan Infrastructure Fund, the Magellan Global Fund, the

Magellan Flagship Fund and the Magellan High Conviction Fund.

LONG SHORT DIVIDEND PLAY

Catalysts: MFG is travelling in a long-term ascending channel and

boasts continuous Funds under Management (FUM) growth and profit

outperformance over the past several years. Its recent half year

performance reports net profit growth of 115% over the corresponding

period in 2013. MFG reached an all-time high of $21.68 on 27th April

2015 following a strong run off the back of this data. Following an April

FUM update that missed market expectations, MFG retreated 19% until

finding strong buyer support at $17.50.

Hurdles: MFG noted net institutional outflows of $73 million during April.

Whilst the outflow in April is most likely a one-off occurrence, there is no

guarantee that FUM will continue to increase. The performance of

MFG’s investment funds is linked to global markets and therefore

subject to price volatility.

Investment View: MFG’s recent pullback provides a buying opportunity

for investors to enter a fundamentally strong stock at a discounted price.

Therefore we enter the stock into our shorter term portfolio, as MFG

trades at the lower end of its long-term ascending channel. We initiate

coverage with a ‘buy’.SHARE PRICE

WWW.WISE-OWL.COM 1

Est. Div: 2%

Price: $18.30

Target: $21.50

TRADING CHECKLIST

LIQUIDITY Average traded 0.5m shares/day ✔

TREND Long-term ascending ✔

TRIGGER Pullback ✔

CATALYSTS Solid fundamentals, support being found ✔

STRATEGY Short-term rebound ✔

SUMMARY

TICKER ASX:MFG

NAME Magellan Financial Group

INDUSTRY Financials

LAST TRADED $18.30

FINANCIAL OVERVIEW FY14

REVENUE $148m

NET PROFIT $82.9m

EPS 53.3c

PE 34

DIVIDEND 38.3c

DIV YIELD 2.1%

TRADE OVERVIEW

DIRECTION Long

OUTLOOK 3-6m

STRATEGY Continuation

TRIGGER Pullback & Support

LAST 12 MONTHS +52%

EX-DIVIDEND DATE 17/08/2015

11 June 2015

SHORT-TERM TARGET

CAPITAL RETURN 17.48%

DIVIDEND YIELD (FINAL) est. 2%

TOTAL S’HOLDER RETURN 19.48%

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2013 2014 2015

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GLOSSARY

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ARCHIVES

ANALYST

ROBERT LESTER

[email protected]

1300 306 308

www.wise-owl.com

wise-owl.com

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ARCHIVES - ACTIVE INVESTOR

COMMONWEALTH BANK MAY - 15

NEWCREST MINING MAR – 15

ABACUS PROPERTY FEB - 15

CIMIC GROUP FEB - 15

HEALTHSCOPE JAN - 15

PLATINUM ASSET DEC - 15

11 June 2015

Buy Establishing a ‘long’ position in the market and expecting

appreciation of the stock.

Sell Either ‘short-selling’ the stock or alternatively closing out of an

existing position.

Stop Loss The price at which the stock is to be exited should it move in the

adverse direction.

Hold We recommend to hold this position until further notice

Target The price at which a profit target is to be executed.

Limit The limit in which we look to buy or sell the stock to.

Note: The Active Investors Portfolio is predominantly trades based on technical

analysis and short term fundamentals.

These recommendations are used for those looking to gain active exposure in

short term and volatile markets – not long term investment.